Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET
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2019 Preseason Forecast
Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET
|2016-09-23 12:30:00 (link to chat)||What's the O/U for future Jered Weaver MLB innings?
Additionally, who throws more MLB IP the next five years: Jered Weaver, Johan Santana, or Lucas Harrell?|
(Lion from Wherever astronauts are)
|Oh man, I was just thinking the other day about one of my very first BP pieces, which considered who would get more innings over the next five years, Scott Kazmir (out of baseball entirely at the time), Jamie Moyer (46 or so and recovering from TJ) and Mark Prior (pitching well in Double-A). I thought about redoing it but couldn't decide on the three pitchers to debate. This isn't quite right, but Weaver's a good starting point.
Most likely number is 0, at maybe 20 percent; but the over/under I'd set is probably 145. (Sam Miller)
|2015-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)||The A's are 41-50, 8 games out of a playoff spot, and with every AL team in front of them. Yet, Billy Beane hasn't deal Ben Zobrist, Tyler Clippard, Scott Kazmir, or Jesse Chavez. At some point, isn't waiting going to reduce their trade value since there are less games for them to help?|
(Paul from San Diego)
|This could be just me, but I feel like the A's feel like with that run differential, they're due to get back in this race. The division is extremely flawed, so I sort of understand this thinking, but there's just too many teams to jump over now. The overall point is correct though, the longer they hold on, the more the value drops. (Christopher Crawford)|
|2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)||What do you think the A's end up getting for Kazmir? |
(Chipshot212 from MA)
|He's in the last year of his deal, so it's a two month rental, which means not much. If the A's can get one usable piece for the future for him, that's win. Gone of the days of teams acquiring, well, Scott Kazmir, for two months of Victor Zambrano. Teams are much smarter about their future assets than they used to be. Still, he could be a difference maker for a team down the stretch and there should be multiple suitors, so it could be a decent piece. (Jeff Moore)|
|2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat)||What kind of return should the A's look for if they decide to deal Scott Kazmir and Jesse Chavez?|
(John from Danville)
|I don't think the Chavez deal will bring a lot in return. Kazmir is the guy that can bring some pieces back but we'll have to wait and see if he's healthy. (Mauricio Rubio)|
|2015-01-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)||Thoughts on the A's rotation for 2015? Specifically Pomeranz and any other sleeper SPs you see there... too many cooks in the kitchen to matter for fantasy?|
(Greg from NY)
|There are some decent sleeper options and a prime bust out option in Scott Kazmir. Their rotation has a few glaring holes created by the Samardzija trade and two of their guys in Parker and Griffin being out with TJ. It's a mess rotation wise. I like Graveman, the cutter is a big addition and he has a wide velo band. He has command of all his pitches so there's a lot to like there, I think he works well in that park too. Keep an eye on him and see if you can scoop him up late as hell depending on what happens out of ST. Outside of that I do like Nolin but he's borderline useless in standard. (Mauricio Rubio)|
|2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)||What pitchers would you be targeting as buys/sells right now?|
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
|The buys: Justin Verlander, Matt Cain, Doug Fister
The sells: Johnny Cueto, Scott Kazmir, Garrett Richards (Doug Thorburn)
|2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)||My 16-team dynasty points team offense is stacked. We start 5 SP each week and I've got 3 safe ones, 2 injury risks and the rest are veterans coming off surgery. There are about 400 players kept so there are only back-end MLB starters available in the draft. Would you advise targeting those types (Hector Santiago, Scott Kazmir, Tyson Ross, etc.) to address my immediate need? Or would you go for higher ceiling SP prospects to (Crick, Stroman, H. Harvey, Urias, etc.) that are farther away? The thinking with the latter is trading said prospects could yield a better MLB SP than what is available in the draft. Thanks!|
(Kiko from Cali)
|This is a great question and I'm not sure there's one right answer. I shade towards the side of picking the prospects, because of the three guys you listed I really only like Kazmir and I worry about his health, but it's hard to answer without knowing how your league values prospects who aren't close to the majors. I am a huge fan of all four prospects you listed though. (Craig Goldstein)|
|2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)||I was lucky enough to hit on all of Ryu, Colon, Porcello, and Kazmir last year. Would you rank them in that order for 2014? (18 team league, points roughly akin to linear weights, wins essentially not important.) |
(justarobert from Santa Clara)
|Hi Justarobert (if that is your real name!)
I would probably rank them Ryu, Colon, Kazmir and Porcello. I know some people are really high on Rick Porcello and point to his 2 horrific outings as killing his stats, but I'm just not a big believer. I think he'll be OK mind you, but I like Scott Kazmir's upside, particularly in that park. Depending on where Bartolo Colon lands, I might even put Kazmir ahead of Colon. (Mike Gianella)
|2013-12-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Which deal do you like better -- the Giants' 2-year/$23 million deal for Tim Hudson or the A's 2-year/$22 million deal for Scott Kazmir? Sub-question, is getting Kazmir at this price better than whatever cost it would have taken to sign Bartolo Colon?|
(Greg from San Francisco)
|I prefer the Hudson deal. I just trust him more. Kazmir has a great story and I have fond memories of his golden days, but his injury history concerns me more than Hudson's broken ankle does. Plus, I'm not sold that Kazmir is as good as his second-half numbers suggest, or that we should put a ton of emphasis on them-after all, Bruce Chen had a lower OPS-against than Kazmir did, and nobody wants to give him a two-year deal. I view him as more of a no. 4 type, which is fine. I just prefer Hudson's relative safeness.
It depends on what Colon wants. If the money was comparable then I might prefer Colon. But if he wanted 3/45 or something out there like that, well ... (R.J. Anderson)
|2013-12-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Why are teams willing to pay Scott Kazmir $11m a year, but unwilling to part with upper-tiered prospects for Fister (a proven commodity with stats to back him up)?|
(Courtney from New York)
|It could be an opportunity thing. Everyone knew Kazmir was available. Maybe not everyone knew Fister was. (R.J. Anderson)|
|2013-08-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)||What do you credit for Scott Kazmir's resurgence this season?|
(nubber from tx)
|It took five years, but he has rediscovered his old delivery. It's not a very efficient motion, but it is far better than what he has shown since he was last effective. He is actually throwing harder this year than he was in '08 (avg 93 mph now), which is a significant jump from where he was the last several years. He has had both elbow and shoulder issues in the past, and as I mentioned with Pineda, shoulder injuries can take awhile to recover (the shoulder flared up in 2010). (Doug Thorburn)|
|2013-06-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Is Scott Kazmir back to stay? What do you think of the Tribe rotation going forward?|
(cabuendia from VA)
|I'm skeptical of Kazmir's "resurgence". The Indians sure do have some talent in the minors, but mostly on the field. So look for some trades to fill that in. Berrios could be front line, Gibson middle tier, Bauer is a wildcard. (Harry Pavlidis)|
|2013-05-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Any chance we'll get a Raising Aces before/after examination of Scott Kazmir's mechanics? He's fascinating. |
(jfribley from MN)
|Great call - I'll add him to the list for my "Then and Now" series. (Doug Thorburn)|
|2013-03-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Which backend starting pitcher would you prefer? Maholm, Strailey, or Kazmir?|
(Bryan from MI)
|How could you not prefer Scott Kazmir? I'm super intrigued by him. Somehow he got his velocity back and has thrown very well in Spring Training. If he can be anything close to his old self, which I don't see how it's possible but whatever, then the Indians could actually have some pitching in their rotation. (Matthew Kory)|
|2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)||I've read conflicting reports about where Bauer will start the year. Will a strong spring put him in the Tribe's rotation?|
(Matt from Cleveland)
|He seems to have a legitimate chance, with Carlos Carrasco and Scott Kazmir representing the biggest obstacles. If he can improve his command, he certainly has the talent to win that competition. (Daniel Rathman)|
|2012-12-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Any chance Tommy Hanson rebounds to the pitcher he was a few years ago. |
(Squidwai from San Francisco)
|There's a chance in the same way that there's a chance that Scott Kazmir does and in the same way there was always a chance that Ryan Vogelsong would be an All-Star in his mid-30s, but I would imagine it would take a couple surgeries or an almost unimaginable shift in technique. (Sam Miller)|
|2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)||With the Angels getting Pujols, the Rangers winning Darvish and the Mariners in the hunt for Prince, are the A's really, really screwed or just really screwed?|
(Max from Melbourne, Australia)
|Oh, there's the intro. Boy, I'm terrible at chats.
You know when you're miniature golfing and you have to get it past the windmill? Most mid-market teams are like that, where they're trying to line it up so they strike right when their window is open. But the A's have so little margin that they have to strike when their window is open, and when the Angels' window is closed, and when the Rangers window is closed, and when the Mariners window is closed. They just keep lining it up and having to back away and waiting for the cycle to run through again.
The best news for the A's is that free agent contracts eventually look bad, so in four or five years their opponents might have a bunch of bad contracts. They should actually be hoping that the Mariners sign Fielder, because it shifts the Mariners resources closer to the present, when the A's probably don't care anyway. The bad news for the A's is that the Angels have enough money that it doesn't even really matter if some of their contracts go bad. They threw so much money away on Gary Matthews, Jr. and Scott Kazmir, and then they traded for Vernon Wells (!), and they still had enough money to sign Pujols for 10 years. Pujols, Weaver and Wilson could all get maimed in a tractor accident and the Angels would still have quite a bit more money to spend than the A's. (Sam Miller)
|2011-04-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Wanna talk about the Angels . . . due for a continued collapse . . . still starting Jeff Mathis, still employing Brandon Wood and Reggie Willits, hiring Fernando Rodney to close, and still riding Scott Kazmir - now the worse starting pitcher in the league?|
(Scoresheetwiz from Great Lakes Region)
|Writers like to pick the Twins every year just because the Twins seem to overcome expectations, and they like to pick the Angels because they have a long track-record of excellence, but I think in both cases they've missed the boat this year. These teams had maybe the worst offseasons in baseball. In the case of the Angels, I still have some belief in Willits as a fourth/fifth outfielder, but as I discussed in today's Broadside (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=13452) the Mathis thing is terrible and retaining Brandon Wood simply cruel.
I used to have great admiration for Mike Scioscia's talents, but it seems like he's ossified and his worst instincts now control him. (Steven Goldman)
|2010-06-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Four years ago I had an initial draft for an AL only dynasty league and built my team around Grady Sizemore, Alex Gordon, BJ Upton, Felix Hernandez, Scott Kazmir and Joba Chamberlain.
Do you know of any support groups I can join?|
(achaik from maine)
|Well at least Bossman Junior is doing well again! (Marc Normandin)|
|2009-10-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Hey Joe, what are your predictions for game 4 tonight? If the Yankees drop this one, it seems the odds will be in the Angel's favor given the pitching matchups. |
(billb09 from VT)
|CC Sabathia is a lot better than Scott Kazmir is, so you have to like the Yankees off of that fact. What I keep waiting for, though, is the 9-8 game these teams have in them. I could see that coming tonight. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2009-09-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Does the inclusion of Sean Rodriguez as the PTBNL in the Scott Kazmir trade change your opinion on it at all?|
(eneff1 from Berkeley, CA)
|I followed up on that element the next day, and no, not substantially. Rodriguez isn't going to stick at shortstop, and murdilating pitching in Utah in a repeat engagement isn't exactly a rare talent, as good as Rodriguez is. I don't think he'll be the next Jeff Kent, but I do think he can be a solid regular at second. The problem as I see it is that a solid regular at second is an easier commodity to find than a quality rotation regular. For me, the deal still boils down to how good Torres winds up, and that could be very good. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2009-06-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)||I just traded Nelson Cruz and Scott Kazmir for Matt Wieters and Ryan Franklin in a keeper league.
(bam022 from Chicago)
|It's Cruz for Wieters and a shot at some saves. I'd have done it, and I think Cruz is for real. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2009-06-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)||You wrote months ago about the need to trade Scott Kazmir. Now he's on the DL. Garza, Shields, Niemann, Price, and Sonnanstine (in recent starts) have looked good. To make room when Kazmir is "healthy", the Rays would have to sell low on Kaz or move Sonny. Thoughts?|
(Clay from Sarasota, FL)
|He'll take Niemann's spot in the rotation. My god, though...there was a window in which he would have brought back a lot. That's over. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2009-04-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)||With the Rays presently working to restrict the innings pitched of Price, Davis, and Hellickson, and all expected to be major league ready by 2010, which of these can be expected to play for the Rays in 2010. Which will be moved?
Any chance that any present starters from the Rays will be moved in order to make room for multiple pitchers?
Do the Rays upgrade at SS? Catcher? Or by getting a closer. Seems that their team only lacks a stud closer as Navarro and Bartlett are perfect role players.|
(aclaykearney from St. Pete, FL)
|I was bowled over by the idea Joe Sheehan floated last week about trading Scott Kazmir, but it makes a good deal of sense, and I wouldn't be terribly surprised if the Rays front office is already one step ahead of that curve, and if it's that trio plus Shields and Garza as their front five in '10.
As to where else they upgrade, the middle infield seems like the place to start, especially if you're like me, unwilling to buy into Reid Brignac even as a bridge to Tim Beckham. (Jay Jaffe)
|2009-04-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)||You went against the tide and are bullish on the Rockies. How good can Fowler and Jimenez be THIS year?|
(James from BK)
|Fowler can hit .280/.350/.410 with good defense in center and positive SB numbers. He's that team's best CF option. Jimenez is kind of the NL's Scott Kazmir, where the pitch counts and command issues cap how good he can be. 180 innings, 3.75 ERA, lots 'o walks. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2008-12-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)||How much of a health risk is Scott Kazmir for 2009? I seem to remember he threw less sliders last season, how much does pitch selection play into pitchers coming off an injury?|
(Bobby from Boston)
|Kazmir is always a bit risky and of all the pitchers in Tampa - and there's a lot - he's the one I'd try to trade. That's not to say I don't like him and if he can get past the ulnar neuritis that held back his slider, he's also the one that could just simply dominate. Shields will be more consistent and Price is maybe Kaz's equal. The upside here is that there's a relatively easy surgical fix IF the problem doesn't correct. They couldn't shut him down last year and made the right decisions to get him through effectively, plus you always want to avoid surgery when possible. I'd like to see him work on another pitch besides the slider -- splitter? gyro? -- to help him. (Will Carroll)|
|2008-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)||RumorMillExpert, Are the Phils interested in signing Hamels long term?
InjuryExpert, Should they be?|
(Jay from Undisclosed)
|I'm out of the rumors game. Should they sign Hamels long term? I'd wait to see how he comes back from this innings increase and try to sign him to something that looks like Scott Kazmir's deal. (Will Carroll)|
|2008-09-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Any way I can sneak into Top 3 draft consideration? My power lefty combo reminds many of Scott Kazmir.|
(Matt hewPurke from San Diego)
|Top three might be pushing it, but certainly top 10 possibilities. (Kevin Goldstein)|
|2008-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Am I for real, or is the Scott Kazmir upside just hype?|
(Derek Holland from Bakersfield)
|I'm a big Holland believer, but did somebody really compare him to Kazmir? That's just silly talk. Put it this way, Holland just got to High-A (and he's dominated), and he turns 22 in October. At 22, Kazmir was entering his third year in the big leagues. Get excited, but don't get silly. (Kevin Goldstein)|
|2008-05-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Now that the Rays train has slowed down a bit and there's some "regressioning to the mean," do you think that the Rays have some staying power in their climb towards .500-dom and beyond?|
(jlarsen from DRays Bay)
|At 45 games into the year, it's still early. To some extent I think we have to take the Rays seriously, though the players who should be driving the offense really haven't produced much thus far (Pena, Crawford and Longoria are all below .265 EqAs). The pitching is showing some real improvement; high walk rate and all, Edwin Jackson is putting it together and has been very tough to hit, James Shields has been nasty, and both Scott Kazmir and Matt Garza are coming around. They can thank a much improved defense; the team is 2nd int he league in Defensive Efficiency at .716. I'm a bit skeptical it can stay that high, but it's nowhere near the nightmare that it was last year. So I expect them to stick around at .500 or above. (Jay Jaffe)|
|2008-05-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Joe, I have this delicious dilemma: I own Scott Kazmir in my AL-only roto league, and have inserted Lee. This Friday, I mist choose between one for the rest of the year. Thoughts?|
(Fred from Boise)
|Trade Lee. If you can't trade Lee...I look at it this way: thinking Cliff Lee is better than Scott Kazmir would have been silly six weeks ago. It's not much less silly now. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2009-06-09 14:30:00||2009 Draft Coverage||One of the great things about being at BP is having great help just a few keyboard clicks away. I asked Rany, who did his fantastic series on draft history, if he remembers a draft that was better 11-20 than 1-10. Rany jumped into action for me, and found just one in 15 years: 2002.|
Top Ten: B.J. Upton, Zack Greinke, Prince Fielder, Jeff Francis.
11-20: Hermida, Joe Saunders, Scott Kazmir, Nick Swisher, Cole Hamels, James Loney, Denard Span.
The best example is 1994, where Garciaparra, Konerko and Varitek went 12-14. Needless to say, the top 10 that boasted Paul Wilson, Ben Grieve, Todd Walker and Jaret Wright wasn't as good. (Bryan Smith)
|2008-10-27 16:30:00||World Series Game Five||I think Arnold Rothstein has gotten to Scott Kazmir. (Steven Goldman)|
|2008-10-22 16:30:00||World Series Game One||Scott Kazmir was 7 when Guns N Roses released their last album. (Will Carroll)|
|2008-10-22 16:30:00||World Series Game One||Nice escape by Kaz, but you have to acknowledge the free out in the middle. Ryan Howard has no business batting fourth against Scott Kazmir. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2008-10-22 16:30:00||World Series Game One||I wonder if Maddon will test Manuel by trying to get Coste out of the game early, leaving Ruiz locked in later. It's pretty certain Maddon will need bullpen tonight. The Phillies work counts, and Scott Kazmir is Scott Kazmir. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2008-10-22 16:30:00||World Series Game One||It's a Phillies/Rays World Series, and Game One should be a great start. Two of the best young starting pitchers in baseball meet as Cole Hamels faces off against Scott Kazmir. Please join the BP staff for a live roundtable starting at around 7:30PM ET on Wednesday.|
If you'd like to submit a question to be answered during the roundtable, you can do so here. (Dave Pease)
A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC
Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2023, Scott Kazmir threw 21,091 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2021, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2021, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (92mph), Change (80mph) and Sinker (92mph), also mixing in a Cutter (88mph). He also rarely threw a Slider (83mph).