Biographical

Portrait of Joc Pederson

Joc Pederson PHDodgers

Dodgers Player Cards | Dodgers Team Audit | Dodgers Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 27)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
2 .000 0 1 0 0 108 0.0
Birth Date4-21-1992
Height6' 1"
Weight220 lbs
Age27 years, 6 months, 1 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
0.32015
1.92016
-0.12017
1.92018
0.02019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2014 LAN 22 18 38 4 0 0 0 9 11 0 0 0 .143 .351 .143 79 -0.9 -0.4 0.5 0.0
2015 LAN 23 151 585 101 19 1 26 92 170 9 4 7 .210 .346 .417 108 7.4 0.3 -22.1 0.3
2016 LAN 24 137 476 100 26 0 25 63 130 4 6 2 .246 .352 .495 115 9.4 -3.6 -2.2 1.9
2017 LAN 25 102 323 58 20 0 11 39 68 10 4 3 .212 .331 .407 89 -3.3 1.8 -9.5 -0.1
2018 LAN 26 148 443 98 27 3 25 40 85 4 1 5 .248 .321 .522 118 10.8 0.9 -3.7 1.9
2019 LAN 27 149 514 112 16 3 36 50 111 12 1 1 .249 .339 .538 123 17.8 2.6 -0.6 3.0
Career70523794731087123293575391618.233.339.47411141.11.5-37.67.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2010 DGR Rk 3 12 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 GRL A MID 16 60 .242 .325 .361 .195 94 -5.7 1.7 -0.4 62 0 4.4 0.0 -3.2 0.3
2011 OGD Rk PIO 68 310 .285 .350 .450 .403 113 22.6 9.7 -2.7 149 0 -0.9 -0.2 8.8 1.4
2012 RCU A+ CAL 110 499 .273 .336 .429 .350 101 28.3 13.3 -0.2 143 0 -3.1 5.7 24.7 4.0
2012 ISR int WBQ 3 15 .000 .000 .000 .444 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 MSS Wnt AFL 15 56 .000 .000 .000 .089 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 CHT AA SOU 123 519 .242 .316 .363 .327 103 25.9 14.1 0.5 131 0 2.5 3.9 9.3 3.3
2014 LAN MLB NL 18 38 .259 .330 .418 .235 96 -1.8 1.0 0 79 13 0.5 -0.4 -0.9 0.0
2014 ABQ AAA PCL 121 553 .282 .348 .448 .385 105 44.1 16.6 0.1 147 0 0.2 3.7 24.7 4.5
2015 LAN MLB NL 151 585 .258 .321 .415 .262 91 17.8 15.8 1.4 108 9 -22.1 0.3 7.4 0.3
2016 LAN MLB NL 137 476 .255 .322 .414 .296 90 25.9 13.5 1.2 115 8 -2.2 -3.6 9.4 1.9
2016 OKL AAA PCL 3 12 .293 .369 .450 .714 112 2.4 0.3 0 194 0 -0.3 -0.2 1.0 0.1
2017 LAN MLB NL 102 323 .257 .329 .428 .241 93 1.8 9.4 0.7 89 9 -9.5 1.8 -3.3 -0.1
2017 RCU A+ CAL 3 10 .247 .311 .378 .250 97 -0.2 0.3 0 107 0 -0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0
2017 OKL AAA PCL 17 71 .276 .340 .432 .163 109 -5.3 2.1 -0.5 45 0 4.5 -0.2 -4.6 0.1
2018 LAN MLB NL 148 443 .246 .316 .405 .253 97 15.4 12.5 -1.9 118 8 -3.7 0.9 10.8 1.9
2019 LAN MLB NL 149 514 .253 .322 .437 .249 97 24.2 15.5 -5 123 6 -0.6 2.6 17.8 3.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2010 DGR Rk 12 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 0 0 .000 .417 .000 .000 0 0
2011 GRL A MID 60 50 4 8 0 0 0 8 1 7 9 2 0 .160 .288 .160 .000 0 1
2011 OGD Rk PIO 310 266 54 94 20 2 11 151 64 36 54 24 5 .353 .429 .568 .214 5 0
2012 RCU A+ CAL 499 434 96 136 26 4 18 224 70 51 81 26 14 .313 .396 .516 .203 2 2
2012 ISR int WBQ 15 13 3 4 0 0 0 4 0 2 4 3 0 .308 .400 .308 .000 0 0
2012 MSS Wnt AFL 56 52 4 5 0 0 1 8 6 3 6 3 1 .096 .161 .154 .058 0 0
2013 CHT AA SOU 519 439 81 122 24 3 22 218 58 70 114 31 8 .278 .381 .497 .219 3 2
2014 ABQ AAA PCL 553 445 106 135 17 4 33 259 78 100 149 30 13 .303 .435 .582 .279 2
2014 LAN MLB NL 38 28 1 4 0 0 0 4 0 9 11 0 0 .143 .351 .143 .000 0
2015 LAN MLB NL 585 480 67 101 19 1 26 200 54 92 170 4 7 .210 .346 .417 .206 2 2
2016 OKL AAA PCL 12 8 1 5 0 0 0 5 0 4 1 0 0 .625 .750 .625 .000 0 0
2016 LAN MLB NL 476 406 64 100 26 0 25 201 68 63 130 6 2 .246 .352 .495 .249 2 1
2017 RCU A+ CAL 10 7 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 0 0 .143 .400 .143 .000 0 0
2017 OKL AAA PCL 71 65 8 11 1 0 3 21 9 5 14 1 0 .169 .225 .323 .154 1 0
2017 LAN MLB NL 323 273 44 58 20 0 11 111 35 39 68 4 3 .212 .331 .407 .194 1 0
2018 LAN MLB NL 443 395 65 98 27 3 25 206 56 40 85 1 5 .248 .321 .522 .273 3 1
2019 LAN MLB NL 514 450 83 112 16 3 36 242 74 50 111 1 1 .249 .339 .538 .289 2 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2014 167 0.4251 0.3473 0.6897 0.5211 0.2188 0.8108 0.4762 0.3103 -0.0012
2015 2424 0.4365 0.4245 0.6385 0.6134 0.2782 0.7242 0.4921 0.3615 -0.0046
2016 1978 0.4479 0.4105 0.7303 0.5790 0.2738 0.8031 0.6054 0.2697 0.0000
2017 1358 0.4359 0.4300 0.7603 0.6419 0.2663 0.8132 0.6618 0.2397 0.0000
2018 1806 0.4668 0.4563 0.7451 0.6109 0.3209 0.8039 0.6472 0.2549 0.0000
2019 2028 0.4679 0.4566 0.7570 0.6586 0.2790 0.8288 0.6080 0.2430 0.0000
Career97610.45070.43370.71930.61770.28270.79050.59120.2807-0.0012

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-25 2014-07-09 Minors 14 0 Right Shoulder Inflammation -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 LAN $5,000,000
2018 LAN $2,600,000
2017 LAN $555,000
2016 LAN $520,000
2015 LAN $510,000
2014 LAN $
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$4,185,000
2019Current$5,000,000
5 yrPvs + Cur$9,185,000
5 yrTotal$9,185,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 y 28 dExcel Sports1 year/$5M (2019)

Details
  • 1 year/$5M (2019). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 1/11/18 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$2.6M (2018). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 1/12/18 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.555M (2017). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/17.
  • 1 year/$0.52M (2016). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/16.
  • 1 year/$0.51M (2015). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by LA Dodgers 9/1/14.
  • Drafted by LA Dodgers 2010 (11-352) (Palo Alto HS, Calif.). $0.6M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 43 10 2 0 2 5 9 0 0 .270 .372 .486 124 2.7 LF 0, RF 0 0.0
80o 29 6 1 0 1 3 6 0 0 .240 .345 .400 118 1.6 LF 0, RF 0 0.0
70o 19 4 1 0 1 2 4 0 0 .250 .333 .500 114 0.9 LF 0, RF 0 0.0
60o 10 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 .111 .200 .111 111 0.4 LF 0, RF 0 0.0
50o 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 108 0.1 LF 0, RF 0 0.0
Weighted Mean300000100.000.000.0001080.1LF 0, RF 00.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG DRC+ WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
202028508671052512168511134.236.324.4381071.817.6-0.3-0.513.15.4-1.3
202129488661022322168491093.239.326.4501112.019.6-0.2-0.612.57.8-1.2
20223047063962211963471062.236.324.4371071.716.4-0.1-0.712.15.1-1.2
20233145460912111859491031.232.326.4271061.514.7-0.0-0.811.73.8-1.1
20243246962942111961471071.230.319.4251031.313.40.1-0.912.12.1-1.2
2025334085281191155240930.227.314.414990.99.70.3-0.910.5-0.2-1.0
2026343584771161144736810.229.317.4241031.010.00.2-0.99.21.5-0.9
2027353274266151134232760.228.315.4191010.88.00.2-0.98.40.3-0.8
2028362853757131113729660.227.317.4191010.77.10.2-0.87.30.4-0.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 74)

Rank Score Name Year DRC+ Trend
1 86 Carlos Quentin 2010 117
2 83 Alex Gordon 2011 133
3 81 Nick Swisher 2008 103
4 79 Chris Duncan 2008 81
5 79 Carlos Gonzalez 2013 135
6 79 Khris Davis 2015 119
7 78 Justin Upton 2015 118
8 78 J.D. Martinez 2015 140
9 77 Matt Joyce 2012 113
10 77 Corey Dickerson 2016 101
11 77 Barry Bonds 1992 190
12 77 Jake Lamb 2018 80
13 76 Stephen Piscotty 2018 120
14 76 Justin Morneau 2008 127
15 76 Brandon Belt 2015 116
16 76 Lucas Duda 2013 112
17 76 Chris Iannetta 2010 99
18 75 Mark Trumbo 2013 108
19 75 Austin Kearns 2007 106
20 75 Jason Bay 2006 135
21 75 John Milner 1977 111
22 75 Domonic Brown 2015 82
23 75 Joey Votto 2011 150
24 75 Ike Davis 2014 101
25 75 Gary Roenicke 1982 140
26 75 George Springer 2017 130
27 74 Nick Johnson 2006 140
28 74 Grady Sizemore 2010 63
29 74 Derek Dietrich 2017 96
30 74 Adrian Gonzalez 2009 152
31 74 Bobby Higginson 1998 114
32 74 Hee-Seop Choi 2006 0 DNP
33 74 Yasmani Grandal 2016 115
34 74 Shin-Soo Choo 2010 134
35 74 Jay Bruce 2014 84
36 74 Steve Kemp 1982 128
37 74 Leon Wagner 1961 115
38 73 Marcell Ozuna 2018 109
39 73 Don Baylor 1976 112
40 73 Billy Williams 1965 148
41 73 Josh Hamilton 2008 129
42 73 Brennan Boesch 2012 79
43 73 Matt Holliday 2007 143
44 73 Roger Maris 1962 114
45 73 John Bowker 2011 54
46 73 Willie McCovey 1965 139
47 73 Carlos Santana 2013 123
48 73 Alex Avila 2014 89
49 72 Kal Daniels 1991 104
50 72 Chris Shelton 2007 0 DNP
51 72 Matt LaPorta 2012 76
52 72 Yoenis Cespedes 2013 111
53 72 Chris Young 2011 103
54 72 Anthony Rizzo 2017 126
55 72 Mark Teixeira 2007 141
56 72 Mitchell Page 1979 88
57 72 Dexter Fowler 2013 104
58 72 Seth Smith 2010 106
59 72 Jackie Bradley 2017 96
60 72 Kole Calhoun 2015 106
61 72 David Justice 1993 136
62 72 Freddie Freeman 2017 145
63 72 Chase Utley 2006 120
64 72 Gary Matthews 1978 123
65 72 Gary Sheffield 1996 182
66 72 Logan Morrison 2015 99
67 72 Jim Russell 1946 99
68 71 Chase Headley 2011 101
69 71 Justin Smoak 2014 86
70 71 Lance Berkman 2003 135
71 71 Bobby Abreu 2001 136
72 71 Jason Kipnis 2014 88
73 71 Adam Lind 2011 109
74 71 Ryan Doumit 2008 117
75 71 Rico Carty 1967 115
76 71 Evan Longoria 2013 134
77 71 Ryan Klesko 1998 116
78 71 Phil Plantier 1996 76
79 71 Jeremy Hermida 2011 67
80 71 Curtis Granderson 2008 122
81 71 Pat Burrell 2004 117
82 71 Chris Heisey 2012 86
83 71 Johnny Rizzo 1940 118
84 71 Brian Giles 1998 119
85 71 Jeff Bagwell 1995 142
86 71 Travis d'Arnaud 2016 80
87 70 Jack Clark 1983 120
88 70 Mitch Moreland 2013 104
89 70 Jeff Burroughs 1978 153
90 70 Andre Ethier 2009 126
91 70 Ian Stewart 2012 72
92 70 Edwin Encarnacion 2010 116
93 70 Mitch Haniger 2018 129
94 70 Jason Kubel 2009 130
95 70 Andrew McCutchen 2014 157
96 70 Butch Nieman 1945 96
97 70 Darrell Evans 1974 132
98 70 Wil Myers 2018 91
99 70 Devin Mesoraco 2015 79
100 70 Don Mincher 1965 130

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 Pederson continued to evolve as a hitter in 2017, and his season reminds us that evolution can often be as messy as the middle finger of an aye-aye lemur. After flashing glimpses of a Trot Nixonian palate of skills in 2016, Pederson failed to progress at the dish. He cratered in August, precipitating an embarrassing demotion to the minors in August. After responding poorly in a 17-game run at Oklahoma City, he backed his way into the postseason mix despite a similarly uninspiring September. One thing led to another, and suddenly he was manning the strong side of a left-field platoon deep in October. Naturally, he took full advantage with a 1.344 OPS across 20 trips to the World Series dish. That big-stage breakout should have his confidence riding high into 2018, though he still can't hit lefties and it remains to be seen whether he can lay off equally confident high ones he'll see again aplenty from the righties.
2017 Yung Joc has been damn near everything throughout his brief career. 11th-round draft pick. Overslot signee. Sum-of-his-tools grinder. Flashy top prospect. 30/30 man at Triple-A. Rookie of the Year front-runner. Second-half flameout. All of that gets us to 2016 and his age-24 season. Pederson was more Jekyll than Hyde, registering the second-best TAv on the team thanks in part to a .260/.380/.520 slash line in the second half that proved he won't be a perennial fader. While several steps forward were taken, its worth noting that Pederson continues to flail against southpaws, recording a paltry .469 OPS against them this season. His defense improved, to where an everyday role is within reach if he can be merely bad against lefties. He's addressed many of the questions scouts had on him as a prospect, but one aspect of his game has all but left as his baserunning notes now read: CF don't run.
2016 If you enjoyed Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde, you'll love the sequel, Joc Pederson's 2015 Season. Pederson hit .230/.364/.487 with 20 homers in the first half, earning a spot on the All-Star team and finishing second in the Home Run Derby. But in the second half Pederson was astonishingly bad, posting a .178/.317/.300 line and suffering a .232 BABIP despite doing little to change his approach. He lost regular playing time to Enrique Hernandez, barely played at all against southpaws and received just eight plate appearances in the postseason. At the very least, Pederson appears a safe bet to be a Colby Rasmus-type player, but with even more power and much better hair. If you're an optimist, you still see a potential star who usually passes the eye test in center (metrics disagree) and is dominant enough against right-handers to make his deficiencies well worth bearing. He'll be 24 this year, so it's reasonable to hope Dr. Jocyll's ugly transformation is only temporary.
2015 Pederson opened eyes in spring training when he hit three home runs in 38 at-bats, but his Triple-A destiny was written by the realities of the Dodgers' outfield depth chart. In Albuquerque, he posted historic numbers and was named Pacific Coast League MVP: He was the first 30/30 player in 80 years. His strikeout rate was too high, but his overall skill set does not point to a likely flameout through excessive whiffage in the majors. That's especially true because he can play center field, where the offensive standards aren't anywhere near as high as in left, home to every lumbering dinosaur unlucky enough to be blocked at first base by some even more lumbering dinosaur.
2014 In May, the Dodgers held internal discussions about which promising Double-A outfielder with prospect cred and big numbers to call up to the big club. Ultimately, they went not with Pederson but with Puig, and an L.A. Story was written. Pederson's story will come soon enough: A big-bonus 11th-round pick in the 2010 draft, Pederson has exceeded expectations throughout his pro career. He's got a groovy five-tool blend, though there's a little bit of a flaw in every plan for him: The raw speed is a little light for center field, the pure arm strength doesn't quite stand up to right field and the offensive demands on left fielders create a perpetual barrier for entry. But Pederson's power is developing into a weapon, and his bat will force the issue soon—though it might be in a trade rather than a promotion to Chavez Ravine. Pederson's scouting reports are stamped with the word “grinder” at the top of every page, with implications of a high baseball IQ and the effort to succeed beyond his tools.
2013 Pederson, who got second-round money after being drafted in the 11th round in 2010, emerged as the Dodgers' top positional prospect in 2012, putting up strong numbers at a young age in a hitter-friendly league, and demonstrating a high baseball IQ and serious #want to go with his tools and skills. All five tools have the potential to be average or better. He has a compact stroke with legitimate power, and an advanced, grind-it-out approach at the plate. While he can handle center, he profiles better as a left fielder because of the limitations of his speed and arm. The total package translates into a player with a chance to be an above-average regular or better, though finding an opening in the Dodgers outfield will be another matter. He'll move up to Double-A in 2013.
2012 Joc Pederson barrels up the ball consistently, and while his tools aren't star level, they're at least average across the board.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Joc Pederson

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2019-08-08 15:00:00 (link to chat)Aquino right handed Joc Pederson?
(dgalloway15fish from Da Moon)
I don't hate the comp. Jeff thinks he won't be that good. I have always liked the tools and this ball might allow him to raw-strength enough over the fence to justify his other deficiencies. Plus he changed his swing and as we all know, that's foolproof. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-05-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Craig: thanks for these chats. I'm in a 16 team 12 kpr. pts. league (very little deductions for Ks by a batter). We have a shallow bench and Didi will be coming off the IL soon. My team has done surprisingly well. If I had to drop a prospect to add another batter to keep winning, which one would you choose? Pache, J.Sanchez or V. Brujan? I'll be keeping Hiura and Kieboom, b/c 2B is a weakness. My only decent OFs are Hicks, Robles and Joc Pederson. My IF is solid with C. Seager, Chapman, Olson, Alonso and Voit. Thanks!
(balticwolf from Bethesda MD)
Probably Brujan given it is a points league and the speed is less meaningful. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-02-04 16:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Mike: I'm in a keeper points league where deductions for K's for hitters are minimal (-.25). I've gotten a lot of offers for Corey Seager. One of them involves W. Franco and J. Upton and a move up in the 4th rd. of the draft. 16 teams, 12 kprs. Should I stay put? My current OFs are: D. Peralta, A. Hicks, R. Laureano and Joc Pederson. (One of them goes back into the draft pool.) My prospect bench also had C. Kieboom, but it doesn't look like he'll play SS if and when he's called up. My other four kpr prospects are T. Trammell, Riley, P. Alonso and Hiura. Thanks for your time!
(balticwolf from Bethesda, MD)
I think I'd take that deal, although I don't know how deep your reserves/minors are and who you're runnin out there at SS/MI if you move Seager. (Mike Gianella)
2017-02-13 20:00:00 (link to chat)What's considered a peak year for Joc Pederson? Has he earned the right to avoid being platooned?
(Punchoutpappy from First in Flight)
A career year for Pederson would probably be around .280/.380/.550. Not sure if there's such a thing as a right to avoid being platooned. We'll have to take that to the Supreme Court. I'm usually in favor of letting young guys like Pederson play against everybody since they won't develop the ability to hit same-handed pitching if they never face it. That said, it's hard for a contending team like the Dodgers to sacrifice wins by playing a guy with severe current platoon splits when they have platoon options. It's a pickle.

Thanks, everybody. This was fun. Apologies if I didn't get to your question. It wasn't personal, and at 2+ hours, I think it's fair to say I put in the effort. (Scooter Hotz)
2016-12-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Kenny, I was curious about your thoughts on Joc Pederson. I know you've been a bit pessimistic about his swing before, but you can't argue with results, right?
(Chris from LA)
I don't like his swing either, it seems like he's trying to be Justin Turner in his approach, to negative results. Last year proved something to me though, I'm willing to take that as a sign that he might be trending in the right direction. He worked his tail off and learned how to make contact. (Kenny Ducey)
2016-12-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Kenny, I was curious about your thoughts on Joc Pederson. I know you've been a bit pessimistic about his swing before, but you can't argue with results, right?
(Chris from LA)
I don't like his swing either, it seems like he's trying to be Justin Turner in his approach, to negative results. Last year proved something to me though, I'm willing to take that as a sign that he might be trending in the right direction. He worked his tail off and learned how to make contact. (Kenny Ducey)
2016-11-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Bradley Zimmer could do a decent Joc Pederson impression (lots of walks, Ks, low average with solid speed/power in a platoon role)? Is that aiming high or low? Thanks in advance!
(Juan from Ohio)
I think you would want higher, but that's not a bad outcome at this point. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-08-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joey Gallo or Joc Pederson for 2017 and beyond? Why?
(Jay from Texas)
Joc has cut his Ks to a perfectly reasonable level given his pop, and can play a solid CF. That gives him two very big legs up over Gallo, who I totally get the appeal of, but would scare the crap out of me as a Fantasy or real-life GM. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-06-21 20:00:00 (link to chat)Does Adam Duvall fall of a cliff Joc Pederson style after the all-star break? Or can he sustain the power?
(Alex from Austin)
If by "sustain the power" you mean keep hitting home runs at the pace he has so far this year, then no, I don't think he'll sustain the power since that would put him at 45-50 HR for the season. That said, I think he's good and he's here to stay. The power will fall back to earth a little bit and the average could take a bigger fall, but that's a long way from cratering like Joc Pederson did last year. He won't fall off that badly in AVG or HR. He probably won't contend for MVP, though, which he would if he sustained this HR pace. (Scooter Hotz)
2016-05-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Joc Pederson going to be a platoon hitter for the next few years? His splits against lefties are terrible but he is oh so good against righties, makes him hard to own in a fantasy league right?
(Craig from LA)
The cool thing about the lefty-hitting side of a platoon is that they get more PA's, which makes him more viable in a fantasy league. If you're in a league that sets a lineup every day instead of once per week, even better. In terms of his future, it might be too early to say, but the splits are indeed not ideal. (Nicolas Stellini)
2016-03-14 14:30:00 (link to chat)Do you see Joc Pederson turning it around? Or is the best we can hope for something in between his two halves.
(Tony from Boston)
I've heard he re-worked his swing a little bit in an effort to make more contact, but realistically, the overall product is probably somewhere between the two extremes. Still has some value even when he's in a rut though. (Brendan Gawlowski)
2016-02-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)How do you view Joc Pederson in fantasy terms where OBP replaces AVG? Does he hit enough to stay in the lineup and become an OBP 5 category monster?
(Jason from Florida)
New manager, clean slate? Yeah, probably. Peterson's struggles in the second half were WEIRD. The outfield picture out there is so crowded, hard to count on his playing time, but I think he's more Good Joc than Bad Joc. (Matthew Trueblood)
2016-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joc Pederson has come to spring training supposedly with a new swing he's worked on in the offseason, a la Mike Moustakas. He says he's worked on better contact and spraying the ball to all fields and not concerned with hitting HR's. How much of this spring training talk do you buy into? Does it take a couple of years to really adjust your swing?
(DavidMGibson from Home of the BC Manatees)
The "new swing" isn't quite the "best shape of my life" in terms of making me roll my eyes, but it's close. That being said, it's nice to hear, and if Pederson can make more contact/trust the natural strength, it will help the hit tool immensely. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-01-21 19:00:00 (link to chat)If we're just talking about hitting profiles, are Joc Pederson and Domingo Santana close to the same guy?
(holmesp2001 from St Louis)
Yikes. The strange thing about Pederson is that he didn't run at all really last year. I'm not putting those two in the same category, it's way too early to write off Pederson. (George Bissell)
2016-01-14 20:00:00 (link to chat)At what point is Sonny Gray traded? Is the return for Miller a reasonable expectation for the A's, or will they get even more? Some package around Joc Pederson and Jose De Leon should be enticing.
(Slinkey1998 from California)
Gray likely gets moved this July. They should get more than that although trying to guess what the market is going to look like months from now is a fool's errrand. (Mike Gianella)
2015-12-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)If you could only choose one, who do you choose among Odubel Herrera, Joc Pederson and Delino Deshields and why?
(Pete from Vancouver)
Pederson. Yes, he was dreadful at the end of 2015, but this is still a guy who can get on base, play okay defense in center and hit for power/steal bases. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-11-05 12:00:00 (link to chat)You are starting a team tomorrow and have your choice among three CFs. Please rank them in order of preference: Delino Deshields, Joc Pederson and Odubal Herrera
(David from Winnipeg)
This one tough for me, because each guy is a rational choice. I think I'd go with Herrera, then Joc, then Delino Deshields, Jr. I fully expected to just pick Joc because his upside is a bit higher, but it's a long swing and that concerns me. It's kind of a toss up for me there.

Delino, I like the profile, but he just doesn't excite me. He probably has the highest floor of the three though. (Jeff Long)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)I know no likes to give out comps, but is there one that sticks out for Alex Verdugo? He appears to be figuring things out, and I was curious to what potential his tools may have. Thanks
(ike from o)
The Joc Pederson comp is the one that has been rolled out there, and if the development continues apace, that makes sense. (Mike Gianella)
2015-07-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Will Joc Pederson continue to slide or will he bounce back to what he was earlier in the season?
(Graham from Richmond, VA)
Joc is what he is. Not to go all Belichick on you there, but he's going to walk, he will hit home runs and he will strikeout. I'm shocked he hasn't stolen more bases to be honest. About two weeks ago on the TINO podcast there was an outstanding (and long) discussion about Pederson, highly recommend it. (George Bissell)
2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat)Speaking of Joc Pederson, why is not enough made of the fact that his brothers are named Champ and Tyger?
(Scott Van Slyke from LA)
Joc Champ and Tyger. That's a helluva family. Couple of more in here. (Mauricio Rubio)
2015-05-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which has more upside to build a team around Joc Pederson or George Springer. OB1
(OB1 from Tampa)
Oh boy this is a good question. I go with Springer because I think there's more pop in the bat, but all Pederson does is get better. They're both fantastic and you should love them equally and thank them for being in your life. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-05-05 15:00:00 (link to chat)If Joc Pederson is a Danny Trejo movie, then which Danny Trejo movie is he? Also Nsync or Backstreet Boys?
(Jaguar from Jacksonville)
You probably didn't think I was going to say this, but Joc Pederson is Spy Kids. What did you think I was going to say Machete? Get outta here.

Also, backstreet boys. Killed it in This is the end. (Nick Shlain)
2015-03-12 15:00:00 (link to chat)I need reassurance. 12 team, 5 x 5, OBP, $330 budget. I traded Joc Pederson, $4, & A. Almora, $4, for F. Freeman, $16, & R. Stephenson $4. I gutted the team last year for prospects, so I need everything. Good, Bad, or Ugly?
(kbs from Key Largo)
Good, although dynasty/dollar valuation is not my forte. I'm rather low on Almora (to plug it again, Jeff Moore and I have an article on why, out tomorrow). (Andrew Koo)
2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who has a better 2015? Joc Pederson or Jose Soler?
(chaneyhey from St. Louis)
Better 2015? Pederson. Better career? Mmm... probably Soler, but close.

If you mean for your fantasy team, it's hard to say who will get the opportunity. (Al Skorupa)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)George Springer or Joc Pederson. Is it close?
(Joe from LA)
What's interesting about Springer is that people don't realize he's actually older than Giancarli-Mike Stanton. Pederson is 2.5 years younger, and has far better bat-to-ball, although Springer certainly edges him out in power. It kind of depends on what type of player you like, and I'll probably still take Springer by a nose just because he did SLG .460 in limited time last year. Yet, it's definitely close. (Jordan Gorosh)
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)NL Roto Keeper league Keep 15 starters and three $0 reserves. 14 hitters, 5 outfielders, 9 pitchers on the active squad, My outfiled consists of: Gomez, Marte and Polanco, have Joc Pederson as a reserve, so can be inserted into the starting line-up at any time post draft so, I'm thinking: Heyward, Zimmerman(love the 3rd eligility) and Holliday Holiday as my draft targets for my 4th outfielder or two of them. Stanton is out of my price range, with the salary I am keeping, my main sources for power are Goldschmidt and Adrian Gonzalez. I'm heavily leaning towards Heyward, with Zim a close 2nd, Holliday 3rd choice, may have to lower my draft expectations and target a Pagan, Aoki, or Venable. Definitely have to draft 2 outfielders or 3, with one to serve in utility role Any and all thoughts are appreciated,. Thanks in advance, big fan of your work, and always enjoy these chats! Hope you are having a stellar day!
(Dragonbreath from Gurnee, IL.)
It's kind of hard to guess given that I'm not sure who grabbing Stanton impacts your salary or draft standing based on how you phrased your question. Yes, I'd definitely want Heyward, and would lean Zimmerman over Holliday due to the 3B eligibility (plus Holliday's age/gradual decline. If you have to go that next group, Pagan is your guy. Venable isn't going to play this year unless he's traded. (Mike Gianella)
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)What rooks do u see making an impact in the bigs this year?
(Tico Pride from Costa Rica)
In fantasy, there are quite a few. Rusney Castillo, Yasmany Tomas, Steven Souza, Kris Bryant, and Joc Pederson are all names that pop. (Mike Gianella)
2015-02-16 11:00:00 (link to chat)Will Joc Pederson play 150 games in LA this year?
(John from LA)
I can't tell if you're asking whether he'll spend all season up or if he'll get hurt. I'd vote for the under though. (R.J. Anderson)
2015-02-18 19:00:00 (link to chat)Does Joc Pederson have 25/25 upside in the MLB? How much did the environment help him in AAA? Can he hit .270 at some point in his career? What type of line could he put up?
(Jameis Winston from At Shoprite stealing crab legs)
I don't think 25 homers or a .270 average is unrealistic in his best seasons, although he's probably a little shy of both of those in a typical year. Good OBP though. (Brendan Gawlowski)
2015-01-08 12:00:00 (link to chat)Whose long term future do you like better: Joc Pederson or Gregory Polanco?
(chaneyhey from St. Louis)
This one is tough, and honestly it's probably a better question for our prospect team. That said, I'll throw my opinion out there and you can take or leave it. Pederson came into 2014 as a tweener guy for me, but he showed that the on base skills and power are for real. He's a solid corner OFer who could play CF in a pinch it seems. Polanco had a rough 2014, but there's real talent in there. That said, it basically comes down to Pederson's OBP skills and Polanco's power for me.

Given that choice... I'm inclined to go with Pederson. Same ceiling I think, but Pederson's floor might be a bit higher. (Jeff Long)
2014-10-20 16:00:00 (link to chat)Joc Pederson figures it ot in the bigs in 2015, and plays like the stud he is projected to be?
(Dragonbreath from Gurnee, IL)
Maybe not 2015, maybe later. But I think he'll be good. (Rob Arthur)
2014-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would you be surprised if Joc Pederson becomes a more valuable fantasy player than Wil Myers? How do you value Pederson moving forward?
(Jeff from Des Moines)
I wouldn't be surprised becaue Pederson runs and Myers (for the most part) doesn't. I'd say Pederson is a $15 or so player initially with a $25 ceiling. (Mike Gianella)
2014-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Harry, I need some help deciding on keepers. I can only keep 9 of the following players, who should I stick with? (I am currently in rebuilding mode) Mesoraco, Zunino, Kipnis, Trumbo, Rollins, Bogaerts, Addison Russell, Kris Bryant, Castellanos, Marte, Yelich, Joc Pederson, Bryce Harper Thanks!
(Dan from Toronto)
this one is out of my domain, I'l defer to the Fantasy guys on this one (Harry Pavlidis)
2014-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Joc Pederson overrated, being a product of PCL?
(Leslie from Monterey, CA)
I don't think he's overrated, but his numbers are probably at least a product of the PCL. So are everyone's who's putting up monster numbers in that league. He's a very good prospect though and properly rated. (Jeff Moore)
2014-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is it crazy to think that Joc Pederson becomes a better player than Wil Myers?
(Hal from Lexington )
Not at all. (Jeff Moore)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)dynasty, 12 team, h2h, 25 MLB, 20 MiLB. What should I be willing to pay for Joc Pederson? The current owner is in contention, while I am not. He inquires on Joey Votto although I am hesitant to move him with his stock so low. He's also offered Pederson in a package for Carlos Gonzalez. What type of impact do you see for Joc when he finally comes up? Is his 20/20 upside real? Should I make a play to get him with my current assets? Thanks!
(Greg from Cleveland)
I gave up Andrew Heaney for Joc in a prospect swap. I've heard that Joc is a hard worker with the tools to succeed. In my mind that gives him a good chance of hitting his upside.

All that said there's no way I'm giving Votto or CarGo for Joc (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance Joc Pederson comes up this year? He has nothing left to prove.
(Norwun from NYC)
The Dodgers are going to have to create room. They have about 14 OFs. I'd love to see how he does at the big league level, because he's got some impact tools. I'm not sold he sticks in CF for the long term, but he's athletic enough to play it now, and frankly, is the best CF option in the Dodgers org. However, they're paying other guys a lot of money, and not getting much production.

Short answer: he may get a cup in Sept, but they're going to have to figure that entire situation out this offseason, and it's probably going to involve eating salary. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)If Matt Kemp does get moved by the trade deadline, is Joc Pederson an immediate call up?
(Adrian from LA)
Dodgers would have to pick up a lot of money, and I don't see that happening. Would love to see Joc, though. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hypothetical Trade: The Rockies send Tulowitzki to the Dodgers for Joc Pederson and Julio Urias. Who says no? The Dodger can move HanRam to 3rd this(where he should be),aquire a SS for next year, they can afford him, and the Rockies get 2 top 20 prospects to add to their hoard. Smart in-division trade?
(Hypothetical Trades from Everywhere)
Rockies say no. I think they're inclined to say no to almost anything, and Urias plus Pederson isn't an overwhelming enough package. (Ben Lindbergh)
2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat)What's up with Joc Pederson's strikeout rate?
(ketchup pickle from condiment land)
He sees a lot of pitches and has some swing and miss in his game. (Jason Parks on the Top 50)
2014-07-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)How many more big call-ups do you think will happen this season, and who do you think they will be?
(Graham from Richmond, VA)
There won't be too many more, but a few. Noah Syndergaard should get a call. The Mets have to get that poor kid out of Vegas. Lindor could get a chance once the Indians are out of things, especially if they move Asdrubal Cabrera. Joc Pederson will get called up to the Rays when they trade him for David Price. Wait, what? (Jeff Moore)
2014-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)The Joc Pederson injury is disappointing. Any news on the severity? How do you see LA handling their outfield log jam?
(Peter from LA)
I haven't heard anything other than what was generally reported, which is that he left the game but didn't have to go to the hospital. I don't know how Pederson is going to fit in yet and (injury not withstanding), it still wouldn't shock me to see him in another uniform, though I don't THINK the Dodgers should move him. They're going to need young, cheap talent and he's a good one. That said, you'd think they'd have to make a trade at some point right? Someone will take Matt Kemp off of their hands, but that still doesn't leave room for Pederson if everyone's healthy. (Jeff Moore)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)20 team dynasty league and my only SS are Cozart and Rutledge. Should I trade Joc Pederson and Matt Joyce for Jean Segura?
(BigMac25 from Montreal)
No. I agree that shortstop is an issue on your roster, but Joc Pederson is too much for Segura. Segura will have the steals. He needs to prove he can actually keep the baseball off the ground, if he's going to be anything more than a slap hitter w/ a solid-average glove at shortstop. I thought he'd bounce back from his poor second half in 2013. I've been disappointed.

To be clear, I still like Segura well-enough in dynasty leagues. Pederson is just too much to give. (J.P. Breen)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)It would be a colossal waste of time for the Rays to demand Polanco from the Pirates. What's a more realistic trade scenario involving Price? Joc Pederson plus a low-level pitcher? Piscotty & Marco Gonzalez? Thanks.
(R.J. from Palo Alto)
Of course it would would be a waste of time for the Pirates. They wouldn't make that deal.

I don't think either of those are good enough offers for someone like David Price. You have to realize that he's not a one-year rental. James Shields netted Wil Myers PLUS. David Price is better than James Shields. Whatever the Rays get in return for Price, it's going to be a haul. (J.P. Breen)
2014-06-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do the Dodgers do with Joc Pederson? They can't let him waste away in Triple-A all year, can they?
(Kingpin from Grinnell, IA)
He's hardly wasting away in Triple-A, having just turned 22. Would be still be there if he were on any other team? Probably not, but it's not like he's old and watching his career go by. He still has less than 300 plate appearances at the highest level of the minors and is striking out 29.5 percent of the time. Let's let him work on those things before hew start replacing Matt Kemp. (Jeff Moore)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)What do you see for Archie Bradleys' near future? Joc Pederson up in 2015 0r 16? Thanks for the chat, regardless if you get to these queations
(Dragonbreath from Gurnee, IL)
Bradley needs to get healthy and get innings. He's close to major league ready, but the key for him is fastball command, as it is for plenty of young starters. He needs to command his fastball to all four quadrants, and even though the stuff is outstanding, he'd fare poorly at the major league level at this moment, due to some command issues. The profile is a top of the rotation pitcher; he has all the tools.

The Pederson situation is really intriguing. There's nothing the dodgers can do at this point, they're kind of stuck. I think Ethier gets moved, though. They can't have all five of those guys at once. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think will be the better MLB player. Austin Meadows or Joc Pederson?
(Aaron from LA)
Pederson and I don't think it will be remotely close. (Jason Parks)
2014-04-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Give me a player or two whose value you see going up the most this season, particularly in Scoresheet, who you think would be a good trade target.
(ALF from Melmac)
You may be talking about major leaguers, but their values are pretty well set. It may not be the answer to your question, but your best bet in looking to maximize trade value is to look for players who are temporarily blocked, such as your Joc Pederson types. Is he a type? Maybe it's just Joc Pederson. (Scoresheet Chat with Ben, Jared, and Ian)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joc Pederson: the numbers in the minors sure look good. In a pts. league where walks matter, would you pass on him to go after a Clint Frazier or a Dahl?
(balticwolf from Silver Spring MD)
I'd go for the much-closer Joc over the other two, even though they might have a touch higher ceiling (Paul Sporer)
2014-01-21 18:00:00 (link to chat)Mike: Joc Pederson and Maikel Franco. Which one, in your opinion, will be the better player in 3 years? Am I correct in saying that Pederson has the higher floor and Franco has the higher ceiling?
(balticwolf from Silver Spring MD)
Hi balticwolf.

Hope you're staying warm.

Maybe it's because I live in Philadelphia and am succumbing to the hype, but I like Franco more than Pederson. Franco seems like he could be a big time power hitter if everything breaks right, whereas Pederson strikes me as a more solid all around outfielder but with less of a chance of achieving star potential. Regarding floor and ceiling, I'm not sure that's exactly right, but I would agree that Pederson has a narrower range of expectations (in my view) than Franco does. I don't see Franco crashing and burning, but if he was "only" an ordinary 15 HR/.270 BA guy it wouldn't surprise me. (Mike Gianella)
2013-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Wondering what you think of the Dodger's prospects Zach Lee and Joc Pederson? Think something like those guys to the Rays for Price is in the realm of what the Rays would be looking for?
(DodgerDoodle from Bellevue, WA)
It would take more. Urias would have to be in that deal for me, as would Seager. (Jason Parks)
2013-08-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jackie Bradley or Joc Pederson?
(Armin from Salt Lake)
Oooh, good question. Give me JBJ by a hair. (Jason Cole)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of player do you see Joc Pederson as?
(trigger1583 from CA)
Joc Pederson is a solid-average Left Fielder for me. The hit tool and baseball IQ will be enough to keep him in the lineup. However, he showed in the Futures Game batting practice that he has more raw power than people give him credit for. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Joc Pederson a top 50 caliber prospect or he's not even in discussion?
(Marco from Overseas)
Top 101 is more likely. (Jason Parks on the Midseason Top 50 Prospects)
2013-05-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joc Pederson has done nothing but rake but never shows up on top prospect lists... is he considered not toolsy enough to succeed in MLB?
(Ken from Riverside)
He has tools. My biggest issue with him is the profile. I don't see him as an up-the-middle talent, and I'm not sold the bat is of first-division quality in a corner. He plays the game with skill and intensity, and I really like the player. I think he could end up a second division regular or perhaps a 4th outfielder, but he's going to bring it every chance he gets and he might exceed his ceiling and make me look foolish for doubting it. (Jason Parks)
2013-01-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)Can Joc Pederson handle CF? Would he, DJ Davis, Brian Goodwin, or David Dahl be in your top 50 prospects?
(Matt from Chicago)
I don't see Pederson fitting in center field. He doesn't really fit that high on my overall prospect rankings.

Dahl would absolutely be in my Top 50. Goodwin would be in the mix. I think Davis needs to develop some before he's in that group. (Mark Anderson)
2012-08-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joc Pederson. Earlier in the year you said he projected as a LF and was a 'gamer' with no tool above a 6. Anything change? Whats his projection now and why has he killed the ball in A+?
(Based from South Pasadena)
Nope. I still think he fits that profile. The hit tool is legit. He's a total gamer with solid-avg to plus tools and a lot of real baseball skills. He's not your ideal top offense prospect, but he's going to play in the majors and that is the name of the game. (Jason Parks)


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