Biographical

Portrait of James Paxton

James Paxton PMariners

Mariners Player Cards | Mariners Team Audit | Mariners Depth Chart

2018 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 29)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date11-6-1988
Height6' 4"
Weight235 lbs
Age29 years, 11 months, 11 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
1.12014
0.62015
2.32016
4.42017
7.92018
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2013 SEA MLB 4 4 24.0 3 0 0 15 7 21 2 .274 96 5.6 2.6 0.8 7.9 59% .203 .199 0.92 3.28 1.50 93 4.27 102.2 0.2
2014 SEA MLB 13 13 74.0 6 4 0 60 29 59 3 .270 92 7.3 3.5 0.4 7.2 57% .270 .230 1.20 3.31 3.04 100 3.65 89.6 1.1
2015 SEA MLB 13 13 67.0 3 4 0 67 29 56 8 .262 95 9.0 3.9 1.1 7.5 50% .289 .277 1.43 4.28 3.90 105 4.37 102.2 0.6
2016 SEA MLB 20 20 121.0 6 7 0 134 24 117 9 .261 101 10.0 1.8 0.7 8.7 49% .347 .256 1.31 2.75 3.79 87 3.67 81.2 2.3
2017 SEA MLB 24 24 136.0 12 5 0 113 37 156 9 .261 101 7.5 2.4 0.6 10.3 46% .300 .215 1.10 2.58 2.98 77 2.71 57.6 4.4
2018 SEA MLB 28 28 160.3 11 6 0 134 42 208 23 .261 97 7.5 2.4 1.3 11.7 41% .299 .238 1.10 3.27 3.76 80 2.67 59.7 4.9
CareerMLB102102582.34126052316861754.263988.12.60.89.548%.301.2391.193.123.42873.2774.113.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2011 CLN A 10 10 56.0 3 3 0 45 30 80 1 .262 94 7.2 4.8 0.2 12.9 51% .358 .261 1.34 2.39 2.73 0 0.00 0.0
2011 WTN AA 7 7 39.0 3 0 0 28 13 51 2 .257 112 6.5 3.0 0.5 11.8 56% .302 .188 1.05 2.42 1.85 0 0.00 0.0
2012 WTN AA 21 21 106.3 9 4 0 96 54 110 5 .261 105 8.1 4.6 0.4 9.3 49% .322 .241 1.41 3.23 3.05 0 0.00 0.0
2012 PER Wnt 5 5 12.7 1 1 0 14 6 16 1 .000 9.9 4.3 0.7 11.4 0% .382 .000 1.58 3.84 5.68 0 0.00 0.0
2013 SEA MLB 4 4 24.0 3 0 0 15 7 21 2 .274 96 5.6 2.6 0.8 7.9 59% .203 .199 0.92 3.28 1.50 93 4.27 102.2
2013 TAC AAA 28 26 145.7 8 11 0 158 58 131 10 .269 94 9.8 3.6 0.6 8.1 51% .338 .277 1.48 3.91 4.45 0 0.00 0.0
2014 SEA MLB 13 13 74.0 6 4 0 60 29 59 3 .270 92 7.3 3.5 0.4 7.2 57% .270 .230 1.20 3.31 3.04 100 3.65 89.6
2014 EVE A- 1 1 2.7 0 1 0 2 1 2 1 .272 95 6.8 3.4 3.4 6.8 71% .167 .265 1.12 8.32 6.75 94 3.53 83.8
2014 TAC AAA 3 3 10.3 0 1 0 13 6 14 2 .289 80 11.3 5.2 1.7 12.2 53% .393 .333 1.84 5.24 4.35 93 3.66 74.1
2015 SEA MLB 13 13 67.0 3 4 0 67 29 56 8 .262 95 9.0 3.9 1.1 7.5 50% .289 .277 1.43 4.28 3.90 105 4.37 102.2
2015 TAC AAA 3 3 6.7 0 1 0 12 3 4 0 .263 111 16.2 4.0 0.0 5.4 48% .480 .325 2.25 3.74 8.10 120 4.66 100.4
2015 PER Wnt 7 7 29.3 2 4 0 37 8 29 3 .000 11.4 2.5 0.9 8.9 0% .378 .000 1.53 3.75 4.60 0 0.00 0.0
2016 SEA MLB 20 20 121.0 6 7 0 134 24 117 9 .261 101 10.0 1.8 0.7 8.7 49% .347 .256 1.31 2.75 3.79 87 3.67 81.2
2016 TAC AAA 11 11 50.7 4 3 0 43 15 53 6 .267 99 7.6 2.7 1.1 9.4 52% .285 .239 1.14 4.05 3.73 0 0.00 0.0
2017 SEA MLB 24 24 136.0 12 5 0 113 37 156 9 .261 101 7.5 2.4 0.6 10.3 46% .300 .215 1.10 2.58 2.98 77 2.71 57.6
2017 ARK AA 1 1 4.0 0 0 0 5 0 5 1 .254 85 11.2 0.0 2.2 11.2 36% .400 .318 1.25 4.06 4.50 0 0.00 0.0
2018 SEA MLB 28 28 160.3 11 6 0 134 42 208 23 .261 97 7.5 2.4 1.3 11.7 41% .299 .238 1.10 3.27 3.76 80 2.67 59.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2013 367 0.4932 0.4768 0.7714 0.6464 0.3118 0.8718 0.5690 0.2286
2014 1177 0.4520 0.4291 0.8000 0.6241 0.2682 0.9096 0.5896 0.2000
2015 1106 0.4548 0.4069 0.8067 0.5805 0.2620 0.8904 0.6519 0.1933
2016 1940 0.5155 0.4990 0.7428 0.6650 0.3223 0.8391 0.5314 0.2572
2017 2224 0.5063 0.4793 0.7176 0.6439 0.3106 0.8055 0.5308 0.2824
2018 2599 0.5244 0.5244 0.6985 0.6772 0.3560 0.7855 0.5159 0.3015
Career94130.49980.48090.74040.64760.31460.83250.54990.2596

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-09 2014-08-02 60-DL 115 102 Left Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi - -
2012-05-26 2012-07-03 Minors 38 0 Right Knee Contusion - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2018 SEA $4,900,000
2017 SEA $2,350,000
2016 SEA $
2015 SEA $519,000
2014 SEA $503,500
2013 SEA $
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$3,372,500
2018Current$4,900,000
4 yrPvs + Cur$8,272,500
4 yrTotal$8,272,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 151 dBoras Corp.1 year/$4.9M (2018)

Details
  • 1 year/$4.9M (2018). Re-signed by Seattle 1/12/18 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$2.35M (2017). Re-signed by Seattle 1/13/17 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year (2016). Re-signed by Seattle 3/3/16.
  • 1 year/$0.519M (2015). Re-signed by Seattle 3/15.
  • 1 year/$0.5035M (2014). Re-signed by Seattle 2/20/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Contract selected by Seattle 9/3/13.
  • Drafted by Seattle 2010 (4-132) (Grand Prairie, Texas, American Association). $942,500 signing bonus. Drafted by Toronto 2009 (1s-37) (did not sign).

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .306 .377 .419 .295
11 vs R (Multi) .259 .297 .385 .248
18 Split (Multi) .047 .079 .034 .047
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.020 -.022 -.064 -.025
30 vs L (2016) .284 .341 .392 .269
31 vs R (2016) .278 .305 .409 .253
38 Split (2016) .005 .036 -.017 .016
39 LgAvg (2016) -.022 -.023 -.071 -.028

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with James Paxton

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2018-09-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)I play in a dynasty league and have made it my personal strategy to roster as many Mariners prospects as possible. I feel like eventually one has to pan out and be really good. Is this smart of me?
(Elton from Washington)
I once played in a league with a guy who decided to only draft players with a Z in their surname. It didn't go that well. As a strategy, it is certainly unique. I don't know if even the Mariners would call it smart, despite the statistical lure of their system regressing to the mean. I can try to make you feel better: James Paxton was drafted by the Mariners, and he's good! Edwin Diaz has been fantasy gold this year, and Seattle drafted him too. Mike Zunino has, on occasion, been helpful in fantasy. You might have noticed that all of these picks are from 2012 or earlier. That's because the Mariners haven't had a truly productive major leaguer from any draft since. It's pretty much Andrew Moore and a few relievers who have even made the majors. Tyler O'Neill might be their first genuinely productive draft pick since 2012, but they traded him (although Marco Gonzales was good before he got hurt, so it kinda worked out). Maybe you should just hope that Dipoto moves all these prospects to organisations that will develop them. Unless your strategy then requires you to trade them too. (Darius Austin)
2018-02-13 20:00:00 (link to chat)Will Walker Buehler ever have the durability to be a starter? Seems like a long shot to me.
(Mr. Fister from Arlington)
I see him as a James Paxton type. 150 innings? Maybe. 200? Nah, but then that's true for nearly everyone. (Mike Gianella)
2017-10-24 20:00:00 (link to chat)Hey there, Matt -- during your research and writing for the Annual this year, what's your favorite fun fact you've discovered that you'd like to share?
(Not Bryan from Not In This Chat)
Something I learned about Blake Snell:

Only one starting LHP has a higher average perceived velocity on his four-seamer than Snell, and only one has a higher average spin rate. The guy who throws harder is James Paxton and the guy with more spin is Rich Hill. Snell is going to be good eventually. -MT (World Series Chat)
2017-05-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)James Paxton finishes the 2017 season as a top _ fantasy starter.
(Rick Smith from Phoenix)
10 (George Bissell)
2017-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Scoresheet, 12-team AL-only league. Gun nowhere in sight, least of all pointed at your head, but an imploring look in your direction, which five do you keep? (Only two NLers.) Yu Darvish, Rich Hill, Jeff Samardjiza, John Lackey, Matt Shoemaker, James Paxton, Collin McHugh, Tyler Skaggs, Steven Wright, Jose Berrios
(touchstoneQu from Minneapolis)
Darvish, Hill, Shark, Lackey, Paxton. I'd love to say Shoe or Skaggs, but they have major health question marks. If you wanted to be daring, Skaggs over Shark would be the way to go. (George Bissell)
2017-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Pitching sleepers/breakouts for this year? If possible, geared to points leagues?
(chrispetersen15 from IA)
I'll give you a few deeper late-round mixed options: Garrett Richards, Robert Gsellman, Jharel Cotton and Zach Davies.
As far as "breakouts" go that's a broad term. Starters that I like better than the consensus: Julio Urias, Marcus Stroman, Jon Gray, James Paxton (is so obvious it's painful), and Frankie Liriano. I'm probably forgetting someone...Oh. Draft Rich Hill... (George Bissell)
2016-12-05 20:00:00 (link to chat)Buying or selling James Paxton?
(Greg from Philly)
I'm buying. I wrote about him a ton for BP during the summer when he came back with a truly insane velocity spike. The problem I have is that he's going to be the trendy industry sleeper that every fantasy owner is going to target in 2017. If I owned him, there might not be a better time to sell because there will be someone intrigued and willing to deal. (George Bissell)
2016-03-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Michael. What are the breakout (or breakdown!!) chances for pitchers such as Martin Perez, Kevin Gausman, Daniel Norris, James Paxton, Michael Pineda, Joe Kelly, Kyle Gibson, etc. Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
(DJ from Dallas )
Already talked about Gausman. I think Paxton might get squeezed out of a surprisingly deep Mariners rotation. Pineda's already good, Gibson kind of is what he is at this point, as is Kelly, who in a just world would've moved to the bullpen full-time two years ago.
That leaves Perez, whom I've always been down on compared to what appears to be the consensus, and Norris, whom I like to bounce back if only because he's got an open rotation spot in Detroit, to say nothing of it being unlikely that he receives a surprise cancer diagnosis this year. (Michael Baumann)
2016-03-09 19:00:00 (link to chat)Joe Kelly or James Paxton? This year and the future. Thanks.
(Geoff Jenkins from Milwaukee)
Paxton in both cases, although there's a good chance that both men have a future in the pen. (Mike Gianella)
2014-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you make of James Paxton? Having seen him only a couple of times, his mechanics don't seem to lend themselves to a repeatable delivery.
(Matt from Chicago)
he's funky but the stuff is there. He's managed to keep the walk rate down, which mitigates any concern on the mechanics repeating--throw strikes, it's all good. But, that said, he could regress to his minor league form where he walked a lot of guys. So, in sum, I like him a lot but I'm slightly cautious to believe he's totally found it. (Harry Pavlidis)
2014-07-31 19:30:00 (link to chat)Please rank these pitchers in terms of best fantasy career prospects: Taijuan Walker, C.J. Edwards, Lucas Giolito, Hunter Harvey, James Paxton, Kohl Stewart, Carlos Rodon. Thanks.
(graham from Richmond, VA)
Hmm. Let's go Walker, Rodon, Giolito, Harvey, Stewart, Paxton, Edwards (Ben Carsley)
2014-05-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)How would you rank these in 14 tm fantasy: Jordan lyles, Robbie Erin, and James Paxton, or even Martin Perez(obviously have to wait for him to recover)?
(Victor from Dumfries)
Erlin, Paxton, Lyles and Perez... Perez has to be last with the TJ Surgery (Paul Sporer)
2014-02-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Whom, among the batch of rookie pitchers mechanically gives you cause for concern,if any.
(boatman44 from Liverpool)
There is really an impressive group of young pitchers who are almost ready to make an impact, in terms of mechanics and stuff. I give the current batch very impressive grades overall, with the vast majority of the top prospects earning a B- or better. That said, I always pause for the guys with poor grades for balance and posture, such as Butler, Ventura, and James Paxton.

On the jukebox: Average White Band, "Pick Up the Pieces" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-01-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who would you rather have for a dynasty league next year and beyond: Tyson Ross or James Paxton?
(RotoLando from Cloud City)
Ross! http://painttheblack.com/2014/01/tyson-ross-a-rising-star/ :) (Paul Sporer)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who would you choose for fantasy: Tyson Ross or James Paxton?
(RotoLando from Cloud City)
I simply can't trust Ross, given a delivery with one of the shortest strides in the game and minimal momentum. The statistical step forward last season was intriguing, but his stuff has to be crisp in order to succeed. So give me Paxton and pray for the upside of youth to shine through onto the stat sheet. (Doug Thorburn)
2012-12-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Geoff, what is your assessment of James Paxton?
(Jeff from Seattle)
Thanks for the question, Jeff. My assessment of Paxton? I like the strikeouts, don't like the walks, and want to see him pitch more than 100 innings in a season. The latter would seem a prerequisite for someone who is envisioned as a workhorse. Also, if you haven't done so already, be sure to read Jason Parks' thoughts on Paxton and other Mariners prospects. I have opinions, but Jason's are better: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19227 (Geoff Young)
2012-11-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)When will the M's call upon James Paxton? Do you see a potential number 3?
(Ryan from Boston)
I think 2 ceiling, No. 3 likely end-result. Still has too many bouts with control problems, however. (Jason A. Churchill)
2012-11-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)What is James Paxton's ETA and do you see a potential #3?
(Ryan from Boston)
2013... No. 3, yes. At times he'll look like a 1 or 2. (Jason A. Churchill)
2012-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)James Paxton turned in another impressive performance the other night. He has also built on his success of last season. Is there a case that he has leapfrogged Hultzen as a prospect?
(Bill from Sante Fe, NM)
The short answer is, no, I don't think Paxton has surpassed Hultzen as the better prospect, but I'm having a hard time explaining why I believe that Hultzen will be fine. He's certainly had a weird go of it in Triple-A. None of this is to diminish Paxton's success this year; he's been fantastic and in a shallower system he would likely be in the big leagues right now. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-04-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you see as James Paxton's upside and when do you see him contributing in the majors?
(Dennis from LA)
Solid number three starter capable of delivering a beauty when his secondary stuff and command is in sync. I think he could contribute to the major league squad now out of the 'pen, but should get a taste at some point this season. He's good. (Jason Parks)
2012-02-23 11:00:00 (link to chat)List your top 5 rookie pitchers in the AL/NL West.. Thanks..
(LoyalRoyal from Kansas)
Yikes. Off the top of my head, in alphabetical order: Trevor Bauer, Jarrod Parker, James Paxton, Brad Peacock, Drew Pomeranz. And I'll assume I've missed someone obvious. (Geoff Young)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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