Biographical

Portrait of Brandon Morrow

Brandon Morrow PCubs

Cubs Player Cards | Cubs Team Audit | Cubs Depth Chart

2018 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 33)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
57.0 4.25 1.42 53 3 3 30 0.4
Birth Date7-26-1984
Height6' 3"
Weight205 lbs
Age33 years, 6 months, 24 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.12014
0.52015
-0.02016
1.02017
0.42018
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2007 SEA MLB 60 0 63.3 3 4 0 56 50 66 3 .267 96 8.0 7.1 0.4 9.4 36% .314 .260 1.67 4.25 4.12 100 6.70 138.6 -0.8
2008 SEA MLB 45 5 64.7 3 4 10 40 34 75 10 .258 96 5.6 4.7 1.4 10.4 34% .205 .219 1.14 4.42 3.34 84 3.19 68.1 1.6
2009 SEA MLB 26 10 69.7 2 4 6 66 44 63 10 .265 100 8.5 5.7 1.3 8.1 36% .286 .270 1.58 5.08 4.39 105 4.89 104.9 0.5
2010 TOR MLB 26 26 146.3 10 7 0 136 66 178 11 .263 113 8.4 4.1 0.7 10.9 40% .342 .251 1.38 3.13 4.49 84 3.69 83.4 2.7
2011 TOR MLB 30 30 179.3 11 11 0 162 69 203 21 .264 108 8.1 3.5 1.1 10.2 37% .299 .258 1.29 3.67 4.72 87 3.64 84.7 3.0
2012 TOR MLB 21 21 124.7 10 7 0 98 41 108 12 .261 107 7.1 3.0 0.9 7.8 42% .252 .227 1.11 3.59 2.96 97 3.67 84.0 2.2
2013 TOR MLB 10 10 54.3 2 3 0 63 18 42 12 .268 104 10.4 3.0 2.0 7.0 39% .302 .311 1.49 5.44 5.63 114 5.82 139.3 -0.6
2014 TOR MLB 13 6 33.3 1 3 0 37 18 30 2 .258 103 10.0 4.9 0.5 8.1 52% .357 .285 1.65 3.76 5.67 101 4.53 111.2 0.1
2015 SDN MLB 5 5 33.0 2 0 0 29 7 23 3 .260 103 7.9 1.9 0.8 6.3 48% .280 .225 1.09 3.58 2.73 104 3.91 91.3 0.5
2016 SDN MLB 18 0 16.0 1 0 0 19 3 8 2 .271 93 10.7 1.7 1.1 4.5 47% .309 .276 1.38 4.37 1.69 112 5.13 113.5 -0.0
2017 LAN MLB 45 0 43.7 6 0 2 31 9 50 0 .269 90 6.4 1.9 0.0 10.3 45% .282 .166 0.92 1.57 2.06 80 3.17 67.4 1.0
CareerMLB299113828.351431873735984686.2641048.03.90.99.240%.294.2501.323.804.05934.1593.510.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2006 SBR A+ 1 1 3.0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 0% .000 .000 0.00 1.09 0.00 0 0.00 0.0
2006 MRN Rk 7 4 13.2 0 2 0 10 9 13 0 .274 106 6.8 6.1 0.0 8.9 58% .323 .271 1.44 4.34 2.73 98 5.02 123.5
2007 SEA MLB 60 0 63.3 3 4 0 56 50 66 3 .267 96 8.0 7.1 0.4 9.4 36% .314 .260 1.67 4.25 4.12 100 6.70 138.6
2007 LAR Wnt 7 7 36.3 3 2 0 34 8 31 4 .000 8.4 2.0 1.0 7.7 0% .283 .000 1.16 3.50 2.73 0 0.00 0.0
2008 SEA MLB 45 5 64.7 3 4 10 40 34 75 10 .258 96 5.6 4.7 1.4 10.4 34% .205 .219 1.14 4.42 3.34 84 3.19 68.1
2008 WTN AA 6 0 7.3 0 0 0 3 6 8 0 .260 100 3.7 7.4 0.0 9.9 56% .188 .203 1.23 3.51 0.00 104 4.88 102.1
2008 TAC AAA 6 5 23.3 1 2 0 17 11 26 2 .267 100 6.6 4.2 0.8 10.0 39% .254 .219 1.20 3.78 5.02 97 4.76 102.0
2009 SEA MLB 26 10 69.7 2 4 6 66 44 63 10 .265 100 8.5 5.7 1.3 8.1 36% .286 .270 1.58 5.08 4.39 105 4.89 104.9
2009 TAC AAA 10 10 55.0 5 3 0 50 23 40 2 .281 96 8.2 3.8 0.3 6.5 41% .284 .247 1.33 3.77 3.60 102 5.60 109.8
2010 TOR MLB 26 26 146.3 10 7 0 136 66 178 11 .263 113 8.4 4.1 0.7 10.9 40% .342 .251 1.38 3.13 4.49 84 3.69 83.4
2011 TOR MLB 30 30 179.3 11 11 0 162 69 203 21 .264 108 8.1 3.5 1.1 10.2 37% .299 .258 1.29 3.67 4.72 87 3.64 84.7
2011 DUN A+ 3 3 9.3 0 2 0 13 6 11 0 .257 110 12.5 5.8 0.0 10.6 58% .419 .274 2.04 2.94 7.71 95 3.54 96.5
2012 TOR MLB 21 21 124.7 10 7 0 98 41 108 12 .261 107 7.1 3.0 0.9 7.8 42% .252 .227 1.11 3.59 2.96 97 3.67 84.0
2012 DUN A+ 2 2 6.0 0 0 0 8 3 6 0 .254 109 12.0 4.5 0.0 9.0 47% .471 .251 1.83 2.89 1.50 94 3.70 99.5
2012 NHP AA 3 3 14.3 1 0 0 10 3 12 2 .263 105 6.3 1.9 1.3 7.5 38% .216 .205 0.91 3.96 2.51 90 3.87 98.3
2013 TOR MLB 10 10 54.3 2 3 0 63 18 42 12 .268 104 10.4 3.0 2.0 7.0 39% .302 .311 1.49 5.44 5.63 114 5.82 139.3
2013 DUN A+ 1 1 2.0 0 0 0 5 1 0 1 .251 103 22.5 4.5 4.5 0.0 40% .444 .474 3.00 11.24 13.50 104 4.72 106.4
2014 TOR MLB 13 6 33.3 1 3 0 37 18 30 2 .258 103 10.0 4.9 0.5 8.1 52% .357 .285 1.65 3.76 5.67 101 4.53 111.2
2014 DUN A+ 1 0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .292 117 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 67% .000 .162 0.00 1.38 0.00 100 4.09 101.5
2014 BUF AAA 2 0 2.3 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 .252 102 7.7 0.0 0.0 3.9 50% .250 .173 0.86 2.49 3.86 101 4.47 104.7
2015 SDN MLB 5 5 33.0 2 0 0 29 7 23 3 .260 103 7.9 1.9 0.8 6.3 48% .280 .225 1.09 3.58 2.73 104 3.91 91.3
2015 SAN AA 2 2 6.7 0 0 0 10 2 3 0 .258 101 13.5 2.7 0.0 4.0 58% .417 .333 1.80 3.29 4.05 107 5.05 109.6
2015 ELP AAA 1 1 2.3 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 .253 123 11.6 3.9 0.0 3.9 38% .375 .281 1.71 4.02 7.71 105 5.02 108.0
2016 SDN MLB 18 0 16.0 1 0 0 19 3 8 2 .271 93 10.7 1.7 1.1 4.5 47% .309 .276 1.38 4.37 1.69 112 5.13 113.5
2016 LEL A+ 2 2 11.7 0 1 0 15 3 8 1 .275 103 11.6 2.3 0.8 6.2 41% .368 .300 1.54 4.22 6.94 112 8.03 124.9
2016 SAN AA 2 2 10.3 1 1 0 18 4 4 3 .261 98 15.7 3.5 2.6 3.5 40% .375 .379 2.13 7.62 7.84 116 6.62 119.1
2016 ELP AAA 12 2 21.0 0 0 2 29 9 21 2 .272 130 12.4 3.9 0.9 9.0 52% .403 .275 1.81 4.24 6.43 93 3.34 94.9
2016 PDR Rk 4 0 5.0 1 0 0 8 0 6 0 .261 14.4 0.0 0.0 10.8 53% .471 .282 1.60 1.71 1.80 87 2.81 93.7
2017 LAN MLB 45 0 43.7 6 0 2 31 9 50 0 .269 90 6.4 1.9 0.0 10.3 45% .282 .166 0.92 1.57 2.06 80 3.17 67.4
2017 OKL AAA 20 0 20.0 0 5 6 25 5 22 5 .263 11.2 2.2 2.2 9.9 56% .339 .285 1.50 5.67 7.20 88 2.96 57.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1074 0.5186 0.4665 0.7186 0.6391 0.2805 0.7725 0.5862 0.2814
2009 1228 0.4772 0.4568 0.7665 0.6126 0.3146 0.8635 0.5941 0.2335
2010 2514 0.4761 0.4411 0.7322 0.6241 0.2749 0.8260 0.5387 0.2678
2011 3102 0.4887 0.4768 0.7350 0.6511 0.3102 0.8065 0.5915 0.2650
2012 1960 0.5128 0.4474 0.7788 0.6209 0.2649 0.8590 0.5810 0.2212
2013 907 0.5017 0.4576 0.7952 0.6615 0.2522 0.8505 0.6491 0.2048
2014 617 0.4927 0.4392 0.7823 0.6118 0.2716 0.8710 0.5882 0.2177
2015 467 0.5054 0.4711 0.7773 0.6864 0.2511 0.8395 0.6034 0.2227
2016 227 0.5639 0.5551 0.7857 0.7188 0.3434 0.8478 0.6176 0.2143
2017 563 0.4831 0.5684 0.7063 0.7574 0.3918 0.8155 0.5088 0.2938
Career126590.49420.46440.75070.64240.29010.82980.58040.2493

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-03 2014-09-02 60-DL 122 107 Right Fingers Strain Index Finger Tendon Sheath - -
2013-05-29 2013-09-30 60-DL 124 110 Right Forearm Radial Nerve Entrapment - -
2013-05-06 2013-05-18 DTD 12 10 - Low Back Stiffness - -
2012-06-12 2012-08-25 60-DL 74 64 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2012-05-27 2012-05-27 DTD 0 0 Right Lower Leg Contusion Batted Ball Shin - -
2011-03-22 2011-04-20 15-DL 29 17 Right Forearm Recovery From Inflammation -
2011-03-19 2011-03-22 Camp 3 0 Right Forearm Inflammation -
2011-03-13 2011-03-13 Camp 0 0 Right Shoulder Contusion Batted Ball -
2010-03-15 2010-04-03 Camp 19 0 Right Shoulder Soreness -
2009-08-30 2009-09-06 Minors 7 0 Right Forearm Tightness -
2009-04-24 2009-05-09 15-DL 15 14 Right Arm Inflammation Biceps Tendonitis -
2009-03-02 2009-03-24 Camp 22 0 Right Forearm Soreness -
2008-06-18 2008-06-25 DTD 7 6 Low Back Spasms -
2008-06-05 2008-06-10 DTD 5 4 Right Shoulder Soreness -
2008-03-11 2008-03-27 Camp 16 0 Right Shoulder Soreness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2020 CHN $3,000,000
2019 CHN $9,000,000
2018 CHN $9,000,000
2017 LAN $
2016 SDN $
2015 SDN $2,500,000
2014 TOR $8,000,000
2013 TOR $8,000,000
2012 TOR $4,000,000
2011 TOR $2,300,000
2010 TOR $409,800
2009 SEA $425,000
2007 SEA $380,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
8 yrPrevious$26,014,800
2018Current$9,000,000
9 yrPvs + Cur$35,014,800
2 yrFuture$12,000,000
11 yrTotal$47,014,800

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
9 y 86 dWasserman Media Group2 years (2018-19), 2020 option

Details
  • 2 years/$21M (2018-19), plus 2020 vesting option. Signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 12/11/17. 18:$9M, 19:$9M, 20:$12M vesting option ($3M buyout).
  • 1 year (2017). Signed by LA Dodgers as a free agent 1/25/17 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1.25M in majors. Contract selected by LA Dodgers 5/29/17.
  • 1 year (2016). Re-signed by San Diego as a free agent 12/14/15 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1.5M in majors. Contract selected by San Diego 8/13/16.
  • 1 year/$2.5M (2015). Signed by San Diego as a free agent 12/17/14. Performance bonuses: $1M each for 12, 16, 20, 24, 28 starts. $0.25M each for 40, 50, 60, 65 relief appearances. Roster bonus: $0.5M for 168 days on active 25-man roster.
  • 3 years/$21M (2012-14), plus 2015 club option. Signed extension with Toronto 1/24/12 (avoided arbitration, $4.2M-$3.9M). 12:$4M, 13:$8M, 14:$8M, 15:$10M club option, $1M buyout. Toronto declined 2015 option 11/1/14.
  • 1 year/$2.3M (2011). Re-signed by Toronto 1/18/11 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.4098M (2010). Signed by Toronto 3/10.
  • 1 year/$0.425M (2009). Re-signed 3/3/09. Optioned to Triple-A 7/10/09. Recalled 9/9/09. Acquired by Toronto in trade from Seattle 12/23/09.
  • 1 year (2008). Optioned to Double-A 3/29/08. Recalled 4/15/08. Optioned to Triple-A 8/5/08. Recalled 9/2/08.
  • 1 year/$0.38M (2007). Contract purchased by Seattle 4/07.
  • Drafted by Seattle 2006 (1-5) (Cal). $2.45M signing bonus.

2018 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3 2.4 30 54 0 75.7 61 26 70 8 .264 1.15 3.13 3.24 10.1 1.1
80o 3 2.5 30 54 0 69.1 60 25 64 7 .279 1.24 3.51 3.64 7.7 0.8
70o 2.9 2.5 30 54 0 64.5 59 25 60 7 .290 1.31 3.78 3.93 6.1 0.7
60o 2.9 2.6 30 54 0 60.6 58 24 56 7 .299 1.37 4.01 4.18 4.6 0.5
50o 2.8 2.6 30 54 0 57.1 57 24 53 7 .308 1.42 4.24 4.42 3.2 0.3
40o 2.8 2.7 30 54 0 53.7 56 23 50 7 .317 1.48 4.47 4.66 1.8 0.2
30o 2.8 2.7 30 54 0 50.1 55 23 46 7 .326 1.55 4.71 4.93 0.2 0.0
20o 2.7 2.8 30 54 0 45.9 53 22 42 7 .337 1.63 5.01 5.24 -1.6 -0.2
10o 2.6 2.8 30 54 0 40.4 50 21 37 6 .352 1.74 5.44 5.69 -4.2 -0.5
Weighted Mean2.82.63054056.55623527.3061.414.214.393.40.4

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2018 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201934212449052472047646.3091.304.344.788.23.58.21.00.2
202035212041043411740546.3171.344.344.788.53.58.31.00.2
202136211633035331433446.3161.334.304.738.43.68.41.00.2
202237111429031291229446.3181.324.344.788.43.58.41.20.1
202338111328029281227446.3171.364.364.808.63.78.31.20.1
202439111328029281227346.3161.364.364.808.63.78.30.90.1
202540111429030291228446.3161.354.394.838.63.68.31.20.1
202641111428030281227446.3151.354.404.858.53.68.21.20.1
202742101326028261125346.3161.344.434.888.53.68.11.00.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 91 Carlos Torres 2016 2.84
2 88 Tim Stauffer 2015 7.84
3 87 Jorge Sosa 2011 0.00 DNP
4 87 Travis Blackley 2016 0.00 DNP
5 86 Claudio Vargas 2011 0.00 DNP
6 86 Zach Duke 2016 2.36
7 86 Jesse Chavez 2017 5.41
8 85 Casey Fossum 2011 0.00 DNP
9 85 Gary Glover 2010 0.00 DNP
10 84 Chris Sampson 2011 0.00 DNP
11 83 Chad Durbin 2011 5.93
12 83 Jerome Williams 2015 6.17
13 83 Jeff Francis 2014 5.85
14 82 Kameron Loe 2015 0.00 DNP
15 82 Scott Downs 2009 3.47
16 82 Chris Jakubauskas 2012 0.00 DNP
17 82 Randy Flores 2009 5.25
18 81 Shawn Camp 2009 4.07
19 81 Dustin McGowan 2015 8.10
20 81 Chien-Ming Wang 2013 8.00
21 81 Brian Duensing 2016 4.05
22 81 Daisuke Matsuzaka 2014 4.10
23 80 Alfredo Simon 2014 3.67
24 80 Brett Myers 2014 0.00 DNP
25 80 Phil Coke 2016 4.50
26 80 Josh Towers 2010 0.00 DNP
27 80 Justin Duchscherer 2011 0.00 DNP
28 80 Sam LeCure 2017 0.00 DNP
29 80 Jake Westbrook 2011 5.06
30 80 Vicente Padilla 2011 4.15
31 79 Geremi Gonzalez 2008 0.00 DNP
32 79 Eric Stults 2013 4.24
33 79 D.J. Carrasco 2010 4.48
34 79 Jorge De La Rosa 2014 4.39
35 79 Luis Ayala 2011 2.73
36 79 Brad Thomas 2011 9.82
37 79 Wandy Rodriguez 2012 4.33
38 79 Dave Borkowski 2010 0.00 DNP
39 79 Dave Giusti 1973 2.92
40 79 Tomo Ohka 2009 5.96
41 79 Kip Wells 2010 0.00 DNP
42 78 Bryn Smith 1989 3.17
43 78 Chris Capuano 2012 4.13
44 78 Nate Robertson 2011 0.00 DNP
45 78 Kevin Millwood 2008 5.55
46 78 Kyle Snyder 2011 0.00 DNP
47 78 Blaine Boyer 2015 3.32
48 78 Rodrigo Lopez 2009 7.50
49 78 Ryota Igarashi 2012 18.00
50 78 Brandon Duckworth 2009 0.00 DNP
51 78 Phil Niekro 1972 3.54
52 78 Andy Pettitte 2005 2.67
53 78 James Shields 2015 4.14
54 78 Cesar Ramos 2017 0.00 DNP
55 78 Bob Friend 1964 3.59
56 78 Saul Rivera 2011 0.00 DNP
57 78 Mark Lowe 2016 7.48
58 78 Jeff Fassero 1996 3.69
59 77 Brian Lawrence 2009 0.00 DNP
60 77 Gavin Floyd 2016 4.06
61 77 Ricky Nolasco 2016 4.69
62 77 Roberto Hernandez 2014 4.59
63 77 Ron Reed 1976 2.74
64 77 Tom Gorzelanny 2016 21.00
65 77 Carl Pavano 2009 5.37
66 77 Rick Reuschel 1982 0.00 DNP
67 77 Jon Matlack 1983 5.28
68 77 Joel Pineiro 2012 0.00 DNP
69 77 Juan Gutierrez 2017 0.00 DNP
70 77 Javier Lopez 2011 2.89
71 77 Jesus Colome 2011 0.00 DNP
72 77 Jim Bunning 1965 2.85
73 77 Brian Tallet 2011 10.12
74 77 Aaron Harang 2011 3.85
75 77 Edward Mujica 2017 9.95
76 77 Dave Bush 2013 15.00
77 77 Kyle Lohse 2012 3.11
78 77 Kevin Correia 2014 6.08
79 77 Jack Taschner 2011 0.00 DNP
80 76 Micah Bowie 2008 9.00
81 76 Harry Dorish 1955 3.05
82 76 Frank Lary 1963 3.35
83 76 Kris Benson 2008 0.00 DNP
84 76 Ryan Mattheus 2017 0.00 DNP
85 76 Bartolo Colon 2006 6.23
86 76 Matt Garza 2017 5.65
87 76 Hisashi Iwakuma 2014 3.52
88 76 R.A. Dickey 2008 5.21
89 76 Adam Eaton 2011 0.00 DNP
90 76 Barry Zito 2011 5.87
91 76 John Burkett 1998 6.05
92 76 Jason Johnson 2007 0.00 DNP
93 76 Justin Miller 2011 0.00 DNP
94 76 Jason Vargas 2016 2.25
95 76 Jason Grilli 2010 0.00 DNP
96 76 Chris Bootcheck 2012 0.00 DNP
97 76 Sidney Ponson 2010 0.00 DNP
98 76 Chuck Finley 1996 4.69
99 76 Brad Penny 2011 5.80
100 76 Tim Redding 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .258 .329 .451 .273
11 vs R (Multi) .277 .313 .398 .248
18 Split (Multi) -.019 .016 .054 .024
19 LgAvg (Multi) .006 .020 .015 .013
30 vs L (2016) .318 .375 .591 .348
31 vs R (2016) .300 .310 .350 .234
38 Split (2016) .018 .065 .241 .115
39 LgAvg (2016) .003 .018 .013 .012

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2017 The rare post-post-post-hype pitcher, Brandon Morrow was once again limited due to injuries and once again largely ineffective when on the mound.
2016 For five starts, the Padres' signing of Morrow looked like the shrewdest of gambles. He spun seven shutout innings in his debut and pitched deep into games every time out, including what would be his final appearance of the season less than a month later. After landing on the disabled list in May with “shoulder inflammation,” he made two rehab starts in early June and one more in late July, before succumbing to surgery in late August. Morrow is expected to be ready for spring training, but given that he has pitched a total of 121 innings over the last three years, it's hard to say what kind of role he can fill as a member of any team's active roster, other than perhaps medical cadaver.
2015 For the third straight year, Morrow found himself on the 60-day disabled list. This time, a torn tendon sheath in his right index finger cost him four months of play. He was pitching erratically even before reporting to duty where baseball knows him best (the DL), failing to break six innings even once. In a late-April start against the Red Sox, he unforgettably walked eight of 14 batters ... while allowing no hits. He recovered by September to pitch late-inning relief, pumping high-90s velocity, but the Blue Jays decided enough was enough with the righty's injury-prone body and declined their $10 million option.
2014 It means "tomorrow," and apparently it will never come. The Jays now have picks no. 4 (Brad Lincoln) and no. 5 (Morrow) from the 2006 draft, and each has failed in different ways. Lincoln has simply been ineffective, but search "Brandon Morrow" online and the text helpfully auto-completes by offering "hockey" first and "injury" second. An entrapped radial nerve was the culprit this time, and it shut Morrow down at the end of May. Andrew Miller was the sixth pick in 2006, so expect to see him disappointing Jays fans soon.
2013 Perpetually everyones favorite breakout candidate, Morrow finally broke out last season. Then he just broke. Morrows strained oblique muscle was severe enough to cause him to miss 64 games. On a per-inning basis Morrow was more valuable than ever, but while his ERA looked good, his strikeouts didnt keep up. On the plus side, his walks declined for a third straight season, but his strikeouts, always his calling card and the reason hes perpetually everyones favorite breakout candidate, dropped off significantly from over 10 to under 8 per nine innings. Without the Ks, Morrow is just another guy, but if hes fully recovered from his oblique he stands a good chance to put in that excellent season everyone knows is in there somewhere.
2012 In 325.2 innings with the Jays, Morrow has an ERA of 4.62 but a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.8. The calls for a breakout season in 2011 were a dime a dozen last March, and perhaps they will be again this year. Morrow led the league in strikeouts per inninga mark aided in part by his healthy walk rateand nearly every sophisticated statistical estimator of pitching performance, including FRA and FIP, suggests he was above average. His splits with runners in scoring position are ugly (.705 OPS against all batters, .888 with RISP) and they get worse when you add two outs (.977). Neither of those facts was true of his 2010, when he suffered a brutal .344 BABIP, and that bad BABIP was seemingly cured in 2011 (.301). Put simply, in 2010 he had bad outcomes on balls in play; in 2011 he had unfortunate sequencing of his strikeouts, walks, and balls in play. If he can exorcise both demons in 2012, hell be every bit the fireballer he so frequently seems capable of becoming.
2011 Consider that Morrow has really only been a starting pitcher for five years, and even then in an on-again, off-again fashion. Now consider that if Morrow had pitched the additional innings he would have needed to qualify for the ERA title without recording even a single strikeout, he still would have led the majors in strikeouts per nine innings pitched. From June until he was shut down in early September, Morrow threw 89 1/3 innings with 112 strikeouts and just 32 walks. His masterpiece came on August 8 against the Rays, a 17-strikeout shutout that was one Evan Longoria single away from being a no-hitter. There is still uncertainty herethe repertoire beyond the electric fastball and hard slider needs further refinementbut there are few pitchers in the game with higher ceilings than Morrows.
2010 Morrow struggled in the closer role early in 2009, then struggled elsewhere in the bullpen, and then was sent to the minors where he worked on being a starter. He reemerged with some effectiveness in four starts in September, but he was not necessarily doing anything differently, and mostly benefited from logging innings in from of the M's strong defense. Although he threw more first-pitch strikes, he had trouble throwing strikes overall and hitters did not swing and miss as frequently as they did in 2008. The M's never really quite knew what they wanted to do with the fifth overall pick of the 2006 draft, and in December they gave up trying to find out, shipping him to Toronto. The Jays already appear interested in leaving Morrow alone in a rotation role, and while they'll have to cope with his lack of control, the upside for taking the time to see what comes of it should pay off.
2009 Morrow's return to the rotation was accompanied by much less fanfare than Yankees pitcher Joba Chamberlain's, in small part because it was accomplished behind the scenes. Last sighted throwing a single inning in relief on August 3, Morrow emerged from seclusion in his PCL chrysalis to no-hit the Yankees for 7 2/3 innings on September 6. His final four starts of the season included two clunkers, between which he allowed twice as many earned runs as he had all season out of the pen. Morrow spent most of the last two seasons utilizing only two pitches, and he'll need to refine his neglected changeup and improve his command to succeed as a starter. His developmental clock was frozen for nearly two years, so some struggles are inevitable, but the end result will be worth the belated growing pains.
2008 So Brandon Morrow got to spend his first full season as a pro in the major leagues, coming out of the bullpen for a contender. What could be better? Maybe if he had a more committed relationship with the strike zone prior to becoming a major leaguer, that would've been nice. Morrow was not one of those "so polished he doesn't need any instruction" college prospects. He returned to starting in winter ball and should probably be sent back to the minors, as a starter, to work on his control at the start of the season. We'll soon find out if the Mariners have the discipline to do that, or if they'll continue to sacrifice Morrow's development to fill a short-term hole in the bullpen.
2007 Morrow didn`t put it together at Cal until 2006, the first time in his college career he was able to hold down a spot in the rotation. That was good enough to raise him from a 2003 fortieth-rounder to the fifth overall pick in the 2006 draft. Morrow`s fastball is consistently in the high-90s, and his splitter and slider are plus pitches. It speaks volumes about the Mariners` luck with young pitchers that, when a local columnist wrote a satirical piece claiming Morrow hurt his arm answering the telephone on draft day, plenty of people thought it was for real.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-03-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Man you nailed this one last September 2014... Matt (Chicago): Is Brandon Morrow going to attract a lot of interest this offseason, assuming his option is declined? Sam Miller: No. He'll sign very quietly, probably with one of the bad NL West teams. Perhaps one of the projection systems will be unexpectedly bullish on him and there will be a few pieces written calling him a bargain. Maybe he'll be a bargain. But no, not much interest. So, r u still down on Morrow now that he's signed with the Padres? How do you think he will do with the Padres? While on the Padres: why is C. Quentin not listed on the Padres'depth chart in the BP fantasy section? He's still on the team. Where do you think he will wind up - 1st base, traded to another team? Thanks,
(Southcoast57 from Houston Texas)
At the risk of undoing a good prediction, I'll say Odrisamer Despaigne will start more games than Morrow for the Padres. Not sure why Quentin isn't listed, and I'd prefer he wind up at first. (Sam Miller)
2014-09-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Brandon Morrow going to attract a lot of interest this offseason, assuming his option is declined?
(Matt from Chicago)
No. He'll sign very quietly, probably with one of the bad NL West teams. Perhaps one of the projection systems will be unexpectedly bullish on him and there will be a few pieces written calling him a bargain. Maybe he'll be a bargain. But no, not much interest. (Sam Miller)
2014-09-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bold predictions for the free agent season?
(Dan from Bloomington)
Brandon Morrow will sign for six years and $175 million. (Sam Miller)
2014-04-09 19:00:00 (link to chat)does zach wheeler take a step forward this year? what is his ceiling/floor?
(Frankie from queens)
I hope so. I think he's going to be a fantasy SP1 within a few years. Floor? He's injured all the time and keeps tipping his pitches and ends up as Brandon Morrow. I don't think that will happen though. He good man. He good. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-02-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)Everyone's talking about all the possibilities for the 5th Blue Jays starter, but no one seems to be talking up me. Why not, I'm healthy again.
(Kyle Drabek from TheT.O.dog)
It's probably got something to do with your walk rates over your career. You've pitched in MLB for parts of four seasons and have had a BB% over 10 in three of them. That being said, I'm not a big Esmil Rogers fan and I don't trust Brandon Morrow at all. It's likely you and Sean Nolin will be in the mix. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-02-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are the chances that Brandon Morrow can regain form and be the fantasy anchor everyone's been waiting for?
(Sean from FrozenTundraOfNJ)
I don't like his chances. I've been waiting on the Morrow train to come in for years and I've been left wanting. Obvious stuff, bad results and injuries thus far. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)Will Toronto sign Ervin Santana?
(Alex from Anaheim)
They need to sign someone who can start. I'd rather have Ubaldo Jimenez myself, but Santana would be an upgrade for them as well. The Jays have a good roster (if healthy) and a shot at contention if they can find the starting pitching. Maybe Stroman steps up, but I wouldn't bet on it this season. Will Brandon Morrow be healthy? Yeah, they need to sign someone. (Matthew Kory)
2013-06-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)What are your expectations for Brandon Morrow for the rest of the season? Are his bad numbers injury related?
(John from Toronto)
It's hard to say for sure, but I'd guess that at least some of Morrow's struggles can be attributed to the forearm injury. A fluky 15.6% HR:FB rate might also be at play. I'd expect some improvement, assuming that his arm is back to full strength, but I wouldn't bank on a sub-4.00 FIP (which he has produced in each of the previous three seasons). (Daniel Rathman)
2013-05-29 18:30:00 (link to chat)Do I cut Morrow? He was my 10th round pick, but there seems little to salvage.
(Alex from Anaheim)
Hi Alex.

At lot depends on how deep your league is, although at this point unless you're in a very deep mixed or an AL-only that it is OK to do. Brandon Morrow's FB velocity was down in the low 90s or high 80s depending on which reports who believe and he left early with yet another injury. If we were talking about a pitcher without Morrow's checkered health record I'd say sit tight, but my hunch is that Morrow isn't going to get it done this year. In standard 12-team mixed, feel free to drop. (Mike Gianella)
2013-05-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is there hope for Brandon Morrow?
(Alex from Anaheim)
I used to think he was a good no. 3 with an outside chance of being a Cy Young winner. Now I think he's a good no. 3 with an outside chance of being out of the league in two and a half years. There's still a lot of hope in that profile, sure. (Sam Miller)
2013-05-30 13:30:00 (link to chat)Is Brandon Morrow worth holding onto in a dynasty league? We can keep virtually our whole roster, indefinitely. But is he wortth taking up a roster spot?
(cracker73 from Florida )
I'm certainly not a fantasy guru but I can take a stab. Morrow remains an enigma. The stuff is legit and the command is completely the opposite. I wonder if he will ever put it together for more than a few starts at a time, and that makes him a risky fantasy play in my mind. (Mark Anderson)
2013-05-22 18:00:00 (link to chat)Is Brandon Morrow a lost cause right now, or do you see him turning it around?
(Alex from Anaheim)
The back issues are red flags for a guy whose health is never a green light. He's not getting enough swings and misses for a guy with his stuff which worries me. (Jason Collette)
2012-05-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keeper League...looking to move LaHair for some SP. Who would be some of your favorite mid-level starters to target right now? Points league with emphasis on ERA/quality starts. Always looking for upside but need current yr production as well.
(David from San Diego)
Maybe try Brandon Morrow, Anibal Sanchez, Jordan Zimmermann, Jake Arrieta, and Chris Sale. (Derek Carty)
2012-02-02 15:00:00 (link to chat)Cory, the list of 12 is up (http://fantasy411.mlblogs.com/ for those not in the know... shame on you!)and perennial underperformer Brandon Morrow is up there. What's your opinion on guys that consistently underperform their xFIP? Is Ricky Nolasco an anonomly or is there some skill defecit we're missing?
(mattseward from Cardiff, UK)
This is a good area where "scouting" and observation can complement stats and analytics. My guess is that guys like this struggle with runners on base, so even though they have good pure stuff (as shown in the K/BB rates), they're more susceptible to big innings. This is certainly true of Nolasco... take out his four worst starts last year and he has what, a 3.25 ERA? On the other hand, you have guys like Matt Cain who consistently outperform their xFIP, xERA, whatever... so after 5-6 years of that we must conclude there is some skill at work there that guys like Nolasco and Morrow haven't developed yet. (Cory Schwartz)
2012-01-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Breakout fantasy player and breakout fantasy pitcher of the year? Who you got?
(yankeesbg13 from Indianapolis)
That's a tough question. I don't know how to narrow it down to the best of each at this point of the off-season, but here are two that I like:

Jason Heyward has what it takes to propel himself to that next level, to throw himself in with the Jay Bruces and Hunter Pences.

I see Brandon Morrow finally putting it all together this year and propelling himself into the next tier of pitchers with guys like Shields, Kennedy, and Latos. (Derek Carty)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)2011 was gonna be the year Brandow Morrow finally arrives.Will 2012 be the year now ?
(Spirou from Somewhere near the Big O)
One interesting thing about this chat is I have access to the super-secret PECOTA projections that I'm probably not allowed to share. But I might share some. In answer to your question, PECOTA says: No.

I don't think he'll strike out any more batters than he did in 2011. I don't think he'll walk any fewer batters than he did in 2011. I do think he'll allow fewer runs than he did in 2011, and then he'll probably get hurt. Brandon Morrow is the new frustration. (Sam Miller)
2011-09-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Not a prospect question but Brandon Morrow is infuriating. One start he's dominant. The next he is pummeled. Do you think he eventually gains consistency or is this the best we get?
(Jay from Madison)
I could see him gaining MORE consistency, but I bet he always drives you just a little bit crazy. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Should I keep the faith with Brandon Morrow? Sure the K's are nice, but that 5.11 ERA -- not so much.
(Ken from Washington, DC)
Definitely. He's always had great stuff and this year the control has been there more than in years past. His 5.11 looks incredibly unlucky when you compare it to his 2.95 SIERA. Hang tight, things will get better. (Derek Carty)
2011-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey John, in my 6x6 roto league, my starting pitchers are Haren, Hanson, Hudson, Colby Lewis, Scott Baker, Morrow, Matusz, Ogando, and Drabek. I could use an additional bat and was offered Eric Hosmer for Brandon Morrow, you think I should take it?
(SnakeDoctor18 from NY)
Indeed, I'd make that trade. I like Morrow but Hosmer is in a class above him. Go make that trade right now before the other guy read this. (John Perrotto)
2011-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey John, you think guys like Brandon Morrow, Kyle Drabek, and Alexi Ogando should be held onto or sold for 2011?
(SnakeDoctor18 from NY)
Of the three, I'd be most apt to hold onto Drabek but I'd be willing to give up any of the three if I felt I was getting a really good deal. (John Perrotto)
2010-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)How bullish are you on Brandon Morrow?
(Martin K from Brooklyn)
So bullish. In fact, I have a raging clue. That's how bullish. (Eric Seidman)
2010-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Brandon Morrow can pull a Jonathan Sanchez on us in 2011 ?
(Spirou from Montreal)
I think Brandon Morrow is a better pitcher than Jonathan Sanchez. I think Brandon Morrow will have a better 2011 than Jonathan Sanchez. I like Sanchez. Ipso facto, I really like Morrow. (Eric Seidman)
2010-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Brandon Morrow's 2011 ERA?
(Hi/Lo from Waterloo)
3.65 (Marc Normandin)
2010-08-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Brandon Morrow pitched the game of life yesterday. Longoria said he'd never seen a pitcher dominate hitters the way he did. Think Morrow's finally beginning to reach his potential?
(john from ct)
It was one start against a team that gets no-hit or nearly no-hit every few weeks, so let's not get crazy. Morrow has looked this good before, and then he goes out, locates nothing and lasts 2 2/3. There's always been tremendous natural talent, and it's fair to say the Mariners did everything wrong with him short of booking him on "Big Brother", so it's possible this is a breakthrough. I want to see more.

Note: I may just be trying to keep myself from getting too hyped. Morrow is someone I've been waiting on forever. (Joe Sheehan)
2010-02-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)Did Jack Z. get a diamond-in-the-rough when he landed Johermyn Chavez in the Brandon Morrow trade?
(MarinerDan from SF)
Potentially. He got a guy who COULD take a step forward, and sometimes, that's all you can get and there's nothing wrong with it. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-01-19 15:30:00 (link to chat)Brandon Morrow or Trevor Cahill? Long term who do you like?
(Hawkeye from ND)
That's a really tough question, because you have Cahill's low K-rate versus Morrow's high walk rate. I'd like to think that with the latter, the Jays might leave him alone long enough for him to get the problem nailed down to a point that it's livable. Cahill really needs to imrpove his command past where it was last year to be a long-term success. (Steven Goldman)
2009-12-29 15:00:00 (link to chat)Brandon Morrow an SP in Toronto? What kind of season do you expect?
(Hawkeye from Grafton, ND)
The Jays seem to be able to make almost anyone a league-average starter. Imagine what they can do with talent like this. Morrow is better than anyone they got for Halladay, just a great trade for the Jays. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-10-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat Joe I like the Seattle management team. What should they do in the off-season and is Brandon Morrow a possible 2 in the rotation?
(Hawkeye from Grafton, ND)
They have to keep the focus on the long term, because despite the success this season, I don't think the talent base is there for a big 2010 season. The emphasis on defense is something to retain, and whether that means bringing back Chavez or finding someone like him, a plan that continues to try and max out the run prevention in order to help pitchers along seems like it can win up there. Oh, and for the love of god, don't re-sign Griffey.

I like Morrow a lot; he's been jerked around even more than Chamberlain has, but maybe that ends up saving wear on his arm. He'll be the #1 if they trade Hernandez. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-11-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Brandon Morrow projection, 2009?
(bloodwedding from BK)
I might be kind of screwed here, because I have a big (and to use another fave scouting term) bias-on-view issue with him. The last game I wanted him pitch was a start against the Yankees in September and he was just absolutely dominant. If he pitches like that, he's massive. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-05-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you envision for Brandon Morrow if he enters the rotation? PECOTA's got nuthin on him as a starter
(3rd time's from a Charm?)
As a general rule of thumb, you can take a guy's projection as a reliever and add 25% to his ERA to account for his transition to the starting rotation. That would put Morrow at a 4.70 ERA, which feels about right to me. I'd also note that guys like Morrow that have command problems seem to have a particularly strong penalty if they move from the bullpen to the rotation. (Nate Silver)
2008-03-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)In a keeper league that counts holds, who do you like better? Morrow or Meloan?
(Dan from Denver)
Brandon Morrow, who should improve his command after being rushed last year. And that park is the Petco of the AL. Take the experience and the marginally better-run team. (Joe Sheehan)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-06-09 14:30:002009 Draft CoverageWill (Boston): How does Drew Storen compare to Brandon Morrow?

On a pure stuff level, Storen is nowhere close to Morrow, not even in the ballpark. (Kevin Goldstein)
 

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