Biographical

Portrait of Kyle Tucker

Kyle Tucker RF  

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2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 22)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
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Birth Date1-17-1997
Height6' 4"
Weight190 lbs
Age22 years, 7 months, 7 days
BatsL
ThrowsR
2015
2016
2017
-0.32018
0.12019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2018 HOU 21 28 72 9 2 1 0 6 13 2 1 1 .141 .236 .203 73 -2.1 -0.4 -1.9 -0.3
Career28729210613211.141.236.20373-2.1-0.4-1.9-0.3

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2015 AST Rk GCL 33 133 .238 .311 .327 .219 92 -1.5 4.0 -1.6 84 0 -1.0 3.4 -6.1 -0.1
2015 GRV Rk APP 30 121 .259 .328 .386 .316 96 -0.3 3.7 -1.4 88 0 4.2 0.6 -4.5 0.3
2016 QUD A MID 101 428 .244 .309 .345 .322 99 10.3 11.4 -1.1 127 0 -5.4 1.3 5.9 1.3
2016 LNC A+ CAL 16 69 .259 .328 .411 .340 112 6.8 2.0 -0.6 178 0 -0.1 0.2 3.5 0.5
2017 BCA A+ CAR 48 206 .257 .328 .398 .336 98 19.1 5.7 -1.2 146 0 -0.6 -3.1 9.1 1.1
2017 CCH AA TEX 72 318 .256 .325 .383 .286 98 12.2 8.6 -1.2 137 0 -6.4 1.2 10.5 1.4
2017 MSS Wnt AFL 22 95 .000 .000 .000 .290 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 HOU MLB AL 28 72 .252 .323 .421 .176 97 -6.9 2.0 -0.5 73 10 -1.9 -0.4 -2.1 -0.3
2018 FRE AAA PCL 100 465 .277 .347 .450 .364 103 42.4 13.6 -4.8 156 0 -0.5 1.7 32.1 4.3
2019 ROU AAA PCL 117 505 .272 .352 .474 .285 95 21.2 17.3 -6.6 113 0 4.0 1.5 10.9 2.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2015 AST Rk GCL 133 120 19 25 3 2 2 38 13 9 14 4 2 .208 .267 .317 .108 1 2
2015 GRV Rk APP 121 112 11 32 9 0 1 44 20 7 15 14 2 .286 .322 .393 .107 2 0
2016 LNC A+ CAL 69 59 13 20 6 2 3 39 13 10 6 1 3 .339 .435 .661 .322 0 0
2016 QUD A MID 428 373 43 103 19 5 6 150 56 40 75 31 9 .276 .348 .402 .126 9 0
2017 CCH AA TEX 318 287 39 76 21 1 16 147 47 22 64 8 4 .265 .325 .512 .247 3 0
2017 BCA A+ CAR 206 177 31 51 12 4 9 98 43 24 45 13 5 .288 .379 .554 .266 2 0
2017 MSS Wnt AFL 95 84 15 18 6 1 0 26 9 9 22 2 0 .214 .305 .310 .095 0 0
2018 HOU MLB AL 72 64 10 9 2 1 0 13 4 6 13 1 1 .141 .236 .203 .063 0 0
2018 FRE AAA PCL 465 407 86 135 27 3 24 240 93 48 84 20 4 .332 .400 .590 .258 6 1
2019 ROU AAA PCL 505 439 86 118 26 3 32 246 94 53 110 29 4 .269 .352 .560 .292 5 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2018 278 0.4568 0.5072 0.7660 0.8110 0.2517 0.8835 0.4474 0.2340 0.0000
Career2780.45680.50720.76600.81100.25170.88350.44740.23400.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 HOU $
2018 HOU $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 51 d1 year (2019)

Details
  • 1 year (2019). Re-signed by Houston 3/19.
  • 1 year (2018). Contract selected by Houston 7/7/18.
  • Drafted by Houston 2015 (1-5) (Plant HS, Tampa). $4M signing bonus ($4.1887M slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 97 15 27 6 0 5 15 9 19 3 1 .314 .381 .558 149 9.0 LF -1, 1B 0 0.9
80o 74 11 21 5 0 4 11 6 15 2 1 .318 .384 .576 140 5.8 LF 0, 1B 0 0.6
70o 57 8 15 3 0 3 8 5 12 2 1 .294 .368 .529 133 4.0 LF 0, 1B 0 0.4
60o 43 6 11 3 0 2 6 4 9 1 0 .282 .349 .513 128 2.6 LF 0, 1B 0 0.2
50o 30 4 7 2 0 1 4 2 7 1 0 .259 .310 .444 123 1.6 LF 0, 1B 0 0.1
40o 17 2 4 1 0 1 2 1 4 0 0 .267 .312 .533 118 0.8 LF 0, 1B 0 0.1
30o 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 112 0.1 LF 0, 1B 0 0.0
Weighted Mean365920253810.273.333.5151252.1LF 0, 1B 00.2

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2019-08-23 15:30:00 (link to chat)No Called Up: Abraham Toro-Hernández edition? I am sad. Please tell me things about him and explain how this makes him better than Kyle Tucker so I can watch my Houston friends’ heads explode.
(This Is Toro Crap from Not Houston )
He was in our Transaction Analysis today!

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/52670/transaction-analysis-roundup-called-up-and-shut-down/ (Craig Goldstein)
2019-07-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bauer for Springer, who says no? Both have a year and half left and are making similar money. The Astros slot Bauer in behind Verlander and Cole this season and have a Cole replacement if he leaves via FA. It also opens up a spot for Kyle Tucker. The Indians get a real major league outfielder and middle of the order bat.PECOTA has Bauer being worth 1.3 WARP RoS and Springer being worth 1.4 WARP. The preference for the certainty of a bat is outweighed by playoff value of pitching
(Matt from Boston)
looks like I answered this question before it was completed, or the end was cut off? (if you don't want to scroll up, it's reasonable as a trade if not likely) Just wanted to publish it for the useful info. Thanks, Matt! (Ginny Searle)
2019-07-09 12:00:00 (link to chat)Seth Beer: is it unreasonable to expect an early(ish) 2020 debut?
(Bort from Sprungfield)
It's very possible he will be ready for the majors by then, but Kyle Tucker still hasn't gotten a long term look for the 'stros, as Wink wrote about today, so I don't know what Beer can do to really force the issue. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-07-09 12:00:00 (link to chat)Can the Mets get Kyle Tucker + JBB for Noah?
(Riley from Hoboken)
I would guess Houston holds the line and doesn't give up both, but even so I'm not sure where the Mets are playing Tucker, and I'm not really a JBB guy. In a vacuum it's probably not an awful deal, but I think we both suspect what happens with Syndergaard in Houston. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-06-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Craig, 2019 has been uneven for Kyle Tucker, who doesn't get called up even with injuries to Astro's outfield. It has been worse than uneven for Forest Whitley. How has your prospect rankings for these two changed, if at all? What is a reasonable ETA for each of them? Thanks!
(Merlin from Camelot)
It's been a rough year for Whitley and I'm basically in a holding pattern until I can get a sense of what exactly is going on. I'm basically where I was before on Tucker with him rebounding after a horrific first month. I'd expect to see Tucker this year, and hopefully we can see Whitley get back on track and up this season too. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-06-05 21:00:00 (link to chat)Kyle Tucker has been highly touted for several years, and yet, in spite of the outfield injuries in Houston, he still can't seem to crack the Astro's roster. It took him a while to rolling at AAA this year as well. Is the bloom off this rose or are you still comfortable with your preseason rankings on Tucker?
(Squished from Roadside)
Oh I'm still all in on Tucker. If someone in your league is not, pounce as quickly as possible. (Mr. President Bret Sayre)
2019-05-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who are your top 10 dynasty hitting prospects right now?
(Eugene from Monroe)
For guys that haven't debuted yet, I'll say: Wander Franco, Keston Hiura, Kyle Tucker, Jo Adell, Alex Kiriloff, Austin Riley, Taylor Trammell, Brendan Rodgers, Luis Robert and Yordan Alvarez (Mark Barry)
2019-05-17 16:00:00 (link to chat)Kyle Tucker has finally picked up his play but the start of his season was troubling. The Astros have no apparent openings for him right now; is he going to spend another season in minors? If so, I can't help but feel as though he just hasn't lived up to the promise he showed as recently as a year ago. Does a trade and fresh start with another team seem likely at this point?
(Ullery from On the corner)
I think Tucker will be up in June or July. A trade is possible, although given the Astros' (and other teams') m.o. as far as not giving up top prospects even in deals for studs I suspect that it would really have to fill a need for Houston in July for them to pull the trigger. (Mike Gianella)
2019-05-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Kyle Tucker still going to be up by July? I'm competing and need an OF and am contemplating moving Wheeler for him.
(Alex from Austin)
He may get promoted to the majors, but I'm not convinced that he'll be an everyday guy by July. Houston not only promoted Derek Fisher before him, but Yordan Alvarez is almost certainly going to get everyday at-bats before Tucker. It has been great to see Tucker turn it around in May, though. (J.P. Breen)
2019-05-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do your cats think about Kyle Tucker's big league future
(Mike from Albany)
Okay I asked and the orange one just gave me a death stare and the gray one appears to be hungry. Hope it helps. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-05-20 12:00:00 (link to chat)When Yordan Alvarez comes up, is he an everyday player? Has that been Houston's hesitancy in promoting him, that they don't have a spot?
(Peter from HOU)
So when we do MLB ETAs and what not we are just broadly guessing on when the profile will be properly seasoned. When they actually get called up tends to be based on team need, especially for the non-elite tier of guys. Astros have also had this issue with Kyle Tucker, and although he hasnt forced the issue to the same degree as Yordan, if there isnt a real spot for him on a competitive team, theres not a ton of developmental or overall value in calling him up as a bench piece. Now there is a good chance hes better than Gurriel but the Astros have seemed hesitant to make him a first baseman, so until that changes... (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-05-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you prefer long-term: Keston Hiura or Kyle Tucker (5x5 roto, OBP)? Both seem to have shown worrying signs so far this year. Do either have you more worried than the other?
(Jefferson Airplane from Boston)
I'm more worried about Tucker than I am Hiura. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)I was really high on Kyle Tucker to start the season and he's disappointed. Hold tight in dynasty? Buy low?
(Charles from San Diego)
I'd be willing to buy long-term. The track record is really good, those Houston outfielders get hurt a decent amount and people overreact to a few bad weeks. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-02-06 21:00:00 (link to chat)Question on how these rankings work. Based on these rankings, in a dynasty format you would always chose the player that is ranked above the other? For example in a dynasty draft would you take Bichette over Whitley because Bichette is ranked 12th while Whitley is ranked 16th? Or do you prefer whitley over the few guys ahead of him like Kiriloff, Riley and Bichette? Just trying to figure out the best way to read the list. Thank you.
(Fish and Chips from Seaside)
To best use this list, you have to know where you are in the contention cycle and what your league tends to value most. If you're ready to compete right now, there's a good argument for taking, say, Kyle Tucker over Jo Adell, etc. If you have a loaded infield and zero pitching and want to pop Whitley over Bichette, that's fine too. Basically, we make tiers because we're saying you can prefer any one player over any other in that tier and we'd understand. What we wouldn't understand is preferring, like, Kristian Robinson to Jesus Luzardo. When guys are many tiers apart we suggest using it more as a straight valuation list/guide. - BC (Dynasty 101 Chat w/ Ben Carsley and Bret Sayre)
2019-02-25 16:00:00 (link to chat)Who is your sleeper breakout player. A non top 150 guy who will make the leap to top 25 value.
(Simon from Atlanta)
Jeebus, Kyle Lewis just crushed one halfway to New Mexico.

That's a pretty high bar to clear--150+ to top 25. Excluding rookies like Kyle Tucker, Nick Senzel, or Peter Alonso, I'll give some 150+ names that could improve significantly (if not top 25): Amed Rosario, Jesse Winker, Luke Voit, Ramon Laureano, Hunter Renfroe, Manny Margot, Josh James, Tyler Skaggs. Off the top of my head. (Jon Hegglund)
2019-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)How mad should I be for Kyle Tucker about the Astros signing Brantley? Am I wrong to think he just needs more adjustment time against major league pitching?
(joseconsuervo from Detroit)
The Astros are fairly good at getting playing time for everyone they want to. I'm just not entirely sure Tucker is a guy they want to at this exact moment. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)You didn't spend a lot of time talking about Kyle Tucker on the pod. Where did you have him ranked vs the consensus and are you concerned about his hit tool against MLB pitching?
(Steve from Houston)
So to be clear, I do my best to actively avoid other lists (only BA is out anyway AFAIK). So I usually have no idea what the consensus is, but know that we usually rank as an "outlier" against it or whatever. I barely have time to do more than read over my own stuff this time of year anyway. I think you can have some concern about Tucker's hit tool, but I wouldn't base that on his 2018 playing time which was sporadic. He's hit literally everywhere else. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)Re: Kyle Tucker when I mentioned the consensus I meant the BP list and not other sources. My fault for not being clear on that.
(Steve from Houston)
No worries. I don't think Tucker is particularly contentious internally. I think some like the upside more than I do, but I believe we'd all have him the general next tier down from the top guys somewhere. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-12-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see Kyle Tucker getting a call up soon? Should I be stashing him in my league? Once he graduates, who replaces him in the Astros top 10?
(Carl from Fresno)
OK, this is kind of a prospects/fantasy question, but I'm going to take it because it applies to this year in the MLB. And that is: Holy moley, the deal for Brantley sure hoses him. You've already got Reddick and Springer and Kemp. I think he still gets playing time--you can squint and see him breaking camp with the club--but unless somebody gets moved, I think he's somewhat blocked now. My answer would have been different 24 hours ago. (Rob Mains)
2018-09-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)WHAT?!!?! Do you think of Kyle Tucker heading into next season?
(Steve Austin from Texas)
Should get a much better shot at decent playing time and offers both power and speed in a stacked lineup. He'll probably still go through some struggles but there's a lot to like. (Darius Austin)
2018-06-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see Kyle Tucker getting a call up soon? Should I be stashing him in my league? Once he graduates, who replaces him in the Astros top 10?
(Carl from Fresno)
Carl, I think you've gotten the drift that I'm not an prospects guy. But I do kinda know the Astros. Not enough to be able to help you with the Top 10--that's a Jeffrey question, ask him tomorrow at 1 PM--but I do at least know who Tucker is. I would not rule out a callup--when your second best OF is Tony Kemp, you have an issue, and that's nothing against Kemp--but Derek Fisher's been better in Fresno (granted, he didn't do so well in Houston), so I'd expect him to get called up next. (Rob Mains)
2018-07-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)In 2019, Kyle Tucker is a top ___ OF?
(Rusty from Tallahassee)
Errrr... 35? (Nicolas Stellini)
2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Yordan Alvarez? He's dominating AA at age 20. Who is the better prospect between him and Kyle Tucker?
(Ben from SC)
Still Tucker, but Yordan has narrowed the gap a bunch. Much of our midseason list discussion so far has revolved around various staff members telling me I am too low on Alvarez. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-05-25 12:15:00 (link to chat)What does Kyle Tucker's ceiling look like?
(Boris from Moscow)
minor league apartments are usually pretty generic (Craig Goldstein)
2018-04-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)Nimmo, Dom Smith and Ali Sanchez for Realmuto?
(Avisáis from Brookyln)
They wanted Victor Robles and Kyle Tucker, even if they come down off that, don't see the Mets as an actual fit here.

Also not for nothing but how is his back? (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-04-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)What is your assessment of Kyle Tucker? And how likely are his skills to force his way into a regular role with the talented group in Houston by say, June?
(Garrett from Haverford)
He's a fairly safe bet to be an above-average everyday corner outfielder, there's a high end outcome possbile if the power continues to pop. He's also only 21, and I suspect his major league debut will be dictated by team need rather than his forcing the issue this year. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-07-31 23:00:00 (link to chat)If I have Victor Robles, Ronald Acuna, Rhys Hoskins, Eloy Jimenez, Kyle Tucker, Juan Soto and Fernando Tatis Jr on my minor league dynasty roster, who do I drop, if anyone, to add Bo Bichette?
(Steve from AZ)
Uh...I think I speak for all of us when I say $#%& YOU! I dunno man, trade one of those dudes (Soto? Tatis? Hoskins?) for an awesome player, immediately pick up Bichette, cackle, remember you're supposed to act like you've been there before, take a breath, compose yourself, lose control, cackle again. (Wilson Karaman)
2017-07-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)When will the next major trade occur?
(Jeb from Illinois)
Let's say Sonny Gray to the Astros on July 18 for Kyle Tucker, Franklin Perez, and Teoscar Hernandez. (Mark Barry)
2017-06-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)So gut feeling who do you think will be the biggest prospect traded at the deadline?
(Mike from NY)
We had an interesting discussion at the Baltimore event about this. I think I landed on Triston McKenzie or Kyle Tucker. (Jarrett Seidler)
2017-05-22 23:00:00 (link to chat)Please rank in order of highest fantasy upside: Kyle Tucker, Vlad Guerrero, Rafael Devers, Juan Soto (this is my order)... Thank you!
(TrickDaddy14 from Bronx, NY)
Strictly ceiling, no regard for proximity/risk/etc.? Vladito, Devers, Tucker, Soto for me (Wilson Karaman)
2017-03-23 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is the hype real on Luis Robert?
(Ben from LA )
Lots of Luis Robert questions tonight. Admittedly I don't know a ton about him, so I had to call in the big guns.

Bret says "Five-tool athlete with mini-Moncada upside. Probably A ball once he signs, maybe 2 years away. Top 30 prospect right now for me, similar to Kyle Tucker."

Also, Wilson wrote about him a bit in a recent "Ocean Floor" piece. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=31191 (Mark Barry)
2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat)Kyle Tucker similar to Austin Meadows?
(Hank from Texas)
Man, everyone I talked to internally and externally talked up Tucker's power. Meadows finally found his, so why not. Meadows is more athletic and a better center fielder, even if the Pirates will play him in a corner. Very, very different swings though. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Please rank order the following outfielders with respect to fantasy potential -- Kyle Tucker, Kyle Lewis, Tyler O'Neill, Corey Ray, Lourdes Gurriel, Christin Stewart.
(b from c)
I said I wouldn't do the Parks thing for these, but I am sorely tempted just due to the complete lack of context.

My non-binding take

Tucker, Ray, O'Neill, Stewart, Gurriel (have the Jays even said he is an outfielder-only). Lewis I want to punt on until I see him healthy, but if you want to risk it, you could get him as high as second pretty easily. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-09-26 20:00:00 (link to chat)In a 14 team, 40man roster dynasty I've grown board of winning...seriously. So I have decided to rebuild. I now roster an exciting group of high risk players: Devers, Robles, Acuna, Rosario, Isan Diaz, Kyle Tucker, Eloy Jimenez, Kilome, Keller, Allard, and Fried. Then add in young MLBers like Harper, Rizzo, Altherr, Cotton, Cody Reed, Matz, Jake Thompson, and Skaggs. With only 4 teams as suitable buyers, would you be happy with Urias & Gallo for Bumgarner, & Josh Bell & Ryan Healy for Cole Hamels? I likely could also land Giolito. I'm currently trying to convince the guy that Giolito's value has bottomed out. Any example as to how Giolito has been valued in any of your leagues, or what can you tell me about your opinion on him moving forward? Kind of a long winded question, but a fun one! Thanks in advance!
(BPChatsChangedMyLife from Niagara, ON)
Giolito hasn't been traded in any of my leagues, so I have no direct experience with that. I own Giolito in two of my leagues, a deep NL-only keeper league and a deep mixed keeper league. I didn't trade him in either league because in both leagues, I was more focused on 2017 and beyond than 2016.

I don't think I'd be happy with dealing Bumgarner for Urias & Gallo (assuming you're getting Urias & Gallo). I'm lower on Gallo than most. I'm not sure he'll make enough contact to be a great roto player, and I think that even if he does eventually become a productive roto player, it'll take a while for him to get there and the struggles will be brutal.

Assuming you're on the Bell/Healy side of the Cole-Hamels-for-Josh-Bell-and-Ryon-Healy trade, I'd hang on to Hamels, too. I haven't seen enough from Healy to convince me that his big step forward this year will be 100% sustainable, and Hamels is really dang good. (Scooter Hotz)
2016-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thank you for the chat. Do you have an opinion on Kyle Tucker? What kind of upside does he potentially have?
(cjbuettfr from Lyon, france)
Could be a first division starter, and I'm expecting him to be the top name on Houston's top 10 this off-season. (Brendan Gawlowski)
2016-03-14 14:30:00 (link to chat)It seems like some love has been lost for Kyle Tucker. Top 6 pick with middle of the order bat still? or has something changed?
(brad14 from NJ)
I'm not too concerned; it's just a couple hundred AB's for an 18-year-old in short season ball. He wasn't totally overwhelmed by the caliber of pitching he saw, so all systems are go for now. (Brendan Gawlowski)
2016-01-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can you please rank the following outfield prospects on how much you like them in terms of future fantasy potential? Andrew Benintendi, Trent Clark, Kyle Tucker, Daz Cameron and Cornelius Randolph. Thanks for the chat!
(big time timmy jim from somewhere)
I would go Benintendi, Tucker, Clark, Cameron, Randolph. (Christopher Crawford)


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