Biographical
Shane Baz PRays |
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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 20)
| IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
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- 2015
- 2016
- 2017
- 2018
- -0.72019
proj
WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- | WARP |
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Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- |
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| 2017 | PIR | Rk | GCL | 10 | 10 | 23.7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 14 | 19 | 2 | 95 | 9.9 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 51% | .348 | 1.69 | 4.81 | 3.80 | 112 | 7.48 | 159.1 |
| 2018 | BRI | Rk | APP | 10 | 10 | 45.3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 23 | 54 | 2 | 98 | 8.9 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 10.7 | 64% | .344 | 1.50 | 3.90 | 3.97 | 101 | 6.79 | 143.6 |
| 2018 | PRI | Rk | APP | 2 | 2 | 7.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 111 | 14.1 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 48% | .417 | 2.43 | 7.42 | 7.71 | 101 | 7.16 | 151.5 |
| 2019 | BGR | A | MID | 17 | 17 | 81.3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 63 | 37 | 87 | 5 | 102 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 9.6 | 39% | .279 | 1.23 | 3.64 | 2.99 | 96 | 3.88 | 79.8 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% |
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Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
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Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | BABIP | WHIP | ERA | DRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90o | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 58.6 | 47 | 43 | 43 | 6 | .246 | 1.54 | 4.78 | 5.21 | -12.2 | -1.3 |
| 80o | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 51.0 | 45 | 41 | 38 | 5 | .264 | 1.69 | 5.33 | 5.82 | -13.9 | -1.5 |
| 70o | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 45.8 | 43 | 39 | 34 | 5 | .277 | 1.81 | 5.75 | 6.27 | -14.7 | -1.6 |
| 60o | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 41.5 | 42 | 38 | 31 | 5 | .288 | 1.91 | 6.11 | 6.67 | -15.1 | -1.6 |
| 50o | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 37.6 | 40 | 36 | 28 | 5 | .299 | 2.02 | 6.46 | 7.06 | -15.2 | -1.7 |
| 40o | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 33.9 | 38 | 34 | 25 | 5 | .310 | 2.13 | 6.82 | 7.46 | -15.2 | -1.6 |
| 30o | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 30.0 | 35 | 32 | 22 | 4 | .322 | 2.25 | 7.23 | 7.9 | -14.8 | -1.6 |
| 20o | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 25.7 | 32 | 29 | 19 | 4 | .336 | 2.40 | 7.71 | 8.44 | -14.2 | -1.5 |
| 10o | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 20.0 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 3 | .356 | 2.62 | 8.43 | 9.24 | -12.7 | -1.4 |
| Weighted Mean | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 36.7 | 38 | 35 | 27 | 5 | .296 | 1.99 | 6.39 | 6.98 | -14.5 | -1.6 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Shane BazBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | You're starting a team from scratch. Who would take first, second and third among Shane Baz, Oneil Cruz and Jarred Kelenic, and why? Thank you for all you do. (Diogo J from Liverpool, England) | Maaaaaaaaan, I think I'll just go with our rankings and take Baz here. I know he's a pitcher but he feels a bit less volatile than Cruz, and while I think Kelenic will be fine long term, it's tough to take a corner outfielder that struggled as badly as he did in the majors against the other two options (with the caveat that the others haven't really had a chance to fail in MLB). (Top 101 chat w/Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2021-06-30 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Are you buying to Shane Baz being a top of the rotation arm? (Mike from Wisconsin ) | Emphatic yes on Baz for me. I've been in on him as a potential top tier starter for quite a bit now, and never quite understood the reliever profile people threw on him so quickly. The mechanics weren't great but according to Keanan Lamb on our prospect team, he's toned them down a bit while retaining his deep arsenal. (writeup here: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/67886/monday-morning-ten-pack-baz-is-breaking-out-soderstrom-has-that-sound/) Looks like a potential No. 2 start to me. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2021-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Who are some position players and pitchers who you could see jumping up into your top 30 dynasty prospect rankings for next year? Who could move up the rankings fast? (Bob May from Louisville) | For each, I'd say anyone in the top 50 could jump into the top 30 so I'll keep the answer to outside of top 50 with the most upside.
Position players: Luis Matos (54), Jordyn Adams (69), Orelvis Martinez (71), the IFAs (Diaz, Colmenarez & Hernandez) Pitchers: Asa Lacy (52), Shane Baz (60), Max Meyer (61), George Kirby (76), Hunter Greene (101) (Jesse Roche) |
| 2021-01-21 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Among the Mets top-3, who do you see having the most realistic upside? Do you think all have top-20 overall potential? (dabu7 from Queens) | Allan is the most likely to click and end up in a Shane Baz or Grayson Rodriguez type range after a real season. Top 20 might be pushing it at least for 2022, but if you told me he was at some point one of the five or so best pitching prospects in baseball, well it's not impossible. It's weird to say no on mauricio who has been and is the highest ranked, but for some reason I'm less confident on him coming off a badly needed lost season. Alvarez? Well, it's tough for me to rank a non-elite catching prospect in the top 20, and I don't think he ever quite gets there. But weirdly you could make a case he's more likely to be Top 50 than Allan, given intrinsic pitching prospect risks. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2020-05-15 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Good luck in Charleston. I moved there in 2004 when I first had kids.
Folly Beach is my favorite area, so recommend a place that can get you down there in 15 minutes or less.
Anyway, should probably ask a question: If you've got a stable of AA to AAA prospects, what hope do I have of seeing any development assuming there is a limited if any minor league season? (Jim from Chicago) | Thanks! We are looking to purchase a house in James Island, not far from Folly Beach, so definitely looking forward to the beaches!
There was a false report in late April that the minor league season would be cancelled. I think it is very possible the season is cancelled even if MLB play resumes. It is understated how much of an impact the delayed season will have on prospect development. Many of these young men do not have a stable home environment or access to professional facilities. Not only could this delay (or cancellation) result in slowed development, but it could cause many players to regress. Shane Baz briefly spoke about how he had to scramble to acquire workout equipment on the Five-Tool Fantasy Baseball Podcast, and he has previously advised Emily Waldon about the creative ways other prospects are finding to work out and lift weights. Structure and routine is so vital for many of these young athletes, and this delay has thrown all of that out of whack. I think it is a real problem for all prospects, especially teenage prospects who cannot benefit from instructs. It is less an issue for prospects in the upper minors who have had several years of professional training and presumably will be more likely to continue and replicate such training during their time off. Prospects will less development needed will be impacted less. I think a stable of AA/AAA prospects is a good spot to be in at the moment, especially will 2020 contracts expiring after the year and upcoming Rule 5 Draft roster implications. Prospects on the cusp arguably benefit the most (other than injured players) from this delay as it brings their debut closer without having to wait for them in the upper minors. (Jesse Roche) |
| 2020-04-27 12:00:00 (link to chat) | What do you think Shane Baz’s upside is in the Majors? How does he compare with guys like Howard, Pearson, Manning? When do you think he gets the call? (Tom from TB) | I think his upside is broadly comparable to that group, and he ranked in the midst of them on the 101. Obviously he's significantly further away than those arms, which increases the amount of time where things can go wrong. With a normal 2020, I'd say he's knocking on the door by the end of 2021/early 2022, but I think you have to punt a year for almost all your arms at this point (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2020-04-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | There probably haven't been any prospects who have helped their stock during this time... but has there been any word on anyone who has gone full-Shawn Kemp during the NBA lockout? (Mike in Louisville from Louisville) | Not that I am aware of, but I would not be surprised if some players let themselves go a bit without access to team facilities. Shane Baz mentioned during an interview on the Five-Tool Fantasy Baseball Podcast (go check it out) that he had to scrounge together workout equipment. There have also been clips on Twitter of prospects getting creative to workout and making their own weights. Not all these guys have home gyms, and local school gyms likely are not accessible either. Ralf Lifshitz of Prospects Live mentioned he is worried about how Miguel Sano may hold up during the delay. It is a very real concern to have for players with motivation/weight issues. (Jesse Roche) |
| 2019-09-11 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Hey Craig,
Trying to sort my keepers for a 24 team dynasty league while everyone else is watching football ha!
Would you keep Jonathan Stiever over any of these Josh James,Brent Honeywell,Shane Baz, Luis Patino or Brad Keller?
Probably not in a position to compete in 2020 but hopefully 2021 is the year. Thanks! (boatman44 from Liverpool) | I would not keep Stiever over any of them, no. Maaaaybe Honeywell but it's really hard to say at this point. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2019-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Rank the following for dynasty purposes: Shane Baz, Jhoan Duran, Jordan Balazovic, Tarik Skubal, Edward Cabrera (Ron from Wisconsin) | Skubal, Baz, Duran, Balazovic (Mark Barry) |
| 2019-06-26 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How would you rank these young pitchers: Ryan Weathers, Cole Winn, Ethan Hankins, Shane Baz? Are any of them "must-adds" in 10-team dynasty leagues at this point in time? (Chris from DC) | Baz, Hankins, Winn, Weather for me. They're far enough away you could convince me not to bother with any arms that far off in a ten teamer but if I'm picking one it is Baz. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2019-06-07 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Only have a spot for one in a dynasty. Contention window 2-3 years out. George Valera, Alek Thomas, Dylan Carlson, Jazz Chisholm, Keibert Ruiz, Daulton Varsho, Nolan Jones, Trevor Larnach, Xavier Edwards, Shane Baz, Michel Baez, Or Seth Beer. Also, I wish I had 10 more roster spots (KJ from Providence) | I'd probably go with Carlson or Larnach. Keibert is the best pure prospect here, but also might not be a huge fantasy factor. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Shane Baz only had 1 k in his debut. Should I be concerned? (Jason from Crystal Lake) | You should not. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Shane Baz only had 1 k in his debut. Should I be concerned? (Jason from Crystal Lake) | No (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-04-19 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What is Shane Baz's upside? Could he be another Mitch Keller in a few years? (Jake from Seattle) | I live in Saratoga Springs. There's a thoroughbred race track here--effectively, Belmont moves up here for the month of August. I don't go anymore, but I used to try to handicap the races. You can infer from the fact that I don't go anymore how well I did. I could read the Racing Form and make some inferences, but I never bet on juvenile races. Two-year-olds have basically no track record, other than bloodline and trainer and jockey, and I wouldn't pretend to know anything about that.
Shane Baz is, basically, a two-year-old. I mean, he's 18, not two, and he's a person, not a horse. But I'm not going to pretend to infer anything from < 25 innings of rookie ball. Our prospects guys like him, not as much as Keller. But I'd totally defer to them about everything Baz-related. (Rob Mains) |
| 2018-04-19 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What are Cole Tucker and Lolo Sanchez's upside? (Jimbo from Utah) | I think Tucker's a good fit for the Pirates. Mercer's going to walk. Tucker, I think, will provide more bat and less glove than Mercer. But given the way the game's evolving--more balls in the air, more shifting of infielders (or at least not *less* shifting), the importance of a really strong glove at short is diminishing. Think Seager and Correa--not that they're slouches, but they're not phenomenal with the glove. They don't have to be! I think Tucker will be a net upgrade.
Sanchez is 18, so my Shane Baz racehorse analogy applies. He's only 18, but so far he's shown good speed and a good glove but nothing exceptional with the bat. Upside would be Starling Marte but I'm guessing he falls short offensively, which will limit him. But he's only 18! He can change! (Rob Mains) |
BP Roundtables
No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.
PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile
A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC
Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2024, Shane Baz threw 715 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2021 and 2022, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2022, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (96mph) and Slider (88mph), also mixing in a Curve (82mph) and Change (89mph).
BP Annual Player Comments
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