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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
| PA | AVG | HR | R | RBI | SB | DRC+ | WARP |
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- 2016
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- 6.22018
- 4.12019
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WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | DRC+ | DRAA | BRR | FRAA | BWARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | OAK | 24 | 84 | 326 | 68 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 92 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .234 | .313 | .472 | 97 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 12.6 | 2.2 |
| 2018 | OAK | 25 | 145 | 616 | 152 | 42 | 6 | 24 | 58 | 146 | 9 | 1 | 2 | .278 | .356 | .508 | 125 | 20.4 | 3.8 | 15.6 | 6.2 |
| 2019 | OAK | 26 | 156 | 670 | 145 | 36 | 3 | 36 | 73 | 147 | 11 | 1 | 1 | .249 | .342 | .506 | 120 | 20.8 | -3.2 | 12.9 | 5.2 |
| Career | 385 | 1612 | 365 | 101 | 11 | 74 | 163 | 385 | 22 | 2 | 6 | .257 | .341 | .500 | 117 | 41.0 | -0.3 | 41.1 | 13.6 | ||
Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | PA | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | DRC+ | DRC+ SD | FRAA | BRR | DRAA | BWARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | BLT | A | MID | 50 | 202 | .259 | .321 | .377 | .288 | 97 | -4.2 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 54 | 0 | 2.4 | 0.4 | -6.4 | -0.1 |
| 2014 | MID | AA | TEX | 1 | 3 | .259 | .335 | .398 | .000 | 100 | -0.8 | 0.1 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2014 | ATH | Rk | AZL | 3 | 15 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .462 | 0.0 | 195 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | |||
| 2015 | STO | A+ | CAL | 80 | 352 | .262 | .322 | .401 | .257 | 98 | 23.9 | 9.5 | 1 | 130 | 0 | 10.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| 2016 | MID | AA | TEX | 117 | 504 | .254 | .317 | .382 | .293 | 101 | 19.7 | 13.6 | 1.5 | 128 | 0 | 18.1 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| 2016 | NAS | AAA | PCL | 18 | 85 | .271 | .336 | .426 | .186 | 84 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 108 | 0 | 2.1 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 0.5 |
| 2017 | OAK | MLB | AL | 84 | 326 | .255 | .321 | .427 | .290 | 104 | 5.1 | 9.5 | 1.3 | 97 | 9 | 12.6 | -1.0 | -0.3 | 2.2 |
| 2017 | STO | A+ | CAL | 2 | 8 | .251 | .325 | .413 | .000 | 101 | -1.5 | 0.2 | -0.1 | 30 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 0.0 |
| 2017 | NAS | AAA | PCL | 49 | 204 | .277 | .344 | .446 | .293 | 92 | 14 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 130 | 0 | 7.2 | -0.1 | 8.4 | 2.2 |
| 2018 | OAK | MLB | AL | 145 | 616 | .251 | .316 | .416 | .338 | 98 | 24.4 | 17.3 | 2.4 | 125 | 9 | 15.6 | 3.8 | 20.4 | 6.2 |
| 2018 | STO | A+ | CAL | 1 | 4 | .258 | .335 | .457 | .333 | 95 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 82 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2019 | OAK | MLB | AL | 156 | 670 | .253 | .321 | .444 | .270 | 98 | 24.9 | 20.2 | 2.8 | 120 | 8 | 12.9 | -3.2 | 20.8 | 5.2 |
Statistics For All Levels
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.| Year | Team | lvl | LG | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | SF | SH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | ATH | Rk | AZL | 15 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .429 | .467 | .643 | .214 | 0 | |
| 2014 | MID | AA | TEX | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | |
| 2014 | BLT | A | MID | 202 | 190 | 22 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 20 | 7 | 46 | 2 | 1 | .237 | .282 | .389 | .153 | 0 | |
| 2015 | STO | A+ | CAL | 352 | 304 | 60 | 76 | 21 | 3 | 23 | 172 | 57 | 39 | 79 | 4 | 1 | .250 | .341 | .566 | .316 | 4 | 0 |
| 2016 | MID | AA | TEX | 504 | 438 | 78 | 107 | 26 | 4 | 29 | 228 | 83 | 59 | 147 | 7 | 4 | .244 | .335 | .521 | .276 | 4 | 0 |
| 2016 | NAS | AAA | PCL | 85 | 76 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 0 | .197 | .282 | .513 | .316 | 0 | 0 |
| 2017 | NAS | AAA | PCL | 204 | 175 | 30 | 45 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 103 | 30 | 25 | 63 | 5 | 4 | .257 | .348 | .589 | .331 | 3 | 0 |
| 2017 | OAK | MLB | AL | 326 | 290 | 39 | 68 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 137 | 40 | 32 | 92 | 0 | 3 | .234 | .313 | .472 | .238 | 2 | 0 |
| 2017 | STO | A+ | CAL | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .125 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018 | OAK | MLB | AL | 616 | 547 | 100 | 152 | 42 | 6 | 24 | 278 | 68 | 58 | 146 | 1 | 2 | .278 | .356 | .508 | .230 | 2 | 0 |
| 2018 | STO | A+ | CAL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .250 | .250 | .000 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | OAK | MLB | AL | 670 | 583 | 102 | 145 | 36 | 3 | 36 | 295 | 91 | 73 | 147 | 1 | 1 | .249 | .342 | .506 | .257 | 3 | 0 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% | CSAA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1344 | 0.4955 | 0.4271 | 0.6969 | 0.5721 | 0.2847 | 0.7717 | 0.5492 | 0.3031 | 0.0000 |
| 2018 | 2535 | 0.4978 | 0.4118 | 0.7634 | 0.5887 | 0.2364 | 0.8439 | 0.5648 | 0.2366 | 0.0000 |
| 2019 | 2750 | 0.4782 | 0.4211 | 0.7591 | 0.6038 | 0.2537 | 0.8048 | 0.6593 | 0.2409 | 0.0000 |
| Career | 6629 | 0.4892 | 0.4188 | 0.7481 | 0.5916 | 0.2534 | 0.8130 | 0.6008 | 0.2519 | 0.0000 |
Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-07-17 | 2014-07-25 | Minors | 8 | 0 | - | Not Disclosed | - |
Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | DRC+ | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90o | 42 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | .243 | .333 | .459 | 117 | 2.2 | 3B 1 | 0.0 | ||
| 80o | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .286 | .360 | 111 | 1.2 | 3B 1 | 0.0 | ||
| 70o | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .235 | .316 | .471 | 108 | 0.7 | 3B 1 | 0.0 | ||
| 60o | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .111 | .200 | .111 | 104 | 0.3 | 3B 0 | 0.0 | ||
| 50o | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 101 | 0.1 | 3B 0 | 0.0 | ||
| Weighted Mean | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 101 | 0.1 | 3B 0 | 0.0 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Matt ChapmanBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-14 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Who do you like better Matt Chapman or Alec Bohm? What about Conforto or Carlson? OBP League (darielsantana from Santo domingo) | Matt Chapman by a good bit over Alec Bohm. More playable power and a lock at 3B long-term. He also receives a small boost in OBP formats.
Michael Conforto over Dylan Carlson ever so slightly in OBP (though I do prefer Carlson in AVG). Conforto plays two tiers up in OBP due to his 13% walk rates and .360 OBP. (Jesse Roche) |
| 2019-07-09 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Hi Jeff, it's me, Elton again. I was wondering if you could weigh in on my latest dynasty league tank/rebuild trade. Earlier this week, I sent a $9 Matt Chapman (we have $500 budgets and Chapman graduated from prospect status, so he's cost controlled and won't get a big raise for several more years) for Jared Kelenic. I figure Kelenic will be just as good as Chapman is now, but in two or three years, at which point he'll be like $20 cheaper. Did I do well here? Is my logic bulletproof? (Elton from Pacific Northwest) | That's probably fine for a rebuild move. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-05-03 13:00:00 (link to chat) | 10tm H2H dynasty guy offered me Matt Chapman for Buehler. I think it’s too much. I have Glasnow, Weaver and Musgrove. Would you move one of them for Chap? (Timmy from Flooded in IA) | I'd rather have Buehler. Weaver and Musgrove would be easy moves to get Chapman for me, and I'd put them together to do it. I'd be shocked if someone is willing to take either one for Chapman if they're targeting Buehler. I'd probably do Glasnow too, if I were you. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2018-12-06 20:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you think the offensive ceiling is for Amed Rosario? (Mr. Fister from Arlington) | To rank him ahead of Diaz on the Mets 25U, I made the inference that he still has a plausible chance to be a role 7 regular, which would probably look something like 2018 Matt Chapman if he got there. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2018-04-05 20:00:00 (link to chat) | If you were the A's what positions do you put Franklin Barreto, Jorge Mateo, and Sheldon Neuse? Third base is blocked with Matt Chapman. Are any of them better shortstops, defensively, than Marcus Semien? And the A's seem intent on using Dustin Fowler in centerfield once healthy. (Ken from Fairfax) | Barreto second base, Mateo center field and Neuse first base. They're going to need to make some trades or see some injuries but these things have a way of working themselves out. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2018-05-11 13:00:00 (link to chat) | With Jorge Mateo, Franklin Barreto, and Sheldon Neuse all knocking at the door of the majors, what should the A's do with them? Matt Chapman is ensconced at 3B. The A's aren't giving Barreto or Mateo reps in center despite the fact Dustin Fowler is at best a tick below average defensively there. And it isn't clear Mateo or Barreto would be better than Marcus Semien at shortstop. They can't all play second base... (John from Harrisonburg) | So this is a good problem for a team to have. Talent logjams have a way of clearing up. Remember when the Cubs had Too Many Shortstops? The thing about some of these guys is that some of them simply wind up being not that great, and you can trade people for stuff too. I mean, is Neuse really threatening to unseat anyone right now? Barreto will work his way into the lineup somehow. Part of the reason some of these guys are still in Triple-A is that Jed Lowrie has been playing his ass off, but he's a free agent after this year. Patience, grasshopper. (Nicolas Stellini) |
| 2018-01-23 23:00:00 (link to chat) | Who are your favorite breakout prospect candidates this year? (Chris from Dallas) | He already sort of started to, but in terms of ceiling dudes Heliot Ramos is going to fly up ranks this year. Brent Rooker from last summer's draft, too.
Far as some lower ceiling dudes I like on this planet, he's basically fully cooked and should compete for a gig as soon as spring training, and I think Brian Anderson's going to gain some fans this year - unheralded rise through the ranks, but kid can hit and as some pop. Sort of like folks started getting wise to Matt Chapman during the years last year, think Anderson's got a shot to be that guy in 2018. Jeimer Candelario will be in the thick of that race, too. Ronald Guzman's a guy I didn't get a very good eval on back in the day, but I've come around on him as a nice little undervalued asset that can make his managers some money as soon as this year. (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2017-09-29 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Plus-plus glove 3B always interest me, as Matt Chapman did. Any of those besides Hayes to keep an eye on? (Connor from MA) | Is Hayes a 7? We like the glove a lot, but our reports have generally been more in the plus range. Which is the problem here, there just aren't that many 7 gloves in the minors. And some of your future plus third base gloves are playing SS today.
Knocked out Popular Problems and Songs From a Room. Moving on to my favorite Cohen album, Songs of Love and Hate (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-07-31 23:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you do with someone like Matt Chapman? Off the charts defensive value and above average power, but he makes contact so infrequently. (Todd from Palo Alto) | Matt Chapman is a guy who I feel like I've nailed about as well as you can nail a prospect, bracketing that I didn't give quite enough credit to his defensive improvement over time and undersold the glove. A 35% whiff rate isn't *that* absurd for his first hundred PAs in the bigs, honestly. You'd have given me that as your line in March, I'd have taken it. I think over time he can and will grow into a low average guy who still produced offensive value with a .310, .320 OBP and a bunch of dingers, and does it while playing outstanding defense. I feel wholly comfortable projecting 3-4 WARP seasons out of him at his peak.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=276 (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2017-07-18 14:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you think of the return the A's got for Ryan Madson and Sean Doolittle? Jesus Luzardo seems like a great addition, though, the history of TJ surgery is always troubling (and he's so young). While I'm not sure where Sheldon Neuse fits with Matt Chapman just breaking into the big leagues. (Mark from Palo Alto) | luzardo is a pretty good selection, arm is as you said troubling. We will see how it holds up.
I don't know what Neuse really is, but if he is an average 3B defensively with pop and luzardo is healthy, it is a good haul for two relievers. (Javier Barragan) |
| 2017-05-22 23:00:00 (link to chat) | Is a ceiling for the A's Matt Chapman anything close to a Graig Nettles-ish career? (Paul from DC) | Glad he's back healthy and starting to hit like himself, sure that was a really frustrating start to his season. I have been and remain a fan, his glove's outstanding, he gets to his power, and should get on base at an okay clip despite a light hit tool projection. I like that Nettles comp a lot, actually. Not one I'd considered, but profile works on paper. (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat) | What does Oakland do with Chapman? Is Chapman good enough to push Healy off of Third? (Paul from DC) | I can honestly say I did not expect Matt Chapman to get pushed as high as he did, but our staff really went to bat for him. I could see the A's moving Healy across the diamond.
A check of roster resource reminds me the A's signed Trevor Plouffe, which I don't remember at all, but makes perfect sense as an Athletics signings. I think they could rotate those guys through 1B/3B/DH to get them all at-bats, which I guess is something you do as the 2017 A's. I don't think Yonder Alonso will be blocking Chapman from that rotation. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-08-11 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Could you please rank these prospects by offensive potential only, disregarding defense: Matt Chapman, Dylan Cozens, Rhys Hoskins, Christin Stewart, Bobby Bradley, and Dan Vogelbach? (cracker73 from Florida ) | Off the top of my head: Vogelbach, Bradley, Cozens, Stewart, Hoskins, Chapman. (J.P. Breen) |
| 2016-08-15 22:00:00 (link to chat) | What are realistic expectations for Matt Chapman? He's shown major power and a good glove, but he's also 23 in AA and has serious contact issues. (Tom from San Jose) | Chapman's one of those guys for me where it's easy to get hung up on what he *can't* do, when there's a lot to like with him. The glove is very good, the arm is top-shelf, the raw pushes 70, and he'll get to a good bit of it in games in spite of his swing-and-miss and weak fly ball contact issues that may see him ht .250 if the BABIP gods smile on him. I wrote him up last year and haven't heard much that'd make me amend much of the report over the past year:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=276 (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2016-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you think of Ryon Healy, Matt Olson, and Matt Chapman? Do you see them developing into legitimate starters at the major league level? (John from San Francisco) | I think there's going to be a regular from that group, if not more than one. Oakland seems to really find ways to best utilize these types of players. I don't have tons of track record with Healy--he went to Oregon, and I don't see a lot of the west coast prospects much anyway. Olson I think might be one of these guys that only hits for productive game power with the A's because of how platoon-flexible their roster is intended to be...meaning they play a style that will afford a guy like Olson to be put in the right situations for his large raw power to play out.
Chapman I think fits the most traditional mold of a regular all things considered. I really like Oakland's system, I've really liked their drafts the last two years as well. It's a sneaky good system that doesn't get enough attention, and I think will probably start getting attention in that 'why didn't we all see this sooner?' sort of way that Cleveland's depth has been appreciated by evaluators in 2016. (Adam McInturff) |
| 2016-07-05 19:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you make of Matt Chapman's numbers at the plate? His power seems real, but the strikeouts. (Matt from Nashville) | The strikeouts are concerning. Very concerning. I hadn't realized how many there were this year (107 in 79 games), and while he isn't yet old for double-A, he's older than you'd like to see having to make that kind of adjustment. If he can cut them down, the power will definitely play. (Kate Morrison) |
| 2016-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What's holding Matt Chapman back from becoming a very good offensive player? He clearly has a ton of pop--what is it about his swing that makes the hit tool lag behind? What kind of utility do you think his swing could have at the major league level? (Jared from Beneath Subway Parking Lot Bunker) | Nothing is holding Matt Chapman back. Matt CHapman is a bad MFer. He's just not going to have a huge hit tool. Does other things well enough to be plenty valuable. (Matthew Trueblood) |
| 2015-09-15 13:00:00 (link to chat) | So this year has been pretty terrible for A's fans. Billy Beane dealt the first legit offensive star in Josh Donaldson this team has had since Miguel Tejada, and he got pennies on the dollar (fingers crossed on Franklin Barreto!). Then we saw Jesse Hahn go down with a serious injury and I think he may be sidelined permanently. So give me some good news about the farm. Sean Manaea and Dillon Overton -- thoughts? How about Renato Nunez and Matt Olson? Is Matt Chapman anything other than a Stockton mirage? (Ted from San Jose) | Still shaking my head at the Donaldson trade. I liked pretty much all the pieces the A's got back... but they aren't guys you trade a star 3B for. Really like Manaea. He's a dude. Going to be perfect middle rotation/3 SP in Oakland. Not sure the fastball command will be there for anything more than that though. Great park for his skill set, too. And man... personality is a perfect fit for the A's. Great get. Overton wasn't throwing very hard last I heard. Have to see where the health is there, but he's got some potential. My reports on the other guys are pretty dated. I wasn't a big fan of Olson. (Al Skorupa) |
| 2015-07-28 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Is there any reason I should believe Matt Chapman isn't another Stockton mirage? He's hitting .269/.356/.669, but only .254/.353/.492 on the road. And this is to say nothing of his inability to hit left-handers (.226/.319/.581). (Bruce from Santa Monica) | His calling card coming out of college was his defense and there was some talk that he'd be converted to the mound so no, I wouldn't buy in to the offense. (Mauricio Rubio) |
| 2015-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you make of Matt Chapman's performance in Stockton this year? He's hitting .257/.348/.545 with 32 XBHs. It feels like the pro-hitters' environment is hiding some otherwise pedestrian numbers. Plus, he's a year older than Matt Olson, who posted better numbers in Stockton last year, and is now struggling mightily in Midland. (James from San Francisco) | Chapman frustrated the you-know-what out of me in his time at Cal-State Fullerton, but the talent was always there, and I think the overall numbers are fine -- even if they are in a pitching cesspool that is the Cal League. Also, I wouldn't say Olson is "struggling mightily," the walk rates are great and he's picked up 28 extra-base hits. Obviously not as good as what he was doing last year, but, that's okay. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-06-18 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Who in your opinion has the highest offensive ceiling of these three 3B prospects: Matt Chapman, Jomar Reyes, or Jhoan Urena? Can they stick at 3B at major league level? (fightingmoose from Manitoba, Canada) | For the sake of you getting an accurate response, I would suggest asking one of the prospect team members-Crawford, for instance. (R.J. Anderson) |
| 2015-06-15 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Hey Brendan. Do you have any Low Minor, high ceiling prospects your a fan of and are looking to jump on before their stock gains recognition this season? (kiper90 from Rochester, NY) | I like it when prospects start putting it together after going through some early struggles. So, seeing guys like Matt Chapman and Carlos Tocci start to hit is exciting.
I got this question before the season, and answered with Keury Mella and Monte Harrison. Mella has been great; Harrison has... well, Mella's been great. Still have my eye on both. (Brendan Gawlowski) |
| 2015-01-15 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Who has most most power potential of the first round third basemen - Matt Chapman or Michael Chavis? (Robbber from Norcal) | I have more faith in Chavis getting to his raw power in game situations, and as a result I would give him the edge here. (Mark Anderson) |
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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile
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