Corey Knebel Stats | Baseball Prospectus

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Corey Knebel P
Scouting Report
Scouted by Tucker Blair (Apr 29, 2014)
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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
55.3	2.62	1.07	79	3	1	19	1.1

Birth Date	11-26-1991
Height	6' 3"
Weight	224 lbs

Age	33 years, 3 months, 24 days
Bats	R
Throws	R

: 0.32015
: -0.22016
: 1.82017
: 1.52018
: 1.12019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	G	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-	WARP
2014	DET	8	8.7	0	0	0	11	3	11	0	103	11.4	3.1	0.0	11.4	0%	.440	1.62	1.66	6.23	102	3.41	83.6	0.1
2015	MIL	48	50.3	0	0	0	44	17	58	8	98	7.9	3.0	1.4	10.4	0%	.290	1.21	4.05	3.22	91	4.18	97.7	0.3
2016	MIL	35	32.7	1	4	2	32	16	38	3	97	8.8	4.4	0.8	10.5	43%	.333	1.47	3.61	4.68	104	5.45	120.6	-0.2
2017	MIL	76	76.0	1	4	39	48	40	126	6		5.7	4.7	0.7	14.9	39%	.311	1.16	2.54	1.78	77	3.09	65.7	1.8
2018	MIL	57	55.3	4	3	16	38	22	88	7	94	6.2	3.6	1.1	14.3	50%	.304	1.08	2.99	3.58	69	2.53	56.5	1.5
Career		224	223.0	6	11	57	173	98	321	24	64	7.0	4.0	1.0	13.0	44%	.324	1.22	3.12	3.15	83	3.55	79.4	3.5

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-
2013	WMI	A	MID	31	0	31.0	2	1	15	14	10	41	0		4.1	2.9	0.0	11.9	0%	.212	0.77	1.65	0.87	67	1.42	30.8
2014	DET	MLB	AL	8	0	8.7	0	0	0	11	3	11	0	103	11.4	3.1	0.0	11.4	0%	.440	1.62	1.66	6.23	102	3.41	83.6
2014	ERI	AA	EAS	11	0	15.0	3	0	1	8	8	23	1		4.8	4.8	0.6	13.8	0%	.241	1.07	2.75	1.20	74	2.38	50.3
2014	ROU	AAA	PCL	9	0	12.0	1	0	0	9	5	20	2		6.8	3.8	1.5	15.0	0%	.318	1.17	4.02	3.75	64	2.10	44.4
2014	TOL	AAA	INT	14	0	18.3	1	1	2	6	9	20	0		2.9	4.4	0.0	9.8	0%	.158	0.82	2.96	1.96	87	2.26	47.9
2015	MIL	MLB	NL	48	0	50.3	0	0	0	44	17	58	8	98	7.9	3.0	1.4	10.4	0%	.290	1.21	4.05	3.22	91	4.18	97.7
2015	CSP	AAA	PCL	16	0	15.3	1	2	6	14	7	22	1		8.2	4.1	0.6	12.9	0%	.371	1.37	2.94	4.70	72	3.01	66.0
2016	MIL	MLB	NL	35	0	32.7	1	4	2	32	16	38	3	97	8.8	4.4	0.8	10.5	43%	.333	1.47	3.61	4.68	104	5.45	120.6
2016	BRV	A+	FSL	2	1	3.0	0	0	0	2	1	6	0	113	6.0	3.0	0.0	18.0	40%	.400	1.00	0.25	0.00	55	2.41	53.3
2016	CSP	AAA	PCL	11	2	13.7	1	0	2	5	3	14	0	75	3.3	2.0	0.0	9.2	66%	.172	0.59	2.33	1.32	71	1.25	27.5
2017	MIL	MLB	NL	76	0	76.0	1	4	39	48	40	126	6		5.7	4.7	0.7	14.9	39%	.311	1.16	2.54	1.78	77	3.09	65.7
2018	MIL	MLB	NL	57	0	55.3	4	3	16	38	22	88	7	94	6.2	3.6	1.1	14.3	50%	.304	1.08	2.99	3.58	69	2.53	56.5
2018	BLX	AA	SOU	3	0	2.7	0	0	0	1	1	4	0		3.4	3.4	0.0	13.5	60%	.200	0.75	1.49	0.00	91	3.51	74.2
2018	CSP	AAA	PCL	1	0	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0		9.0	9.0	0.0	9.0	67%	.333	2.00	4.74	0.00	112	6.78	143.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%
2014	171	0.5088	0.3977	0.7206	0.5632	0.2262	0.7959	0.5263	0.2794
2015	819	0.4994	0.4689	0.7682	0.6528	0.2854	0.8390	0.6068	0.2318
2016	603	0.4809	0.4046	0.7705	0.6000	0.2236	0.8276	0.6286	0.2295
2017	1373	0.4880	0.4312	0.6470	0.5910	0.2788	0.7121	0.5153	0.3530
2018	986	0.5193	0.4493	0.6772	0.6094	0.2764	0.7404	0.5267	0.3228
Career	3952	0.4980	0.4380	0.7017	0.6086	0.2689	0.7667	0.5549	0.2983

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
2014-08-18	-	Minors	-	-	Right	Elbow	Sprain	Ulnar Collateral Ligament	-

Compensation

Years	Description	Salary
7 yr	Previous	$30,201,900
7 yr	Total	$30,201,900

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
7 y 151 d	Excel	1 year (2024)

Details

1 year (2024). Signed by Chicago White Sox as a free agent 2/20/24 (minor-league contract).
2023
1 year/$10M (2022). Signed by Philadelphia as a free agent 11/30/21. Performance bonuses: $50,000 each for 45, 50, 55, 60 games finished.
1 year/$5.25M (2021). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 1/14/21 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$5.125M (2020). Re-signed by Milwaukee 12/11/19 (avoided arbitration). Award bonus: $50,000 for Comeback Player of the Year. Acquired by LA Dodgers in trade from Milwaukee 12/2/20.
1 year/$5.125M (2019). Re-signed by Milwaukee 1/11/19 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$3.65M (2018). Re-signed by Milwaukee 1/12/18 (avoided arbitration).
1 year (2017). Re-signed by Milwaukee 3/17.
1 year/$513,000 (2016). Re-signed by Milwaukee 3/16.
2015. Acquired by Milwaukee in trade from Texas 1/19/15. Signed by Milwaukee 3/15.
1 year (2014). Contract selected by Detroit 5/23/14. Acquired by Texas in trade from Detroit 7/22/14 (Soria deal).
Drafted by Detroit 2013 (1s-39) (Texas) (competitive-balance pick acquired from Miami). $1.4334M signing bonus (slot amount).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	W	SV	G	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	VORP	WARP
90^o	12	26.6	69	70.4	37	25	99	4	.238	0.88	1.73	1.93	7.6	0.8
80^o	10.8	23.9	63	64.3	37	25	91	4	.253	0.96	2.08	2.31	4.4	0.5
70^o	9.9	22	59	60.0	37	24	85	4	.264	1.01	2.33	2.59	2.3	0.2
60^o	9.2	20.5	55	56.4	36	24	80	4	.273	1.06	2.55	2.82	0.8	0.1
50^o	8.6	19.1	52	53.1	35	23	75	4	.282	1.11	2.76	3.05	-0.6	-0.1
40^o	8	17.8	49	49.9	35	23	71	4	.290	1.16	2.96	3.28	-1.7	-0.2
30^o	7.3	16.4	46	46.5	34	22	66	4	.299	1.21	3.19	3.53	-2.8	-0.3
20^o	6.6	14.9	42	42.7	33	22	60	4	.310	1.27	3.46	3.82	-3.9	-0.4
10^o	5.7	12.8	37	37.5	31	20	53	3	.325	1.36	3.84	4.24	-5.1	-0.6
Weighted Mean	8.5	19	52	52.6	35	23	74	4	.279	1.10	2.73	3.02	-0.4	0.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.

Year	Age	W	L	SV	G	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	H/9	BB/9	K/9	HR/9	WARP
2020	28	4	2	15	74	78	50	31	108	6	45	.294	1.03	2.69	3.11	5.7	3.6	12.4	0.7	1.6
2021	29	3	1	12	61	64	43	28	88	5	45	.298	1.10	2.92	3.37	6.0	3.9	12.3	0.7	1.1
2022	30	4	2	13	67	71	46	30	97	6	45	.294	1.07	2.86	3.30	5.8	3.8	12.3	0.8	1.3
2023	31	3	1	11	58	62	41	26	84	5	45	.298	1.08	2.90	3.35	6.0	3.8	12.2	0.7	1.1
2024	32	3	1	11	58	61	41	26	82	5	45	.296	1.10	2.94	3.40	6.0	3.8	12.1	0.7	1.0
2025	33	3	1	10	52	55	38	23	75	5	45	.304	1.10	2.92	3.37	6.2	3.7	12.2	0.8	1.0
2026	34	3	1	10	51	55	37	23	73	5	45	.300	1.10	2.98	3.44	6.1	3.8	12.0	0.8	0.9
2027	35	3	1	9	47	50	34	20	68	4	45	.300	1.08	2.95	3.41	6.1	3.6	12.2	0.7	0.8
2028	36	2	1	8	44	46	32	19	62	4	45	.297	1.10	3.04	3.51	6.2	3.7	12.0	0.8	0.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 68)

Rank	Score	Name	Year	Run Average	Trend
1	89	Cody Allen	2016	3.04
2	81	Ken Giles	2018	5.01
3	77	Jordan Walden	2015	0.87
4	76	Armando Benitez	2000	2.84
5	76	Carter Capps	2018	0.00	DNP
6	76	Jonathan Broxton	2011	7.11
7	76	Hong-Chih Kuo	2009	3.00
8	75	Kenley Jansen	2015	2.41
9	74	Randy Myers	1990	2.49
10	73	Ugueth Urbina	2001	3.92

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BP Annual Player Comments

Year		Comment
2019		Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018		So much about Knebel's life screams "Texas": He was born in Denton, went to college at UT-Austin, stands 6-foot-4 and has a four-seamer that touches triple digits to go with a curveball that falls off the table. That profile helped Knebel become one of the best relievers in baseball in 2017. He posted the 12th-best DRA and sixth-best cFIP of any major-league pitcher (min. 50 IP), which suggests his breakout performance wasn't a fluke. He tied with Craig Kimbrel for the most strikeouts by a reliever and had two more than teammate Zach Davies notched in his 33 starts. Despite his background Knebel is a die-hard Packers fan, which may endear him to the good people of Milwaukee, although perhaps not as much as his dominance in the ninth.
2017		Scouting reports have branded Knebel a potential back-end reliever, and 2016 stands as his first trial by fire. Knebel entered 40 percent of his appearances when the game was within one run and another 31 percent with two- or three-run leads. This proved to be a big test for Knebel, who was often spelled by manager Craig Counsell in favor of Jhan Marinez, Carlos Torres, Blaine Boyer or Tyler Thornburg when trouble showed. For this reason, six of Knebel’s 20 runs allowed were inherited runners scored, which leads one to ask whether the righty should have been allowed to work out of his own jams. Oddly enough, Knebel ratcheted up his big-rising fastball with more velocity and arm-side run in 2016, but could not draw more whiffs. If the trend holds, go bullish on Knebel taking his next step as a high-leverage reliever.
2016		Corey Knebel is a potential back-end reliever who stands 6-foot-4 with a mid-to-high-90s fastball and a no-shit curveball. With only that information provided, you already know he's a Texan.
2015		Half of the package the Rangers received from Detroit for Joakim Soria, the hard-throwing Texan (stop me if you've heard that before) has the potential to fire two plus-plus pitches, his fastball and curve, in a high-leverage bullpen role. Health willing, he could do that as soon as this season. Of course that's anything but a given considering Knebel was shut down in mid-August with the harbinger of doom that is a UCL sprain, though surgery is not currently planned and his rehabilitation progress has been encouraging. The raw skills are there for Knebel to choose his own entrance music. And no matter what, his place in baseball history is secure: He was selected with the first MLB draft pick to be included in a trade.
2014		Corey Knebel, a 2013 supplemental pick, wowed in his pro debut and even earned a special exemption to play in the Arizona Fall League. If left as a reliever, he could follow a fast-track path similar to that of Addison Reed.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

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Date	Question	Answer
2018-12-05 12:00:00 (link to chat)	Does Jeremy Jeffress close to start the season? Do Hader or Knebel take it away from him? (tallahassee from Chatham, NJ)	I think this depends a lot on what the Brewer want to do with the "closer" role. If they value having a guy who is "restricted" to the ninth inning, rather than a floater who's tasked with entering a game at the highest-leverage spots, then I think that either Jeffress or Knebel are going to be in that spot ... but I might put Corey Knebel there instead. He had a bad run for a while last year, but I think CK is the more talented pitcher. Hader is too valuable as a roving weapon (plus managers don't usually like lefty closers) for him to be shoehorned into that one-inning, ninth-inning role. (Bryan Grosnick)
2016-01-14 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Who are some young RP prospects that make an impact in the majors this season? (ColeWhittier from Pasadena, CA)	I hate this question, just because this is a guessing game that has as much to do with opportunity and the ineffectiveness of others in a bullpen as it does with any prospect relievers. Corey Knebel in Milwaukee interests me because the opportunity is there, and by law we have to root for Kyle Barraclough because George Bissell likes him (Mike Gianella)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)	As you probably know Corey Knebel just got traded to the Texas Rangers. Is he still worth stashing on my dynasty team in the hopes he becomes a closer? Detroit drafted him with the idea that he could close eventually or at least that the word they were putting out there. He had an excellent reputation as a college closer. Who is going to get saves now in Texas? Neil Cotts? Neftali Feliz? Will the Rangers seek a 'name' closer in the off season? (Shoeless Joe from Wisconsin)	I think he's worth the long play given Feliz's health track record and Knebel's ability (that's a real damn hammer) but I would be quick on the trigger to cut him if you need a piece. Closers are the most fungible fantasy asset. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-05-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Can you tell me anything about Corey Knebel? Any chance that the Tigers convert him to a starter? (cracker73 from Florida)	Just about zero chance. But he could be a dominant reliever. His one-two punch is electric. (Bret Sayre)
2013-06-07 10:30:00 (link to chat)	How quickly can the Tigers three picks last night help out? All are college guys, close to majors? (Mark from Toledo)	Detroit grabbed Jonathon Crawford (rhp, Florida), Kevin Ziomek (lhp, Vandy) and Corey Knebel (rhp, Texas) with their three day one selections, and all have their share of evaluators who feel they are bullpen arms long term. Ziomek is still partaking in college ball (Super Regionals this weekend, followed by Omaha if Vandy wins) so his pro load will depend on when he signs and how many innings he's thrown. Knebel will flash "now" stuff that can get out MLB bats, but in my opinion is too inconsistent to be trusted with meaningful innings this year. He could be ready at some point next year. I'd assume Crawford was drafted with starting in mind. He'll need some minor league innings to try and find more command of his stuff--maybe a 2015 ETA? (Nick Faleris on the MLB Draft)

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC

Corey Knebel has thrown 6,044 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2014 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (92mph) and Curve (77mph). He also rarely throws a Slider (86mph).

Baseball Prospectus