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BP Unfiltered: My Predicted Standings

April 28, 2016

The main takeaway from this is probably that there are going to be some amazing pennant races in our lifetimes, knock on wood. The other takeaway is that I must be an amazing prognosticator if I'm good enough to put these out now.

Remember, gambling is a destructive habit that can quickly get out of control, so only use these predictions if you really, really need to win a lot of money to make everything right again.

Note: All predictions are made by carefully considering each club's fundamentals, including market size, farm system strength, current roster age, front office talent, and other variables deemed useful by me and weighted according to relevance over applicable time period.

2017

AL East Wins AL Central Wins AL West Wins
1 Red Sox 88 Royals 87 Astros 86
2 Rays 85 Indians 86 Rangers 85
3 Yankees 84 White Sox 84 Mariners 80
4 Blue Jays 82 Twins 79 A's 78
5 Orioles 80 Tigers 75 Angels 74
NL East NL Central NL West
1 Mets 90 Cubs 98 Dodgers 94
2 Nationals 86 Cardinals 87 Giants 86
3 Marlins 78 Pirates 84 Diamondbacks 75
4 Phillies 75 Brewers 79 Rockies 70
5 Braves 61 Reds 67 Padres 67

2019

AL East Wins AL Central Wins AL West Wins
1 Red Sox 88 White Sox 79 Rangers 85
2 Yankees 86 Indians 78 Astros 83
3 Rays 82 Royals 77 A's 80
4 Orioles 78 Twins 77 Mariners 77
5 Blue Jays 78 Tigers 76 Angels 75
NL East NL Central NL West
1 Phillies 86 Cardinals 88 Dodgers 98
2 Braves 85 Cubs 87 Giants 81
3 Nationals 84 Pirates 87 Padres 77
4 Mets 79 Brewers 84 Rockies 76
5 Marlins 69 Reds 78 Diamondbacks 72

2026

AL East Wins AL Central Wins AL West Wins
1 Yankees 85 Tigers 81 Rangers 81
2 Red Sox 84 White Sox 81 Astros 81
3 Blue Jays 81 Royals 80 Angels 80
4 Orioles 79 Twins 80 Mariners 79
5 Rays 78 Indians 77 A's 79
NL East NL Central NL West
1 Phillies 84 Cubs 84 Dodgers 88
2 Braves 83 Cardinals 83 Giants 81
3 Mets 83 Brewers 81 Padres 81
4 Nationals 82 Pirates 80 Rockies 80
5 Marlins 74 Reds 80 Diamondbacks 79

2066

AL North Wins AL East Wins AL South Wins AL West Wins
1 Chicago White Sox 72 New York Yankees 77 Mexico City [Nombre De Equipo] 73 San Jose [Not A's] 74
2 Detroit Tigers 72 Boston Red Sox 72 Houston Astros 72 Seattle Mariners 72
3 Toronto Blue Jays 72 Baltimore Orioles 72 Gulf Rays 72 Orange County Angels 72
4 Minnesota Twins 72 New Jersey [Team Name] 71 Texas Rangers 72 Arizona Diamondbacks 72
5 Kansas City Royals 72 Charlotte [Team Name] 69 San Juan [Nombre De Equipo] 71 Colorado Rockies 70
NL North NL East NL South NL West
1 St. Louis Cardinals 73 Brooklyn [Team Name] 74 Havana Marlines 73 Los Angeles Dodgers 74
2 Chicago Cubs 72 New York Mets 73 Iztapalapa [Nombre De Equipo] 72 San Francisco Giants 72
3 Cincinnati Reds 72 Philadelphia Phillies 72 Atlanta [Team Name] 72 San Diego Padres 71
4 Milwaukee Brewers 72 Washington Nationals 72 Austin [Team Name] 71 Portland [Team Name] 71
5 Montreal [Team Name] 71 Pittsburgh Pirates 71 Juarez [Nombre De Equipo] 70 Vancouver [Team Name] 71

Thank you for reading

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Sam Miller

 

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BillWW
4/28
Those coastal cities are gone by '66, Sam.
Reply to BillWW
lyricalkiller
4/28
I actually spent time researching this before publishing and concluded that most likely most are safe for 2016. I did eliminate Miami for that reason, not knowing whether Havana is really any better off than Miami is.
Reply to lyricalkiller
lipitorkid
4/29
If Venice has survived hundred of years, so can soon to be underwater New York and Miami. I look forward to using Uber for boat travel.
Reply to lipitorkid
mjpals
4/28
Poor Charlotte. The only non-70-win team in Blernsball.
Reply to mjpals
doctawojo
4/28
It's a pretty nice win total even so, though.
Reply to doctawojo
MarkJLutz
4/29
In the future, why are the Pirates ALWAYS in last place? By 2066, Global Warming will rive everyone in the south across the Mason Dixon line. Pittsburgh will be a huge market.
Reply to MarkJLutz
lipitorkid
4/29
1. Is there going to be a different model for revenue sharing by 2066 because I can't see the Central American/Cuban teams having very big TV contracts?

2. Mexico city is around 2,000 feet higher in altitude than Coors field. I'm going to assume Stanton will be their first pick in the supplemental draft in 2030.

3. Will we have robot umps in 2066 or cyborg players?
Reply to lipitorkid
jnossal
4/30
You are all wrong.

By 2066, MLB will be played mostly indoors in Toronto, Montreal and pretty much any US city north of Baltimore. With the exception of the prime summer months of June, July and August, it will be too cold and snowy to play outdoors.
Reply to jnossal