Biographical
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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 22)
| IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
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- 2015
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- 2017
- 2018
- -0.52019
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WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- | WARP |
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Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- |
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| 2016 | MHV | A- | NYP | 5 | 5 | 22.3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 8 | 22 | 3 | 99 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 8.9 | 43% | .266 | 1.25 | 4.25 | 4.43 | 101 | 3.57 | 78.8 |
| 2016 | CLE | Rk | AZL | 9 | 8 | 24.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 13 | 35 | 1 | 101 | 12.0 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 13.1 | 54% | .449 | 1.88 | 3.36 | 7.13 | 93 | 8.37 | 184.7 |
| 2017 | LKC | A | MID | 27 | 27 | 132.0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 134 | 101 | 89 | 12 | 103 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 51% | .312 | 1.78 | 5.76 | 4.77 | 131 | 6.84 | 145.6 |
| 2019 | LKC | A | MID | 2 | 0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13.5 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 100% | .500 | 10.50 | 27.43 | 40.50 | 169 | 10.83 | 222.8 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% |
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Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
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Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | BABIP | WHIP | ERA | DRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90o | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 48.5 | 44 | 32 | 36 | 6 | .265 | 1.57 | 4.91 | 5.28 | -10.5 | -1.1 |
| 80o | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 41.9 | 41 | 30 | 31 | 6 | .281 | 1.71 | 5.42 | 5.84 | -11.5 | -1.3 |
| 70o | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 37.4 | 39 | 29 | 27 | 5 | .294 | 1.81 | 5.81 | 6.25 | -11.9 | -1.3 |
| 60o | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 33.7 | 37 | 27 | 25 | 5 | .304 | 1.91 | 6.15 | 6.61 | -12.0 | -1.3 |
| 50o | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 30.3 | 35 | 26 | 22 | 5 | .314 | 2.00 | 6.48 | 6.96 | -11.9 | -1.3 |
| 40o | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 27.0 | 33 | 24 | 20 | 5 | .325 | 2.10 | 6.81 | 7.32 | -11.7 | -1.3 |
| 30o | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 23.6 | 30 | 22 | 17 | 4 | .335 | 2.20 | 7.18 | 7.72 | -11.2 | -1.2 |
| 20o | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19.8 | 27 | 20 | 14 | 4 | .348 | 2.34 | 7.63 | 8.2 | -10.4 | -1.1 |
| 10o | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14.8 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 3 | .367 | 2.53 | 8.28 | 8.89 | -8.9 | -1.0 |
| Weighted Mean | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 29.5 | 33 | 25 | 22 | 5 | .312 | 1.98 | 6.42 | 6.9 | -11.4 | -1.2 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Brady AikenBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-30 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Garrett Richards just signed for 2 yr / $15M knowing he'll likely only pitch 1 year after TJ surgery. Drew Smyly got $10M in a similar deal. The Indians drafted Brady Aiken and paid him a $2.5M bonus when he was recovering from TJ. How do teams value the impact of TJ? Do they just value year 1 at $0, and then take their projected value in year 2 and ajust it down 25% or so? It seems more straightforward for FA than for prospects or draft prospects where the tail of control is longer. (Matzabal from CO) | I think it varies by org. Some teams are going to me more comfortable with TJ rehab guys than other. Obviously the Nats have a long history of taking history of taking these types of arms, although that's more in a draft scenario like you said. I assume most teams build in a certain amount of assumed stuff/performance regression to these contracts. But I feel like it's much more individualized risk than that. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-09-29 12:00:00 (link to chat) | In 2015 the Indians took 5 starters: Brady Aiken, Triston McKenzie, Juan Hillman, Matt Esparza and Brock Hartson. Triston looks like a future top 3 starter, but how would you rank the other 4? Is it possible Esparza or Hartson has passed Aiken and Hillman or am I overreacting to Aiken and Hillman's poor seasons given their age? (matzabal from CO) | I mean maybe Aiken? But none of those three guys are really *prospects* at the moment. I will be one of the last guys to give up on Hillman, but it was not good this year. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-08-28 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Brady Aiken? what do you think he ends up as? (Matzabal from Co) | Poor Brady Aiken. I think the TJ really did a number on him. My best guess is that the Indians try him as a starter again for at least another half year, but my guess is that he ends up transitioning to the bullpen. You'd hope his stuff plays up there. (Trevor Strunk) |
| 2017-07-25 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Brady Aiken have any hope? Numbers are really poor (JJ M. from Cleveland ) | The reports have been terrible as well. I am missing him this week when I see Lake County (I'm getting Juan Hillman instead), but word is his fastball is barely cracking 90. -Emmett (Emmett Rosenbaum & Nathan Graham) |
| 2017-05-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Time to give up on Brady Aiken, future ace? (Mark from OH) | Oh yea. Check out our Indians Top 10 list. (George Bissell) |
| 2016-06-09 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Saw that Mike Matuella is expected to join low Class-A ball.. Is he any different from Brady Aiken, in the sense of "don't expect much right away", or does he end up getting promoted again before season's end? (Ron from Texarkana) | I think they'll take their time. There is ZERO reason to rush him. Keep him nice and healthy. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2016-04-14 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Who do you like more from a purely skills standpoint in dynasty, Brady Aiken or Jeff Hoffman? I lean Aiken even if he's further behind in his recovery. (Alex from CA) | I lean Hoffman on pure skills, but (1) I'm not a scout and (2) Aiken isn't a Rockie pitcher. (Scooter Hotz) |
| 2016-03-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What does a Re-Draft of the 2014 MLB draft look like? (top 5) (Eric from Redding) | Probably not that different--so many of those high school guys are still years away from the big leagues. Knowing what we know now about Brady Aiken's elbow, though, it'd probably shake up a little. I think Rodon would go first (which is what I said all along) and Conforto doesn't make it out of the top 5. The biggest breakout player since that draft, Schwarber, was a shock at No. 4 at the time anyway. (Michael Baumann) |
| 2016-03-09 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Which prospect pitcher do you like the most long term and why? Brady Aiken, Dillon Tate, Kolby Allard, or Carson Fulmer. Thanks. (fightingmoose from MB, Canada) | I like the ceiling on Tate. Dude can dial it up and if the secondaries are there for him, I could see him being dominant. They all have a shot of being very good though. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2016-03-09 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Could you rank these pitchers for fantasy dynasty purposes. Jeff Hoffman, Brady Aiken, Dillon Tate, Aderson Espinoza, Francis Martes, Carson Fulmer, and Kolby Allard? Thanks. (cracker73 from Florida) | Tate, Hoffman, Espinoza, Fullmer, Martes, Aiken, Allard (Mike Gianella) |
| 2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat) | WHAT ABOUT BRADY AIKEN, CRAIG? WHAT ABOUT BRADY AIKEN?!?
I know he's recovering from TJ, I just can't help but play the *IF* game with this one. (D.J. from Boston) | There's no questioning Aiken's talent. Chris Crawford just ranked him second in the org in his Top 10, and I just picked him in the BP Fantasy Prospect Mock (this part is actually irrelevant). Suffice it to say, we're fans of Brady Aiken. He hasn't thrown a meaningful pitch since signing though, so this is more of a cautious approach. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein) |
| 2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat) | Sorry - just realized this is specific to the top 101. Where's Brady Aiken? (Truganini from CO) | Aiken was addressed earlier in the chat, but feel free to discuss other topics. The focus is on the 101, but hey, I'm here, you're here. Let's talk. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein) |
| 2015-07-28 18:00:00 (link to chat) | You seem to catch a lot of Low-A games. Which player at an even lower level would you want to see in person the most? Lara? Espinoza? Rodgers? (Steve from Philadelphia) | Swanson, but he only kind of counts. I want to see a lot of the draftees coming up. In a perfect scenario my most highly prized short season guy would be Brady Aiken in terms of watchibility. (Mauricio Rubio) |
| 2015-06-08 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Is there any updates on Brady Aiken, and if he gets healthy, would you expect to see him back to his normal form around mid-late 2016? (Ron from Texarkana) | I've heard very little on the medicals, but I have heard they haven't been disastrous, so he will go today. It sounds like he could go anywhere from 7 to Boston to 35 to the Dodgers, with some other landing spots being San Francisco and St. Louis, among others. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-06-10 14:00:00 (link to chat) | What information about Brady Aiken's arm is known? I can't seem to find much of anything. (Ron from Texarkana) | The medicals for Aiken were only released to front offices that asked for the medicals. It's been held extremely closely. No one knows much of anything. (J.P. Breen) |
| 2015-03-06 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Who's the top prospect in the 2015 draft? (Doug from St. Louis) | I still think it's Brady Aiken. Three 60 pitches, potentially 60 command, left-handed. He's really good. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-01-21 15:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Brady Aiken and his mechanic/potential going forward as a top pitching prospect in baseball? (kylanje from Florida) | I'm not that big on Aiken's delivery (B- stability, C+ power), but his stuff is ridiculous - tho I do have questions about how well his loopy curve will translate to the highest level. I liked Kolek and Rodon better in last year's draft, personally. I think that his prospect status will be fine, because that curve will make minor league hitters look silly at the lower levels, but he could hit some speed bumps in his development (when he signs, that is). (Doug Thorburn) |
| 2015-01-08 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Where would Yoan Moncada and Brady Aiken rank if prospect eligible? Top 25? Top 10? (kylanje from Florida) | This one is a good question for the prospect guys, but I'll take a stab at it. When our prospect team did the midseason top 50 prospects they had Aiken between 33 and 40, but that was before the UCL issue. So my guess is he's probably around 50 or so?
As for Moncada ... Jim Callis recently said he'd be right above the top pitchers from the last draft which means in the 10-20 range. With all the hype around him, he sounds like a top 5 guy, but he'll probably need to show he can hit pro pitching here in the US before he gets that kind of respect. (Jeff Long) |
| 2015-01-12 13:00:00 (link to chat) | I don't know much about MLB rules concerning unsigned draft picks. What is Brady Aiken's situation? Is he free to sign anywhere? (RotoLando from Cloud City) | No, he isn't. He'll go back into the draft and be picked (again) this June. (Matthew Kory) |
| 2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat) | What were your thoughts on Brady Aiken situation? (Shawn from Couch) | Don't know enough about the medicals to comment, but I don't believe it was handled very well from a PR angle. Overall, it was really, really bad for baseball. (Jordan Gorosh) |
| 2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat) | Jon Heyman is reporting that Brady Aiken has an elbow ligament issue and the Astros are only offering 5 M right now (almost 3 M below slot). Just how bad is this situation? (Wayne from GA) | Its bad for both parties because the Astros can't afford to come out of that spot without talent, and they haven't had the best run lately (on the field) and in the press, so any negative development will start to compound and look worse. (Jason Parks on the Top 50) |
| 2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How do you see the Brady Aiken situation shaking out? (GrinnellSteve from Grinnell) | In the end, even the reduced bonus the Astros are reportedly seeking will likely be a significant enough sum that it would be nearly foolish for Aiken to turn it down. I think you'll see a reduced bonus and Aiken signing at the deadline. (Mark Anderson) |
| 2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Brady Aiken sneak into your top 50? (Greg from Boston) | We didn't rank any recent draftees. However, he's got a good shot this offseason. (Jordan Gorosh) |
| 2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Could Brady Aiken really be the best LHP prospect currently? (Graham from Richmond, VA) | It's close, but Urias is a step above. Each are outstanding, but Urias is a bit more proven at this point. (Jordan Gorosh) |
| 2014-06-05 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Do you think the Astros passing on the higher upside guys like Gray and Bryant for Appel last year (and very early on looking like the wrong move), further influences them to take Brady Aiken at 1:1? (Shawnykid23 from CT) | Hi all; I'm at my new locale and ready to go through the rest of the evening. Thanks for spending your draft time here at Baseball Prospectus!
I think the Astros have a process, are driven by that process, and will make a decision based upon that process. If the process points to Aiken, that's where they'll go, irrespective of the org's opinion on Bryant vs Gray vs Appel a year later. (Draft Day Chat with Nick J. Faleris) |
| 2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Who is the best prospect you have laid your eyes on this year? (Frank the Tank from Streaking through the quad) | Clearly, you don't follow me on Twitter. Brady Aiken. (Ron Shah) |
| 2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Where do you scout most of your games? What is your scout fetish? We know Professor loves toolsy Dominicans, and Jordan loves Ctrl/Cmd lefty's? What yours? (Shawn from Cubicle) | Southern California. I've been going to a lot of amateur games this year, so I'm going to whichever game features the top talent. In regards to the minor leagues, I'm primarily at Rancho.
I love HS prep players I can dream on. Alex Jackson, Brady Aiken, and so on. (Ron Shah) |
| 2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Brady Aiken a top 5 prospect next year? (Mitch from Connecticut) | No. It would be unprecedented in the prospect rankings world. (Ron Shah) |
| 2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Who are some prospects you like significantly more/less than others on the BP prospect team? (Shawnykid23 from CT) | Well, I cover the same area as Chris Rodriguez, so it isn't hard to find where we disagree. I think I'm higher on Corey Seager and Hunter Renfroe than he is. Some people aren't as high on Brady Aiken as I am. (Ron Shah) |
| 2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat) | In reading Doug Thorburn's mechanical breakdowns, I got to be thinking: How do you handle mechanics? For example: Doug really like Kolek for his strong stability and power mechanics. But having good mechanics probably means he is maximizing his stuff. But a guy like Brady Aiken didn't do to well, but that also suggests with mechanical tweaks, he could throw harder and more effectively. How do you view this? Would you rather have the guy who is being efficient now or the guy who could be potentially be better with mechanical tweaks? (NightmareRec0n from Boston) | I'm not surprised that Kolek's mechanics are graded out well. It is a power delivery. You can work with Aiken's delivery, though. He's a good enough athlete to improve it. I'm more so looking at the arm action; stride; finish -- Aiken's all good there.
To better answer your question, it depends on the athleticism of the pitcher. Aiken has great feel for his delivery and is a fluid athlete. Someone like Wyatt Strahan is just a big guy with no feel of his delivery, and it is probably unfixable because of that and a lack of athleticism. This is when you hear guys can't throw downhill. Sometimes isn't a matter of will as much as what their body allows them to do, if that makes sense. (Ron Shah) |
| 2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How good can Brady Aiken be? (Johnny from Houston) | You don't go 1.1 without massive potential (Paul Sporer) |
| 2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Brady Aiken's Potential? If he's available in a dynasty league with prospects am I an idiot for not picking him up? (Mitch from ATL) | See the other Aiken question. I'm surprised he's still out there in a dynasty league. (Paul Sporer) |
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