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Patrick Corbin PNationals

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 29)

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
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Birth Date	7-19-1989
Height	6' 4"
Weight	220 lbs

Age	35 years, 4 months, 3 days
Bats	L
Throws	L

: 1.52015
: -1.02016
: 1.42017
: 5.92018
: 2.52019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-	WARP
2012	ARI	MLB	22	17	107.0	6	8	1	117	25	86	14	103	9.8	2.1	1.2	7.2	0%	.317	1.33	4.03	4.54	104	4.65	106.6	0.6
2013	ARI	MLB	32	32	208.3	14	8	0	189	54	178	19	104	8.2	2.3	0.8	7.7	0%	.283	1.17	3.40	3.41	94	3.28	78.5	4.2
2015	ARI	MLB	16	16	85.0	6	5	0	91	17	78	9	97	9.6	1.8	1.0	8.3	0%	.327	1.27	3.37	3.60	89	3.63	84.7	1.5
2016	ARI	MLB	36	24	155.7	5	13	1	177	66	131	24	102	10.2	3.8	1.4	7.6	55%	.322	1.56	4.87	5.15	103	5.86	129.7	-1.0
2017	ARI	MLB	33	32	189.7	14	13	0	208	61	178	26	99	9.9	2.9	1.2	8.4	52%	.326	1.42	4.09	4.03	94	4.92	104.7	1.4
2018	ARI	MLB	33	33	200.0	11	7	0	162	48	246	15	100	7.3	2.2	0.7	11.1	49%	.302	1.05	2.43	3.15	74	2.74	61.3	5.9
2019	WAS	MLB	33	33	202.0	14	7	0	169	70	238	24	104	7.5	3.1	1.1	10.6	51%	.290	1.18	3.44	3.25	75	3.09	63.4	5.9
Career		MLB	205	187	1147.7	70	61	2	1113	341	1135	131	101	8.7	2.7	1.0	8.9	50%	.306	1.27	3.61	3.80	89	3.93	87.2	18.5

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-
2009	ORM	Rk	PIO	13	12	46.3	4	2	0	59	11	46	6	107	11.5	2.1	1.2	8.9	0%	.351	1.51	4.33	5.05	93	4.68	98.5
2010	CDR	A	MDW	9	9	58.3	8	0	0	52	10	42	2	105	8.0	1.5	0.3	6.5	0%	.289	1.06	3.27	3.86	0	0.00	0.0
2010	RCU	A+	CLF	11	11	60.3	5	3	0	57	18	64	7	87	8.5	2.7	1.0	9.6	0%	.307	1.24	4.05	3.88	0	0.00	0.0
2010	VIS	A+	CLF	8	8	26.0	0	1	0	17	9	30	1	100	5.9	3.1	0.3	10.4	0%	.271	1.00	2.95	1.38	0	0.00	0.0
2011	MOB	AA	SOU	26	26	160.3	9	8	0	172	40	142	15	108	9.7	2.2	0.8	8.0	0%	.328	1.32	3.71	4.21	93	4.82	98.3
2012	ARI	MLB	NL	22	17	107.0	6	8	1	117	25	86	14	103	9.8	2.1	1.2	7.2	0%	.317	1.33	4.03	4.54	104	4.65	106.6
2012	MOB	AA	SOU	4	4	27.0	2	0	0	22	8	25	0	103	7.3	2.7	0.0	8.3	0%	.306	1.11	2.28	1.67	81	3.57	74.3
2012	RNO	AAA	PCL	9	9	52.3	3	2	0	57	15	55	4	110	9.8	2.6	0.7	9.5	0%	.349	1.38	3.47	3.44	77	3.43	71.4
2013	ARI	MLB	NL	32	32	208.3	14	8	0	189	54	178	19	104	8.2	2.3	0.8	7.7	0%	.283	1.17	3.40	3.41	94	3.28	78.5
2015	ARI	MLB	NL	16	16	85.0	6	5	0	91	17	78	9	97	9.6	1.8	1.0	8.3	0%	.327	1.27	3.37	3.60	89	3.63	84.7
2015	VIS	A+	CAL	1	1	0.7	0	1	0	4	2	0	0	105	54.0	27.0	0.0	0.0	0%	.667	9.00	12.78	54.00	123	0.00	0.0
2015	MOB	AA	SOU	3	3	16.3	1	0	0	13	5	11	1	106	7.2	2.8	0.6	6.1	0%	.255	1.10	3.85	2.76	98	3.05	66.9
2016	ARI	MLB	NL	36	24	155.7	5	13	1	177	66	131	24	102	10.2	3.8	1.4	7.6	55%	.322	1.56	4.87	5.15	103	5.86	129.7
2017	ARI	MLB	NL	33	32	189.7	14	13	0	208	61	178	26	99	9.9	2.9	1.2	8.4	52%	.326	1.42	4.09	4.03	94	4.92	104.7
2018	ARI	MLB	NL	33	33	200.0	11	7	0	162	48	246	15	100	7.3	2.2	0.7	11.1	49%	.302	1.05	2.43	3.15	74	2.74	61.3
2019	WAS	MLB	NL	33	33	202.0	14	7	0	169	70	238	24	104	7.5	3.1	1.1	10.6	51%	.290	1.18	3.44	3.25	75	3.09	63.4

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%
2012	1588	0.5019	0.4824	0.8055	0.6474	0.3161	0.8953	0.6200	0.1945
2013	3081	0.4765	0.4804	0.7622	0.6213	0.3521	0.8860	0.5634	0.2378
2015	1253	0.4932	0.4980	0.7676	0.6262	0.3732	0.8682	0.6034	0.2324
2016	2531	0.4224	0.4469	0.7710	0.6239	0.3174	0.8876	0.6034	0.2290
2017	3112	0.4351	0.4589	0.7430	0.6233	0.3322	0.8803	0.5445	0.2570
2018	3139	0.3727	0.4699	0.6522	0.6188	0.3814	0.8439	0.4674	0.3478
2019	3296	0.3902	0.4666	0.6808	0.6314	0.3612	0.8608	0.4793	0.3192
Career	18000	0.4312	0.4690	0.7302	0.6261	0.3488	0.8729	0.5414	0.2698

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
2014-03-19	2014-09-29	60-DL	194	162	Left	Elbow	Recovery From Surgery	Tommy John Surgery	2014-03-25	-
2014-03-16	2014-03-19	Camp	3	0	Left	Elbow	Surgery	Tommy John Surgery	2014-03-25	-

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2024	WAS	$35,416,666
2023	WAS	$24,416,667
2022	WAS	$23,416,667
2021	WAS	$24,416,667
2020	WAS	$19,416,667
2019	WAS	$12,916,666
2018	ARI	$7,500,000
2017	ARI	$3,950,000
2016	ARI	$2,525,000
2015	ARI	$524,000
2014	ARI	$515,000
2013	ARI	$494,000
2012	ARI	$

Years	Description	Salary
11 yr	Previous	$120,091,334
2019	Current	$35,416,666
12 yr	Pvs + Cur	$155,508,000
12 yr	Total	$155,508,000

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
10 y 105 d	ISE Baseball	6 years/$140M (2019-24)

Details

6 years/$140M (2019-24). Signed by Washington as a free agent 12/7/18. $2.5M signing bonus, paid 10/31/19. 19:$12.5M, 20:$19M, 21:$24M, 22:$23M, 23:$24M, 24:$35M. $10M of 2024 salary is deferred without interest, to be paid Nov. 2024 through Jan 15, 2026. Award bonuses: $0.5M each for Cy Young or MVP ($0.25M second-place finish in either vote, $0.15M for third, $0.1M for fourth, $75,000 for fifth). $0.25M for WS MVP. $0.15M for LCS MVP. $0.1M each for All Star, Gold Glove, Silver Slugger.
1 year/$7.5M (2018). Re-signed by Arizona 1/11/18 (avoided arbitration). Arizona made $17.9M qualifying offer 11/2/18.
1 year/$3.95M (2017). Signed by Arizona 1/13/17 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$2.525M (2016). Re-signed by Arizona 1/15/16 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$524,000 (2015). Re-signed by Arizona 3/6/15.
1 year/$515,000 (2014). Re-signed by Arizona 3/3/14.
1 year/$494,000 (2013). Re-signed by Arizona 3/2/13.
1 year (2012). Contract purchased by Arizona 4/30/12.
Acquired by Arizona in trade from LA Angels 7/25/10 (Dan Haren deal).
Drafted by LA Angels 2009 (2-80) (Chipola JC, Fla.). $450,000 signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	VORP	WARP
Weighted Mean	?	?	?	?	?	0.0	?	0	0	?	.000	0.00	0.00	?	0.0	0.0

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Patrick Corbin

BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2020-08-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Questions about 2 starting pitchers. First, Matt Boyd. For dynasty leagues, is this a buy-low opportunity on a guy who still has a lot of upside, or is he "broken?" Likewise, given the screwy season and shortened summer camp, how worried are we about Patrick Corbin's loss of velocity? He's still a top SP isn't he (Hint: I gave up Keston Hiura AND a first-round draft pick to get him!)? Thanks (Slappy from NC)	Boyd is causing a lot of fantasy managers problems. At least you're not Ron Gardenhire? I think he's closer to broken than to an upside play at this point. Re: Corbin, I think it's fair to be concerned any time there is a three mile per hour drop in velo. His last outing was at 91 though, which is a tick or two up from his prior starts this year. Hopefully that trend can continue. (Craig Goldstein)
2020-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)	We’ve seen lots of players struggle after Tommy John surgery. Who are some of the best pitchers (post surgery) that have undergone TJS earlier in their careers? Thanks. (CubbieBear from Chi-Town)	I'm not sure how early we're talking, but there are some top-end pitchers who underwent TJS a year or two into their big-league careers and then found major success. Charlie Morton, Carlos Carrasco, Patrick Corbin, Jose Fernandez, Yu Darvish, and Walker Buehler all come to mind. The important thing to remember, though, is that it often takes a couple of years to truly rebound from TJS. I think people expect post-TJS pitchers to take the mound 1.5 years after they undergo surgery and "have it." That rarely happens. It can take two or three years to round back into form. (J.P. Breen)
2020-03-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)	I recognize it’s only preseason but the Angels have seemingly changed Dylan Bundy into the frontline starter he always was projected to be. Do you think his spring performance is sustainable? (CubbieBear from Chi-Sox)	Bundy has an elite slider. It generated 47.9% whiffs last year and 50% the year before. Yet, he only threw his slider 22.8% of the time last year. At the same time, his fastball is garbage (hitters hit .335 BA w/ .645 SLG against his fastball last year). The math is pretty simple. Throw the dang slider more and the fastball less! If he goes all Patrick Corbin on us, then I think he has a chance to be a solid fantasy performer (not Corbin, mind you). Bundy is an excellent target late in drafts. (Jesse Roche)
2020-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Dynasty deal, keep forever, 6x6 OBP/FIP league. Which side do you like? Side A: Yoan Moncada (24)/Joe Jimenez (25) Side B: Patrick Corbin (30)/Benintendi (25) (Mike from NYC)	Side A. I prefer Moncada alone to Corbin/Benintendi. Think his 2019 breakout is the tip of the fantasy upside iceberg. (Jesse Roche)
2019-02-04 16:00:00 (link to chat)	Mike, how do you feel the move from AZ to Washington will impact Patrick Corbin? I am still disappointed the Yankees couldn’t nab him...their SP concerns me (tomhauck from NJ)	I don't see much of an impact...his stuff played better on the road than home last year so it's not like the humidor make a big change for him. He's still a second tier pitcher for me whose K rate probably slips a little in '19. (Mike Gianella)
2018-12-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Region is such a central part of wine conversations because geography (and all of its associated environmental and climatological components) is so important in determining the nature of fruit development. Region similarly is a central part of the player-development conversation in baseball, and there now seems to be a geographical orientation that favors players raised in warm-weather climate zones that permit year-round outdoor play (New Jersey's Mike Trout being a notable exception). That wasn't always the case, though. Do you expect, e.g., California, Texas, Georgia, and Florida to continue to lead the pack? What sorts of changes might lead to a shift in this regard? (Alec Denton from Atlanta)	Climate change. OK, straight answer. Obviously, the problem up here (I'm in upstate NY--where Patrick Corbin hails from!) is that the season's so short. There was snow on the ground up here well into March. So kids don't get the reps they can in warmer climates. The answer, I suspect, will be baseball-oriented boarding schools in the sun belt where high school kids will go for the second and third quarters of th year. (For all I know, they already exist. We have similar academies for skiers up here.) That will then exacerbate the problem of baseball increasingly becoming a rich kid's sport, given the demands of travel ball, showcases, etc. So a bad solution! The easier answer, of course, is that teams realize that amateurs in cold-weather climates are the new market inefficiency. But the lack of information about these kids will hamper things. (Rob Mains)
2017-07-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)	If you had to give up on two of these SP in a dynasty league full keeper who would it be, Vargas, Musgrove, Clevinger, Daniel Norris, Luke Weaver, Patrick Corbin or Blake Snell? (MatternK from Point Mugu)	When you say "give up on" do you mean trade or release? Vargas and Clevinger both appear to be pitching above their talent level and peripherals, so if you can trade them they seem like good picks. If it's straight up "abandon in a roster crunch" I think I'd drop Corbin and then one of either Musgrove or Clevinger. (Nick Schaefer)
2015-01-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)	In a 6x6 (QS and OPS are added but features SVHDs) 12-team league with 40 man rosters (keep 35) would you rather have Patrick Corbin coming back from Tommy John or Kyle Hendricks as the 35th keeper? (Matt from IL)	I like Corbin better than Hendricks. Corbin is slated to return in June but even so I would much rather roll dice with him moving forward over Hendricks. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-11-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)	What is the health status of Brandon Beachy and how does the Shelby Miller trade effect his 2015 season? Also how does it look for of Patrick Corbin and Tony Cingrani healthwise for 2015? Thanks for the chat, and all the knowledge, you pass along! (Dragonbreath from Gurnee, IL.)	I haven't seen much recent new on the health statuses of Beachy and Medlen, but I wouldn't consider the acquisition of Miller as any sort of reflection on those. I'd imagine the Braves were more concerned with maximizing their return on Heyward a year away from his free agency. There is room for both Beachy and Medlen in the rotation if they are healthy. One thing to keep an eye out: I saw reports this morning that the Braves are courting Jon Lester, or at least having him in for a visit. It's hard to say if this will have any bearing on his decision, but I believe Lester lives in Georgia during the offseason. I'd expect Cingrani to be ready to roll on Opening Day-whether it's as a starter remains to be seen-and Corbin to return around June. (Daniel Rathman)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)	Hey Ben,jumping two yeas from now,can you rank this group????Tanaka,Jon Gray,Danny Salazer,Patrick Corbin,D.J.Peterson,Alex Cobb,Matt Adams and Odor.. Thanks.... (John from Boston)	ALL of the ranking questions. In two years, let's go Gray, Tanaka, Salazar, Cobb, Corbin, Adams, Odor, Peterson (Ben Carsley)
2013-09-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Thanks for the chat, Harry. What is your outlook for Patrick Corbin next season? I know it's unreasonable to expect the dominance he showed in the first half of this season but do you see the possibility of a #2, or something else? (Ray from NY)	He's more of a 3 for me. He has great command and is young with nearly two full seasons under his belt, so maybe he's a solid 3 with a 2 ceiling. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-08-08 17:30:00 (link to chat)	In a deep, NL-only keeper league, I will face a dilemma with Patrick Corbin in the off-season. I can do one of three things with Corbin: keep him one more year at $1, extend him one year at a salary of $6, or extend two more year at a salary of $11. There seems to be some consensus that Corbin won't sustain this year's results and things like FIP and xFIP suggest his results are a bit better than his performance this year. What would you do with Corbin in this situation? Thanks. (Noel Baldwin from Calgary, Canada)	Hey Noel: If it's a full NL-only league, I'd probably go $11. I would agree that Corbin isn't going to sustain this level of performance, but an ERA in the low 3s (which veers closer to the FIP that you mention above) is a good possibility. My guess is that Corbin is a $16-20 earner in NL-only next year. My rule of thumb for contracts is $5 or more below value. $6 is the safe play with Corbin. $11 is if you really believe. Based on your comments, you might be agnostic about Corbin and $6 might be safer. I'd roll the dice on $11. (Mike Gianella)
2013-05-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Probably a question best for a fantasy chat, but In a 20-team dynasty league: Giancarlo Stanton, Clayton Kershaw, and Patrick Corbin for Yu Darvish, Shelby Miller, Craig Kimbrel, Neftali Feliz, and Byron Buxton. Assuming the trade benefits the needs of both teams, which side would you rather have? (Dr. Mike from Milwaukee)	Kershaw and Darvish are nearly a wash (maybe a slight edge to Kershaw), and it's hard to bank on Feliz, so it comes down to Giancarlo-Corbin for Miller-Kimbrel-Buxton. I love Kimbrel, but closers are risky business from a dynasty standpoint, and though I prefer Miller to Corbin by a decent measure, I don't think that Buxton bridges the gap to Giancarlo. I feel that prospects are extremely overvalued in dynasty formats, especially when compared to players like Stanton - Stanton is young enough to still qualify as a prospect and already one of the best players in the game, and his future will be even brighter once he escapes the island of misfit toys in Miami. On the jukebox: Lagwagon, "Bury the Hatchet" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Who from the following list of young 4th/5th starter talent types have the best chances at a solid 2013: Dan Straily, Jose Quintana, Joe Kelly, Drew Smyly, AJ Griffin, David Phelps, Erasmo Ramirez, and Patrick Corbin? (Paul from DC)	I don't know if Kelly, Smyly, or Corbin will get a full slate of starts, I know Phelps won't. That leaves Griffin, Straily, Quintana, and Ramirez and I'd lean toward one of the first two. (R.J. Anderson)

BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC

Patrick Corbin has thrown 31,435 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2012 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Slider (80mph) and Sinker (92mph), also mixing in a Cutter (87mph) and Fourseam Fastball (91mph). He also rarely throws a Change (81mph).