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Prospectus Hit List for September 16



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 14 Hit List for September 18
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The Hit List Magic Number is down to eight. Eight! Feel the excitement!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

82

62

91.2

87.4

87.5

.604

.623

86.6%

13.4%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Losing to the Braves seems like an inopportune time to joke about Justin Smoak batting cleanup. And yet...
2

77

68

84.0

86.9

86.9

.577

.597

57.9%

27.4%

85.2%

-2.6%

-8.1%

Does it look to anyone else like Evan Gattis is going to reach out, catch the pitch with his bare hand, and then eat it?
3

83

61

80.7

89.5

87.7

.592

.572

99.5%

0.0%

99.5%

0.0%

-0.1%

Throwing a ball hit through the wet infield is, according to Vin Scully, like throwing a bar of soap. Then to further illustrate the point, he chucked a bar of Coast at a picture of Carl Crawford he had hanging nearby for just such an occasion.
4

79

65

80.0

79.1

79.9

.552

.572

13.4%

83.2%

96.7%

-0.9%

-2.7%

Jacoby Ellsbury’s OPS is down to .653 and he has only 18 steals on the season, 19 if you include his contract.
5

85

59

80.2

75.4

76.0

.550

.569

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Alex Rios hit his fourth homer of the year, making last night the fourth night this year nobody has said bad things about his contract.
6

90

54

85.8

79.5

79.6

.581

.562

80.0%

20.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Not only did Carlos Martinez make a great play on a bunt, but he did it with a live badger in his mouth.
7

87

57

82.5

82.1

81.0

.577

.558

19.1%

80.9%

100.0%

0.1%

0.1%

Last night the Pirates pitched J.A. Happ (ex-Phillies), Arquimedes Caminero (ex-Marlins), and Antonio Bastardo (ex-Phillies) last night. Guess the result of the game!
8

71

72

71.7

81.5

82.0

.535

.555

0.0%

9.3%

9.3%

-4.4%

0.6%

The Indians left nine guys on base last night. If found please return to: Cleveland Indians, 123 Indians Street, Cleveland, OH 44115.
9

83

62

80.8

82.0

79.9

.561

.542

99.8%

0.0%

99.8%

-0.1%

5.1%

The Mets are New York’s 15-year-old Corolla parked behind the garage. When the Rolls is in the shop it’s time to roll with the ‘Olla.
10

83

61

77.3

81.7

81.0

.561

.541

0.9%

98.4%

99.3%

0.9%

0.0%

Jon Lester has apparently discovered that he doesn’t have to throw over to first if he doesn’t allow anyone to get to first.
11

76

69

81.3

81.4

81.2

.552

.532

0.5%

0.4%

1.0%

-1.0%

0.2%

Madison Bumgarner pinch-hit against Aroldis Chapman. And walked. Kinda surprised Bumgarner didn't reverse-strikeout Chapman, actually.
12

70

74

70.5

75.8

76.2

.508

.528

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

0.3%

-1.6%

Want to know which franchise is in trouble? Follow Grady Sizemore.
13

71

73

75.6

70.9

71.4

.502

.522

0.0%

0.7%

0.7%

0.2%

0.5%

Yes the off-season-bound Orioles scored in the 13th and thus scored more runs than the similarly off-season-bound Red Sox, but did anyone really win?
14

74

70

78.1

81.3

78.6

.542

.522

0.2%

0.2%

0.4%

0.1%

-5.4%

Two homers for Bryce Harper and 14 strikeouts in eight scoreless one-hit innings for Stephen Strasburg. It’s like the entire fanbase was on dental gas.
15

77

67

69.5

68.2

68.6

.492

.512

39.3%

33.6%

72.9%

12.5%

2.8%

It’s been a ‘Prince Fielder can’t get a hit off of Ollie Perez Oh My Gosh Prince Fielder got a hit off of Ollie Perez!!!’ kinda year in Texas.
16

68

76

69.9

71.8

71.4

.488

.508

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Joe Kelly has arm fatigue. Asked how it felt, his arm claim to have Joe Kelly fatigue.
17

62

83

72.4

73.4

75.2

.488

.508

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If he keeps giving up 10 runs in three innings like last night, the A’s might be able to sign Jeff Samardzija after all!
18

73

71

70.1

66.7

68.2

.482

.503

2.8%

7.0%

9.8%

2.8%

0.9%

Mike Trout’s new shoes will make you hit exactly like Mike Trout, but they’re extremely uncomfortable.
19

70

76

66.0

71.8

72.8

.480

.500

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.4%

The Mariners GM job should be enticing to prospective GMs who enjoy good coffee, mountains, the ocean, and losing.
20

75

69

71.9

63.5

64.1

.477

.497

0.0%

24.8%

24.8%

-7.8%

8.7%

Signing Phil Hughes (4.58 ERA)? Good! Re-signing Phil Hughes two years before his contract was up? Maybe not so good!
21

68

75

65.1

63.2

64.4

.456

.476

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.5%

As it turns out, Alexei Ramirez is quite a pitcher! Unfortunately to discover this information, the White Sox had to lose 17-6.
22

69

76

73.4

71.3

71.0

.491

.471

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Three walks for Paul Goldschmidt helped the Diamondbacks win their 69th game.
23

66

78

61.2

65.3

66.7

.450

.470

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

If I tell you Alfredo Simon started and Miguel Cabrera went 0-for-4, do you think the Tigers won? Oh, you already changed the channel.
24

61

83

65.8

68.0

68.3

.457

.437

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Two more walks and two more hits for Joey Votto who, it seems plain at this point, we don’t deserve.
25

68

78

66.2

63.7

63.3

.447

.428

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Cory Spangenberg was thrown out trying to steal, likely due in part to the weight of the many letters of his back.
26

62

83

65.8

65.5

64.7

.445

.425

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

With Giancarlo Stanton still out of the lineup, Dee Gordon was forced to homer. “Not fun,” said a visibly upset Gordon after the game. “But sometimes you just have to swallow hard and take one for the team.”
27

62

82

65.0

62.7

63.4

.439

.420

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Khris Davis planning on dressing up like Chris Davis for Halloween. Not many will get it, but the ones who do will love it!
28

61

84

61.6

58.6

57.0

.411

.392

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

DJ LeMahieu was picked off in the 13th inning while it was raining. The Rockies reviewed the call while he stood on base. In the end, he was ruled both out and extra wet.
29

57

88

52.8

54.1

54.2

.376

.358

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Braves scored a run in the bottom of the ninth. Normally that would have brought them within six or seven but last night was a special night, like that time your dad snuck out of jail.
30

56

90

53.4

50.0

50.0

.359

.340

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Getting Jonathan Papelbon to blow his first save of the season and then losing anyway was so Philadelphia and so 2015 Phillies at the same time.