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Aroldis Chapman PYankees

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 31)

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
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Birth Date	2-28-1988
Height	6' 4"
Weight	218 lbs

Age	36 years, 1 months, 29 days
Bats	L
Throws	L

: 2.02015
: 1.82016
: 0.92017
: 1.72018
: 1.02019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	G	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-	WARP
2010	CIN	MLB	15	13.3	2	2	0	9	5	19	0	97	6.1	3.4	0.0	12.8	0%	.333	1.05	1.37	2.03	67	2.19	49.5	0.4
2011	CIN	MLB	54	50.0	4	1	1	24	41	71	2	103	4.3	7.4	0.4	12.8	0%	.242	1.30	3.25	3.60	96	3.88	90.2	0.5
2012	CIN	MLB	68	71.7	5	5	38	35	23	122	4	101	4.4	2.9	0.5	15.3	0%	.252	0.81	1.58	1.51	59	2.06	47.2	2.3
2013	CIN	MLB	68	63.7	4	5	38	37	29	112	7	101	5.2	4.1	1.0	15.8	0%	.280	1.04	2.44	2.54	70	2.11	50.5	1.9
2014	CIN	MLB	54	54.0	0	3	36	21	24	106	1	99	3.5	4.0	0.2	17.7	0%	.290	0.83	0.86	2.00	45	1.64	40.2	1.9
2015	CIN	MLB	65	66.3	4	4	33	43	33	116	3	91	5.8	4.5	0.4	15.7	0%	.331	1.15	1.97	1.63	72	2.15	50.3	2.0
2016	CHN	0	28	26.7	1	1	16	12	10	46	0	90	4.1	3.4	0.0	15.5	59%	.261	0.83	0.85	1.01	59	2.04	45.2	0.9
2016	NYA	0	31	31.3	3	0	20	20	8	44	2	112	5.7	2.3	0.6	12.6	38%	.273	0.89	1.89	2.01	76	2.37	52.5	0.9
2017	NYA	MLB	52	50.3	4	3	22	37	20	69	3		6.6	3.6	0.5	12.3	48%	.298	1.13	2.54	3.22	92	3.50	74.5	0.9
2018	NYA	MLB	55	51.3	3	0	32	24	30	93	2	110	4.2	5.3	0.4	16.3	46%	.268	1.05	2.12	2.45	65	2.13	47.7	1.7
2019	NYA	MLB	60	57.0	3	2	37	38	25	85	3	101	6.0	3.9	0.5	13.4	42%	.292	1.11	2.31	2.21	73	2.57	52.7	1.7
2016	TOT	MLB	59	58.0	4	1	36	32	18	90	2	102	5.0	2.8	0.3	14.0	46%	.268	0.86	1.41	1.55	68	2.22	49.1	1.8
Career		MLB	550	535.7	33	26	273	300	248	883	27	91	5.0	4.2	0.5	14.8	44%	.276	1.02	2.01	2.23	71	2.42	54.8	15.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-
2006	Hol	cub	CBA	15	15	54.0	3	5	0	48	54	56	5		8.0	9.0	0.8	9.3	0%	.301	1.89	5.54	4.33	0	0.00	0.0
2007	Hol	cub	CBA	23	12	81.3	4	3	7	59	50	100	4		6.5	5.5	0.4	11.1	0%	.294	1.34	2.96	2.77	0	0.00	0.0
2008	Hol	cub	CBA	16	16	74.0	6	7	0	55	37	79	3		6.7	4.5	0.4	9.6	0%	.264	1.24	3.27	3.89	0	0.00	0.0
2009	Hol	cub	CBA	22	20	118.3	11	4	0	109	62	130	7		8.3	4.7	0.5	9.9	0%	.332	1.45	4.03	4.03	0	0.00	0.0
2010	CIN	MLB	NL	15	0	13.3	2	2	0	9	5	19	0	97	6.1	3.4	0.0	12.8	0%	.333	1.05	1.37	2.03	67	2.19	49.5
2010	LOU	AAA	INT	39	13	95.7	9	6	8	77	52	125	7	99	7.2	4.9	0.7	11.8	0%	.314	1.35	3.41	3.57	0	0.00	0.0
2011	CIN	MLB	NL	54	0	50.0	4	1	1	24	41	71	2	103	4.3	7.4	0.4	12.8	0%	.242	1.30	3.25	3.60	96	3.88	90.2
2011	CAR	AA	SOU	5	2	7.3	1	1	0	5	6	11	1	115	6.1	7.4	1.2	13.5	0%	.308	1.50	4.52	6.14	93	3.60	73.4
2011	LOU	AAA	INT	4	1	5.7	0	1	0	9	2	9	0	90	14.3	3.2	0.0	14.3	0%	.500	1.94	1.11	11.12	71	7.90	161.3
2012	CIN	MLB	NL	68	0	71.7	5	5	38	35	23	122	4	101	4.4	2.9	0.5	15.3	0%	.252	0.81	1.58	1.51	59	2.06	47.2
2013	CIN	MLB	NL	68	0	63.7	4	5	38	37	29	112	7	101	5.2	4.1	1.0	15.8	0%	.280	1.04	2.44	2.54	70	2.11	50.5
2014	CIN	MLB	NL	54	0	54.0	0	3	36	21	24	106	1	99	3.5	4.0	0.2	17.7	0%	.290	0.83	0.86	2.00	45	1.64	40.2
2014	DYT	A	MID	2	2	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	93	0.0	4.5	0.0	13.5	0%	.000	0.50	1.98	0.00	81	3.14	66.4
2014	LOU	AAA	INT	2	1	1.0	0	1	0	7	2	2	0	114	63.0	18.0	0.0	18.0	0%	.875	9.00	8.34	72.00	102	9.72	205.7
2015	CIN	MLB	NL	65	0	66.3	4	4	33	43	33	116	3	91	5.8	4.5	0.4	15.7	0%	.331	1.15	1.97	1.63	72	2.15	50.3
2016	CHN	MLB	NL	28	0	26.7	1	1	16	12	10	46	0	90	4.1	3.4	0.0	15.5	59%	.261	0.83	0.85	1.01	59	2.04	45.2
2016	NYA	MLB	AL	31	0	31.3	3	0	20	20	8	44	2	112	5.7	2.3	0.6	12.6	38%	.273	0.89	1.89	2.01	76	2.37	52.5
2017	NYA	MLB	AL	52	0	50.3	4	3	22	37	20	69	3		6.6	3.6	0.5	12.3	48%	.298	1.13	2.54	3.22	92	3.50	74.5
2017	TRN	AA	EAS	1	1	0.7	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	86	0.0	27.0	0.0	27.0	0%	.000	3.00	6.23	13.50	85	2.50	53.2
2018	NYA	MLB	AL	55	0	51.3	3	0	32	24	30	93	2	110	4.2	5.3	0.4	16.3	46%	.268	1.05	2.12	2.45	65	2.13	47.7
2019	NYA	MLB	AL	60	0	57.0	3	2	37	38	25	85	3	101	6.0	3.9	0.5	13.4	42%	.292	1.11	2.31	2.21	73	2.57	52.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%
2010	215	0.4791	0.4465	0.6563	0.5922	0.3125	0.7705	0.4571	0.3438
2011	877	0.4481	0.4299	0.6472	0.6183	0.2769	0.7366	0.4851	0.3528
2012	1203	0.4913	0.4713	0.5996	0.6565	0.2925	0.6495	0.4916	0.4004
2013	1098	0.4891	0.4654	0.6145	0.6089	0.3280	0.6942	0.4728	0.3855
2014	934	0.4946	0.4657	0.5425	0.6212	0.3136	0.6098	0.4122	0.4575
2015	1160	0.4655	0.4776	0.5704	0.6556	0.3226	0.6412	0.4450	0.4296
2016	947	0.5407	0.5354	0.6331	0.7051	0.3356	0.6925	0.4863	0.3669
2017	878	0.5490	0.5057	0.7005	0.6618	0.3157	0.7429	0.5920	0.2995
2018	919	0.4799	0.4483	0.6262	0.6009	0.3075	0.7057	0.4830	0.3738
2019	980	0.4929	0.4724	0.6825	0.6232	0.3260	0.7641	0.5309	0.3175
Career	9211	0.4933	0.4740	0.6223	0.6384	0.3133	0.6920	0.4864	0.3777

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
2014-09-25	2014-09-25	DTD	0	0	Left	Forearm	Tightness		-
2014-08-18	2014-08-21	DTD	3	3	Left	Shoulder	Soreness		-
2014-07-14	2014-07-20	DTD	6	2	Left	Thigh	Tightness	Hamstring	-
2014-03-21	2014-05-10	15-DL	50	34	-	Face	Surgery	Fracture - Batted Ball	2014-03-20	-
2014-03-20	2014-03-20	On-Alr	0	0	-	Head	Concussion	Batted Ball	-	-
2012-09-11	2012-09-22	DTD	11	9	Left	Shoulder	Fatigue		-	-
2012-06-20	2012-06-24	DTD	4	3	-	Low Back	Soreness		-	-
2011-10-31	2011-10-31	WIN	0	0	Left	Shoulder	Soreness		-	-
2011-05-16	2011-06-24	15-DL	39	36	Left	Shoulder	Inflammation		-
2011-04-14	2011-04-18	DTD	4	3	Left	Shoulder	Inflammation		-
2010-05-19	2010-05-28	Minors	9	0	Left	Fingers	Blister	Middle Finger	-
2010-03-24	2010-03-31	Camp	7	0		Low Back	Spasms		-

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2024	PIT	$10,500,000
2023	KCA	$3,750,000
2022	NYA	$16,000,000
2021	NYA	$16,000,000
2020	NYA	$16,000,000
2019	NYA	$17,200,000
2018	NYA	$17,200,000
2017	NYA	$17,200,000
2016	NYA	$11,325,000
2015	CIN	$8,050,000
2014	CIN	$7,835,772
2013	CIN	$4,708,333
2012	CIN	$4,708,333
2011	CIN	$3,708,333
2010	CIN	$3,708,333

Years	Description	Salary
14 yr	Previous	$147,394,104
2019	Current	$10,500,000
15 yr	Pvs + Cur	$157,894,104
15 yr	Total	$157,894,104

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
13 y 9 d	Wasserman	1 year/$10.5M (2024)

Details

1 year/$10.5M (2024). Signed by Pittsburgh as a free agent 1/22/24.
1 year/$3.75M (2023). Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 1/19/23. Performance bonuses: $312,500 each for 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 55 games. $312,500 each for 12, 16, 20, 24, 28, 32, 36, 40 games finished. Award bonuses: $100,000 each for MVP, Cy Young $50,000 for second-fifth in voting). $100,000 each for WS MVP, Reliever of Year ($50,000 for Reliever of Year finalist). $50,000 each for All Star, Gold Glove, LCS MVP. Perks: hotel suite on road. Acquired by Texas in trade from Kansas City 6/30/23 with $1.875M remaining on contract. Texas responsible for 2023 performance bonuses earned.
3 years/$48M (2020-22). Signed extension with NY Yankees 11/3/19. 20-22: annual salaries of $16M. For tax purposes, the extension's average annual value is $17,466,667, which includes a $16M salary, plus $1,466,667 to account for the difference between the $18,666,667 ($56/3) actually paid by the Yankees under the previous contract and the club's lesser $17.2M AAV charge ($86/5) for 2017-19. Full no-trade protection throughout the contract.
5 years/$86M (2017-21). Signed by NY Yankees as a free agent 12/8/16. $11M signing bonus ($1M paid in 2016, $5M each in 2017, 2018). 17-21: annual salaries of $15M. Chapman may opt out of contract after 2019. Full no-trade protection for 2017-19. Limited no-trade protection for 2020-21. May not be traded to Seattle or a team based in California. At signing, largest contract ever for a relief pitcher.
1 year/$11.325M (2016). Signed by NY Yankees 2/12/16 (avoided arbitration, $13M-$9M). Suspended for first 30 games of 2016 season, with Chapman losing 30 days� ML service and pay, or $1,856,557. Acquired by Chicago Cubs in trade from NY Yankees 7/25/16 with $4,331,967 remaining on contract.
1 year/$8.05M (2015). Re-signed by Cincinnati 2/13/15 (avoided arbitration, $8.7M-$6.65M). Award bonuses. Acquired by NY Yankees in trade from Cincinnati 12/28/15.
1 year/$5M (2014). Re-signed by Cincinnati 1/28/14 (avoided arbitration). Also receives deferred $3M bonus received upon becoming eligible for arbitration after 2013 season. Award bonuses, including $25,000 for All-Star selection.
6 years/$30.25M (2010-15). Signed by Cincinnati as a free agent from Cuba 1/11/10. $16.25M signing bonus (paid $1.5M up front, $1.5M each 11/1, 2010-13, $1.25M each 11/1 2014-20). 10:$1M, 11:$1M, 12:$2M, 13:$2M, 14:$3M, 15:$5M player option. If arbitration-eligible after 2012, $5M converted to bonus & Chapman is arbitration-eligible. If arbitration-eligible after 2013, $3M converted to bonus & Chapman becomes arbitration-eligible (met 10/2013). Award bonuses, including $25,000 for All-Star selection. Optioned to Triple-A 4/2/10.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA
90^o	0	0	0	0	0	14.4	8	5	21	1	.252	0.92	1.43	1.52
80^o	0	0	0	0	0	9.3	6	4	14	1	.269	1.00	1.75	1.89
70^o	0	0	0	0	0	5.8	4	2	9	0	.280	1.06	1.99	2.17
60^o	0	0	0	0	0	2.9	2	1	4	0	.290	1.12	2.20	2.41
50^o	0	0	0	0	0	0.3	0	0	0	0	.299	1.17	2.39	2.63
Weighted Mean	?	?	?	?	?	0.0	?	0	0	?	.000	0.00	0.00	?

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2019-11-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)	wouldn't it make sense for smith to accept the QO? no way he gets more that 17.8 as a reliever. if he gets 17.8 this year then hits the open market with next year he could get 4/52-4/60. which makes a total deal of 5/70 or 6/77.8 it takes betting on yourself, but if im him i accept. (My name is Judge.... from Chicago)	I think you're underrating Will Smith a bit. He's easily the best reliever available this offseason with Aroldis Chapman off the board, and this is probably his one good shot at a big, long-term deal (he's 30 and has made less than $12M total in his career). He might not get more than $17.8M in 2020, sure, but there's no reason he couldn't or shouldn't get something like 3/45 or 4/60, which I bet he finds more appealing. (Free Agent Chat w/Collin Whitchurch)
2019-07-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Shane Greene has had a great first half of the season and seems like he would be a highly in demand closer at the deadline, similar to the way Aroldis Chapman has been in the past. Why does he not seem to be a high priority for teams like ATL, COL, PHI, etc? (Craig from Chicago)	This is a great question! I think part of it simply boils down to Greene having nowhere near the name recognition (even amongst ardent fans) of many great relievers. Another is that Greene has really only broken out this season, after years of being a good, but closer to league-average than great, reliever. Greene is controlled through '21, so the Tigers can hold if they don't get a good offer, but they risk this year proving an outlier and losing out on a potentially higher return. I think Greene is probably one of the top five or ten most likely guys to be dealt. (Ginny Searle)
2018-07-24 20:00:00 (link to chat)	In a keep forever dynasty league (20 teams), I've got a major trade brewing. Team A is a rebuilding/reloading team with Aroldis Chapman, Giancarlo Stanton, and Josh Hader. Team B is a perennial contender looking to plug some holes owning Nomar Mazara, Shohei Ohtani, and Casey Mize. Think these teams can line up with a fair deal, or is there two much value disparity? (Tom Hagen from The Hot Stove)	A lot of it depends on the trading culture in the league. Most leagues have an exchange rate that is the rough baseline for deals like this, and the exchange rate isn't just a function of the league's parameters. Something could probably get done, but Mize probably isn't a #1 and Mazara and Ohtani have a fair number of question marks. Team A could probably get a better keeper asset or two than anyone that Team B has. (Scooter Hotz)
2018-02-06 15:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Aroldis Chapman still a top 5 closer? Top 10? Top...? (Paul from Denmark)	Still top 5. I have Jansen and Kimbrel ahead of him, and I have lingering concerns about his health after his wobble last year, but he rebounded nicely after that and the strikeout total is still going to be massive for a reliever. (Darius Austin)
2017-08-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Quintana for the Cubs so far and going forward, what do you think? Also, do you think the Cubs have overpaid on either of their big deals? thanks (Dave m from Chicago)	I think the Cubs dramatically overpaid for Aroldis Chapman. I mean dramatically. I mean preposterously. (Breathe, Matt.) Here's an arguably hotter take: I think they, if anything, underpaid for Quintana. He's obviously been a bit uneven so far, but he's going to be a crucial part of their success over the rest of this window. Terrific trade for both sides, in all likelihood. (Matthew Trueblood)
2017-05-15 17:00:00 (link to chat)	What're the chances Gerrit Cole gets traded within the next year or so? What would a return for the Pirates look like? (Jeb from Iowa)	I'd say they're pretty good, particularly if the Pirates decide to do a complete tear down. They'd probably want something similar to what the Yankees got for Aroldis Chapman. (Mike Gianella)
2016-06-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)	If the Cubs get Aroldis Chapman, can you book the World Series? Also, what do you think it would take to aquire him? (BC from Urbandale)	You can book the NLDS either way, but calling the World Series a shoe in is impossible for any team. The playoffs represent a different game than a 162 marathon. Do their odds improve? Yeah. But as for what it would take? The Yankees reportedly want Kyle Schwarber, which isn't happening. Jeimer Candelario seems like a nice fit with the Yankees, and would almost definitely be involved. The Cubs FO isn't going to trade someone they don't see as expendable, and I have my doubts the Cubs are interested in Chapman due to his past issues. Getting one of Chapman or Miller seems to be a priority of many NL clubs because of the dominant lefty hitters in the league. (Grant Jones)
2016-01-27 19:00:00 (link to chat)	Dynasty points. Ryan Braun (32 yo) or Aroldis Chapman (28 yo). (Ziggy from Van Nuys)	Maybe there's some reliever bias here, but I'll take Chapman. Braun's decline is getting closer, and Chapman is one of the rare relievers who can maintain his dominance for a long time. (Matt Collins)
2015-12-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Weekly trade question with Aroldis Chapman. What realistic prospects would make sense from Astros and Nationals ?? Thanks ! (Kevin from Cincy)	From the Nationals, anyone but Giolito, Turner and Robles would be on the table I think. For the Astros? Maybe a Mark Appel scenery change makes sense. Or a Michael Feliz or Colin Moran. Trading for relievers is tricky, even when they're stupid good like Chapman. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-10-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Glad you brought up Maybin. He'd be a nice defensive addition to Cubs OF. Will Cubs invest at all in pen or mix n match? Wondering if spending on pen will come back into fashion. (Matt from Chicago)	At some point, you might see them roll some money into the pen, just because the short-term payroll is so wide open with these young guys making the minimum and holding down full-time jobs. I don't know that they're going chasing Aroldis Chapman or anything. They're very consistent in maintaining that they want relief depth to come from the farm system. (Matthew Trueblood)
2015-09-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Did you see Aroldis Chapman's last appearance, on Tuesday night? He was was throwing slow stuff and blew the save. The announcers speculated on him being hurt. Have you heard anything? (cracker73 from Florida)	I haven't heard anything yet but will certainly keep an eye on it. Brooks has his average velo at 98.9 mph, so that's in line with his average. It will be interesting to see how his outing unfolded. (Doug Thorburn)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)	Why can Taylor Teagarden hit so well in the minors, and look so awful in the big leagues against everyone except Aroldis Chapman? (Not Taylor Teagarden's Mom from USA)	I think you're lying, Ms. Teagarden. It's the biggest leap, and while some guys can do it, others can't. I loved Teagarden when he was a top prospect, but catchers in particular have a wall they hit. John Sickels of Minor League Ball called it "Young Catcher Stagnation Syndrome" and that seems to be what happened with Tegarden. He was a low BA/power guy and the pitch recognition at the major league level just isn't quite good enough. Unless it's against Aroldis Chapman (disclaimer: future results may vary). (Mike Gianella)
2015-02-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Javier Baez comes to the plate to face Aroldis Chapman for 100 consecutive plate appearances. Both players' fatigue "resets" at the end of each plate appearance. How man HRs, Ks, BBs and balls in play would you predict? (BCermak from New York)	let's pretend that 'learning' resets, too, so no adjustments. It's the Groundhog's Day Matchup from hell. I'll take 55 strikeouts, 10 walks, 5 homers ... leaving 30 balls in play with the hope that Baez doesn't get drilled by a pitch. (Harry Pavlidis)
2015-01-21 15:00:00 (link to chat)	After reading your analysis of Aroldis Chapman's otherworldly torque, I tried to stand with my hips rotated 70 degrees from my shoulders. I almost pulled a muscle. How does a person prepare his body to pitch with that kind of torque? Can it be achieved through throwing alone, or is some kind of specialized training necessary (e.g., to impart flexible strength to the obliques)? (Rob from DC)	Achieving torque requires core strength in addition to flexibility, and there are certainly drills that help to develop those physical aspects - I would need to demonstrate the drills appropriately, though. The Red Dragon has crazy athleticism, and his ability to generate torque is unparalleled. (Doug Thorburn)
2015-01-08 12:00:00 (link to chat)	Would you rather take a selfie with a lion OR catch Aroldis Chapman without protective gear? (Callie Fornya from Where You Think?)	This is a great one to start with. I'll take the selfie with the lion. A while back Tim Kurkjian did a piece on pros getting HBP (http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/8195515/what-feels-get-hit-pitch). Here's my favorite quote: "It was like my face was crushed by a bowling ball, a bowling ball going 95 mph." That's from Kevin Seitzer who got hit by Scott Erickson. Chapman throws 10 mph harder than that! No thanks. (Jeff Long)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)	In pornographic terms, would Aroldis Chapman be that weird anime tenticle porn? (asstarr1 from Madison, WI)	I take it back. This is my favorite. (Jason Parks)
2013-09-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Who had the better fastball according to Pitch F/X? Aroldis Chapman or Joel Zumaya? (Ryan from Detroit)	not sure what you mean by better ... but Zumaya's heater had a higher average speed than Chapman's does by about 1 mph. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-09-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Who's fastball would you rather have? Aroldis Chapman or Joel Zumaya (at his hardest) (Tim from NYC)	Chapman still for me. (Jason Cole)
2013-08-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Pick a closer in the majors now that will still be a dominant pitcher in 2015 not named Kimbrel. (Grasul from Minneapolis)	Mariano Rivera! But if you want one who'll still be active, Aroldis Chapman. (Ben Lindbergh)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)	Who saves more games in 2013, Kenley Jansen or Aroldis Chapman? (Hemmo from Amsterdam, the Netherlands)	Oooh, prop bet! I'm gonna go with Aroldis, just on the hunch that Dusty wins out and he's the closer all year. And even if Aroldis starts the season in the rotation, Kenley still has to beat out League for the job, so he's no sure thing either. Great challenge bet. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-03-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)	I think Aroldis Chapman is more effective as a closer because he will affect twice as many games as he would as a starter. Then there is the injury risk of asking a guy who dials up every pitch at 97 mph plus to throw 300% more innings. Why am I wrong? (Mark from Lexington)	I'm not sure you're wrong. I mean, I'd disagree. I think affecting games is the wrong way to look at it. As a starter Chapman would throw far more innings and face far more batters than he would as a reliever. This is why starters are worth so much more, because their impact is so much greater. As for the injury risk, there are some starters who throw really hard. I'm not sure throwing hard makes you more of an injury risk anyway. Pitchers who throw in the 80s and low 90s get hurt all the time too. (Matthew Kory)
2013-02-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Could you see Aroldis Chapman turning into a legit top fantasy starter this year? If he struggles, is Cinci tied to Broxton at closer with his contract? (zissou from naples)	He has the raw stuff, but I wouldn't bet on it happening just yet. I'm concerned that the high pitch counts are going to keep him from getting past the 6th inning and keep the WHIP up. My colleague Paul Sporer also brought up a good point on our podcast: without a refined tertiary pitch it's worth wondering what Chapman's going to do the 2nd time through the line-up. I think he'll be very good (Chapman, not Sporer). I just don't know if I'd bet on an ace. (Mike Gianella)
2013-02-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)	Keeper Question: Kris Medlen or Aroldis Chapman? (forlostcauses from Portland)	Medlen -- not a fan of taking Chapman out of the pen (Jason Collette)
2013-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Thanks for the chat. Do you think the Aroldis Chapman experiment will work? He seemed to be too valuable closing out games. What are you thoughts on some sneaky good RP's like Tony Cingrani and J.J. Hoover in Cincinnati? (Rockford from Flowmont)	A year ago I would've said no on Chapman starting because of his control woes. He seemed to improve on that aspect and if it sticks then I'd say he's got a chance. I haven't seen much of Cingrani-though he sounds like someone who could help now-but Hoover is a nice arm that got buried in Atlanta because others had higher ceilings. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-12-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)	With Neftali Feliz going under the knife for TJS, what is his likelihood of continuing as a starter? It seems like he's destined for the 9th inning again, no? (AJ from Phoenix)	Thanks for the question, AJ. It's hard to say what the future holds for Feliz, although he does seem better suited to the bullpen. I understand why teams want to maximize innings out of a guy like Feliz (or Aroldis Chapman in Cincinnati), but there is a real risk. Maybe letting a guy continue to excel in a role that he's already mastered isn't the worst idea. (Geoff Young)
2012-11-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)	What would you do with Aroldis Chapman. The bird in the hand or the two in the bush? (RMR from Chicago)	Two in the bush. A guy with his talent, who took such a step forward with control this year, deserves a shot to start, where he'd have way more value if successful. (Derek Carty)
2012-11-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)	What is your take on Aroldis Chapman's conversion to starting in terms of health and effectiveness? (RMR from Chicago)	I think that the adjustment began during the 2012 season, as Aroldis learned to trim back the aggression a tick in favor of better command. He wasn't hitting 105-mph with regularity, but he actually knew where the pitches were going, and his ability to trust his FB at 98-mph while mixing in the slider will be crucial to his success as a starter. He needs stamina and command, and his performance of 2012 was a good indicator for his development into a pitcher who can eat innings and potentially start a playoff game, a scary proposition for the National League. On the jukebox: Thrice, "Cold Cash and Colder Hearts" (Doug Thorburn)
2012-09-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Good choice going with Alice in Chains. Quick one: what would happen if a guy with Aroldis Chapman's speed would pick up a knucleball? BTW, there were only 7 picks before Pittsburgh's. (Guillermo from Montevideo, Uruguay)	A pitcher with Chapman's profile has little use for a knuckler - batters are not fooled by the velocity of a knuckleball and they can read the pitch out of hand, so it becomes a trick for pitchers that lack quality primary offerings. But someone like Chapman can benefit more from using pitches that allow him to take advantage of effective velocity, timing, and break to keep hitters guessing. I think that he would benefit more from a classic change-up or a splitter than a knuckleball. Layne Staley was a tragic loss for the music world, bringing an early end to a great band. Oh, and thanks for the correction on the pick number. On the jukebox: Iron Maiden, "Flash of the Blade" (Doug Thorburn)
2012-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Matt Dominguez has looked pretty darn good in his initial small sample with Houston (take that Aroldis Chapman). What one thing will either make or break him as a successful Major League bat? (Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX)	Recognition of off-speed stuff and realizing that just because he can hit everything doesn't mean that he should swing at everything. I don't think he's ever going to be a an above-average hitter, but if he can settle in at .260-.270 with 15-20 home runs and plus defense at third base, that's a very good player. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Number of games started by Aroldis Chapman in a Reds uniform this season? Ever? (Johnny from San Diego)	A dozen this year. 120 with the Reds forever. (Sam Miller)
2012-02-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)	How many starts will Aroldis Chapman get in the majors, and how will they go? (J from Queen City)	I think they should just let him relieve and have done him no favors with role jerking around. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Most exciting fastball in baseball? How about most exciting pitch? Aroldis Chapman's fastball from the pen? (Johnny from SD)	Watching Chapman throw a pen is a lot of fun, but watching guys like Matt Moore in the Future's Game was just as fun. When his power curve morphed into that cut/slider offering, thrown with extreme tilt in the upper 80s, I almost shit my pants with excitement. (Jason Parks)
2011-11-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)	How do you feel about Tommy Hanson, Michael Pineda and Aroldis Chapman in 2012? I can only freeze seven players from my 2011 roster. Hanson's injuries worry me. (dscala from Durham, NH)	What's the league setup and who else do you have? I think Pineda is a definite freeze, and Chapman is a guy to let go (unless it's a very deep league and your other options aren't that intriguing). Hanson is a keep unless you have some overwhelmingly good options, because if he's healthy, he's excellent, and he'll have had a lot of time to rest up. (Derek Carty)
2011-08-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Aroldis Chapman's future in the 'pen for sure? (jamin67038 from Wichita, KS)	He hasn't started a game at the major league level yet - rare to see a guy make that kind of change at his supposed age of 23. (Jason Collette)
2011-06-06 17:00:00 (link to chat)	Why did no one know about the Cuban until now? And why is he eligible for the draft, instead of a free agent like Aroldis Chapman and Noel Arguelles? (Brian from North Side)	Because he defected to the U.S., so he's a U.S. guy, and he's in the draft. See Escobar, Yunel. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Who do you think the first closer to lose his job will be? (mef from Brooklyn, NY)	There's still some jobs that aren't totally decided yet, and most guys who have to wait this long to claim the gig usually have a pretty short leash. Among those who we know will start the year at closer, I've got to go with Fernando Rodney of the Angels, who's just not that good and has a few guys behind him, even with Scott Downs' injury. I particularly like Jordan Walden there. Honorable mention goes to Francisco Cordero, who's declining and can't possibly fend off Aroldis Chapman all year. (Mike Petriello)
2011-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)	World Series predictions? ROY/CY Young/MVP guesses? (Sean from DC)	I am just dreadful at this. I'm always trying to be surprising and end up saying something stupid. WIth that in mind, let's go with Phillies vs. Tigers in the Series. I'll say Desmond Jennings and Aroldis Chapman for ROY, Pujols and Cabrera for MVP, and Halladay and Verlander for Cy. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-11-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Chances Aroldis Chapman makes it as a starter? Can he stay healthy? His delivery is so fluid and easy-looking. (Joe from Brooklyn)	I hope he goes back to that role certainly. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez, Homer Bailey, Travis Wood, Mike Leake, Matt Maloney, Sam LeCure, Aroldis Chapman. That's 9 guys for 5 rotation spots in Cincinnati. How can Jocketty best capitalize on that depth? (RMR from Chicago)	A few of the brighter bulbs 'round these parts (where there isn't much call for cheddar, by the way)have made a few suggestions. IIRC, SG recommended they trade Volquez, while CK opted for shipping out Maloney, I think. Me, I'd find out what sort of a market there is for Mike Leake -- maybe he's already at his peak trade value. It's really, really hard to predict trades that actually get made, because you almost always look like you're way over- or under-valuing someone in retrospect. That being said, sitting on all that pitching is like sitting on a pot of gold, and Jocketty is sure to be a very popular man next week. (Ken Funck)
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)	Has Aroldis Chapman met, exceeded, or fallen below your expectations? Based on what you've seen and heard so far, what do you expect in the future? (Mario66 from Toronto)	Met. Has better pure stuff than any lefty prospect in the game. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)	Any chance the Reds' AAA affiliate could beat the Pirates in a 7 game series? They're trotting out a lineup of Dave Sappelt, Chris Valaika, Yonder Alonso, Todd Frazier, Juan Francisco, Danny Dorn, and Devin Mesoraco, with Sam LeCure, Matt Maloney, Aaron Harang, and Aroldis Chapman among their pitchers. (Joe from Cincy)	I was going to rip you and talk about how massive the different is between Triple-A and the big leagues is, but they might have a chance. I'll still favor the Pirates though. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Hi Marc, thanks for the chat. I'm trying to pick 5 keepers from this bunch: Hellickson, Heyward, Stanton, Aroldis Chapman, Phil Hughes, Pedro Alvarez, Jesus Montero, Neftali Feliz, Lincecum...Should I try to corner the young pitching market with Hughes, Hellickson, Chapman, Lincecum, Feliz or are the 2 20-year old OFs more valuable? (cbelford from Chicago)	In real life, you can never have too much pitching. But in fantasy, you need to bet on the sure thing more often, because the reason you can never have too much pitching is due to the volatility of the performances and concerns over injuries. I am much more comfortable keeping the two 20 year old outfielders and Pedro Alvarez than by going all pitching. Heyward, Stanton, Alvarez, Feliz, Lincecum would be my five from your group. If you can make a trade by packaging some of the others together, I would explore it. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Should Yunieski Maya enter the Nationals pitching rotation as soon as governmentally possible? (HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)	ASAGP. I like that. I think he can get to the majors faster than it will end up taking Aroldis Chapman, certainly. He's older and has more polish. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-06-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Dynasty league question: Would you rather have Aroldis Chapman or Mike Leake over the next six years? (Dennis from LA)	Chapman for upside. I think Leake is basically Tim Hudson. He's really good and really polished already, but how much better do you think a groundball guy without a true out pitch is going to get? If you want the safer pick, Leake is a great one, but he's up now because he's basically a finished product. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Thank you for answering my earlier question. Brennan Boesch: are you a believer? Also, how good do you think Aroldis Chapman will be? (Dennis from LA)	I think Boesch is fine, but not nearly as good as he has been so far (perhaps obviously). If that sounds like hedging, it's because it is, but remember that Raburn is ready if Boesch stumbles. The last two years, though, Boesch seems to have found a good power stroke. As long has he can keep his batting average up, the lack of walks won't kill him. If not...look out. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-05-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Thank you for the chat, Kevin. How do you like Aroldis Chapman so far, and what do you see him ultimately becoming? Do you like him more than Mike Leake? (Dennis from LA)	Chapman's ceiling is certainly higher than Leake, but obviously there's some risk there. Very different guys. It's a savings bond vs. tech stock situation. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-05-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)	How long do you think the Reds can stay this hot and could they actually be buyers this season with talent like Yonder Alonso on the way? (SprungOnSports from Long Island)	There's a lot of good young talent in Cincy, particularly in the rotation, where there's upside galore even if Aroldis Chapman doesn't show up, which he probably will. If Dusty Baker can stop with the self-destructive lineup assembly (.191/.263/.291 from the leadoff spot!) then I think they could be buyers, but I'm not sold on Alonso (.267/.388/.406 in Double-A, and apparently recently promoted to Triple-A) as being tremendously helpful at the moment. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-05-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)	I only get four bench spots in my main league, and I've got Aroldis Chapman eting one of those spots. Do you see him making a contribution this year, or is he just going to be a September call up? As it stands right now I don't have any open bench spots for spot starts, or offensive replacements. (JayT from San Francisco)	He'll be called up. He's already in Triple-A, so I think if he can keep the walks under control that he'll be called up sooner than later. I'm holding on to him in an NL-only, but if you're in a mixed, non-keeper and have someone who can help you just as much (and sooner) it may be worth it to get them. (Marc Normandin)
2010-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Jay, who are your pet players this year? Guys you expect to put themselves on the map or take an underrated step forward? (slim from Fairfield Cty)	You know, for some reason the team I always come back to for questions like this is the Reds. Not that I EXPECT their young guys to take a step forward so much as that I'm interested to see if they can. To see if pitchers like Johnny Cueto, Mike Leake or Aroldis Chapman can succeed in that ballpark, under Dusty. To see if Jay Bruce finally lives up to the hype, if Chris Dickerson can hold down a regular corner spot. I don't actually root for the Reds, but I've been intrigued by their collection of talent for years. (Jay Jaffe)

BP Roundtables

Date	Roundtable Name	Comment
2010-04-05 09:30:00	Season Opener Roundtable	"Jake Green (LA): In 2015, who will be the best pitcher of the three? Tim Lincecum, Stephen Strasburg, or Aroldis Chapman?" Good question. Today I'll go with Tiny Tim, since he's the proven quantity and I'm notoriously risk averse. Ask again in September, though, and you might well get a different answer. (Ken Funck)
2010-04-05 09:30:00	Season Opener Roundtable	"Jake Green (LA): In 2015, who will be the best pitcher of the three? Tim Lincecum, Stephen Strasburg, or Aroldis Chapman" I really don't know how to answer these kinds of questions, to be honest. The analytical part of my brain kicks in and says that the margin of error on this sort of thing vastly swamps the difference between them in talent. So if you're sending in these questions and I'm not picking them, please don't feel slighted. I just honestly don't have a good answer for you, and don't feel like giving you a bad answer just to say I did. (Colin Wyers)

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC

Aroldis Chapman has thrown 13,438 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2010 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (97mph) and Slider (86mph), also mixing in a Sinker (99mph) and Splitter (89mph).