Biographical

Portrait of Adam Dunn

Adam Dunn DHReds

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Career Summary
Years PA AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP
17 8328 .237 .364 .490 .294 31.6
Birth Date11-9-1979
Height6' 6"
Weight285 lbs
Age38 years, 3 months, 9 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2001 CIN 21 66 286 244 54 64 18 1 19 141 38 74 4 0 0 43 4 2 .262 .371 .578 .310 23.1 2.2 2.5
2002 CIN 22 158 676 535 84 133 28 2 26 243 128 170 9 3 1 71 19 9 .249 .400 .454 .289 30.0 -0.9 2.9
2003 CIN 23 116 469 381 70 82 12 1 27 177 74 126 10 4 0 57 8 2 .215 .354 .465 .280 18.7 8.8 2.7
2004 CIN 24 161 681 568 105 151 34 0 46 323 108 195 5 0 0 102 6 1 .266 .388 .569 .319 56.7 -13.0 4.3
2005 CIN 25 160 671 543 107 134 35 2 40 293 114 168 12 2 0 101 4 2 .247 .387 .540 .304 41.5 -4.0 3.8
2006 CIN 26 160 683 561 99 131 24 0 40 275 112 194 6 3 1 92 7 0 .234 .365 .490 .286 33.1 -5.4 2.7
2007 CIN 27 152 632 522 101 138 27 2 40 289 101 165 5 4 0 106 9 2 .264 .386 .554 .304 42.5 -21.1 2.1
2008 ARI 28 44 187 144 21 35 9 0 8 68 42 44 1 0 0 26 1 0 .243 .417 .472 .303 10.6 -4.0 0.7
2008 CIN 28 114 464 373 58 87 14 0 32 197 80 120 6 5 0 74 1 1 .233 .373 .528 .307 31.5 -4.7 2.7
2009 WAS 29 159 668 546 81 146 29 0 38 289 116 177 4 2 0 105 0 1 .267 .398 .529 .317 48.7 -18.7 3.0
2010 WAS 30 158 648 558 85 145 36 2 38 299 77 199 9 4 0 103 0 1 .260 .356 .536 .322 41.9 -10.6 3.3
2011 CHA 31 122 496 415 36 66 16 0 11 115 75 177 4 2 0 42 0 1 .159 .292 .277 .216 -23.0 -2.8 -2.7
2012 CHA 32 151 649 539 87 110 19 0 41 252 105 222 1 4 0 96 2 1 .204 .333 .468 .283 19.0 -1.5 1.8
2013 CHA 33 149 607 525 60 115 15 0 34 232 76 189 3 3 0 86 1 1 .219 .320 .442 .281 12.1 -1.3 1.2
2014 CHA 34 106 435 363 43 80 17 0 20 157 65 132 3 4 54 1 1 .220 .340 .433 .286 6.7 -1.3 0.6
2014 OAK 34 25 76 66 6 14 1 0 2 21 6 27 4 0 10 0 0 .212 .316 .318 .266 0.5 0.0 0.1
Career20018328688310971631334104623371131723798640211686325.237.364.490.294393.3-78.331.6

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1998 BIL Rk 0 150 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .327 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 ROK A 0 369 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .357 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 DYT A 0 532 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .337 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 CIN MLB 66 286 .310 .256 .328 .417 .257 .298 99 15.8 7.7 -2.7 2.2 2.3 23.1 2.5 23.1 2.5
2001 CHT AA 39 168 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .367 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 LOU AAA 55 254 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .353 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 CIN MLB 158 676 .289 .257 .328 .409 .259 .313 104 21 17.2 -6.8 -0.9 -1.5 30.0 2.9 30.0 2.9
2003 CIN MLB 116 469 .280 .257 .328 .412 .257 .237 102 10.3 12.4 -3.8 8.8 -0.1 18.7 2.7 18.7 2.7
2004 CIN MLB 161 681 .319 .262 .328 .419 .260 .321 97 44.3 20.3 -5.3 -13.0 -2.7 56.7 4.3 56.7 4.3
2005 CIN MLB 160 671 .304 .259 .329 .412 .260 .279 105 31.2 19.3 -6 -4.0 -3.0 41.5 3.8 41.5 3.8
2006 CIN MLB 160 683 .286 .266 .332 .429 .263 .276 97 19.5 20.6 -5 -5.4 -1.9 33.1 2.7 33.1 2.7
2007 CIN MLB 152 632 .304 .267 .332 .422 .259 .305 102 30.9 18.8 -4.6 -21.1 -2.5 42.5 2.1 42.5 2.1
2008 ARI MLB 44 187 .303 .264 .332 .420 .265 .293 100 8.7 5.4 -2.4 -4.0 -1.1 10.6 0.7 10.6 0.7
2008 CIN MLB 114 464 .307 .263 .326 .418 .259 .243 100 23.5 13.4 -3.3 -4.7 -2.2 31.5 2.7 31.5 2.7
2009 WAS MLB 159 668 .317 .259 .328 .413 .262 .324 96 40.7 19.2 -8.5 -18.7 -2.8 48.7 3.0 48.7 3.0
2010 WAS MLB 158 648 .322 .254 .321 .393 .263 .329 93 40.9 17.9 -11.4 -10.6 -5.4 41.9 3.3 41.9 3.3
2011 CHA MLB 122 496 .216 .257 .319 .402 .260 .240 104 -21.5 13.4 -8.4 -2.8 -6.5 -23.0 -2.7 -23.0 -2.7
2012 CHA MLB 151 649 .283 .259 .322 .418 .265 .246 106 14.7 17.8 -11.2 -1.5 -2.4 19.0 1.8 19.0 1.8
2013 CHA MLB 149 607 .281 .255 .318 .398 .264 .266 99 12 16.0 -10.1 -1.3 -5.7 12.1 1.2 12.1 1.2
2014 CHA MLB 106 435 .286 .252 .311 .390 .260 .279 103 10.4 11.2 -6.8 -1.3 -8.2 6.7 0.6 6.7 0.6
2014 OAK MLB 25 76 .266 .249 .319 .390 .267 .324 94 0.4 2.0 -1.2 0.0 -0.7 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1998 BIL Rk 150 26 36 3 1 4 13 22 23 4 2 .288 .407 .424 .136 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 ROK A 369 62 96 16 2 11 44 46 64 21 10 .307 .412 .476 .169 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 DYT A 532 101 118 29 1 16 79 100 101 24 5 .281 .432 .469 .188 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 LOU AAA 254 44 69 13 0 20 53 38 51 5 1 .329 .443 .676 .348 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 CHT AA 168 30 48 9 0 12 31 24 31 6 3 .343 .446 .664 .321 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 CIN MLB 286 54 64 18 1 19 43 38 74 4 2 .262 .371 .578 .316 .310 23.1 2.2 2.5
2002 CIN MLB 676 84 133 28 2 26 71 128 170 19 9 .249 .400 .454 .206 .289 30.0 -0.9 2.9
2003 CIN MLB 469 70 82 12 1 27 57 74 126 8 2 .215 .354 .465 .249 .280 18.7 8.8 2.7
2004 CIN MLB 681 105 151 34 0 46 102 108 195 6 1 .266 .388 .569 .303 .319 56.7 -13.0 4.3
2005 CIN MLB 671 107 134 35 2 40 101 114 168 4 2 .247 .387 .540 .293 .304 41.5 -4.0 3.8
2006 CIN MLB 683 99 131 24 0 40 92 112 194 7 0 .234 .365 .490 .257 .286 33.1 -5.4 2.7
2007 CIN MLB 632 101 138 27 2 40 106 101 165 9 2 .264 .386 .554 .289 .304 42.5 -21.1 2.1
2008 CIN MLB 464 58 87 14 0 32 74 80 120 1 1 .233 .373 .528 .295 .307 31.5 -4.7 2.7
2008 ARI MLB 187 21 35 9 0 8 26 42 44 1 0 .243 .417 .472 .229 .303 10.6 -4.0 0.7
2009 WAS MLB 668 81 146 29 0 38 105 116 177 0 1 .267 .398 .529 .262 .317 48.7 -18.7 3.0
2010 WAS MLB 648 85 145 36 2 38 103 77 199 0 1 .260 .356 .536 .276 .322 41.9 -10.6 3.3
2011 CHA MLB 496 36 66 16 0 11 42 75 177 0 1 .159 .292 .277 .118 .216 -23.0 -2.8 -2.7
2012 CHA MLB 649 87 110 19 0 41 96 105 222 2 1 .204 .333 .468 .263 .283 19.0 -1.5 1.8
2013 CHA MLB 607 60 115 15 0 34 86 76 189 1 1 .219 .320 .442 .223 .281 12.1 -1.3 1.2
2014 CHA MLB 435 43 80 17 0 20 54 65 132 1 1 .220 .340 .433 .212 .286 6.7 -1.3 0.6
2014 OAK MLB 76 6 14 1 0 2 10 6 27 0 0 .212 .316 .318 .106 .266 0.5 0.0 0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT CSAA_CHANCES CSAA_RT
2008 2646 0.4675 0.3896 0.7119 0.6071 0.1987 0.8003 0.4750 0.2881 1294 -0.002781
2009 2827 0.4832 0.4015 0.7207 0.6047 0.2115 0.8027 0.5016 0.2793 1341 -0.002132
2010 2620 0.4595 0.4416 0.6655 0.6462 0.2677 0.7699 0.4512 0.3345 1149 0.002279
2011 2173 0.4726 0.4202 0.6747 0.5891 0.2688 0.7587 0.5097 0.3253 1026 0.013097
2012 2864 0.4717 0.4071 0.6758 0.6003 0.2346 0.7571 0.4901 0.3242 1350 0.001371
2013 2582 0.4861 0.4063 0.6806 0.5809 0.2411 0.7737 0.4688 0.3194 1231 0.005699
2014 2177 0.4851 0.3964 0.6640 0.5862 0.2177 0.7577 0.4262 0.3360 1059 0.000277
Career178890.47490.40890.68580.60280.23350.77520.47550.31421218.91070.0023

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-06 2014-05-06 DTD 0 0 Right Lower Leg Strain Calf - -
2014-03-28 2014-03-31 Camp 3 0 - General Medical Illness - -
2013-05-18 2013-05-18 DTD 0 0 - Low Back Spasms - -
2013-02-27 2013-03-01 Camp 2 0 Right Elbow Contusion - -
2012-09-06 2012-09-15 DTD 9 7 - Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2012-09-01 2012-09-03 DTD 2 2 - Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2012-06-13 2012-06-13 DTD 0 0 Right Ankle Sprain - -
2012-03-16 2012-03-17 Camp 1 0 - Neck Stiffness - -
2012-03-13 2012-03-14 Camp 1 0 - Neck Stiffness - -
2011-07-19 2011-07-22 DTD 3 2 - Knee Soreness - -
2011-04-05 2011-04-12 DTD 7 7 Abdomen Surgery Appendix 2011-04-05
2010-09-23 2010-09-24 DTD 1 1 Elbow Contusion -
2010-09-04 2010-09-05 DTD 1 1 Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2010-05-18 2010-05-19 DTD 1 1 General Medical Not Disclosed Minor Procedure -
2010-05-16 2010-05-16 DTD 0 0 General Medical Respiratory Flu -
2010-03-17 2010-03-19 Camp 2 0 Low Back Spasms -
2009-09-27 2009-09-28 DTD 1 1 General Medical Illness Allergies -
2008-05-08 2008-05-10 DTD 2 0 Right Infection Toenail -
2007-09-24 2007-10-01 DTD 7 6 Right Knee Surgery Meniscus 2007-09-26
2007-09-22 2007-09-23 DTD 1 1 Right Knee Soreness -
2007-06-03 2007-06-03 DTD 0 0 General Medical Illness -
2007-04-15 2007-04-16 DTD 1 1 Low Back Spasms -
2004-03-12 2004-03-16 Camp 4 0 Left Fingers Infection -
2003-08-16 2003-09-29 15-DL 44 41 Left Thumb Sprain Thumb -
2003-06-27 2003-06-27 DTD 0 0 Left Face Laceration Above Eye -
2003-03-23 2003-03-23 Camp 0 0 Bilateral Lower Leg Inflammation Shin Splints -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 CHA $15,000,000
2013 CHA $15,000,000
2012 CHA $14,000,000
2011 CHA $12,000,000
2010 WAS $12,000,000
2009 WAS $8,000,000
2008 CIN $13,000,000
2007 CIN $10,500,000
2006 CIN $7,500,000
2005 CIN $4,600,000
2004 CIN $445,000
2003 CIN $400,000
2002 CIN $250,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
13 yrPrevious$112,695,000
13 yrTotal$112,695,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
13 y 74 dBrian Peters4 years/$56M (2011-14)

Details
  • 4 years/$56M (2011-14). Signed by Chicago White Sox as a free agent 12/3/10. 11:$12M, 12:$14M, 13:$15M, 14:$15M. Acquired by Oakland in trade from Chicago White Sox 8/31/14, with White Sox paying $1.3M of $2.3M in remaining salary. Released by Oakland 10/9/14.
  • 2 years/$20M (2009-10). Signed by Washington as a free agent 2/11/09. 09:$8M, 10:$12M.
  • 2 years/$18M (2006-07), plus 2008 club option. Signed extension with Cincinnati 2/06 (avoided arbitration, $8.95M-$7.1M). 06:$7.5M, 07:$10.5M, 08:$13M club option, $0.5M buyout. Cincinnati exercised 2008 option 10/31/07. Acquired by Arizona in trade from Cincinnati 8/11/08 (clubs split remaining 2008 salary).
  • 1 year/$4.6M (2005). Re-signed by Cincinnati 1/05 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.445M (2004). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/04.
  • 1 year/$0.4M (2003). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/03.
  • 1 year (2002). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/02.
  • Drafted by Cincinnati 1998 (2-50) (University of Texas).

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Adam Dunn

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2017-05-03 20:00:00 (link to chat)The unsung heroes of April. Aaron Hicks for example, in a sort of everybody in the Yankees' outfield (even Judge occasionally) gets a day off a week filler role put up quite studly numbers. What other reserves have been kicking it deep down in the box scores so far this season?
(Paul from DC)
This isn't exactly what you mean, but I would love to see Ryan Schimpf hit .175, draw 100 walks and hit 45 homers. Adam Dunn would be like, dude! (David Brown)
2015-05-05 15:00:00 (link to chat)Harper is striking out a lot. He is walking a lot. The speed and defense is disappearing even at a young age. This brings up that old Adam Dunn comp that was dropped years ago. While he is still stupidly young, isn't it possible he evolving into a more athletic Dunn?
(Charles from NYC)
This question just makes me want to grab last year's version of MLB the Show and edit Adam Dunn to make him ridiculously athletic and win the MVP. (Nick Shlain)
2015-04-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)After the Michael Taylor question, should we Nats fans worry about hitting again this year? Also, just game 1 but should we also worry with Zim learning 1st base, is the D going to revert back to the year LaRoche was hurt and Dunn was at 1st? These are the 2 biggest items I have worried about in spring training and game 1 had both.
(Dan from Vienna, Va)
The good news is that the Nats are stacked enough to survive a couple of non-ideal situations on the roster. I don't think that the defense is in that much trouble, and I would be patient with Zim as he adjusts to the realities of his new position. He could play 1B blindfolded and have better defensive results than Adam Dunn. (Doug Thorburn)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)Manny Ramirez racked up an amazing -276 runs on defense. Would you take vogelbach or manny as a ninth inning defensive replacement?
(brentdaily from Colorado)
Adam Dunn, probably. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-08-29 12:00:00 (link to chat)Is there any interest in Adam Dunn or John Danks? If so, will the White Sox make a move? They did part with Gordon Beckham for next to nothing.
(Nick from Chicago)
I was surprised Dunn didn't get moved to a team wanting a bat off the bench or DH. I suppose he's not the easiest player to fit onto a roster. As for Danks, he was reportedly pursued by a few teams. I think his contract situation probably caused any potential deal to be benched until the winter. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)FFF!!! Even with only one podcast this year, I rode the 411 strategy and philosophy to fantasy domination. Just saying. Also, outlook for Jose Abreu next year? Given the lack of MLB track record or poor understanding of how to Cuban stats relate to MLB stats, are we seeing the ceiling and should expect regression or are there more adjustments in the future (e.g. ridiculous contact rate in the second half v. first half).
(moonkyu from SF)
Glad to hear it! As for Abreu, my sources sold me this year on his "anywhere" power, but his command of the strike zone was a total wild card, so I expected a Mark Trumbo or Adam Dunn type of season: 35-40 homers but a shaky average. A 112-40 K-BB ratio is very manageable in today's game, when it comes with his kind of power... I don't think he'll hit .322 every year, but clearly his average won't be a liability. He's a first-rounder in pretty much every format next year, given the league-wide decline in power in recent seasons. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-08-06 16:30:00 (link to chat)Is it fair to say Adam Dunn could establish himself as the White Sox frontline ace in the next 2-3 years?
(Me from Somewhere)
He is almost definitely more durable than Chris Sale, so bring it on. At least put him in the bullpen where he can really air it out and showcase his premier stuff. (Cespedes Family BBQ)
2014-07-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)More efficient infield at converting ground balls into outs: 6 Adam Dunn's or 4 Andrelton Simmons'?
(BOB from Pittsburgh)
It's all about alignment. You could lay six Adam Dunns end to end and span the perimeter of the infield, corralling every ground ball. Meanwhile, Simmons would be out of position at first base. (Matt Sussman)
2014-07-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)More lateral range: Adam Dunn standing up or Andrelton Simmons lying down? (Assume Simmons is allowed to get up once the ball's put into play.)
(justarobert from Santa Clara)
But Dunn can fall down faster than Simmons can get up, and Dunn covers more ground that way. (Matt Sussman)
2014-07-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)I hear people talk about Schwarber's limited defensive ability. In regards to OF play, are we talking Adam Dunn bad?
(Matt from KY)
It's certainly not as bad as Dunn is now, no. Back in the day, though, Dunn was a decent athlete. He was never an above-average defender, but he wasn't the abomination he would be now if you put him out there. Schwarber won't be great out there, but he's not going to be that bad, especially while he's young. (Jeff Moore)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Gallo will make enough contact in the Bigs for his 80 tool power to play? Is he more Giancarlo Stanton or Adam Dunn?
(childgrambino from Richmond, VA)
Probably split the difference, but I do like the improvements Gallo has made this year. Scouts are becoming more convinced that he's a viable third baseman, too, which is huge. Right now, I'm seeing something like .240-to-.255 with 30+ homers as being a reasonable explanation. If he continues to improve, though ... help us all. (J.P. Breen)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)12 team points blah blah blah. We get 6 keepers, should I be hanging onto Singleton when I have Springer, Cespedes, Polanco, Baez, Heaney, and JoFer :( ? I'm debating dumping him for Adam Dunn at 1B who I obviously wouldn't keep.
(mattyjames1 from Regina)
If we're talking ROS, I have no problem hanging on to Singleton over Dunn -- that way, you can make your keeper selection later in the year when you have more information available. I also don't think it's a foregone conclusion that Singleton performs worse than Dunn throughout the remainder of the year.

And yeah ... Jose Fernandez. :( (J.P. Breen)
2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of Matt Olson? His batting average seems to be slowly climbing, and the OBP and SLG is definetely there. Next Adam Dunn? Or can he raise his BA as he grows like Gallo has?
(Frank from CA)
I think it's a long swing and he's in the cal league, so I'm not too excited. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who's the prospect that's moved the most since beginning of the year and why is is Joey Gallo?
(Will from Dallas)
Joey Gallo is certainly the prospect who has made it move the most half way through the season. I'll give you that. He's actualizing his enormous raw power in the form of in game power, and that's hugely important. The approach has taken a step forward, and he's simplified his swing. I'm not sold that he'll stick in the infield, but even in RF, he's got a monster profile. However, he's going to have to make adjustments, and may have some trouble with arm side pitching at the highest level.

I also dislike the comparisons to Adam Dunn. I get the ultimate upside is that level, but let's not forget, Adam Dunn has a chance to hit 500+ home runs in his career; and I'd bet against Gallo ever reaching that many bombs, even with his improvement. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)What?! No Joey Gallo question yet? Is Gallo anything more or less than Adam Dunn 2.0? Thanks for the chat!
(Goldeye99 from Wpg)
I think there is the chance for more, but even if that's "all" he is, that'd be fantastic. Remember, Dunn used to be a premier fantasy asset (Paul Sporer)
2014-06-17 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who is the player you find yourself overvaluing (or just ending up with on your team) more than others?
(Kel from Goodburger)
Is it too cliche to say Adam Dunn? We went around the table on this one and here's what we got: Ben: "I have a soft spot for Evan Longoria that results in what we have come to call irrational affection." Ian: "In general, I'll overvalue prospects relative to my colleagues, or possibly sanity, would dictate. In particular, I'll remember prospect value even after the majors has gotten in the way, so I'll be one of the last off the Jason Heyward train, for example." Jared: "I tend to have a special fondness for guys who can mash the ball, without stopping to think too much about whether they can get on base. Like, say, Khris Davis. Or Chris Davis. Or any other variant thereof." Ben adds: "...like Mark Trumbo!" (Scoresheet Chat with Ben, Jared, and Ian)
2014-05-07 17:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Mike, In your opinion, what is the most likely outcome for Gallo in the bigs, stat-wise and position-wise?
(Cal Guy from Cal)
I think he winds up at first base or DH. My guess is that he'll be an Adam Dunn type best case and a Russ Branyan type worst case (think 30-35 home runs with a batting average ranging anywhere from .220 to .260. (Mike Gianella)
2014-02-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)I have been in a 14-team mixed keeper league (23 man rosters) with daily lineup changes (5X5 plus holds and OPS) for the last three years. After years of success in roto, I have struggled mightily in this league. In roto leagues, I preferred a balanced approach (4 and 5 category players whenever possible) and try to eliminate rostering players that are sinkholes in categories (i.e. Adam Dunn's batting average). I have tried this approach in H2H and it seems like I am more susceptible to variability than other teams (i.e. my average baseline of category numbers each week is lower than most teams...so unless my players have coordinated good weeks, I lose). Should I consider loading up in certain areas (i.e. go all-out for power hitters or starting pitching) with a smattering of everything else to keep me modestly competitive in those categories? Is there some subtlety to H2H leagues that I might be overlooking? Any general "rules of thumb"?
(JoshC77 from Columbus, Ohio)
I like punting categories in H2H and shoring up other ones, so yeah that's viable. I tend to punt SB's and Sv's the most in H2H leagues. You're also going to want to pay attention to match ups way more than you're used to in ROTO. Streaks will kill you and platooning is a must for guys who need it.

Also guys like Trumbo (who fade in the second half) will really hurt you if you're not careful with his playing time. (Mauricio Rubio)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)Hola. In a 10 team 5x5 with OPS instead of AVG and starting 5 OF, CI, MI, and 1 UTIL, plus 9 P (can be SP or RP). I am leaning toward the following 5 keepers at the cost of the round in (): Fielder (1), Votto (2), Craig (6), Choo (9), Dunn (21). My other options are Beltre (2), Stanton (2), Kinsler (3), Perkins (19) and Uehara (23). Did I choose the right 5? If you keep 2 players from the same round (e.g. Beltre and Votto), it costs that round and the preceding round (e.g. 1st and 2nd). So I couldn't keep 2 2nd's and a 1st. In other words, I can only choose 2 of the 4 from Fielder, Votto, Beltre and Stanton. Stanton's injuries and Beltre's age concern me and I'm loathe to keep closers. Muchas gracias!
(Miguel from Venezuela)
Hola Miguel.

The move to Texas obviously helps Prince Fielder a great deal, but I'm not convinced that it provides a complete panacea for his woes at the plate last year. Fielder was a mechanical mess last year, and while I'm sure the Rangers know this and will work on it, he isn't a sure thing. Given the differences in position, I might keep Adrian Beltre over Fielder. It might sound crazy, but Beltre has been an elite third baseman the last couple of years. His age worries me a little bit, but Fielder's off year combined with his physique worries me a little bit as well. Yes, I know Fielder hasn't been hurt and plays a lot but I'm not convinced this trend can last indefinitely.

I might consider Koji Uehara over Adam Dunn, but in an OBP league Dunn in that slot is probably worth it. I am wary of Dunn's age and that any decline in bat speed in 2014 would impact Dunn a lot. He'll be 34 next year, which doesn't sound old but isn't a great age for a hitter of Dunn's profile. (Mike Gianella)
2013-08-08 17:30:00 (link to chat)Jimmy Nelson, Chris Owings, Brandon Workman, Tyler Skaggs, and Johnny Cueto just got traded for R.A. Dickey, Jonathan Papelbon, Cliff Lee, and Adam Dunn in my league. Not a fan of the veto so I wont veto this trade in my league, but just how lopsided is this for the side receiving Lee, Dickey, etc.?
(Gary from Georgia)
Hi Gary:

It depends on if your league has contracts or allows you to slot guys into rounds if you have a draft league. Cueto is a potentially strong keep assuming health and Skaggs has a nice ceiling. I've seen leagues where getting Cueto and Skaggs will net you four players, and it's not like Dickey or Dunn have been anything close to elite. It sounds like this is atypical for your league, though. The answer to these types of questions often depend more on your league culture than anything else. (Mike Gianella)
2013-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)So if Gallo cuts down on his Ks he will grown into a Jim Thome. I actually don't think that sounds too crazy. You?
(Jim from NY)
I think the most accurate comp is probably an Adam Dunn type. (Jason Cole)
2013-05-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)How many Dan Voglebach questions are you getting, and which one will you answer? This guy is a better version of Adam Dunn, right? Or were you thinking more along the lines of a fatter Joe DiMaggio?
(John from Chicago)
This is actually the one and only that I can see, though I have about 100 questions waiting for me. He's a lot of fun to watch, and he rakes. The profile is bat only, but there should be less swing and miss and a better hit tool than Adam Dunn. Long way to go before he's hitting 30-plus homers in a big-league season, but the bat is legit. (Jason Cole)
2013-04-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)Over/under: Michael Choice makes two All-Star games?
(JoshuaGB from Chicago)
I was thisclose to saying over then I started flipping around B-Ref pages and noticed that Carlos Pena made one AS team, Adam Dunn made two, and Pat Burrell made zero. Do three-true outcome guys get underrated in AS voting? Is it the streaky thing? These are unanswered questions that force me into saying under. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is it time to start worrying about Adam Dunn? He's looking like 2011 all over again.
(nubber from tx)
You tell me - I play in 14 leagues and don't own him in a single one. (Bret Sayre)
2013-04-04 11:00:00 (link to chat)Are Miguel Sano and Joey Gallo both Adam Dunn types- or will one actually be able to hit for a solid average?
(Shawnykid23 from Newington)
Gallo is an Adam Dunn type; Sano might be able to hit for more average down the line. (Jason Parks)
2012-10-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who else did you consider for Comeback Player of the (fantasy) year besides Buster Posey, and what made him your choice?
(Adam from Dunnville)
I tend to think of a Comeback Player of the year as someone who actually came back from an injury, not someone who bounced back from a down year. A player rebounding from a down year is more of a bounce back player of the year, and Adam Dunn would be a deserving recipient of that award. (Josh Shepardson)
2012-08-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Jose Altuve, Adam Dunn, and Josh Beckett walk into a bar. What happens?
(Nick K from Michigan)
Dunn does shots. He gets every fourth one into his mouth. Beckett starts indiscriminately punching people though it hurts slightly less than it would have five years ago. Altuve drinks 12 orange juices in the corner and walks out. Later after all the hullabaloo is over you realize that actually he was drinking screw drivers. (Matthew Kory)
2012-08-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can you give us an ETA for Marc Krauss to the Majors, a reasonable ceiling and a best-case ceiling?
(Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX)
Let's say 2014 for the ETA. I suppose Houston could push him up in September to get an up-close look, but I don't know if they'll do that. I'm no good with comparisons, but Adam Dunn (without elite power) is the one that gets thrown around a lot with Krauss. Of course, Adam Dunn without elite power isn't Adam Dunn, but that's the danger with comparisons. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-07-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)Looking to trade CJ Wilson for some offense. who are some names that spring to mind in a 5x5 roto league w/ obp?
(bmmolter from Worcester)
I traded him for Adam Dunn a few weeks ago in a standard 5x5 league where I was in sore need of power and had a lot of pitching. In an OBP format, that's a fit as well. (Jason Collette)
2012-07-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)Optimistic about the followings: Jose Reyes / Ryan Zimmerman / David Wright / Derek Jeter / Adam Dunn for 2012 second half?
(Beer for Beard from San Fran)
Yeses all around. (Derek Carty)
2012-06-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)HR Derby team captains are Robinson Cano and Matt Kemp. Cano has already said he's inviting Granderson.
(Chris from work)
Really? How did they decide that? And do they know that Kemp has only played in two games since May 13?

Granderson deserves to be on the team, but so do Adam Dunn, Josh Hamilton, Bautista, Encarnacion, Trumbo, etc. My guess is it's Cano, Granderson, Dunn, and Butler, unless one of those two decline the invitation. I'd say that'd be a pretty entertaining derby. (Larry Granillo)
2012-05-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Over/under 30 home runs for Adam Dunn?
(Pablo from NJ)
Definitely over. (Derek Carty)
2012-05-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Where do you sit on this trade Adam Dunn, Mark Trumbo, and Brandon McCarthy for Michael Cuddyer and Martin Prado?
(Jerome from T Hills)
I'll take the first side. (Paul Sporer)
2012-05-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)thoughts on Adam Dunn's resurgence and expections ROS?
(Don Zilla from NYC)
I buy it. I bought in before the season. I think he'll be back to Dunnian levels: 38-42 HR with .240-.260 AVG... anything more would be a welcomed bonus. (Paul Sporer)
2012-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Adam Dunn.
(thomas from columbus)
He's looking like his old self again. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Adam Dunn back?
(Steve N from Delaware)
I like May, because around May people (probably me, even) start acting like the sample size is big enough that we are learning significant information. But, as Dunn shows, an entire season doesn't really tell you anything close to definitive about a player. I think I remember reading Nate Silver once say that a player's preseason projections are more predictive than their actual stats *even at the end of the season*, which is sort of awesome if I remember it correctly. Entire seasons are too small of a sample. We know nothing, ever.

So Dunn. PECOTA had him going .251/.372/.506 before the 2011 season, and I wouldn't bet all that much against him hitting it this year. Though he's at an age when some steady decline makes sense. He's only a month older than Albert Pujols. Did you know that? That's a reliable mind-blower. (Sam Miller)
2012-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Obligatory Pujols question: are there any indications that he might not be completely healthy? I've seen photos where he didn't look himself -- sunken eyes, maybe loss of muscle mass, etc.
(Bill from New Mexico)
There are always whispers whenever a veteran underperforms, but anything I might add would be purely speculative. My personal theory is that knowing he doesn't have Cubs pitching to push around any more has interfered with his chi.

Of course, he's Albert Pujuols, so it's not like he's going to have an Adam Dunn death spiral season. But the signs of a slow decline have been there for a few years, if you were willing to look for them. That's probably what we're seeing, and that's why I hated his contract the moment it was signed. (Ken Funck)
2012-04-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see a significant rebound in Adam Dunn? Best guess at HR and OBP...
(LoyalRoyal from Kansas)
I did. I saw bat speed; he pulled inside velocity (94+) on several occasions without cheating. I think he's going to hit for power again. OBP has never been an issue. He could hit 30+ bombs. (Jason Parks)
2012-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Thornton comes up with the yips again this spring, does CHW go straight to Addison Reed or will Jesse Crain get a shot?
(PepeShady from StPaul)
I thought it was reasonably well established that what Thornton went through last year wasn't "the yips" but an unsuccessful attempt to establish his changeup.

If I'm a team in rebuilding mode, as the Sox should be (but can't truly be given the $82 million owed to Alex Rios and Adam Dunn), I'd probably churn closers if possible, as the Sox did by flipping Sergio Santos. Get the increasingly expensive Thornton to about 20 saves and flip him, then turn to Crain and do the same. By then, Reed will have more than gotten his feet wet in the majors and will be well-prepared to do the job. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Off the top of your head, other than Adam Dunn in the 25th, who are some other great buy lows?
(JT from Michigan)
Ryan Ludwick has been going even later than that, undrafted in a lot of mixed leagues. Switching from a career of pitcher or (at best) neutral parks to a hitter's one gets me a little excited to see what he'll do. I may actually end up writing about Ludwick a bit on Thursday, so keep your eyes peeled. (Derek Carty)
2012-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)In an auction league, which hitter could return the greatest value - Tulo, Braun, Votto, Dunn, Pedroia, Hart, Mauer, Crawford or Nellie Cruz?
(Kyran from Whippleville, NY)
As long as the league is shallow enough, Braun, because you can pick up a solid guy to fill in while he's out. Also, see an earlier question, but probably Adam Dunn. He has such a great track record that if he comes dirt cheap, as he has in many mocks, he's just pure profit. (Derek Carty)
2012-01-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)White Sox fan here. It really stinks to see how far this team has fallen since 2005. We've seen organizations like the Phillies, Rays and Rangers become elite. The White Sox are just boring and seem destined for a bunch of 80-82 seasons for the next few years. What do they have to do to become elite, besides the obvious and fire Kenny Willams?
(Kevin from Chicago)
Luckily for them, they're in a winnable division, unlike a team like the Orioles in the East or the Mariners in the West, who really have their work cut out for them. I hate speaking to what kind of front office moves a team needs to make because I'm so far removed from the situation, I don't really know what's going on, but from an outsider's perspective, it does seem like there could be someone better than Williams for the job.

On the field, the team lacks a true ace along the lines of rival Detroit's Verlander, though they do have the beginnings of a very good bullpen. 2B and 3B are big holes for the team, as I just don't see Morel and Beckham as starting-caliber players (though they do have the upside to be). A lot of whether they can compete will also hinge on what kind of players Viciedo and de Aza turn into and, obviously, Adam Dunn's ability to bounce back. They should have a pretty good idea after this season where their holes definitely are. (Derek Carty)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance the Angels trade Ervin Santana for say, Adam Dunn or Jayson Werth? It's been awhile since a bad trade. - signed giddy Rangers fan
(@SDIdan from Colorado)
Almost every bad deal you could imagine the Angels making a year ago would be unimaginable now. It's just such a different front office now. They'll probably end up making a whole new kind of bad move, eventually. But it's sort of a lousy time to root for the Angels to do stupid things. Sorry. (Sam Miller)
2011-11-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)" The easiest reason is because you don't have two seasons with 40+ HRs and then flame out." The exact same reasoning led me to destroy my season when I traded for Adam Dunn three weeks in...
(Ken from Little Neck)
I hear you, and it's easy to get gunshy when that happens. Dunn was almost completely unprecedented, though. He's the extreme exception, not the rule. (Derek Carty)
2011-10-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Jason. Do you think Trout opens in the majors next April, or do the Angels stick him in Triple A to accommodate Vernon Wells big contract?
(Keith from Manchester, CT)
At this rate, the Angels will probably trade Trout for Adam Dunn's contract. (Jason Parks)
2011-09-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)What on earth do the White Sox do with Adam Dunn for the next 3 years? What on earth do the Yankees do with AJ Burnett for the next 2 years? What on earth do the Giants do with Barry Zito for the next 2 years?
(dianagram from NYC)
The Sox have to give Dunn another shot next season, both out of deference to his consistency in the past and to see whether he magically regained his talent over the offseason as quickly as he magically lost it over the last one. With those other two, though, we're getting pretty close to sunk cost time. (Ben Lindbergh)
2011-08-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)What would you do with the A's? Trevor Cahill has been terrible for the past few months. Brett Anderson is likely out for most of next season. Kurt Suzuki has regressed badly at the plate. Their free agent acquisitions didn't help them contend this season and they didn't deal them at the deadline, so there's no space to let prospects audition. Then again, their prospects (Chris Carter, Michael Taylor, Adrian Cardenas, Michael Choice, and Grant Green) all have some major flaws.
(Tom from Madison)
Besides moving to a new stadium somewhere? Here's what Beane said in Tyler Kepner's piece yesterday: "Sometimes, you're relegated to buying that lottery ticket. Anybody will tell you that the lottery is not a great way to invest your money. But sometimes, you don't have a lot of options." Post-Moneyball Beane sounds more and more like post-Super-System Doyle Brunson every day. My advice, though, would be to find a bopper somewhere, since there's no one in the system ready to hit in the middle of the order. Cahill, McCarthy and Gonzalez should be good enough to make you competitive even with Anderson hurt. Sign Willingham to a reasonable 2-year deal if you can, but don't go longer than that. Cross your fingers that Jemile Weeks and Brandon Allen can be building blocks. But mostly, find a bopper. Crazy thought: find out how much of Adam Dunn's contract Kenny Williams would be willing to eat.

this offseason. (Ken Funck)
2011-08-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)I'm in a keeper league, and I was just offered Jayson Werth for Adam Dunn. Should I accept the deal?
(Rachel from Las Vegas)
I'd take my ex-wife in a deal where I was giving up Adam Dunn. There are no signs of life there (Jason Collette)
2011-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Has there ever been such a drastic meltdown from such a reliably productive hitter like the one we've seen from Adam Dunn? He just looks completely overmatched.
(Lespaul1 from Charlotte)
I'm afraid we're witnessing history when it comes to Dunn. I can't think of a batter who's fallen so far, so fast without going out a window. Watching him in this Yankees-White Sox series, he's defeated the moment he steps into the batter's box. Terrible body language. The appendectomy may have played a part but I think his problems are at least 90 percent mental (not 90% half-mental - that's Emma Span's book, which you should buy).

Plenty of pitchers have gone that route, though. David Cone comes to mind. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-07-21 16:00:00 (link to chat)15 team league. Got offered Joe Nathan for Adam Dunn. I'm down in the standing and was hoping Dunn could turn it around. But i gotta take this deal right?
(Donny from Chantilly)
If you are really hurting for saves, sure. But I mean, really hurting. (Jason Collette)
2011-07-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Walt Jocketty finally called up Zack Cozart to try and address the Reds' black hole of suck at SS. The rotation is still a big question mark with Arroyo falling apart after 5 innings and Volquez having no clue where the plate is. Has Jocketty shown too much patience in not addressing the Reds issues, just enough, too little?
(TheRedsMan from Chicago)
Too much, particularly with Cozart, not that I think he's really a great solution. Still, when your shortstops have hit .226/.274/.271 on the season, you owe it to the team to try anything. Speaking of which, if you're the White Sox, do you let Adam Dunn just put up 600 at-bats of what he's been doing? That would be a season for the books. (Steven Goldman)
2011-06-29 13:30:00 (link to chat)Who are your favorite players to deal with, both past or present?
(Gerald from Savannah)
Geez. That's a tough one because there are so many good guys I have dealt with in 24 years of covering baseball. I hate to leave people out but some of my favorites would have to include Sean Casey, John Burkett, Jay Bell, Craig Wilson, Jason Schmidt, Michael Barrett from the past. From the present: Jason Bay, Cole Hamels, Carlos Pena, Scott Rolen, Brandon Phillips, Nyjer Morgan, Neil Walker, Joel Hanrahan, Adam Jones, Max Scherzer, Don Kelly, Chris Perez, Adam Dunn, Matt Capps, Torii Hunter, Kurt Suzuki, Ian Kinsler. (John Perrotto)
2011-06-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mr. Lindbergh. Your thoughts on buying Adam Dunn at the moment. I pretty sure next to Uggla, who i already have, that there are no "Low buys" lower than these guys. I was thinking of offering Pena straight up for Dunn.
(mmaurer016 from FLA)
Dunn's strikeout rate is worrisome, but if you're talking about Carlos Pena, sure. (Ben Lindbergh)
2011-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which guy are you more concerned about - Adam Dunn or Shin-Soo Choo? It is fair to answer neither.
(jmoore from Detroit)
Kind of worried about both, less worried about Choo. It's not panic time yet, but I'm not ecstatic to own Dunn right now. (Derek Carty)
2011-05-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)How screwed are the White Sox at this point and why is it that they only have two players with an OPS above .700?
(nschaef from The Bottom of a Depression Well)
But is it a GREAT Depression well? They're pretty screwed, because 12 games in the loss column is a lot to make up even at this time of year. I've tried to reserve judgment on offensive problems around the league, because weather has been mild and the majors are down as a whole--maybe that affects everyone in different ways. Yet, the Sox have been especially poor. The problem is that while Adam Dunn will eventually straighten things out and Konerko and Trenton should carry on, the rest of them are kind of blah at the best of times. Man, is Beckham a disappointment. (Steven Goldman)
2011-03-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)you
(reza from reza)
No, you!

Re. Jay Bruce, just consider these two facts... he's still only 23 years old, and he ranked 3rd in MLB last year in homers by lefty hitters off lefty pitchers. I think he's going to be a superstar (think Adam Dunn with fewer walks but a little more AVG and a few SB's, and decent defense), and maybe even this year. (Cory Schwartz)
2011-02-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jason, I absolutely love what you're bringing to BP. Welcome aboard. Keep it up. A player my son and I both love watching is Dayan Viciedo. He swings every swing like it's the last one of his life, and he wants to be remembered for it. Have you seen him play? Is there a position for him on the field? How much might his all-or-nothing approach limit him? What are the chances someone like Adam Dunn can help him learn to lay off crap and get better pitches to hit 480 feet? Ozzie says he wants to get him at-bats, so he's working out in RF. I hope that means on those days they would shift Quentin back to left. Thanks.
(GrinnellSteve from Grinnell)
Thanks. I've seen him play 3B, which was an experience. He just lacks the athleticism to offer much in the field. I like his bat, and his power is obviously legit, but the approach will suffocate him if he doesn't make the necessary adjustments. If he shows the aptitude for adjustment, his bat could be destructive in the middle of the order. (Jason Parks)
2010-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)At this point, would you say the White Sox are the favorites to win the AL Central division? Over/under 45 home runs for Adam Dunn?
(Tim from Chicago)
Under. He will hit 40 home runs on the dot. I would peg them as my favorites, but I'm not really confident with that. The AL Central is really unpredictable. For all we know, Sizemore returns to form and the Indians are in contention. And the Twins seem to lose players every year and somehow remain as strong. Right now I'd say White Sox 87-75, Twins 85-77, to give an indication of how close I think it can be. (Eric Seidman)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)with Boston getting gonzales, who will give Fielder anywhere near what Boras wants?
(BStephen from brewtown)
With any luck, after the hard time Mike Rizzo gave Adam Dunn for his defense, I hope it's the Nationals. It would just be a beautiful thing on so many levels, none of those belonging to Nationals' fans though. (Marc Normandin)
2010-11-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who ends up manning 1B for the Cubs next yr? Their focus seems to be on power for that spot but I think that lineup is in major need of OBP help( Berkman?), as well.
(Matt from Chicago)
It wouldn't surprise me if either Lance Berkman or Adam Dunn winds up there. Both will provide improved OBP and some power, though Dunn probably more than Berkman at this stage. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-10-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Could Adam Dunn be the Dave Kingman who actually makes the Hall?
(dianagramr from NYC)
Dunn is already more valuable than Kingman was in his entire career (thanks, OBP!). If he hits a ton of homers like he has (and like I wrote about here!) then I can see it happening. It's going to be tough to turn down a player with nearly 600 bombs and no steroid allegations, regardless of his defense. (Marc Normandin)
2010-10-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)The Rangers exposed a lot of the Yankees' problems (shaky rotation, declining hitters showing their age)--with the sample size including their terrible September, how deep do you think the Yankees' problems are? What would you prioritize if you were Brian Cashman? Would love to hear your insights.
(Eli from Brooklyn)
Cliff Lee's the obvious good idea, and one that Cashman should go for, as well as retaining Kerry Wood. The Nick Johnson signing was a good idea gone wrong, so pursuing a top bat makes sense. The problem is sorting out what kind of bat, and here I think the Yankees could use that sort of hard-hit balls-in-play terror to provide a nice alternating note in a lineup that provides plenty of baserunners. So, not Adam Dunn, but maybe Jayson Werth, while rotating everyone through the DH slot--Swisher, Posada, Werth, Granderson, Gardner--instead of signing a DH-only type of guy. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-10-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Two offseasons ago Adam Dunn couldn't have found a job if he had offered to work for free (slight exaggeration), why is he worth so much now?
(Wendy from Madrid)
The relative virtues--or lack of them--of the current market plays a big part of it, but so does Dunn's continued success. Two years ago, if you'd said that Manny, Papi (potentially), and Dunn would be on the market simultaneously, and Dunn looks like the obvious best choice, I think even Dunn's biggest believers would have been a little surprised. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-10-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Give the state of their team , are the Cubs better off going after Dunn(OBP & major power) or trolling the trade waters for another teams stalled prospect at that spot?
(Matt from Chicago)
I've made no secret that I really like Adam Dunn (and the Cubs), so I'm probably not the most unbiased person here. (Colin Wyers)
2010-10-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)John mentioned today that the Red Sox may be interested in trading for Aramis Ramirez if they can't sign Adrian Beltre- I'm thinking the Cubs should be all over this, especially if they don't have to pick up much (or any) of his salary. Considering Ricketts says they may decrease payroll, gives them some flexibility to sign Adam Dunn. Guess they have to come up with another third baseman though (Vitters?)...thoughts?
(KRS from Loop)
At this point it doesn't look like Vitters is ready for AA, much less the majors. DeWitt could play third, and they could use some combination of Barney/Baker/etc. at second base (the Cubs organization isn't known for its lack of second basemen). Is it a GOOD idea? I dunno. It's hard to see a scenario where they contend next year anyway. (Colin Wyers)
2010-09-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Does Adam Dunn make any sense for an NL team, namely the Cubs?
(Matt from Chicago)
Isn't the lesson of the past couple of years that Dunn is an OK first baseman defensively and has more than enough bat for the job? (Joe Sheehan)
2010-09-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)what would you do this off season to fix or start to fix the jays offense if you were running the show in toronto?
(dogtothedog from toronto)
Signing Adam Dunn would be my first order of business, though a lot of the Jays future success is going to come from revamping the farm system. What they need to be careful of now is overspending at the major league level at the literal expense of their scouting and player development. (Eric Seidman)
2010-09-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)If Adam Dunn had played 1B for his entire career and played for, say the Phillies, would sportswriters have annointed him perrenial MVP and worth a mega contract versus lazy?
(rdierkers from cincinnati)
I don't think so. Dunn is one of my favorite players and he seems to have a good personality on the field, but he's a pretty boring guy. Ryan Howard is very colorful and is great with the media. I think if Dunn had been the Phillies 1B throughout this run, he would be viewed differently, but the same would be true of bigger media markets. I also think if he played 1B his whole career as opposed to going to the outfield and playing some of the worst defense ever, he wouldn't be viewed as a defensive joke and his stock would be higher. (Eric Seidman)
2010-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who should the A's target in free agency or trades to boost their lineup for next season? Adam Dunn?
(Todd from DC)
I wonder if Dunn has so much pop that it doesn't matter too much if he ends up in a canyon of a park like Oakland. They do need to add to that lineup though--the defense is there, the pitching is there, but they are a big injury or two away from looking like the Mariners just like they are an impact player or two away from looking like the Rangers. (Marc Normandin)
2010-09-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Nine keepers in next year draft: I have Utley, King Felix, H.Bell, Soriano, R.Zimm, Kershaw and Morneau as must haves. 2 spots left for Jeter, Heyward, Torii and Adam Dunn....who you recommend? Thanks!!!!!
(SoxRox from NH)
I wouldn't touch Jeter with a 10-foot clown pole in a fantasy league from here on out, and I'd definitely keep Heyward. So your choice comes down to Dunn or Hunter, right? I'd go with the big guy, who's younger and more likely to put up a big season. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-08-24 14:30:00 (link to chat)Would your worry about Adam Dunn's "old man" skills if you were looking at him as a FA or do you think he sustains the HRs and OBP for 3-4 more yrs?
(Matt from Chicago)
I'd be wary of signing him for more than 3 years, but I think he'll be a pretty safe bet at least through the end of the world, which last I heard was scheduled for shortly after the 2012 season. That's still happening, right? (Ben Lindbergh)
2010-08-17 14:45:00 (link to chat)Adam Dunn will wear a _____ uniform next year and hit ____ HR.
(Darryl from DC)
Nationals, 40. (Eric Seidman)
2010-08-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who will be the biggest name dealt during the waiver period? And the biggest failure to *not* trade a player?
(scottdsimon from Pelham, NY)
I know the answer to one of those is "Adam Dunn." I'll say he fills the first, and I'll go with the Orioles and Luke Scott for the latter. I'm not sure we can get too crazy about the second category; any player good enough to be a "failure" was probably claimed by a team that doesn't care whether it acquires him or not. (Joe Sheehan)
2010-08-02 13:30:00 (link to chat)Since I believe the Nats will sign Adam Dunn, I am more interested in the other 2 trades Mike Rizzo made: 1. You didn't seem terribly impressed with the Wilson Ramos trade, although you didn't pan it. Has Ramos taken a big hit to his reputation this year? 2. Folks seem a lot more impressed with Cristian Guzman than we in DC were, although he is a good enough guy. I know the Nats didn't get much for him, but I was surprised they got even 2 AA pitchers. Why the sudden love folks have for Guzman?
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
I think Ramos took a hit because he's basically a batting average-dependent producer, but at his age, there's still some room for growth, and I guess I'm more depressed over what this meant for Flores' situation. It was a pretty decent flip, in that Ramos isn't going to be the next Wil Nieves, he could start and not be the worst regular catcher in baseball.

As for Guzman, LASIK may have helped his ability to hit singles more frequently, but it didn't seem to do him any favors in the field. He's an adequate middle infielder with no power, patience, or speed, so getting worked up over him is sort of silly. He's a decent veteran placeholder, but getting him is more of an insurance move for the Rangers than cause for jubilation. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-08-02 13:30:00 (link to chat)The White Sox didn't get Adam Dunn, and I must admit that I'm a little verklempt. Talk amongst yourselves. I'll give you a topic: The Disastros seemed to have actually helped themselves at this year's trade deadline. Discuss.
(Linda Richman from Coffee Talk)
I'm not buying it. At least they might have been able to sell a few tickets 2011 with the last big bits left from their mid-Aughties contenders. They're mid-pack at ~25,000 now, but who's going to buy a season ticket package to see a bad team whose highlights include hoping Brett Wallace can be the new Lyle Overbay? Their record might not be that much worse next year over this, but the deals didn't save Drayton McLane all that much money, the talent received isn't going to help them win, and the product went from bad and ex-famous to bad and boring. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-07-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of package could the Nats get from the Rays for A. Dunn?
(mwyche from Silver Spring)
From Mike Rizzo's perspective, it would be Desmond Jennings, Jeremy Hellickson and maybe B.J. Upton. Sounds to me like he wants the moon. I don't have a good answer for this, honestly, not having a KG-like encyclopedic knowledge of the Rays's sytem, but if I were the Rays, I wouldn't give up any top prospects. And I say that as a guy who adores Adam Dunn -- but I'd rather bank on their own guys hitting better down the stretch than give up something really valuable for Dunn. (Ken Funck)
2010-07-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Why on Earth would the Nats trade Adam Dunn for Edwin Jackson? If they really can't re-sign him, wouldn't compensation picks beat that deal anyway?
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
Banking on compensation picks can be a little dicey, since you might not get what you expect depending on who signs where (see: CC Sabathia and the Milwaukee Brewers). I'm not particularly bullish on Jackson, but he does have stuff and can pitch in the majors now, two important things for a Nationals team trying to build some excitement and a brand. I don't think it's that bad a move, depending on what other teams are offering.

For the White Sox part of this thing, it'll be a shame if they have to give up someone like Daniel Hudson to rent Dunn, when they could just as easily have signed an ever-willing Jim Thome last spring. (Ken Funck)
2010-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Atlanta's offense has looked utterly moribund since the break, and the Phillies are tearing through the NL sans Utley. Time for Braves fans/front office to start panicking?
(atlexile from Detroit)
I would like to see them call up Captain Marvel Jr, Freddie Freeman, and give him a shot instead of the dead-in-the-water Troy Glaus (last 40 games: .187/.325/.306). I guess they weren't about to bid on Adam Dunn, or didn't get anywhere when they did. I don't see too many big bats sliding through waivers, so they may be stuck with internal options and hoping that Rick Ankiel shows a little life. (Steven Goldman)
2010-07-29 16:30:00 (link to chat)Gose flipped for Brett Wallace. Can he even play 1b?
(Silv from NY, NY)
Adam Dunn plays first base, and supposedly isn't even that bad at it right now. If anything, Brett Wallace seems very trade-able if the 1B experiment doesn't work. (Matt Swartz)
2010-07-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Tell us a little about what you did/do before you joined BP. I'd like to know your specialties so I can ask more appropriate baseball questions.
(SaberTJ from Cleveland, OH)
It would be pretty to think that I have specialties, but I can't really call myself the "_______ guy." You know, as in the "prospect guy," "injury guy," "history guy," or "contracts guy," all of whom have found gainful employment at BP. But they must be paying me for something, right?

As far as baseball-related jobs go, I did a stretch at Elias, spent some time in intern-ment with a couple of MLB teams (one of which interrupted my last, brief stint with BP), and currently work as a "Baseball Analyst" at Bloomberg Sports (which might sound more impressive at cocktail parties if I shortened it to "Analyst at Bloomberg").

In addition to long walks on the mean streets of Manhattan, I like old movies, video games (though I'm no Marc Normandin in that respect), reading fiction (even the "science" variety), subscribing to site feeds, and collecting external hard drives. And baseball, I suppose, though no more than Adam Dunn does. (Ben Lindbergh)
2010-06-23 19:00:00 (link to chat)Is it just me or is it insane that Adam Dunn has been to only 1 All Star game? Are people just undervaluing his production?
(Charlie from Bethesda)
I think it's good to ask - what's the point of the All-Star Game? And what I keep coming back to - it's a chance for fans to see the players they like watching. Now, I like watching Adam Dunn. And I do think fans underrate his bat. But it's hard to say he's one of the three most exciting outfielders to watch in the NL most years. And I mean - as an analyst it's one thing to say, "so-and-so is the player who helps you win the most." And when you call an award "Most Valuable Player" you're talking about value. But for an All-Star? I don't know that I would or should tell fans who they want to see play in a meaningless exhibition. (Colin Wyers)
2010-06-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Following up on "what is Brett Gardner worth", would you consider trading him for Adam Dunn, Paul Konerko or Nick Swisher? I have OF depth...
(Ted from the cubicle)
I'd unload Konerko for Gardner. I mean, is Konerko really going to hit 46 HR this year? He has that Bautista-esque feel of a guy who will fall off in the second half. I think the benefit Konerko would have provided is for those who drafted him and got the brunt of his torrid start, but acquiring him at this juncture -- or keeping him -- isn't likely to add much. And given that Swisher and Dunn are better players than he anyway, yeah get Gardner's steals for the surplus power. (Eric Seidman)
2010-06-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)I will go down as one of the top 50 pitchers of all-time, True or False?
(Stephen Strasburg from Washington)
Show me a really food performance tonight when I'm in the stands and yes... or get me to meet and take a picture with Adam Dunn and yes. (Eric Seidman)
2010-03-15 16:00:00 (link to chat)Any big 2011 free agents that you particularly like? Crawford, CLee, Webb, DLee? Who should I hope my team signs. These days it seems like a big contract is almost always a bad deal. Holliday, Bay,
(Ron Lewis from Atl)
Well let's see here. There's this guy named Mauer who looks pretty good as a free agent. (Oh, I know, the Twins are probably going to sign him. Other names that I would love to have on my favorite team: Victor Martinez, Adam Dunn, Jayson Werth, and maybe a guy like Wilson Betemit. The big stars in position players mostly have options or are likely to be signed before they get to free agency. The free agent crop next year, isn't a place to find game changers, but there are some good, solid players in that bunch. On the pitching side, CLee and BWebb are welcome in my clubhouse any day of the week. Preferably, every fifth day. I also still believe in Matt Capps, and he'll be available to the highest bidder. (Russell A. Carleton)
2010-03-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)I may be jumping ahead a few months, but what would you say the odds are that Adam Dunn is still in DC after the trade deadline?
(Pat from New Jersey)
I'd say 70 percent he's still there. Mike Rizzo doesn't seem like the type of GM who is just going to sell off his spare parts. The Nats want to win as many games as they can to establish some credibility in their market. (John Perrotto)
2010-03-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)I know he'll be on the Opening Day roster, but what are the odds that Adam Dunn is still on the Nats after the trade deadline?
(Pat from New Jersey)
Better than you might think; remember, most of the market studiously avoided him. To see him moved, it might have to involve an AL contender without a solid DH, and how many of those are there going to be? (Christina Kahrl)
2010-03-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Some of the guys who are "in" Deathklok are incredible musicians like Mike Keneally and Bryan Beller. Former Zappa associates. You think Adam Dunn can ever get his first base fielding good enough to not be awful? He has been quoted saying he doesn't want to DH, and seems better at first than in the OF. It's not like he's unathletic...
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
He just admitted that he's learning the position now, so I have hope, just not a lot of it. He's not in the shape he used to be when he was still a former QB, sadly. (Marc Normandin)
2010-02-17 16:00:00 (link to chat)It seems clear from most of the Nationals blogs that The Constituency is no longer patient, and Mike Rizzo's honeymoon is already over. I have been pretty happy with the moves the Nats made this off-season, but I have to agree that too much depends on the health of folks like Chien-Ming Wang, Scott Olsen and even Chris Duncan. The Nats will be better this year, because they can't help but be. However, is the view of the Nats' offseason more charitable at BP or anywhere else outside of Nats fans' disgruntled little world?
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
The kinds of things the Nationals need to do to improve their team just can't be done in a single offseason. To evaluate them on that basis almost isn't fair. I feel the same way about Rizzo. I have a hard time identifying actual things he's done that are that bad. I don't love the Pudge signing and Wang is probably done (but it's a nice gamble). They have to focus on the draft and on international scouting. There's no other path to .500. (I'll hold off on a discussion of Adam Dunn for the next question.) (Tommy Bennett)
2010-02-17 16:00:00 (link to chat)What should I do with Adam Dunn? What type of prospect could he return at the deadline? If he stays could we risk offering him arbitration in an effort to get draft picks? Dunn is making 12M this year and I'm penciling him him for his annual 40HR. 100BB, and 170K.
(Mike Rizzo from DC)
You should trade him. Last year, AL DHs collectively hit .255/.337/.443. That's pretty bad, especially considering Dunn hit .267/.398/.529 last year. I don't know what AL team wouldn't want that. Why Dunn remains in the American League is a total mystery to me. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-01-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Dave Cameron has a piece on how more and more teams are looking to rotate players through the DH spot instead of just sticking one guy who can't play the field there. In general, do you like having a big bat at DH or do you think teams should value the added roster flexability of rotating guys?
(John from Haltom)
This is a boring answer, but it really depends on the talent available to you. You have to have a pretty darn good hitter to justify using him there exclusively. But just about every AL team punted the opportunity to nab Adam Dunn and stick him at DH for the next several years. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-01-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Adam Dunn at first base? Compared to his outfield play, I feel like he is great. That is, I don't feel the need to cover my eyes when the baseball goes near him. Do you think he's adequate there?
(Charlie from Bethesda)
He's certainly got some value, but he'd be worth more to an AL team. I would trade him for prospects if I could. (Tommy Bennett)
2009-12-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)What happens to Adam Dunn this year and beyond?
(chaneyhey from St. Louis)
He keeps doing the same thing he's done forever. Hit around .250 with 40 bombs, 120 walks, 180 Ks and unbelievable defense (in a hilariously awful way). (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-12-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the Granderson deal? Prefer three years of Granderson to two-years of Mike Cameron? What do you think the Yankees' next moves should be regarding LF/DH? Thanks!
(Eli from Brooklyn)
Yeah, that's a big age difference and actually less expensive over the next two seasons. Cameron carries some risk, as just about any loss in contact rate is going to eat his career. I suspect the Yankees, who have solved CF without moving the 2010 payroll at all, will still look for second-tier solutions that don't involved committing 2011 money.

Given the backscratch trade that just happened for Bruney, I wonder if the Yankees could get Adam Dunn; he'd be a good fit DHing mostly but also playing some left field, with Cabrera and Gardner both available to caddy, costs just $10M and is a free agent after '10. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-10-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Jurrjens + Kelly Johnson for Adam Dunn?
(paulbellows from Calgary)
I'm averaging a login every four minutes.

Mr. Rizzo, leave me alone. I'm on board with trading Jurrjens because he'll being back the kind of player the Braves need, and I don't expect Lowe, Hudson or Vazquez to produce that kind of return. But let's not get silly. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-09-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Adam Dunn, 40 homers again?
(Steve N from Delaware)
I'm impatiently waiting, just like you. (Steven Goldman)
2009-09-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Steve, what do you think the Yankees should do for DH next year? Lots of folks are saying they need to keep it open as a revolving door for the older players (specifically Posada), but isn't that a dangerous thing to do? Don't they need to acquire an actual hitter for that spot? If those older players are really going to play so much DH, that means lots of plate appearances will go to inferior bench players. I don't like that at all. Maybe a trade for Adam Dunn makes sense? If not, how about Matsui or Thome on a one-year deal?
(Ralphus from Connecticut)
Keeping it open for Posada would be a swell idea if they had an equivalent bat to put behind the plate. If you're just opening up a spot for someone like Cervelli to be a regular, you're just hurting yourself. Now, say the Yankees traded for a youngish catcher with pop, someone like Chris Ianetta (alright, Ianetta hit .166 on the road this year, but bear with me) who, IIRC, will be arb-eligible this year. Then it makes sense to do that with Jorge, along the lines of the Yankees pushing Yogi Berra to LF from time to time to make room for Ellie Howard. I'd love to see Dunn as a Yankee, but don't think it will happen. In any case, my preference would be a solution along the lines I just suggested -- a DH rotation is fine provided you're not using it as a way to get an inferior bat in the lineup. If it gets a kid catcher in (one who will develop offensively) great. If it gets Austin Jackson in the lineup and Austin can contribute more than his translations suggest, great. If it gives Montero a place to play, great. Those things would all be better than giving another contract to a 35-40 year-old. (Steven Goldman)
2009-09-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do the Giants win the WildCard with Adam Dunn (or Bobby Abreu) and Orlando Hudson?
(kmdarcy from Portland, Oregon)
That certainly looks like enough of an upgrade given how wretched the performances they've gotten out of their 2B (.242/.289/.345), LF (.261/.331/.410) and 1B (.274/.323/.419) players. Take Hudson away from the Dodgers and you start to close the gap in the NL West as well. For want of a nail...

Other thought about Villalona - it might be time for somebody to revisit the career of Cesar Cedeno, who was involved in a shooting early in his career and never was the same player. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-09-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Travis Snider the next Adam Dunn?
(Ron from Vancouver)
Way better pure hitter with well above-average power, but not crazy-Dunn power. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-09-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Josh Willingham- Fluke or legit? His numbers are among the top 3 OF in all of baseball.
(Jacob from Kentucky)
I don't see it. Even if you limit the proposition to just left fielders, he's fourth behind Adam Dunn, Manny Ramirez, and Ryan Braun. His performance at this specific level is fluky, but he'll be a good contributor for the next several seasons. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-09-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you as shocked as I am that Mark Reynolds is a 40 homer guy? What do you see for the next few years?
(Rob from Alaska)
Yeah. I figured he would be a high strikeout guy who would hit 28-34 per season in his prime. I don't know if he'll be a consistent 40-HR threat like Adam Dunn (who literally hits 40 per year.. c'mon Adam, only hit 5 more this yr!) or Ryan Howard, but I think the Dbacks would be perfectly fine with 33-36. (Eric Seidman)
2009-09-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Dayton Moore should trade Soria for a big time bat? Also what do you think KC could get for him?
(Jake H from Kansas City)
I love Soria as much as the next guy but what kind of big time bat are you talking about? Given the fickle nature of closers and how very few actually remain dominant for a long period of time, as well as the fact that a big bat will get 600-700 PAs a year, I don't see this working out. Maybe they can trade Soria for a few good, not great, pieces capable of immediately filling holes, but we're not going to see a Soria for Ryan Howard or Soria for Adam Dunn or Soria for Teixeira deal. The big-time bats likely cannot be afforded by the Royals anyway. (Eric Seidman)
2009-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)in response to the Giants criticism .. I don't think they should mess with "Kung Fu Panda", because he is the best bad ball hitter in baseball right now. And his stats with runners on base this year? .368/.419/.618 But yeah, they still don't have enough offense.
(dianagramr from NYC)
You shouldn't "change" hitters, if they're successful. The Reds tried to shorten Adam Dunn's swing early in his career, and it lasted all of one miserable half a season.

That said, you should try to get other guys that can hit, which isn't exactly Sabean's core competency. (Shawn Hoffman)
2009-08-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)The Pirates have blown up their roster multiple times over the years, including this year. Mike Rizzo inherited the failed structure put together by Jim Bowden and MLB's neglect before that, yet says he is "building," not "rebuilding." The Pirates are headed for a record string of losing seasons, but that does not necessarily mean they were wrong this year. Still, I was glad that the Nats held onto Adam Dunn and Josh Willingham. Might Rizzo be onto something here? Could the Nats be Steven Strasburg and a couple of FA signings away from a real advance next year? Returning to the .500 record of 2005 would be the first goal.
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
I think Rizzo is definitely on to something. I like the Nats' lineup and their young pitcher. Despite the terrible record, they really aren't that far from being respectable or better. Also, I can't tell you how happy I am that Rizzo got the job there. It would have been absolutely criminal if the Lerners turned to anyone else to be the GM after the way Rizzo quickly cleanup up the mess left behind by Jim Bowden. (John Perrotto)
2009-07-24 16:30:00 (link to chat)What moves should the Giants make before the deadline to help increase their playoff chances?
(alboebno from San Francisco)
Get Adam Dunn. (Eric Seidman)
2009-07-24 16:30:00 (link to chat)Eric realisticly which Nats is bye bye come 7/31? Is do nothing a good move for Rizzo? Thx
(Berndaddy from DC)
Adam Dunn needs to go. Josh Willingham needs to go. These guys will attract decent returns. I highly doubt anyone else they have would get a solid return. (Eric Seidman)
2009-07-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)What would it take for the Giants to pull a deal for Adam Dunn or a comparable bat? And going forward which 3 should they play from the group of Schierholz, Bowker, Winn, Lewis, and Ishikawa?
(juiced from frisco)
The Giants' problem is having too many great minor leaguers, guys it's hard to trade for Adam Dunn. Teams are only going to ask for the best, for the most part, so making a match will be difficult. I really am bearish on Schierholtz, always have been, so I'd play Ishikawa at first for the glove and Winn and Lewis on the corners. I'm not in love with that, but I like those two more than the other two. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)What would it take for the Giants to get Adam Dunn? And if you were the one making the decision, would you?
(beanpj from Austin)
Yeah, I would. It's a veteran team that can be upgraded at any of three corners. They have the Mets' problem in that every team will want their best guys. The Nats, however, need to focus on quantity and can pick up three, four guys in a deal down the prospect list and win it. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)How good will The giants be in 2012 Thanks Steve
(Trevor from San fran)
All I can think of is references to an early Rush album, and not my favorite. Do I even have a favorite Rush album? Would I admit to it if I did? I guess I can admit to "Moving Pictures," with honorable mentions to "Permanent Waves" and "Signals," and a friendly wave to the first side of "Power Windows." There's no accounting for taste. Anyway, 2012 is a long way off, and the Giants could be good enough to make the postseason right now with a few tweaks. They presently lead the NL wild card race, but will probably require another bat to hold the spot. I don't know if they have the trading chips to get that bat... It seems like we talk about every team needing to pry Adam Dunn away from the Nats, but were the Giants to get him and stick him at first base or left field, we'd probably see them in October. What happens three years from now is hard to forecast given just how few of the current Jints are going to be important parts of that team - Sandoval, Lincecum, maybe Cain (his contract is up after 2011), and I guess we can assume Buster Posey will be there. I'm not sure about anyone else. (Steven Goldman)
2009-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)I want to believe in Jeremy Hermida, but he has exactly one half of one season where he slugged anything worth a crap. At what point is this just not going to happen?
(Bill from MA)
I rarely suggest this, but Hermida might need to swing more. He seems to let a lot of hittable pitches go by. That works for Adam Dunn, and a lot of other guys, but maybe not so much for the guy hitting .250 and slugging .367. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Okay, let's say the Braves are in contention around the all-star break. Who are a few corner outfielders they could target?
(DKANDREWS1 from Dan (DC))
Luke Scott, Randy Winn, Adam Dunn. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Historically, do good players on bad teams tend to get overvalued by the home fans, since they are the best player on the team, or undervalued, since the team as a whole is still middling and not competitive?
(HuffWade from Chicago)
Bill James made the argument for undervalued, prompted, IIRC, on the Yankees dumping Mike Easler after the 1986 season (which turned out to be much ado about nothing). I think he was right -- just look at the Reds and Adam Dunn and their focus on everything he couldn't do while missing the things he did better than most players. Look at Dick Allen and the Phillies. Ralph Kiner and the Pirates. Maybe the right answer is that they become undervalued by their organizations in the "We could have finished last without you" sense. You never can tell who the fans will fall in love with -- as I've remarked here many times, my friends used to drive me almost to the point of violence with their affection for "fan favorite" Alvaro Espinoza. (Steven Goldman)
2009-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)I read the Pinstriped Bible today, and I gotta ask: Are you implying that Adam Dunn uses steroids?
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
Not even slightly. (Steven Goldman)
2009-05-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)So is this year vindication for Adam Dunn? The Reds offense has abslutely fallen apart without him, and the Nats are average-to-good (with the bat at least) almost overnight!
(David from dc)
I don't think he feels vindicated playing for a 6-17 team, although I also don't get the sense he took the criticisms in Cincinnati too seriously. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-03-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)I don't know what Rob in Alaska has in mind, but as a fan of a small-market and only occasionally competitive team, it is hard for me to imagine how it can be thrilling to root for a team with all the advantages, which is always expected to be on top. (NY signed *three* FA's this year greater than any *one* MN has signed in the whole FA era.)
(collins from greenville nc)
Yeah, but Minnesota could have done a whole lot more, and that's without making any assumptions about their having greater financial flexibility than they cop to. For example, Jason Kubel is exactly the kind of player the Twins should NOT be signing. Adam Dunn is getting $20 million over the next two years, Kubel is getting $7 million. If they'd signed the former and foregone the latter, they're only down $13 million. That's just off the top of my head. (Steven Goldman)
2009-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Elijah Dukes, Lastings Milledge, Ryan Zimmerman, Adam Dunn et al. Some of those Nats are worth drafting this season. What about my Pirates.....
(mhixpgh from Pittsburgh)
Well uh, you've got...um...that guy...you know...Oh! It's Nate McLouth, Ryan Doumit, and maybe Adam LaRoche. I wouldn't touch your rotation with someone else's roster though. (Marc Normandin)
2009-02-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)Where is Adam Dunn going to land? As a cub fan I look forward to him DHing somewhere and not damaging any more real estate on Sheffield. Any chance the Reds bring him back?
(Mike from Chicago)
Frankly, I think he makes a lot of sense back in Cincy, though that isn't going to happen. I'd say Washington on a one-year, low-money contract with the chance to go back on the market next winter. (John Perrotto)
2009-02-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)What is your first take on the projected standings? Arizone and Washingoton a little high maybe?
(paulbellows from Calgary)
Diamondbacks, no; Nationals, yet. However, the Washington Post just reported that Adam Dunn has agreed to terms with the Nats, so he should help the cause. (John Perrotto)
2009-02-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for chatting, Steven. As an apparent fan of power pop, what are your thoughts on the New Pornographers? I saw them close out a show with a cover of "Don't Bring Me Down" that floored me. Baseball-wise, is it wrong to wish my favorite team (Twins) would be a little less successful so as to learn from their abundant mistakes? They do the same thing every winter, yet are just good enough to think they don't need to change their approach.
(Patrick from MPLS)
I'd like to hear what their excuse for not making a run at signing Adam Dunn is. Had they non-tendered or traded Jason Kubel, they could even have considered the salaries they gave him each of the next two years (roughly $3 million and $4 million) as a discount on Dunn's dough. The Twins hit the fewest homers in the AL last year and they didn't walk either -- what a difference a 40-homer/100 BB DH could make to their outlook. (Steven Goldman)
2009-02-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)"I'd like to hear what their excuse for not making a run at signing Adam Dunn is" We have Carlos Gomez, who even though he runs around like a chicken with its head cut off, plays defense! We have Denard Span, who despite having his best year ever last year after years of crap in the minors, we are sure will get better! We have Mike Cuddyer, who does magic tricks in the clubhouse and throws hard! We have Jason Kubel, who showed grit by coming back from an injury! We have Jason Pridie and Luis Matos in AAA, and they both can run fast! We already have the worthless Delmon Young, who I'll trade for a bowling ball! Why add another guy that won't play the Twins way?
(Ron Gardenhire from Metrodome)
I don't know that I can add anything to that except, "Also, he costs money."

...Jim in PA, email me with your bona fides. (Steven Goldman)
2009-02-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Over/Under on the number of AL teams that will get significantly worse DH production compared to what you could reasonably expect Manny or Adam Dunn to produce?
(Aaron from YYZ)
11.5. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-01-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)How much do we bump down unsigned players in calculating our keeper lists? Adam Dunn, I'm starting at you.
(Jim Clancy from Exhibition Stadium)
I'm pretty positive guys like Dunn will have a job by the time it matters. They are just going to have to take a one-year deal for less money than they thought they would make in order to do so. I think if you're desperate for a tiebreaker in a close keeper race, you could use it, but I would still be afraid that would come back and bite me when he signs with someone in an offensive park or something. (Marc Normandin)
2009-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Where does a player like Adam Dunn land in this mess of a marketplace? I can't think of any good fits off the top of my head (maybe Anaheim?) where his skillset meshes well with the team's needs and likely tolerances...
(Aaron from YYZ)
It's difficult to believe that a 29-year-old who's reached 40 homers in each of hte last five seasons won't find a home eventually. Slotted at first base, he'd be a decent play for the Nationals, who could undoubtedly use his thump. I've argued before (http://vault.sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vault/article/web/COM1148908/index.htm) that he would make good sense for the Dodgers in the event they don't re-sign Manny Ramirez, since they haven't had a player top 20 homers since Jeff Kent in 2005. Though he lacks Manny's charisma, even moving into the least hitter-friendly park of his career he'd be an imposing middle-of-the-order presence, and he's hardly a major step down from Manny defensively. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-12-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)Where is Adam Dunn going?
(HonusCobb from Wayne, NE)
That's a great question that some of us were kicking around in the press room yesterday. I'll say the Nats if they don't sign Teixeira with the Mariners also a possibility. (John Perrotto)
2008-12-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Where do you see Adam Dunn signing?
(Steve from NJ)
Lots of AL teams could use him--I kind of like the Indians sneaking in late to grab him. They could float him in three corners and treat him as Hafner insurance as well. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-11-03 13:30:00 (link to chat)Adam Dunn in a Yankee uniform at first base .... give him 3 years and 36 million. Deal?
(dianagramr from NYC)
Hi Diana... not a chance, not at that price. He should and will cost more than that, and I'm not sure he wants to sign a "contender's discount" deal, no matter how long he was in Cincinnati. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-11-03 13:30:00 (link to chat)Where would Adam Dunn be most appreciated: Washington, Kansas City, S.F.?
(basicslop from albuquerque)
Giants fans might appreciate a certain Bonds-yness in the production, Royals fans might dig the personality, and Nats fans might just enjoy seeing a major league hitter. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-08-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)you act like dunn isnt a valuable property..isnt adding a 40hr/100 walk guy worth a lot these days?
(JROB4349 from jax,fl)
He is. He's a good player now. However, he's a player with old players' skills, one who may not be able to play left field too far into his thirties. Being a good player now doesn't necessarily make you a good free-agent signing. I don't think I want a 33-year-old Adam Dunn at $18 million. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-07-30 12:30:00 (link to chat)Why is nobody interested in Adam Dunn? If the Mets are after Ibanez, who is a lefty and plays bad defense, shouldn't they also be after Dunn, who is better offensively and maybe even defensively?
(big baby from nj)
That is a great mystery and I don't have an answer. It's going to be quite interesting what happens if the Reds decline his option and he becomes a free agent. I wonder what the market will be for him? (John Perrotto)
2008-07-30 12:30:00 (link to chat)So what's the deal with Adam Dunn? Why are teams so put off by him? Is he really that bad of a guy?
(Brent from Raleigh)
He's actually a good guy. I don't know why there is so little interest. I really don't. (John Perrotto)
2008-07-29 16:00:00 (link to chat)What is the story with Adam Dunn? From everything I've read, there's overwhelming apathy (if that's not an oxymoron) toward a 28-year-old guy who generally puts up 40-HR, 100-RBI, 100-RS, 100-BB, .380-OBP seasons, and whose defense seems to have made some improvements. Why are media types and general managers so unwilling to see Dunn's prodigious talents and instead focus on the things he does poorly? It really seems like we're in a bizarro world every time I read another thing about how there is no interest in Dunn, how he might not even be offered arbitration (as Joel Sherman once reported in the NY post). It just seems absurd to me. Thoughts?
(BDesrochers from New York, NY)
I'm with you. At worst, he's better than Xavier Nady on a true talent basis, though on a value or short-term basis, you can argue for Nady. I'd think that Dunn would have value, but over and over, there's just not much interest. Makes me wonder how he'll fare on the free agent market, especially given no room at the inn for both Texas teams. (Will Carroll)
2008-07-29 16:00:00 (link to chat)80s analogy of the day: Adam Dunn: Austin Kearns = Eric Davis: Kal Daniels
(DrManhattan from NY, NY)
You looked good in the Watchmen trailer, Doc. (Will Carroll)
2008-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts about Chris Davis so far? Adam Dunn with less on base skills?
(ew from Madison)
That guy can't play in the majors, if so. There should be some development left, which would make the difference between him being Paul Sorrento and, say, Paul Konerko. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-07-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Where does Adam Dunn finish the year?
(Carlos from CA)
I wish the Padres would come out of nowhere and pick him up, then sign him to an extension. I know they need defense in that expansive outfield, but they also really, really need more bats than Brian Giles and Adrian Gonzalez. (Marc Normandin)
2008-07-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is punting average a viable strategy in head-to-head? There are values to be had in terms of hitters (Encarnacion, Cameron, Jacobs), but I'm wondering if you leave yourself vulnerable to your whole team slumping.
(ted from the cubicle)
I'm not a big fan of punting average, just because usually the guys that do well there are your best players in other categories. You're right - there's some value with the low average guys that do well in others (see also Adam Dunn, Rickie Weeks), but yeah, if they all go bad at the same time, then you're probably stuck in all the offensive categories across the boards. I think punting is still a good h-to-h strategy, but moreso with saves and/or SB's. (Jeff Erickson)
2008-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see a good fit for Adam Dunn among any of the contenders? Rays, Jays, A's, Twins?
(Jonathan from Cincy)
I kind of like the idea that he'd go to Tampa Bay, because it might be the sort of place he'd re-up with, and it would be a signature statement of sorts by the organization. But remember, he's got a limited no-trade clause, and can only be dealt to ten teams; for tax reasons, the weather, and that sort of stuff, I can see how Tampa Bay would be agreeable to him, not to mention joining a fun team in the hunt. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-06-20 13:30:00 (link to chat)Cito Gaston...
(brian from brooklyn)
For those who haven't caught it, the Jays fired John Gibbons--was there a conference call over the weekend or something?--and hired Cito Gaston to manage out the year. To their credit, the Jays did manage to not just hire a coach on staff, which had been the mistake the last two times they did this in the Ricciardi Era. (If you've fired your manager midseason three times in seven season, your processes are wrong.) Gaston inherits an excellent pitching staff, good defense, and terrible offense that won't be adding Adam Dunn anytime soon. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-05-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jay, thanks for the chat. What do you think about the rumors that Griffey will be dealt back to the Mariners, or that they'll possibly try and land Adam Dunn? Does Triunfel's recent suspension lead them to dangle his name to get someone like Dunn?
(Paul from Tacoma)
Sticking with the Mariners, the Griffey idea is a silly one. Junior's not hitting (.250/.335/.369) and not worth the prospects, particularly in a system that already traded its best/readiest one for Erik Bedard. Balantien's only hitting .219/.265/.453, but he's got four homers, while the rest of the team has just nine since his recall.

I could maybe see going after Dunn because he's a much better hitter at this stage, but he's a big guy with old player skills, which kind of scares me when it comes to a contract renewal and probably isn't worth the price of just a rental.

The bottom line is that the Mariners are 18-27 and going nowhere fast. I don't think adding one hitter is going to change things, particularly at the price either of those two hitters is likely to command. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-04-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)Along the same lines as the Tamp Starters question, should I be looking to move one of Chris Young, Justin Upton, or Mark Reynolds? Not only are they all on the same team but they are all right handed making their value run that much closer together on a day to day basis.
(Forden from Alberta)
I'd move Reynolds. His strikeout rate is bothersome, and that's coming from someone with an Adam Dunn t-shirt in his closet. (Marc Normandin)
2008-02-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do the Indians have the prospects to pull off an Adam Dunn deal? Doesn't that make absolute perfect sense? Is Shoppach for Dunn a pipe dream?
(Louis from Akron, Oh)
He's not the type of player the Indians typically pursue. He would, however, be a good fit for them.

The Reds seem likely to keep Dunn until they know they can't win in 2008. When they do decide to deal him, I can't help but think they'd want to do it out of state. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-01-15 14:30:00 (link to chat)Marc, which of the Phillies big sticks, Utley/Rollins/Howard, is most likely to see regression this year? Do you think any will get even better? Gotta know which token philly I'll have to overdraft this year to make sure I represent...
(Will from New Orleans)
I'd have to go with Rollins. Utley surprised me with a season that was probably in line to be better than the one before it. Howard = Adam Dunn for the most part, so his line is fine to me. The thing with Rollins is that he hit 20 triples...I'm fine with the homers--his HR/FB was actually a tad lower in 2007 than in 2006--and BABIP. 20 triples though? You'd have to think some of those will end up in outfield gloves next year, though that won't impact his performance too much from a fantasy perspective or even for the Phils. Since I had to choose one of the three though... (Marc Normandin)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener Roundtablenoahbraun (San Diego): Can anyone make an arguement against Adrian Gonzalez being the leagues most valuable player? most valuable to his team. without Gonzalez the Padres would be in 6th place (hint to joke. only 5 teams in west)

First person to came to mind when I read this was Ryan Zimmerman. You could make an argument, I suppose, about Adam Dunn being the second bopper, but Zimmerman is a much more complete player. (Steph Bee)
2008-10-10 13:30:00Friday LCSAndrew asks: "Wouldn't a DH with power be a great fit for the Rays in the offseason, particularly if the economy depresses insane multi-year deals?"

Well, yes, assuming they don't bring back Floyd and Baldelli. I'm not sure who that DH with power might be. Adam Dunn? (Will Carroll)
 

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