Biographical

Portrait of Scott Kazmir

Scott Kazmir PDodgers

Dodgers Player Cards | Dodgers Team Audit | Dodgers Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 35)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
35.0 5.40 1.41 27 2 2 0 -0.3
Birth Date1-24-1984
Height6' 0"
Weight185 lbs
Age35 years, 3 months, 29 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2.62015
2.62016
2017
2018
-0.32019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2004 TBA MLB 8 7 33.3 2 3 0 33 21 41 4 104 8.9 5.7 1.1 11.1 41% .345 1.62 4.32 5.67 93 3.84 79.1 0.7
2005 TBA MLB 32 32 186.0 10 9 0 172 100 174 12 103 8.3 4.8 0.6 8.4 42% .307 1.46 3.78 3.77 99 4.31 92.8 2.5
2006 TBA MLB 24 24 144.7 10 8 0 132 52 163 15 105 8.2 3.2 0.9 10.1 43% .310 1.27 3.40 3.24 80 2.98 60.7 4.4
2007 TBA MLB 34 34 206.7 13 9 0 196 89 239 18 102 8.5 3.9 0.8 10.4 44% .333 1.38 3.51 3.48 76 3.10 64.0 5.9
2008 TBA MLB 27 27 152.3 12 8 0 123 70 166 23 106 7.3 4.1 1.4 9.8 31% .265 1.27 4.39 3.49 104 4.29 91.6 2.1
2009 ANA 0 6 6 36.3 2 2 0 28 10 26 1 102 6.9 2.5 0.2 6.4 27% .257 1.05 2.97 1.73 111 4.50 96.5 0.4
2009 TBA 0 20 20 111.0 8 7 0 121 50 91 15 105 9.8 4.1 1.2 7.4 37% .309 1.54 4.73 5.92 111 4.74 101.7 1.0
2010 ANA MLB 28 28 150.0 9 15 0 158 79 93 25 102 9.5 4.7 1.5 5.6 40% .281 1.58 5.79 5.94 132 6.80 153.5 -2.7
2011 ANA MLB 1 1 1.7 0 0 0 5 2 0 1 113 27.0 10.8 5.4 0.0 30% .444 4.20 18.06 27.00 130 9.41 218.7 -0.1
2013 CLE MLB 29 29 158.0 10 9 0 162 47 162 19 97 9.2 2.7 1.1 9.2 42% .324 1.32 3.53 4.04 89 3.57 85.5 2.6
2014 OAK MLB 32 32 190.3 15 9 0 171 50 164 16 95 8.1 2.4 0.8 7.8 45% .285 1.16 3.38 3.55 97 3.28 80.5 3.6
2015 HOU 0 13 13 73.3 2 6 0 78 24 54 13 102 9.6 2.9 1.6 6.6 40% .288 1.39 5.16 4.17 115 4.69 109.6 0.3
2015 OAK 0 18 18 109.7 5 5 0 84 35 101 7 98 6.9 2.9 0.6 8.3 49% .262 1.09 3.13 2.38 97 3.32 77.6 2.3
2016 LAN MLB 26 26 136.3 10 6 0 133 52 134 21 89 8.8 3.4 1.4 8.8 42% .298 1.36 4.51 4.56 103 3.73 82.5 2.6
2009 TOT MLB 26 26 147.3 10 9 0 149 60 117 16 104 9.1 3.7 1.0 7.1 34% .297 1.42 4.30 4.89 111 4.68 100.4 1.5
2015 TOT MLB 31 31 183.0 7 11 0 162 59 155 20 100 8.0 2.9 1.0 7.6 45% .273 1.21 3.94 3.10 105 3.87 90.4 2.6
CareerMLB2982971689.7108960159668116081901018.53.61.08.641%.2991.354.034.01994.0289.225.8

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2002 BRO A- NYP 5 5 18.0 0 1 0 5 7 34 0 2.5 3.5 0.0 17.0 0% .227 0.67 1.09 0.50 0 0.00 0.0
2003 CMB A SAL 18 18 76.3 4 4 0 50 28 105 6 5.9 3.3 0.7 12.4 0% .272 1.02 2.64 2.36 0 0.00 0.0
2003 SLU A+ FSL 7 7 33.0 1 2 0 29 16 40 0 7.9 4.4 0.0 10.9 0% .349 1.36 2.26 3.27 0 0.00 0.0
2004 TBA MLB AL 8 7 33.3 2 3 0 33 21 41 4 104 8.9 5.7 1.1 11.1 41% .345 1.62 4.32 5.67 93 3.84 79.1
2004 SLU A+ FSL 11 11 50.0 1 2 0 49 22 51 3 8.8 4.0 0.5 9.2 0% .326 1.42 3.28 3.42 0 0.00 0.0
2004 BIN AA EAS 4 4 26.0 2 1 0 16 9 29 0 5.5 3.1 0.0 10.0 0% .276 0.96 2.40 1.73 0 0.00 0.0
2004 MNT AA SOU 4 4 25.0 1 2 0 14 11 24 0 5.0 4.0 0.0 8.6 0% .230 1.00 2.67 1.44 0 0.00 0.0
2005 TBA MLB AL 32 32 186.0 10 9 0 172 100 174 12 103 8.3 4.8 0.6 8.4 42% .307 1.46 3.78 3.77 99 4.31 92.8
2006 TBA MLB AL 24 24 144.7 10 8 0 132 52 163 15 105 8.2 3.2 0.9 10.1 43% .310 1.27 3.40 3.24 80 2.98 60.7
2007 TBA MLB AL 34 34 206.7 13 9 0 196 89 239 18 102 8.5 3.9 0.8 10.4 44% .333 1.38 3.51 3.48 76 3.10 64.0
2008 TBA MLB AL 27 27 152.3 12 8 0 123 70 166 23 106 7.3 4.1 1.4 9.8 31% .265 1.27 4.39 3.49 104 4.29 91.6
2008 VRO A+ FSL 2 2 7.7 0 1 0 8 0 7 2 93 9.4 0.0 2.3 8.2 40% .261 1.04 4.76 4.68 0 0.00 0.0
2008 DUR AAA INT 1 1 5.0 0 0 0 3 1 3 1 104 5.4 1.8 1.8 5.4 40% .143 0.80 5.31 1.80 0 0.00 0.0
2009 ANA MLB AL 6 6 36.3 2 2 0 28 10 26 1 102 6.9 2.5 0.2 6.4 27% .257 1.05 2.97 1.73 111 4.50 96.5
2009 TBA MLB AL 20 20 111.0 8 7 0 121 50 91 15 105 9.8 4.1 1.2 7.4 37% .309 1.54 4.73 5.92 111 4.74 101.7
2009 PCH A+ FSL 1 1 4.7 0 0 0 3 1 5 0 100 5.7 1.9 0.0 9.6 54% .231 0.85 1.70 0.00 0 0.00 0.0
2009 DUR AAA INT 1 1 6.0 1 0 0 5 0 5 0 120 7.5 0.0 0.0 7.5 19% .313 0.83 1.48 1.50 0 0.00 0.0
2010 ANA MLB AL 28 28 150.0 9 15 0 158 79 93 25 102 9.5 4.7 1.5 5.6 40% .281 1.58 5.79 5.94 132 6.80 153.5
2010 RCU A+ CLF 1 1 6.3 0 0 0 8 0 6 0 98 11.4 0.0 0.0 8.6 52% .381 1.27 1.81 4.29 0 0.00 0.0
2011 ANA MLB AL 1 1 1.7 0 0 0 5 2 0 1 113 27.0 10.8 5.4 0.0 30% .444 4.20 18.06 27.00 130 9.41 218.7
2011 SLC AAA PCL 5 5 15.3 0 5 0 22 20 14 0 101 12.9 11.7 0.0 8.2 56% .407 2.74 7.04 17.02 0 0.00 0.0
2011 ESC Wnt LID 1 1 0.3 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 54.0 54.0 0.0 0.0 0% .667 12.00 21.06 108.00 0 0.00 0.0
2012 CAR Wnt PWL 5 5 22.7 0 2 0 28 8 27 1 11.1 3.2 0.4 10.7 0% .429 1.59 2.72 4.37 0 0.00 0.0
2013 CLE MLB AL 29 29 158.0 10 9 0 162 47 162 19 97 9.2 2.7 1.1 9.2 42% .324 1.32 3.53 4.04 89 3.57 85.5
2013 COH AAA INT 1 1 5.0 1 0 0 5 0 5 0 104 9.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 54% .385 1.00 1.20 0.00 0 0.00 0.0
2014 OAK MLB AL 32 32 190.3 15 9 0 171 50 164 16 95 8.1 2.4 0.8 7.8 45% .285 1.16 3.38 3.55 97 3.28 80.5
2015 HOU MLB AL 13 13 73.3 2 6 0 78 24 54 13 102 9.6 2.9 1.6 6.6 40% .288 1.39 5.16 4.17 115 4.69 109.6
2015 OAK MLB AL 18 18 109.7 5 5 0 84 35 101 7 98 6.9 2.9 0.6 8.3 49% .262 1.09 3.13 2.38 97 3.32 77.6
2016 LAN MLB NL 26 26 136.3 10 6 0 133 52 134 21 89 8.8 3.4 1.4 8.8 42% .298 1.36 4.51 4.56 103 3.73 82.5
2017 RCU A+ CAL 4 3 12.0 1 0 0 12 6 6 2 99 9.0 4.5 1.5 4.5 45% .263 1.50 6.83 4.50 118 4.64 97.8

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2008 2725 0.5145 0.4815 0.7416 0.6448 0.3084 0.7954 0.6225 0.2584
2009 2618 0.5313 0.4744 0.8011 0.6549 0.2698 0.8419 0.6888 0.1989
2010 2729 0.4965 0.4199 0.8045 0.6229 0.2198 0.8472 0.6854 0.1955
2011 63 0.4921 0.3968 0.9200 0.6774 0.1250 0.9048 1.0000 0.0800
2013 2738 0.5194 0.4814 0.7693 0.6610 0.2872 0.8255 0.6296 0.2307
2014 2976 0.5091 0.4677 0.7881 0.6403 0.2888 0.8526 0.6398 0.2119
2015 2938 0.4826 0.4762 0.7655 0.6664 0.2987 0.8381 0.6145 0.2345
2016 2373 0.4926 0.4458 0.7656 0.6270 0.2699 0.8158 0.6523 0.2344
Career191600.50640.46410.77710.64590.27760.83180.64790.2229

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-30 2014-06-30 DTD 0 0 Left Lower Leg Cramp Calf -
2014-04-14 2014-04-19 DTD 5 4 Left Arm Strain Triceps - -
2014-03-13 2014-03-22 Camp 9 0 Left Arm Tightness - -
2013-06-27 2013-07-03 DTD 6 6 - Low Back Spasms - -
2013-04-02 2013-04-20 15-DL 18 15 Right Trunk Strain Ribcage - -
2011-04-04 2011-06-15 15-DL 72 65 Low Back Stiffness -
2011-03-29 2011-03-29 Camp 0 0 Low Back Stiffness -
2010-07-11 2010-08-07 15-DL 27 21 Left Shoulder Fatigue -
2010-03-31 2010-04-15 15-DL 15 9 Left Shoulder Soreness -
2010-03-24 2010-03-30 Camp 6 0 Left Shoulder Soreness -
2010-02-19 2010-03-15 Camp 24 0 Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2009-07-18 2009-07-18 DTD 0 0 Left Forearm Cramp -
2009-05-21 2009-06-27 15-DL 37 33 Right Thigh Strain Quadriceps -
2009-03-20 2009-03-29 Camp 9 0 General Medical Gastrointestinal GI -
2008-03-21 2008-05-03 15-DL 43 29 Left Elbow Strain -
2007-05-05 2007-05-05 DTD 0 0 Left Thigh Contusion Batted Ball -
2006-08-25 2006-10-01 15-DL 37 33 Left Shoulder Fatigue -
2006-07-24 2006-08-08 15-DL 15 14 Left Shoulder Inflammation -
2006-07-15 2006-07-18 DTD 3 3 Neck Spasms -
2006-04-20 2006-04-20 DTD 0 0 Left Thumb Cramp -
2005-06-17 2005-06-17 DTD 0 0 Right Ankle Sprain -
2005-05-19 2005-05-19 DTD 0 0 Right Contusion Batted Ball -
2004-09-20 2004-09-27 DTD 7 6 Left Fingers Soreness Middle Finger -
2004-04-05 2004-04-12 Minors 7 0 Abdomen Strain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2018 ATL $17,666,666
2017 LAN $17,666,667
2016 LAN $12,666,667
2015 OAK $13,000,000
2014 OAK $9,000,000
2013 CLE $1,000,000
2011 ANA $12,000,000
2010 ANA $8,000,000
2009 TBA $6,000,000
2008 TBA $3,785,000
2007 TBA $424,300
2006 TBA $371,700
2005 TBA $316,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
13 yrPrevious$101,897,000
13 yrTotal$101,897,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
11 y 119 dBrian Peters3 years/$48M (2016-18)

Details
  • 3 years/$48M (2016-18). Signed by LA Dodgers as a free agent 12/30/15. 16:$11M, 17:$16M, 18:$16M. $8M annually is deferred for three years with no interest, to be paid out 2019-21, reducing present-day value to average of $44,954,652 under MLB calculation and $45,335,913 per the MLBPA. Kazmir may opt out of contract after 2016 season. Acquired by Atlanta in trade from LA Dodgers 12/16/17. Released by Atlanta 3/24/18.
  • 2 years/$22M (2014-15). Signed by Oakland as a free agent 12/3/13. $4M signing bonus. 14:$7M, 15:$11M. Assignment bonus: $0.5M if traded. Award bonuses, including $50,000 for All-Star selection. Acquired by Houston in trade from Oakland 7/23/15 with $4,387,978 remaining on Kazmir's contract for 2015.
  • 1 year/$1M (2013). Signed by Cleveland as a free agent 12/21/12 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1M in majors. May earn additional $1.75M in performance bonuses. May opt out of deal if not on Major League roster 4/2/13. Contract purchased by Cleveland 4/2/13.
  • 3 years/$28.5M (2009-11), plus 2012 club option. Signed extension with Tampa bay 5/14/08. 09:$6M, 10:$8M, 11:$12M, 12:$13.5M club option, $2.5M buyout. $0.8M assignment bonus with first trade. Perks: luxury suite for 5 homes games each season. Acquired by LA Angels in trade from Tampa Bay 8/29/09.
  • 1 year/$3.785M (2008). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 1/18/08 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.4243M (2007). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/07.
  • 1 year/$0.3717M (2006).
  • 1 year/$0.316M (2005). Re-signed 1/05.
  • 1 year (2004). Acquired by Tampa Bay in trade from NY Mets 7/04. Recalled 8/04.
  • Drafted by NY Mets 2002 (1-15) (Cypress Falls HS, Houston). Signed 8/02, $2.15M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3.2 2.8 0 9 9 48.8 43 17 35 8 .246 1.22 4.40 4.71 2.1 0.2
80o 2.7 2.7 0 8 8 43.4 41 16 31 7 .259 1.31 4.80 5.15 -0.1 0.0
70o 2.4 2.6 0 7 7 39.6 39 15 28 7 .268 1.37 5.10 5.47 -1.5 -0.2
60o 2.1 2.5 0 7 7 36.5 38 14 26 7 .275 1.43 5.36 5.74 -2.4 -0.3
50o 1.9 2.4 0 6 6 33.6 36 14 24 7 .283 1.48 5.60 6.01 -3.2 -0.3
40o 1.7 2.2 0 6 6 30.8 34 13 22 6 .290 1.53 5.85 6.27 -3.7 -0.4
30o 1.5 2.1 0 5 5 27.8 32 12 20 6 .298 1.59 6.12 6.56 -4.2 -0.5
20o 1.3 1.9 0 4 4 24.5 29 11 17 5 .307 1.66 6.44 6.91 -4.6 -0.5
10o 1 1.7 0 4 4 20.0 25 10 14 5 .320 1.77 6.90 7.4 -4.8 -0.5
Weighted Mean1.92.306633.03513236.2811.475.575.97-3.0-0.3

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20203681302929182187691343542.2961.415.596.279.33.46.61.7-1.8
20213771102727159165631182942.3021.435.566.239.33.66.71.6-1.5
202238690212112512748932342.2971.405.546.219.23.56.71.7-1.2
202339570171710110440741942.2991.435.656.339.33.66.61.7-1.1
20244047017179910339731942.3001.435.686.379.33.56.61.7-1.1
2025413501212727429521442.2981.445.736.439.33.66.51.8-0.9
2026423501111677127481342.3001.465.746.449.53.66.41.7-0.8
20274324088495220351042.3011.485.816.519.63.76.51.8-0.6
20284424099515421361042.3001.475.866.579.53.76.41.8-0.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 82)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Kevin Millwood 2010 5.48
2 92 Esteban Loaiza 2007 5.79
3 90 J.A. Happ 2018 4.10
4 90 Jason Vargas 2018 5.87
5 90 Whitey Ford 1964 2.46
6 89 Jorge De La Rosa 2016 6.25
7 89 Chuck Finley 1998 3.91
8 89 Tom Candiotti 1993 3.62
9 89 Jeff Fassero 1998 4.61
10 87 Cory Lidle 2007 0.00 DNP
11 87 Koji Uehara 2010 3.07
12 87 Jose Contreras 2007 6.33
13 86 Wandy Rodriguez 2014 8.44
14 86 Johan Santana 2014 0.00 DNP
15 85 Early Wynn 1955 3.37
16 85 Jason Hammel 2018 6.45
17 85 Mark Langston 1996 4.96
18 85 George Pipgras 1935 27.00
19 85 John Lackey 2014 4.27
20 84 Tim Hudson 2011 3.60
21 84 Sam Jones 1961 5.05
22 84 Max Lanier 1951 3.66
23 84 Ryan Dempster 2012 3.69
24 84 Joe Dobson 1952 3.00
25 84 Pascual Perez 1992 0.00 DNP
26 84 Bob Veale 1971 7.38
27 84 C.J. Wilson 2016 0.00 DNP
28 83 Mike Garcia 1959 4.75
29 83 Scott Feldman 2018 0.00 DNP
30 83 Roy Oswalt 2013 8.63
31 83 Orel Hershiser 1994 4.46
32 83 Hisashi Iwakuma 2016 4.30
33 83 Kenshin Kawakami 2010 5.87
34 83 Bruce Hurst 1993 8.31
35 83 Dizzy Trout 1950 4.41
36 83 Phil Niekro 1974 2.71
37 83 Mark Hendrickson 2009 5.14
38 83 Sonny Siebert 1972 4.81
39 83 Kyle Lohse 2014 3.95
40 82 Bartolo Colon 2008 5.31
41 82 Al Leiter 2001 3.89
42 82 Alfredo Simon 2016 9.82
43 82 Bryn Smith 1991 4.30
44 82 Jim Bibby 1980 3.59
45 81 Bob Weiland 1941 0.00 DNP
46 81 Bob Rush 1961 0.00 DNP
47 81 Wilson Alvarez 2005 5.63
48 81 Jeff Pfeffer 1923 4.79
49 81 Elmer Dessens 2006 5.14
50 81 Jerry Koosman 1978 4.21
51 81 Barry Zito 2013 6.35
52 80 Bill Hands 1975 4.68 DNP
53 80 Jake Westbrook 2013 5.32
54 80 Justin Verlander 2018 2.65
55 80 Andy Pettitte 2007 4.43
56 80 Virgil Trucks 1952 4.70
57 80 Sal Maglie 1952 3.24
58 80 Adam Wainwright 2017 5.33
59 80 Carl Pavano 2011 4.99
60 80 John Denny 1988 0.00 DNP
61 80 Vicente Padilla 2013 0.00 DNP
62 80 Mark Buehrle 2014 3.70
63 80 Vic Raschi 1954 5.29
64 79 Doug Davis 2011 7.49
65 79 Jarrod Washburn 2010 0.00 DNP
66 79 Don Sutton 1980 2.37
67 79 Howard Ehmke 1929 3.95
68 79 Bill Doak 1926 0.00 DNP
69 79 Steve Ontiveros 1996 0.00 DNP
70 79 Steve Carlton 1980 2.58
71 79 Gaylord Perry 1974 2.74
72 79 Denny Galehouse 1947 3.78
73 78 Bert Blyleven 1986 4.44
74 78 James Shields 2017 5.46
75 78 Jakie May 1931 4.34
76 78 Jered Weaver 2018 0.00 DNP
77 78 Claude Passeau 1944 2.69
78 78 Thornton Lee 1942 4.54
79 78 Luis Tiant 1976 3.45
80 78 Warren Spahn 1956 2.95
81 78 Jim Weaver 1939 6.00
82 78 Jake Peavy 2016 5.76
83 78 Ryan Franklin 2008 3.89
84 78 Fred Martin 1950 6.06
85 78 Brad Radke 2008 0.00 DNP
86 78 Ervin Santana 2018 8.03
87 78 Larry Jackson 1966 3.74
88 78 Shawn Estes 2008 5.36
89 77 Rube Marquard 1922 6.00
90 77 Rick Rhoden 1988 4.84
91 77 John Burkett 2000 5.29
92 77 Roger Wolff 1946 4.72
93 77 Jason Johnson 2009 0.00 DNP
94 77 Ryan Vogelsong 2013 6.34
95 77 Mike Cuellar 1972 2.83
96 77 Tommy John 1978 4.01
97 77 Allie Reynolds 1952 2.36
98 76 Jesse Petty 1930 6.97
99 76 Pat Malone 1938 0.00 DNP
100 76 Paul Byrd 2006 6.03

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2018 In his 1977 inquiry into the evolution of human intelligence, The Dragons of Eden, Carl Sagan talks about the discrepancy between our collective ability to recognize and describe from memory: "Witnesses commonly exhibit a total failure in verbal description of an individual previously encountered," he notes, "but high accuracy in recognizing the same individual when seen again." It's a hypothesis baseball fans will have an opportunity to test in 2018, after Kazmir missed the entire season. A hip injury felled him in spring training, then reared its ugly head again during an abbreviated rehab tour in July. He resurfaced in early September sitting in the low-80s at Rancho Cucamonga, and that, as they say, was that. It's not like he hasn't come back from longer odds before, and with nearly $18 million left on his tab he won't lack for theoretical opportunity to present his case a final time in Atlanta.
2017 The 2012 science fiction book The Long Earth, penned by authors Terry Pratchett and Stephen Baxter, conceives of a world very much like our own, with one crucial difference. Much of our population has departed thanks to the discovery of nearby earths, not within our solar system or galaxy, but rather "a thought away." Travel there is achieved via a potato-powered device called a "Stepper," allowing those who use them to "step" into a similar earth, from which they can continue on stepping or return back to the more familiar earth. All of these "stepwise" earths have carried on over the years, unfettered by human existence, though earlier hominid species do appear. "What does this have to do with Kazmir?" you might be asking, and the answer is precious little, but that it's nice to conceive of a frame for a world in which he was productive during 2016.
2016 For a pitcher who spent two years out of baseball, Kazmir has been remarkably consistent upon his return. Kazmir's pitches have maintained near-constant velocity and he's employed them with near-constant command, while perhaps most surprisingly taking the hill almost every fifth day. His last contract was one of the riskiest two-year deals in recent memory; his next will be both longer and safer. Kazmir caught gopheritis in the stale summer Houston air, nearly tripling his home run rate after a July trade, but there was little mechanically different on which to blame it. Once he resumes his third-starter status, few outside Houston will remember his poor end to 2015. And if the Astros continue their ascent, even their own fans will have forgotten the Kazmir Era by next October.
2015 Kazmir continues to evolve as a pitcher, transforming from the wild thing of his youth to the modern-day iteration that favors balance, repetition and command. His penchant for the free pass was once the southpaw's greatest weakness, but he has flipped the script as part of a systematic reinvention of his approach to pitching. He picked up the slack for an Oakland rotation that was ravaged by injury in spring training, staying on the mound for the second-highest innings count of his career. He particularly shouldered the load with a dynamite first half, including a 2.38 ERA and four strikeouts per walk. However, his ERA skyrocketed to 5.42 during the second half, with secondary stats to match, as part of the Oakland house of cards that came crumbling down over the final two months of the season.
2014 Kazmir utilized an unconventional offseason training regimen to restore at least two of the mph he'd lost from his once-nuclear heater. Perhaps more importantly, he found confidence in the new delivery and exhibited control and command beyond anybody's wildest hopes for his old delivery. He looks completely healthy now, and—despite his rather pedestrian 4.04 ERA last year—almost every indicator suggests he's likely to be among the top pitchers in baseball this year if he can stay that way. Obviously, whenever a reclamation project works out well there's a desire to understand what was different about this time; we've been burned before, after all. Beyond the obvious medical repairs leading to restored confidence (which can take years), it takes a combination of good direction and intensely hard work by the athlete. If Kazmir indeed returns to his former glory, much credit likely will be given (rightfully) to the offseason training program and the Indians' coaches. But there are no magic bullets, and nothing that can promise a 35 percent drop in walk rate. The dedication and hard work required to make that sort of improvement bode extremely well for Kazmir's future in Oakland. PECOTA—which ignores offseason training, confidence, new mechanics, medical repairs, good direction, intensely hard work, Indians coaches and dedication—says "nope."
2012 Kazmir arrived in Salt Lake with 66 career big league wins, two All-Star appearances, and a strikeout title, but at 27 years old he was still a few months younger than his median teammate in Triple-A. Faced with the choice of releasing Kazmir or reinstating him on the major league roster, the Angels wished Kazmir safe travels and swallowed the $12 million or so they owed him. PECOTA’s squinting real hard to see a Frank Viola mid-20s rough patch, but with a fastball down six mph from his prime, a suddenly dull slider, and no more command than he had as a rookie, Kazmir's chances of return are long.
2011 Though he only just concluded his age-26 season, little seems to remain of the “Kid K” who earned two All-Star berths and a strikeout title at a tender age while with the Rays. Talented young pitchers don’t always go out in a blaze of glory, their career-ending (or career-diminishing) troubles easily pinned to one fateful moment; sometimes they fade away incrementally. Kazmir has always been fragile, and after repeated injuries, the lefty has surrendered a few miles per hour from his fastball, slider, and changeup, losing his ability to miss bats in the process. Worse still, his control regressed to levels that were barely acceptable when he was still striking out over 10 batters per nine; as a result, Kazmir’s strikeout-walk ratio barely topped one, and his 5.94 ERA was the highest of any pitcher permitted to throw as many as 150 innings last season. As a southpaw with a history of success, Kazmir will keep getting his chances, though he might find them coming in the bullpen before long.
2010 Kazmir was the Rays' ace upon a time, but the team outgrew him in their evolution to contender status. Perhaps he'd have been dealt regardless, but when he racked up a 7.69 ERA through his first nine starts and then missed five weeks with a quad strain, one could understand Tampa Bay's determination to find a window to deal him given his declining performance and the weight of the remaining contract ($22.5 million, including 2012 option buyout). Fortunately, Kazmir rebounded upon returning from the DL, and to a team with a hole in its rotation as the waiver deadline neared (and perhaps some long-term uncertainty regarding John Lackey's future), his late-summer string of five quality starts out of six made him look like a worthwhile gamble. Kazmir ran up a sterling ERA, and while his strikeout rate continued to fall, his walk and homer rates plummeted even more precipitously as he produced a plethora of popups (13.2 percent, nearly double the league average). The good news going forward is that the restoration of Kazmir's slider into his repertoire alleviated some concerns about his elbow, and that even if he's less dominating than in 2007, his final 17 starts (3.63 ERA, 82/31 K/BB ratio in 101 2/3 innings) were more than merelyserviceable.
2009 On the one hand, Kazmir is a great pitcher. On the other, in many ways he's becoming a right-handed version of Rich Harden—he's an ace as far as his numbers go, but he doesn't do many of the other things one expects from an ace. He regularly misses time here and there (in 2008 it was an early-season elbow strain), he's so inefficient that he often hits 100 pitches before he's made it to the fifth inning, and he can become a scheduled strain on the bullpen. Don't get us wrong, he's great, and clearly worth the nearly $40 million he'll receive over the next four years, but he's far from deserving of the "ace" designation.
2008 Last year was when we stopped talking about Scott Kazmir as a potential ace, because he simply started pitching like one. He's going to get even better. He went over 200 innings for the first time in his career last year, but showed no signs of fatigue, putting up a 2.39 ERA after the All-Star break and striking out 45 over 31 innings in his last five starts. He's a real ace now, and a potential Cy Young candidate.
2007 PECOTA`s pessimistic view of Kazmir`s walk rate last year was based on a very limited data set; we probably shouldn`t have been so surprised when he cut if from near 5 per nine innings to near league average. This was a critical improvement; it`s hard to get innings under your belt when it takes you about 20 pitches to get through just one, particularly when you`re a young arm with whose pitch counts are monitored closely. A few weeks after the All-Star break, Kazmir started experiencing arm trouble. He was placed on the DL with a sore shoulder twice--once in July, and then again in August--and was completely shut down in September after continuing to complain of discomfort. Credit the Devil Rays for not taking any chances with their young ace. They know that the first competitive Rays` squad will need Kazmir at the front of the rotation. Health permitting, he`s one of the best pitchers in the AL.
2006 Heir to Randy Johnson`s rep as the guy the John Kruks of the world beg out of ballgames to avoid, as lefties batted just .174/.253/.201 last year. That`s just the tip of the iceberg: Kazmir ranked sixth in the league in hits to innings pitched ratio, third in strikeout ratio, and had one of the best home runs to innings pitched ratios in baseball. Best of all, he got better as the year went on, posting a second-half ERA of 2.79. Leading the majors in walks is a negative, but not the sort of thing you get hung up on with hard-throwing young lefties, who often experience control problems. As long as the Rays don`t let him pitch his arm off--and they did a decent job of keeping his pitch counts down last year--the best is yet to come.
2005 What were the Mets thinking? It certainly strikes us as a challenge trade, Rick Petersen's expertise versus overwhelming consensus opinion. Sure Kazmir struggled in the first couple of months—an abdominal strain is pretty tough to work around—but once healthy (and, note significantly, this was not an arm injury) it was lights out for the Florida and Southern Leagues from then on. He was called up prematurely, struggled with control in most games, but also managed a few gems. He's still only 21, so you want the team to be aware of his pitch counts, but there's a good chance that he'll be the team's best pitcher in 2005. Not to mention a potential All-Star for many years to come.
2004 Kazmir gets all of the organization's minor league hype now that Reyes is in the majors, and he deserves every bit of it. His stuff is so good he could spread it on sandwiches. He could stand to drop his walk rate a bit, but Kazmir's over whelemd minor league hitters so far, his gaudy strikeout totals portending future dominance. Warning: This player comment contains future-looking information. Investing in any player, especially pitchers, Involves an element of risk, and fans are encouraged to do their own research, as well as manage risk through a diversified Portfolio of prospects to watch. Many pitchers suffer injuries that lower the rate of return or eliminate their worthiness as Prospects entirely. These statements have not been evaluated by any oversight agency and may be entirely wrong. All projections are based on the best information available to Baseball Prospectus at press time, but are limited by the accuracy of our statistical supplier and subject to change. Baseball Prospectus is not liable for damages, heartache, or money spent on player's minor league cards in the event that this or any other player fails to eventually realize all his talent.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-09-23 12:30:00 (link to chat)What's the O/U for future Jered Weaver MLB innings? Additionally, who throws more MLB IP the next five years: Jered Weaver, Johan Santana, or Lucas Harrell?
(Lion from Wherever astronauts are)
Oh man, I was just thinking the other day about one of my very first BP pieces, which considered who would get more innings over the next five years, Scott Kazmir (out of baseball entirely at the time), Jamie Moyer (46 or so and recovering from TJ) and Mark Prior (pitching well in Double-A). I thought about redoing it but couldn't decide on the three pitchers to debate. This isn't quite right, but Weaver's a good starting point.

Most likely number is 0, at maybe 20 percent; but the over/under I'd set is probably 145. (Sam Miller)
2015-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)The A's are 41-50, 8 games out of a playoff spot, and with every AL team in front of them. Yet, Billy Beane hasn't deal Ben Zobrist, Tyler Clippard, Scott Kazmir, or Jesse Chavez. At some point, isn't waiting going to reduce their trade value since there are less games for them to help?
(Paul from San Diego)
This could be just me, but I feel like the A's feel like with that run differential, they're due to get back in this race. The division is extremely flawed, so I sort of understand this thinking, but there's just too many teams to jump over now. The overall point is correct though, the longer they hold on, the more the value drops. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think the A's end up getting for Kazmir?
(Chipshot212 from MA)
He's in the last year of his deal, so it's a two month rental, which means not much. If the A's can get one usable piece for the future for him, that's win. Gone of the days of teams acquiring, well, Scott Kazmir, for two months of Victor Zambrano. Teams are much smarter about their future assets than they used to be. Still, he could be a difference maker for a team down the stretch and there should be multiple suitors, so it could be a decent piece. (Jeff Moore)
2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of return should the A's look for if they decide to deal Scott Kazmir and Jesse Chavez?
(John from Danville)
I don't think the Chavez deal will bring a lot in return. Kazmir is the guy that can bring some pieces back but we'll have to wait and see if he's healthy. (Mauricio Rubio)
2015-01-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the A's rotation for 2015? Specifically Pomeranz and any other sleeper SPs you see there... too many cooks in the kitchen to matter for fantasy?
(Greg from NY)
There are some decent sleeper options and a prime bust out option in Scott Kazmir. Their rotation has a few glaring holes created by the Samardzija trade and two of their guys in Parker and Griffin being out with TJ. It's a mess rotation wise. I like Graveman, the cutter is a big addition and he has a wide velo band. He has command of all his pitches so there's a lot to like there, I think he works well in that park too. Keep an eye on him and see if you can scoop him up late as hell depending on what happens out of ST. Outside of that I do like Nolin but he's borderline useless in standard. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)What pitchers would you be targeting as buys/sells right now?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
The buys: Justin Verlander, Matt Cain, Doug Fister
The sells: Johnny Cueto, Scott Kazmir, Garrett Richards (Doug Thorburn)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)My 16-team dynasty points team offense is stacked. We start 5 SP each week and I've got 3 safe ones, 2 injury risks and the rest are veterans coming off surgery. There are about 400 players kept so there are only back-end MLB starters available in the draft. Would you advise targeting those types (Hector Santiago, Scott Kazmir, Tyson Ross, etc.) to address my immediate need? Or would you go for higher ceiling SP prospects to (Crick, Stroman, H. Harvey, Urias, etc.) that are farther away? The thinking with the latter is trading said prospects could yield a better MLB SP than what is available in the draft. Thanks!
(Kiko from Cali)
This is a great question and I'm not sure there's one right answer. I shade towards the side of picking the prospects, because of the three guys you listed I really only like Kazmir and I worry about his health, but it's hard to answer without knowing how your league values prospects who aren't close to the majors. I am a huge fan of all four prospects you listed though. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)I was lucky enough to hit on all of Ryu, Colon, Porcello, and Kazmir last year. Would you rank them in that order for 2014? (18 team league, points roughly akin to linear weights, wins essentially not important.)
(justarobert from Santa Clara)
Hi Justarobert (if that is your real name!)

I would probably rank them Ryu, Colon, Kazmir and Porcello. I know some people are really high on Rick Porcello and point to his 2 horrific outings as killing his stats, but I'm just not a big believer. I think he'll be OK mind you, but I like Scott Kazmir's upside, particularly in that park. Depending on where Bartolo Colon lands, I might even put Kazmir ahead of Colon. (Mike Gianella)
2013-12-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which deal do you like better -- the Giants' 2-year/$23 million deal for Tim Hudson or the A's 2-year/$22 million deal for Scott Kazmir? Sub-question, is getting Kazmir at this price better than whatever cost it would have taken to sign Bartolo Colon?
(Greg from San Francisco)
I prefer the Hudson deal. I just trust him more. Kazmir has a great story and I have fond memories of his golden days, but his injury history concerns me more than Hudson's broken ankle does. Plus, I'm not sold that Kazmir is as good as his second-half numbers suggest, or that we should put a ton of emphasis on them-after all, Bruce Chen had a lower OPS-against than Kazmir did, and nobody wants to give him a two-year deal. I view him as more of a no. 4 type, which is fine. I just prefer Hudson's relative safeness.

It depends on what Colon wants. If the money was comparable then I might prefer Colon. But if he wanted 3/45 or something out there like that, well ... (R.J. Anderson)
2013-12-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Why are teams willing to pay Scott Kazmir $11m a year, but unwilling to part with upper-tiered prospects for Fister (a proven commodity with stats to back him up)?
(Courtney from New York)
It could be an opportunity thing. Everyone knew Kazmir was available. Maybe not everyone knew Fister was. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-08-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do you credit for Scott Kazmir's resurgence this season?
(nubber from tx)
It took five years, but he has rediscovered his old delivery. It's not a very efficient motion, but it is far better than what he has shown since he was last effective. He is actually throwing harder this year than he was in '08 (avg 93 mph now), which is a significant jump from where he was the last several years. He has had both elbow and shoulder issues in the past, and as I mentioned with Pineda, shoulder injuries can take awhile to recover (the shoulder flared up in 2010). (Doug Thorburn)
2013-06-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Scott Kazmir back to stay? What do you think of the Tribe rotation going forward?
(cabuendia from VA)
I'm skeptical of Kazmir's "resurgence". The Indians sure do have some talent in the minors, but mostly on the field. So look for some trades to fill that in. Berrios could be front line, Gibson middle tier, Bauer is a wildcard. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-05-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance we'll get a Raising Aces before/after examination of Scott Kazmir's mechanics? He's fascinating.
(jfribley from MN)
Great call - I'll add him to the list for my "Then and Now" series. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-03-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which backend starting pitcher would you prefer? Maholm, Strailey, or Kazmir?
(Bryan from MI)
How could you not prefer Scott Kazmir? I'm super intrigued by him. Somehow he got his velocity back and has thrown very well in Spring Training. If he can be anything close to his old self, which I don't see how it's possible but whatever, then the Indians could actually have some pitching in their rotation. (Matthew Kory)
2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)I've read conflicting reports about where Bauer will start the year. Will a strong spring put him in the Tribe's rotation?
(Matt from Cleveland)
He seems to have a legitimate chance, with Carlos Carrasco and Scott Kazmir representing the biggest obstacles. If he can improve his command, he certainly has the talent to win that competition. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-12-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance Tommy Hanson rebounds to the pitcher he was a few years ago.
(Squidwai from San Francisco)
There's a chance in the same way that there's a chance that Scott Kazmir does and in the same way there was always a chance that Ryan Vogelsong would be an All-Star in his mid-30s, but I would imagine it would take a couple surgeries or an almost unimaginable shift in technique. (Sam Miller)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)With the Angels getting Pujols, the Rangers winning Darvish and the Mariners in the hunt for Prince, are the A's really, really screwed or just really screwed?
(Max from Melbourne, Australia)
Oh, there's the intro. Boy, I'm terrible at chats.

You know when you're miniature golfing and you have to get it past the windmill? Most mid-market teams are like that, where they're trying to line it up so they strike right when their window is open. But the A's have so little margin that they have to strike when their window is open, and when the Angels' window is closed, and when the Rangers window is closed, and when the Mariners window is closed. They just keep lining it up and having to back away and waiting for the cycle to run through again.

The best news for the A's is that free agent contracts eventually look bad, so in four or five years their opponents might have a bunch of bad contracts. They should actually be hoping that the Mariners sign Fielder, because it shifts the Mariners resources closer to the present, when the A's probably don't care anyway. The bad news for the A's is that the Angels have enough money that it doesn't even really matter if some of their contracts go bad. They threw so much money away on Gary Matthews, Jr. and Scott Kazmir, and then they traded for Vernon Wells (!), and they still had enough money to sign Pujols for 10 years. Pujols, Weaver and Wilson could all get maimed in a tractor accident and the Angels would still have quite a bit more money to spend than the A's. (Sam Miller)
2011-04-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Wanna talk about the Angels . . . due for a continued collapse . . . still starting Jeff Mathis, still employing Brandon Wood and Reggie Willits, hiring Fernando Rodney to close, and still riding Scott Kazmir - now the worse starting pitcher in the league?
(Scoresheetwiz from Great Lakes Region)
Writers like to pick the Twins every year just because the Twins seem to overcome expectations, and they like to pick the Angels because they have a long track-record of excellence, but I think in both cases they've missed the boat this year. These teams had maybe the worst offseasons in baseball. In the case of the Angels, I still have some belief in Willits as a fourth/fifth outfielder, but as I discussed in today's Broadside (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=13452) the Mathis thing is terrible and retaining Brandon Wood simply cruel.

I used to have great admiration for Mike Scioscia's talents, but it seems like he's ossified and his worst instincts now control him. (Steven Goldman)
2010-06-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Four years ago I had an initial draft for an AL only dynasty league and built my team around Grady Sizemore, Alex Gordon, BJ Upton, Felix Hernandez, Scott Kazmir and Joba Chamberlain. Do you know of any support groups I can join?
(achaik from maine)
Well at least Bossman Junior is doing well again! (Marc Normandin)
2009-10-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Joe, what are your predictions for game 4 tonight? If the Yankees drop this one, it seems the odds will be in the Angel's favor given the pitching matchups.
(billb09 from VT)
CC Sabathia is a lot better than Scott Kazmir is, so you have to like the Yankees off of that fact. What I keep waiting for, though, is the 9-8 game these teams have in them. I could see that coming tonight. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-09-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Does the inclusion of Sean Rodriguez as the PTBNL in the Scott Kazmir trade change your opinion on it at all?
(eneff1 from Berkeley, CA)
I followed up on that element the next day, and no, not substantially. Rodriguez isn't going to stick at shortstop, and murdilating pitching in Utah in a repeat engagement isn't exactly a rare talent, as good as Rodriguez is. I don't think he'll be the next Jeff Kent, but I do think he can be a solid regular at second. The problem as I see it is that a solid regular at second is an easier commodity to find than a quality rotation regular. For me, the deal still boils down to how good Torres winds up, and that could be very good. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-06-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)You wrote months ago about the need to trade Scott Kazmir. Now he's on the DL. Garza, Shields, Niemann, Price, and Sonnanstine (in recent starts) have looked good. To make room when Kazmir is "healthy", the Rays would have to sell low on Kaz or move Sonny. Thoughts?
(Clay from Sarasota, FL)
He'll take Niemann's spot in the rotation. My god, though...there was a window in which he would have brought back a lot. That's over. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-06-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)I just traded Nelson Cruz and Scott Kazmir for Matt Wieters and Ryan Franklin in a keeper league. Bad move?
(bam022 from Chicago)
It's Cruz for Wieters and a shot at some saves. I'd have done it, and I think Cruz is for real. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)With the Rays presently working to restrict the innings pitched of Price, Davis, and Hellickson, and all expected to be major league ready by 2010, which of these can be expected to play for the Rays in 2010. Which will be moved? Any chance that any present starters from the Rays will be moved in order to make room for multiple pitchers? Do the Rays upgrade at SS? Catcher? Or by getting a closer. Seems that their team only lacks a stud closer as Navarro and Bartlett are perfect role players.
(aclaykearney from St. Pete, FL)
I was bowled over by the idea Joe Sheehan floated last week about trading Scott Kazmir, but it makes a good deal of sense, and I wouldn't be terribly surprised if the Rays front office is already one step ahead of that curve, and if it's that trio plus Shields and Garza as their front five in '10.

As to where else they upgrade, the middle infield seems like the place to start, especially if you're like me, unwilling to buy into Reid Brignac even as a bridge to Tim Beckham. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-04-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)You went against the tide and are bullish on the Rockies. How good can Fowler and Jimenez be THIS year?
(James from BK)
Fowler can hit .280/.350/.410 with good defense in center and positive SB numbers. He's that team's best CF option. Jimenez is kind of the NL's Scott Kazmir, where the pitch counts and command issues cap how good he can be. 180 innings, 3.75 ERA, lots 'o walks. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-12-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)How much of a health risk is Scott Kazmir for 2009? I seem to remember he threw less sliders last season, how much does pitch selection play into pitchers coming off an injury?
(Bobby from Boston)
Kazmir is always a bit risky and of all the pitchers in Tampa - and there's a lot - he's the one I'd try to trade. That's not to say I don't like him and if he can get past the ulnar neuritis that held back his slider, he's also the one that could just simply dominate. Shields will be more consistent and Price is maybe Kaz's equal. The upside here is that there's a relatively easy surgical fix IF the problem doesn't correct. They couldn't shut him down last year and made the right decisions to get him through effectively, plus you always want to avoid surgery when possible. I'd like to see him work on another pitch besides the slider -- splitter? gyro? -- to help him. (Will Carroll)
2008-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)RumorMillExpert, Are the Phils interested in signing Hamels long term? InjuryExpert, Should they be?
(Jay from Undisclosed)
I'm out of the rumors game. Should they sign Hamels long term? I'd wait to see how he comes back from this innings increase and try to sign him to something that looks like Scott Kazmir's deal. (Will Carroll)
2008-09-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any way I can sneak into Top 3 draft consideration? My power lefty combo reminds many of Scott Kazmir.
(Matt hewPurke from San Diego)
Top three might be pushing it, but certainly top 10 possibilities. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Am I for real, or is the Scott Kazmir upside just hype?
(Derek Holland from Bakersfield)
I'm a big Holland believer, but did somebody really compare him to Kazmir? That's just silly talk. Put it this way, Holland just got to High-A (and he's dominated), and he turns 22 in October. At 22, Kazmir was entering his third year in the big leagues. Get excited, but don't get silly. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-05-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Now that the Rays train has slowed down a bit and there's some "regressioning to the mean," do you think that the Rays have some staying power in their climb towards .500-dom and beyond?
(jlarsen from DRays Bay)
At 45 games into the year, it's still early. To some extent I think we have to take the Rays seriously, though the players who should be driving the offense really haven't produced much thus far (Pena, Crawford and Longoria are all below .265 EqAs). The pitching is showing some real improvement; high walk rate and all, Edwin Jackson is putting it together and has been very tough to hit, James Shields has been nasty, and both Scott Kazmir and Matt Garza are coming around. They can thank a much improved defense; the team is 2nd int he league in Defensive Efficiency at .716. I'm a bit skeptical it can stay that high, but it's nowhere near the nightmare that it was last year. So I expect them to stick around at .500 or above. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joe, I have this delicious dilemma: I own Scott Kazmir in my AL-only roto league, and have inserted Lee. This Friday, I mist choose between one for the rest of the year. Thoughts?
(Fred from Boise)
Trade Lee. If you can't trade Lee...I look at it this way: thinking Cliff Lee is better than Scott Kazmir would have been silly six weeks ago. It's not much less silly now. (Joe Sheehan)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-06-09 14:30:002009 Draft CoverageOne of the great things about being at BP is having great help just a few keyboard clicks away. I asked Rany, who did his fantastic series on draft history, if he remembers a draft that was better 11-20 than 1-10. Rany jumped into action for me, and found just one in 15 years: 2002.

Top Ten: B.J. Upton, Zack Greinke, Prince Fielder, Jeff Francis.
11-20: Hermida, Joe Saunders, Scott Kazmir, Nick Swisher, Cole Hamels, James Loney, Denard Span.

The best example is 1994, where Garciaparra, Konerko and Varitek went 12-14. Needless to say, the top 10 that boasted Paul Wilson, Ben Grieve, Todd Walker and Jaret Wright wasn't as good. (Bryan Smith)
2008-10-27 16:30:00World Series Game FiveI think Arnold Rothstein has gotten to Scott Kazmir. (Steven Goldman)
2008-10-22 16:30:00World Series Game OneScott Kazmir was 7 when Guns N Roses released their last album. (Will Carroll)
2008-10-22 16:30:00World Series Game OneNice escape by Kaz, but you have to acknowledge the free out in the middle. Ryan Howard has no business batting fourth against Scott Kazmir. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-10-22 16:30:00World Series Game OneI wonder if Maddon will test Manuel by trying to get Coste out of the game early, leaving Ruiz locked in later. It's pretty certain Maddon will need bullpen tonight. The Phillies work counts, and Scott Kazmir is Scott Kazmir. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-10-22 16:30:00World Series Game OneIt's a Phillies/Rays World Series, and Game One should be a great start. Two of the best young starting pitchers in baseball meet as Cole Hamels faces off against Scott Kazmir. Please join the BP staff for a live roundtable starting at around 7:30PM ET on Wednesday.

If you'd like to submit a question to be answered during the roundtable, you can do so here. (Dave Pease)
 

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