<< Previous Article
Life at the Margins: I... (04/27)
|
<< Previous Column
BP Unfiltered: A "Holi... (04/19)
|
Next Column >>
BP Unfiltered: April's... (05/04)
|
Next Article >>
Transaction Analysis: ... (04/28)
|
April 28, 2016
BP Unfiltered
My Predicted Standings
by Sam Miller
The main takeaway from this is probably that there are going to be some amazing pennant races in our lifetimes, knock on wood. The other takeaway is that I must be an amazing prognosticator if I'm good enough to put these out now.
Remember, gambling is a destructive habit that can quickly get out of control, so only use these predictions if you really, really need to win a lot of money to make everything right again.
Note: All predictions are made by carefully considering each club's fundamentals, including market size, farm system strength, current roster age, front office talent, and other variables deemed useful by me and weighted according to relevance over applicable time period.
2017
|
AL East |
Wins |
AL Central |
Wins |
AL West |
Wins |
1 |
Red Sox |
88 |
Royals |
87 |
Astros |
86 |
2 |
Rays |
85 |
Indians |
86 |
Rangers |
85 |
3 |
Yankees |
84 |
White Sox |
84 |
Mariners |
80 |
4 |
Blue Jays |
82 |
Twins |
79 |
A's |
78 |
5 |
Orioles |
80 |
Tigers |
75 |
Angels |
74 |
|
NL East |
|
NL Central |
|
NL West |
|
1 |
Mets |
90 |
Cubs |
98 |
Dodgers |
94 |
2 |
Nationals |
86 |
Cardinals |
87 |
Giants |
86 |
3 |
Marlins |
78 |
Pirates |
84 |
Diamondbacks |
75 |
4 |
Phillies |
75 |
Brewers |
79 |
Rockies |
70 |
5 |
Braves |
61 |
Reds |
67 |
Padres |
67 |
2019
|
AL East |
Wins |
AL Central |
Wins |
AL West |
Wins |
1 |
Red Sox |
88 |
White Sox |
79 |
Rangers |
85 |
2 |
Yankees |
86 |
Indians |
78 |
Astros |
83 |
3 |
Rays |
82 |
Royals |
77 |
A's |
80 |
4 |
Orioles |
78 |
Twins |
77 |
Mariners |
77 |
5 |
Blue Jays |
78 |
Tigers |
76 |
Angels |
75 |
|
NL East |
|
NL Central |
|
NL West |
|
1 |
Phillies |
86 |
Cardinals |
88 |
Dodgers |
98 |
2 |
Braves |
85 |
Cubs |
87 |
Giants |
81 |
3 |
Nationals |
84 |
Pirates |
87 |
Padres |
77 |
4 |
Mets |
79 |
Brewers |
84 |
Rockies |
76 |
5 |
Marlins |
69 |
Reds |
78 |
Diamondbacks |
72 |
2026
|
AL East |
Wins |
AL Central |
Wins |
AL West |
Wins |
1 |
Yankees |
85 |
Tigers |
81 |
Rangers |
81 |
2 |
Red Sox |
84 |
White Sox |
81 |
Astros |
81 |
3 |
Blue Jays |
81 |
Royals |
80 |
Angels |
80 |
4 |
Orioles |
79 |
Twins |
80 |
Mariners |
79 |
5 |
Rays |
78 |
Indians |
77 |
A's |
79 |
|
NL East |
|
NL Central |
|
NL West |
|
1 |
Phillies |
84 |
Cubs |
84 |
Dodgers |
88 |
2 |
Braves |
83 |
Cardinals |
83 |
Giants |
81 |
3 |
Mets |
83 |
Brewers |
81 |
Padres |
81 |
4 |
Nationals |
82 |
Pirates |
80 |
Rockies |
80 |
5 |
Marlins |
74 |
Reds |
80 |
Diamondbacks |
79 |
2066
Sam Miller is an author of Baseball Prospectus.
Click here to see Sam's other articles.
You can contact Sam by clicking here
<< Previous Article
Life at the Margins: I... (04/27)
|
<< Previous Column
BP Unfiltered: A "Holi... (04/19)
|
Next Column >>
BP Unfiltered: April's... (05/04)
|
Next Article >>
Transaction Analysis: ... (04/28)
|
Those coastal cities are gone by '66, Sam.
I actually spent time researching this before publishing and concluded that most likely most are safe for 2016. I did eliminate Miami for that reason, not knowing whether Havana is really any better off than Miami is.
If Venice has survived hundred of years, so can soon to be underwater New York and Miami. I look forward to using Uber for boat travel.