Biographical

Portrait of Corey Knebel

Corey Knebel P  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
55.3 2.62 1.07 79 3 1 19 1.1
Birth Date11-26-1991
Height6' 3"
Weight224 lbs
Age30 years, 5 months, 29 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.32015
-0.22016
1.82017
1.52018
1.12019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2014 DET MLB 8 0 8.7 0 0 0 11 3 11 0 103 11.4 3.1 0.0 11.4 0% .440 1.62 1.66 6.23 102 3.41 83.6 0.1
2015 MIL MLB 48 0 50.3 0 0 0 44 17 58 8 98 7.9 3.0 1.4 10.4 0% .290 1.21 4.05 3.22 91 4.18 97.7 0.3
2016 MIL MLB 35 0 32.7 1 4 2 32 16 38 3 97 8.8 4.4 0.8 10.5 43% .333 1.47 3.61 4.68 104 5.45 120.6 -0.2
2017 MIL MLB 76 0 76.0 1 4 39 48 40 126 6 5.7 4.7 0.7 14.9 39% .311 1.16 2.54 1.78 77 3.09 65.7 1.8
2018 MIL MLB 57 0 55.3 4 3 16 38 22 88 7 94 6.2 3.6 1.1 14.3 50% .304 1.08 2.99 3.58 69 2.53 56.5 1.5
CareerMLB2240223.0611571739832124647.04.01.013.044%.3241.223.123.15833.5579.43.5

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2013 WMI A MID 31 0 31.0 2 1 15 14 10 41 0 4.1 2.9 0.0 11.9 0% .212 0.77 1.65 0.87 67 1.42 30.8
2014 DET MLB AL 8 0 8.7 0 0 0 11 3 11 0 103 11.4 3.1 0.0 11.4 0% .440 1.62 1.66 6.23 102 3.41 83.6
2014 ERI AA EAS 11 0 15.0 3 0 1 8 8 23 1 4.8 4.8 0.6 13.8 0% .241 1.07 2.75 1.20 74 2.38 50.3
2014 ROU AAA PCL 9 0 12.0 1 0 0 9 5 20 2 6.8 3.8 1.5 15.0 0% .318 1.17 4.02 3.75 64 2.10 44.4
2014 TOL AAA INT 14 0 18.3 1 1 2 6 9 20 0 2.9 4.4 0.0 9.8 0% .158 0.82 2.96 1.96 87 2.26 47.9
2015 MIL MLB NL 48 0 50.3 0 0 0 44 17 58 8 98 7.9 3.0 1.4 10.4 0% .290 1.21 4.05 3.22 91 4.18 97.7
2015 CSP AAA PCL 16 0 15.3 1 2 6 14 7 22 1 8.2 4.1 0.6 12.9 0% .371 1.37 2.94 4.70 72 3.01 66.0
2016 MIL MLB NL 35 0 32.7 1 4 2 32 16 38 3 97 8.8 4.4 0.8 10.5 43% .333 1.47 3.61 4.68 104 5.45 120.6
2016 BRV A+ FSL 2 1 3.0 0 0 0 2 1 6 0 113 6.0 3.0 0.0 18.0 40% .400 1.00 0.25 0.00 55 2.41 53.3
2016 CSP AAA PCL 11 2 13.7 1 0 2 5 3 14 0 75 3.3 2.0 0.0 9.2 66% .172 0.59 2.33 1.32 71 1.25 27.5
2017 MIL MLB NL 76 0 76.0 1 4 39 48 40 126 6 5.7 4.7 0.7 14.9 39% .311 1.16 2.54 1.78 77 3.09 65.7
2018 MIL MLB NL 57 0 55.3 4 3 16 38 22 88 7 94 6.2 3.6 1.1 14.3 50% .304 1.08 2.99 3.58 69 2.53 56.5
2018 BLX AA SOU 3 0 2.7 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 3.4 3.4 0.0 13.5 60% .200 0.75 1.49 0.00 91 3.51 74.2
2018 CSP AAA PCL 1 0 1.0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 9.0 9.0 0.0 9.0 67% .333 2.00 4.74 0.00 112 6.78 143.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2014 171 0.5088 0.3977 0.7206 0.5632 0.2262 0.7959 0.5263 0.2794
2015 819 0.4994 0.4689 0.7682 0.6528 0.2854 0.8390 0.6068 0.2318
2016 603 0.4809 0.4046 0.7705 0.6000 0.2236 0.8276 0.6286 0.2295
2017 1373 0.4880 0.4312 0.6470 0.5910 0.2788 0.7121 0.5153 0.3530
2018 986 0.5193 0.4493 0.6772 0.6094 0.2764 0.7404 0.5267 0.3228
Career39520.49800.43800.70170.60860.26890.76670.55490.2983

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-18 - Minors - - Right Elbow Sprain Ulnar Collateral Ligament -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2022 PHI $10,000,000
2021 LAN $5,250,000
2020 MIL $5,125,000
2019 MIL $5,125,000
2018 MIL $3,650,000
2017 MIL $538,900
2016 MIL $513,000
2015 MIL $
2014 DET $
YearsDescriptionSalary
6 yrPrevious$20,201,900
2019Current$10,000,000
7 yrPvs + Cur$30,201,900
7 yrTotal$30,201,900

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
6 y 151 dExcel1 year/$10M (2022)

Details
  • 1 year/$10M (2022). Signed by Philadelphia as a free agent 11/30/21. Performance bonuses: $50,000 each for 45, 50, 55, 60 games finished.
  • 1 year/$5.25M (2021). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 1/14/21 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$5.125M (2020). Re-signed by Milwaukee 12/11/19 (avoided arbitration). Award bonus: $50,000 for Comeback Player of the Year. Acquired by LA Dodgers in trade from Milwaukee 12/2/20.
  • 1 year/$5.125M (2019). Re-signed by Milwaukee 1/11/19 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$3.65M (2018). Re-signed by Milwaukee 1/12/18 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year (2017). Re-signed by Milwaukee 3/17.
  • 1 year/$513,000 (2016). Re-signed by Milwaukee 3/16.
  • 2015. Acquired by Milwaukee in trade from Texas 1/19/15. Signed by Milwaukee 3/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Detroit 5/23/14. Acquired by Texas in trade from Detroit 7/22/14 (Soria deal).
  • Drafted by Detroit 2013 (1s-39) (Texas) (competitive-balance pick acquired from Miami). $1.4334M signing bonus (slot amount).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 12 0 26.6 69 0 70.4 37 25 99 4 .238 0.88 1.73 1.93 7.6 0.8
80o 10.8 0 23.9 63 0 64.3 37 25 91 4 .253 0.96 2.08 2.31 4.4 0.5
70o 9.9 0 22 59 0 60.0 37 24 85 4 .264 1.01 2.33 2.59 2.3 0.2
60o 9.2 0 20.5 55 0 56.4 36 24 80 4 .273 1.06 2.55 2.82 0.8 0.1
50o 8.6 0 19.1 52 0 53.1 35 23 75 4 .282 1.11 2.76 3.05 -0.6 -0.1
40o 8 0 17.8 49 0 49.9 35 23 71 4 .290 1.16 2.96 3.28 -1.7 -0.2
30o 7.3 0 16.4 46 0 46.5 34 22 66 4 .299 1.21 3.19 3.53 -2.8 -0.3
20o 6.6 0 14.9 42 0 42.7 33 22 60 4 .310 1.27 3.46 3.82 -3.9 -0.4
10o 5.7 0 12.8 37 0 37.5 31 20 53 3 .325 1.36 3.84 4.24 -5.1 -0.6
Weighted Mean8.501952052.63523744.2791.102.733.02-0.40.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2020284215740785031108645.2941.032.693.115.73.612.40.71.6
202129311261064432888545.2981.102.923.376.03.912.30.71.1
202230421367071463097645.2941.072.863.305.83.812.30.81.3
202331311158062412684545.2981.082.903.356.03.812.20.71.1
202432311158061412682545.2961.102.943.406.03.812.10.71.0
202533311052055382375545.3041.102.923.376.23.712.20.81.0
202634311051055372373545.3001.102.983.446.13.812.00.80.9
20273531947050342068445.3001.082.953.416.13.612.20.70.8
20283621844046321962445.2971.103.043.516.23.712.00.80.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 68)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 89 Cody Allen 2016 3.04
2 81 Ken Giles 2018 5.01
3 77 Jordan Walden 2015 0.87
4 76 Armando Benitez 2000 2.84
5 76 Carter Capps 2018 0.00 DNP
6 76 Jonathan Broxton 2011 7.11
7 76 Hong-Chih Kuo 2009 3.00
8 75 Kenley Jansen 2015 2.41
9 74 Randy Myers 1990 2.49
10 73 Ugueth Urbina 2001 3.92
11 73 Aroldis Chapman 2015 1.76
12 73 Rex Brothers 2015 1.74
13 73 Addison Reed 2016 2.20
14 72 Trevor Rosenthal 2017 3.78
15 72 Kyle Barraclough 2017 3.41
16 72 Chasen Shreve 2018 4.61
17 72 Bryan Harvey 1990 3.36
18 71 Antonio Bastardo 2013 2.53
19 71 Kevin Siegrist 2017 4.81
20 71 Louis Coleman 2013 0.61
21 70 John Rocker 2002 7.03
22 70 John Wetteland 1994 3.11
23 70 Tony Sipp 2011 3.18
24 69 Arodys Vizcaino 2018 2.11
25 69 Sean Doolittle 2014 2.73
26 69 Jake McGee 2014 1.89
27 69 Bruce Rondon 2018 9.10
28 69 Huston Street 2011 4.32
29 69 Greg Holland 2013 1.48
30 68 Jose Valverde 2005 2.58
31 68 Mark Clear 1983 6.75
32 68 Luke Gregerson 2011 3.72
33 68 Bob James 1986 5.55
34 68 Mark Wohlers 1997 3.76
35 68 Steve Bedrosian 1985 4.40
36 68 Sergio Santos 2011 3.55
37 68 Francisco Rodriguez 2009 4.50
38 68 Billy Wagner 1999 1.69
39 68 Frank Dipino 1984 3.82
40 68 Vinnie Pestano 2012 2.57
41 67 Pat Neshek 2008 5.40
42 67 Mark Littell 1980 9.28
43 67 Greg McMichael 1994 4.60
44 67 Mark Eichhorn 1988 4.46
45 67 Ricky Bottalico 1997 3.77
46 67 Dan Plesac 1989 2.35
47 67 Mike Schooler 1990 2.89
48 67 David Robertson 2012 2.82
49 67 Michael Gonzalez 2005 2.70
50 67 Al Alburquerque 2013 4.59
51 66 Joakim Soria 2011 4.33
52 66 Boone Logan 2012 3.90
53 66 Rafael Soriano 2007 3.25
54 66 Aaron Barrett 2015 4.60
55 66 Dick Radatz 1964 2.52
56 66 Brad Lidge 2004 2.00
57 66 Brian Bruney 2009 3.92
58 66 Troy Percival 1997 3.46
59 65 Lefty Grove 1927 4.09
60 65 Rich Thompson 2012 12.00
61 65 Edwar Ramirez 2008 4.23
62 65 Will Smith 2017 0.00 DNP
63 65 Mariano Rivera 1997 2.13
64 65 Joba Chamberlain 2013 4.93
65 65 Brandon Morrow 2012 3.25
66 64 Andrew Brown 2008 3.34
67 64 Duane Ward 1991 3.02
68 64 Tug McGraw 1972 2.29
69 64 Santiago Casilla 2008 3.93
70 64 Jason Motte 2009 5.24
71 64 Ryan Dull 2017 6.43
72 64 Mychal Givens 2017 2.63
73 64 David Riske 2004 3.72
74 64 Ian Krol 2018 0.00
75 64 Dave Smith 1982 4.26
76 64 Fernando Salas 2012 4.45
77 63 Manny Delcarmen 2009 5.43
78 63 Alexi Ogando 2011 3.83
79 63 Robb Nen 1997 4.26
80 63 Jonathan Sanchez 2010 3.44
81 63 Al Hrabosky 1977 4.69
82 63 Trevor Hildenberger 2018 5.67
83 63 Sergio Romo 2010 2.32
84 62 Karl Best 1986 4.79
85 62 Shawn Tolleson 2015 3.11
86 62 Jerry Blevins 2011 4.45
87 62 Mario Soto 1984 3.87
88 62 Kyle McClellan 2011 4.51
89 62 Tim Stoddard 1980 2.83
90 62 Mike Benacka 2010 0.00 DNP
91 62 Chad Cordero 2009 0.00 DNP
92 62 Scott Garrelts 1989 2.70
93 62 Rich Gossage 1979 2.78
94 62 Kelvin Herrera 2017 5.01
95 62 Danny Patterson 1998 4.75
96 62 Yu Darvish 2014 3.30
97 62 Brad Boxberger 2015 4.29
98 62 David Aardsma 2009 2.90
99 61 Hideo Nomo 1996 3.67
100 61 Chris Perez 2013 4.50

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 So much about Knebel's life screams "Texas": He was born in Denton, went to college at UT-Austin, stands 6-foot-4 and has a four-seamer that touches triple digits to go with a curveball that falls off the table. That profile helped Knebel become one of the best relievers in baseball in 2017. He posted the 12th-best DRA and sixth-best cFIP of any major-league pitcher (min. 50 IP), which suggests his breakout performance wasn't a fluke. He tied with Craig Kimbrel for the most strikeouts by a reliever and had two more than teammate Zach Davies notched in his 33 starts. Despite his background Knebel is a die-hard Packers fan, which may endear him to the good people of Milwaukee, although perhaps not as much as his dominance in the ninth.
2017 Scouting reports have branded Knebel a potential back-end reliever, and 2016 stands as his first trial by fire. Knebel entered 40 percent of his appearances when the game was within one run and another 31 percent with two- or three-run leads. This proved to be a big test for Knebel, who was often spelled by manager Craig Counsell in favor of Jhan Marinez, Carlos Torres, Blaine Boyer or Tyler Thornburg when trouble showed. For this reason, six of Knebelā€™s 20 runs allowed were inherited runners scored, which leads one to ask whether the righty should have been allowed to work out of his own jams. Oddly enough, Knebel ratcheted up his big-rising fastball with more velocity and arm-side run in 2016, but could not draw more whiffs. If the trend holds, go bullish on Knebel taking his next step as a high-leverage reliever.
2016 Corey Knebel is a potential back-end reliever who stands 6-foot-4 with a mid-to-high-90s fastball and a no-shit curveball. With only that information provided, you already know he's a Texan.
2015 Half of the package the Rangers received from Detroit for Joakim Soria, the hard-throwing Texan (stop me if you've heard that before) has the potential to fire two plus-plus pitches, his fastball and curve, in a high-leverage bullpen role. Health willing, he could do that as soon as this season. Of course that's anything but a given considering Knebel was shut down in mid-August with the harbinger of doom that is a UCL sprain, though surgery is not currently planned and his rehabilitation progress has been encouraging. The raw skills are there for Knebel to choose his own entrance music. And no matter what, his place in baseball history is secure: He was selected with the first MLB draft pick to be included in a trade.
2014 Corey Knebel, a 2013 supplemental pick, wowed in his pro debut and even earned a special exemption to play in the Arizona Fall League. If left as a reliever, he could follow a fast-track path similar to that of Addison Reed.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2018-12-05 12:00:00 (link to chat)Does Jeremy Jeffress close to start the season? Do Hader or Knebel take it away from him?
(tallahassee from Chatham, NJ)
I think this depends a lot on what the Brewer want to do with the "closer" role. If they value having a guy who is "restricted" to the ninth inning, rather than a floater who's tasked with entering a game at the highest-leverage spots, then I think that either Jeffress or Knebel are going to be in that spot ... but I might put Corey Knebel there instead. He had a bad run for a while last year, but I think CK is the more talented pitcher. Hader is too valuable as a roving weapon (plus managers don't usually like lefty closers) for him to be shoehorned into that one-inning, ninth-inning role. (Bryan Grosnick)
2016-01-14 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who are some young RP prospects that make an impact in the majors this season?
(ColeWhittier from Pasadena, CA)
I hate this question, just because this is a guessing game that has as much to do with opportunity and the ineffectiveness of others in a bullpen as it does with any prospect relievers. Corey Knebel in Milwaukee interests me because the opportunity is there, and by law we have to root for Kyle Barraclough because George Bissell likes him (Mike Gianella)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat) As you probably know Corey Knebel just got traded to the Texas Rangers. Is he still worth stashing on my dynasty team in the hopes he becomes a closer? Detroit drafted him with the idea that he could close eventually or at least that the word they were putting out there. He had an excellent reputation as a college closer. Who is going to get saves now in Texas? Neil Cotts? Neftali Feliz? Will the Rangers seek a 'name' closer in the off season?
(Shoeless Joe from Wisconsin)
I think he's worth the long play given Feliz's health track record and Knebel's ability (that's a real damn hammer) but I would be quick on the trigger to cut him if you need a piece. Closers are the most fungible fantasy asset. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-05-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)Can you tell me anything about Corey Knebel? Any chance that the Tigers convert him to a starter?
(cracker73 from Florida)
Just about zero chance. But he could be a dominant reliever. His one-two punch is electric. (Bret Sayre)
2013-06-07 10:30:00 (link to chat)How quickly can the Tigers three picks last night help out? All are college guys, close to majors?
(Mark from Toledo)
Detroit grabbed Jonathon Crawford (rhp, Florida), Kevin Ziomek (lhp, Vandy) and Corey Knebel (rhp, Texas) with their three day one selections, and all have their share of evaluators who feel they are bullpen arms long term. Ziomek is still partaking in college ball (Super Regionals this weekend, followed by Omaha if Vandy wins) so his pro load will depend on when he signs and how many innings he's thrown. Knebel will flash "now" stuff that can get out MLB bats, but in my opinion is too inconsistent to be trusted with meaningful innings this year. He could be ready at some point next year. I'd assume Crawford was drafted with starting in mind. He'll need some minor league innings to try and find more command of his stuff--maybe a 2015 ETA? (Nick Faleris on the MLB Draft)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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