Biographical

Portrait of Nathan Eovaldi

Nathan Eovaldi PRed Sox

Red Sox Player Cards | Red Sox Team Audit | Red Sox Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 29)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
148.3 4.06 1.37 132 10 8 0 1.5
Birth Date2-13-1990
Height6' 2"
Weight225 lbs
Age29 years, 0 months, 7 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.62015
0.42016
2017
2.62018
1.52019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2011 LAN MLB 10 6 34.7 1 2 0 28 20 23 2 95 7.3 5.2 0.5 6.0 45% .263 1.38 4.31 3.63 119 5.69 132.3 -0.3
2012 LAN 0 10 10 56.3 1 6 0 63 20 34 5 93 10.1 3.2 0.8 5.4 49% .319 1.47 4.14 4.15 112 5.55 127.1 -0.2
2012 MIA 0 12 12 63.0 3 7 0 70 27 44 5 97 10.0 3.9 0.7 6.3 45% .316 1.54 4.19 4.43 106 5.12 117.3 0.0
2013 MIA MLB 18 18 106.3 4 6 0 100 40 78 7 98 8.5 3.4 0.6 6.6 46% .287 1.32 3.56 3.39 103 4.15 99.4 1.0
2014 MIA MLB 33 33 199.7 6 14 0 223 43 142 14 96 10.1 1.9 0.6 6.4 46% .323 1.33 3.34 4.37 100 3.97 97.4 2.1
2015 NYA MLB 27 27 154.3 14 3 0 175 49 121 10 106 10.2 2.9 0.6 7.1 53% .337 1.45 3.38 4.20 101 4.74 110.7 0.6
2016 NYA MLB 24 21 124.7 9 8 0 123 40 97 23 109 8.9 2.9 1.7 7.0 50% .275 1.31 4.93 4.76 110 5.08 112.3 0.4
2018 BOS 0 12 11 54.0 3 3 0 57 12 48 3 106 9.5 2.0 0.5 8.0 46% .325 1.28 2.91 3.33 89 3.28 73.2 1.3
2018 TBA 0 10 10 57.0 3 4 0 48 8 53 11 96 7.6 1.3 1.7 8.4 48% .245 0.98 4.31 4.26 89 3.19 71.3 1.4
2012 TOT MLB 22 22 119.3 4 13 0 133 47 78 10 95 10.0 3.5 0.8 5.9 47% .317 1.51 4.17 4.30 109 5.32 121.9 -0.2
2018 TOT MLB 22 21 111.0 6 7 0 105 20 101 14 101 8.5 1.6 1.1 8.2 47% .287 1.13 3.63 3.81 89 3.23 72.2 2.6
CareerMLB156148850.044530887259640801009.42.70.86.848%.3071.353.804.161034.46103.86.3

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2008 DGR Rk 6 0 8.0 0 1 1 6 3 9 0 50 6.8 3.4 0.0 10.1 67% .286 1.13 2.42 1.13 0 0.00 0.0
2008 OGD Rk 1 0 2.7 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 110 3.3 0.0 0.0 6.7 58% .250 0.37 2.68 0.00 0 0.00 0.0
2009 GRL A 26 16 96.3 3 5 1 95 41 71 2 109 8.9 3.8 0.2 6.6 49% .312 1.41 3.88 3.27 0 0.00 0.0
2010 SBR A+ 16 14 85.0 3 5 0 99 33 58 3 103 10.5 3.5 0.3 6.1 50% .354 1.55 4.12 4.45 0 0.00 0.0
2010 DOD Rk 3 3 8.3 0 1 0 6 4 10 0 49 6.5 4.3 0.0 10.8 68% .316 1.20 3.64 4.34 0 0.00 0.0
2010 OGD Rk 1 1 5.0 1 0 0 3 0 4 0 129 5.4 0.0 0.0 7.2 71% .324 0.60 2.94 1.80 0 0.00 0.0
2011 LAN MLB 10 6 34.7 1 2 0 28 20 23 2 95 7.3 5.2 0.5 6.0 45% .263 1.38 4.31 3.63 119 5.69 132.3
2011 CHT AA 20 19 103.0 6 5 0 76 46 99 3 114 6.6 4.0 0.3 8.7 51% .264 1.18 3.15 2.62 0 0.00 0.0
2012 LAN MLB 10 10 56.3 1 6 0 63 20 34 5 93 10.1 3.2 0.8 5.4 49% .319 1.47 4.14 4.15 112 5.55 127.1
2012 MIA MLB 12 12 63.0 3 7 0 70 27 44 5 97 10.0 3.9 0.7 6.3 45% .316 1.54 4.19 4.43 106 5.12 117.3
2012 CHT AA 9 8 35.0 2 2 0 30 13 30 2 106 7.7 3.3 0.5 7.7 57% .298 1.23 3.45 3.09 0 0.00 0.0
2013 MIA MLB 18 18 106.3 4 6 0 100 40 78 7 98 8.5 3.4 0.6 6.6 46% .287 1.32 3.56 3.39 103 4.15 99.4
2013 JUP A+ 2 2 9.0 0 1 0 9 2 6 1 90 9.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 43% .296 1.22 4.01 3.00 0 0.00 0.0
2013 JAX AA 3 3 11.7 1 0 0 13 4 9 0 95 10.0 3.1 0.0 6.9 50% .342 1.46 2.39 5.40 0 0.00 0.0
2014 MIA MLB 33 33 199.7 6 14 0 223 43 142 14 96 10.1 1.9 0.6 6.4 46% .323 1.33 3.34 4.37 100 3.97 97.4
2015 NYA MLB 27 27 154.3 14 3 0 175 49 121 10 106 10.2 2.9 0.6 7.1 53% .337 1.45 3.38 4.20 101 4.74 110.7
2016 NYA MLB 24 21 124.7 9 8 0 123 40 97 23 109 8.9 2.9 1.7 7.0 50% .275 1.31 4.93 4.76 110 5.08 112.3
2018 BOS MLB 12 11 54.0 3 3 0 57 12 48 3 106 9.5 2.0 0.5 8.0 46% .325 1.28 2.91 3.33 89 3.28 73.2
2018 TBA MLB 10 10 57.0 3 4 0 48 8 53 11 96 7.6 1.3 1.7 8.4 48% .245 0.98 4.31 4.26 89 3.19 71.3
2018 PCH A+ 3 3 6.0 0 0 0 6 0 7 2 100 9.0 0.0 3.0 10.5 47% .267 1.00 5.47 4.50 89 3.48 71.8
2018 DUR AAA 1 1 4.0 0 1 0 10 0 6 1 99 22.5 0.0 2.3 13.5 44% .600 2.50 3.58 18.00 78 2.25 48.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2011 592 0.5068 0.4476 0.7811 0.6167 0.2740 0.7892 0.7625 0.2189
2012 2052 0.5297 0.4586 0.8119 0.6109 0.2870 0.8494 0.7220 0.1881
2013 1682 0.5363 0.4572 0.8088 0.6364 0.2500 0.8676 0.6359 0.1912
2014 3144 0.5506 0.4930 0.8052 0.6678 0.2788 0.8668 0.6244 0.1948
2015 2633 0.4968 0.4713 0.7865 0.6430 0.3019 0.8609 0.6300 0.2135
2016 2049 0.5120 0.4778 0.7773 0.6292 0.3190 0.8348 0.6583 0.2227
2018 1784 0.5684 0.5376 0.7800 0.6854 0.3429 0.8360 0.6326 0.2200
Career139360.53040.48110.79470.64540.29480.85130.65310.2053

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-09-08 2013-09-18 DTD 10 11 - Back Soreness - -
2013-03-24 2013-06-18 60-DL 86 69 Right Shoulder Inflammation - -
2010-07-20 2010-08-20 Minors 31 0 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2007-05-01 2007-05-01 HS 0 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2007-05-01

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2022 BOS $17,000,000
2021 BOS $17,000,000
2020 BOS $17,000,000
2019 BOS $17,000,000
2018 TBA $2,000,000
2017 TBA $2,000,000
2016 NYA $5,600,000
2015 NYA $3,300,000
2014 MIA $517,000
2013 MIA $502,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
7 yrPrevious$13,919,000
2018Current$17,000,000
8 yrPvs + Cur$30,919,000
3 yrFuture$51,000,000
11 yrTotal$81,919,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
7 y 13 dACES4 years/$68M (2019-22)

Details
  • 4 years/$68M (2019-22). Re-signed by Boston as a free agent 12/6/18. 19-22: $17M annually.
  • 1 year/$2M (2017), plus 2018 club option. Signed by Tampa Bay as a free agent 2/12/17. 17:$2M, 18:$2M club option. Performance bonuses: $0.15M for 22 games started. $0.25M for 24 GS. $0.35M for 26 GS. $0.45M for 28 GS. $0.55M for 30 GS. $0.15M for 160 IP as starter. $0.25M for 170 IP as starter. $0.35M for 180 IP as starter. $0.45M for 190 IP as starter. $0.55M for 200 IP as starter. $0.1M for 40 IP as reliever. $0.125M for 45 IP as reliever. $0.15M for 50 IP as reliever. $0.175M for 55 IP as reliever. $0.2M for 60 IP as reliever. $0.1M for 40 relief appearances. $0.125M for 45 relief appearances. $0.15M for 50 relief appearances. $0.175M for 55 relief appearances, $0.2M for 60 relief appearances. $0.125M each for 25, 30 games finished. $0.15M for 35 GF. $0.175M for 40 GF. $0.2M for 45 GF. $0.225M for 50 GF. $0.25M each for 55, 60 GF. Tampa Bay exercised 2018 option 11/2/17.
  • 1 year/$5.6M (2016). Re-signed by NY Yankees 1/19/16 (avoided arbitration, $6.3M-$4.9M). DFA by NY Yankees 11/18/16. Released 11/23/16.
  • 1 year/$3.3M (2015). Re-signed by NY Yankees 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.517M (2014). Re-signed by Miami 3/1/14. Acquired by NY Yankees in trade from Miami 12/19/14.
  • 1 year/$0.502M (2013). Re-signed by Miami 2/20/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/12. Acquired by Miami in trade from LA Dodgers 7/25/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Contract purchased by LA Dodgers 8/6/11.
  • Drafted 2008 (11-337) (Alvin HS, Texas). $0.25M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 11.2 6.3 0 26 26 170.6 150 43 152 20 .272 1.13 3.04 3.46 31.3 3.4
80o 10.9 6.8 0 26 26 162.8 153 44 145 20 .286 1.21 3.39 3.84 25.4 2.8
70o 10.7 7.2 0 26 26 157.2 155 44 140 21 .296 1.27 3.64 4.12 21.0 2.3
60o 10.5 7.5 0 26 26 152.5 157 45 136 21 .304 1.32 3.86 4.36 17.2 1.9
50o 10.3 7.8 0 26 26 148.2 158 45 132 21 .312 1.37 4.07 4.59 13.6 1.5
40o 10.1 8.1 0 26 26 143.9 159 46 128 21 .320 1.42 4.28 4.82 10.0 1.1
30o 9.9 8.5 0 26 26 139.5 160 46 124 21 .328 1.48 4.51 5.07 6.0 0.7
20o 9.7 8.9 0 26 26 134.3 161 46 119 22 .338 1.55 4.77 5.36 1.5 0.2
10o 9.3 9.5 0 26 26 127.3 163 47 113 22 .352 1.64 5.16 5.78 -5.1 -0.6
Weighted Mean10.37.802626147.91564513121.3101.364.044.5614.11.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index )

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 Nathan Eovaldi will spend the spring trying to show that his second Tommy John surgery didn't rob him of his elite velocity.
2017 A second Tommy John surgery awaits Eovaldi, who partially tore the UCL in his right elbow and tore his flexor tendon off the bone in his right forearm. He’ll likely return in 2018 at age 28, which is troublesome considering he's very much still a work in progress as a starter. During his time with the Yankees, he increased his fastball velocity and added a cutter and splitter to his repertoire. While this equated in more swings outside the zone he still struggled as a starter, and very much earned a disastrous 5.08 ERA in the role. A move to the bullpen late in the season seemed to benefit Eovaldi, who tossed 7.2 scoreless frames as a reliever, and that could be his home when he finally heals.
2016 Eovaldi came to the Yankees as a guy with a reputation for throwing hard but giving up too many hits and failing to live up to his peripherals. He pretty much lived up, or down, to that reputation. The complaint here is that while he has top-notch heat, the secondary stuff just isn't there consistently. To his credit Eovaldi did develop a mightily intriguing splitter that did seem to help him down the stretch. He's old enough to no longer be considered a project, but unfortunately he still has all the characteristics of a project. The sterling 14-3 record might have helped him win friends with some over the course of the year, but frankly if you are reading this it's unlikely you are among them.
2015 Things went pretty well for Eovaldi last year, except when they didn't. The fireballing righty still hasn't found a way to translate his prodigious fastball velocity into strikeouts—he had the fourth-fastest heat but the 70th best K rate among qualified starters—but he has cut down on walks and started leaning more heavily on an improved slider. Throwing just under 200 innings during his age-24 season is a pretty neat trick as well. At the same time, he had a tough time stranding runners due to his lack of swing-and-miss stuff and propensity for pounding the zone. He had the second-lowest left-on-base percentage (66 percent) in baseball and the fourth-most hits allowed (223). He'll battle with Chris Capuano for starts in New York's rotation, which is fitting: They're essentially opposite pitchers who get almost the same results.
2014 Its one thing to have a powerful fastball, and its another to know what to do with it. In 2013, Eovaldis average fastball velocity of 97 mph was the best in baseball among starters (barely edging out Gerrit Cole), but his strikeout rate of 17.3 percent was more than 2.5 percentage points below league average. That comes partly from not inducing enough swings outside the strike zonehis 25 percent swing rate on such pitches was fourth-worst in baseball by a starter. On the bright side, he has increased the whiff rate on his slider each year hes been in the majors, reaching 33 percent in 2013. He might be an average major-league starter even without a grade jump in command, but the potential of his raw stuff has yet to be fulfilled.
2013 Many Marlins fans were disappointed when Eovaldi headlined the return package for Hanley Ramirez, but the former 11th-round pick flashed mid-rotation potential during his second tour of big-league duty. Eovaldis command needs work, but his fastball and slider are quality offerings and his changeup is steadily coming along. After enduring his worst month of the season in August, a six-start stretch marred by more walks than strikeouts, Eovaldi bounced back with a much-improved 3.38 K/BB ratio in September, and he will look to build off of that finish while competing for a rotation spot in spring training.
2012 Eovaldi's improved command of his 94-96 mph fastball and the rapid development of a new slider led to the best strikeout rate of his young career, not counting his 10 2/3 innings in rookie ball; just as importantly, he stayed healthy, and by the time he was recalled in early August, he had already thrown more innings than in any of his professional seasons. He delivered three quality starts out of six for the Dodgers, allowing more than two runs just once, before being effectively shut down due to innings concerns. Eovaldi's heavy fastball helps him keep the ball in the park, but he'll need to improve his secondary pitches and trim his walk rate significantly in order to have any staying power.
2011 Nathan Eovaldi, an 11th-round pick in 2008, has a high ceiling thanks to his mid-90s heat, but poor command and a lack of consistency with his breaking pitches have prevented him from turning it into strikeouts thus far. His future may be in the bullpen if he can't expand his arsenal.
2010 Tommy John surgery and a commitment to Texas A&M scared most teams off Nathan Eovaldi, but the Dodgers plucked him in the 11th round in 2008; he can pump his fastball into the mid-90s, but his secondary stuff is a work in progress.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Nathan Eovaldi

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-06-21 20:00:00 (link to chat)Will any of the following high K, high heartburn for their owner starters figure it out and finish strong? Nathan Karns, Nathan Eovaldi, Wei-Yen Chen, and Archie Bradley
(Big Jake from McCandles, TX)
Bradley is the best bet due to his young age - he could still figure a thing or two out and take a big step forward. He's also the biggest risk from this group. Eovaldi is frustrating since the premium velocity is there but the results rarely match the radar gun readings. Not sure why you included Chen as a high-K guy since he's posted a sub-8 K/9 every season since he came to the US. (Scooter Hotz)
2016-03-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think yankees lineup is good enough for playoff push? Is shelby miller even good? Can cano bounce back/ why are the mariners so wack?
(Neil Prasad from San Fransisco)
1) The lineup won't have to be that good if the rotation reaches its full potential. I still haven't sold all my "Nathan Eovaldi will one day finish in the top 5 in Cy Young Voting" stock options yet.
2) Yes.
3) Yes, and the Mariners will probably finish at least at .500, and in a division that didn't have two, maybe three other good teams, depending on how you feel about the Angels, they'd be a dark horse Wild Card candidate. (Michael Baumann)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)What is your take on Nathan Eovaldi? I thought he was going to make big strides this year, and I have not seen it at all.
(Frank from Florida)
Craig Goldstein wrote a really good article on him earlier in the year, you can read it here: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=23568

Ultimately the adjustments that he made were adjusted to in my mind and I don't think he has the ability to make a huge leap forward. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Nathan Eovaldi has looked really solid so far this season. Has he finally turned it around, even though he still really only has the 1 pitch, or is he just really lucky?
(Cole from Texas)
I disagree that he has just one pitch. He was one of my absolute favorites coming into the season. His slider is great and the curveball is coming on, too. He's one of the hardest throwers in the game and he's really added consistency to his game this year, too (Paul Sporer)
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Which young power arm will take the MLB by storm this summer?
(Dan from VA)
Nathan Eovaldi.

Ok, we have a second meme #EovaldiEvolution (Doug Thorburn)
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)If you could add a 6-grade pitch to any pitcher's repetoire in baseball, who would have the biggest improvement as a result? Ideally, I'd like to know the pitch and the pitcher who would be the happiest marriage.
(Steve from Philly)
Such a cool question, Steve.

There are so many guys who could be nuts with a 6-grade changeup. My favorite example is Jordan Zimmermann, who is already there with command of the fastball and both breaking pitches. Give him a cambio and he could be deadly.

Nathan Eovaldi would probably see the greatest gain from adding a changeup, and he was working on refining his change in the off-season, so it will be interesting to see how that pitch develops.

Oh, and can you imagine what Kershaw could do with a 6 CH? (Doug Thorburn)
2014-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Best dynasty league keeper: Lance Lynn or Nathan Eovaldi? Why?
(cracker73 from Florida)
That's tough. I really like both. Lynn is more actualized, but Eovaldi has the higher ceiling. I think I'd lean toward the latter because of that ceiling. (Paul Sporer)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)I like Nathan Eovaldi's fast ball. Does he ever develop the rest of his repotoire and find success?
(CaptnAmerca from Dunedin, FL)
At this point I don't see it happening. The fastball is always going to be the main attraction. (Mark Anderson)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Nathan Eovaldi.Been watching all his august-sptember starts and happen to think he's very much under-the-radar.What's your opinion ?
(Spirou from Montreal)
He's waaaay under the radar. He was someone I recommended as a spot starter a decent bit late last year. Caught some of his duds, but got the gems, too. Good eye, Spirou, he is one to pay attention to for deeper league players. (Paul Sporer)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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