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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
| PA | AVG | HR | R | RBI | SB | DRC+ | WARP |
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- 2015
- 2016
- 0.22017
- 1.02018
- 1.22019
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WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | DRC+ | DRAA | BRR | FRAA | BWARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | NYN | 21 | 46 | 170 | 41 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 49 | 2 | 7 | 3 | .248 | .271 | .394 | 69 | -6.2 | 1.0 | -0.3 | 0.2 |
| 2018 | NYN | 22 | 154 | 592 | 142 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 119 | 3 | 24 | 11 | .256 | .295 | .381 | 83 | -10.3 | 2.8 | -6.6 | 1.0 |
| 2019 | NYN | 23 | 157 | 655 | 177 | 30 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 124 | 3 | 19 | 10 | .287 | .323 | .432 | 96 | -0.5 | 1.5 | -6.0 | 2.3 |
| Career | 357 | 1417 | 360 | 60 | 19 | 28 | 63 | 292 | 8 | 50 | 24 | .270 | .305 | .406 | 87 | -16.9 | 5.3 | -12.9 | 3.5 | ||
Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | PA | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | DRC+ | DRC+ SD | FRAA | BRR | DRAA | BWARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | KNG | Rk | APP | 58 | 226 | .252 | .328 | .366 | .286 | 105 | -8.2 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 63 | 0 | -2.6 | -3.5 | -14.2 | -1.0 |
| 2014 | SAV | A | SAL | 7 | 31 | .263 | .331 | .377 | .167 | 100 | -3.4 | 0.9 | -0.2 | 28 | 0 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -2.9 | -0.3 |
| 2014 | BRO | A- | NYP | 68 | 290 | .253 | .316 | .356 | .345 | 97 | 4.3 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 124 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | -1.6 | 1.3 |
| 2015 | SLU | A+ | FSL | 103 | 417 | .247 | .308 | .336 | .316 | 99 | -7.1 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 101 | 0 | 13.3 | 0.9 | -8.0 | 2.5 |
| 2015 | BIN | AA | EAS | 2 | 10 | .242 | .358 | .331 | .200 | 99 | -1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1.2 | 0.0 |
| 2016 | SLU | A+ | FSL | 66 | 290 | .248 | .314 | .351 | .345 | 99 | 12.3 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 147 | 0 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 7.1 | 1.9 |
| 2016 | BIN | AA | EAS | 54 | 237 | .270 | .333 | .407 | .433 | 107 | 9.6 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 113 | 0 | -4.9 | 1.7 | -0.4 | 0.6 |
| 2017 | NYN | MLB | NL | 46 | 170 | .251 | .322 | .425 | .330 | 96 | -7.7 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 69 | 9 | -0.3 | 1.0 | -6.2 | 0.2 |
| 2017 | LVG | AAA | PCL | 94 | 425 | .275 | .343 | .435 | .377 | 105 | 11.9 | 12.6 | 5.5 | 115 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 9.4 | 3.0 |
| 2018 | NYN | MLB | NL | 154 | 592 | .248 | .319 | .409 | .310 | 90 | -4.4 | 16.6 | 7.5 | 83 | 7 | -6.6 | 2.8 | -10.3 | 1.0 |
| 2019 | NYN | MLB | NL | 157 | 655 | .252 | .322 | .431 | .338 | 96 | 6.2 | 19.8 | 8.9 | 96 | 7 | -6.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 2.3 |
Statistics For All Levels
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.| Year | Team | lvl | LG | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | SF | SH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | KNG | Rk | APP | 226 | 212 | 22 | 51 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 76 | 23 | 11 | 43 | 2 | 6 | .241 | .279 | .358 | .118 | 2 | 0 |
| 2014 | BRO | A- | NYP | 290 | 266 | 39 | 77 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 101 | 23 | 17 | 47 | 7 | 3 | .289 | .337 | .380 | .090 | 2 | |
| 2014 | SAV | A | SAL | 31 | 30 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | .133 | .161 | .300 | .167 | 0 | |
| 2015 | SLU | A+ | FSL | 417 | 385 | 41 | 99 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 129 | 25 | 23 | 73 | 12 | 4 | .257 | .307 | .335 | .078 | 1 | 3 |
| 2015 | BIN | AA | EAS | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .100 | .100 | .100 | .000 | 0 | 0 |
| 2016 | BIN | AA | EAS | 237 | 214 | 38 | 73 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 103 | 31 | 19 | 51 | 6 | 2 | .341 | .392 | .481 | .140 | 3 | 0 |
| 2016 | SLU | A+ | FSL | 290 | 265 | 27 | 82 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 117 | 40 | 21 | 36 | 13 | 6 | .309 | .359 | .442 | .132 | 3 | 0 |
| 2017 | LVG | AAA | PCL | 425 | 393 | 66 | 129 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 183 | 58 | 23 | 67 | 19 | 6 | .328 | .367 | .466 | .137 | 5 | 0 |
| 2017 | NYN | MLB | NL | 170 | 165 | 16 | 41 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 10 | 3 | 49 | 7 | 3 | .248 | .271 | .394 | .145 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018 | NYN | MLB | NL | 592 | 554 | 76 | 142 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 211 | 51 | 29 | 119 | 24 | 11 | .256 | .295 | .381 | .125 | 3 | 3 |
| 2019 | NYN | MLB | NL | 655 | 616 | 75 | 177 | 30 | 7 | 15 | 266 | 72 | 31 | 124 | 19 | 10 | .287 | .323 | .432 | .144 | 3 | 2 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% | CSAA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 646 | 0.4768 | 0.5542 | 0.6453 | 0.6461 | 0.4704 | 0.7487 | 0.5157 | 0.3547 | 0.0000 |
| 2018 | 2125 | 0.4889 | 0.5360 | 0.7375 | 0.6631 | 0.4144 | 0.8186 | 0.6133 | 0.2625 | 0.0000 |
| 2019 | 2371 | 0.4673 | 0.5154 | 0.7594 | 0.6778 | 0.3729 | 0.8615 | 0.5966 | 0.2406 | 0.0000 |
| Career | 5142 | 0.4774 | 0.5288 | 0.7360 | 0.6677 | 0.4023 | 0.8296 | 0.5933 | 0.2640 | 0.0000 |
Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-06-30 | - | Minors | - | - | Right | Thumb | Contusion | - |
Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | DRC+ | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90o | 42 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | .316 | .366 | .500 | 105 | 2.2 | SS 0 | 0.0 | ||
| 80o | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .269 | .321 | .423 | 100 | 1.2 | SS 0 | 0.0 | ||
| 70o | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .235 | .278 | .294 | 96 | 0.7 | SS 0 | 0.0 | ||
| 60o | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .273 | .200 | 93 | 0.3 | SS 0 | 0.0 | ||
| 50o | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 90 | 0.1 | SS 0 | 0.0 | ||
| Weighted Mean | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .333 | .333 | 90 | 0.1 | SS 0 | 0.0 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Amed RosarioBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-10 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Being 3 years younger, is Andres Gimenez really less likely to get stronger than Amed Rosario is to get better at hitting the ball and playing short? Trying to figure out which is the upside guy is driving me crazy! (Byron from Portland, OR) | Well, yeah I think so because Gimenez is mostly physically developed at this point. I don't know that Rosario suddenly improving at shortstop is in the cards either, but he has the physical tools for the position and to hit better than he has. Mid-20s breakouts happen, and while Gimenez might suddenly find a different route to more power, I don't think it's a matter of "getting stronger" exactly. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2020-12-11 12:00:00 (link to chat) | I keep trying to conjure scenarios where the Mets trade for Lindor, but instead of paying in purely prospects/young talent, they partially pay the cost by taking on bad money. Even though Cleveland doesn't have that bad money contract to dump, a 3-way trade that accomplishes this has to exist, right?
How about a 3 way trade where the Mets end up with Lindor and Lorenzo Cain, Brewers send a prospect to Cle and the Mets send JD/Amed and a prospect or two to Cle.
Assuming Cain's contract is something like ~15-20MM underwater, maybe they'd be willing to trade one of Rassmusen/Small/Ashby out
Could look something like
Brewers- Trade: Cain + Ras/Small/Ashby
Receive: Salary Relief
Mets- Trade: Amed Rosario, Mark Vientos, Szapucki
Receive: Cain, Lindor
Indians- Trade: Lindor
Receive: Amed Rosario, Ras/Small/Ashby, Vientos, Szapucki
What do you think?
Also, what do you think of these other alternate 3rd teams/bad contracts and whether they'd be willing to send a meaningful prospect to Cleveland in a salary dump:
PHI/McCutchen, CHI/Kimbrel, STL/Carp or Fowler, CIN/Moustakas (Danny from NY) | Three-way deals can make things far more complicated and for Milwaukee specifically while I don't doubt they'd love to get out from the Cain money, they really aren't in a spot to be dumping a prospect to do it given the state of their system. The most straightforward way for the Mets is to just take Carrasco's remaining contract as well. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2020-12-04 12:00:00 (link to chat) | JD Davis, Amed Rosario, Brett Baty and Junior Santos for Francisco Lindor (Tracy from New Jersey) | I don't think the basic structure there is that far off what he goes for, but I have heard interest in different prospects from Cleveland's end, and I have to imagine they want Gimenez and the extra years of control over Rosario. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2020-11-13 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Obviously Indians/Mets related, but who do you think has more value between Amed Rosario and Andres Gimenez, and, is it close? Maybe it depends on the team that is acquiring either? (Greg from NY) | I think Gimenez is the better major leaguer right now and has three more years of control so...I guess you could argue Rosario still has more upside but even that is a stretch at this point. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2020-01-29 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario vs Cavan Biggio. Who has the more valuable roto outlook over the next three years? (MK from Houston) | I think I'd still take Rosario? My big concern with Biggio is that I'm not sure how sustainable the walk rate he had last year is, and if he's going to be that passive, I think the league will adapt. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2019-12-05 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Expecting a leap from Amed Rosario this offseason? (Kyle from Philly) | If I had to guess, I'd peg him at 12% better than league average next year. (New York Mets Top 10 Chat) |
| 2019-08-06 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Been trying really hard to contain my excitement about Amed Rosario, but damn. Given what you’ve seen from him during the last ~6 weeks, what’s your projection/thoughts on him and the kind of player he is going forward ? (Alex from Nj) | He's looked like he was turning the corner before, but this "feels" more real, mostly because of both the improved strike zone control and quality of contact. I actually think his current season line is probably a fair median outcome from here on out if you think it's real. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario has been on fire, does he take the next step even further next year? (Miller from NY) | I'm not sure what the "next step" for him would be. Maybe more power? Only eight players have a batting average above .290 and have stolen at least 15 bases. To take the next step, I think he'd have to hit 20-plus homers, and I just don't think that's there. (JP Breen) |
| 2019-07-19 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Can you please tell me what to think of Amed Rosario..I keep going back and forth
I wish there wasn't this voice in my head telling me he's gonna be a 5 WAR CF for some other team next year (Jeff from Trentton) | So I don't know if this actually matters but Rosario clearly needed to make adjustments against major league stuff and he has worked with three different hitting coaches across three seasons. You get flashes, and he's on a good run now, so I don't blame anyone for wanting to keep hoping on the next 1000 MLB plate appearances. I don't think he gets dealt before he gets a run in CF, just because there are basically no center field FA options and he's still pre-arb. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-05-31 13:00:00 (link to chat) | I have a need for pitching and too many bench hitters who shouldn't be on the bench....ie Amed Rosario. I want to trade Ohtani for SP help. Can you please offer 5 targets? David Price? And who? (Vic from Baltimore) | You'll need to add another piece, but Gerrit Cole should be a target. Walker Buehler. I'd be inquiring on Zack Wheeler and Eduardo Rodriguez. I'm also buying Frankie Montas's early-season breakout. (J.P. Breen) |
| 2019-05-15 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What should we make of Amed Rosario? (Earl from NY) | I think he's going to be fine, so the Mets should just leave him alone and let him figure it out. If he taps into a bit more power he'll be a monster. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2019-02-25 16:00:00 (link to chat) | Who is your sleeper breakout player. A non top 150 guy who will make the leap to top 25 value. (Simon from Atlanta) | Jeebus, Kyle Lewis just crushed one halfway to New Mexico.
That's a pretty high bar to clear--150+ to top 25. Excluding rookies like Kyle Tucker, Nick Senzel, or Peter Alonso, I'll give some 150+ names that could improve significantly (if not top 25): Amed Rosario, Jesse Winker, Luke Voit, Ramon Laureano, Hunter Renfroe, Manny Margot, Josh James, Tyler Skaggs. Off the top of my head. (Jon Hegglund) |
| 2019-02-11 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Please name 5 players outside the Top 100 most likely to be Top 50 in 2020. I am thinking of Peraza and...... (Vic from Baltimore) | I've been pretty happy with Peraza's progression. Last season was a nice surprise. I'd expect Victor Robles to shoot up this list heading into next season, same goes for Eloy Jimenez. Josh Donaldson is currently 102 per NFBC ADP, so that's another obvious one. A few less heralded names though: Rougned Odor, Amed Rosario, Zack Wheeler and Daniel Murphy in Coors (which is now legally his new name). (Mark Barry) |
| 2018-12-10 16:00:00 (link to chat) | Hi Darius. Sorry for addressing you as Brandon earlier. I had a brain freeze. Anyway, how high should I be on Garrett Hampson in a 12-team, NL-only, auction, keeper league (12 players kept per team). I have him at $8. What's his $ value floor? $ value ceiling? (TC from Cincinnati) | No problem - I meant to joke about it and forgot! I think the speed gives him a pretty high floor - Amed Rosario was just a $20 player without stellar stats anywhere else. As long as the Rockies let him play (and I can't make any promises about the Rockies), I think the floor is the low teens and the ceiling is somewhere up around the mid-twenties. (Darius Austin) |
| 2018-12-12 17:00:00 (link to chat) | Do you think Amed Rosario continues to improve on offense, or is 2018 production what we should expect moving forward? (Mr. Fister from Arlington) | He'll improve in 2019, although it will more incremental/a step forward than a breakout. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2018-12-06 20:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you think the offensive ceiling is for Amed Rosario? (Mr. Fister from Arlington) | To rank him ahead of Diaz on the Mets 25U, I made the inference that he still has a plausible chance to be a role 7 regular, which would probably look something like 2018 Matt Chapman if he got there. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2018-11-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Crazy to think that Amed Rosario is the perfect kind of player to transition from SS to CF? (Cal from Tribeca ) | Elite runner, rangy, issues with actions and throwing at times. Yeah, sounds about right. It's not always that easy though, and there's upside in the SS glove too. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-06-20 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Who should I play between Amed Rosario and Nick Ahmed. I'm stacked everywhere else, but MI is thin. Thanks! (Tre from Compton) | I'd go with Rosario. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2018-07-16 19:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you make of Amed Rosario's 2018? (Terry from Ridgewood) | He's had mechanical issues and he hasn't received the playing time or instruction to fix them. The pitch identification does seem to be improving somewhat. The underlying tools are still there. I sort of expected this to be a tough year and am still fairly bullish moving forward.
The Mets don't seem to be capable of handling young players well and that starts at the top of the organization. Jose Reyes has been stealing playing time from a healthy Rosario all season and it makes no sense. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Here's hoping a new contract is in the works...
Thoughts on whats up with Amed Rosario? Improvements coming, or more struggles to come? (Barry Bannon from SWFC) | I fear they are going to have sell someone and I suspect it might be Banners over Forestieri. Rosario's issues have stuck out more in part because of the quick transitions of dudes like Soto, Acuna and (especially) Gleyber. That's not to say he's been good, or even able to sustain the flashes of adequacy, but it puts it in starker relief. It's also a bit unfair since his bat was always significantly rawer than those dudes, and the Alcides Escobar season was always a decent possibility for 2018. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-04-05 20:00:00 (link to chat) | I realize that it is a sss, but is Amed Rosario being wasted in the 9 hole? (Mr. Fister from Arlington) | A little bit. I'm not a big lineup construction guy. He does lose some plate appearances, but in terms of him stealing/scoring runs it's better to have him ninth than seventh. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2018-04-10 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Swanson’s fast start sustainable? He seems to be hitting the ball hard and showcasing his hit tool. Would you ride with him or hop on the Amed Rosario train in a 14 team weekly h2h points format? (Zoilo from Stockton) | I don't trust him. His BABIP is sky high right now. Yes, he's hitting more line drives right now, but his hard hit rate is actually lower than last year, 23% to 29%. He's swinging out of the zone a bit more, making more pop-ups than 2017. I do see more of an Andrelton Simmons development path for him: not a great offensive tool until several years down the road. (Kevin Jebens) |
| 2018-01-23 23:00:00 (link to chat) | I know baseball is hard, but how worrisome was Amed Rosario's first rookie year? (JoeRandom from San Jose) | Beyond the inherent worry about him on account of his Met-ness, not in the leeeeast bit. Dude turned 22 in November. Talent finds a way, and he's got a ton of it. (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2017-10-24 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Should met fans be pleased about what they saw from Amed Rosario in brief stint? Is he still a better prospect than acuna/Robles/Torres? (Hay from Ny) | I think so on both accounts. He looked like an immense talent that still needs to figure out what he can and can't hit. The defense and speed give him *such* a high floor. -- Jarrett (World Series Chat) |
| 2017-09-29 12:00:00 (link to chat) | What does one make of Amed Rosario thus far (Dexter from Ny) | He's been more or less what I expected, maybe a bit rawer on both sides of the ball. He'll have to tame the approach, but I think it comes together eventually and he's an all-star level shortstop. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-09-29 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario: When he was in the minors, most scouts slapped a 6 run on him, some would occasionally give him a 7. But the dude is a pure 8 runner- how come we never heard about this until we saw this guy run in the majors? (Sammy from PSL) | He was a 50-55 for me until literally last year when we started getting the 8 reports. Basically he worked out for the first time in his life, and the Mets have a football style offseason training regimen with Barwis and those gains are less uncommon for 20 year old college football players. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-09-29 12:00:00 (link to chat) | On a scale of 1 to furious, how ridiculous is it for Dave Cameron to say that Amed Rosario is a marginally better version of Orlando Arcia and Met fans should be pleased with that. (Xavier from Danbury) | Isn't Eric still doing chats over there? (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-09-14 13:00:00 (link to chat) | About where on top 100s would you place Amed Rosario and Dom Smith if they were still eligible? (Dex from Nj) | You'd have to consider gains/losses by other prospects and other graduations, but I personally don't think that their status has changed all that much. Maybe down a peg or two each? I dunno. They're both still really talented. (Nicolas Stellini) |
| 2017-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | My farm consists of Gleyber Torres, Vlad Guerrero Jr, Franklin Barreto, Austin Meadows, Scott Kingery, Mickey Moniak, Blake Rutherford, Michael Kopech, Mitch Keller and Tyler Mahle. Plus recently graduated Amed Rosario, Bradley Zimmer and Clint Frazier.
Is there any positions or areas I should focus on as I work to be competitive in 2019? (Trip from SC) | Trip. Dude. You're kidding me, right? That is a ridiculous farm system, and seems pretty well-timed for your 2019 target date. I mean, really.
Just to be sure, I checked with Scooter Hotz of our prospects team. His take: "I agree with your assessment. I would also add that with prospects, don’t worry about positional need. Focus on getting the best prospects regardless of position. If you end up with a surplus of players at a position in the majors, use the trade market to re-organize your roster positionally. That will give you more value than prioritizing positional need over getting the best player available." (I will note that Scooter and I are in a fantasy league together. I've spent the entire year with a surplus of OFs and a lack of RPs, and he had a surplus of RPs and a lack of OFs, and we never got it together to make a trade. So do as we say, not as we do) (Rob Mains) |
| 2017-07-25 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Fernando Tatis Jr - top SS prospect in 2 years? (Eric from TX) | He's definitely in the discussion. I think it depends on the status of Amed Rosario, Brendan Rodgers and Bo Bichette.
-Nathan (Emmett Rosenbaum & Nathan Graham) |
| 2017-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Best SS prospect in 3 years is? Top 3 is? (Steve from Cali) | If you're asking me who the best SS prospect in baseball will be in three years, I have no idea. Some guy who doesn't play professional ball now, I'd guess.
By the second question if you're asking who the top 3 at the position will be, it's really, really hard to imagine Correa, Lindor, and Seager not remaining on top-they'll be only 25, 26, and 26, respectively! If one of them is going to get dislodged, I'd put my money on Amed Rosario ahead of J.P. Crawford (who is only three months younger than Correa). Shortstop is becoming a rich position. (Rob Mains) |
| 2017-06-27 20:00:00 (link to chat) | So is the 2021 Top Prospect Amed Rosario? (Mike from NY) | Ha! There sure are a lot of Amed Rosario questions in the queue here. Obviously he's not up and obviously it's increasingly weird that he's not up with the Mets making quite a big deal of moving Asdrubal Cabrera to second. I can't imagine this situation doesn't resolve by next April, but... (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2017-06-27 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Does Amed Rosario's poor June (highest k rate, .220/.272/.347) give more credibility to the Mets decision not to promote him? Is it an adjustment, or is he just "bored"? (kjesanis from New Hampshire) | Monthly splits are basically a Voros's Law thing. If someone has a bad *report* on him, that would give greater credibility.
I will say that one concern of leaving Rosario down there is that Vegas tends to run high temps in the 100s and 110s this time of year, and that facility exacerbates the heat issues. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2017-05-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Amed Rosario as a fantasy prospect? I own him in a bunch of dynasty leagues and am considering whether to deal him with all the hype right now or hold him. Can he be a .280, 10 HR, 30 SB threat (full season pace) right away? Or is the power years away? (Nate from Brownsburg) | I really like Rosario. We had him in the top 10 in the pre-season at BP. I think you're selling him at the height of his value if you do it right now. I wouldn't have a problem with it, depending on the return. The speed and batting average are the carrying tools right now, I'm not holding my breath on the power. We said these same things about Francisco Lindor a few years ago. I'm not saying he's Lindor, but I really like Rosario. (George Bissell) |
| 2017-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Amed Rosario a better prospect than he was when th season started? Is it safe to say he and Moncada are the consensus top 2 in baseball? (Allan T from Ct) | I think he's moved up due to graduations, but there is also something to him maintaining his skills at a higher level (even if it's the PCL). The top tier for me right now is Robles, Moncada, Rosario, Devers in some order. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Are there some people who actually still consider Gleyber Torres a better prospect than Amed Rosario? Do you think that's reasonable or do you just not see it (Mat from Delaware ) | I believe there are. I don't personally see it, but I get why it is said. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What do we make of Amed Rosario? He's batting over .400 but with not a ton of power for it being Vegas and has made 8 errors. (Ceej from Pittsburgh) | If I had time I would just C+P the KG rant from the beginning of an old Up and In episode about caring about MiLB walk rate when a dude is raking. As for the power, It's huge raw in BP, but he will need to grow into the game power and I would prefer he not try to uppercut everything just because it is the PCL West and he can get rewarded for it. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-04-28 13:30:00 (link to chat) | At peak, Amed Rosario should be a __WAR player (America from US) | shooooooooooootlet's say 5? I think there's a little wiggle room there (including a tad more ceiling) but let's go with 5. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat) | If the Mets get hit particularly hard in the rotation in the first half do they trade for Quintana? (nschaef from Nyc) | I've been arguing half-seriously for the Mets to make a trade for another top-of-the-rotation type for awhile. Value is value, right? I guess if you can keep pushing out guys like Gsellman and Lugo at that level of production, you don't need to. But man, Quintana is good.
The real problem is that they're not getting Quintana without trading Amed Rosario and they're not trading Amed Rosario. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat) | What would you project Amed Rosario's statline to look like at his 75th and 90th percentile outcomes? Can he be viewed in the same league as Correa, Lindor, Seager etc? (Fred from Jersey City) | Average seasons looking something like .290/.350/.475 and, I don't know, .310/.370/.500? Basically his 75th percentile outcome is a role 7 shortstop and his 90th percentile outcome is a role 8 shortstop.
I would note that all three of those guys were relatively if slightly better prospects than Rosario, and all three are tracking at 75th percentile or above outcomes themselves. Rosario obviously lacks Seager and Correa's power and Lindor's glove as standout tools, too. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2017-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | So you guys end up being the low ones on Amed Rosario. Bet you didn't see that coming, huh? (Richard from US) | Nope. We were the high source at midseason too. Again, this isn't even a half grade of disagreement really, just ordering. I could get him as high as 6, as 6-8 is a tight grouping to me. Past that, I just personally can't do it, although I get why he is over Crawford and Swanson on lists. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | After watching Amed Rosario this spring, do you think you *maybe* should have put him a little higher on the top 100? Also, I think the arm is definitely a 70, but how would you grade the glove- 65? (RJ from Boston) | I don't give 65s. 60 is the safe bet, he's still a little more athlete than gloveman out there at present, but has the tools to be a 7, sure. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-03-30 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Keeper league, is Story a perennial top 5 NL only shortstop for the next 5 years? (scoresheet) Seager, Diaz, Swanson, . . . ? Villar? (KT from WA) | Villar will lose SS eligibility this year unless Arcia craters or gets hurt. I don't think Story is a top-5 NL-only SS over the next 5 years in roto. Amed Rosario probably surpasses him, plus the guys you mentioned and at least one player we didn't see coming. I'm not a scoresheet guy, though, so maybe it's different in scoresheet.
With ROdgers coming, Story might not even be a starting shortstop in 5 years. (Scooter Hotz) |
| 2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat) | The Amed Rosario v Gleyber Torres debate is one of my favorites. Which side are you on and why? (Demi from Canton) | Rosario due to the superior shortstop tools. It's another one within the fudge factor though depending on how you feel about the relative risks in the offensive profile. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Gleyber Torres or Amed Rosario and why?
(George from NY) | I love this question. I'll go Rosario, simply because he's closer to the majors, probably has more stolen base upside, is a better defender (a surefire bet to stick at shortstop) and might have the better hit tool. I really like Rosario and I think the AFL performance is causing Torres to be slightly overrated. (George Bissell) |
| 2017-02-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Favorite under the radar Mets player/prospect?
(ZZ Top from nj) | Wish I could answer compellingly, but I'm not a Mets guy the way, say, Jarrett Seidler or Jeff Paternostro are. I do like Amed Rosario a lot though, and while he's a household name to Mets fans on the site, I think he doesn't have the national helium yet. (Trevor Strunk) |
| 2016-12-08 23:00:00 (link to chat) | Gleyber Torres or Amed Rosario and why? (Riley from NYC) | I'll take Rosario. He's an above-average defensive shortstop, and that just locks it down for me over a guy like Torres, who's more likely to move off the position or play it marginally. Also I have a soft spot for guys who just up and figure out how to tack a grade and a half onto their raw speed over the course of a single calendar year. (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2016-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Is victor Robles the nats version of Amed Rosario? (Manny from Q) | Based on timing of the breakouts, it's more like Rosario is the Mets version of Robles, but both are top ten prospects, and I would bet will be ranked pretty closely on there 101. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-01-18 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Please rank Amed Rosario, Willy Adames, Cody Bellinger and Kopesch in a 20 team dynasty league. Thank you! (Josue from SD) | Rosario, Bellinger, Adames, Kopech. (Bret Sayre) |
| 2016-12-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How much sense does a Conforto for Lamb swap make? (Gerog from Az ) | Less than it did in a pre-Jose Reyes world. Amed Rosario is coming, and that means that Asdrubal Cabrera could see a move to third even before mid-season. I'm a big Jake Lamb guy, but Conforto still has the potential advantage. If we started talking about throwing in a really good relief pitcher, maybe things get more interesting. (Bryan Grosnick) |
| 2016-12-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How many years until Amed Rosario is the best position player on the Mets? (Renfroe from SNJ) | By BP's WARP, I'll go with 2019. That's very optimistic on Rosario, and it also assumes the Mets don't sign Manny Machado to a godfather contract. (They won't.) Speaking of which ... (Bryan Grosnick) |
| 2016-12-05 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Better long term? The Mets or Yankees? (David from NY) | New York. Just kidding. I'll take the Yankees. Amed Rosario vs. Gleyber Torres is going to be a fun debate in two or three years... (George Bissell) |
| 2016-12-05 20:00:00 (link to chat) | I have a competitive squad in a 14-team H2H mixed dynasty. I'm always trying to balance win now against future competitiveness and have done it pretty well (two titles in four years). Right now I'm trying to evaluate whether it might be worth trying to package Ian Desmond and a prospect (Amed Rosario?) for Giancarlo Stanton. The other owner has a competitive major league roster but an empty farm while I have a deep bench of prospects. Make the offer? Sweeten the offer? Lighten the offer? Stand pat? (Jake from Kalamazoo) | Hey Jake, sounds like you're doing pretty well on your own. I was panning Desmond on every platform possible last offseason because his contact rate had plummeted and he was moving off shortstop. I was wrong. I would make that offer. I'm not sure Stanton ever plays a full season consistently, but I would rather have him than Desmond moving forward and it's not that close. (George Bissell) |
| 2016-11-22 20:00:00 (link to chat) | So What do you think the ceiling of Amed Rosario's ceiling is in your own eyes? (Mike from NY) | Role 7, perennial All-Star type. He has yet to show the type of power ceiling to become a regular MVP candidate type, but it's not totally crazy to think it's deep down there. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2016-11-22 20:00:00 (link to chat) | How excited should Mets fans be for Amed Rosario. What would you say are his 50th, 75th and 90th percentile projections? Sorry if this question requires a lengthy response :x (Elias from New York City) | Very. Let's go with above-average regular for 50th, a guy who makes more than a couple All-Star teams for 75th, and superstar for 90th. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2016-11-11 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario and Franklyn Kilome seemed to be two serious risers last year. Is that growth sustainable? Are these two guys we should be excited about? (scottski45 from Detroit) | Kilome will continue to have hiccups I'd imagine. It's the exact kind of profile I fall in love with and ignore that he may just end up a frustrating relief arm. But if he ever puts it together...look out.
Rosario is a top tier prospect now, and has a more balanced offensive and defensive skill set than he had at this time last year. This is what happens when it does click. I still need to see Rosario's swing work in a longer sample against better arms. The hand path is unorthodox and he struggles with fade at times.. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-11-11 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Saw two comps for Amed Rosario by a fangraphs writer- Brandon Crawford or Elvis Andrus. How do you feel about the accuracy of these? (Greg from NY) | I've used Crawford before. At least before Crawford became a 20 HR guy (although not out of the realm of possibility for Rosario, it's unlikely). I think Rosario is more likely to be a power over hit type than an Andrus type offensively. And I don't think he is as natural a shortstop as Andrus. He's good there, but he gets by more on athleticism. A comp I heard recently that I sort of like is Asdrubal Cabrera with a better glove. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-10-06 14:00:00 (link to chat) | If Amed Rosario were draft eligibile (hypothetical) where would he go in 2017 mlb draft? (VC from Tenafly) | Rosario will be 21 and a halfish on draft day, so an older college junior. He's a better prospect now than Swanson and Bregman were when drafted so I think 1.1 is a safe bet. Tools, plus some polish at shortstop in a "college" guy isn't that common. I think generally your top 10-15 prospects in any given year would go 1.1, barring an Upton/Harper/Strasburg level talent in the draft. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-09-29 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario. Top 5 global prospect? (John from NY) | Nah, that's a little too high. I like Rosario a lot, but he's more of a top ten guy to me than top five. There are about to be some graduations, I think, so maybe he ends up there, but not right now. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2016-09-07 19:00:00 (link to chat) | So who do you take J.P. Crawford or Amed Rosario and do you have a guy who could really rise in prospect ranks next year? (Mike from NY) | Crawford. I'll be a homer and take Thomas Szapucki for the second part. I guess this begins the Thomas Szapucki portion of the chat. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2016-09-12 23:00:00 (link to chat) | Whats your Amed Rosario prospect evaluation/projection? Top 10 prospect this offseason? (Rick from Montville) | I'd say Rosario's not a terrible bet for the top 10. We had him 15th at mid-season, and all he's done since is hit .341 as a 20-year-old in AA. I liked him at lot in a brief look at the Future's Game, and Thomas Desmidt has a pretty glowing report on him from earlier in the season here: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=341 (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2016-08-30 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How do you project Dom Smith and Amed Rosario? (Earl from Michigan) | Dom Smith is a pretty polarizing guy, and I'm firmly in the nonbeliever camp. The red flags are everywhere, and I'm just not convinced that he'll be able to hold his own at first base. Honestly, get excited for Peter Alonso. I'm probably the high guy on him for our team, but I've seen him a ton, and I think he's going to mash. Intelligent hitter, great pitch recognition, plus power to all fields. I'd bet on him over Smith pretty comfortably.
I covered a ton of the Florida State League this year, and Amed Rosario made suffering through the heat worth it whenever I saw him play. I know our fantasy staff has sung his praises enough to convince the masses of his potential, but he's really something to see in person. I think the upside here is regular All-Star, and anchor of the Mets infield. Also, if you haven't yet, go follow him on Twitter, he's great. (Will Haines) |
| 2016-08-11 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Whats your opinion on Amed Rosario? Top 10 prospect with at least 60 FV? (Gref from NY) | He's not in my personal top-10, but I'm not on the Prospect Team -- so I defer to them on this. I don't think he has impact-enough potential to be in the top-10. (J.P. Breen) |
| 2016-08-24 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Breakout years for Dom Smith and Amed Rosario. What does that mean for their prospect statuses and their MLB projections going forward? Thank you (Brooke from NJ) | That they'll be ranked higher next year? Smith still needs to add some power, and Rosario has only had six weeks of exposure to the high minors. There's a lot to like, especially with Rosario, but there's still a far amount of downside risk, too. Projections systems have long memories, but they've both moved the needle a little long-term this year, though. (Scooter Hotz) |
| 2016-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Big Yankee fan here. My friend who is a Mets fan is trying to tell me Amed Rosario is better and will be better in MLB than Gleyber Torres. Tell him that hes wrong please (Dan from Yankee Farm) | Eeeeeeesh. Just agree with your Metsfan friend to both be happy your respective New York team has a quality shortstop prospect in the pipeline. (Adam McInturff) |
| 2016-08-18 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How good is Amed Rosario? Can he be an impact regular/4+ WAR guy? (Greggy from NC) | Without question. His upside competes with any shortstop in the minor leagues right now not named Brendan Rodgers (Yes, JP Crawford is the best shortstop prospect, but that's mainly because his floor is just stupid high). Gotta give it time and there's some volatility here, but without question he has that in him. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2016-08-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How good is Amed Rosario? Top __ prospect this offseason, and at best, __ WAR per year player. (Riley from AZ) | 20 and 3. I think Rosario is the type of guy to have a four-win season and a one-win season back to back based on batted balls and defensive metric data, all while being roughly the same player. But I don't know anything. (Bryan Grosnick) |
| 2016-07-19 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Whats your take on this Amed Rosario craze? What kind of big-leaguer do you see him becoming? (Hunter from NY ) | He's good! The insane numbers at Double-A should come down soon (he's only 82 PAs into the level after all) but if it all clicks, he's a solid top-of-the-order guy with good defense up the middle. Probably a bit more valuable in real life than in your fantasy league, but we'll see. (Nicolas Stellini) |
| 2016-07-26 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario or Gleybar Torres- Fantasy wise? (Ben from Chicago) | Let me preface by saying I'm not a fantasy baseball person. But I'll say Torres. Rosario is in Double-A, and the age difference is just a year, but Rosario's still a lot of potential to me. The reports on Torres seem to favor him. I'll be seeing him in Tampa in a bit, so I'll have an even better idea then. (Jessica Quiroli) |
| 2016-07-26 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Tell me about what you saw from Amed Rosario, I want to know everything; he's my favorite prospect! What kind of MLB player do you think he'll become? (Adamah from NY) | Since I just answered a question about him, I'll continue my thoughts. What stood out in conversations about him is that he's being looked to as a leader, and he's embraced that. That's always a good sign. He's teachable. He wants to learn. I wasn't surprised he got promoted to Bing, and would assume he starts there for a full season in 2017. (Jessica Quiroli) |
| 2016-07-26 13:00:00 (link to chat) | I was hoping you could give some more insight into what you predict from Amed Rosario. Fair to think he can be a 4 WAR guy? (Adamah from NY) | Lots of good talk about Rosario today! haha I don't mind. I know Mets fans are super excited and hopeful about his development. He's emerging as a team leader, and he's working on pitch recognition. He's only 20, so he's got a ways to go and time to grow. I'd predict he's in Double-A to start 2017, but might depend on how he does in the final stretch of this season. (Jessica Quiroli) |
| 2016-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario! Tell me what your thoughts are!!! (Amed from Rosario) | Lot of Rosario questions in the queue: I'm always a little nervous of players whose offensive value is totally driven by their hit tool. It's the hardest tool to evaluate, and if it ends up a little light of expectations, it's hard for a player to recapture that "lost" value somewhere else. That said, I've heard good things, and he'll stick at shortstop. (Brendan Gawlowski) |
| 2016-06-20 16:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario. What's your take? Future first division starter? Where would he be on top prospect lists right now? (Artie from Pittsburgh ) | A lot of Amed Rosario questions in the queue, is he doing well or something? I joke.
I have not seen him or St. Lucie yet as the scheduling forced me to pick between Fort Myers in Lakeland, or St. Lucie in Tampa during the same week...I picked Fort Myers. Thomas Desmidt will have an eyewitness report up on him soon though! (Steve Givarz) |
| 2016-06-20 16:00:00 (link to chat) | Which mets prospects do you like and why? How many first division regulars? Thanks a ton, Steve (Greg from Ny) | I have not had a chance to see St. Lucie yet. I have been told that Amed Rosario is a GUY. I would talk to Thomas Desmidt for all mets related questions. (Steve Givarz) |
| 2016-06-07 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Amed Rosario's Potential? (Craig from NYC) | I guess Rosario could be this Summer's Robles? Gotten huge reports on him both internally here at BP and from scouts that have seen him. He is repeating (though still young for the level) and I do want to see how the approach holds up in Double-A, but the offensive tools seem to be catching up with the defensive ones. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-06-13 23:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Amed Rosario's potential? (Dan from nyc) | I just wrote about him in the MLU the other day, he's one of the best SS prospects in baseball at this point. The bat has really shown impressive progress in one of the worst offensive leagues in the minors, and the defensive projection hasn't changed from being very good. (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2016-06-27 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Amed Rosario going to be a fantasy stud? (Sam from Colorado) | Another popular name in the queue... Amed Rosario is not someone I've put eyes on yet but I asked around on him. Glove first guy who is going to stick at short with a bat that is a touch long at times and doesn't lead to much hard contact. I'm not a fantasy baseball expert but I wouldn't invest too much yet. (James Fisher) |
| 2016-06-09 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What kind of potential does Amed Rosario have? Stud? (Dan from NYC) | Yep. Stud. He's been really impressive in 2016. He gets overshadowed by some of the other shortstop prospects, but he really shouldn't. He's got as high as ceiling as any of them outside of Rodgers. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2016-06-16 21:00:00 (link to chat) | How good could Amed Rosario be in fantasy? I remember seeing "Poor Mans Addison Russell" (Keith Hernandez from Jerry Seinfeld's apartment ) | Has the upside to be a five-category contributor who slides easily into the top-10 at shortstop. Don't sleep on his bat. (Bret Sayre) |
| 2016-06-21 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario - a top fantasy stud? (Zack from NY) | I don't know if he'll ever be a top fantasy stud since that's a very high bar to clear, but he's showing real progress and looking very good so far this year. If I had him as a minor leaguer on a roto team, I'd be happy. (Scooter Hotz) |
| 2016-06-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you think of Amed Rosario? Top 30 prospect right now? (Alex from Georgia) | Several Rosario questions in the queue, so he's certainly a hot topic these days. I think there's a case to be made for that type of ranking, yes, for a player at a premium position who's hitting well in the pitcher-friendly FSL at the age of 20. I'll defer to our prospect team on just how high his ceiling is, though. (Daniel Rathman) |
| 2016-06-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Ronald Acuna or Amed Rosario for fantasy dynasty leagues? (PL from MA) | Rosario at this point, since he's a level ahead and plays shortstop, but Acuna has the tools and seems to have the strike-zone discipline to be a huge offensive contributor in time. (Daniel Rathman) |
| 2016-06-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Long term fantasy wise - JP Crawford or Amed Rosario? (Sam from ny) | Crawford for me. Big fan of what I've read on him, in spite of the slow first half at Triple-A. (Daniel Rathman) |
| 2016-05-16 23:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on the potential of Amed Rosario? (Tom from Nashville) | Thomas Desmidt wrote him up extensively in a Ten Pack a couple weeks ago. Jives with other reports I've got on him showing significant physical and offensive growth in the early season. Potential first-division true SS.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=29072 (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2016-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Hey Chris. What do you think of Amed Rosario? Looks great so far. Is he a guy who could skyrocket on top prospect kids by midseason? (Greg from NY) | A ton to like. Chance for an above-average hit tool, average power at the plate, and he can flat out pick it at shortstop with a cannon for an arm. There's a real chance he's a top 50 prospect right now, maybe higher. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2016-05-26 19:00:00 (link to chat) | What kind of player do you think Amed Rosario could be in a fantasy sense? (Walter Sobchak from LA) | He could be a poor man's Addison Russell in terms of his ceiling. Realistically, you're probably looking at a shortstop in the top half at his peak. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2016-05-24 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario potential? (JR from Boston) | Tremendous. Less than Addison Russell, but he has all the tools. (Jim Walsh) |
| 2016-05-23 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Right up your alley! Amed Rosario - should he be bumped up to AA, or think he should stick around the FSL for a while longer, since he's so young? More power in that stick to come? (mordecofe1 from NYC) | I'd love to see him get a shot at Double-A this year. He's played 41 games in FSL this year, but with a full season in the league last year, he could be ready for a bigger challenge. We never know until they get there! (Jessica Quiroli) |
| 2016-04-28 13:00:00 (link to chat) | I know that part of what was holding you back on Rosario was the fact he had yet to be particularly good offensively - does his hot start (especially in the power dept) make you feel more comfortable in his offensive potential or does it not matter all that much since he should really be in AA (or just sss for that matter)? (Kevin from NY) | A few Amed Rosario questions in the queue, so we will start there. The power is nice to see, and he has always had really quick wrists. He's added some mass to back it up now too. One caveat: He is repeating the level, and I know he's still one of the younger players in the league, but guys can figure out how to hit the type of pitching you see in A+ with a long enough look. Double-A will be the real test here, and it may start within a few weeks. I will add that I am a bit more comfortable with the 'breakout,' because it matches the already existant tool profile. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Are you a fan of Amed Rosario? What kind of ceiling does he have? (Lastings from Queens, NY) | I'm a fan, I guess. Not his number-one fan or anything. Ceiling? He could be Alcides Escobar. I really don't think he will be, but he could be. (Matthew Trueblood) |
| 2016-03-07 13:00:00 (link to chat) | As a fellow mets fan, what are your thoughts on Amed Rosario?
If you need another mets fan to chat about on the new BP Mets' site, let me know. (Silverback38 from VA) | I will not get my hopes up. I will not get my hopes up. I will not get my hopes up. (I hope he is peak Erick Aybar.) (Bryan Grosnick) |
| 2016-02-23 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Do you have any favorite Mets prospects?
(Arnold from Oregon) | Amed Rosario and Wuilmer Bucerra (Matthew Trueblood) |
| 2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat) | A little low for Amed Rosario, no? Also, I noticed no Gavin Cecchini. Little love for mets SS (Loren from Atlanta) | if you're asking if we think that we're low on the guy we ranked in a specific spot... the answer is going to be no. Rosario doesn't scream impact to me on offense, even if that upside is there. I get the desire to assume there's a ton more there given age and level, but I don't see that coming to fruition. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein) |
| 2015-08-12 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Who do you prefer long-term Amed Rosario or Ruddy Giron ? (Carl from Chicago) | Rosario. But a fairly substantial margin. Giron has really improved, but I just love Rosario's skillset. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-08-13 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on some of the most overrated fantasy prospects heading into next season? (Shawn from Richmond ) | As a general rule, the guys who are overrated as fantasy prospects are the ones for whom defense is a primary part his overall value and placement on general top 100 lists. I'm not high on Mondesi in fantasy. Amed Rosario fits that description. I'm terrified of Tim Anderson but the upside is immense. Tyler Kolek. I love Gelyber but think he'll probably end up overrated in fantasy because he won't bring power or speed. (Greg Wellemeyer) |
| 2015-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Hey Wilson. Are there any Low Minor players whose name is not yet widely recognized and you are looking to keep an eye on as the season concludes to possibly jump on for a name breakout next year? (kiper90 from Rochester, NY) | Leaving out the '15 draftees, Victor Robles is probably the biggest helium guy of the year. Our Mark Anderson just tossed three 7's onto his ledger, linked below. Javier Guerra and Amed Rosario are a couple interesting shortstops. And while another one, Jorge Mateo, has gotten a lot of attention for his wheels, Rockies A-ball CFer Wes Rogers is a dude with a similar skillset & more polished hit tool. Potential SB beast. Jomar Reyes is a fan favorite of our scouting team. Amaurys Minier & Lewin Diaz in the Twins system are also both interesting raw power bats. Arms you'll be hearing a lot more about include Anderson Espinoza, Franklyn Kilome, Michael Kopech (though he's suspended), and the now-in-High-A Francis Martes (whose CB is just disgusting). (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2015-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Yo, will Amed Rosario have any fantasy value or is he more glove than offense? Thank you (Matt from Portland) | Definitely more glove than bat. Jeff Moore raised some pretty significant concerns about his ability to make consistent hard contact in his looks earlier in the year. Should be an MLB regular thanks to a plus defensive profile though, and depending on the depth of your league that in and of itself gives him fantasy value as a shortstop. Report: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=223 (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How big is the gap between 19 year old Jose Reyes and 19 year old Amed Rosario? What chance does Rosario have at becoming as good as Reyes?
I always look for the daily updates and enjoy listening to the new pod, thanks. (chiefs1 from Jose Jose Jose) | Reyes is far ahead of where Rosario is right now. At 19, Reyes was finishing the season in Double-A and was in the big leagues by the next year. Rosario is in High-A ball but should really be in Low-A. That's not a knock on Rosario. I actually like him a lot. Reyes was just very advanced and has/had borderline HOF talent had he been able to stay healthy. (Jeff Moore) |
| 2015-04-06 20:15:00 (link to chat) | What do you think of Richard Urena going to full season ball. Do you think him and Gordon could be the best low-A short stops in the minors? (Mike from NY) | I don't have a firm read on Urena beyond that he's interesting and I plan on finding out more. I still think he's behind guys like Amed Rosario and Franklin Barreto, though Gordon definitely factors in quite highly, there. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2015-03-25 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Hey Jordan, who do you have as some of your favorite Low Minor, high ceiling prospects to keep an eye on for 2015, and are looking to jump on before their stock gains recognition this season, ex. Tapia last pre-season or Devers by its conclusion? (kiper90 from Rochester, NY) | Amed Rosario, Leonardo Molina, Jorge Mateo, Francisco Mejia, Lewis Brinson, Javier Guerra, and Monte Harrison are some names that jump out. (Jordan Gorosh) |
| 2015-03-06 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Hey Chris, who do you have as some of your favorite Low Minor, high ceiling prospects to keep an eye on for 2015, and are looking to hop on their train before their stock gains recognition this season, ex. Tapia last pre-season or Devers by its conclusion? (kiper90 from Rochester, NY) | Hmm, that's a good question. The first name that pops in my mind is Amed Rosario, but maybe he's a little too famous now to qualify. I'd have to think on that one and give you a better answer in the next chat. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-02-26 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Better offensive upside, Willy Adames or Amed Rosario? (RTrydel from Baltimore) | Adames, but both have less offensive potential than conventional wisdom suggest. (Bret Sayre) |
| 2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Peraza, Amed Rosario, Reynaldo Lopez, Steven Matz.. all things being equal, which one player is not least likely kept in a dynasty league? (Ron from Texarkana) | Some double negatives there... I think Matz is the present value/upper minors guy and he has the highest value. Lopez a huge helium arm and Rosario has a chance to be a real premium guy. Pereza is a decent real life player, but 2B prospects... meh. Speed first profile and a lot of questions at the plate. Is his profile (particularly in fantasy) a whole lot different than say... Micah Johnson? (Al Skorupa) |
| 2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat) | What prospect is going to have the biggest explosion up the prospect boards this year: Matt Olsen, Amed Rosario, Rafael Devers, or some other prospect altogether?
(Slick Rick from The Ruler) | Olson just left the Cal League so if anything, his status will probably take a hit when he posts more pedestrian numbers in Double-A. I think Devers has a chance to near top-50 status if he really rakes in the low minors, and at this point there's not much reason to think he won't. (Ben Carsley) |
| 2015-01-15 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Which low a prospect do you believe will make the most impact: Franchy Cordero, Amed Rosario, Rafael Devers, other of your choice? (Rich from Maryland) | As much as I may drive the Amed Rosario bandwagon, I'll go with Devers here. His offensive tools are more developed and I think he could be primed for a larger breakout in 2015. (Mark Anderson) |
| 2015-01-15 18:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Ozhaino Albies? Is he a better long-term SS prospect than, say, Amed Rosario or Raul Mondesi? (Two74 from Florida) | Intriguing set of tools, but also an incredibly long ways off. Mondesi is light years ahead of Albies as a long-term shortstop prospect, and as a resident believer in Rosario, I'm not inclined to put Albies in his class either. (Mark Anderson) |
| 2014-12-16 19:00:00 (link to chat) | What are scouts saying about Amed Rosario? (Cliff from NY) | Some highlights: strong potential to stick at shortstop; athletic actions; good instincts for the game; quick hands; ability to grow into some power; raw present defensive fundamentals; swing can get a little long and loose; high upside. (Top 10s Chat With Chris Mellen) |
| 2015-01-05 15:00:00 (link to chat) | In the 2nd Tier of SS prospects, who do you see having a better chance at becoming an above average offensive player between JP Crawford, Amed Rosario, and Tim Anderson? (Tim from Columbia) | Crawford is the best offensive player of the bunch. Rosario is miles away from the big leagues and Anderson has some serious hurdles to overcome, as discussed above. Crawford is much more refined for his age and has fewer obstacles between him and the majors. (Jeff Moore) |
| 2015-02-09 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Mondesi or Amed Rosario ? (Francisco from Atlanta) | Mondesi for me. (Top 101 Chat) |
| 2015-02-09 20:00:00 (link to chat) | What would you like to see Amed Rosario work on most this year? What is the most impressive part of his game? Biggest weakness? (Harvey from Queens) | Toning things down at the plate. Or, at least showing that he's starting to make strides in that department during his full-season assignment. Rosario's feel for the game at a young age is probably the most impressive part. That's what leads me to believe he's going to learn how to slow things down on both sides of the ball. Biggest weakness would be the aforementioned aggressiveness and immature pitch recognition.
For what it is worth, one front office type (outside the org) I spoke to when putting the Mets Top 10 together expressed his thoughts that Rosario is the talent with the most upside in the system. (Top 101 Chat) |
| 2014-12-11 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Thanks Mark for taking questions today. Is Amed Rosario a future top 50/more prospects. I've been following him for a couple seasons but am not sure what insiders feel about him. Do you see his bat playing at the major league level? (Mark from Canton) | I'm love Rosario. I saw him for 5-6 games in 2014 and I'm a big believe in his long term projection. I think the defensive profile stays on the left side with a strong chance of remaining at shortstop, and the offensive profile could be highly impressive. There's a chance he could hit for a high average, drive the ball with authority, and possibly develop legitimate over the fence power. He's a very real candidate to vault himself into Top 50 (or more) consideration, but that may have to wait for another 12 months or so. (Mark Anderson) |
| 2014-12-11 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Better offensive profile, Jorge Mateo or Amed Rosario? (fred from here) | As I said in a prior question, Rosario's my boy. I really like the profile, even though he needs to refine the approach. (Mark Anderson) |
| 2014-11-04 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Last year at this time, the hype was about Cleveland's Francisco Mejia. Who is gonna be that guy this offseason? (Jeff from St. Pete) | He's been talked about more than Mejia had at this same stage last year, but give me Amed Rosario....I'm a huge fan and think he's ready to take off. (Mark Anderson) |
| 2014-09-03 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Jorge Mateo or Amed Rosario on ceiling? (tjco1006 from Up n In Rehab Center) | Mateo is still very raw. Rosario could play full season ball right now, no problem. I'm going to go with him, although Mateo has game changing speed and is one of the Yankees top 5 prospects. (Jordan Gorosh) |
| 2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Best SS prospect in 2016? (Mitch from ATL) | if I wanted to get risky I might say Amed Rosario. Safe answer is JP Crawford. (real life answers, not fantasy) (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat) | I know you recently saw Marcos Molina and Amed Rosario playing for the Brooklyn Cyclones. Are those two guys you see ending up in the top 5 of the Mets prospect list by season's end? And would you say both have star potential at the major league level? (Calvin from Bronx) | I missed Molina, but I stay updated on his work. Both should be in the mix for the Mets top 5. Very strong system. I wouldn't say either player has star potential. I think they have major league potential with a chance for an impact future. Stars are rare. (Jason Parks on the Top 50) |
| 2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario or Franklin Barreto? (SK from Boston) | Rosario. He's going to stick at SS, whereas Barreto is a CF long term. I like both guys quite a bit, but the early reports on Rosario are excellent. (Jordan Gorosh) |
| 2014-06-16 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario future star in your eyes ? (Cianna from New York) | It's far too early to say future star for a guy who is just in short-season ball, but I saw him in spring training and like the package. He moves well for a tall shortstop and i liked the swing in BP. Lets see how the hit tool plays in games though before we start anointing him. (Jeff Moore) |
| 2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat) | Amed Rosario was getting a lot of press as an up and comer in the offseason. Any chance to see him lately? Thoughts on his ceiling? (Greg from Omaha, NE) | He's in ext ST; will play in the NYPL for Brooklyn, where I will stalk the shit out of him. (Jason Parks) |
| 2014-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Have you seen Amed Rosario yet? Anything to the early hype? (Silverback38 from VA) | I've not seen him live at this point, but everything I've heard from scouts suggests the hype is very real. He has the potential for above-average goals across the board at a premium position. If he begins to put his tools together at all this year, he's going to be flying up prospect lists. (Mark Anderson) |
| 2014-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Where would Amed Rosario and Marcos Molina go in the Rule 4 draft if elligible? (Al Harrington from Bucketsville NC) | Both would be 1st rounders and in the conversation among the better high school players in the country. I saw Rosario a few weeks ago and loved him. He's going to stick at shortstop and put together a mature round of BP. Looking forward to seeing him in some game action. (Jeff Moore) |
| 2014-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Name a few of the higher ceiling prospects just outside the top 101. (Uncle Jessie from Hazzard County) | Just to name a few: Jose Martinez, Francisco Mejia, Edwin Diaz, Jefry Rodriguez, Amed Rosario, Mauricio Cabrera
Catch a theme here? (Jason Parks on the Completed Prospect Rankings) |
| 2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat) | I'll go ahead and apologize for the blatant fantasy question, but in a medium-deep keeper league looking for lottery tickets, which one of Gabriel Guerrero, Manuel Margot, Franklin Barreto, Amed Rosario, and Ronald Guzman would you want? (Rob from Alaska) | You can't really go wrong with any of them if you're looking for lottery tickets. I've been particularly impressed with the reports on Rosario, but my eyes tell me Margot might be the guy I'd put my money on. (Mark Anderson) |
| 2013-09-27 13:00:00 (link to chat) | BA ranked Amed Rosario as the #1 prospect in the Appy League. What have you heard about Rosario? (izzy2112 from New York) | There were some strong reviews from international scouts heading into the year and everything I heard from scouts covering the Appy League this year was positive. He is a very talented kid with a decent chance to stick up the middle and impact offensive potential. He is still extremely raw and comes with a massive risk profile, but Mets fans have every reason to be excited. (Mark Anderson) |
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