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2019 Preseason Forecast
Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET
|2017-05-22 23:00:00 (link to chat)||Jason Groome ______ 😱
A) has fallen into the same bottomless pit Ozzie Smith did in the Simpsons.
B) was abducted by Ego.
C) is in the next episode of unsolved mysteries.
D) The son of Waldo and Carmen San Diego.
(Jquinton82 from NY)
|Nah, while any of those things would be infinitely more exciting, he's just hurt. Strained his lat at the beginning of the month, unclear how long the shelf living'll be: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=31758 (Wilson Karaman)|
|2015-04-06 15:15:00 (link to chat)||Has there been any advance in the petition by Ozzie Smith in making Opening Day a National Holiday?|
(Edward from Framingham, MA)
|I don't know, but gosh darnit there should be! Opening Day might just be my favorite day of the year. It's cold and cloudy here in Portland, Oregon but I've got my baseball stuff on and man I'm excited!
And since nobody asked, how about Mookie Betts? The guy just hits the ball hard like all the time! (Matthew Kory)
|2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)||Do you see the Braves moving Jose Peraza from SS to 2B?|
(@tylerjwarriner from Indiana)
|Yes, if they want him to stay in the organization. Unless Ozzie Smith walks through that door, Andrelton ain't moving #rig. And I love Peraza, by the way. I'm pissed Law blew him up before I did, though I did give him a shout-out on TINO the other day. (Ben Carsley)|
|2012-10-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)||If Rey Ordonez and Ozzie Smith met on a Mediteranian cruise and 9 months later had a left handed baby boy, would anyone give him a legit chance to stay at SS?|
(Milby from SF)
|This actually happened. Sadly, the kid washed out of baseball before the little league level, so we will never know what might have been. (Jason Parks)|
|2012-04-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)||As Omar Vizquel enters his 24th season, is he worthy of the HOF?|
(ParklandTrojan from Pennsylvania)
|Nope. He's such a below-average hitter (.244 True Average) that it eats into his overall value considerably, and despite the Gold Gloves we have him at just ~11 FRAA for his career. He's not Ozzie Smith, Part Deux by any stretch of the imagination any more than Juan Pierre is Rickey Henderson, Part Deux. (Jay Jaffe)|
|2011-11-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)||In terms of guys who were unlikely HOFers at age 29 - Ozzie Smith had a 72 OPS+ before age 29, although he was still winning GGs and playing plenty.
But Hoyt Wilhelm hadn't played in the majors before he was 29, he turned 30 during in his first season.|
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
|Good point, particularly on Wilhelm! (Jay Jaffe)|
|2011-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Hey Mike,
If you had to be stuck on a desert island with one of the players from the softball episode of the Simpsons, who would it be and why? And this excludes Mike Scioscia as thats just too obvious. |
(EephusBlue from San Francisco)
|I can't pick Mindy Simmons, right? And I assume Steve Sax has already been sent to the chair for all those murders he committed in New York. Probably Ozzie Smith, then. I want to see all his pictures from the mystery dimension. (Mike Petriello)|
|2011-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Speaking of Martin ... should we expect Kurt Suzuki to similarly fall off the planet Earth (like, again, Ozzie Smith)?
Also, trim those sideburns, Petriello!|
(RC from Go Clemson)
|You could argue that it's already begun, right? Suzuki hit only .242/.303/.366 last year, which even for a catcher is pretty lousy (though the double digit homers were nice). The difference here is that Suzuki's peak wasn't as great as Martin's, so the fall probably won't be as noticable either. (Mike Petriello)|
|2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)||As a die hard Cardinals fan, is there any reason for me not to go ahead and assume that I'll be loathing the next two years with TLR at the helm, and Mo as his GM-Puppet?
(Jason from Columbia)
|It's a weird situation out there, huh? Ozzie Smith was interviewed in a piece where it was basically alluded to that TLR is the reason Brendan Ryan is now out of a job in spite of a stellar glove. So weird in this day and age that a manager would have as much sway as he does.
Lightning round time, folks. I have more BP annual work calling my name, especially with all of the transactions going on. (Marc Normandin)
|2010-09-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Hey Jay ..... thanks for the chat. Have you recovered from the "5-Napkin Burger" Friday night?
Who is the current leading candidate for the "Irrational Exuberance" HOF candidacy? In other words, who might be the next Jim Rice?|
(dianagramr from NYC)
|Hey Diana! It took me awhile to recover from the 5-Napkin Burger, but maybe that was all the beer I drank trying to get through the Yanks' drawn out loss later that night.
Right now I'd have to say that it's Omar Vizquel's candidacy that leaves me cold. Keith Law wrote about it at length using JAWS numbers I supplied (http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/blog?name=law_keith&id=5410459). The short version is that Vizquel's defensive numbers don't measure up to the average Hall of Fame shortstop let alone those of Ozzie Smith, nor does his bat:
Ozzie Smith: 90.9 car/50.2 Pk/70.6 JAWS/.261 TAv/554 RARP/219 RAP/255 FRAA
Omar Vizquel: 47.8/27.8/37.8/.247/334/-16/84
AVG HOF SS: 70/47.9/59/.274/477/204/105 (Jay Jaffe)
|2010-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Are you saddened as I am that the inclusion of Ozzie Smith seems to have helped Omar Vizquel when it could or should have helped Larkin and Trammell?|
(Gregor from Bathurst)
|Omar's not on the ballot, so we shouldn't worry about his candidacy for at least another six years. I don't think Ozzie's presence in the Hall has any bearing on Larkin and Trammell any more than the presences of Robin Yount and Cal Ripken do. There were a handful of great shortstops playing during the eighties, and some people apparently feel we've enshrined enough of them. (Jay Jaffe)|
|2009-12-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)||KG, From the scouts you've spoken to does Grant Green have enough glove to stick at short? |
(Shane from The Bay Area)
|Yes. Is he Ozzie Smith there? Absolutely not. But he can stick there for a while. (Kevin Goldstein)|
|2009-07-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)||I can't believe that Alan Trammell doesn't get more publicity as a HOF snub. His numbers are almost identical to Ozzie Smith who got 90 percent of the vote? I guess it's because he couldn't do a backflip or have a flashy nickname.|
(dangor from New York)
|Outstanding candidate who's gotten an extremely raw deal. I think he's about 10 JAWS points above the Hall standard for shortstops, and he's well ahead in terms of both batting and fielding runs. It's a crime, I tellz ya! (Jay Jaffe)|
|2009-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)||It seems that in a few years, Omar Vizquel will join Rusty Staub and Harold Baines as the only guys with 11,000 PAs who are not in the HOF. My loose understanding of the argument against Omar is that while his counting and rate stats compare favorably with the Wiz, after adjusting for eras he comes out a little short offensively (84 OPS+ to 87), but the big difference is defense. Apparently the gulf between their defensive abilities was so great that Ozzie was a 90%+ slam dunk inner-circle type of election, and Omar isn't even a bubble guy. Two questions: Was Ozzie overvalued when he went in, and if not can you shine some light on the defensive differences? Thanks|
(ericturner29 from Chicago)
|Ozzie Smith's defensive excellence is well-supported by the numbers, as systems such as WARP and Win Shares both love him. Vizquel is more of a mixed bag. The current iteration of WARP most definitely does NOT love him, but I suspect that the forthcoming play-by-play based system will correct that somewhat; his pbp-based UZR numbers eyeball as pretty decent.
Beyond that it's worth noting that Ozzie does have an advantage over Omar with the stick, via a .261 EQA to .254. IN terms of Batting Runs Above Average, the difference is about 100 runs. (Jay Jaffe)
|2008-10-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)||It seems like there are no players on either team who are already good Hall of Fame candidates (though guys like Utley, Upton, etc. have time to qualify.) Can you ever remember a Series without such an established veteran star?|
(oira61 from San Francisco)
|Wow, that's a good question, one that pretty much ties into what I was saying a couple of days ago about how rare it is to get two fresh teams facing off in the series for the first time in awhile. Add to that the fact that both teams are dominated by younger guys whose best days may still be ahead of them and you wind up with a situation like this. I'm jogging my memory and looking back over the WS matchups and thinking that we've hit a real stumper. At the time, people wondered aloud if the 1998 Yankees would yield a Hall of Famer, but now it's apparent that Mariano Rivera and Derek Jeter will make it if nobody else does, to say nothing of Tony Gwynn from the opposite dugout.
The 1982 matchup maybe - at the time it certainly wasn't apparent that Ozzie Smith, Robin Yount, Paul Molitor or Don Sutton would make it (Sutton would win 60-something more games in the majors), adn Rollie Fingers was sidelined too. Definitely a question to sock away for future pondering. (Jay Jaffe)
|2008-06-20 13:30:00 (link to chat)||Considering how far ahead of the pack he is at his position, is it fair to call Brooks Robinson the best defensive player in history?|
(costa24 from Montreal)
|Ozzie Smith is, and it's not close. Followed then by Bill Mazeroski, then probably Willie Mays. (Joe Sheehan)|
No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.