Biographical

Portrait of Rafael Devers

Rafael Devers 3B  

CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Red Sox Player Cards | Red Sox Team Audit | Red Sox Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 22)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
411 .250 16 48 53 4 100 1.8
Birth Date10-24-1996
Height6' 0"
Weight237 lbs
Age22 years, 6 months, 29 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2015
2016
1.62017
2.82018
1.82019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2017 BOS 20 58 240 63 14 0 10 18 57 0 3 1 .284 .338 .482 106 2.6 0.2 4.9 1.6
2018 BOS 21 121 490 108 24 0 21 38 121 0 5 2 .240 .298 .433 94 -1.7 1.7 11.2 2.8
2019 BOS 22 48 201 57 12 0 5 20 30 1 6 3 .320 .390 .472 115 4.5 1.5 2.3 1.5
Career22793122850036762081146.268.328.4541025.43.418.35.8

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2014 DRS Rk DSL 28 128 .000 .000 .000 .386 0.0 163 0 0.0 0.0 7.5 0.0
2014 RSX Rk GCL 42 174 .000 .000 .000 .363 0.0 176 0 0.0 0.0 5.5 0.0
2015 GRN A SAL 115 508 .264 .331 .379 .326 100 11.4 14.0 -2 115 0 -8.9 1.6 -1.4 0.3
2016 SLM A+ CAR 128 546 .260 .330 .390 .328 108 7 15.6 1.2 106 0 22.2 -1.2 -10.7 2.8
2016 ESC Wnt DWL 25 78 .000 .000 .000 .295 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2017 BOS MLB AL 58 240 .239 .308 .397 .342 104 3.6 7.0 0.9 106 12 4.9 0.2 2.6 1.6
2017 PME AA EAS 77 320 .254 .324 .389 .316 105 18.5 8.7 0 154 0 4.6 -0.7 12.0 2.7
2017 PAW AAA INT 9 38 .269 .336 .412 .480 95 4.2 1.1 0.1 148 0 -2.1 0.1 1.5 0.1
2018 BOS MLB AL 121 490 .252 .322 .421 .281 107 -3.8 13.7 1.7 94 9 11.2 1.7 -1.7 2.8
2018 LOW A- NYP 1 4 .235 .320 .384 .000 106 0.2 0.1 0 88 0 0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.0
2018 PAW AAA INT 6 22 .218 .285 .367 .429 94 1.8 0.6 0 123 0 0.0 -0.3 0.3 0.1
2019 BOS MLB AL 48 201 .249 .325 .434 .361 115 7.9 5.8 0.7 115 14 2.3 1.5 4.5 1.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2014 DRS Rk DSL 128 104 26 35 6 3 3 56 21 21 20 4 1 .337 .445 .538 .202 2
2014 RSX Rk GCL 174 157 21 49 11 2 4 76 36 14 30 1 0 .312 .374 .484 .172 1
2015 GRN A SAL 508 469 71 135 38 1 11 208 70 24 84 3 2 .288 .329 .443 .156 6 1
2016 SLM A+ CAR 546 503 64 142 32 8 11 223 71 40 94 18 6 .282 .335 .443 .161 2 0
2016 ESC Wnt DWL 78 74 6 18 4 0 0 22 4 4 13 0 0 .243 .282 .297 .054 0 0
2017 PAW AAA INT 38 35 6 14 1 0 2 21 4 3 8 0 0 .400 .447 .600 .200 0 0
2017 PME AA EAS 320 287 48 86 19 3 18 165 56 31 55 0 3 .300 .369 .575 .275 1 0
2017 BOS MLB AL 240 222 34 63 14 0 10 107 30 18 57 3 1 .284 .338 .482 .198 0 0
2018 PAW AAA INT 22 21 3 7 2 0 1 12 2 1 6 0 0 .333 .364 .571 .238 0 0
2018 LOW A- NYP 4 4 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 1.000 .750 0 0
2018 BOS MLB AL 490 450 59 108 24 0 21 195 66 38 121 5 2 .240 .298 .433 .193 2 0
2019 BOS MLB AL 201 178 32 57 12 0 5 84 26 20 30 6 3 .320 .390 .472 .152 1 1

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2017 892 0.4619 0.5045 0.7333 0.6481 0.3813 0.7865 0.6557 0.2667 0.0000
2018 1827 0.4494 0.5189 0.7236 0.7138 0.3598 0.8003 0.5994 0.2764 0.0000
2019 737 0.4423 0.5183 0.7644 0.7239 0.3552 0.8093 0.6918 0.2356 0.0000
Career34560.45110.51510.73480.69900.36440.79870.63360.26520.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 BOS $614,500
2018 BOS $564,500
2017 BOS $
YearsDescriptionSalary
1 yrPrevious$564,500
2019Current$614,500
2 yrPvs + Cur$1,179,000
2 yrTotal$1,179,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 70 dRep 1 Baseball1 year/$614,500 (2019)

Details
  • 1 year/$614,500 (2019). Re-signed by Boston 3/19.
  • 1 year/$0.5645M (2018). Re-signed by Boston 3/18.
  • 1 year (2017). Contract selected by Boston 7/24/17.
  • Signed by Boston 8/9/13 as an amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic. $1.5M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 458 59 114 23 1 19 65 43 100 5 2 .277 .349 .477 118 24.4 3B 8 3.4
80o 442 55 107 22 1 18 61 40 99 4 2 .269 .339 .465 112 19.0 3B 8 2.8
70o 430 53 101 21 1 17 58 38 97 4 2 .260 .329 .451 107 15.4 3B 8 2.5
60o 420 50 96 20 1 16 55 36 96 4 2 .253 .319 .437 103 12.5 3B 8 2.1
50o 411 48 93 19 1 16 53 35 95 4 2 .250 .316 .435 100 9.8 3B 7 1.8
40o 402 46 88 18 1 15 51 33 94 4 2 .241 .306 .419 96 7.3 3B 7 1.5
30o 392 44 84 17 1 14 48 31 93 3 2 .235 .299 .406 92 4.8 3B 7 1.2
20o 380 41 79 16 1 13 46 29 91 3 2 .228 .290 .392 87 1.8 3B 7 0.9
10o 364 38 72 15 1 12 42 27 89 3 1 .216 .278 .375 81 -1.9 3B 7 0.5
Weighted Mean41248931911653359542.249.315.43310010.33B 71.8

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG DRC+ WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
202023564731322712174471245.259.324.4421012.612.40.9-4.114.51.111.5
202124556721292612172501215.257.327.4371012.511.80.9-4.214.30.711.3
202225560741312712275501225.261.331.4501042.814.60.8-4.414.43.811.4
202326549731282612274501224.262.333.4541062.915.70.8-4.414.15.211.2
202427537711242512172481184.257.328.4451032.612.70.7-4.513.82.710.9
202528539711242512172471193.257.326.4431022.411.40.7-4.713.91.511.0
202629521691212512070471142.259.329.4481032.512.00.7-4.613.42.610.6
202730519691212512169471141.257.327.4461032.411.60.7-4.813.32.310.6
202831505661152311967461120.255.326.4401012.29.90.7-4.813.01.010.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 68)

Rank Score Name Year DRC+ Trend
1 79 Addison Russell 2016 92
2 78 Brett Lawrie 2012 95
3 78 Xander Bogaerts 2015 105
4 78 Ryan Zimmerman 2007 103
5 77 Rougned Odor 2016 111
6 76 Manny Machado 2015 135
7 75 Freddie Freeman 2012 115
8 75 Eric Hosmer 2012 88
9 74 Jay Bruce 2009 103
10 74 Andy Marte 2006 85
11 73 Billy Butler 2008 98
12 72 Nomar Mazara 2017 91
13 72 Miles Head 2013 0 DNP
14 72 Christian Yelich 2014 103
15 71 Dilson Herrera 2016 0 DNP
16 71 Maikel Franco 2015 119
17 70 Adam Jones 2008 84
18 70 Travis Snider 2010 99
19 70 Mike Moustakas 2011 86
20 70 Corey Seager 2016 122
21 70 Justin Upton 2010 103
22 70 Matt Davidson 2013 85
23 70 David Wright 2005 141
24 69 Troy Tulowitzki 2007 108
25 69 B.J. Upton 2007 127
26 69 Chris Carter 2009 0 DNP
27 69 Delmon Young 2008 96
28 69 Travis Fryman 1991 97
29 68 Jeff Francoeur 2006 86
30 68 Austin Hays 2018 0 DNP
31 68 Lonnie Chisenhall 2011 89
32 68 Matt Kemp 2007 110
33 68 Alex Liddi 2011 79
34 68 Kyle Blanks 2009 102
35 68 Lastings Milledge 2007 91
36 68 Prince Fielder 2006 104
37 67 Oswaldo Arcia 2013 94
38 67 Austin Meadows 2017 0 DNP
39 67 Ron Santo 1962 88
40 67 Anthony Rizzo 2012 116
41 67 Brandon Laird 2010 0 DNP
42 67 Fernando Martinez 2011 73
43 67 Renato Nunez 2016 75
44 67 Shed Long 2018 0 DNP
45 67 Carlos Correa 2017 140
46 67 Starlin Castro 2012 101
47 67 Franklin Barreto 2018 76
48 66 Rowdy Tellez 2017 0 DNP
49 66 Scott Rolen 1997 112
50 66 Dayan Viciedo 2011 78
51 66 Francisco Lindor 2016 110
52 66 Andrew Benintendi 2017 107
53 66 Melky Cabrera 2007 82
54 66 Freddie Lindstrom 1928 124
55 66 Roy Howell 1976 81
56 66 Joc Pederson 2014 79
57 66 Byron Buxton 2016 70
58 66 Tyler Austin 2014 0 DNP
59 66 Joel Guzman 2007 64
60 66 Wil Myers 2013 114
61 66 Michael Chavis 2018 0 DNP
62 66 Howard Johnson 1983 93
63 66 Jesus Montero 2012 100
64 65 Nicholas Castellanos 2014 91
65 65 Logan Morrison 2010 100
66 65 Matt Dominguez 2012 98
67 65 Adrian Beltre 2001 89
68 65 Carney Lansford 1979 100
69 65 Clint Frazier 2017 82
70 65 Willy Adames 2018 100
71 65 Ian Happ 2017 106
72 65 Hank Aaron 1956 131
73 64 Jason Heyward 2012 118
74 64 Cal Ripken Jr. 1983 137
75 64 Colby Rasmus 2009 88
76 64 Gary Sanchez 2015 68
77 64 Jason Martin 2018 0 DNP
78 64 Brett Phillips 2016 0 DNP
79 64 Mat Gamel 2008 99
80 64 Brian McCann 2006 135
81 64 Eddie Murray 1978 131
82 64 Andruw Jones 1999 116
83 64 Jeremy Hermida 2006 77
84 64 Miguel Cabrera 2005 147
85 64 Gene Freese 1956 70
86 64 Brett Jackson 2011 0 DNP
87 64 Willie Calhoun 2017 87
88 63 Franmil Reyes 2018 112
89 63 Christian Villanueva 2013 0 DNP
90 63 Anthony Santander 2017 74
91 63 Dale Berra 1979 79
92 63 Alex Rodriguez 1998 133
93 63 Derek Fisher 2016 0 DNP
94 63 Jose Lopez 2006 84
95 63 Carlos Baerga 1991 108
96 63 Jonathan Rodriguez 2012 0 DNP
97 63 Ben Chapman 1931 128
98 63 Cecil Travis 1936 98
99 63 Sam Travis 2016 0 DNP
100 63 Yoan Moncada 2017 92

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 The Red Sox have developed lots of special young hitters over the past few years, but what Devers did in 2017 is remarkable even by Boston’s lofty standards. Despite entering the season with no experience above High-A, Devers ended it batting seventh for the Red Sox in the ALDS. The Sox made an earnest attempt not to rush him, giving all sorts of riff-raff playing time at third base. But by late July, they had to accept that Devers was too good for the minor leagues. He proved that point by finishing in the top 20 in TAv among third basemen with 240 PA, doing so before he turned 21 years old. Devers’ swing is as sweet as his face is young, and he’s got a chance for double-plus game power as he grows into his already-thick body. He’s also got the arm and instincts for third, though his range leaves something to be desired. That’s nitpicking, though; Devers is an above-average MLB hitter right now, and if he reaches his ceiling he could occupy the cleanup spot in Boston’s lineup for the better part of the next decade.
2017 Despite being younger for his levels than a Chinese gymnast at the 2008 Olympic Games (topical, no?), Devers continues to mash. Thanks to his sweet, lefty swing and continually developing power, Devers can get by on natural ability in the mid-minors. As he advances he’ll need to refine his approach, but Devers’ bat should play even at first base. That’s good, because while Devers has a strong arm and decent hands, his thick lower half and lack of elite athleticism could eventually give him as much range as Sanjaya Malakar (even more topical, no?). That said, he did post the best FRAA of any third baseman in the minors this year. Devers could camp out in Portland for two seasons and still be young for his level. He’s as good a bet as any to enter 2018 as Boston’s [DD note: or some other team’s] top prospect.
2016 Articles about Devers lend themselves to the same hyperbolic headlines as particularly brutal Jon Stewart takedowns: Watch Rafael Devers Absolutely Destroy This Baseball. This Fastball Was Eviscerated By Rafael Devers. Rafael Devers Is Molecularly Deconstructing Low-A Pitching. Given the sweet-swinging lefty bat's power, age and results, it's easy to understand why; anytime a teenager dominates at the plate the way Devers has before his 19th birthday, there's going to be excitement. But despite his youth, pop and bat-to-barrel skills, Devers isn't perfect. His walk rate fell below 5 percent last year, he's not terribly athletic and so far he looks more like a first baseman than a third baseman. Power comes at a premium today, and if his hit and pop both grade out as plus, not a lot else will matter. Still, he'll need to at least refine his approach if he wants to put on a daily show in the big leagues.
2015 In his first professional season, Devers wasted no time showing why he was regarded as one of the 2013 international signing period's best prospects. Younger than the Tampa Bay Rays franchise and with a sweet, left-handed swing that promises power, Devers laid waste to the Dominican Summer League before helping lead Boston's GCL affiliate to a championship. He hit for power and average and controlled the strike zone, and while he might eventually outgrow third base he has the instincts and arm for the position. Despite the bevy of young talent they've nurtured, the Red Sox have struggled to develop reliable sources of power in recent years. Devers is still three-to-five years away from the majors, but he has a chance to buck that trend.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Rafael Devers

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2018-02-06 15:00:00 (link to chat)After selling at the deadline last season, I have a lot of keeper options to sort through. I am in a standard 12-team mixed-league 5x5 roto league with a $260 budget, but we use OBP instead of AVG and SV + 1/2 H instead of just saves. We can keep 5 MLB players; the first year without a price increase, in subsequent years price goes up $10 each year. We can also keep one minor leaguer (I have both Mejia and Acuna and could burn an MLB slot on one of them if I want) I have the following possible keepers: Nomar Mazara $11 Justin Turner $9 Gio Gonzalez $4 Jerad Eickhoff $2 Jon Gray $2 Julio Teheran $2 Orlando Arcia $2 Joey Gallo $1 Rafael Devers $1 Rhys Hoskins $1 Travis Shaw $1 Francisco Mejia $1 Ronald Acuna $1 Which 6 would you keep?
(bmmcmahon from Los Angeles)
As much as I think he's the safest bet here, I'm tempted to throw back Turner just based the on the savings and your quantity of $1 options. I'll say Turner, Gallo, Devers, Hoskins, Shaw, Acuna, but I wouldn't blame you for saving the money on Turner and keeping Gray instead. (Darius Austin)
2017-09-29 12:00:00 (link to chat)I managed to grab 3 studs at 3B on my keeper team, and really only have room to keep 2 next season as we only have one Util spot. It's an OBP league, where you add $10 to the keepers, so I'll get each guy for $11 next year, $21 the next, etc. How do you rank Rafael Devers, Anthony Rendon and Miguel Sano?
(matzabal from CO)
I think Rendon is the easy call here. Established major leaguer entering his peak, looks just like Handsome Rusev. What's not to like? Devers and Sano are both my large Dominican adult sons, and the OBP factor helps Sano, but he's likely not a long term third baseman, the body is a becoming an issue, and he's yet to play 120 games in a season. I'd take Devers if pressed, but it's well within the fudge factor. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)I ended up with a 3 headed monster at 3B on my keeper team: Rafael Devers, Anthony Rendon, and Miguel Sano. Given they will all cost about the same to keep, how would you rank them?
(matzabal from CO)
That's pretty impressive. Given that they're all really good it depends a lot on your scoring format--OBP league? Penalty for Ks? And how long do you get to keep them? Draft pick penalties attached? How many 3Bs can you start at once?

Rendon is probably the best all around player of the three, but you might need dingers more than his versatility, and he has the longest track record of injury. Then again, Rendon is also the most likely to stay at 3B in three years or so, as Sano and Devers seem like they'll be 1B eventually. (Nick Schaefer)
2017-07-31 23:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on what you gave seen so far from Devers? What is his offensive ceiling?
(Colin from Austin)
Rafael Devers is who we thought he was, and that is very, very exciting. I've heard from multiple sources in the northeast who aren't prone to gushing about *anybody* gush about his stick, and everything I've seen on the teevee jives from afar. Let me reiterate that he is very, very exciting. (Wilson Karaman)
2017-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Rob. When can we expect to see Rafael Devers at Fenway?? Any thoughts on his floor/ceiling??
(Billy from Beantown)
OK, more proof that I don't know from prospects: Here is how I handle questions like this, Billy. (1) Look up the guy in the BP Annual. If the questioner doesn't include the team name-thank you for doing so here-I usually have to look in the index to find out for what team he plays. (2) Read what's in the Annual. (3) Go to the site, hope there's a scouting report and a recent post. Cha-ching! Both for Devers. (4) Read them both. (5) Make a wild guess. Here it is: The Red Sox need help at the infield corners, and Devers seems destined for first. But he hasn't played there. So the question is, could we see a guy who's not on the 40-man zip through AAA and take over third before the season's out? I'd doubt it. He'll be in Boston next year unless something goes haywire, though. (For those of you who don't follow the Sox, Red Sox third basemen are hitting .200/.253/.312 so far this year. That's a .565 OPS. Devers is SLUGGING higher--.573--in AA) (Rob Mains)
2017-05-22 23:00:00 (link to chat)Please rank in order of highest fantasy upside: Kyle Tucker, Vlad Guerrero, Rafael Devers, Juan Soto (this is my order)... Thank you!
(TrickDaddy14 from Bronx, NY)
Strictly ceiling, no regard for proximity/risk/etc.? Vladito, Devers, Tucker, Soto for me (Wilson Karaman)
2017-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Rafael Devers a third baseman long term?
(someguynamedkenn from someplaceinNJ)
The body could make that difficult, but based on what I saw a few weeks ago, I don't see why not. Long term might be to like 27 or something though. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jeffrey, Thanks for the chat. When should we expect to see Rafael Devers at Fenway?? Also, what's his expected upside?? Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
(Billy from Beantown)
I think he could handle a major league assignment by the end of this year, but I don't think he gets rushed. Upside here is an all-star level third baseman with more all-around skills than you'd think looking at the body. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are the most important mechanical things to look at when evaluating hitters?
(steve from NY)
Are they Rafael Devers? (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dear Jeffrey, I'm sure you will, but please sing loudly the praises of Mr. Rafael Devers.
(CyMature from Cooperstown Rest Home)
It is going to be difficult for me to find five prospects better than him for our midseason 50. I think he can handle third in the majors. Sneaky athletic, and the offensive tools are plus. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)How does Rafael Devers pronounce his last name?
(Mark Reilly from Salem, Ma)
DEH-vers per the Hartford PA guy. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Rafael Devers reaches his potential, what would his best season look like?
(cracker73 from Florida)
.300/.350/.550 (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-03-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Expected production from prime Rafael Devers?
(grimoren189 from Houston)
A good-hitting third baseman who produces enough offensively to be fine living with less than stellar defense. Long way to go still. (Aaron Gleeman)
2016-12-08 23:00:00 (link to chat)Is Rafael Devers a top 10 prospect now?
(cracker73 from Florida)
Not by the early iterations of our 101 discussions, no. We had him 19th in the mid-season update last July though, and my guess is he winds up somewhere around there again? A few slots higher? Whatever, that's all arbitrary anyway. The punchline that matters is that he's one among a dozen or so of the best young hitters in the minor leagues right now. Side note: good lord, the carnage to our Red Sox Top 10 list! http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30775 (Wilson Karaman)
2017-01-18 20:00:00 (link to chat)Rafael Devers: can he hit 3rd or 4th someday in Boston?
(CyMature from Cooperstown Rest Home)
Yes he can. (Bret Sayre)
2016-11-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Jarrett, Headed your way: Rafael Devers! Michael Kopech! Enjoy!!
(CyMature from Cooperstown Rest Home)
I've seen both of these guys already to be honest. Kopech fascinates me and Portland usually plays a ton in Trenton so it's very exciting. (Jarrett Seidler)
2016-09-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Moving forward, please rank these guys on their offensive production potential only... Juan Soto, Isan Diaz, Eloy Jimenez, Victor Robles, Rafael Devers, Ronald Acuna. Thank you
(Randy from Chippewa)
Just offense, I'd go: Jimenez, Devers, Robles, Diaz, Acuna, Soto. That's a good group. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-09-07 19:00:00 (link to chat)BEST Prospect nobody is talking about?
(Seth from CT)
Is Rafael Devers too good for this? He got off to an awful start, but his 2016 is now like a dead ringer for his 2015, and he's still young and still in a horrible place to hit. Yet, it seems like he's lost in the shuffle. (Jarrett Seidler)
2016-08-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, JP!! Looks like Rafael Devers has righted the ship after a rough start. Where do you see him fitting into the top 100 prospects and, more importantly, when can we expect to see him in Boston? Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
(Billy from Beantown )
Absolutely think Devers can be a top-100 prospect. Given his age and the likelihood that Boston won't wait for Devers to arrive if third base becomes a major issue in the next couple of years, I think May-June 2019 seems to be a reasonable timeline. (J.P. Breen)
2016-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks Adam. Rafael Devers has had a great 2nd half and is still young (turns 20 in October) for Hi A. Do you see him as a big impact bat, or just an average or slightly above average player?
(Keith from Farmington, CT)
I can see both happening, actually, and the variable it comes down to is how well he develops the mental aspect of his approach. He's got all the hitting tools in the world in terms of bat-speed and size, ability to still drive the ball with power even if he's working inside out. There's no question that he'll put swings on the ball sometimes that are very impressive for his age and level of the minors. It's been enthusing to see him continue to get better as the year has progressed going up against older guys.

If the bat holds up a little bit, it will be because of an over-aggressive approach that gets itself out with inability to track secondary pitches. I've also seen some struggles against lefties all season long, though overall he's kept his strikeout rates fairly low. (Adam McInturff)
2016-08-15 22:00:00 (link to chat)Something caught my eye on Rafael Devers' player page...his overall batting line remains virtually the same this year as it was in 2015 (even with his move up a level). BUT...his FRAA is significantly higher this year....do scouting reports support this regarding a marked improvement in his defense? I know there are some concerns about his ability to stick on 3B, if there has been an improvement, that is a really big boost to his profile.
(JoshC77 from Not working)
I'd urge at least a handful of salt grains re: minor league fielding metrics, as field quality, positioning, and general development curves are extremely non-standard. That said, he's started to grow into his body some this year and there's enough athleticism to suggest that he can continue giving it a go at the hot corner for the foreseeable future. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-06-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)What can we attribute to the struggles of Anderson Espinoza and Rafael Devers? Is it just youth or something else alarming and do you expect them to both bounce back? Thank you
(BoDaddy14 from Bawston)
Baseball is really, really hard. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-06-16 21:00:00 (link to chat)Rafael Devers finally picking it up this month. Do you still see him being a future stud?
(Mark from Dc)
Yep. He's fine. (Bret Sayre)
2016-06-21 20:00:00 (link to chat)Top Prospect in 2018? 2019?
(Dwayne from B Town)
I gave this answer earlier but I'll repeat it:

2017: Yoan Moncada
2018: Rafael Devers
2019: Gleyber Torres (Scooter Hotz)
2016-06-21 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who are the 5 best players in A ball not named Victor or Yoan (since he's called up anyways)?
(Rawnie from Boston)
Rafael Devers, Gleyber Torres, Ian Happ, Bobby Bradley, Cornelius Randolph (obligatory homer pick) (Scooter Hotz)
2016-06-21 20:00:00 (link to chat)Top prospect in 2017, 2018, & beyond?
(FutureIsNow from Right Here)
2017: Yoan Moncada
2018: Rafael Devers
2019: Gleyber Torres (Scooter Hotz)
2016-05-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)The Red Sox need pitching. The Braves are willing to deal Julio Teheran. I didn't realize how long Teheran was under control and how cheap he is, relative to what pitchers are getting on the market now. What type of package would the Red Sox have to give up for him?
(Bryan from Boston)
Note that I am *awful* at building fake trade packages.
That being said, I've also had Teheran in my head as someone that the Red Sox (and the Dodgers) could trade for. He's a good-but-not-great young arm with years of control, so he'll cost more than you think. Coppy and Hart will likely try to squeeze someone like Rafael Devers or Michael Kopech out of this deal. Whether or not Dombrowski balks at that is another matter. (Nicolas Stellini)
2016-05-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you secretly enjoying the early season struggles of Rafael Devers?? Any long term concerns??
(Billy from Beantown)
Hah, I don't enjoy many people struggling. He's only 19, so I think you can wait a couple years before freaking out. Pitchers tend to do this sometimes. (Kenny Ducey)
2016-05-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Sam, thanks for the chat. Any idea what's causing the early season struggles of Rafael Devers?? Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
(Billy from Beantown)
Age and level (Sam Miller)
2016-04-25 23:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Wilson - 12 team 5x5 root dynasty, 10 player minor league system... Ian Happ is currently a free agent. I have no one to drop, my bottom few guys are Lewis Brinson, Sean Manaea, Rafael Devers, and Byron Buxton. Would you suggest trying to move a couple of them together for someone to make room for Ian or no? I am very bullish on Manaea, I know he's the easy answer to move. What are your thoughts on my situation and Happ's ceiling? Thank you.
(TrickDaddy14 from Yompton)
I've liked watching Happ hit since the Cape a couple summers ago, and especially if he stays at 2B as the Cubs seem committed to trying, I really like him as a dynasty asset. I get that you like Manaea, but in a league that shallow I'd strongly prefer Happ. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Matthew!! Rafael Devers appears to be struggling at Hi A Salem. Can you shed any light on his performance to date?? Any long term concerns surfacing?? Thanks for sharing your thoughts!!
(Billy from Beantown)
I can't; sorry. I've seen the numbers, but don't know enough about the player or the actual play to speak with authority. Ask Craij? (Matthew Trueblood)
2016-01-27 19:00:00 (link to chat)If you could choose any 3 for a dynasty league who would you choose between Brendan Rodgers, AJ Reed, Bradley Zimmer, Victor Robles, Andrew Benintendi, Rafael Devers? Note the scorable categories are singles, doubles, triples, HR, RBI, runs, batting avg, OBP, SBs. 10 team only 50 minor league keepers total in the league, so general value ceiling over floor. Thanks!
(Rusty Greer from Texas)
Rodgers, Robles and Zimmer for me, with Devers right there as well. I could see Reed being swapped in if you want someone closer to the majors, too. But just based on upside I'd leave him out. (Matt Collins)
2016-02-03 20:00:00 (link to chat)Shallow OBP dynasty league. I like my team's chances going into next year. Due to trades last year, I have the 2nd pick in this years draft. Do I spend my pick on Stroman or Matz, even though they probably would be my 6 best starter, or draft high upside prospects like Anderson Espinoza, Rafael Devers, or Victor Robles to sit on. Depth isn't a bad thing, but those guys won't be around in the 2nd after their breakout years.
(Alex from CA)
Stroman......Matz....................................the rest of those guys. Always take the best player in the first round and worry about roster construction later, especially when the best player is in the major leagues and the others are in the low minors. (Greg Wellemeyer)
2015-07-28 18:00:00 (link to chat)Mauricio, I've been hearing a lot about Rafael Devers. What's his likely progression to Fenway?? Thanks for sharing your thoughts!
(Billy from Beantown)
Eventually a move over to first base will be discussed because Devers lacks the athleticism to stick at third base. That's fine though because his bat is ridiculous and loaded with power. (Mauricio Rubio)
2015-07-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Lots of fast risers on this list. Who are some of your best bets for continuing their ascent to the top of this list or to the majors this season? Is it high tool types such as Manuel Margot or Nick Williams or more polished types like an Aaron Nola?
(LoyalRoyal from Kansas, USA)
I can't imagine Nola goes a whole lot further up, mainly because he'll probably be in the majors before the season is out. This could easily be his last list.

Margot is a candidate to rise, as is his fellow organization-mate Rafael Devers. That guy may have the best hit tool/power combo on this list. Williams has also made great strides this season, showing a rare improvement in his approach and patience and even converting me. I've been one of the most outspoken guys against Williams in the past simply because we almost never see this kind of change from a guy this far into his development, but far be it for me to ignore it when it happens and kudos to Williams for figuring it out, at least to some extent. I'm in. (Jeff Moore)
2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rank the Greenville infielders in order of wishing they were Phillies: Michael Chavis, Rafael Devers, Mauricio Dubon, Javier Guerra, and Yoan Moncada? (I put them in alphabetical order for you to avoid any cognitive bias based on how they initially appeared)
(Steve from Phila)
Love this question. I'll take Devers, Moncada, Guerra, Chavis, Dubon. I love Devers. He's got that innate bat speed and barrel feel I was talking about earlier. It's just natural and pure. Mondada is great for the obvious reasons we've talked about. I also love Guerra. He's a stud and a legit big league shortstop defensively, and he has more pop than you'd expect from his thin frame. I've seen him go out opposite field and it's impressive.

It's too bad the Red Sox have played themselves out of the need for Cole Hamels, because that's a system deep enough for the Phillies to make their demands and actually have them obliged. (Jeff Moore)
2015-05-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'll be in greenville tonight, anything I should keepan eye on at the game?
(teddy from lexington)
For starters, check out my reports on the following players:

Rafael Devers http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=217
Javier Guerra http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=214
Michael Chavis http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=220
Mauricio Dubon http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=213
Dedgar Jimenez http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=257

One thing I am specifically intrigued by is the progression of Devers at 3B. How is the footwork? Is the first step lagging and lacking the instinctual necessity for a ball down the line? Is it choppy and causing him to be out of position when he attempts to field a ball? Those were my issues when I watched him play, and could ultimately push him to 1B if there are not improvements. I'm likely on the lower end of the spectrum with his defense, but I am not alone. I've talked with scouts about his defense and the opinion has generally been split.

Oh, and check out that guy Yoan Moncada. Unfortunately, I missed him by a week. (Tucker Blair)
2015-04-29 20:00:00 (link to chat)Has Rafael Devers' slow start slowed down the love train for him or is this not indicative of his potential?
(Basil from Killeen)
Nope. He's an 18-year old hitting .286 in full-season ball. There's nothing wrong with this. (Bret Sayre)
2015-04-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Rafael Devers and Michael Chavis: have you seen them? Who will become the better hitter? Thanks.
(CyMature from Cooperstown Retirement Home)
I will see them soon (I am hoping). If I had to answer this one, I would guess Devers. (CJ Wittmann)
2015-04-06 20:15:00 (link to chat)Nomar Mazara vs Rafael Devers, who would you rather. For fantasy purposes of course.
(Harold from The Studio)
Mazara by 3 Gallo home runs laid end to end. (Craig Goldstein)
2015-03-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)Do you love Rafael Devers as much as I do? (you don't)
(Shawn from Office)
I don't think I do, but I do really like him. (Jim Walsh)
2015-03-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Are you as high on Rafael Devers as everyone else in the industry?
(Sammy from Salem)
Oh yes. Very much so. Bat speed is impressive, and he could have a few 60's when it's all said and done. It wouldn't shock me if he rose fast through the system, too. The Red Sox have no reason to rush him, though. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-03-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Triple slash line for Rafael Devers at his peak?
(Mike from Boston)
At his very best? 300/350/470. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-02-26 20:00:00 (link to chat)Rafael Devers fantasy upside, as good as anyone in the minors right now, not named Bryant?
(Brent from Chicago)
Nope. I don't think I'd even have him in the top-10 in pure upside. Still super exciting though. (Bret Sayre)
2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Al! Have you seen Rafael Devers in person? Do you think he can develop into one of best pure hitters in minors?
(Shawn from Cubicle)
I have not seen Devers, but the reports I've gotten have been pretty impressive. I love seeing young guys with great hands like that, though. Great hands, bat speed and a feel for squaring up the ball usually end up translating to a top prospect. It's like when a young pitcher throws strikes and misses bats. Do those two things and you're pretty much on a fast track to the high minors. (Al Skorupa)
2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat)What prospect is going to have the biggest explosion up the prospect boards this year: Matt Olsen, Amed Rosario, Rafael Devers, or some other prospect altogether?
(Slick Rick from The Ruler)
Olson just left the Cal League so if anything, his status will probably take a hit when he posts more pedestrian numbers in Double-A. I think Devers has a chance to near top-50 status if he really rakes in the low minors, and at this point there's not much reason to think he won't. (Ben Carsley)
2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat)For the resident RedSox expert.....There is a lot of growing hype on Rafael Devers. Tell me about this "star" prospect.
(Gattaca!!! from Bean Bag)
Really exciting power/hit tool combo, very far away from the majors, not a lock to stay at 3B. The fact that he's six years old and already on a bunch of top-100 lists should tell you all you need to know about his upside. If he falters in 2015 and someone bails on him, he'd be a great buy-low guy. Potential top-5 fantasy 3B, but again, we're ages away from that. (Ben Carsley)
2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat)If you were not concerned about the ETA, rank these players in a dynasty league: Manuel Margot, Jonathan Singleton, Brandon Nimmo, Rafael Devers and Steven Moya. Why?
(Douglas from a dynasty draft)
Not trying to be difficult, but there really isn't any way to answer this and balance out risk/foor without ETA. If you're asking me in terms of pure upside, let's go Devers, Singleton, Margot, Nimmo, Moya. (Ben Carsley)
2015-01-15 18:00:00 (link to chat)I have heard a lot of good things about Rafael Devers. What can you tell me about him? Do you think he will develop into an elite prospect?
(Brian from Boston)
I'm not going to toss around the word "elite" with Devers, or many prospects for that matter. Devers has a chance to have an extreme offensive profile that includes average and power, and if he can find enough defensive chops to stay on the dirt at third base, he could be an infielder with monster offensive potential. I'm a big fan and see him as a guy that will be considered one of the top 25-30 prospects in the game by the end of 2015. (Mark Anderson)
2015-01-15 18:00:00 (link to chat)Which low a prospect do you believe will make the most impact: Franchy Cordero, Amed Rosario, Rafael Devers, other of your choice?
(Rich from Maryland)
As much as I may drive the Amed Rosario bandwagon, I'll go with Devers here. His offensive tools are more developed and I think he could be primed for a larger breakout in 2015. (Mark Anderson)
2014-12-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)Rafael Devers the Red Sox 3B of the future?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
Way too early for that talk in my opinion. I'm obviously high on him and have liked what I have seen from him, but there's a ways to go with the overall game. He has a fighting chance to stick at the hot corner in my opinion, but very well may end up on the other side of the diamond. The early qualities of a future major-leaguer are there and definitely a rising prospect to be excited about for sure though. (Top 10s Chat With Chris Mellen)
2014-12-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)Rafael Devers the Red Sox 3B of the future?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
Way too early for that talk in my opinion. I'm obviously high on him and have liked what I have seen from him, but there's a ways to go with the overall game. He has a fighting chance to stick at the hot corner in my opinion, but very well may end up on the other side of the diamond. The early qualities of a future major-leaguer are there and definitely a rising prospect to be excited about for sure though. (Top 10s Chat With Chris Mellen)
2014-12-18 15:00:00 (link to chat)If Rafael Devers, Eloy Jimenez, and Gleyber Torres were available in the 2015 draft, how high would they be ranked? How do they compare with recent high schools draftees (Jackson, Frazier, Meadows, etc.)?
(Kevin from DC)
It's a good question I can't really answer right now. I don't think they'd top the lists, exactly but it's hard to say since they've also had the benefit of pro ball. Devers or Torres would rank highest, based on polish and positional value, I'd guess, but I'd still be looking at guys like Matuella above them. Still, we're so far out from the draft, that I don't think it's particularly useful to rank draft guys at present. (Craig Goldstein)
2015-02-09 20:00:00 (link to chat)Does Rafael Devers have the type of talent to bat in the middle of a good lineup? Does he have the chance to jump into the top 20 of a list like this?
(gatz75 from Tampa)
Yes, without question. It takes a lot for a rookie-level corner bat (without defensive certainty) to break into the 101. He has "best in the minors" upside with the stick. (Top 101 Chat)
2015-02-09 20:00:00 (link to chat)Please make me feel warm and forget the snow by telling me how great Rafael Devers will be!! Winter can't end soon enough!!
(Billy from Boston)
I hear you on the winter, Billy. I have about 5 feet of snow sitting outside my window here just outside of Boston.

I don't want to get too far ahead of things with Devers, but he already shows a maturity level indicative of a player with more experience and I really like the way he can go the other way with authority. The jury is out on whether he sticks at third, but the upside with the bat can more than mitigate for a shift across the diamond down the line. We ranked him number 5 in a stronger Red Sox system and as a firm Top 101 prospect. There was never any doubt he was going to make the list heading into the process. (Top 101 Chat)
2015-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)My fantasy league partner just add Rafael Devers.Much like most of our adds I have no idea who this guy is. Can you give me some info?
(Clark from Insurance Class)
One of the more exciting low-minors bats in the game. Natural hitter that could develop into an impact bat for average and power. Might not be a factor until 2019, and ultimate position is still up in the air, but it's a really fun profile and a really impressive offensive talent. Mellen's write-up more than did him justice:

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=25119 (NL West Top 10s With Nick Faleris)
2014-11-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)I've heard some great things about Rafael Devers. Does he have superstar potential? Will he be the best player in the Carolina League next year? I look forward to seeing him in Salem.
(Nick from Virginia)
It's a long way to go still, but he was one of the top international signees and, among that class, had one of the best debuts. The best debut? Maybe? I'm not sure. He won't be the best player in the Carolina League--so, so young if he's there--but he'll be one of the half-dozen to go out of your way to see. (Sam Miller)
2014-11-04 18:00:00 (link to chat)How good is Rafael Devers? Does he have the talent/tools to become a top 10 prospect down the road? Would he be a serious candidate for #1 overall pick in the 2015 draft if he were eligible?
(Chris from Boston)
Devers is really good, particularly for a player of his age. His offensive projection is mammoth and if the body develops in a positive way and he finds a solid defensive home, then he's a potential All-Star caliber bat. The internal discussions on the player were really strong in our Red Sox ranking debate, and he could be a guy that really flies up the prospect lists, peaking in the top 10-15 in baseball over the next couple of years. Devers is a name that is going to be really, really well known in a very short amount of time. (Mark Anderson)
2014-11-04 18:00:00 (link to chat)Of the young hitters in the low minors, who has the highest ceiling? Are there any "franchise" type players with elite ceilings?
(Drew from Washington, DC)
I won't suggest there are elite ceilings out there among the hitters in the lowest levels of the minors, as that's a pretty special player, but there are some really incredible players at the lowest levels....a guy like Rafael Devers has game-changing potential. Someone like Alex Jackson could be a beast. Eloy Jimenez carries a ton of risk but is really talented and could be the type of power prospect that is rare in today's game. (Mark Anderson)
2014-11-04 18:00:00 (link to chat)Bret tweeted that Rafael Devers may be the best J2 bat since Sano. Does Devers have that type of offensive potential?
(Chris from Baltimore)
I've touched on Devers a couple of times tonight....bottom line, yes, he does have that type of potential. (Mark Anderson)
2014-10-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Rafael Devers? What is his ceiling? Does he have the tools/talent to become a top 10 prospect?
(Chris from Baltimore)
One guy I haven't seen yet, but it's hard to talk to anyone within the industry down in FL that isn't gushing over him. The ceiling is very high, and the bat could make him a serious candidate for a top prospect. Some people are not sold on him defensively, but if he hits, I wouldn't worry about that. I am hoping the Sox jump him to Greensboro next season so I can watch him. (Tucker Blair)
2014-10-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do prefer out of Rafael Devers and Manuel Margot?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
The reports on Margot are very strong, but I haven't seen him in person. I did see Devers, and he's a stud. He's going to hit a ton. If he was a high school senior this year in the states he'd be a possible number one overall pick. I don't know if he'll outgrow 3B or not because who the heck knows how a teenager's body is going to grow, but even if he ends up at 1B, he'll hit enough for it. SO i guess I prefer Devers just because I've seen him, but that's not fair to Margot, who gets rave reviews too. (Jeff Moore)
2014-10-09 15:00:00 (link to chat) Sure this is a common question. Which low level minor leaguer takes that huge leap into super prospect that seems to happen every year
(Ken from Cleveland)
Could see that with Leonardo Molina, Jefry Fernandez, Jorge Mateo, or Rafael Devers. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-09-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)What can you tell me about Rafael Devers? I know that he's only 17 and years away from the majors, but does his offensive upside justify keeping him in a 10 team dynasty league? I have one keeper spot for Raimel Tapia, Nick Williams, Lewis Brinson, and Devers. Which of these guys has the highest upside and most potential fantasy value?
(Kevin from Boston)
I can tell you he's advanced for a 17 year old and performed well in his first taste of stateside ball. I like his swing a bunch, but at present he lacks loft/leverage so projecting power could be tricky. If you're anticipating his ability to work those refinements into his game, I think you could make the case he's a top two prospect in a Red Sox system filled with depth but lacking impact. If you think he can't, he's still valuable but not held in the same regard. Pick Nick Williams of those guys. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-09-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)Nice write up on Rafael Devers on Tuesday!! Where do you think he will play in 2015?? Thanks for the great chats!!
(Billy from Beantown )
I didn't write up Rafael Devers, that was Jeff Moore, I believe. I think he'll be at Low-A; he can handle it. Should be a top 100 prospect. I really like the profile. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-09-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)Give us some prospects you're higher on than anyone else, so later we can mock/applaud you. Thanks!
(Chris from Michigan)
Still a believer in Clint Frazier. I was on the Jake Thompson/Willy Adames bandwagon pre season. I also like David Dahl a lot. Some other names I like more than others: Leonardo Molina, Rafael Devers, Cameron Varga, Brett Phillips, Kohl Stewart. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-08-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)How pumped should Boston fans be about the early returns on Rafael Devers?
(mdotmorris22 from Minnesota)
Pumped! (Matthew Kory)
2014-08-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)How excited should we be about Rafael Devers? The kid has done everything, and more, of what was expected of him going into this year. I know he's 17, but are you as excited about him as I am?
(Scott from CT)
Sorry for starting a few minutes late. I had to plug in my computer, part of my devious plan to slowly drain the planet's energy supply. Also I had to re-heat my coffee.

I'm not the prospect guy or even a prospect guy, but I am familiar with Devers. His power is huge and his ceiling is up there with the power, but he's 17 and in the Gulf Coast League. He's a very exciting prospect, but while there is lots of time for things to go right, there is also lots of development left to go wrong. So, to answer the question directly, be as excited as you like, but remember 17 years old means you're looking at, best case, 3-5 years before he even hits the majors and starts making adjustments there. (Matthew Kory)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC