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Support-Neutral W/L Report: August 6, 2004 by Michael Wolverton The Support-Neutral statistics evaluate starting pitchers by measuring the probability that each outing will lead to the starter getting a win (SNW), the starter getting a loss (SNL), and the starter's team winning (SNVA), given league average support from the offense and the bullpen. More information can be found in a short summary of the stats, or in a long detailed article. Best & Worst o Luckiest & Unluckiest o Reliever help o Flakiest & Steadiest o Team Rankings o Team-by-Team Stats o Definitions (Numbers through games of Thursday, August 5 2004) Top 30 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher): Pitcher Team SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Johnson,R ARI 12.0 5.5 .686 11 9 3.45 3.1 3.2 4.6 Clemens,R HOU 10.8 4.5 .704 12 3 2.89 3.0 3.0 4.3 Schmidt,J SFG 11.1 4.9 .692 13 4 2.93 2.6 3.0 4.3 Leiter,A NYM 9.5 2.8 .773 8 3 2.12 3.0 3.0 4.3 Schilling,C BOS 10.7 5.4 .667 13 5 3.49 2.5 2.6 3.9 Hernandez,L MON 11.6 6.8 .632 8 10 3.72 1.7 2.3 3.8 Santana,Jo MIN 10.7 5.6 .656 10 6 3.54 2.2 2.5 3.8 Ortiz,R ATL 10.8 5.8 .651 12 6 3.34 2.2 2.5 3.8 Zambrano,C CHC 10.1 5.1 .665 10 6 3.11 2.1 2.3 3.6 Sheets,B MIL 10.1 5.5 .650 9 8 3.06 2.6 2.3 3.5 Glavine,T NYM 10.4 6.0 .634 8 9 3.29 2.1 2.0 3.4 Drese,R TEX 9.8 5.6 .637 8 5 4.09 2.1 2.0 3.2 Mulder,M OAK 10.3 6.4 .617 15 3 3.67 2.1 1.9 3.2 Radke,B MIN 10.3 6.4 .616 7 6 4.07 1.3 1.9 3.2 Pavano,C FLA 9.8 5.9 .624 12 4 3.39 1.8 1.9 3.1 Garcia,F S/C 10.0 6.2 .617 9 9 3.52 2.2 1.8 3.1 Perez,Ol PIT 8.7 4.5 .658 6 6 3.42 1.9 2.1 3.1 Buehrle,M CHW 10.3 7.1 .594 10 4 4.05 1.3 1.5 2.9 Penny,B F/L 9.2 5.7 .618 9 8 3.23 1.9 1.6 2.9 Hudson,T OAK 7.6 4.0 .655 7 3 3.31 1.8 1.6 2.7 Martinez,P BOS 9.3 6.4 .595 11 4 4.26 1.2 1.3 2.7 Perez,O LAD 8.4 5.3 .615 4 4 3.36 1.5 1.4 2.6 Wells,D SDP 8.2 5.0 .622 6 6 3.65 1.3 1.5 2.6 Peavy,J SDP 6.5 2.9 .694 7 3 2.33 2.2 1.8 2.5 Lilly,T TOR 8.5 5.8 .594 8 7 3.98 1.3 1.3 2.4 Wright,Jar ATL 8.3 5.7 .593 9 5 3.77 1.3 1.3 2.4 Oswalt,R HOU 9.6 7.5 .562 11 8 3.97 1.5 0.9 2.3 Batista,M TOR 9.3 7.2 .562 9 6 4.26 1.1 1.0 2.3 Carpenter,C STL 8.8 6.7 .568 12 4 3.79 0.9 0.9 2.2 Rogers,K TEX 9.0 7.0 .563 13 4 4.54 1.5 0.9 2.2 Return to Top Bottom 10 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher): Pitcher Team SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Elarton,S C/C 3.1 8.9 .256 1 8 7.77 -2.6 -2.7 -2.0 Anderson,B KCR 3.3 8.8 .275 2 9 8.42 -3.1 -2.6 -1.8 Stark,D COL 0.4 4.6 .076 0 5 14.88 -2.5 -2.1 -1.7 Nomo,H LAD 2.2 7.0 .238 3 10 8.06 -2.8 -2.4 -1.7 Acevedo,Jo CIN 5.1 10.4 .330 4 10 6.62 -2.8 -2.6 -1.5 Davis,J CLE 4.0 8.6 .315 2 6 6.53 -2.0 -2.2 -1.4 Hentgen,P TOR 3.4 7.5 .311 2 9 7.70 -2.3 -2.0 -1.2 Blackley,T SEA 0.6 3.5 .153 1 3 10.73 -1.7 -1.3 -1.1 Gonzalez,E ARI 0.1 2.8 .051 0 4 13.50 -1.4 -1.2 -1.1 Kinney,M MIL 0.8 3.6 .183 0 3 10.08 -1.5 -1.3 -1.1 Return to Top Luckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)): Pitcher Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff. ------------------------------------------------ Milton,E PHI 7.2 8.2 12 2 11.0 Estes,S COL 7.7 9.1 11 4 8.4 Sele,A ANA 4.3 5.6 7 0 8.4 Mulder,M OAK 10.3 6.4 15 3 8.1 Rogers,K TEX 9.0 7.0 13 4 7.0 Lee,C CLE 6.8 7.7 10 4 6.9 Wilson,P CIN 7.4 7.0 9 2 6.5 Ishii,K LAD 6.8 7.2 11 5 6.4 Contreras,J N/C 5.5 7.7 9 5 6.2 Loaiza,E C/N 7.2 9.4 9 5 6.2 Return to Top Unluckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)): Pitcher Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff. ------------------------------------------------ Webb,B ARI 8.2 7.5 4 12 -8.7 Hernandez,L MON 11.6 6.8 8 10 -6.8 Day,Z MON 7.4 5.9 5 10 -6.5 Franklin,R SEA 6.9 7.8 3 10 -6.1 Glavine,T NYM 10.4 6.0 8 9 -5.4 Pineiro,J SEA 8.1 7.9 6 11 -5.1 Fossum,C ARI 3.4 6.7 2 10 -4.6 Greinke,Z KCR 5.0 4.5 4 8 -4.5 Johnson,R ARI 12.0 5.5 11 9 -4.5 Arroyo,B BOS 6.7 6.4 3 7 -4.4 Return to Top 10 ML Starters most hurt by their relievers (ranked by Runs Saved):
Act. Ex. Act. Fair Runs
Pitcher Team IR IR RA RA Saved
-------------------------------------------------------
Radke,B MIN 8 2.7 4.07 3.75 -5.3
Seo,J NYM 11 6.3 5.11 4.64 -4.7
Lowe,D BOS 11 6.6 7.29 6.95 -4.4
Hernandez,L MON 11 6.8 3.72 3.50 -4.2
Hentgen,P TOR 8 4.2 7.70 7.26 -3.8
Nomo,H LAD 7 3.3 8.06 7.57 -3.7
Hampton,M ATL 10 6.5 5.20 4.94 -3.5
Abbott,P T/P 10 6.6 7.36 7.02 -3.4
Santana,Jo MIN 9 5.6 3.54 3.34 -3.4
Hermanson,D SFG 8 4.8 4.93 4.65 -3.2
Return to Top 10 ML Starters most helped by their relievers (ranked by Runs Saved):
Act. Ex. Act. Fair Runs
Pitcher Team IR IR RA RA Saved
-------------------------------------------------------
Myers,B PHI 2 6.3 5.70 6.04 4.3
Johnson,J DET 3 7.1 4.58 4.84 4.1
Peavy,J SDP 0 4.0 2.33 2.73 4.0
Daigle,C ARI 2 5.9 7.53 8.25 3.9
Fogg,J PIT 6 9.8 5.88 6.20 3.8
Estes,S COL 5 8.8 5.84 6.09 3.8
Bedard,E BAL 1 4.6 5.13 5.46 3.6
Hendrickson,M TAM 3 6.1 4.83 5.05 3.1
Duckworth,B HOU 0 3.0 7.40 8.72 3.0
Redman,M OAK 0 3.0 5.18 5.39 3.0
Return to Top Flakiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA): (13 starts minimum) Pitcher Team APW SNVA SNVA Var. ------------------------------------------ Pineiro,J SEA -0.2 -0.0 0.079 Estes,S COL -0.7 -0.7 0.078 Ponson,S BAL -2.3 -1.9 0.078 Colon,B ANA -1.7 -1.4 0.076 Hendrickson,M TAM -0.0 -0.1 0.075 Johnson,J DET 0.1 -0.4 0.075 Lidle,C CIN -2.1 -1.7 0.074 Morris,M STL -1.2 -1.0 0.069 Willis,D FLA -0.2 0.2 0.069 Arroyo,B BOS -0.2 0.1 0.069 Return to Top Steadiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA): (13 starts minimum) Pitcher Team APW SNVA SNVA Var. ------------------------------------------ Nomo,H LAD -2.8 -2.4 0.020 Capuano,C MIL -0.1 -0.2 0.023 Peavy,J SDP 2.2 1.8 0.024 Seo,J NYM -0.6 -0.3 0.025 Elarton,S C/C -2.6 -2.7 0.029 Leiter,A NYM 3.0 3.0 0.031 Weaver,J LAD 0.3 0.1 0.032 Bedard,E BAL -0.4 -1.0 0.032 Escobar,K ANA 0.3 -0.0 0.034 Clement,M CHC 1.7 0.9 0.036 Return to Top Team Totals (teams ranked by SNW-SNL): Team SNW SNL SNPct. E(W) W L RA AdjRA SNVA ----------------------------------------------------------------- CHC 42.5 32.3 .568 41.2 42 34 3.80 4.02 4.5 ATL 41.6 32.8 .559 41.0 42 36 4.24 4.19 4.2 HOU 40.4 32.0 .558 38.1 44 33 4.19 4.05 4.0 OAK 41.2 35.6 .536 40.7 44 28 4.43 4.38 2.4 NYM 38.4 33.2 .536 36.4 32 36 4.38 4.53 2.0 MIN 39.3 34.7 .531 38.0 36 33 4.64 4.60 2.1 SDP 38.6 34.2 .531 38.2 41 37 4.43 4.51 1.9 BOS 40.2 36.2 .526 39.7 44 33 5.01 4.79 1.6 PIT 38.3 35.0 .523 37.7 32 39 4.84 4.65 1.4 LAD 37.1 35.2 .513 36.0 43 34 4.45 4.78 0.6 TOR 37.5 37.0 .504 37.0 34 38 4.91 4.82 0.4 STL 38.9 38.4 .503 38.6 51 28 4.41 4.74 -0.1 MIL 36.0 35.6 .503 34.4 37 43 4.66 4.75 0.0 MON 37.1 36.7 .503 34.8 29 45 4.84 4.93 0.0 TEX 35.8 36.2 .497 34.4 36 35 5.41 4.62 -0.1 FLA 36.7 38.0 .491 34.9 37 36 4.62 4.88 -0.8 SFG 37.2 39.1 .487 36.0 38 32 4.73 4.96 -1.0 SEA 36.8 39.2 .484 35.8 22 46 4.99 5.02 -1.4 CHW 35.2 40.8 .464 34.6 40 37 5.25 5.24 -2.9 NYY 34.1 39.9 .461 33.0 50 28 5.46 5.33 -2.8 ANA 34.7 40.9 .459 33.9 43 36 5.08 5.36 -3.3 COL 33.9 41.4 .450 33.6 35 38 6.07 5.27 -3.6 DET 33.4 41.4 .447 32.1 36 39 5.29 5.50 -3.9 CLE 33.7 41.6 .447 32.1 32 28 5.19 5.29 -4.0 TAM 32.5 40.8 .443 30.5 34 46 5.47 5.48 -3.8 ARI 33.3 42.2 .441 31.6 23 55 6.10 5.30 -4.0 PHI 31.4 42.0 .428 29.8 37 35 5.32 5.42 -5.3 BAL 30.4 43.5 .412 29.4 30 42 5.84 5.96 -6.4 CIN 30.7 44.4 .409 29.8 30 35 5.51 5.78 -6.8 KCR 28.9 45.7 .388 28.0 24 51 6.35 6.25 -8.1 ----------------------------------------------------------------- ML 1085.9 1146.0 .487 1051.4 1098 1116 4.98 4.98 -33.1 Return to Top Team Luck Totals (teams ranked by ((SNW - E(W)) + (E(L) - SNL)): Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff --------------------------------------- NYY 33.0 39.9 50 28 28.9 STL 38.6 38.4 51 28 22.8 PHI 29.8 42.0 37 35 14.1 ANA 33.9 40.9 43 36 14.0 CLE 32.1 41.6 32 28 13.5 OAK 40.7 35.6 44 28 10.9 CIN 29.8 44.4 30 35 9.6 CHW 34.6 40.8 40 37 9.1 SFG 36.0 39.1 38 32 9.1 LAD 36.0 35.2 43 34 8.2 BOS 39.7 36.2 44 33 7.4 DET 32.1 41.4 36 39 6.3 HOU 38.1 32.0 44 33 4.9 COL 33.6 41.4 35 38 4.8 FLA 34.9 38.0 37 36 4.1 TEX 34.4 36.2 36 35 2.8 BAL 29.4 43.5 30 42 2.1 SDP 38.2 34.2 41 37 0.0 MIN 38.0 34.7 36 33 -0.3 CHC 41.2 32.3 42 34 -0.8 TAM 30.5 40.8 34 46 -1.7 ATL 41.0 32.8 42 36 -2.2 TOR 37.0 37.0 34 38 -4.0 MIL 34.4 35.6 37 43 -4.7 NYM 36.4 33.2 32 36 -7.1 KCR 28.0 45.7 24 51 -9.3 PIT 37.7 35.0 32 39 -9.7 MON 34.8 36.7 29 45 -14.1 SEA 35.8 39.2 22 46 -20.6 ARI 31.6 42.2 23 55 -21.4 --------------------------------------- ML 1051.4 1146.0 1098 1116 76.7 Return to Top Team Bullpen Support Totals (teams ranked by Bullpen Support of starting pitchers): Team IR E(IR) RA/A E(RA)/A SNVA_n SNVA BSup ---------------------------------------------------------- OAK 4 12.5 4.38 4.48 3.09 2.40 0.69 SDP 19 25.4 4.51 4.60 2.37 1.91 0.46 BAL 27 30.1 5.96 6.01 -5.96 -6.37 0.41 HOU 20 26.4 4.05 4.14 4.30 3.95 0.35 FLA 18 21.2 4.88 4.93 -0.56 -0.76 0.20 CLE 17 22.6 5.29 5.38 -3.82 -4.01 0.19 COL 19 22.7 5.27 5.31 -3.42 -3.58 0.17 PHI 21 26.3 5.42 5.50 -5.12 -5.29 0.16 STL 13 14.1 4.74 4.76 0.02 -0.10 0.12 TAM 34 35.8 5.48 5.51 -3.74 -3.80 0.06 CHC 11 12.3 4.02 4.04 4.57 4.54 0.03 KCR 22 29.3 6.25 6.36 -8.11 -8.10 -0.01 SEA 24 24.9 5.02 5.03 -1.48 -1.42 -0.06 TEX 26 26.2 4.62 4.62 -0.15 -0.08 -0.06 ARI 31 30.1 5.30 5.28 -4.11 -4.01 -0.10 ANA 16 16.7 5.36 5.37 -3.37 -3.27 -0.10 SFG 27 26.6 4.96 4.95 -1.20 -1.01 -0.20 CHW 18 17.9 5.24 5.24 -3.13 -2.92 -0.20 LAD 21 19.0 4.78 4.75 0.39 0.61 -0.22 DET 30 30.2 5.50 5.51 -4.15 -3.93 -0.22 CIN 20 18.1 5.78 5.75 -7.03 -6.78 -0.25 NYM 30 26.4 4.53 4.48 1.70 2.00 -0.31 PIT 29 30.0 4.65 4.66 1.09 1.41 -0.32 NYY 34 31.4 5.33 5.29 -3.13 -2.79 -0.34 TOR 26 22.5 4.82 4.77 0.01 0.36 -0.35 ATL 27 23.4 4.19 4.14 3.71 4.16 -0.45 MON 25 21.9 4.93 4.88 -0.46 0.02 -0.48 MIL 33 26.4 4.75 4.65 -0.75 0.02 -0.77 BOS 33 22.2 4.79 4.65 0.60 1.63 -1.02 MIN 33 24.2 4.60 4.48 1.01 2.06 -1.05 ---------------------------------------------------------- ML 708 716.9 4.98 4.99 -36.80 -33.11 -3.69 Return to Top Team-by-team stats: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS Park Effect: +26.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cormier,L 4 18.3 20 0.6 2.1 .231 1 3 9.82 -0.8 -0.7 -0.5 Daigle,C 10 49.0 41 2.1 4.6 .318 2 3 7.53 -1.1 -1.1 -0.7 Dessens,E 9 41.0 40 1.4 4.1 .258 1 5 8.78 -1.5 -1.2 -0.9 Fossum,C 16 84.7 65 3.7 6.7 .354 2 10 6.91 -1.4 -1.4 -0.7 Gonzalez,E 4 16.7 25 0.1 2.8 .051 0 4 13.50 -1.4 -1.2 -1.1 Good,A 2 6.3 13 0.0 1.5 .019 0 2 18.47 -0.9 -0.7 -0.6 Johnson,R 24 164.3 63 12.0 5.5 .686 11 9 3.45 3.1 3.2 4.6 Reynolds,S 1 2.0 6 0.0 0.8 .006 0 1 27.00 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 Sparks,SW 17 98.0 70 5.0 6.8 .425 2 6 6.43 -1.1 -0.8 0.0 Webb,B 23 140.3 78 8.2 7.5 .523 4 12 5.00 0.5 0.3 1.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 110 620.7 421 33.3 42.2 .441 23 55 6.10 -5.0 -4.0 1.2 ATLANTA BRAVES Park Effect: +2.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Byrd,P 8 46.3 23 2.7 2.3 .532 3 3 4.47 0.1 0.2 0.5 Hampton,M 21 124.7 72 7.3 7.7 .489 7 8 5.20 -0.6 -0.2 1.0 Ortiz,R 23 145.3 54 10.8 5.8 .651 12 6 3.34 2.2 2.5 3.8 Ramirez,H 9 59.3 23 4.2 2.4 .643 2 4 3.49 0.8 0.9 1.4 Smith,T 3 17.0 10 0.9 1.1 .446 0 3 5.29 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 Thomson,J 22 131.3 71 7.3 7.8 .483 9 7 4.87 -0.2 -0.4 0.9 Wright,Jar 21 124.0 52 8.3 5.7 .593 9 5 3.77 1.3 1.3 2.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 648.0 305 41.6 32.8 .559 42 36 4.24 3.7 4.2 10.0 CHICAGO CUBS Park Effect: -12.0% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Clement,M 22 142.7 53 8.5 6.5 .565 8 10 3.34 1.7 0.9 2.1 Maddux,G 22 141.7 65 8.6 7.3 .541 10 7 4.13 0.5 0.5 1.8 Mitre,S 9 47.0 34 2.4 3.8 .385 2 4 6.51 -1.1 -0.7 -0.2 Prior,M 11 54.0 25 3.8 3.1 .546 3 2 4.17 0.2 0.3 0.8 Rusch,G 11 68.0 30 3.9 3.5 .527 3 1 3.97 0.3 0.2 0.8 Wood,K 12 75.7 27 5.3 3.0 .638 6 4 3.21 1.0 1.0 1.8 Zambrano,C 21 142.0 49 10.1 5.1 .665 10 6 3.11 2.1 2.3 3.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 671.0 283 42.5 32.3 .568 42 34 3.80 4.7 4.5 10.7 CINCINNATI REDS Park Effect: -9.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Acevedo,Jo 22 118.3 87 5.1 10.4 .330 4 10 6.62 -2.8 -2.6 -1.5 Bong,J 3 15.3 13 0.9 1.4 .384 1 1 7.63 -0.5 -0.3 -0.1 Claussen,B 3 15.7 9 0.8 1.0 .451 1 1 5.17 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 Harang,A 18 102.3 50 6.0 5.9 .504 7 3 4.40 0.1 0.0 0.9 Haynes,J 4 13.3 17 0.3 2.4 .113 0 3 11.48 -1.0 -1.0 -0.8 Lidle,C 23 143.0 92 7.1 10.4 .406 6 10 5.79 -2.1 -1.7 -0.3 Sanchez,J 3 14.3 12 0.5 1.6 .229 0 2 7.53 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 Valentine,J 1 1.0 3 0.0 0.5 .073 0 1 27.00 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 VanPoppel,T 10 56.0 33 2.6 3.9 .394 2 2 5.30 -0.5 -0.6 -0.2 Wilson,P 21 136.0 61 7.5 7.0 .517 9 2 4.04 0.7 0.2 1.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 615.3 377 30.7 44.4 .409 30 35 5.51 -7.1 -6.8 -1.2 COLORADO ROCKIES Park Effect: +26.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bernero,A 2 10.0 10 0.2 1.2 .139 0 1 9.00 -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 Cook,A 15 94.7 45 6.3 4.2 .597 6 4 4.28 1.0 1.0 1.8 Elarton,S 8 41.3 45 0.9 4.7 .164 0 6 9.80 -1.9 -1.7 -1.5 Estes,S 23 135.7 88 7.7 9.1 .460 11 4 5.84 -0.7 -0.7 0.6 Fassero,J 9 52.7 36 3.0 3.1 .491 2 4 6.15 -0.4 -0.0 0.4 Jennings,J 23 138.3 91 7.3 8.8 .454 10 9 5.92 -0.9 -0.7 0.5 Kennedy,J 17 100.3 46 6.6 4.2 .610 5 4 4.13 1.2 1.1 2.0 Stark,D 6 26.0 43 0.4 4.6 .076 0 5 14.88 -2.5 -2.1 -1.7 Wright,Jam 3 15.7 4 1.5 0.2 .896 1 0 2.30 0.5 0.6 0.8 Young,J 2 8.3 12 0.1 1.4 .060 0 1 12.96 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 623.0 420 33.9 41.4 .450 35 38 6.07 -4.8 -3.6 1.9 FLORIDA MARLINS Park Effect: -11.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Beckett,J 15 83.3 48 4.2 5.8 .416 4 7 5.18 -0.7 -0.7 -0.1 Bump,N 1 2.3 6 0.0 0.7 .030 0 0 23.14 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 Burnett,A 12 68.7 35 3.9 4.0 .492 2 5 4.59 -0.1 -0.1 0.5 Oliver,D 8 39.7 37 1.0 4.7 .168 2 2 8.39 -1.8 -1.8 -1.5 Pavano,C 21 151.3 57 9.8 5.9 .624 12 4 3.39 1.8 1.9 3.1 Penny,B 21 131.3 50 8.4 5.7 .595 8 8 3.43 1.5 1.2 2.4 Phelps,T 4 19.0 13 1.2 1.7 .420 1 1 6.16 -0.4 -0.3 -0.0 Tejera,M 2 4.0 8 0.1 1.0 .108 0 1 18.00 -0.6 -0.4 -0.4 Wayne,J 1 5.0 6 0.1 0.7 .079 0 1 10.80 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3 Willis,D 22 130.7 66 8.1 7.7 .512 8 7 4.55 -0.2 0.2 1.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 635.3 326 36.7 38.0 .491 37 36 4.62 -1.3 -0.8 5.0 HOUSTON ASTROS Park Effect: +6.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Clemens,R 22 143.3 46 10.8 4.5 .704 12 3 2.89 3.0 3.0 4.3 Duckworth,B 6 20.7 17 0.8 2.6 .245 1 2 7.40 -0.6 -0.8 -0.6 Fernandez,J 1 0.3 4 0.0 0.7 .004 0 0108.00 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 Griffiths,J 1 4.3 5 0.1 0.5 .162 0 0 10.38 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 Miller,W 15 88.7 35 6.2 3.6 .634 7 7 3.55 1.2 1.3 2.1 Munro,P 9 47.0 22 3.2 2.5 .559 2 3 4.21 0.3 0.3 0.8 Oliver,D 2 6.0 0 0.7 0.0 1.000 1 0 0.00 0.3 0.3 0.4 Oswalt,R 23 156.3 69 9.6 7.5 .562 11 8 3.97 1.5 0.9 2.3 Pettitte,A 13 72.3 34 4.6 3.6 .560 6 3 4.23 0.5 0.4 1.1 Redding,T 16 81.3 57 4.4 6.5 .402 4 7 6.31 -1.3 -1.0 -0.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 620.3 289 40.4 32.0 .558 44 33 4.19 4.4 4.0 9.6 LOS ANGELES DODGERS Park Effect: -14.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alvarez,W 10 56.3 23 3.9 2.6 .602 5 2 3.67 0.4 0.6 1.1 Ishii,K 21 121.0 63 7.4 7.2 .506 11 5 4.69 -0.4 0.0 1.2 Jackson,E 3 11.7 5 0.7 0.7 .475 2 0 3.86 0.1 0.0 0.1 Lima,J 15 93.3 46 5.6 4.9 .537 8 3 4.44 -0.1 0.4 1.2 Nomo,H 14 67.0 60 2.2 7.0 .238 3 10 8.06 -2.8 -2.4 -1.7 Penny,B 1 8.0 0 0.8 0.0 1.000 1 0 0.00 0.4 0.4 0.5 Perez,O 20 128.7 48 8.4 5.3 .615 4 4 3.36 1.5 1.4 2.6 Weaver,J 23 146.7 68 8.1 7.6 .516 9 10 4.17 0.3 0.1 1.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 632.7 313 37.1 35.2 .513 43 34 4.45 -0.6 0.6 6.4 MILWAUKEE BREWERS Park Effect: -3.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Capuano,C 14 76.7 40 4.1 4.4 .478 5 6 4.70 -0.1 -0.2 0.4 Davis,D 24 148.3 69 9.3 7.5 .554 10 9 4.19 0.7 0.8 2.2 Hendrickson, 4 17.0 17 0.5 2.1 .183 0 4 9.00 -0.8 -0.8 -0.6 Hernandez,A 1 4.3 3 0.3 0.3 .509 0 0 6.23 -0.1 -0.0 0.0 Kinney,M 6 25.0 28 0.8 3.6 .183 0 3 10.08 -1.5 -1.3 -1.1 Obermueller, 13 69.7 53 2.9 6.0 .325 3 5 6.85 -1.7 -1.5 -0.9 Saenz,C 1 6.0 0 0.6 0.0 .942 1 0 0.00 0.3 0.3 0.3 Santos,V 19 105.3 52 6.6 5.6 .539 9 7 4.44 0.2 0.4 1.4 Sheets,B 22 150.0 51 10.1 5.5 .650 9 8 3.06 2.6 2.3 3.5 Wise,M 3 11.7 5 1.0 0.6 .598 0 1 3.86 0.1 0.1 0.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 614.0 318 36.0 35.6 .503 37 43 4.66 -0.3 0.0 5.6 MONTREAL EXPOS Park Effect: -3.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ArmasJr,T 10 49.7 25 3.3 2.8 .541 2 3 4.53 0.0 0.2 0.7 Biddle,R 4 19.0 9 1.3 1.1 .552 2 1 4.26 0.1 0.1 0.3 Day,Z 19 116.7 53 7.4 5.9 .557 5 10 4.09 0.7 0.7 1.8 Downs,S 5 20.3 25 1.2 2.8 .297 1 4 11.07 -1.4 -0.8 -0.5 Hernandez,L 24 172.0 71 11.6 6.8 .632 8 10 3.72 1.7 2.3 3.8 Hill,S 3 9.0 16 0.2 2.1 .098 1 2 16.00 -1.1 -0.9 -0.7 Kim,S 8 37.3 31 1.5 3.7 .285 2 4 7.47 -1.2 -1.0 -0.7 Ohka,T 12 71.7 30 4.6 3.4 .576 3 5 3.77 0.7 0.6 1.2 Patterson,J 9 46.0 23 2.9 2.9 .498 1 2 4.50 0.1 -0.1 0.4 Vargas,C 13 62.7 42 3.1 5.4 .367 4 4 6.03 -1.0 -1.1 -0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 604.3 325 37.1 36.7 .503 29 45 4.84 -1.5 0.0 5.7 NEW YORK METS Park Effect: -6.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Baldwin,J 2 6.0 10 0.1 1.2 .104 0 2 15.00 -0.7 -0.5 -0.4 Benson,K 1 5.0 7 0.0 0.8 .051 0 1 12.60 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 Erickson,S 2 8.0 9 0.4 1.0 .261 0 1 10.12 -0.5 -0.3 -0.2 Ginter,M 11 54.3 35 3.0 4.2 .419 1 2 5.80 -0.8 -0.6 -0.0 Glavine,T 23 153.0 56 10.4 6.0 .634 8 9 3.29 2.1 2.0 3.4 Leiter,A 19 110.3 26 9.5 2.8 .773 8 3 2.12 3.0 3.0 4.3 Seo,J 17 91.7 52 4.8 5.5 .466 4 6 5.11 -0.6 -0.3 0.4 Trachsel,S 23 141.7 68 8.3 7.6 .521 9 8 4.32 0.4 0.3 1.5 Wheeler,D 1 4.0 3 0.2 0.3 .411 0 0 6.75 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 Yates,T 7 32.7 26 1.5 3.4 .304 1 4 7.16 -0.9 -0.9 -0.6 Zambrano,V 1 5.3 6 0.2 0.5 .262 1 0 10.13 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 612.0 298 38.4 33.2 .536 32 36 4.38 1.1 2.0 7.9 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES Park Effect: -3.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Abbott,P 9 43.3 33 1.9 3.9 .334 1 5 6.85 -1.1 -0.9 -0.5 Hancock,J 2 7.0 9 0.2 1.2 .138 0 1 11.57 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 Madson,R 1 0.7 6 0.0 0.8 .001 0 0 81.00 -0.6 -0.4 -0.4 Millwood,K 23 137.0 79 6.5 9.3 .413 9 6 5.19 -0.9 -1.4 -0.2 Milton,E 23 135.0 74 7.2 8.2 .469 12 2 4.93 -0.5 -0.6 0.7 Myers,B 20 113.7 72 5.6 8.5 .395 6 8 5.70 -1.3 -1.5 -0.4 Padilla,V 10 59.7 31 3.0 3.4 .470 4 5 4.68 -0.0 -0.2 0.3 Powell,B 2 13.0 7 0.6 0.8 .425 1 1 4.85 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 Wolf,R 18 107.7 54 6.3 5.9 .515 4 7 4.51 0.1 0.2 1.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 617.0 365 31.4 42.0 .428 37 35 5.32 -4.8 -5.3 0.2 PITTSBURGH PIRATES Park Effect: +7.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Benson,K 20 132.3 69 7.9 6.6 .547 8 8 4.69 0.3 0.6 1.8 Burnett,S 10 57.0 27 4.0 3.0 .572 5 4 4.26 0.4 0.5 1.0 Fogg,J 21 108.7 71 5.8 8.3 .414 6 8 5.88 -1.2 -1.2 -0.2 Perez,Ol 19 123.7 47 8.7 4.5 .658 6 6 3.42 1.9 2.1 3.1 Vogelsong,R 15 76.0 58 3.8 6.5 .371 3 7 6.87 -1.6 -1.4 -0.6 Wells,K 21 125.3 63 8.0 6.1 .565 4 6 4.52 0.5 0.8 2.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 106 623.0 335 38.3 35.0 .523 32 39 4.84 0.3 1.4 7.1 ST. LOUIS CARDINALS Park Effect: -14.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Carpenter,C 21 142.3 60 8.8 6.7 .568 12 4 3.79 0.9 0.9 2.2 Haren,D 1 3.7 10 0.0 0.9 .003 0 1 24.55 -0.8 -0.5 -0.4 Marquis,J 21 132.3 56 8.0 6.6 .547 11 4 3.81 0.8 0.7 1.8 Morris,M 22 142.0 81 7.5 9.4 .443 11 7 5.13 -1.2 -1.0 0.3 Suppan,J 21 128.0 62 7.3 7.2 .502 9 6 4.36 0.0 0.0 1.1 Williams,W 21 128.7 63 7.3 7.5 .493 8 6 4.41 -0.1 -0.2 1.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 677.0 332 38.9 38.4 .503 51 28 4.41 -0.4 -0.1 6.0 SAN DIEGO PADRES Park Effect: -3.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Eaton,A 22 132.3 78 7.2 8.5 .457 6 10 5.30 -1.0 -0.7 0.5 Germano,J 3 13.7 13 0.7 1.4 .328 1 1 8.56 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 Hitchcock,S 1 6.0 3 0.3 0.3 .427 0 0 4.50 0.0 -0.0 0.0 Lawrence,B 23 137.3 63 8.6 6.5 .569 11 8 4.13 0.7 0.9 2.2 Peavy,J 15 89.0 23 6.5 2.9 .694 7 3 2.33 2.2 1.8 2.5 Sweeney,B 1 5.3 1 0.6 0.1 .910 1 0 1.69 0.2 0.2 0.3 Tankersley,D 4 22.3 11 1.2 1.1 .525 0 3 4.43 0.0 0.0 0.2 Valdez,I 20 111.3 73 5.4 8.3 .395 9 6 5.90 -1.6 -1.4 -0.4 Wells,D 19 118.3 48 8.2 5.0 .622 6 6 3.65 1.3 1.5 2.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 635.7 313 38.6 34.2 .531 41 37 4.43 1.3 1.9 7.7 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS Park Effect: -9.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cooper,B 2 9.0 8 0.4 1.0 .260 0 2 8.00 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 Correia,K 1 2.0 9 0.0 1.0 .000 0 0 40.50 -0.8 -0.5 -0.4 Hermanson,D 18 104.0 57 5.8 6.0 .492 4 4 4.93 -0.5 -0.1 0.8 Lowry,N 4 25.7 4 2.1 0.6 .766 1 0 1.40 0.9 0.7 0.9 Rueter,K 23 131.3 79 6.0 9.3 .391 6 9 5.41 -1.4 -1.5 -0.5 Schmidt,J 21 150.7 49 11.1 4.9 .692 13 4 2.93 2.6 3.0 4.3 Tomko,B 20 119.3 75 5.5 8.8 .385 5 6 5.66 -1.6 -1.7 -0.6 Williams,J 21 122.3 68 6.4 7.5 .460 9 7 5.00 -0.7 -0.6 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 110 664.3 349 37.2 39.1 .487 38 32 4.73 -1.8 -1.0 4.8 ANAHEIM ANGELS Park Effect: -10.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Colon,B 22 130.3 83 6.8 9.6 .414 10 8 5.73 -1.7 -1.4 -0.2 Escobar,K 21 129.7 63 6.9 7.0 .497 5 8 4.37 0.3 -0.0 1.0 Lackey,J 21 132.0 73 7.4 7.8 .485 9 10 4.98 -0.6 -0.3 0.9 Ortiz,Ra 10 53.3 35 2.8 3.9 .422 2 5 5.91 -0.8 -0.5 -0.0 Sele,A 15 83.7 45 4.4 5.6 .437 7 0 4.84 -0.2 -0.7 0.1 Washburn,J 19 113.7 64 6.5 7.0 .481 10 5 5.07 -0.6 -0.4 0.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 642.7 363 34.7 40.9 .459 43 36 5.08 -3.6 -3.3 2.6 BALTIMORE ORIOLES Park Effect: -4.0% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ainsworth,K 7 30.7 34 1.4 3.8 .268 0 1 9.98 -1.7 -1.2 -0.8 Bedard,E 19 98.3 56 5.0 6.9 .418 4 6 5.13 -0.4 -1.0 -0.1 Borkowski,D 5 32.0 13 2.0 1.3 .615 2 2 3.66 0.4 0.4 0.6 Cabrera,D 17 104.7 46 6.8 4.9 .580 8 5 3.96 0.9 0.8 1.8 Dubose,E 14 74.7 55 3.6 6.4 .357 4 6 6.63 -1.5 -1.4 -0.7 Lopez,R 12 67.3 41 3.6 4.3 .459 5 5 5.48 -0.5 -0.3 0.3 Maine,J 1 3.7 4 0.0 0.6 .057 0 1 9.82 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Parrish,J 1 2.3 3 0.0 0.6 .036 0 1 11.57 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Ponson,S 22 141.0 98 6.5 10.4 .386 6 12 6.26 -2.3 -1.9 -0.7 Riley,M 8 33.7 32 1.5 4.3 .255 1 3 8.55 -1.4 -1.3 -1.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 106 588.3 382 30.4 43.5 .412 30 42 5.84 -7.0 -6.4 -1.0 BOSTON RED SOX Park Effect: +8.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alvarez,A 1 5.0 5 0.1 0.6 .120 0 1 9.00 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Arroyo,B 18 111.7 65 6.7 6.4 .514 3 7 5.24 -0.2 0.1 1.2 Kim,B 3 11.7 11 0.7 1.3 .344 1 1 8.49 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 Lowe,D 21 117.3 95 5.5 9.6 .363 9 9 7.29 -2.7 -2.0 -0.9 Martinez,P 22 143.7 68 9.3 6.4 .595 11 4 4.26 1.2 1.3 2.7 Schilling,C 22 154.7 60 10.7 5.4 .667 13 5 3.49 2.5 2.6 3.9 Wakefield,T 19 120.7 66 7.2 6.6 .519 7 6 4.92 0.2 0.2 1.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 106 664.7 370 40.2 36.2 .526 44 33 5.01 0.3 1.6 7.7 CHICAGO WHITE SOX Park Effect: +0.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Buehrle,M 23 157.7 71 10.3 7.1 .594 10 4 4.05 1.3 1.5 2.9 Contreras,J 1 6.0 4 0.2 0.4 .371 1 0 6.00 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 Cotts,N 1 2.3 4 0.0 0.6 .065 0 1 15.43 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 Diaz,F 4 18.7 17 0.5 2.0 .203 1 2 8.20 -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 Garcia,F 7 49.0 22 2.7 2.3 .543 5 2 4.04 0.4 0.2 0.6 Garland,J 22 146.3 80 7.9 8.1 .494 7 8 4.92 -0.1 -0.2 1.1 Loaiza,E 21 140.7 81 7.1 8.8 .447 9 5 5.18 -0.5 -0.9 0.3 Munoz,A 1 3.0 11 0.0 1.0 .001 0 1 33.00 -0.9 -0.5 -0.4 Rauch,J 2 8.7 6 0.4 0.9 .292 1 1 6.23 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 Schoeneweis, 19 111.7 73 5.5 7.6 .420 6 9 5.88 -1.2 -1.1 -0.1 Wright,D 4 17.7 17 0.5 2.0 .205 0 4 8.66 -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 105 661.7 386 35.2 40.8 .464 40 37 5.25 -2.8 -2.9 2.9 CLEVELAND INDIANS Park Effect: -4.1% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- D'Amico,J 7 30.7 29 1.3 3.6 .264 1 2 8.51 -1.3 -1.1 -0.8 Davis,J 18 102.0 74 4.0 8.6 .315 2 6 6.53 -2.0 -2.2 -1.4 Dawley,J 2 8.3 5 0.4 0.7 .354 0 0 5.40 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 Durbin,C 4 19.0 15 1.0 1.9 .349 1 2 7.11 -0.5 -0.4 -0.2 Elarton,S 10 49.0 33 2.1 4.2 .337 1 2 6.06 -0.7 -1.0 -0.6 Lee,C 22 122.3 68 7.1 7.7 .479 10 4 5.00 -0.3 -0.4 0.8 Sabathia,C 21 129.3 60 8.2 6.5 .555 7 6 4.18 0.8 0.7 1.9 Stanford,J 2 11.0 1 1.0 0.2 .853 0 1 0.82 0.5 0.4 0.5 Tadano,K 4 22.0 12 1.3 1.4 .484 1 1 4.91 -0.0 -0.1 0.2 Westbrook,J 19 129.3 62 7.4 6.8 .518 9 4 4.31 0.6 0.2 1.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 109 623.0 359 33.7 41.6 .447 32 28 5.19 -3.0 -4.0 1.7 DETROIT TIGERS Park Effect: -8.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bonderman,J 21 110.0 74 5.2 8.2 .388 6 8 6.05 -1.7 -1.5 -0.5 Cornejo,N 5 25.7 25 0.5 3.0 .144 1 3 8.77 -1.2 -1.2 -1.0 Johnson,J 23 143.3 73 8.0 9.0 .469 7 9 4.58 0.1 -0.4 0.8 Knotts,G 14 76.7 55 3.3 6.3 .345 5 6 6.46 -1.5 -1.5 -0.8 Ledezma,W 2 8.0 1 0.7 0.1 .872 0 0 1.12 0.3 0.3 0.4 Maroth,M 22 144.0 75 8.3 7.5 .528 8 7 4.69 -0.1 0.3 1.6 Robertson,N 21 125.7 69 7.4 7.3 .503 9 6 4.94 -0.4 -0.0 1.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 633.3 372 33.4 41.4 .447 36 39 5.29 -4.5 -3.9 1.6 KANSAS CITY ROYALS Park Effect: +3.4% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Affeldt,J 8 46.3 32 1.9 3.6 .354 0 3 6.22 -0.6 -0.8 -0.4 Anderson,B 16 83.3 78 3.3 8.8 .275 2 9 8.42 -3.1 -2.6 -1.8 Appier,K 2 4.0 8 0.1 1.0 .082 0 1 18.00 -0.6 -0.4 -0.4 George,C 6 30.7 30 1.4 3.0 .326 1 2 8.80 -1.3 -0.8 -0.4 Gobble,J 19 108.3 77 5.2 8.2 .390 6 8 6.40 -1.7 -1.4 -0.5 Greinke,Z 14 83.7 42 5.0 4.5 .527 4 8 4.52 0.4 0.3 1.0 May,D 21 128.0 82 6.1 8.9 .405 8 11 5.77 -1.1 -1.4 -0.3 Reyes,D 12 64.0 40 3.7 4.4 .456 2 4 5.63 -0.5 -0.3 0.3 Villacis,E 1 3.3 5 0.0 0.7 .057 0 1 13.50 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 Wood,M 7 40.3 24 2.0 2.7 .431 1 4 5.36 -0.2 -0.3 0.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 106 592.0 418 28.9 45.7 .388 24 51 6.35 -9.0 -8.1 -2.8 MINNESOTA TWINS Park Effect: +1.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Greisinger,S 9 46.3 33 1.9 3.9 .331 2 4 6.41 -0.8 -1.0 -0.6 Guerrier,M 2 8.0 7 0.2 0.9 .205 0 1 7.88 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 Lohse,K 23 133.0 85 6.2 9.1 .406 5 8 5.75 -1.2 -1.5 -0.3 Mulholland,T 5 27.0 15 1.7 1.4 .547 2 1 5.00 -0.0 0.1 0.4 Radke,B 23 148.0 67 10.3 6.4 .616 7 6 4.07 1.3 1.9 3.2 Santana,Jo 23 152.7 60 10.7 5.6 .656 10 6 3.54 2.2 2.5 3.8 Silva,C 22 140.3 71 8.2 7.4 .526 10 7 4.55 0.5 0.3 1.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 655.3 338 39.3 34.7 .531 36 33 4.64 1.7 2.1 7.8 NEW YORK YANKEES Park Effect: +4.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Brown,K 15 95.0 41 6.5 4.0 .618 9 1 3.88 1.1 1.2 2.0 Contreras,J 18 95.7 66 5.4 7.2 .426 8 5 6.21 -1.3 -1.0 0.0 DePaula,J 1 6.3 5 0.1 0.6 .148 0 1 7.11 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 Graman,A 2 3.0 10 0.0 1.4 .015 0 0 30.00 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 Halsey,B 4 18.7 18 0.7 2.0 .247 1 2 8.68 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 Hernandez,O 5 24.0 8 1.8 0.9 .669 3 0 3.00 0.5 0.4 0.7 Lieber,J 17 106.7 65 5.4 6.6 .450 7 7 5.48 -0.6 -0.6 0.3 Loaiza,E 1 6.0 5 0.1 0.6 .178 0 0 7.50 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Mussina,M 18 107.3 69 5.2 7.5 .409 9 6 5.79 -0.9 -1.1 -0.2 Osborne,D 2 6.3 12 0.1 1.5 .048 0 0 17.05 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 Sturtze,T 2 9.0 5 0.6 0.4 .609 1 0 5.00 -0.0 0.0 0.2 Vazquez,J 22 140.7 71 8.3 7.2 .535 12 6 4.54 0.6 0.5 1.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 618.7 375 34.1 39.9 .461 50 28 5.46 -3.2 -2.8 2.7 OAKLAND ATHLETICS Park Effect: +2.4% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Harden,R 21 125.7 61 7.5 6.6 .532 5 5 4.37 0.7 0.4 1.5 Hudson,T 15 108.7 40 7.6 4.0 .655 7 3 3.31 1.8 1.6 2.7 Mulder,M 22 162.0 66 10.3 6.4 .617 15 3 3.67 2.1 1.9 3.2 Redman,M 21 128.7 74 7.2 8.0 .471 8 8 5.18 -0.4 -0.5 0.7 Saarloos,K 5 22.7 12 1.4 1.6 .466 2 1 4.76 0.0 -0.1 0.1 Zito,B 23 141.3 86 7.3 9.0 .448 7 8 5.48 -0.9 -1.0 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 107 689.0 339 41.2 35.6 .536 44 28 4.43 3.5 2.4 8.6 SEATTLE MARINERS Park Effect: -1.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Blackley,T 6 26.0 31 0.6 3.5 .153 1 3 10.73 -1.7 -1.3 -1.1 Franklin,R 21 130.0 75 6.9 7.8 .471 3 10 5.19 -0.5 -0.5 0.7 Garcia,F 15 107.0 39 7.3 3.9 .649 4 7 3.28 1.8 1.6 2.5 Madritsch,B 1 8.0 1 0.8 0.0 .944 0 0 1.12 0.3 0.3 0.4 Meche,G 12 55.3 41 2.4 5.1 .320 1 5 6.67 -1.1 -1.3 -0.8 Moyer,J 22 134.0 66 8.0 7.5 .515 6 6 4.43 0.6 0.2 1.4 Nageotte,C 4 19.7 14 1.1 1.5 .424 1 3 6.41 -0.3 -0.2 -0.0 Pineiro,J 21 140.7 77 8.1 7.9 .505 6 11 4.93 -0.2 -0.0 1.3 Thornton,M 1 5.0 3 0.2 0.3 .433 0 1 5.40 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 Villone,R 5 25.7 14 1.4 1.6 .456 0 0 4.91 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 651.3 361 36.8 39.2 .484 22 46 4.99 -1.2 -1.4 4.5 TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS Park Effect: -0.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Abbott,P 9 44.7 39 2.2 4.0 .357 2 5 7.86 -1.4 -0.9 -0.4 Bell,R 11 61.0 35 3.2 4.0 .444 3 5 5.16 -0.2 -0.4 0.1 Brazelton,D 10 57.7 21 4.0 2.4 .618 4 3 3.28 1.0 0.8 1.2 Gaudin,C 4 15.3 10 0.7 1.4 .347 1 1 5.87 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 Gonzalez,J 8 41.3 35 1.6 4.1 .282 0 5 7.62 -1.2 -1.2 -0.8 Halama,J 9 50.7 32 2.7 3.4 .445 3 4 5.68 -0.5 -0.3 0.1 Hendrickson, 21 130.3 70 7.5 8.0 .486 8 9 4.83 -0.0 -0.1 0.9 Moss,D 2 4.0 11 0.1 1.4 .048 0 1 24.75 -0.9 -0.6 -0.5 Sosa,J 2 12.0 3 0.9 0.3 .769 1 0 2.25 0.3 0.3 0.4 Standridge,J 1 3.0 4 0.0 0.6 .059 0 0 12.00 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Waechter,D 9 50.7 35 2.3 3.9 .370 3 6 6.22 -0.8 -0.7 -0.3 Zambrano,V 22 127.0 68 7.3 7.6 .490 9 7 4.82 0.0 -0.1 1.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 597.7 363 32.5 40.8 .443 34 46 5.47 -4.1 -3.8 1.3 TEXAS RANGERS Park Effect: +29.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bacsik,M 1 7.0 0 0.8 0.0 1.000 1 0 0.00 0.4 0.4 0.5 Benoit,J 13 67.0 50 3.2 5.1 .384 2 5 6.72 -0.8 -0.9 -0.3 Bierbrodt,N 4 17.0 11 1.0 1.2 .446 1 1 5.82 -0.0 -0.1 0.0 Callaway,M 1 1.3 6 0.0 0.8 .001 0 1 40.50 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 Dickey,R 15 81.7 66 4.0 6.7 .375 4 7 7.27 -1.4 -1.2 -0.5 Dominguez,J 3 17.0 9 1.2 0.9 .565 1 2 4.76 0.1 0.1 0.3 Drese,R 22 141.0 64 9.8 5.6 .637 8 5 4.09 2.1 2.0 3.2 Lewis,C 3 15.3 7 0.9 0.7 .567 1 1 4.11 0.2 0.1 0.2 Narron,S 1 2.7 4 0.0 0.5 .037 0 0 13.50 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Park,C 8 49.7 35 2.2 3.5 .385 2 4 6.34 -0.4 -0.6 -0.2 Regilio,N 2 10.0 5 0.6 0.5 .546 0 2 4.50 0.1 0.0 0.1 Rodriguez,R 4 23.0 9 1.7 1.1 .602 2 1 3.52 0.5 0.3 0.5 Rogers,K 23 142.7 72 9.0 7.0 .563 13 4 4.54 1.5 0.9 2.2 Wasdin,J 6 31.3 27 1.4 2.6 .352 1 2 7.76 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 106 606.7 365 35.8 36.2 .497 36 35 5.41 0.9 -0.1 5.2 TORONTO BLUE JAYS Park Effect: +3.4% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Batista,M 23 150.0 71 9.3 7.2 .562 9 6 4.26 1.1 1.0 2.3 Bush,D 6 35.7 17 2.4 1.9 .558 1 2 4.29 0.2 0.3 0.6 Douglass,S 2 10.7 8 0.3 1.0 .214 0 1 6.75 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 Halladay,R 18 118.0 61 7.0 6.0 .539 7 7 4.65 0.3 0.4 1.5 Hentgen,P 16 78.3 67 3.4 7.5 .311 2 9 7.70 -2.3 -2.0 -1.2 Kershner,J 2 6.7 8 0.1 1.1 .102 0 1 10.80 -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 Lilly,T 22 131.0 58 8.5 5.8 .594 8 7 3.98 1.3 1.3 2.4 Miller,J 7 40.7 19 2.1 2.2 .494 1 1 4.20 0.3 0.1 0.3 Towers,J 12 69.0 40 4.5 4.3 .511 6 4 5.22 -0.2 0.1 0.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 108 640.0 349 37.5 37.0 .504 34 38 4.91 0.1 0.4 5.9 Multi-team pitcher totals: ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher Teams GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Abbott,P T/P 18 88.0 72 4.1 7.8 .346 3 10 7.36 -2.5 -1.8 -0.9 Benson,K P/N 21 137.3 76 8.0 7.3 .520 8 9 4.98 -0.2 0.2 1.5 Contreras,J N/C 19 101.7 70 5.6 7.7 .423 9 5 6.20 -1.3 -1.1 -0.0 Elarton,S C/C 18 90.3 78 3.1 8.9 .256 1 8 7.77 -2.6 -2.7 -2.0 Garcia,F S/C 22 156.0 61 10.0 6.2 .617 9 9 3.52 2.2 1.8 3.1 Loaiza,E C/N 22 146.7 86 7.2 9.4 .435 9 5 5.28 -0.7 -1.1 0.2 Oliver,D F/H 10 45.7 37 1.7 4.7 .262 3 2 7.29 -1.4 -1.5 -1.0 Penny,B F/L 22 139.3 50 9.2 5.7 .618 9 8 3.23 1.9 1.6 2.9 Zambrano,V T/N 23 132.3 74 7.4 8.0 .481 10 7 5.03 -0.3 -0.2 0.9 MAJOR LEAGUE Totals: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ GS IP R SNW E(W) SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 3222 18978.0 10509 1085.9 1051.4 1146.0 .487 1098 1116 4.98 -43.3 -33.1 Return to Top Definition of terms: SNW = Support-Neutral Wins -- the pitcher's expected number of wins, assuming he had league-average support. SNL = Support-Neutral Losses -- same as SNW except for losses. SNVA = Support-Neutral Value Added -- the expected number of games the pitcher would be worth to an average team in the standings, over what a league-average pitcher would be worth. The above three stats are calculated for each start, using innings pitched and runs allowed plus the league's single-inning scoring distribution, combined with simple probability theory. They are park-adjusted. SNWAR -- "Support-Neutral Wins Above Replacement-level": the number of SNWs a pitcher has above what a .425 pitcher would get in the same number of (Support-Neutral) decisions. SNPct -- SNW / (SNW+SNL) W, L -- The pitcher's actual wins and losses RA -- runs allowed per 9 innings APW = Adjusted Pitcher Wins -- Thorn and Palmer's method for calculating a starter's value in wins. Included for comparison with SNVA. APW values here calculated using runs instead of earned runs. E(W) = Expected Wins -- for each game, 0 if the pitcher pitched fewer than 5 innings, and SNW otherwise. (This is *true* expected wins) E(L) = Expected Losses -- same as SNL Return to Top |