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Prospectus Hit List for September 14



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for September 11 Hit List for September 16
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Happy New Year to those who celebrate, including all of the teams with zeroes next to their names below.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

82

61

90.8

87.0

87.2

.607

.626

91.2%

8.8%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

"Oh, that's right. Troy Tulowitzki gets injured sometimes. We probably should have told you that." — The Rockies
2

77

66

83.3

86.2

86.1

.582

.601

77.3%

15.0%

92.3%

2.2%

-3.9%

The last time Houston made the playoffs, Jeff Bagwell was their first baseman. Now it's probably going to be, Marwin Gonzalez, I suppose? Everybody okay with that?
3

78

64

79.0

78.4

79.2

.554

.574

8.8%

87.8%

96.6%

1.5%

-2.5%

Dustin Ackley got his first home run and RBI as a Yankee since being traded in July, so that acquisition has worked out well.
4

84

58

79.5

75.2

75.6

.553

.573

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Their ace acquisition really is struggling down the stretch. I've heard of existential dreads, Johnny Cueto, but this is ridiculous!
5

82

60

79.4

87.7

86.0

.590

.570

99.3%

0.0%

99.3%

0.3%

0.5%

Corey Seager hit his first home run and had a 4-for-4 night on Saturday. So if you're 23 years old and not in the major leagues yet, you're just an old maid.
6

89

54

85.1

78.6

78.9

.580

.560

73.9%

26.1%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The only way to fight devil magic is with more devil magic. You'd think white magic, but no, the Cardinals found a cure for that.
7

86

56

81.5

81.2

80.1

.579

.559

24.9%

75.0%

100.0%

-0.0%

0.2%

Every win is a team effort, but inserting 22 players in an 11-inning game might be overdoing the sentiment.
8

70

71

70.4

79.7

80.3

.533

.553

0.0%

11.8%

11.9%

-5.1%

0.9%

Ryan Raburn had a terrific catch after review overturned the call of "no catch," because the umpires in New York couldn't find anything hilarious to Vine in the play.
9

82

61

80.4

81.0

79.0

.564

.544

99.8%

0.0%

99.8%

-0.1%

14.9%

Jeurys Familia now joins Billy Wagner and Armando Benitez as pitchers who saved 40 games for the Mets. Or should I say, he joins "forgot he was a Met" and "don't remind me he was a Met."
10

82

60

76.2

80.5

79.5

.560

.541

1.2%

97.9%

99.1%

-0.4%

1.4%

Teams are 0-1 when Chris Coghlan hits two triples. All subsequent losses involving this event are squarely on the third base coach.
11

75

68

80.2

80.2

80.0

.551

.532

0.7%

0.8%

1.5%

0.1%

-0.8%

With Mike Leake's latest dinger, that's now eight home runs for Giants pitchers, most by a Giants team ever.
12

69

73

69.5

74.5

74.8

.507

.527

0.0%

1.0%

1.0%

-1.2%

-5.0%

Drew Smyly has struck out 24 batters in 18 innings this month, and is going to make way less money than David Price over the next four years.
13

69

73

74.3

69.7

70.3

.499

.519

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

-0.1%

0.0%

Wait, if Earl Weaver is dead, and the Orioles are last in the AL in stolen bases for each of the last two years, then ... [pulls off Buck Showalter's mask]
14

72

70

76.6

79.2

76.8

.536

.516

0.2%

0.1%

0.3%

0.1%

-16.1%

Drew Storen may not pitch again this season, which is making Nationals fans think, "why now? Why not two weeks ago?"
15

68

74

69.2

71.0

70.7

.491

.511

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

0.0%

David Ortiz still hasn't finished his trot around the bases for #500. Until then, it does not count, nor can any other Red Sox game be played.
16

75

67

68.2

67.0

67.3

.488

.508

20.6%

34.6%

55.3%

6.1%

3.2%

They're in a playoff race. Mitch Moreland/Rougned Odor lead the team in slugging. You don't know the names of two relievers. Everything is going according to plan.
17

72

70

70.0

66.5

68.1

.487

.507

2.1%

9.2%

11.2%

-8.5%

-4.5%

A new career high for Huston Street! Only it's runs allowed in a game--five. Still, it's his 11th season and he's just now experienced his first Carlos Marmol.
18

61

82

70.3

72.2

74.1

.485

.505

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Of the seven pitchers used yesterday, only one of them faced a single batter and it was Pat Venditte.
19

69

75

64.1

69.9

71.0

.476

.496

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.5%

-1.8%

And in just 39 games, Ketel Marte is already third on the team in stolen bases. Talk about putting the Ketel to the metal.
20

74

68

70.4

62.1

62.8

.474

.494

0.0%

31.1%

31.1%

5.9%

14.3%

Torii Hunter may not have specifically come back to Minnesota to pass Kirby Puckett on the all-time Twins homer list, but he did, and he did.
21

67

74

65.1

62.3

63.4

.457

.477

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.2%

-0.7%

Why the mediocre Chris Sale start? It's football season and he doesn't have to carry half the city anymore.
22

68

75

73.0

70.7

70.6

.493

.473

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Can we ride the rest of the Hit List season with Socrates Brito jokes? I'll answer that question with another question.
23

65

77

60.7

64.7

66.2

.452

.472

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Randy Wolf: three innings, two runs allowed, 93 pitches. That's the most efficient start in history, provided you are trying to expand the concept of time in the universe.
24

60

82

64.9

67.2

67.5

.457

.437

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Friday: Cincinnati steals four bases on Yadier Molina, the first time anyone did that to him. Sunday: Reds are 0-for-2 stealing bases on Yadier Molina. The party was fun while it lasted.
25

67

77

64.7

62.2

61.8

.444

.424

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If I were the engraver, I'd start with "broke up Madison Bumgarner's perfect game in the eighth" on Melvin Upton, Jr.'s Hall of Fame plaque and just see what else he'll accomplish in his career from here.
26

61

82

64.2

64.5

63.5

.443

.423

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Marlins scored four runs and still won the three-game series. That's how you fill seats in September.
27

62

81

64.7

62.5

63.2

.441

.422

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Is David Goforth a Brewers pitcher or just a Minnesota college sports fan who just got back from the dentist?
28

60

83

60.9

58.4

56.6

.412

.393

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

"Oh, that's right. Jose Reyes also gets injured sometimes. Don't worry, we're even." — The Blue Jays
29

56

88

52.3

53.6

53.5

.374

.355

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Maybe the actual Braves team is playing in the new stadium and they just forgot to tell everyone, and we're left watching this bunch of maroons.
30

56

88

52.9

50.0

49.8

.362

.344

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Brian Bogusevic having an incredible September is exactly why Ruben Amaro was let go, so to avoid the impulsive multi-year extension.