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2019 Preseason Forecast
Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET
|2017-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Seriously. The Met staff isn't THIS bad right? Their team ERA will fall somewhere between 15-20 by season's end and they'll be in some sort of "race" come September right?... RIGHT?|
(Paul from Jersey)
|Well, deGrom has had a weird season, but the underlying stuff looks fine, just weird control blips and some extra homers. I think he will settle in as standard good deGrom. Wheeler looks like Wheeler and I imagine will continue to look like this until/if he starts to gas. Tommy Milone has looked exactly like Tommy Milone? You'd hope Matz or Lugo help right the ship. I think Gsellman could use a three week DL sting, and Harvey might just be toast. The bullpen always might have gone pear-shaped too. I don't think they are this bad, but they've built quite the hole for themselves and sometimes you have a lost year. (Jeffrey Paternostro)|
|2016-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)||What would you do if you next if you were running the Mets? (Assume a Mets-reasonable payroll applies.)|
(Bryan G. from Michigan)
|Bruce has to go in the next week or so. If there is any truth to the Pompey thing, I'd make that move as it gives the Mets a skill set they don't really have anywhere in the system (Champ Stuart doesn't count) and there's still some upside left in the profile.
I'd like to get a Bartolo type, but they don't really have a guaranteed rotation spot for him (even if Wheeler moves to the pen in the near-term as rumored), but I suspect by June they will be lamenting not having a steady 180-inning arm on the roster. So I guess I'd grab like Tommy Milone as a priority NRI. Then take flyers on Daniel Hudson and Neftali Feliz.
And because it is me, and I am a self-indulgent man, sign Yusmeiro Petit. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
|2016-04-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Twins starting 5 should be (with everyone healthy?)|
(Jason from MPLS)
|You are asking this of Tommy Milone's #1 fan. Do you really want the answer?
Nolasco, Hughes, Santana, Gibson seem obvious (though who knows when Gibson is "healthy," shoulders scare the piss out of me). I can't make a compelling argument for anyone else over Berrios. Always have had a soft spot for Meyer, but just make him a late-inning guy already. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
|2016-03-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Your thoughts on the Twins Tommy Milone please. Is he an overachiever or he still learning his craft?|
(JM from CT)
|both? (Harry Pavlidis)|
|2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)||The Nationals have traded a number of pitching prospects the last several years, and some have been regifted (I mean traded again since). I assume Alex Meyer would be number 1, but how would you rank the others of Robbie Ray, Nathan Karns, Brad Peacock, Ian Krol and Tommy Milone? It seems for the most part that the Nats haven't suffered too badly yet.|
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
|They've certainly chosen the right guys to give away, huh? Meyer is clearly in a tier above anyone else right now. Would probably go Ray, Karns, Peacock, Milone, Krol, but it's not pretty. (Jordan Gorosh)|
|2014-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Has Trevor May progressed to the point where he could be a solution for the Twins rotation?|
(Tom from Chicago)
|Yeah, he's probably ready. They have to make room though, and the acquisition of Tommy Milone won't help that. Neither will the money they've committed to pitchers recently. (Jeff Moore)|
|2013-05-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Tommy Milone wasn't supposed to be able to do this, was he? |
(Jensen from Los Gatos)
|You know, Milone is interesting. I (sorry for this) have him on a fantasy team this year, and I'm terrified every time he pitches that he's going to get lit up, but basically he holds it together and does really well. The reason I'm terrified is because I remember this comment from Kevin Goldstein in a chat:
Do you think Tom Milone can spin his high K/9 and low BB/9 into major league success? Or is the high-80s just too slow for a major league starter?
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
Maybe as a No. 5. MAYBE. (Kevin Goldstein)
Now, that was after the 2011 season, when Milone had struck out 155 and walked 16 (!!!!) in Triple-A. And yet the scouts hated him, and I have a hard time getting all the way past that. It occurs to me that people always insult statheads by saying they take the nuance out of the game and, with it, the fun. But I don't think that's right at all. I think anytime somebody has insight into a player (as scouts did, as Kevin did), and shares that insight, it has the unfortunate effect of freezing our impression of a player in that moment. And yet we all know that baseball is out-of-its-mind unpredictable. It's the price we pay for insight! We just have to live with it.
I'm basically a Milone believer, though, to answer your question. (Sam Miller)
|2013-02-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)||In my AL-only Dynasty Lg, I acquired Mike Moustakas, Addison Reed, Byron Buxton and the 6th overall pick for Justin Verlander & my 10th, 11th and 12th round picks. Was this a good pick-up, considering that I have Matt Moore, Yu Darvish, Derek Holland and Tommy Milone as my top starters|
(jlarsen from Chicago)
|Hard to say considering I don't know what those picks would typically fetch in your league. That seems like a lot to give up since it's an AL-only. Your staff looks deep, but this isn't a mixed. I do like Buxton a lot, but I don't like the idea of giving up Verlander without getting a top hitter back. I have been burned in the past dealing an ace pitcher for a package of players rather than one big hitter in return. (Mike Gianella)|
|2012-10-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Does WARP pay any attention to left/right splits with respect to value. Jose Altuve has a 3.3 Warp despite being ordinary against righties, whom he sees the majority of times.
Likewise,righty Colby Lewis is ordinary against lefties, but has the same WARP as Tommy Milone who pitched about twice as many starts and whose split is fairly ordinary for a lefty.
Given platooning, isn't Milone a better pitcher than Lewis? And even with positional adjustments, shouldn't we prefer Pablo Sandoval with fewer ABs and a more even split vs Altuve even though according to WARP they are of similar value?|
(pathard from London)
|There's no platoon adjustment in WARP. The lack of use a platoon player gets in terms of the WARP they accumulate is very real, though, and playing time is one of the big reasons we use replacement-level baselines. Now, there is an argument to be made that there's an additional roster spot opportunity cost WARP isn't factoring in, but I don't know how to quantify that. (Colin Wyers)|
|2012-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Is Danny Rosenbaum just Tom Milone revisited?|
(Brian from Alexandria)
|Will even less stuff. (Kevin Goldstein)|
|2012-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Thanks for the chat as I'm ready to get amped up for the 2012 season. Rotation Q's for a deeper league: Do Tyson Ross and Kris Medlen have chances of carving out rolls with those rotations currently influx? |
(Bringon2012 from Kansas)
|Absolutely not to Medlen. He's good, but he'll need to prove he's recovered from TJ, and the Braves just have soooooo many options merely vying for the fifth spot (Minor, Teheran, Delgado, Vizcaino, etc.), most of which are now younger and more talented than Medlen. Medlen's probably 10th on their SP depth chart. Not a bad problem to have for a team, but for a Medlen owner it is. Ross has a slightly higher a chance, but the A's also brought in quite the haul of starter candidates this winter between Jarrod Parker, Brad Peacock, and Tom Milone, plus mainstays (while healthy) of Brett Anderson, Dallas Braden, Brandon McCarthy, and (to a lesser extent) Guillermo Moscoso. Then you have the usual Ross-esque fill-ins like Graham Godfrey and Josh Outman, so it'll be tough. (Derek Carty)|
|2011-08-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Whats up with Tom Milone? Strikes out more than a batter an inning, walks nobody, has a good ERA, is only 24 and tops out in the low 80s. Ok, that's what's up with him, but do you think he's gonna be a good pitcher in the majors? Can someone throwing that speed be effective?|
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
|You have to have elite command to survive the majors with that velocity. Some can use pure pitchability and advanced secondary offerings to augment the low 80s fastball, but again, the command has to be sharp because the margin of error is super thin. (Jason Parks)|
|2011-08-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)||I realized I wrote Tom Milone tops out in the low-80s, but I think it's high-80s... Anyway, do you think he'll be able to succeed in the majors?|
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
|Nope. He could find success as a Sam Malone, but not as Tom Milone. (Jason Parks)|
|2011-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Do you think Tom Milone can spin his high K/9 and low BB/9 into major league success? Or is the high-80s just too slow for a major league starter?|
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
|Maybe as a No. 5. MAYBE. (Kevin Goldstein)|
|2011-04-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Tom Milone a young Jamie Moyer? Is that something you'd project for any pitcher?|
(Jim from Washington)
|No no no and a thousand times no. KG edict #32192 Do not, EVER EVER EVER comp a player to Jamie Moyer. There are 20,000 lefties with Jamie Moyer's stuff on a pure scouting level, and one Jamie Moyer. Don't do it. No Maddux comps, and no Bo Jackson comps either. (Kevin Goldstein)|
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