Biographical

Portrait of Gavin Lux

Gavin Lux 2B  

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Dodgers Player Cards | Dodgers Team Audit | Dodgers Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 21)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
2 .000 0 0 0 0 42 0.0
Birth Date11-23-1997
Height6' 2"
Weight190 lbs
Age21 years, 10 months, 25 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2015
2016
2017
2018
0.02019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2019 LAN 21 23 82 18 4 1 2 7 24 0 2 0 .240 .305 .400 75 -2.3 0.1 -0.9 -0.1
Career238218412724020.240.305.40075-2.30.1-0.9-0.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2016 DOD Rk AZL 48 219 .263 .332 .378 .360 102 7.4 6.5 2.2 138 0 -7.9 1.1 -1.4 0.0
2016 OGD Rk PIO 8 34 .290 .343 .440 .522 99 2.9 1.0 0.5 159 0 -1.3 0.0 0.9 0.1
2017 GRL A MID 111 501 .254 .323 .388 .288 97 -0.3 14.0 3.3 97 0 7.8 3.4 -1.7 2.8
2018 RCU A+ CAL 88 404 .260 .329 .416 .374 109 21.3 11.5 3.3 144 0 0.1 -1.8 17.8 3.2
2018 TUL AA TEX 28 120 .256 .322 .394 .370 107 5.4 3.4 1.4 153 0 -0.6 1.3 6.1 1.2
2019 LAN MLB NL 23 82 .257 .335 .446 .327 92 -0.4 2.5 -0.1 75 11 -0.9 0.1 -2.3 -0.1
2019 TUL AA TEX 64 291 .251 .315 .385 .358 99 20.7 7.8 3 166 0 -2.5 -2.6 16.2 2.4
2019 OKL AAA PCL 49 232 .270 .351 .470 .451 101 32.1 7.8 2.5 176 0 -3.1 -1.2 24.7 2.7

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2016 OGD Rk PIO 34 31 7 12 3 0 0 15 3 3 8 1 0 .387 .441 .484 .097 0 0
2016 DOD Rk AZL 219 192 34 54 10 5 0 74 18 25 43 1 0 .281 .365 .385 .104 1 0
2017 GRL A MID 501 434 68 106 14 8 7 157 39 56 88 27 10 .244 .331 .362 .118 5 3
2018 TUL AA TEX 120 105 21 34 4 1 4 52 9 14 20 2 2 .324 .408 .495 .171 0 0
2018 RCU A+ CAL 404 358 64 116 23 7 11 186 48 43 68 11 7 .324 .396 .520 .196 2 0
2019 OKL AAA PCL 232 199 54 78 18 4 13 143 39 33 42 3 3 .392 .478 .719 .327 0 0
2019 TUL AA TEX 291 259 45 81 7 4 13 135 37 28 60 7 3 .313 .375 .521 .208 4 0
2019 LAN MLB NL 82 75 12 18 4 1 2 30 9 7 24 2 0 .240 .305 .400 .160 0 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2019 330 0.5061 0.4061 0.7239 0.6287 0.1779 0.7905 0.4828 0.2761 0.0000
Career3300.50610.40610.72390.62870.17790.79050.48280.27610.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 LAN $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 dJet Sports1 year (2019)

Details
  • 1 year (2019). Contract selected by LA Dodgers 9/2/19.
  • Drafted by LA Dodgers 2016 (1-20) (Indian Trail HS, Kenosha, Wisc.). $2.3145M signing bonus ($2.3163M slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 51 10 1 0 2 4 12 1 0 .213 .275 .362 62 -0.1 2B 0 0.0
80o 34 6 1 0 1 2 8 0 0 .188 .235 .312 55 -0.5 2B 0 0.0
70o 22 5 1 0 1 1 6 0 0 .250 .286 .450 50 -0.5 2B 0 0.0
60o 12 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 .091 .167 .091 45 -0.3 2B 0 0.0
50o 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 42 -0.1 2B 0 0.0
Weighted Mean300000100.000.000.00042-0.12B 00.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG DRC+ WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
202022535621191241559391309.243.298.37647-0.6-5.10.73.313.8-22.9-0.2
202123508591131341659361258.240.294.38546-0.6-5.00.73.013.1-21.8-0.2
202224482581071231656351198.243.300.39048-0.5-4.30.62.712.4-20.0-0.2
202325495591101231657361208.243.299.38848-0.5-4.80.52.712.7-20.7-0.2
202426461541011131453331127.241.296.38547-0.6-4.90.42.311.9-19.5-0.2
202527461551021131554341126.242.299.38948-0.5-4.80.32.211.8-19.2-0.2
20262844753981131452331095.240.298.38748-0.6-5.00.22.011.5-18.8-0.2
20272942851941031450321044.240.298.38848-0.6-5.10.01.811.0-17.9-0.2
20283042050921031449321023.239.297.38648-0.6-5.3-0.11.710.8-17.6-0.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year DRC+ Trend
1 95 Francisco Lindor 2015 109
2 95 Daniel Robertson 2015 0 DNP
3 93 Jorge Polanco 2015 105
4 91 Cole Tucker 2018 0 DNP
5 90 J.P. Crawford 2016 0 DNP
6 88 Rosell Herrera 2014 0 DNP
7 88 Amed Rosario 2017 69
8 87 Eugenio Suarez 2013 0 DNP
9 87 Gavin Cecchini 2015 0 DNP
10 87 Yolmer Sanchez 2013 0 DNP
11 86 Tyler Wade 2016 0 DNP
12 86 Orlando Arcia 2016 66
13 86 Mauricio Dubon 2016 0 DNP
14 86 Tyler Pastornicky 2011 0 DNP
15 85 Hak-Ju Lee 2012 0 DNP
16 85 Jonathan Schoop 2013 90
17 85 Jose Pirela 2011 0 DNP
18 85 Franklin Barreto 2017 55
19 85 Marcus Lemon 2009 0 DNP
20 84 Alen Hanson 2014 0 DNP
21 84 Thairo Estrada 2017 0 DNP
22 84 Juan Perez 2013 0 DNP
23 84 Nick Franklin 2012 0 DNP
24 84 Yairo Munoz 2016 0 DNP
25 84 Luis Guillorme 2016 0 DNP
26 83 Yamaico Navarro 2009 0 DNP
27 83 Nick Gordon 2017 0 DNP
28 83 Adrian Cardenas 2009 0 DNP
29 83 Malquin Canelo 2016 0 DNP
30 83 Domingo Leyba 2017 0 DNP
31 82 Ke'Bryan Hayes 2018 0 DNP
32 82 Jose Gomez 2018 0 DNP
33 82 Christian Arroyo 2016 0 DNP
34 81 Andrew Velazquez 2016 0 DNP
35 81 Forrest Wall 2017 0 DNP
36 81 Delino DeShields 2014 0 DNP
37 81 Jake Hager 2014 0 DNP
38 81 Yu Chang 2017 0 DNP
39 81 Rio Ruiz 2015 0 DNP
40 81 Jamie Westbrook 2016 0 DNP
41 81 Abiatal Avelino 2016 0 DNP
42 81 Cheslor Cuthbert 2014 0 DNP
43 81 Tim Beckham 2011 0 DNP
44 80 Billy McKinney 2016 0 DNP
45 80 Steve Lombardozzi 2010 0 DNP
46 80 Matt Dominguez 2011 82
47 80 Brett Lawrie 2011 126
48 80 Carlos Rivero 2009 0 DNP
49 80 Edinson Rincon 2012 0 DNP
50 80 Mookie Betts 2014 126
51 79 Jose Altuve 2011 79
52 79 Alexi Amarista 2010 0 DNP
53 79 Yusniel Diaz 2018 0 DNP
54 79 Hoy Jun Park 2017 0 DNP
55 79 L.J. Hoes 2011 0 DNP
56 79 Brendan Rodgers 2018 0 DNP
57 79 Willy Adames 2017 0 DNP
58 79 Jose Tabata 2010 89
59 79 Domonic Brown 2009 0 DNP
60 79 Joc Pederson 2013 0 DNP
61 79 Manuel Margot 2016 71
62 79 Ramon Flores 2013 0 DNP
63 78 Sergio Alcantara 2018 0 DNP
64 78 Alex Verdugo 2017 86
65 78 Ruben Tejada 2011 99
66 78 Cito Culver 2014 0 DNP
67 78 Brett Phillips 2015 0 DNP
68 78 Nate Samson 2009 0 DNP
69 78 Wilmer Flores 2013 68
70 78 Jurickson Profar 2014 0 DNP
71 78 Jose Ramirez 2014 81
72 78 Andrew McCutchen 2008 0 DNP
73 78 John Tolisano 2010 0 DNP
74 77 Josh Morgan 2017 0 DNP
75 77 Miguel Andujar 2016 0 DNP
76 77 Melky Cabrera 2006 102
77 77 Jermaine Palacios 2018 0 DNP
78 77 Chance Sisco 2016 0 DNP
79 77 Tony Wolters 2013 0 DNP
80 77 Elvis Andrus 2010 83
81 77 Blake Perkins 2018 0 DNP
82 77 Lonnie Chisenhall 2010 0 DNP
83 77 Cornelius Randolph 2018 0 DNP
84 77 Jonathan Galvez 2012 0 DNP
85 77 Mitch Nay 2015 0 DNP
86 77 Victor Robles 2018 103
87 77 Jesmuel Valentin 2015 0 DNP
88 77 Willi Castro 2018 0 DNP
89 77 Jeimer Candelario 2015 0 DNP
90 77 Tyrone Taylor 2015 0 DNP
91 77 Austin Meadows 2016 0 DNP
92 77 Riley Unroe 2017 0 DNP
93 77 Odubel Herrera 2013 0 DNP
94 76 Ehire Adrianza 2011 0 DNP
95 76 Wendell Rijo 2017 0 DNP
96 76 Sean Coyle 2013 0 DNP
97 76 Jean Segura 2011 0 DNP
98 76 Cristhian Adames 2013 0 DNP
99 76 Jason Martin 2017 0 DNP
100 76 Aaron Hicks 2011 0 DNP

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 The Dodgers may have the Gavin Lux-ury to be patient with their first-rounder from 2016, but after an underwhelming full-season debut and swirling questions about his future at the six, a strong showing in 2018 would help alleviate some creeping doubts about his future.
2017 Tagged as a potential first-rounder, the Wisconsin prep product was never bound to be a Royal—Kansas City lost their first rounder as penance for signing Ian Kennedy. Still, 19 other teams craved a different kind of buzz, and decided that this kind of Lux just wasn't for them. Their loss was the Dodgers gain; he stood out as a true shortstop in a class that lacked them, impressing evaluators with his professional attitude and ability to draw the most out of his solid tools. He packs a smooth, left-handed stroke at the plate, and while he may never have significant pop, he's shown the ability to drive the ball thanks to added weight. He's a high-floor prospect who has a good shot at reaching the majors; something his uncle and 1982 second-overall pick Augie Schmidt never accomplished.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Gavin Lux

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2019-09-06 12:00:00 (link to chat)I resisted taking Gavin Lux with my last pick in . a 4 yr keeper this year. Do you think in 2020, he can immediately become a top 100 player?
(Vic from Baltimore)
So some names between 90-100 on our position player WARP leaderboard include Scott Kingery, Jean Segura, and David Fletcher. I know this is a fantasy question, but that seems doable for Lux, broadly speaking (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-09-06 12:00:00 (link to chat)Competing now in a 16 team Dynasty, do I cut bait on either Piscotty or Yandy? My 5 DL slots are occupied by Rodon, Taillon, A Hicks, Dom Smith, and Pressly. Have Gavin Lux waiting in the minors.
(phgold09 from Long Island, NY)
I'd probably dump Piscotty before Yandy, but I also get weird about foot injuries. I'd probably prefer Lux over either of them for 2020. It's perfectly reasonable to drop Rodon or Taillon here too I think depending on your pitching situation. This does not constitute fantasy advice as you are asking the wrong person as always. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)A non Gavin Lux related Dodgers question! Any idea what's going on with Yadier Alvarez? I know there were questions about his coachability last year and this season he only pitched in two games in April. Is it a serious injury or more?
(David from LA)
It's easy to say it's just the trials and tribulations of a pitching prospect, but it's also kind of the trials and tribulations of a pitching prospect. Especially one that throws so hard. Finding news on and injury stuff is pretty tough, too. I think he'll be more frustrating than not, but even in a limited sample this season, the strikeouts have been encouraging. (Mark Barry)
2019-08-16 12:00:00 (link to chat)Where will Gavin Lux start when he comes up?
(Dolphin Pilot from Los Angeles)
I would guess mostly second base, depending on the health elsewhere, but the Dodgers love nothing more than moving guys around, so I'd assume you'll see him a few spots. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-07-19 12:00:00 (link to chat)Ayyy! What the hell is Gavin Lux?
(The Fonz from Milwaukee)
True talent .500 hitter.

Also, maybe a cautionary tale to actually listen to my Texas League guys next time. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)For all the talk of Gavin Lux lately, doesn't Isan Diaz seem like the premiere shortstop prospect for the rest of 2019, at least?
(Jeff from Miami)
For contributing over the final two months? He seems like a pretty good bet. The Marlins have no reason not to play him and even if Lux does get the call, the Dodgers have so many pieces he'll be tough to rely on in fantasy. Luis Urias has got the jump on Diaz already, though, and he could easily be the most valuable the rest of the way. (Darius Austin)
2019-07-09 12:00:00 (link to chat)With Corey Seager at SS, do you think Gavin Lux will ultimately play 3b or 2b?
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
Craig and I talked about this a fair bit Sunday. The Dodgers are his second favorite team after all. We'd both play Seager at third and Lux at SS in the post-Turner years, but think the Dodgers will play Lux at second. Could also be a scenario where they move them around some (more likely Lux), the days they want to get Muncy at second or whatever. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-07-09 12:00:00 (link to chat)What odds do you give for these prospects to debut THIS season: Jo Adell, Luis Robert, Casey Mize, Dustin May, Bo Bichette, Gavin Lux.
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
Best bets are probably Bichette as a September call up and May as a utility arm for the stretch run/playoffs. I imagine the Tigers are going to be very cautious with Mize after the shoulder issue. Robert and Lux could hypothetically be an injury away at some point though. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-06-05 21:00:00 (link to chat)Where do you see Gavin Lux in 1 year?
(Frank from Brooklyn)
Being ranked really highly on the Stash List. (Mr. President Bret Sayre)
2019-02-18 16:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Kevin thanks for chattin! I have my choice between Nate Lowe, Vidal Brujan, Gavin Lux, Nick Madrigal, Yusniel Diaz, and Ke'Bryan Hayes, in a draft coming up for 12-t keep-forever dynasty. I'm in the position to win now coming off a 1st place finish last year. Which of these TWO do you like most for offensive output?
(djdj from house)
Long term, Madrigal for sure. Next, it's between Yusniel and Brujan. Brujan has more SB upside, Yusniel a safer floor and less speed. However, if you want specific help for the short term, Hayes and Yusniel your best bets. I'd still go Yusniel over Hayes for 2019 help--but take Madrigal even if he doesn't help this year. (Kevin Jebens)
2019-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)No Gavin Lux in the Top 101 or honorable mention?
(Tony from Wisconsin)
If we went to like 125, he'd make it. If you want to weight surety over upside he'd be a perfectly cromulent backend of the 101 choice. We just don't see any standout carrying tools here, and while we're more confident he sticks at short, it isn't a lock. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)How would you rank my didn’t-make-the-list-all-stars: Xavier Edwards, Gavin Lux, Alec Bohm, Colten Welker, Luis Garcia (Phi), and Corey Ray?
(Selig from CA)
Bohm, Garcia, Lux, Welker, Ray, Edwards. Welker and Lux are very close. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-11-29 23:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Wilson. Am I crazy to think Gavin Lux is a top 12-15 overall prospect? Even if he moves off shortstop, the bat looks borderline elite to me.
(Sam from Lakewood)
I'd temper that enthusiasm a bit, but I am also a big fan. I think he's much better suited to second, but that that's okay, he can be good there, and it won't ultimately matter too much because the bat is going to be very good. (Wilson Karaman)
2018-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Kevin. I have a prospect-related fantasy question hopefully you can address. I'm in an NL-only dynasty 5x5 roto auction league. We keep 12 each year. Most top prospects are already on rosters, but there are a few still out there. I'm looking particularly at targeting Ke'Bryan Hayes and Gavin Lux. What are your thoughts on each regarding realistic ETAs, roads to playing time, and ceilings? Our rosters have a short bench (only 7 players), so I need to decide if I can afford to carry one/both all year should I draft them with the rationale that they will make an impact at worst in early 2020.
(TC from Cincinnati)
I like Lux and Hayes quite a bit. Although long-term I think I like Hayes' offensive upside more, I'd probably go for Lux due to his current position at SS. Hayes has a much better shot at seeing an MLB roster sooner though unless the Dodgers want to throw him in at 2B. (Kevin Carter)
2018-07-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for taking the time to chat Jarrett. Since you guys seem to like a certain type of prospect nowadays- players with good bat to ball skills who who are underrated due to lacking a big power ceiling- doesn't Gavin Lux also fit this profile?
(Barry from Brooklyn )
Sure. But we're always going to be a bit wary of a hitter breaking out somewhere like Rancho without underlying tools changes; it's the same reason Dustin May's performance is a lot better than it initially looks. (Jarrett Seidler)
2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for taking the time to chat Jeff. To what extent is Gavin Lux's improvement this year for real, or a Cal League mirage?
(Matt from Freehold )
Wilson saw him recently and liked what he saw, but it sounds like the underlying tools haven't really changed. Balanced skill set, nothing plus though, and more a solid hand up the middle than a star. (Jeffrey Paternostro)


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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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