Biographical

Portrait of Carlos Carrasco

Carlos Carrasco PIndians

Indians Player Cards | Indians Team Audit | Indians Depth Chart

2018 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 31)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
84.0 3.33 1.20 92 6 3 0 1.7
Birth Date3-21-1987
Height6' 3"
Weight212 lbs
Age31 years, 3 months, 3 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
3.92014
5.62015
3.92016
6.42017
3.42018
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2009 CLE MLB 5 5 22.3 0 4 0 40 11 11 6 .255 103 16.1 4.4 2.4 4.4 48% .405 .379 2.28 7.12 8.87 102 5.79 124.2 -0.1
2010 CLE MLB 7 7 44.7 2 2 0 47 14 38 6 .255 107 9.5 2.8 1.2 7.7 57% .318 .281 1.37 4.10 3.83 82 3.95 89.2 0.7
2011 CLE MLB 21 21 124.7 8 9 0 130 40 85 15 .264 100 9.4 2.9 1.1 6.1 51% .293 .276 1.36 4.31 4.62 105 4.67 108.5 0.6
2013 CLE MLB 15 7 46.7 1 4 0 64 18 30 4 .263 98 12.3 3.5 0.8 5.8 50% .364 .322 1.76 4.12 6.75 103 5.02 120.2 -0.1
2014 CLE MLB 40 14 134.0 8 7 1 103 29 140 7 .263 104 6.9 1.9 0.5 9.4 54% .274 .204 0.99 2.46 2.55 74 2.35 57.7 3.9
2015 CLE MLB 30 30 183.7 14 12 0 154 43 216 18 .262 105 7.5 2.1 0.9 10.6 53% .304 .227 1.07 2.80 3.63 71 2.50 58.3 5.6
2016 CLE MLB 25 25 146.3 11 8 0 134 34 150 21 .260 112 8.2 2.1 1.3 9.2 50% .289 .234 1.15 3.67 3.32 80 3.03 67.0 3.9
2017 CLE MLB 32 32 200.0 18 6 0 173 46 226 21 .252 105 7.8 2.1 0.9 10.2 47% .307 .228 1.09 3.08 3.29 72 2.69 57.2 6.4
2018 CLE MLB 15 15 91.3 8 5 0 85 22 96 11 .264 104 8.4 2.2 1.1 9.5 44% .306 .239 1.17 3.43 4.24 90 3.64 83.0 1.7
CareerMLB190156993.770571930257992109.2601058.42.31.09.050%.305.2441.193.403.82833.3676.721.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2005 LWD A 13 13 62.7 1 7 0 78 28 46 11 .260 85 11.2 4.0 1.6 6.6 43% .330 .298 1.69 5.90 7.03 0 0.00 0.0
2005 BAT A- 4 4 15.3 0 3 0 29 5 12 8 .275 73 17.1 2.9 4.7 7.1 35% .382 .478 2.22 10.02 13.53 0 0.00 0.0
2006 LWD A 26 26 159.1 12 6 0 103 65 159 6 .262 81 5.8 3.7 0.3 9.0 51% .260 .205 1.06 3.19 2.26 93 2.94 92.7
2007 CLR A+ 12 12 69.7 6 2 0 49 22 53 8 .253 100 6.3 2.8 1.0 6.8 47% .218 .221 1.02 4.48 2.84 97 2.64 89.3
2007 REA AA 14 13 70.3 6 4 0 65 46 49 9 .257 112 8.3 5.9 1.2 6.3 38% .264 .265 1.58 5.70 4.86 138 9.13 119.0
2008 REA AA 20 19 114.7 7 7 0 109 45 109 13 .253 107 8.6 3.5 1.0 8.6 47% .308 .248 1.34 4.12 4.32 79 2.51 53.3
2008 LEH AAA 6 6 36.7 2 2 0 37 13 46 1 .269 88 9.1 3.2 0.2 11.3 50% .353 .252 1.36 2.31 1.72 75 2.18 47.8
2009 CLE MLB 5 5 22.3 0 4 0 40 11 11 6 .255 103 16.1 4.4 2.4 4.4 48% .405 .379 2.28 7.12 8.87 102 5.79 124.2
2009 COH AAA 6 6 42.3 5 1 0 31 7 36 3 .248 112 6.6 1.5 0.6 7.7 40% .233 .203 0.90 2.86 3.19 86 2.20 49.6
2009 LEH AAA 20 20 114.7 6 9 0 118 38 112 14 .245 105 9.3 3.0 1.1 8.8 43% .315 .261 1.36 3.96 5.18 86 2.71 61.0
2010 CLE MLB 7 7 44.7 2 2 0 47 14 38 6 .255 107 9.5 2.8 1.2 7.7 57% .318 .281 1.37 4.10 3.83 82 3.95 89.2
2010 COH AAA 25 25 150.3 10 6 0 139 46 133 16 .257 108 8.3 2.8 1.0 8.0 49% .291 .237 1.23 3.96 3.65 82 2.60 55.8
2011 CLE MLB 21 21 124.7 8 9 0 130 40 85 15 .264 100 9.4 2.9 1.1 6.1 51% .293 .276 1.36 4.31 4.62 105 4.67 108.5
2011 AKR AA 1 1 3.7 0 0 0 4 3 3 1 .271 85 9.8 7.4 2.5 7.4 58% .273 .327 1.91 8.58 9.82 105 5.31 114.7
2013 CLE MLB 15 7 46.7 1 4 0 64 18 30 4 .263 98 12.3 3.5 0.8 5.8 50% .364 .322 1.76 4.12 6.75 103 5.02 120.2
2013 COH AAA 16 14 71.7 3 1 1 59 21 79 6 .255 101 7.4 2.6 0.8 9.9 45% .285 .234 1.12 3.21 3.14 79 2.57 59.1
2014 CLE MLB 40 14 134.0 8 7 1 103 29 140 7 .263 104 6.9 1.9 0.5 9.4 54% .274 .204 0.99 2.46 2.55 74 2.35 57.7
2015 CLE MLB 30 30 183.7 14 12 0 154 43 216 18 .262 105 7.5 2.1 0.9 10.6 53% .304 .227 1.07 2.80 3.63 71 2.50 58.3
2016 CLE MLB 25 25 146.3 11 8 0 134 34 150 21 .260 112 8.2 2.1 1.3 9.2 50% .289 .234 1.15 3.67 3.32 80 3.03 67.0
2016 AKR AA 1 1 4.0 0 0 0 7 1 6 1 .267 100 15.8 2.2 2.2 13.5 55% .600 .364 2.00 4.35 2.25 87 3.66 81.9
2017 CLE MLB 32 32 200.0 18 6 0 173 46 226 21 .252 105 7.8 2.1 0.9 10.2 47% .307 .228 1.09 3.08 3.29 72 2.69 57.2
2018 CLE MLB 15 15 91.3 8 5 0 85 22 96 11 .264 104 8.4 2.2 1.1 9.5 44% .306 .239 1.17 3.43 4.24 90 3.64 83.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 395 0.4937 0.4456 0.8352 0.6410 0.2550 0.9120 0.6471 0.1648
2010 675 0.5244 0.4563 0.7532 0.6017 0.2960 0.8638 0.5053 0.2468
2011 1867 0.5270 0.4730 0.8052 0.6209 0.3080 0.8740 0.6507 0.1948
2013 779 0.4788 0.5160 0.8184 0.6810 0.3645 0.9134 0.6554 0.1816
2014 1947 0.5044 0.5018 0.7124 0.6365 0.3648 0.8384 0.4886 0.2876
2015 2765 0.4687 0.5146 0.7098 0.6620 0.3846 0.8427 0.5080 0.2902
2016 2230 0.4839 0.4910 0.7269 0.6413 0.3501 0.8483 0.5186 0.2731
2017 3033 0.4837 0.4840 0.7016 0.6278 0.3493 0.8447 0.4607 0.2984
2018 1307 0.4843 0.4790 0.6965 0.5940 0.3709 0.8590 0.4520 0.3035
Career149980.49090.49060.73260.63540.35060.85510.52160.2674

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-06-29 2013-06-29 DTD 0 0 - Low Back Spasms - -
2013-04-25 2013-04-25 Minors 0 0 Right Forearm Contusion - -
2012-03-15 2012-10-04 60-DL 203 162 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2011-09-21 -
2011-08-04 2011-09-29 60-DL 56 54 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2011-09-21 -
2011-04-25 2011-05-10 15-DL 15 12 Right Elbow Inflammation -
2010-07-26 2010-08-07 Minors 12 0 Not Disclosed -
2010-07-20 2010-07-20 Minors 0 0 Right Forearm Strain -
2009-10-01 2009-10-01 DTD 0 0 Thigh Contusion Batted Ball -
2008-06-28 2008-07-11 Minors 13 0 Right Shoulder Stiffness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 CLE $662,500
2018 CLE $8,000,000
2017 CLE $6,500,000
2016 CLE $4,500,000
2015 CLE $2,337,500
2014 CLE $504,700
2013 CLE $490,000
2012 CLE $488,500
2011 CLE $415,800
YearsDescriptionSalary
7 yrPrevious$15,236,500
2018Current$8,000,000
8 yrPvs + Cur$23,236,500
1 yrFuture$662,500
9 yrTotal$23,899,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
6 y 147 dLevinsons ACES4 years/$22M (2015-18), 2019-20 options

Details
  • 4 years/$22M (2015-18), plus 2019-20 club options. Signed extension with Cleveland 4/6/15, expanding one-year contract for $2.3375M signed 1/15/15, avoiding arbitration. 15:$2.3375M, 16:$4.5M, 17:$6.5M, 18:$8M, 19:$9M club option ($0.6625M buyout), 20:$9.5M club option ($0.6625M buyout). Club options may increase by $4M each based on finishes in Cy Young voting.
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/10/14.
  • 1 year/$0.49M (2013). Renewed by Cleveland 3/11/13. DFA by Cleveland 7/7/13 (optional assignment).
  • 1 year/$0.4885M (2012). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.4158M (2011). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/8/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/10/10. Optioned to Triple-A 4/1/10.
  • 1 year/$0.4M (2009). Contract purchased by Philadelphia 11/18/08. Re-signed by Philadelphia 2/23/09. Optioned 3/30/09. Acquired by Cleveland in trade from Philadelphia 7/29/09 (Cliff Lee deal). Recalled 9/1/09.
  • Signed by Philadelphia 2003 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela. $0.3M signing bonus.

2018 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 6.8 3 0 14 14 97.7 76 25 107 10 .271 1.03 2.47 2.85 23.6 2.6
80o 6.7 3.2 0 14 14 92.9 76 25 101 10 .281 1.09 2.76 3.18 20.8 2.3
70o 6.6 3.4 0 14 14 89.5 76 25 98 10 .289 1.13 2.97 3.42 18.7 2.0
60o 6.5 3.5 0 14 14 86.6 76 25 95 10 .296 1.17 3.15 3.63 16.9 1.8
50o 6.4 3.6 0 14 14 84.0 76 25 92 10 .302 1.20 3.33 3.82 15.2 1.7
40o 6.3 3.7 0 14 14 81.4 76 25 89 10 .308 1.24 3.51 4.02 13.5 1.5
30o 6.2 3.9 0 14 14 78.6 75 25 86 10 .314 1.27 3.69 4.23 11.7 1.3
20o 6.1 4 0 14 14 75.5 75 25 82 10 .322 1.32 3.92 4.48 9.5 1.0
10o 5.9 4.3 0 14 14 71.1 74 24 78 10 .332 1.39 4.23 4.83 6.5 0.7
Weighted Mean6.43.60141483.975259210.3011.193.323.8115.31.7

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2018 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201932111003131197178602152448.3001.213.613.908.12.79.81.13.7
20203310902727165153501822148.3071.233.623.918.32.79.91.13.2
20213411902929176162551922248.3031.233.663.968.32.89.81.13.3
2022359802525145135451581948.3061.243.683.988.42.89.81.22.8
2023368702121123115381321648.3021.243.744.048.42.89.61.22.3
2024377702020119110371291648.3031.243.754.058.32.89.81.22.2
202538660171710195311091348.3051.253.764.068.52.89.71.21.8
2026395501515878227931148.3061.263.784.088.52.89.71.11.6
2027405401313757124801048.3041.273.814.128.52.99.61.21.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Corey Kluber 2017 2.47
2 89 Adam Wainwright 2013 3.09
3 88 David Price 2017 3.62
4 88 Erik Bedard 2010 0.00 DNP
5 88 A.J. Burnett 2008 4.43
6 87 John Lackey 2010 4.77
7 86 Cliff Lee 2010 3.56
8 86 Johan Santana 2010 3.03
9 86 Anibal Sanchez 2015 5.10
10 85 Roger Clemens 1994 3.22
11 85 Don Sutton 1976 3.30
12 85 CC Sabathia 2012 4.00
13 84 Jose Rijo 1996 0.00 DNP
14 83 Ben Sheets 2010 4.90
15 83 Jon Lester 2015 3.64
16 83 Ted Higuera 1989 3.72
17 83 Felix Hernandez 2017 4.78
18 83 Zack Greinke 2015 1.74
19 82 Jake Peavy 2012 3.62
20 82 Gio Gonzalez 2017 3.09
21 82 Dan Haren 2012 4.79
22 81 C.J. Wilson 2012 4.54
23 81 Cole Hamels 2015 3.73
24 81 John Smoltz 1998 3.11
25 81 Josh Johnson 2015 0.00 DNP
26 81 Justin Verlander 2014 4.98
27 80 Sandy Koufax 1967 0.00 DNP
28 80 Gavin Floyd 2014 3.81
29 80 Bret Saberhagen 1995 4.59
30 80 Gaylord Perry 1970 3.78
31 80 Roy Oswalt 2009 4.12
32 79 Kelvim Escobar 2007 3.63
33 79 Mike Garcia 1955 4.27
34 79 Clay Buchholz 2016 5.17
35 79 Jordan Zimmermann 2017 6.24
36 78 Homer Bailey 2017 6.63
37 78 Matt Garza 2015 6.17
38 78 Jered Weaver 2014 3.67
39 78 Warren Spahn 1952 3.26
40 78 Chris Carpenter 2006 3.29
41 78 Bob Gibson 1967 3.18
42 77 Francisco Liriano 2015 3.62
43 77 Frank Viola 1991 4.36
44 77 Kevin Millwood 2006 4.77
45 77 Wandy Rodriguez 2010 4.38
46 77 Carlos Zambrano 2012 5.10
47 77 Shaun Marcum 2013 5.51
48 76 Gil Meche 2010 6.13
49 76 Andy Messersmith 1977 4.75
50 76 Juan Marichal 1969 2.70
51 76 Josh Beckett 2011 3.03
52 76 Matt Cain 2016 5.84
53 76 Mike Fiers 2016 4.75
54 76 Brandon Morrow 2016 2.25
55 75 James Shields 2013 3.23
56 75 Matt Clement 2006 6.89
57 75 Daisuke Matsuzaka 2012 8.47
58 75 Jason Schmidt 2004 3.32
59 75 Max Scherzer 2016 3.04
60 75 Larry Jansen 1952 5.21
61 75 Jason Hammel 2014 3.57
62 75 Tom Seaver 1976 2.76
63 75 Kris Medlen 2017 0.00 DNP
64 75 Phil Niekro 1970 4.86
65 75 Casey Janssen 2013 2.91
66 74 Mark Buehrle 2010 4.49
67 74 Mike Mussina 2000 3.98
68 74 Dick Donovan 1959 4.21
69 74 Orel Hershiser 1990 4.26
70 74 Johnny Cueto 2017 4.70
71 74 Joaquin Benoit 2009 0.00 DNP
72 74 Chris Young 2010 0.90
73 74 Scott Feldman 2014 4.19
74 74 Kevin Appier 1999 5.64
75 74 Wade Davis 2017 2.45
76 74 Scot Shields 2007 4.32
77 74 Brian Duensing 2014 3.31
78 74 Yovani Gallardo 2017 5.79
79 74 Freddy Garcia 2008 4.80
80 74 Bronson Arroyo 2008 5.22
81 74 Jeff Samardzija 2016 3.90
82 74 Bill Hands 1971 4.16
83 74 Norm Charlton 1994 0.00 DNP
84 74 Brandon McCarthy 2015 5.87
85 74 Bob Ojeda 1989 3.89
86 73 Kevin Gregg 2009 4.98
87 73 Dave Goltz 1980 4.78
88 73 Jon Matlack 1981 5.09
89 73 Whitey Ford 1960 3.50
90 73 Tom Gorzelanny 2014 1.29
91 73 Doug Fister 2015 4.89
92 73 Jeff Fassero 1994 3.50
93 73 Alexi Ogando 2015 3.99
94 73 Justin Duchscherer 2009 0.00 DNP
95 73 Larry Jackson 1962 4.32 DNP
96 72 Justin Masterson 2016 0.00 DNP
97 72 Wilbur Wood 1973 4.16
98 72 Wei-Yin Chen 2017 3.82
99 72 Early Wynn 1951 3.35
100 72 Doug Drabek 1994 3.17

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .229 .288 .401 .237
11 vs R (Multi) .241 .278 .386 .227
18 Split (Multi) -.013 .010 .015 .010
19 LgAvg (Multi) .006 .020 .015 .013
30 vs L (2016) .235 .298 .441 .244
31 vs R (2016) .244 .276 .412 .226
38 Split (2016) -.010 .022 .030 .017
39 LgAvg (2016) .003 .018 .013 .012

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2017 Carrasco’s year was bookended by frustration—a strained hamstring that sidelined him for the entire month of May and a hand injury that kept him watching from the dugout for the entirety of Cleveland’s playoff run. But the book in between was a great read. Not a classic—after all, you can’t set the franchise record for starter strikeout rate every season, and Carrasco took care of that in 2015—but solid reviews and worth the hype. It was Carrasco’s worst season since his breakout year in 2014, but the high bar he set there has left plenty of space for the “worst” to still read like a pretty damn good edition. And that should be true in 2017, provided he doesn't suffer a debilitating paper cut while turning the page.
2016 He's the ace-level starter you've heard the least about over the past two years. He's the master of an unbelievable slider with serious break and startling velocity—one of the best pitches in baseball. He's the guy with the best Corey Kluber impression in baseball, and who is darned close to overtaking the original.

Last season it was Cookie, not Kluber, who set the Cleveland franchise record for strikeout rate in a season for a starter (30 percent), who led the team in cFIP (66). He's signed to an unbelievably team-friendly contract, an extension signed on the basis of 14 good starts in 2014. It was aggressive and gutsy for the Indians to commit to a pitcher who, one year earlier, had seemed a fair bet to fade out of the league entirely. Today? He still doesn't get the recognition his skills deserve, but after another season like the last one he'll finally burst free of Kluber's shadow and start casting a long one of his own.

2015 Carrasco completely reinvented himself in 2014 and he stands on the precipice of a big season if the improvements from late in the year carry over. His fastball velocity has increased by three ticks since the right-hander underwent Tommy John surgery in 2011, averaging 96 last season. He also features a pair of breaking pitches and a hard changeup, all of which proved to be unhittable. He began the year as a starter but was ineffective through four games, after which he was shuttled to the bullpen. He ditched his windup at that point, which allowed him to simplify his mechanics to a single timing pattern without losing effectiveness. Success in the 'pen brought him back to the starter's role, where he maintained the all-stretch approach, a simple fix that converted Carrasco into a pitcher with excellent command of his explosive stuff.
2014 Carrasco took his foot off the brakessuccessful Tommy John surgery pushed his velocity from 93 to 95 mphand then hit the gas, moving to the bullpen and adding another mile after July. Injuries in Cleveland led to a spot start in August, which only reinforced the notion that's he's more effective and more valuable in relief. Including that outing, he allowed at least 10 hits in four of his seven starts; compare that to a .396 OPS as a reliever. The team still considers him a starting pitcher, and he has four quality pitches, but there will be talk of a permanent move to the bullpen until he re-establishes himself in the rotation.
2013 Before Tommy John surgery sidelined him for the entire 2012 regular season, Carrasco was on his way to becoming a solid second or third starter. He'd been improving the control that gave him issues early in his professional career, and his plus stuff was allowing him to miss bats at the major-league level. Carrasco comes armed with a 93-mph fastball that he can add some sink to and a bouquet of quality off-speed offerings, including a changeup, slider, and curve. Pitchers returning from ligament replacement often take a year or two to regain all their velocity and effectiveness, however, so give Carrasco a break if he struggles a bit this year.
2012 Carrasco underwent Tommy John surgery in September, so this projection is mostly likely for 2013. Despite what looks on the surface like a poor 2011, Carrasco had an impressive year peripherally and seemed poised to become the best of the quartet of prospects that the Indians received for Cliff Lee. Of course, when Jason Donald and Lou Marson are in a group with you, that's kind of like having the best beard when your cohorts haven't started shaving yet. Armed with a 93-mph fastball, a plus change, and a solid breaking ball, Carrasco certainly has the stuff to be a number two starter if he can translate that stuff into a few more strikeouts.
2011 It's hard to know exactly what happened here. Maybe he saw a hypnotist, maybe he got kicked in the head by a horse, or maybe someone just sat Carrasco down and explained to him that he has all the ability in the world to be a good major-league starter and it sure pays pretty damn well. Or maybe none of that happened and Carrasco somehow figured out how to knuckle down with runners on base, which had been the frustrating bugaboo that defined his career. After a great second-half stretch at Triple-A Columbus, he went 6-for-7 in the quality start department for the big-league club, and he'll open the year with a rotation spot all but guaranteed. With a 92-94 mph fastball, decent breaking ball, and good changeup, there's no reason this can't continue, other than the fact that we've seen him not succeed with the same combination for a while. Guarded optimism would be the best way to approach things.
2010 One of the many prizes in the Cliff Lee trade, Carrasco will be competing for a spot in the rotation. The problem beyond his control is that with all of the acquisitions that the Indians made this year, there will be a lot of competition. He didnt help his case with an awful September call-up, as his tendency to turn bad innings into game-losing nightmares continued. The scouting consensus is that hes got a complete but not overly spectacular arsenal; at 23, he still has time for further development, especially given his moving low-90s fastball and plus changeup.
2009 The top prospect in the system entering the year, Carrasco didn't make any great leaps forward in 2008 as much as he simply held serve. He took some time to made adjustments to the more advanced hitters at the upper levels, but those adjustment were made and he was once again dominating against at the end of the year with his above-average fastball and outstanding changeup. He profiles as a solid third starter in the big leagues, with the potential to be a bit more, and he could be a key addition to the defending champs by midseason.
2008 Carrasco is generally considered the top arm in the Phillies' system, but despite reaching Double-A as a 20-year-old, he's not an elite-level prospect. Rather, he's something less than the sum of his parts. He boasts two above-average pitches (fastball, curve), one outstanding one (changeup), and good command, but his strikeout rates don't foretell of a future beyond that of a solid, mid-rotation innings-eater.
2007 There is a tendency for us here at BP to emphasize the physical and tangible over the mental. Carrasco started 2005 in the Sally League and got his head handed to him in his first couple of starts. The result was that he stopped believing in his stuff, tried to throw everything harder and harder, and reaped increasingly poor results. Last year he got off to a good start, pitched within his ability, and succeeded. The only tangible difference in 2006 was the addition of an improved curve to his low-90s fastball and excellent changeup. Scouts love his frame, and expect the skinny Venezuelan to fill out and get stronger.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Carlos Carrasco

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2011-07-21 16:00:00 (link to chat)Thank you for the chat, Jason. Please rank the folowing SPs for the rest of the season (head-to-head, standard 5x5 cats): Colby Lewis, Jeff Niemann, Carlos Carrasco, and Josh Collmenter.
(Dennis from LA)
Lewis, Carrasco, Niemann, Collmenter (can't stay this lucky) (Jason Collette)
2011-07-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think the Indians, and to a lesser extent the Pirates, have a good chance to be divisional contenders next year as well?
(bigcity from NY)
Based on the divisions they're in: definitely. Indians still need another SP or two to take another step forward, but I like where they're at as a unit. Carlos Carrasco is a big key for me. He's turning into a very good SP. Plus as good as their bullpen is, Nick Hagadone's been good and Adam Miller's pitching again at AA which is a great story to root for (his Twitter avatar is a picture of the finger)

Pirates, I say 2013 could look really good. Cole, Tallion in the rotation: They have a system filled with mid-back of the rotation arms who could fill what they already have at the big league level. And you know what? I kinda like James McDonald. Not as an ace, but as a solid big league starter.

Cleveland's in a great spot because they'll be there right before KC's guys start to really make an impact, CHW is aging. Twins are, well, I respect the hell out of them because they just defy some logic and grind out every pitch. (Mike Ferrin)
2010-11-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)So good prospect + solid minor league season at AAA at 23 + solid end to the season in 7 starts = I don't like how the confirmation bias is winning out on that one? Yes, TINSTAAPP, but are you really using just his first 5 ML starts, at 22, to knock him at the same time you say you can't use a small time-frame? And yes, false-ish, or a medium would probably be appropriate.
(Chad from Cleveland)
You're not reading what I'm writing. I am not knocking Carlos Carrasco in any way. I am simply saying that just like his 5 bad starts last year didn't tell us much, his 7 good starts this season don't tell us much. I need to see a full season from him to really form an opinion. This is not negative. I just don't know what to think of him yet and refuse to just assume that 7 good starts last year, coupled with a solid minor league pedigree, means he is legit. That's literally all I am saying. I hope he is good next year, but I cannot say with confidence that he will be, because he has not done enough at the major league level to convince me. (Eric Seidman)
2010-11-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Beno Udrih: great point guard, or the greatest point guard?
(Ken from The Sconnie Office)
I don't know enough about Carlos Carrasco to answer this question. (Eric Seidman)
2010-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can the Indians be contenders in 2011? 2012?
(SaberTJ from Cleveland, OH)
The trouble with the Indians is going to be the pitching. Who knows when Jason Knapp will show up in the majors? Alex White looks good at Double-A but I'm not sure he's going to be able to do it alone. Until that problem is solved I think the Indians will struggle a bit. Don't even get me started on Carlos Carrasco. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Similar to Kane County question, who beyond Santana gives me a reason to walk one block to see the Clippers this summer?
(w friend from columbus)
Carlos Carrasco, Jeanmar Gomez, Hector Rondon and others await your visit. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-10-09 13:30:00 (link to chat)I'm seriously dying over here for some Carlos Carrasco info. DYING! Tell me he can still be a #2 or #3 in Cleveland
(Felicity from Rancho Cucomonga)
I can't tell you that. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-24 16:30:00 (link to chat)great work on your "royal" piece; following on that note, if after the season is over, the following scenario appears: Ryan Howard and Carlos Carrasco for Greinke and Kila: a) who do you think is getting the better deal? b)Would the Royals think they are getting the better deal?
(mo from las vegas)
Carrasco's stock has fallen precipitously lately and Kila, though highly touted, is certainly unproven, so you're basically asking if Moore would trade Greinke for Ryan Howard. I know many KC fans think negatively about Moore but there is no way even he would make that move. (Eric Seidman)
2008-08-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Joe, no Carlos Carrasco on your fast-rising prospects? He might be the best one of them all. He's better at AAA than AA, a great sign.
(Will from Conshohocken (PA))
I'm assuming this is a reference to the recent Sports Illustrated piece...Will, that addressed prospects on teams out of the race this season, so Carrasco didn't qualify. I do like him--caught his inning at the Futures Game and was impressed. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-01-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Everyone seems down on Carlos Carrasco. The fact that he was only 20 last year and reached AA has to count for something, doesn't it? Will his flaws be ironed out with more innings, or do you see his upside as being limited?
(JM from MD)
It does count for something, but so does his stuff and production. He just doesn't miss a ton of bats, nor have to stuff to project as a big time star. Very good prospect, don't get me wrong -- But I think he's a No. 3, borderline No. 2 in a perfect world. (Kevin Goldstein)


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