Biographical

Portrait of Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor RF  

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2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 22)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
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Birth Date6-22-1997
Height5' 11"
Weight250 lbs
Age21 years, 11 months, 28 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2015
2016
2017
2018
-0.22019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2019 SDN 22 21 69 15 3 0 2 3 19 0 1 0 .227 .261 .364 66 -2.7 -0.9 0.4 -0.2
Career216915302319010.227.261.36466-2.7-0.90.4-0.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2015 MRL Rk GCL 25 105 .261 .328 .349 .352 95 4.4 3.2 -2 134 0 -1.9 -1.5 -0.4 -0.3
2016 GRB A SAL 89 370 .250 .315 .370 .304 100 7.6 9.8 -6.3 109 0 -2.3 -1.9 -3.6 -0.5
2016 LEL A+ CAL 33 144 .273 .339 .424 .276 97 -3.5 4.1 -2.6 55 0 -3.4 -0.6 -9.3 -1.2
2017 LEL A+ CAL 72 313 .267 .331 .412 .333 100 11.5 8.7 -5.6 135 0 -0.6 -0.1 10.9 1.4
2017 SAN AA TEX 42 175 .259 .324 .382 .308 94 0.2 4.7 -3 100 0 1.9 -0.9 0.1 0.3
2017 PER Wnt AFL 19 83 .000 .000 .000 .339 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 SAN AA TEX 128 574 .259 .328 .393 .317 102 21.9 16.4 -5.9 142 0 -19.8 -5.1 22.9 0.9
2019 SDN MLB NL 21 69 .248 .320 .411 .289 99 -2.9 2.1 -0.6 66 17 0.4 -0.9 -2.7 -0.2
2019 ELP AAA PCL 45 209 .283 .353 .499 .298 107 6.1 7.2 -2.2 120 0 -0.5 0.4 6.2 1.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2015 MRL Rk GCL 105 98 8 32 4 1 1 41 16 4 11 1 0 .327 .352 .418 .092 2 0
2016 LEL A+ CAL 144 139 17 35 5 0 3 49 21 3 22 1 1 .252 .264 .353 .101 2 0
2016 GRB A SAL 370 342 42 92 24 2 9 147 54 22 62 10 3 .269 .317 .430 .161 2 1
2017 SAN AA TEX 175 156 18 39 9 0 2 54 19 16 36 2 1 .250 .320 .346 .096 2 0
2017 LEL A+ CAL 313 283 41 84 16 2 8 128 45 27 48 7 1 .297 .361 .452 .155 1 0
2017 PER Wnt AFL 83 79 10 24 6 0 3 39 14 3 14 2 0 .304 .337 .494 .190 0 0
2018 SAN AA TEX 574 501 72 149 22 1 17 224 74 64 69 5 5 .297 .383 .447 .150 2 0
2019 SDN MLB NL 69 66 8 15 3 0 2 24 12 3 19 1 0 .227 .261 .364 .136 0 0
2019 ELP AAA PCL 209 184 41 55 14 0 10 99 35 24 24 1 0 .299 .378 .538 .239 1 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2019 244 0.4508 0.4877 0.7647 0.6000 0.3955 0.8939 0.6038 0.2353 0.0000
Career2440.45080.48770.76470.60000.39550.89390.60380.23530.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 SDN $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 dISE Baseball1 year (2019)

Details
  • 1 year (2019). Contract selected by San Diego 5/24/19.
  • Acquired by Miami in trade from San Diego 7/29/16.
  • Drafted by Miami 2015 (1-12) (St. Joan of Arc SS, Mississauga, Ont.). $2.2M signing bonus ($3.0518M slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 177 21 42 7 0 7 23 13 32 1 0 .259 .316 .432 100 5.2 LF -2, 1B 0 0.4
80o 155 17 35 6 0 6 20 11 29 1 0 .246 .303 .415 91 2.8 LF -2, 1B 0 0.1
70o 139 15 30 5 0 5 17 9 26 0 0 .234 .288 .391 85 1.3 LF -2, 1B 0 0.0
60o 126 13 27 5 0 5 15 8 24 0 0 .233 .286 .405 79 0.3 LF -1, 1B 0 -0.1
50o 113 11 23 4 0 4 13 7 22 0 0 .219 .272 .371 74 -0.5 LF -1, 1B 0 -0.2
40o 100 10 19 3 0 3 11 6 20 0 0 .204 .257 .333 69 -1.1 LF -1, 1B 0 -0.3
30o 87 8 17 3 0 3 9 5 17 0 0 .210 .253 .358 64 -1.6 LF -1, 1B 0 -0.3
20o 71 6 13 2 0 2 7 4 14 0 0 .197 .243 .318 58 -1.9 LF -1, 1B 0 -0.3
10o 49 4 8 1 0 1 5 3 10 0 0 .174 .224 .261 49 -1.9 LF -1, 1B 0 -0.3
Weighted Mean11912244041472300.218.269.36477-0.2LF -1, 1B 0-0.2

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2019-06-10 20:00:00 (link to chat)I just recently picked up Kevin Cron and Josh Naylor when they came up----and I was prety happy about getting them----gonna be tough for both to get playing time right now but they're off to a nice start when they had a chance to play. Both seem to have a track record of good hit/contact and power tools, so what are your thoughts about their ceilings and their futures with the Padres and D'Backs respectively! Thx. How do you feel about their ceilings and their futures in the Bigs?
(bob from philly)
Bret? Is this you? As much as I've argued with my Internet Dad about being too high on Naylor ... I like Naylor substantially more. I am a bigger believer in the hit tool, even if I think he needs to move to DH yesterday. As for Kevin and the entire Cron family, I just want to say thank you. You have brought me more joy than you could ever know, and I hope you produce a long line of thicc, slugging sons who mash dongers while looking like what I imagine everyone in Iowa looks like. God bless. (Ben Carsley)
2019-05-17 16:00:00 (link to chat)20 team, 40 man, 3 yr contract league... Is it time to pull the trigger on Josh Naylor? Thanks..
(Jim from Kansas)
Yes (Mike Gianella)
2019-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Josh Naylor hitting well ... What is his ceiling and what do the Padres do with him? Is it worth holding him to see if the NL gets the DH?
(Tuck from SD)
well, it's the PCL with the MLB ball. Basically everyone is hitting well. Ceiling I'll say maybe...Jesus Aguilar? Worth it for SD? Yeah, sure. He's only 21. There's not a big rush to dump a guy like that. Vogelbach has shown us that it can take a while to click in the majors anyway. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-02-06 21:00:00 (link to chat)Could Josh Naylor be a guy who finds his power stick and never looks back?
(Ricky from 18 and life)
I don't think he has much more than 25-homer power, but yes if he can get to it and combine it with his plate discipline and batting average potential, he will not look back. Signed, the president of the Josh Naylor fan club. -BS (Dynasty 101 Chat w/ Ben Carsley and Bret Sayre)
2018-04-20 12:00:00 (link to chat)What - if anything - do you make of Josh Naylor's strong start to the sesaon?
(John from MA)
Naylor has long been very divisive internally. I've generally been a proponent, but I am a couple years removed from a look now, and the body isn't great. I don't think we can make anything of it yet, but if the power spike continues, we'll definitely revisit. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-04-16 14:00:00 (link to chat)Josh Naylor for real?
(Keith from San Antonio)
Six homers in 44 plate appearances isn't real for anyone, but Naylor could put himself back into prospect relevance if he can continue the kind of plate discipline he's shown so far. He has made some adjustments and the results so far are pretty impressive. I'll be keeping a close eye on his progress over the next month or so to see if the changes are going to give him some sustainable success. He's still only 20. (Scott Delp)
2018-05-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's your take on Josh Naylor's performance thus far? Is this a breakout with his raw power finally translating into game power?
(kevin from upper west side)
It certainly seems like it. The recent report on him in the Ten Pack was nice. It's simply a matter of where they try to make him stand in the field, and that's no small thing. (Nicolas Stellini)
2018-02-05 12:00:00 (link to chat)I assume Josh Naylor just missed the cut?
(Stone Garrett from FL)
I see what you did there. (Top 101 with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-11-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Has Josh Naylor really fallen from 51st best fantasy prospect to not even a top 20 Padres spec? Why is that? Just an incredible padres system or concern for Naylor
(Bob from Georgia)
I'd say both? He's a first baseman, and not a great one at that, so that dings his prospect value pretty significantly. It is a very deep system of course, but no one that saw Naylor this year on the team really argued strongly for his inclusion. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-04-28 13:30:00 (link to chat)Whats the ceiling on Josh Naylor as a prospect? Its always been hard to get a read on what people actually think about where he ends up as a player.
(Eric from LA)
Yeah, he can generate some mixed signals. I know several guys who like that bat in isolation, but we're not in isolation. He's a bad-bodied first base prospect, so he's really going to have to mash. With that defensive profile, you've got to be willing to buy a double-plus tool in either his hit or his power to invest, and there's enough variance in terms of development that even if you felt like he could get there you'd want to be cautious about it. So, at that point you can like the bat, but still not think he's particularly good or valuable. (Craig Goldstein)
2016-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Eloy Jiminez isn't my favorite prospect, who should be?
(Wesley from Citadel)
Sicnarf Loopstock, who is:
-actually a real person, yes
-from Aruba
-drafted from Western Oklahoma State College
-actually a real person, yes

The analysis is what you come here for, right? http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t481&player_id=643419#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL

To seriously answer your question, if you have a favorite low-minors prospect Eloy wouldn't be a bad call. You could be a wise guy and say Josh Naylor is your favorite low minors prospect too, wise guy. Otherwise, I'd probably chance that it would be pretty cool if you appreciated the floor+ceiling of some more polished 2016 Draftees like Blake Rutherford (Appy League) or Nick Senzel (Midwest League). (Adam McInturff)
2016-06-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chris, with the article on state of the First Base position this morning, can you talk about the position as it currently sits in the minor leagues? It seems like there are some promising bats coming up, but do any fit the traditional first base profile? I'm thinking guys like Dom Smith, Josh Naylor, Dan Vogelbach, Rowdy Tellez, Ronald Guzman, Casey Gillaspie, Josh Ockimey, etc... Thanks!!
(Matthew from KY)
It's definitely in a better place than before. I'm not sold on guys like Vogelbach and Tellez, but I love Smith, I really like Gillaspie and Ockimey is really intriguing. Not a position I love being "loaded" because, well, first base, but it's nice to see some prospects there. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-06-16 21:00:00 (link to chat)How much does Josh Naylor intrigue you? I know he's a fat 1st baseman far away…but 16% k-rate with nice power and even in chipping in 8 of 10 SB
(bradmorgan27 from DC)
The combination of power and contact rate as a teenager in full-season ball is a positive sign. Dude needs to get way better at pranking though. (Bret Sayre)
2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Which 1B prospect was closest to making the BP 101--Daniel Vogelbach or Josh Naylor?
(seddrah from seattle)
Depends on whose list you looked at. For me it's Vogelbach, although he might be more of a DH prospect. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein)


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