Biographical

Portrait of Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado 3BCardinals

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
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Birth Date4-16-1991
Height6' 2"
Weight215 lbs
Age33 years, 7 months, 5 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
7.22015
7.12016
6.02017
6.22018
5.52019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2013 COL 22 133 514 130 29 4 10 23 72 1 2 0 .267 .301 .405 90 -4.7 1.1 17.7 3.2
2014 COL 23 111 467 124 34 2 18 25 58 4 2 1 .287 .328 .500 111 5.8 1.3 18.8 4.4
2015 COL 24 157 665 177 43 4 42 34 110 4 2 5 .287 .323 .575 127 23.2 1.5 21.8 7.2
2016 COL 25 160 696 182 35 6 41 68 103 2 2 3 .295 .362 .570 128 24.8 -0.9 23.0 7.1
2017 COL 26 159 680 187 43 7 37 62 106 4 3 2 .309 .373 .586 136 32.1 -0.5 5.0 6.0
2018 COL 27 156 673 175 38 2 38 73 122 3 2 2 .297 .374 .561 138 32.6 -2.9 9.1 6.2
2019 COL 28 155 662 185 31 2 41 62 93 4 3 2 .315 .379 .583 136 34.1 2.0 14.2 7.1
Career10314357116025327227347664221615.295.351.546125147.91.6109.641.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2009 CAS Rk PIO 54 225 .273 .338 .405 .322 101 1.4 6.9 0.4 108 0 -3.0 0.6 5.4 1.0
2010 ASH A SAL 92 400 .258 .325 .376 .333 108 11.1 11.7 0.6 126 0 -4.7 -3.3 11.1 1.6
2011 MOD A+ CAL 134 583 .279 .346 .432 .293 96 22.2 17.5 2.2 120 0 -8.1 1.4 14.5 2.7
2012 TUL AA TEX 134 573 .257 .326 .389 .296 95 12.9 15.8 2.2 116 0 35.3 -4.1 10.6 6.3
2013 COL MLB NL 133 514 .253 .313 .395 .296 112 -11.5 13.5 1.8 90 10 17.7 1.1 -4.7 3.2
2013 CSP AAA PCL 18 75 .289 .360 .448 .368 119 6.2 2.2 0.3 145 0 4.6 -1.6 3.0 0.9
2014 COL MLB NL 111 467 .250 .312 .386 .294 123 4.3 12.0 1.7 111 8 18.8 1.3 5.8 4.4
2014 CSP AAA PCL 5 20 .265 .318 .403 .412 115 -0.3 0.6 0 108 0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
2015 COL MLB NL 157 665 .253 .311 .401 .284 110 26.2 17.9 2.5 127 6 21.8 1.5 23.2 7.2
2016 COL MLB NL 160 696 .256 .322 .422 .293 110 29.8 19.7 2.7 128 8 23.0 -0.9 24.8 7.1
2017 COL MLB NL 159 680 .256 .323 .428 .320 104 39.4 19.9 2.7 136 8 5.0 -0.5 32.1 6.0
2018 COL MLB NL 156 673 .244 .311 .401 .314 110 30 18.9 2.4 138 8 9.1 -2.9 32.6 6.2
2019 COL MLB NL 155 662 .245 .313 .418 .312 118 29.9 20.0 2.7 136 6 14.2 2.0 34.1 7.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2009 CAS Rk PIO 225 203 28 61 15 0 2 82 22 16 18 5 2 .300 .357 .404 .103 0 0
2010 ASH A SAL 400 373 45 115 41 1 12 194 65 19 52 1 3 .308 .344 .520 .212 0 0
2011 MOD A+ CAL 583 517 82 154 32 3 20 252 122 47 53 2 1 .298 .349 .487 .190 14 4
2012 TUL AA TEX 573 516 55 147 36 1 12 221 56 39 58 0 2 .285 .337 .428 .143 10 1
2013 COL MLB NL 514 486 49 130 29 4 10 197 52 23 72 2 0 .267 .301 .405 .138 2 2
2013 CSP AAA PCL 75 66 14 24 11 0 3 44 21 5 9 0 2 .364 .392 .667 .303 3 1
2014 COL MLB NL 467 432 58 124 34 2 18 216 61 25 58 2 1 .287 .328 .500 .213 5
2014 CSP AAA PCL 20 20 2 7 2 0 0 9 3 0 3 0 0 .350 .350 .450 .100 0
2015 COL MLB NL 665 616 97 177 43 4 42 354 130 34 110 2 5 .287 .323 .575 .287 11 0
2016 COL MLB NL 696 618 116 182 35 6 41 352 133 68 103 2 3 .295 .362 .570 .275 8 0
2017 COL MLB NL 680 606 100 187 43 7 37 355 130 62 106 3 2 .309 .373 .586 .277 6 1
2018 COL MLB NL 673 590 104 175 38 2 38 331 110 73 122 2 2 .297 .374 .561 .264 6 1
2019 COL MLB NL 662 588 102 185 31 2 41 343 118 62 93 3 2 .315 .379 .583 .269 8 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2013 1723 0.4910 0.5548 0.8075 0.7021 0.4128 0.8889 0.6740 0.1925 -0.0012
2014 1571 0.4761 0.5258 0.8317 0.6778 0.3876 0.8718 0.7680 0.1683 -0.0025
2015 2253 0.4523 0.5419 0.7895 0.7095 0.4036 0.9046 0.6225 0.2105 -0.0014
2016 2697 0.4627 0.4872 0.8113 0.6611 0.3375 0.8836 0.6892 0.1887 0.0000
2017 2615 0.4532 0.4807 0.7677 0.6819 0.3140 0.8589 0.6036 0.2323 0.0000
2018 2588 0.4730 0.4985 0.7535 0.7034 0.3145 0.8200 0.6200 0.2465 0.0000
2019 2390 0.4427 0.5134 0.7914 0.7212 0.3483 0.8886 0.6315 0.2086 0.0000
Career158370.46270.51090.79020.69350.35410.87230.65170.2098-0.0006

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-15 2014-09-29 DTD 14 13 - General Medical Pneumonia -
2014-05-24 2014-07-03 15-DL 40 37 Left Fingers Fracture Mallet Finger Sliding -
2014-03-23 2014-03-24 Camp 1 0 Left Hand Contusion HBP - -
2013-09-17 2013-09-20 DTD 3 3 Right Thumb Sprain -
2013-09-05 2013-09-06 DTD 1 0 Right Thumb Sprain - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2027 SLN $15,000,000
2026 COL $5,000,000
2026 SLN $22,000,000
2025 COL $5,000,000
2025 SLN $27,000,000
2024 COL $5,000,000
2024 SLN $30,000,000
2023 SLN $35,000,000
2022 COL $21,570,500
2022 SLN $13,429,500
2021 SLN $20,570,500
2021 COL $14,429,500
2020 COL $35,000,000
2019 COL $26,000,000
2018 COL $17,750,000
2017 COL $11,750,000
2016 COL $5,000,000
2015 COL $512,500
2014 COL $500,000
2013 COL $
YearsDescriptionSalary
10 yrPrevious$201,512,500
2019Current$35,000,000
11 yrPvs + Cur$236,512,500
3 yrFuture$74,000,000
14 yrTotal$310,512,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
9 y 155 dWasserman8 yrs/$260M (2019-26), plus extension

Details
  • 8 years/$260M (2019-26). Signed extension with Colorado 2/26/19. 19:$26M, 20-24:$35M, 25:$32M, 26:$27M. May opt out after 2021 season. Replaced 1 year, $26M deal signed 1/31/19, avoiding arbitration, $30M-$24M (highest-ever one-year salary for an arbitration-eligible player). Award bonuses: $100,000 for MVP ($50,000 for 2nd-5th in vote). $100,000 for Comeback Player of Year. $75,000 each LCS / WS MVP, $50,000 for Silver Slugger. $25,000 each All Star, Gold Glove. Perks: hotel suite on road trips. Acquired by St. Louis in trade from Colorado 2/1/21, with Arenado and both clubs agreeing to the following: Arenado agreed to waive no-trade provision while retaining the right to block all future trades. Arenado agreed to defer $20M of his 2021 salary, paid with 2 percent interest in 10 equal installments each July 1, 2022-31. Arenado agreed to defer $6M annually in 2022-26 salaries, paid with no interest in 10 installments of $3M each July 1, 2032-41. Arenado retained his right to opt out of his contract after the 2021 season and also received right to opt out of the contract after the 2022 season. St. Louis added one guaranteed year to Arenado's contract at a salary of $15M for 2027. Colorado agreed to pay St. Louis $51M, including guaranteed payments of $14,429,500 in 2021 (toward 2021 salary) and $16M in 2023 (toward deferral of 2022 salary), and conditional payments of $5,570,500 in 2022 and $5M each in 2024-26 if Arenado does not exercise right to opt out.
  • 2 years/$29.5M (2017-18). Signed extension with Colorado 1/13/17 (avoided arbitration). 17:$11.75M, 18:$17.75M.
  • 1 year/$5M (2016). Re-signed by Colorado 1/15/16 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$512,500 (2015). Re-signed by Colorado 3/6/15.
  • 1 year/$500,000 (2014). Re-signed by Colorado 3/9/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Contract purchased by Colorado 4/28/13.
  • Drafted by Colorado 2009 (2-59) (El Toro HS, Lake Forest, Calif.). $625,000 signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 38 10 2 0 2 4 6 0 0 .303 .378 .545 149 3.5 3B 0 0.0
80o 26 6 1 0 1 3 4 0 0 .261 .346 .435 145 2.2 3B 0 0.0
70o 17 5 1 0 1 2 3 0 0 .333 .412 .600 141 1.4 3B 0 0.0
60o 10 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 .222 .300 .333 138 0.7 3B 0 0.0
50o 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 136 0.2 3B 0 0.0
Weighted Mean310000100.333.333.3331360.23B 00.0

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Nolan Arenado

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2020-12-18 12:00:00 (link to chat)Trading for Nolan Arenado is not a great use of the Mets’ resources, given his cost in terms of both money and talent, not to mention age and injury concerns. Prove me wrong.
(Anthony from Citi Field )
I'd prioritize Lindor at roughly the same contract cost, even if it cost more in prospects. And you could argue they need pitching and a center fielder more. I just don't actually think it's gonna cost much in prospect capital to trade for him and he's been like a 6-7 win player for the last five full seasons. Yeah, the shoulder thing would concern me some, but you don't deal for him without doing your due dilligence and it was his non-throwing arm and didn't require surgery. Basically any time you can get a top-three player at their position, you do it. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2020-02-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Jesse , who is one player you don't want shares in this season in a redraft?For me it has to be Eugenio Suarez just because of the shoulder, had himin a dynasty league for the last 4 years,and I love him but shoulders are scary so where he's being drafted at present I'm a hard no>
(boatman44 from Liverpool)
Suarez is a good pick, but for me, it is his teammate Nick Senzel. Same shoulder concerns but also uncertain playing time on a stacked Reds roster. I am also extremely wary of any and all Astros hitters following the sign stealing scandal. Hard to say what the repercussions will be, but, at the very least, there will be tons of distracting media attention which still impacts players. Finally, I am staying away from Nolan Arenado in redrafts because a trade appears likely at some point and leaving Colorado is no bueno. (Jesse Roche)
2019-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)In a keep forever league with no salaries, I traded Yordan Alvarez for Trevor Williams earlier this year. I've been the laughingstock of the league ever since and no one will trade with me now because they all expect to get similar favorable deals. What's been your worst dynasty trade of 2019?
(Haddy from Minnesota)
At least it's not as bad as trading Yordan Alvarez for Josh Fields!

We all have those, and it's part of the fun/terribleness of dynasty. This season we thought we made out like bandits getting Wenceel Perez and Jhon Torres for Jorge Soler. Like three years ago I traded Rafael Devers, Jose Berrios, Michael Conforto for Nolan Arenado, which at the time looked like a no-brainer, but has not aged particularly well. (Mark Barry)
2019-05-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Joey Gallo hits .270, is he a first rounder?
(Pete from LA)
He's probably a mid- to back-end pick in the first-round, if he hits .270. He'd be a lot like Nolan Arenado, who hit .277 with 38 homers and two stolen bases. Arenado was a consensus first rounder in 2019. (J.P. Breen)
2018-09-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Justin Mason is mad. He's conducting mock 2019 fantasy baseball drafts this weekend. Which players do you see infiltrating the top 10 picks in 2019 compared to this season's ADP top 10? Jose Ramirez? Aaron Judge? Chris Sale? And who do we see dropping out? Kershaw? Harper? Stanton? (2018 ADP) 1 Mike Trout 2 Jose Altuve 3 Nolan Arenado 4 Trea Turner 5 Clayton Kershaw 6 Bryce Harper 7 Paul Goldschmidt 8 Giancarlo Stanton 9 Charlie Blackmon 10 Mookie Betts
(Tom Pringle from UK)
He is. I think it's the lack of sleep. Ramirez is a no-doubter - forget top 10, he's top 5. Judge's injury probably stops him, although I think he and Sale will be borderline. Kershaw will be out, as will Blackmon, and probablg Goldschmidt. Bryce has been really good for a couple of months now and I think a good last three weeks might just keep him in there. (Darius Austin)
2016-01-14 20:00:00 (link to chat)Arenado or Rizzo as a keeper for standard Roto?
(WisBrave99 from Wisconsin)
In standard Roto Nolan Arenado. (Mike Gianella)
2015-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)8-team NL-only standard 5x5 keeper league with 8 keepers per team & $260 salary cap. I had an offer of his Jay Bruce ($28 next year) and Michael Wacha ($17 next year) for my Nolan Arenado ($15 next year). I'm on the fringe of contending, he's in last place. Fair deal?
(Kingpin from Grinnell, IA)
I would really be loathe to give up Arenado, especially at that price and if you're only on the margins of contention presently. It's probably fair value, but it's a bunch of salary coming in and an elite player going out, so unless you feel like this deal's going to address enough of your team's deficiencies to put you squarely into the mix for a title this year I'd probably pass. (Wilson Karaman)
2015-06-30 19:00:00 (link to chat)Mike, need your input here... Points Based Dynasty League - K's are negative 1. How close are Kris Bryant and Xander Bogearts? I have Nolan Arenado at 3B. Can deal Bryant for XB. SS is Starlin Castro, at the moment... help me out. I'm torn.
(MP from KY)
I think Bryant is a lot better because of the power (although, yes, the Ks hurt. I would hang onto Bryant, even though I could see why you'd want to make the move. It is close. (Mike Gianella)
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)In 2014, Altuve and Rendon cemented themselves as 2nd round picks in 2015. In 2015, name some players who may become 2nd round picks in 2016? Heyward is one?
(Vic from Baltimore)
Guys in the third or fourth round who could push up to that level are George Springer, Carlos Gonzalez, and Nolan Arenado. Springer and Arenado probably fit what you're looking for: young guys who could hit that breakout. I like Heyward, but I'm not sure if he's going to provide enough speed to get there. 3rd/4th round value seems like the ceiling (although Michael Brantley seemed like this kind of guy and he did it last year). (Mike Gianella)
2015-01-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Should I marry Nolen Arrendando or Hanley Ramirez if I don't want my husband hanging around the house with some piddly injury?
(Melissa from Toledo)
When looking to avoid injury, always go with the younger player. Also Nolan Arenado has a mustache. (Matthew Kory)
2014-09-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)What are your expectations for Nolan Arenado for the next two or three seasons? Is there room for more growth?
(sitdancer from DC)
Provided that Arenado can stay healthy, I think he's a perennial five-win player. He was well on his way to that this year, even amid injuries, and while I don't see a lot of further growth, he's already a heck of a regular third baseman. That being said, the strides he made defensively to become one of the elite 3Bs in the league are very impressive and might point to the ability to keep improving well into his 20s. (Daniel Rathman)
2014-09-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)As my 12-team, 5x5 roto season winds to a close, I need some keeper help. We keep six from year to year and here are the potentials: Anthony Rendon, Josh Donaldson, Mike Trout (obviously), Troy Tulowitzki, Anthony Rizzo, Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg, Nolan Arenado I have Tulo, Rendon, Trout, Rizzo, Scherzer and Stras as my six. Would you choose them? Thanks for the help!
(Jake from Minneapolis)
I'd try to find a way to keep Donaldson and deal one of the pitchers, if I could. 28 bombs from 3B isn't anything to sneeze at, plus it allows you to play Rendon at 2B next year. Pitching is everywhere. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-04-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)I just traded Nolan Arenado, Julio Urias and Brian Goodwin for David Wright in a 16 team, 40 man roster, 5x5 league. I am middle division team with a surplus of good prospects. Thoughts on the deal?
(Gravybill from New York, NY)
I think you gave up a lot, but if you think you can compete in the next two seasons, this is fine. I like Arenado more than most and used to like Goodwin more than most, though his star is fading in my eyes. Urias will be quite good, but not irreplaceable. (Ben Carsley)
2014-03-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Nolan Arenado going to break out this year? What do you think his chances are of hitting in the #2 hole ahead of Cargo and Tulo? If he does he should see a ton of pitches to hit.
(holmesp2001 from St. Louis)
My guess is he won't bat that high. He should be a little better offensively than he was last season. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-02-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Ronit, Hope your having a good day. I was recently offered this trade what are your thoughts. traded Nolan Arenado, Col 3B receive George Springer, Charlie Morton,I have no inside info on this guy Morton
(OB1 from N.Y.C.)
Don't worry, you don't need it. I'd rather have Springer than Arenado in fantasy to begin with. (Ronit Shah)
2014-01-21 18:00:00 (link to chat)N. Arenado or B. Belt for CI, this year and the future?
(Ryan from Wintery Wonderland)
Hi Ryan:

I'd go with Brandon Belt over Nolan Arenado both this year and long term. I like Belt a lot better as a pure hitter and even though Arenado is in Colorado I'm skeptical that he is ever going to be a big time masher. The park difference is significant which makes Arenado tempting in a keep forever, but I'm going with the talent here and taking Belt. (Mike Gianella)
2014-01-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you prefer long-term? Nolan Arenado or Jedd Gyorko?
(chaneyhey from St. Louis)
Ooh that's tough. I have them close so I have to give Arenado the edge because of his setting. (Paul Sporer)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)5 hours! Thanks for all the chat, awesome stuff. Does Nolan Arenado make a top-10 3B next year? Is he basically valuable only because of Coors?
(ravenight from Boston)
You're welcome! I don't think he's quite top 10, but his value is boosted by Coors for sure. I like him more for 2015. (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat)I am currently rostering both Brett Lawrie and Nolan Arenado in a 12-team H2H redraft league (OBP replaces AVG otherwise standard 5 categories). I don't want to carry more than one 3B and neither has trade value...who should I drop? I just can't imagine a world where I regret dropping Lawrie at this point...am I wrong?
(Ragnhild from Norway)
Lawrie looks horrendous to me. He has poor pitch selection and tries to destroy every baseball thrown his way. I see him get himself out more often than not by going after the pitcher's pitch rather than waiting for one he can do something with. Arenado has less major league experience but already does this better. (Jason Collette)
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat)Nolan Arenado's running a good LD% now, but with little to show in the way of BABIP. When all is said and done with normalization, what kind of slash line do you see Nolan Arenado putting up for the rest of the year?
(Bodhizefa from Greensboro, NC)
.270/.330/.480 (Jason Collette)
2013-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)I currently do not have an active 3B on the roster and no teams are interested in trading. Any off the radar (like not in the top 20 at the position guys) you would use in your lineup? I am looking at guys like Chisenhall, Gillaspe, Nunez, Nix, etc.) Will Ryan Wheeler make an appearance this year or he essentially blocked by Nolan Arenado?
(MN Mike from MN)
Chis should be on the fat side of the platoon & he's raking righties. If they use him as platoon only, he works. Gillaspie might get more burn as Keppinger fails. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-30 12:00:00 (link to chat)My dad picked up Nolan Arenado before I was able to. Do you think he will hit right away?
(Alex from Anaheim)
He gets to play his home games at Coors Field so I wouldn't rule it out. Gotta tip your cap to pops for being quick with the add. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Just offered Chris Archer and Nolan Arenado for Cingrani in a keeper league where I am rebuilding from scratch. Thoughts?
(Joe from Seattle)
Leave the chat right now and hit accept. I give you permission to go. (Bret Sayre)
2013-04-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Can you think of any guys who are currently in the minors that have a good chance of coming up and making an impact in the majors this year? Also, when we get through the Super Two deadline, which prospects do you think will be called up?
(Marco from California)
Three names that immediately jump to mind, Marco: Nolan Arenado (3B, COL), Wil Myers (OF, TBR), and Anthony Rendon (INF, WSH). Arenado should be ready to take over at the hot corner for the Rockies in the near future. The Rays might not be able to keep Myers in the minors for much longer, unless their current position players turn things around at the plate. And with Danny Espinosa scuffling, the Nats could look for an internal upgrade at second base, which a healthy Rendon could provide. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Cory ..... thanks for the chat. Which hot prospects do you think will be "held back" in the minors for Super-2 considerations this year? Taveras? Others?
(dianagram from VORGville)
Well, to be fair, Taveras doesn't have a clear-cut path to playing time, with Holliday and Beltran on the corners and Jay as the primary/platoon CF. But he will probably hit his way into a job this year. Wil Myers, Nolan Arenado, Jurickson Profar and Kolten Wong are just a few others who quickly come to mind. Like Taveras, Profar may indeed be ready right now, but there's no clear-cut everyday job for him right now so I can see the Rangers giving him a few more weeks in Triple-A while they figure it out. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)If you had to predict Nolan Arenado's fantasy value next year, whose would it be comparable to?
(Heinrich from San Diego)
Oh man, you'd really have to know how much he's going to be up. He could get service timed or could just be deemed unready. It sounds from what I've been reading that he won't start the season in the majors, so would his comps be Olt and A-Rod in that regard?

Next year should be much easier to predict with him. (Zachary Levine)
2013-03-06 20:00:00 (link to chat)Looking at Rox for some high upside guys. With Nolan Arenado's hot start, do you think Chris Nelson will get enough playing time to warrant a protection at $5 (eligible at 2B)? Also, any chance Eric Young Jr sneaks into the lineup enough to steal 30+?
(Scott from LA)
If this is an NL-only leagues, I'd protect Nelson for $5. Young will likely get 25ish steals, but erratically and without much production elsewhere. (Paul Singman)
2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance Nolan Arenado wins the third base job?
(grandslam28 from Chicago)
I'll give him about a 25% chance to emerge with the gig on Opening Day, and possibly better than that if he improves his day-to-day effort level, something that he was dinged for last year. Arenado certainly has the talent to be an everyday option at third base, and Chris Nelson won't stand in the way for long. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Not to focus too much on KLaw's Top 100, but the absence of Nolan Arenado was surprising to me. Has his stock fallen that far in your estimation, too?
(Dan W. from Brooklyn)
It's fallen, yes. We still put him in the 101. I think he's going to hit, but he might not be a monster. (Jason Parks)
2012-10-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's your take on the sliding prospect stock of Nolan Arenado? No star ceiling anymore? Do you see him or Jedd Gyorko as the higher ceiling prospect at 3b?
(sitdancer from DC)
Still love Arenado; had to expect his numbers to come down a bit from what he put up in the California League, and I think he did well for a 21-year old in AA. Still lots of doubles and lots of contact. I'd take him over Gyorko, who is 2.5 years older and did the bulk of his damage in the Pacific Coast League last year. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-07-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)I'm looking to stash a player in the minors that isn't expected to produce at the MLB level until late 2012/early 2013. Who are the guys you would consider?
(patvijay from Chicago)
Definitely start with the list I gave in question 3. You could add Travis D'Arnaud, Shelby Miller, Gary Brown, Nolan Arenado. It sounds like you might be in a shallower league, though, so if most of these guys are available and you're just grabbing one, I'd probably have to go with Wil Myers. (Derek Carty)
2012-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Whither Nolan Arenado? Chris Nelson has a .607 OPS and three errors already. What the heck are the Rockies waiting for?
(Silv from NY, NY)
One possible guess, of course, is that they're waiting long enough to ensure an extra year of team control. More likely, it's because he's barely reached drinking age, and barely seen advanced pitching. Sure, he might be ready, but I'd like to see him succeed in more than 100 or so PAs in Double-A before throwing him to the wolves. There's a big risk-reward question here--does the reward of him (possibly) improving the big league lineup a little bit this year outweight the risk that he's not ready, and forcing him to fail in his first trip to the majors stunts his development? I totally understand them playing it safe at this point. (Ken Funck)
2012-04-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Derek, thanks for the chat. Many people know I am better performer in the second half of season career-wise. Would you mind name more players you consider worth monitoring or even prospects who could have a big showing?
(Adam Laroche from National Capital)
Sorry, Adam, but I don't buy the whole first-half/second-half thing for most players. As far as prospects that could be recalled and make an impact go, there are a lot of guys that could fit the bill. To name a few: Bryce Harper, Mike Trout, Trevor Bauer, Joe Benson, Joe Wieland, Robbie Erlin, Leonys Martin, Tyler Skaggs, Jacob Turner, Brad Peacock, Jarrod Parker, Nolan Arenado, Danny Hultzen, and Brett Jackson. (Derek Carty)
2012-03-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)Either of uberprospects Nolan Arenado or Brett Jackson likely to have substantive value this season? I've stashed both in NL only as long term plays, but am hoping they'll get their licks in for 2012, as well.
(Silv from NY, NY)
Jackson should have an earlier opportunity and I love the pop/speed combo. Substantive value may be a bit much to ask though (Jason Collette)
2012-03-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)At what point will I be replaced this season?
(Casey Blake from Rocker)
If Nolan Arenado hits in the minors, it may be no later than the All-Star break. If Blake doesn't hit, it may be no later than April 30. The team doesn't have any high quality options, but they could easily try someone like Chris Nelson or Jordan Pacheco if Blake is struggling. (Derek Carty)
2012-01-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Good afternoon. Can you please rank the best 5 3B not yet in the big leagues (Rendon, Middlebrooks, etc) and if you think any can have an impact in 2012/2013.
(Ken318 from Quakertown, PA)
The honest answer is "no, we can't," unless you want us to start parroting prospect lists (speaking of which, Kevin Goldstein's Top 101 will be out next month, both on the site and in the annual). I did relay your question to Kevin, who points out that we should be keeping an eye on the Rockies' Nolan Arenado, who's coming on strong and has a clear path to the majors with Ian Stewart in Chicago.--Ben (Best of BP with Ben and Dave)


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