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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
| IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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- 0.62015
- 3.12016
- -0.32017
- 3.02018
- 1.32019
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WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | NYN | MLB | 6 | 6 | 35.7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 83 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 0% | .300 | 1.23 | 3.63 | 2.27 | 97 | 3.62 | 84.5 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | NYN | MLB | 22 | 22 | 132.3 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 129 | 31 | 129 | 14 | 86 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 8.8 | 54% | .313 | 1.21 | 3.42 | 3.40 | 87 | 3.34 | 73.8 | 3.1 |
| 2017 | NYN | MLB | 13 | 13 | 66.7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 83 | 19 | 48 | 12 | 93 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 49% | .329 | 1.53 | 5.06 | 6.08 | 110 | 6.03 | 128.4 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | NYN | MLB | 30 | 30 | 154.0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 134 | 58 | 152 | 25 | 89 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 50% | .267 | 1.25 | 4.58 | 3.97 | 99 | 3.62 | 80.8 | 3.0 |
| 2019 | NYN | MLB | 32 | 30 | 160.3 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 163 | 52 | 153 | 27 | 95 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 8.6 | 48% | .301 | 1.34 | 4.55 | 4.21 | 97 | 4.39 | 90.2 | 2.4 |
| Career | MLB | 103 | 101 | 549.0 | 31 | 36 | 0 | 543 | 170 | 516 | 82 | 90 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 50% | .298 | 1.30 | 4.29 | 4.05 | 97 | 4.07 | 87.9 | 8.8 | |
Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | KNG | Rk | APP | 6 | 6 | 29.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | 34 | 1 | 109 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 0.3 | 10.6 | 0% | .227 | 1.14 | 3.65 | 1.55 | 93 | 2.69 | 56.1 |
| 2013 | SAV | A | SAL | 21 | 21 | 106.3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 86 | 38 | 121 | 4 | 84 | 7.3 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 10.2 | 0% | .315 | 1.17 | 2.90 | 2.62 | 88 | 3.73 | 81.0 |
| 2014 | SLU | A+ | FSL | 12 | 12 | 69.3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 21 | 62 | 0 | 104 | 8.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0% | .328 | 1.25 | 2.72 | 2.21 | 85 | 3.73 | 78.9 |
| 2014 | BIN | AA | EAS | 12 | 12 | 71.3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 66 | 14 | 69 | 3 | 105 | 8.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 8.7 | 0% | .317 | 1.12 | 2.63 | 2.27 | 75 | 3.74 | 79.2 |
| 2015 | NYN | MLB | NL | 6 | 6 | 35.7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 10 | 34 | 4 | 83 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 0% | .300 | 1.23 | 3.63 | 2.27 | 97 | 3.62 | 84.5 |
| 2015 | SLU | A+ | FSL | 2 | 2 | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 89 | 17.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 7.4 | 0% | .500 | 2.18 | 2.34 | 4.91 | 92 | 6.56 | 143.8 |
| 2015 | BIN | AA | EAS | 2 | 2 | 11.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 102 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 7.9 | 0% | .080 | 0.35 | 2.03 | 0.00 | 77 | 1.81 | 39.8 |
| 2015 | LVG | AAA | PCL | 15 | 14 | 90.3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 69 | 31 | 94 | 6 | 112 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 9.4 | 0% | .278 | 1.11 | 3.44 | 2.19 | 82 | 2.79 | 61.1 |
| 2016 | NYN | MLB | NL | 22 | 22 | 132.3 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 129 | 31 | 129 | 14 | 86 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 8.8 | 54% | .313 | 1.21 | 3.42 | 3.40 | 87 | 3.34 | 73.8 |
| 2017 | NYN | MLB | NL | 13 | 13 | 66.7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 83 | 19 | 48 | 12 | 93 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 49% | .329 | 1.53 | 5.06 | 6.08 | 110 | 6.03 | 128.4 |
| 2017 | SLU | A+ | FSL | 1 | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 77 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 50% | .250 | 1.33 | 3.31 | 3.00 | 99 | 3.92 | 83.3 |
| 2017 | LVG | AAA | PCL | 3 | 3 | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 110 | 8.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 35% | .323 | 1.13 | 4.54 | 6.75 | 76 | 2.73 | 58.0 |
| 2018 | NYN | MLB | NL | 30 | 30 | 154.0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 134 | 58 | 152 | 25 | 89 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 50% | .267 | 1.25 | 4.58 | 3.97 | 99 | 3.62 | 80.8 |
| 2019 | NYN | MLB | NL | 32 | 30 | 160.3 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 163 | 52 | 153 | 27 | 95 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 8.6 | 48% | .301 | 1.34 | 4.55 | 4.21 | 97 | 4.39 | 90.2 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 576 | 0.5642 | 0.4514 | 0.7885 | 0.5815 | 0.2829 | 0.8254 | 0.6901 | 0.2115 |
| 2016 | 2145 | 0.5580 | 0.4592 | 0.7726 | 0.6032 | 0.2774 | 0.8380 | 0.5932 | 0.2274 |
| 2017 | 1177 | 0.5285 | 0.4299 | 0.8182 | 0.5932 | 0.2468 | 0.8564 | 0.7153 | 0.1818 |
| 2018 | 2693 | 0.5522 | 0.4270 | 0.7652 | 0.5918 | 0.2239 | 0.8205 | 0.5852 | 0.2348 |
| 2019 | 2701 | 0.5354 | 0.4580 | 0.7688 | 0.6224 | 0.2685 | 0.8322 | 0.5994 | 0.2312 |
| Career | 9292 | 0.5464 | 0.4453 | 0.7761 | 0.6029 | 0.2558 | 0.8328 | 0.6142 | 0.2239 |
Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-10-15 | 2013-10-15 | Off | 0 | 0 | - | Knee | Surgery | Patella Debridement | - | - |
| 2011-06-21 | 2011-09-01 | Minors | 72 | 0 | Left | Elbow | Recovery From Surgery | Tommy John Surgery | 2010-05-18 | - |
| 2010-06-22 | 2010-08-30 | Minors | 69 | 0 | Left | Elbow | Surgery | Tommy John Surgery | 2010-05-18 |
Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | BABIP | WHIP | ERA | DRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weighted Mean | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | 0.0 | ? | 0 | 0 | ? | .000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ? | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Steven MatzBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-30 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Mets fan here. I've been pleasantly surprised by first starts of Matz, Wacha, and Peterson. What do you think? Have you seen anything from any of them in these starts that makes you a little more optimistic (about each of them specifically)than you were preseason? (Frank from NY) | Wacha has always been at least “fine” when healthy. He’s just rarely healthy and the Mets do tend to struggle to manage more fragile arms over the medium term, like say Steven Matz. Matz I will say seems to have figured out how to be a FB/CH/CU arm and the CH has improved enough over the last couple years that I wouldn’t be shocked if he’s more of a 3 than a 4 this year for whatever 12 starts are worth. Peterson I talked a little bit about above and he was mostly what I expected in his first start. Think he got a little lucky here and there as his command wasn’t particularly fine (although the Mets defense is going to do him no favors) and he needs to tighten the slider or add something with gloveside movement/command to get MLB righties out over the long term. He’s perfectly serviceable but feels more like a 4/5 to me at present. He’s by far the Mets best option for the fifth starter spot though which is its own separate issue. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2020-03-09 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Have you seen any spring training Steven Matz? If he has the 2015 slider going, is he closer to a 2 than a 4? (Fred from Ny) | I think I saw his first or second outing. "If" is doing a lot of work there, and he ditched the true Warthen slider in part because it made his arm hurt. There is also the matter of whether or not the Mets actually start him assuming all six guys are healthy, but yes, a true swing and miss breaking ball would help the profile. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-08-30 16:00:00 (link to chat) | Thanks for the chat. I have some SP about to be activated as the Fantasy playoffs start so I may need to drop a SP or two in my 20 team H2H league with QS and K/9. Who would you drop from this list: Michael Wacha, Mike Montgomery, Adrian Houser, Steven Brault, Michael Pineda, Steven Matz? (Festivus from Phoenix) | You are welcome for the chat. Wacha and Monty are the names that stand out here. Montgomery has a sweet two-start schedule next week (DET, @MIA) so I'd probably cut Wacha first. He hasn't gone into the sixth inning in, like, forever (or, since June 28, to be exact). (Jon Hegglund) |
| 2019-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Hi Darius. In one of my dynasty leagues, I'm in my fourth year of a rebuild but am finally on the brink of making the playoffs. I'm considering pushing all my chips in and trading for Steven Matz. Does this seem like a good plan to get me over the hump? (Ferns from PA) | It depends what you mean by 'all my chips' and exactly how deep we're talking, but Matz doesn't seem like a league-winning move. I think he's fine and has certainly flashed more upside than this over the years, which aren't exactly the most ringing endorsements. He *seems* healthy, at least, which has been a big problem, but I wouldn't use all my chips on some mediocre innings and a decent number of strikeouts. (Darius Austin) |
| 2018-12-12 17:00:00 (link to chat) | Struggling to identify some potential post-hype pitchers to target for cheap this season - you have a couple that you might be scooping up? (Gary Mack from in the back) | I've never been a big fan, but Steven Matz is slipping so far in early drafts. I still believe in the stuff. Collin McHugh is going to start this year barring an off-the-wall move by Houston and is really solid. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2018-02-06 15:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your expectations for Steven Matz this year? I still believe in the potential, but the injuries, man, the injuries. (mattofaction from Fresno, CA) | Very low. The health issues really hurt him even when he was pitching as he just wasn't using the slider, and I need to see him healthy and using a full arsenal before I would put any significant expectations on him. (Darius Austin) |
| 2017-07-13 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Steven Matz one of the more underrated pitchers in the game?
(Trumaine from Flushing) | I don't know. I'm not super high on Matz. He's good, he's just hurt too much to be counted on at all. (Mark Barry) |
| 2017-03-29 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Does Steven Matz have Ace upside? Obviously an injury risk but how good is his stuff? (Jackson from NY) | I go back and forth on Matz. His numbers have sort of that soft-ace upside of a Danny Duffy or Aaron Sanchez, which is deeply valuable, but I also don't really think he has another gear at this point. In this way he's kind of similar to his teammate in Jacob deGrom, who is incredibly good at pitching, but not a Syndergaard, Kershaw, Scherzer type True Ace.
I guess the bottom line is, he's probably good enough to head up a staff, but if you're talking best 10 pitchers in baseball, I'm skeptical. (Trevor Strunk) |
| 2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Can you list in order of overall potential and general preference: Michael Fulmer, Steven Matz, Robert Gsellman (Doug from Long Island) | Ooh. It's really close once you factor in Matz's durability/injury questions. If forced to order them, I'd go Matz/Fulmer/Gsellman, but it's well within the fudge factor. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Julio Urias or Steven Matz? 2017 and going forward (Rex from Chicago) | I actually made this exact trade in my dynasty league last year, selling Urias for Matz in order to make a push for 2016. (It worked, just barely.) There's a lot of uncertainty surrounding both, but I think as a team I think I take Matz in the short term, who's been more hurt but has also had more playing time in which to be hurt. In the long term, your guess is sadly as good as mine. The odds say they probably both get badly hurt. Sorry. (Patrick Dubuque) |
| 2016-12-05 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Any chance Luis Severino still becomes a top starter? Thoughts on Steven Matz and his ability to pitch a full season? (David from NY) | It's easy to forget how young Severino was/still is (22) when he was starting for New York. I saw one of his outings in Pawtucket and it wasn't great. I still think he's a reliever. On Matz, the single biggest predictor of future injury for pitchers is past injury history. It's not great. He was (mostly) healthy in 2015. Aside from that, he really hasn't been his entire professional career. (George Bissell) |
| 2016-11-22 20:00:00 (link to chat) | How is Steven Matz as a comp for Jason Groome? (Dexter from NE) | Pretty good, although I expect they'll have wildly different developmental paths. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2016-11-11 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Could the Astros trade Bregman for a Mets SP? What would that deal look like? (AJ from Texas) | They could, but it would probably be for like Steven Matz. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-09-07 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Hypothetical: If there was a 20 year old pitching prospect in A-ball, and I told you he would have an identical career to Steven Matz, where would he rank on your top 100? (Greg from Fordham) | I think the actual answer is about where Steven Matz ranked last year, around the bottom of the top 10. But you're giving me clairvoyance on how the guy pitched in the high minors and his first year in the majors, and what he looks like at 25. So I'd put him at 9 or whatever, look like an idiot at the time the list came out, and then look like a genius five years down, I think? (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2016-02-25 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Who in the Mets' system do you see having the highest chance of being a superstar? Top 15 player in game. Obviously there is not a lot of high-ceiling types, but does anyone stick out as having their 95% outcome being that guy? (AMetsGuy from NYC) | Steven Matz
... Yeah, okay, you can't really play games like this in the system and include Matz. If Becerra puts it all together, I guess. I don't even know if 95% gets you there. I think most systems lack that guy honestly. That's a big ask. Then again, it happened for deGrom. I guess I could stay on brand and say Carpio could turn into Ben Zobrist, but I don't even believe that, and I love Carpio. I guess Gimenez and Guerrero have that possibility, but that is only because they are so far away and haven't failed as pros yet so the range of outcomes is huge. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat) | I know you mentioned "difference between reasonable minds", but I have to ask about your thoughts on Julio Urias and Steven Matz. Which one do you like more? (Matt from Fresno, CA) | My list had Urias higher but I found the argument for Matz extremely convincing. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein) |
| 2015-08-12 13:00:00 (link to chat) | In your opinion, who has the best chance to become a fantasy ace of these pitchers: Taijuan Walker, Steven Matz, Noah Syndergaard, Tyler Glasnow, or Kevin Gausman? Maybe rank them please! Thank you (James from Kansas City) | Well, since you said please.
Syndergaard, Glasnow, Walker, Matz, Gausman. I only list Gausman last because I hate what the Orioles have done with his development. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-07-16 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Steven Souza is on the waiver wire in my 12 team mixer, redraft. Pick him up? If so, who do I drop: Steven Matz, Jerrod Dyson, or Pedro Alvarez? (Graham from Richmond, VA) | It depends what you need, if you can sacrifice speed then Dyson, if power than Alvarez. Souza does a little of both which is nice. I was writing about Souza all offseason, I'm 1,000 percent confident he's going to produce. (George Bissell) |
| 2015-07-28 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Could you rank these guys for future careers? Steven Matz, Carlos Rodon, Eduardo Rodriguez, Aaron Nola, Chi Chi Gonzalez, Vincent Velasquez.
Any of these guys worry you and/or are they all in the same tier? (ColeWhittier from Pasadena) | This is a tremendous and fun group of arms. Nola, Gonzalez, Rodon, Velasquez, E-Rod, Matz. The one who still scares me the most is Rodon. There's a good chance he doesn't fulfill his insane upside because of the command issues stemming from his delivery. While Matz and E-Rod are a tier below for me they are both very valuable arms that could be middle rotation stalwarts. (Mauricio Rubio) |
| 2015-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Who is the better pitcher in Dynasty league, Alex Reyes, Daniel Norris, or Steven Matz? (Silverback38 from VA) | Matz is the most polished and getting his chance now. Norris has shown he can hang in there in the bigs already. Reyes is still raw as anything, but man that FB/CB combo is one to dream on. I'd go Matz/Reyes/Norris I think, but if you're so inclined to value safety first then Norris leaps comfortably ahead of Reyes. Reyes is your boy for ceiling, though: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=256 (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2015-07-02 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Your opinion of Steven Matz, long-term (on the hill, not with the bat). Go. (Sam from Baseballholics Anonymous Support Group) | His delivery is lacking in the power categories but his stability and repetition are legit. The combination could cap his ceiling, but but much of the focus has been on his injury history and I think that he has the mechanical baselines to inspire optimism in that department. Those with reasonable expectations will be more than happy with the return, but I don't consider Matz to have a Thor-like ceiling. (Doug Thorburn) |
| 2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What would an up-to-date scouting report on Steven Matz say? (Pickled pickle from Condiment land) | About the same as it did when I wrote him up a year ago, though with slightly more refinement. Here's what I wrote:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=72 The curveball is still inconsistent, but the good ones have reportedly been even better than the 55 I slapped on them last year. A few more starts in the minors couldn't hurt, but we all know it's better to get out of Vegas a day early than a day late. (Jeff Moore) |
| 2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Steven Matz seems to dominate the PCL every single night he pitches. I'm curious to know how good he really is? Word out there says he has 3 plus pitches. Is this another potential front-line guy for the Mets? (agetting from Queens) | Lotta Matz and Dom Smith Questions. I think he's a mid-rotation guy and it's come together for him really quickly this year. (Mauricio Rubio) |
| 2015-05-13 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Who do you see a better long term career, Jacob deGrom or Steven Matz? (agetting from Queens) | deGrom. I'm still not convinced that Matz is more than a back-end starter. There's no doubt what he's done over these last two years is impressive, but I'm just not convinced the stuff plays up at the big league level. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-04-22 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Steven Matz and Noah Syndergaard have struggled with their command early in the PCL. Can the environment effect grip on the ball? Who do you think arrives in NY first? (agetting from Queens) | I am actually not sure about that grip question and I think we will see Syndergaard first with Matz following not far behind. (CJ Wittmann) |
| 2015-04-22 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Steven Matz and Noah Syndergaard have struggled with their command early in the PCL. Can the environment effect grip on the ball? Who do you think arrives in NY first? (agetting from Queens) | I am actually not sure about that grip question and I think we will see Syndergaard first with Matz following not far behind. (CJ Wittmann) |
| 2015-02-26 20:00:00 (link to chat) | What pitching prospects ranked 20 and lower will make their big league clubs in 2015? Chi Chi Gonzalez, Jake Thompson, Steven Matz, Aaron Blair, others? (Karl from San Angelo) | Those first three are good names. Blair has an outside shot. I'd throw Norris, Wisler, and Appel on there as well. (Bret Sayre) |
| 2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Peraza, Amed Rosario, Reynaldo Lopez, Steven Matz.. all things being equal, which one player is not least likely kept in a dynasty league? (Ron from Texarkana) | Some double negatives there... I think Matz is the present value/upper minors guy and he has the highest value. Lopez a huge helium arm and Rosario has a chance to be a real premium guy. Pereza is a decent real life player, but 2B prospects... meh. Speed first profile and a lot of questions at the plate. Is his profile (particularly in fantasy) a whole lot different than say... Micah Johnson? (Al Skorupa) |
| 2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat) | If you had to choose between Steven Matz and Henry Owens for the next 12 years, who would you take? (Bill Clinton from Las Vegas) | Interesting. They actually have some similarities in that the CB came along last for both. I think I'd go Owens - thought it's very close. Owens has such natural deception and he has a double plus offering (Changeup). Matz is older and is a TJ survivor. I do really like Matz and his FB command is superior to Owens. That's something I value highly. I would go so far to say if I had skipped the last Owens start I saw this year I'd probably go Matz. Owens showed me some new tricks that day, though. (Al Skorupa) |
| 2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Rank the following prospects for a dynasty league: Josh Bell, Jose Peraza, Steven Matz, Henry Owens, Aaron Judge, Raimel Tapia, and Braden Shipley (Mitch from Mitchville) | Owens
Shipley Matz (The three arms are the safest tier and it's basically a pick'em depending on which weaknesses bother you the least) Tapia Judge Peraza Bell (now a 1B) On Judge - saw quite a bit of him. I think his tools are so strong and what he does well he does WELL ENOUGH that it will overcome hit tool questions. I'm probably one of the low guys on Judge around here. Pretty funny to me, because two years ago I was arguing with people he was a big league regular where everyone questioned him. Big, stiff, long swing and he's just so big he doesn't really have great control of the bat head or barrel because he's too big to have that kind of fine motor control. Doesn't see breaking or soft well, but a selective hitter anyway. I feel like the problems I saw aren't big issues yet but will get exposed in Double-A. I still really like him and think he's a big league regular. He will also be a very fun player to watch. AVG may be a bigger issue than many anticipate, but it's not going to stop him from being a valuable MLB OF. (Al Skorupa) |
| 2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat) | Any love for Steven Matz? (Shea from Stadium ) | As a top-75 guy, for sure. That being said, I think I've seen so many "HE'S UNDERRATED" posts/tweets that I don't think he's underrated anymore. (Ben Carsley) |
| 2015-02-18 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Bold Prediction: Steven Matz will be a better pitcher than Syndergaard. Smart or stupid? (Alex from NYC) | Unlikely. Thor is awesome. (Brendan Gawlowski) |
| 2015-01-21 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Hey Doug, what are your thoughts on Alexander Reyes & Steven Matz? Could both become role 6 type players, or are the concerns for Reyes control & Matz injury pass holding them back of that possibility? (kiper90 from Rochester, NY) | I covered Reyes in the NL Central prospects piece, and I think that he has all of the basic ingredients to solve his walks issue. He just needs to iron out his timing, which is typically the last thing to come around for a pitcher – it can also take the longest. Stay tuned.
Matz is an intriguing prospect, with three potential plus pitches. He put up 140 innings last year, and his Tommy John was back in 2010, so I think that he is breaking free of the injury shackles. (Doug Thorburn) |
| 2015-01-21 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Thanks Doug. Henry Owens or Steven Matz? For 2015 and next 6 years. Why? (Bob from Michigan) | Gimme Matz - I prefer the stuff. Not sure that either will have a big impact in 2015, given the depth ahead of them. Six years is a long way out, but for the next 3 years I prefer Matz. (Doug Thorburn) |
| 2015-01-21 15:00:00 (link to chat) | Steven Matz has climbed up the prospect rankings very quickly.. What is his realistic floor/ceiling? (Ron from Texarkana) | Lots of Matz questions today.
I think that there is a wide gap between the two. I would say that he has the upside of a no. 2, the likelihood of a no. 3, and the floor of a no. 4-5. But he looks like a starter, and I expect him to be productive at the MLB level. (Doug Thorburn) |
| 2014-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Have you thought of doing a writeup on the rapidly ascending Steven Matz? To my untrained eye, it seems like he combines good posture with good momentum in his delivery to go along with his plus stuff and improving command. (Kyle from NJ) | Good assessment. His balance has some flaws, as he kinda sits into max leg lift with a lean toward 3B and often finishes out in front, but the lefty does get it going with the 2nd gear of momentum and he finishes with very strong posture. He soundsl ike a good candidate for the off-season Bush League series. (Doug Thorburn) |
| 2014-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Any thoughts on Steven Matz? (Michael from CT) | See above (Doug Thorburn) |
| 2014-09-03 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Was this a lost year for Noah Syndergaard? What is Steven Matz's ceiling? A lefty with improving control and a big fastball. (MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse) | I wouldn't say it's a lost year at all. The PCL is a wasteland for any young pitcher, and in fact, pitching prospects often do better in the big leagues than in that league. I know the stuff has taken a small step back, and he's made a couple of mechanical adjustments. But, the profile is still that of a top of the rotation starter and an impact arm with a plus, plus fastball, plus to plus, plus breaker, and solid avg CH. He'll be fine.
Matz was touched upon by our dearly beloved Jason Parks in his 'what did I miss' series. Definitely an intriguing profile, and could be a middle of the rotation starter. (Jordan Gorosh) |
| 2014-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Steven Matz? His control has gotten better in Double A. I know he's giving up more hits and striking out less, but those numbers for a lefty are still solid. Top 75 prospect? (MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse) | I'll punt on the ranking, but there's a lot to like. As Jeff Moore noted http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=72 that velocity comes easy. He's left-handed. He's on the young side for a AA pitcher. Good chance at being seen in 2015 with a real impact in the back/mid rotation in 2016 very much in reach if he doesn't flat line from here. (Harry Pavlidis) |
| 2014-08-06 16:30:00 (link to chat) | Whats the potential outlook for Steven Matz? (MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse) | After his career ends at the age of 34, Steven Matz will take a year off and live at his grandparents house on Long Island, where he will indulge in some of the finest bagels known to man. Then he will spend a year as a backup left defender for the Slovakian national hockey team, which he will easily make because his middle name is Jakob. No not Jacob, but Jakob, which, along with the name Petr, is one of the world's top Slovakian names.
Due to a lack of playing time a disappointed Steven Matz will return to the United States to start a small business. Unable to secure a loan from the local bank, Matz will turn to Kickstarter to fund his new company, Steven's Matz, which specialized in creating, designing, and distributing the most hip and modern door mats on the market. Thanks in part to a large donation from a 56 year old Craig Goldstein, Matz's business will take off. He will run the company for 40 years before retiring to Clinton, Iowa. He will, at some point, die and the doormat community will miss him dearly. (Cespedes Family BBQ) |
| 2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat) | These chats are awesome. Keep up the great work man. What are your thoughts on Steven Matz? I've heard some say he has a #2 ceiling? Reports are that his curveball is really developing. Could give him 3 above average pitches. You a fan of Matz Craig? (Nick from Seattle) | Thanks Nick. I've heard the same on his ceiling from multiple scouts. I think he's drastically underrated and doesn't get enough press. I'm not about to say I think he'll *BE* a #2, but he's definitely pushed his stock up in my eyes. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Kyle Hendricks worth owning in the deepest of leagues? What about Shane Greene?
Also whose future do you like better in rate leagues with K/9 Steven Matz or Jake Thompson (John from Missurah) | Oh yes. In deep leagues you need innings and he will give innings as the Cubs have no SPs. Same with Greene. I prefer Thompson. (Mauricio Rubio) |
| 2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat) | Steven Matz has had an excellent season and has had excellent stuff and slowly seems to be putting the injury concerns behind him. Was he in the discussion? I know Mr. Moore likes him. (josh from Brooklyn) | Some of my best friends in the scouting community love Matz. Here's my guarantee: I will be writing a "What Did I Miss?" on Matz before this season is over. (Jason Parks on the Top 50) |
| 2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Starting to hear a lot a buzz about Steven Matz, sp, Mets. Would could you tell me about him? (scott from az) | I haven't seen Matz yet this year but I have heard very good things from industry sources and others on our BP staff. With potential for three average to above-average pitches, Matz has mid-rotation potential if he can continue building on his progress to date. Here's a link to Jeff Moore's recent scouting report on Matz - http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=72 (Mark Anderson) |
| 2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Ceiling on Steven Matz? I know Mellen is a fan. (Steve from NY) | Mid rotation guy, command profile a bit. (Mauricio Rubio) |
| 2014-07-14 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Do you think Steven Matz could be a top 75 prospect in the offseason if he keeps this up? He can throw 97 with a good change and curve. (jason from NY) | I'll argue this off-season for Matz's inclusion in the Top-100. I don't know where he'll fall if he makes it, but the back half seems about right. Setting the over/under at 75 isn't crazy, though I'd say he's just under that. (Jeff Moore) |
| 2014-05-05 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Steven Matz has a 1.88 ERA so far this year. Is he an ace in the making after recovering from TJS? (Jeff from Florida) | Did I ask this question? I swear I didn't.
I just saw Matz for the first time last week and really liked him. He's not an ace. That gets thrown around waaaaaaaaaay too much. He can be a number two and is more likely a solid number three starter. That's a really good pitcher. (Jeff Moore) |
| 2014-04-29 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Steven Matz? (Kevin from NYC) | Jeff Moore wrote Matz up today:
Because of his fastball command and ability to use curveball against right-handed hitters, Matz should have no problem staying as a starter. If his changeup continues to develop and gains consistency, he could develop into a no. 2 starter. Poised to move quickly now that he's healthy and shouldn't be in the FSL for long.(R.J. Anderson) |
| 2014-04-17 12:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Steven Matz of the Mets? I recently heard Dan Warthen comparing him to Kershaw, which to me sounds crazy, but coming back from TJ, he did pitch well last year. Do you think he'll shoot up prospect lists this year? Could he form a nasty set of pitchers in NY with Harvey, Wheeler, Syndergaard, and Montero sometime in the future? Thanks in advance Matt. I really appreciate the help. (Jeff from New Hampshire) | First, how perfect is it that Matz plays for the Metz, er Mets? I personally find it perfect.
Comparing anyone, let alone a minor-leaguer coming off TJ surgery to Clayton Kershaw sounds foolish to me. From what I know about Matz, he might be better off in the pen (high stress delivery and undeveloped secondary offerings). Still, it never hurts to have a young guy who can miss bats with his fastball. I feel comfortable saying he's not Kershaw, but he could help the Mets in a few years and we all know they can use all the help they can get. (Matthew Kory) |
| 2014-04-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Steven Matz has the talent to be a top ___ prospect at the end of the season, assuming no serious injuries. What's his ceiling? (Mankind from The Boilerroom) | You're looking to see if I'll say Top-101 here. I know you're little tricks. Yeah, if he's healthy he's got good stuff so maybe, but wee need to see more before I can say that with any confidence. I'm going to see St. Lucie twice this week so hopefully he'll throw and I'll have a better answer for you. I haven't seen the pitching match ups yet, but hopefully I'll draw him. Ask me again this weekend if I see him.
Don't worry everyone, I made a sandwich for hour two. Keep the questions coming! (Jeff Moore) |
| 2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Vegas over/under number of number 2 or better starters from this group: Lewis Thorpe, Julio Urias, Hunter Harvey, Edwin Diaz, Alex Reyes, Jesse Hahn, Steven Matz, Adalberto Mejia. (huggirl from Joisey) | From that group, one pitcher will develop into a number two starter (or better). I was tempted to say 0. (Jason Parks) |
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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile
A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC
Steven Matz has thrown 16,513 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2015 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (95mph) and Change (84mph), also mixing in a Slider (89mph) and Curve (78mph).
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