Biographical

Portrait of Nick Senzel

Nick Senzel CF  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
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Birth Date6-29-1995
Height6' 1"
Weight205 lbs
Age24 years, 4 months, 21 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2015
2016
2017
2018
2.52019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2019 CIN 24 104 414 96 20 4 12 30 101 3 14 5 .256 .315 .427 88 -4.8 -0.1 -4.6 0.4
Career1044149620412301013145.256.315.42788-4.8-0.1-4.60.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2016 DYT A MID 58 251 .253 .315 .360 .392 101 26.4 6.6 0.7 181 0 3.2 1.6 17.1 3.2
2016 BIL Rk PIO 10 41 .262 .333 .395 .172 94 -2.9 1.2 0.2 50 0 1.0 0.1 -2.9 0.0
2017 DAY A+ FSL 62 272 .252 .314 .360 .378 105 15.1 7.5 0.9 161 0 5.1 1.3 13.7 3.0
2017 PEN AA SOU 57 235 .244 .321 .361 .391 99 19.8 6.4 0.9 179 0 1.7 -0.5 17.0 2.8
2018 LOU AAA INT 44 193 .261 .325 .404 .367 94 11.7 5.7 0.2 156 0 -0.1 1.9 10.6 1.8
2019 CIN MLB NL 104 414 .251 .322 .428 .319 98 -0.2 12.3 1.1 88 9 -4.6 -0.1 -4.8 0.4
2019 LOU AAA INT 8 38 .291 .359 .492 .381 97 0.4 1.3 0.1 66 0 -1.2 0.4 -1.7 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2016 BIL Rk PIO 41 33 3 5 1 0 0 6 4 6 5 3 0 .152 .293 .182 .030 1 0
2016 DYT A MID 251 210 38 69 23 3 7 119 36 32 49 15 7 .329 .415 .567 .238 4 1
2017 PEN AA SOU 235 209 40 71 14 1 10 117 34 26 43 5 4 .340 .413 .560 .220 0 0
2017 DAY A+ FSL 272 246 41 75 26 2 4 117 31 23 54 9 2 .305 .371 .476 .171 0 0
2018 LOU AAA INT 193 171 23 53 12 2 6 87 25 19 39 8 2 .310 .378 .509 .199 2 0
2019 LOU AAA INT 38 35 7 9 1 0 1 13 2 3 13 0 0 .257 .316 .371 .114 0 0
2019 CIN MLB NL 414 375 55 96 20 4 12 160 42 30 101 14 5 .256 .315 .427 .171 1 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2019 1599 0.4665 0.4916 0.7634 0.6971 0.3118 0.8077 0.6767 0.2366 0.0000
Career15990.46650.49160.76340.69710.31180.80770.67670.23660.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 CIN $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 dWasserman Media1 year (2019)

Details
  • 1 year (2019). Contract selected by Cincinnati 5/3/19.
  • Drafted by Cincinnati 2016 (1-2) (Tennessee). $6.2M signing bonus ($7.7629M slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 522 75 142 30 2 22 73 49 115 13 5 .305 .371 .519 133 48.7 5.2
80o 502 70 131 28 2 20 68 45 113 12 5 .291 .356 .496 125 40.2 4.3
70o 487 66 123 26 2 19 64 43 112 11 4 .280 .345 .478 120 34.4 3.7
60o 475 62 117 25 2 18 61 40 111 11 4 .273 .335 .466 115 29.7 3.2
50o 463 60 111 24 1 17 58 38 109 10 4 .265 .327 .449 110 25.5 2.7
40o 451 57 105 23 1 16 55 36 108 10 4 .256 .317 .434 105 21.5 2.3
30o 439 54 99 21 1 15 52 34 107 9 3 .248 .308 .419 100 17.3 1.9
20o 424 50 92 20 1 14 49 32 105 8 3 .238 .297 .403 95 12.8 1.4
10o 404 46 84 18 1 13 45 29 102 8 3 .226 .283 .385 87 6.9 0.7
Weighted Mean46660112241175939110104.266.329.44911126.52.8

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2019-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see the Reds as big players in the FA market? The rotation looks improved but the offense seems to be missing something...especially playing in such a HR friendly park. When do they finally make their move and give the fanbase some hope?
(sportsguy21792 from madison)
It's hard to predict that given their history there. They've already made some acquisitions for next year in trading for Bauer at the deadline. I agree the offense could be improved and I'd be wary of relying on Aristides Aquino despite the hot start. A full, healthy season of Nick Senzel could go a long way but it's hard to think that'll happen with his injury history. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-10-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Nick Senzel's rookie year was a success or do the continued injuries make his future cloudy? Also, might it not be best to get his glove back to the infield? 2B seems open.
(ironcityguys from urban area)
Good question. I think it's a little cloudy. To my recollection the injuries are mostly not lower-body injuries which seems like a benefit, overall. I do think it'd be good to get him in the infield, but I don't know his level of comfort at 2B instead of the outfield, and second does expose him to potential lower body damage on double play turns and the like, if you're worried about injury. I'm just hoping for health because the rest will flow from there. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)What position do you think Nick Senzel plays next year? How about Carter Kieboom, Austin Riley and Brendan Rodgers?
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
I think he'll primarily play center field. I'll guess second base for Kieboom, outfield for Riley, and second base for Rodgers. (JP Breen)
2019-07-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Please rank their bats only: Bo Bichette, Carter Kieboom, Nick Senzel, Brendan Rodgers.
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
Kieboom..Senzel...Bichette.....Rodgers (Mark Barry)
2019-07-08 20:00:00 (link to chat)I'm assuming Austin Riley will move back to 3B next season when Donaldson goes? Will Nick Senzel move back to 3B anytime soon or do you think he's a CF now? How is he out there?
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
Riley back to third seems like the likeliest outcome, but don't underestimate the chance that they try to plug Camargo back in. I am surprised that Senzel can even play center at all, and it's a real credit to him, but I'm still not sure where his long-term home is yet. Maybe second? Third is blocked by Suarez for some time to come. (Jarrett Seidler)
2019-06-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will Nick Senzel ever see the infield again? At what position would he provide the most value?
(ironcityguys from urban area)
I'd like to see him at 3rd because I liked the glove there, but with Suarez in town it makes sense to have him where they do. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-06-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think has the better offensive potential (park adjusted) -- Carter Kieboom, Brendan Rodgers or Nick Senzel?
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
If we're just picking offensive talent in a neutral field, I'll take Senzel. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-03-14 15:00:00 (link to chat)I’m excited to see Nick Senzel & the improved Reds offense. Is it just lip service, or will Senzel actually be the starting CF on opening day??
(Cincy Sam from OH)
I too am excited for the Reds! I've long been of the belief that Cincinnati is actually a fictional city made up by Big Midwest, so any evidence to the contrary is welcome. I won't claim any special insight into the inner-workings of the Reds' front office, but given Senzel's skillset and where the Reds are at as an organization, I sure think they'd do well to let him try and earn the position. (Nathan Bishop)
2019-03-11 16:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Nick Senzel? Starting CF from day one for Cincy?
(Nico from OH)
Great profile, can do a bit of everything category-wise and is going to be versatile positionally too. I'm still not sure I totally buy that they're going to have him on the roster to start the season, but if he's not I think he'll be up soon enough that it won't make much difference PT-wise. (Darius Austin)
2019-02-25 16:00:00 (link to chat)Who is your sleeper breakout player. A non top 150 guy who will make the leap to top 25 value.
(Simon from Atlanta)
Jeebus, Kyle Lewis just crushed one halfway to New Mexico.

That's a pretty high bar to clear--150+ to top 25. Excluding rookies like Kyle Tucker, Nick Senzel, or Peter Alonso, I'll give some 150+ names that could improve significantly (if not top 25): Amed Rosario, Jesse Winker, Luke Voit, Ramon Laureano, Hunter Renfroe, Manny Margot, Josh James, Tyler Skaggs. Off the top of my head. (Jon Hegglund)
2018-12-06 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is Nomar Mazara just an empty .260 20 HR guy?
(Steve from Homewood)
He's still 23. We expect everyone to come up and do what Soto did. Development is not linear. These things can take time. He's two months older than Nick Senzel. (Jarrett Seidler)
2018-11-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any sense for where Nick Senzel plays in the majors? He's played 2b/3B (and 1 game at SS) and the Reds even tried him in the OF in the Arizona league.
(Sean from Rochester)
I'd just let him play third? He's probably fine at second. Center could be, uh, an adventure. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-09-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)Which team under .500 this year, do you think will have the best record next year?
(Nick from Chicago IL)
I'm sure the technical correct answer will be something like the 80-82 Pirates simply because they were the best team of the bunch this year, or even the Nationals if they wind up technically below .500.

Mileage may also vary depending on which of the bad teams decides to go for it. I think the Reds are weirdly closer to contending than it might seem? Suarez and Gennett morphing into All Star bats to support Votto's suddenly makes that lineup more competitive than you'd think, and they've had some breakout relievers. Theoretically they could sign a cadre of mid-rotation starters, the likes of which were cheap this offseason, and take a big leap forward after dropping Nick Senzel in there.

But again, so much depends on who keeps their powder dry v. not. (Nick Schaefer)
2018-07-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)I’m in a full rebuild and my roster space is limited. But I was offered Jake Bauers, Byron Buxton, and Maikel Franco for my Nick Senzel. Good deal for me, or does quality > quantity win out?
(Dominic from San Diego)
That a tough call Dominic given Senzel's helth struggles this season. While the finger surgery is one thing, the vertigo problem is something else. He did seem to make a recovery from that vertigo briefly before the finger injury, but you never know about something like that. If you are in a rebuild, it's nice to get three young-ish players for one, but Buxton and Franco are not such legitimate guys on which to build. They are depth pieces at best. Comes down to Bauers versus Senzel. Personally, I'd keep Senzel or look for a better deal for him. (Scott Delp)
2018-05-25 12:15:00 (link to chat)I'm worried about Nick Senzel. Where does he play in Cincinnati and will Vertigo plague him forever?
(Jeffery from Wisconsin)
I wouldn't worry about finding him a position. Either he or Suarez can shift to 2B and the Reds would live with it. I can't answer the vertigo question from afar, unfortunately. (Craig Goldstein)
2017-11-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)If there were makeup problems in regardless to Nick Senzel, would we have heard about it by now ?
(William from Pensacola, FL)
Man do I hate caring about vague makeup whispers. It tends to stick to certain types of players (usually not the Senzel types, mind you), and a lot of "good makeup" is eyewash. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-08-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who are your personal top 5 favorite prospects to follow as a fan?
(Kim from NYC)
Oh gosh, I'm not enough of a prospect guy for this. Willie Calhoun. Logan Shore. Franklin Barreto. Brent Honeywell. Nick Senzel. (Matthew Trueblood)
2017-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Should the Braves see any advantage in promoting Ronald Acuna to Atlanta in September? It seems he's ML-ready as a 19yo. Similar question for Nick Senzel and the Reds?
(ironcityguys from home)
More from the redoubtable Jarrett Seidler: "Well, he's only 24. And he's from my neck of the woods, so maybe I'm biased, but no, I don't think he's lost. Rockies pitchers are...well, you know. He'd allowed only three homers in 42 1/3 innings through the end of June, and that wasn't going to last, and he's been really lit up (game score < 40) in only five games. My biggest concern: 25 K%, 7 BB% through 6/30, 13% and 10% since. He's in the zone a lot--his 52.9% Zone rate is 11th among 142 pitchers with at least 1,200 pitches--but his 26.8% O-Swing rate (i.e., chase rate) is 115th. That suggests to me that he's not fooling anybody with his stuff outside the zone, hence the reduction in Ks and the rise of BBs. Given that four of his bad starts have come in his last six games, might it be fatigue? He pitched 104 MiLB innings in 2015, and 150, mostly in AAA, in 2016. He's at 135 2/3 so far this year. He seems a candidate for a move to the bullpen or a 10-day BS "arm fatigue" DL stint to see if he can recuperate and recapture something. He's not ace material, but he should be better than he's been lately."

Dudes, you're killing me with the prospects questions. "Rob, did Juan Gonzalez deserve any of his MVPs, and if not, who should've won those years?" "No, and A-Rod both years, arguably Griffey in '96 and either Jeter (who got screwed out of two other MVPs) or Garciaparra in '98." Thank you. (Rob Mains)
2017-03-23 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who are the top 5 prospects in 2018? Who are the top 5 prospects in 2019?
(Cubs Fan 69 from Illinois)
The correct answer is I have no idea. But this is fun. Let's say 2018: Victor Robles, Eloy Jimenez, Brendan Rodgers, Gleyber Torres, and Nick Senzel. 2019: Robles, Anderson Espinoza, Acuna, Michael Kopech, and Anderson Tejada. (Mark Barry)
2017-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bret Sayre ranked Nick Senzel, Corey Ray, Zach Collins, Jason Groome, & Mickey Moniak as his Top 5 Dynasty Signees from 2016. Do you agree with this, or have a different viewpoint?
(Ron from Texarkana)
I think I prefer Lewis to Moniak, but totally reasonable to prefer Moniak until there's more clarity on how Lewis looks now. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)How high should Kevin Maitan be drafted in first year player drafts? I have the 3rd overall pick, with Nick Senzel sure to go #1. Would I be crazy to take Maitan over Kyle Lewis and/or Corey Ray? Neither of those guys look like fantasy superstars, but it sounds like Maitan at least has that potential.
(David from Rochester, NY)
You would be crazy. I'd rather have Ray then Lewis. You should check out Bret Sayre's Top 50 2016 signee list that came out here at BP last month. (George Bissell)
2016-12-01 19:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on what type of player/hitter Nick Senzel becomes and how fast do you expect him through the minors?
(Cubbie Bear from Chi-Town)
I think he'll be...Senzationel... (sorry)

I agree with what my colleague Jeffrey Paternostro said in an earlier chat. The ceiling isn't tremendous but I see a solid hitter with a good batting average and more gap power than over-the-fence power. He could/should move pretty fast if he keeps hitting. A mid-2018 promotion is the best case if everything goes right, but 2019 is more realistic. (Mike Gianella)
2016-12-01 19:00:00 (link to chat)What sort of player/ hitter do you expect Nick Senzel to become? What is his anticipated timeline getting to the majors?
(Cubbie Bear from Chi-Town)
I think I answered this question already. Bad pun surrounding the word sensational, decent hitter with high floor but not a ton of HR power, 2019 realistic timetable. (Mike Gianella)
2016-12-01 19:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the Chat, Mike! I have the #1 pick in a dynasty league and I'm trying to decide between Nick Senzel and Kyle Lewis. Scoring system is points based and roughly mirrors linear weights. Putting aside my team's position needs, do you have a strong feeling either way on Lewis vs Senzel?
(jgaztambide from Washington, DC)
I'd lean Senzel, but I don't have a strong feeling either way. (Mike Gianella)
2017-01-18 20:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of comp would you have for Nick Senzel?
(Harry from Roanoke)
Statistically, how about Anthony Rendon? (Bret Sayre)
2016-10-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)How legit are Nick Senzel's fantasy prospects in the next two or three years? Thinking of drafting him in my dynasty league.
(Calvin from Bronx)
Adam just filed on him this morning (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30517). He should move fast and there is some safety in the bat. You can probably find higher upside offensive profiles, but Senzel would be one of the higher floor ones I'd imagine. Third base feels really deep right now, but that could obviously look different in 2019 or whenever. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-09-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dayton had a terrible season overall, but in the second half they had Nick Senzel leading the team to give the fans some sort of bright spot. Was he the best prospect that came through the league?
(Frank The Tank from The Quad)
I think Eloy Jimenez was the best prospect, but there are several players that would be up for consideration (Espinoza, Diaz, Alvarez), but Senzel would definitely be in the conversation. Fortunately the MWL had some really top tier talent. (Midwest League Wrap Up)
2016-08-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)How would rank this years June draftees and international signees for fantasy purposes? Say top 15 or so?
(Snowborne from Pittsburgh)
I'm not a big fantasy guy so I don't know about 15 but a few guys that are going to be ready sooner rather than later are Nick Senzel, Zack Collins, and Burdi. (James Fisher)
2016-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Eloy Jiminez isn't my favorite prospect, who should be?
(Wesley from Citadel)
Sicnarf Loopstock, who is:
-actually a real person, yes
-from Aruba
-drafted from Western Oklahoma State College
-actually a real person, yes

The analysis is what you come here for, right? http://www.milb.com/player/index.jsp?sid=t481&player_id=643419#/career/R/hitting/2016/ALL

To seriously answer your question, if you have a favorite low-minors prospect Eloy wouldn't be a bad call. You could be a wise guy and say Josh Naylor is your favorite low minors prospect too, wise guy. Otherwise, I'd probably chance that it would be pretty cool if you appreciated the floor+ceiling of some more polished 2016 Draftees like Blake Rutherford (Appy League) or Nick Senzel (Midwest League). (Adam McInturff)


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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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