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Final 1990 NL Support-Neutral W/L Report by Michael Wolverton The Support-Neutral statistics evaluate starting pitchers by measuring the probability that each outing will lead to the starter getting a win (SNW), the starter getting a loss (SNL), and the starter's team winning (SNVA), given league average support from the offense and the bullpen. More information can be found in a short summary of the stats, or in a long detailed article. Best & Worst o Luckiest & Unluckiest o Reliever help o Flakiest & Steadiest o Team Rankings o Team-by-Team Stats o Definitions (Numbers through end of 1990 regular season) Top 30 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher): Pitcher Team SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ViolaF NYM 18.1 9.0 .666 20 12 2.99 3.4 4.3 6.5 WhitsonE SDP 15.7 8.0 .662 14 9 2.87 3.6 3.6 5.6 RijoJ CIN 13.7 7.0 .661 14 8 2.97 3.2 3.2 4.9 DrabekD PIT 15.0 9.6 .611 22 6 3.03 2.7 2.6 4.6 MartinezR LAD 15.4 10.5 .594 20 6 3.42 1.9 2.3 4.4 BoydO MON 12.8 8.1 .614 10 6 3.02 2.3 2.1 3.9 SmithZ M/P 13.3 8.9 .599 12 9 3.16 2.2 2.1 3.9 DarwinD HOU 9.1 3.3 .736 9 3 2.22 2.6 2.7 3.9 HurstB SDP 14.0 10.3 .577 11 9 3.42 2.2 1.9 3.7 MartinezD MON 13.5 9.8 .579 10 11 3.19 2.3 1.7 3.6 HarkeyM CHI 11.9 7.9 .602 12 6 3.68 1.7 1.9 3.5 TudorJ STL 9.9 5.3 .651 11 4 3.12 1.8 2.1 3.4 ConeD NYM 13.0 9.6 .575 14 10 3.59 1.4 1.7 3.4 BrowningT CIN 14.0 11.4 .552 15 9 3.87 1.3 1.4 3.2 GardnerM MON 10.7 7.9 .576 7 8 3.63 0.8 1.3 2.8 MagraneJ STL 12.3 10.1 .548 10 17 3.81 1.1 1.1 2.8 BenesA SDP 11.7 9.4 .555 10 11 3.97 0.6 1.0 2.7 DeshaiesJ HOU 12.8 11.0 .538 7 12 4.00 0.3 0.7 2.7 FernandezS NYM 11.3 9.3 .549 9 14 3.96 0.5 0.9 2.6 MulhollandT PHI 10.5 8.4 .555 9 10 3.89 0.7 0.9 2.5 ArmstrongJ CIN 10.4 8.4 .554 12 9 3.97 0.8 0.9 2.4 MadduxG CHI 13.7 13.1 .511 15 15 4.41 0.4 0.3 2.3 CharltonN CIN 7.1 4.2 .626 6 5 2.95 1.7 1.4 2.3 GoodenD NYM 13.1 12.5 .513 19 7 4.10 0.2 0.3 2.2 PortugalM HOU 11.6 10.7 .519 11 10 4.12 0.0 0.4 2.1 SmoltzJ ATL 13.1 12.8 .506 14 11 4.24 0.6 0.1 2.1 LeibrandtC ATL 9.5 8.2 .538 9 11 3.99 0.9 0.6 2.0 MorganM LAD 12.6 12.3 .504 11 15 4.27 -0.4 0.0 2.0 TomlinR PIT 5.3 2.8 .653 4 4 2.78 1.1 1.3 1.8 DeJesusJ PHI 8.3 7.1 .539 7 8 4.36 -0.1 0.7 1.8 Return to Top Bottom 10 NL Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher): Pitcher Team SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ----------------------------------------------------------------------- TerrellW PIT 3.3 7.8 .295 2 7 6.42 -2.3 -2.2 -1.5 ShowE SDP 2.0 5.7 .263 3 7 6.67 -1.6 -1.7 -1.3 NunezJ CHI 1.5 4.9 .241 3 5 8.10 -1.8 -1.5 -1.2 AveryS ATL 4.8 9.0 .346 3 10 7.05 -2.8 -2.0 -1.1 RuffinB PHI 6.4 11.1 .366 6 13 5.71 -2.2 -2.2 -1.0 WellsT LAD 0.7 3.2 .172 1 2 10.02 -1.4 -1.2 -1.0 WilsonS CHI 3.3 6.6 .337 2 7 6.01 -1.3 -1.4 -0.9 WettelandJ LAD 0.6 2.7 .181 0 3 9.16 -1.1 -1.0 -0.8 ClancyJ HOU 2.1 4.6 .313 2 7 6.41 -1.2 -1.2 -0.7 FarmerH MON 0.5 2.4 .182 0 2 7.65 -0.8 -0.9 -0.7 Return to Top Luckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)): Pitcher Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff. ------------------------------------------------ GoodenD NYM 13.1 12.5 19 7 11.4 DrabekD PIT 14.9 9.6 22 6 10.6 MartinezR LAD 15.2 10.5 20 6 9.3 BurkettJ SFG 11.1 11.1 14 7 7.0 HeatonN PIT 7.3 8.3 12 8 5.0 RobinsonD SFG 8.6 9.6 10 7 4.0 ValenzuelaF LAD 10.1 13.9 13 13 3.8 CookD P/L 5.3 6.0 6 3 3.7 SmithB STL 7.3 10.0 9 8 3.7 HowellK PHI 4.9 7.6 8 7 3.7 Return to Top Unluckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)): Pitcher Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff. ------------------------------------------------ DeLeonJ STL 9.9 11.9 7 19 -10.0 MagraneJ STL 12.3 10.1 10 17 -9.1 FernandezS NYM 10.9 9.3 9 14 -6.6 DeshaiesJ HOU 12.5 11.0 7 12 -6.5 ClaryM ATL 3.2 6.0 1 9 -5.2 MartinezD MON 13.4 9.8 10 11 -4.6 MorganM LAD 12.5 12.3 11 15 -4.1 GardnerM MON 10.5 7.9 7 8 -3.7 LilliquistD A/S 5.5 7.0 5 10 -3.5 ScottM HOU 11.4 12.2 9 13 -3.1 Return to Top 10 ML Starters most hurt by their relievers (ranked by Runs Saved):
Act. Ex. Act. Fair Runs
Pitcher Team IR IR RA RA Saved
-------------------------------------------------------
ClaryM ATL 12 6.6 6.60 5.95 -5.4
DeJesusJ PHI 11 5.8 4.36 4.00 -5.2
MathewsG STL 7 2.6 6.10 5.29 -4.4
ViolaF NYM 8 4.0 2.99 2.85 -4.0
BenesA SDP 12 8.0 3.97 3.79 -4.0
NunezJ CHI 8 5.1 8.10 7.54 -2.9
BurkettJ SFG 11 8.3 4.12 4.00 -2.7
RasmussenD SDP 12 9.5 5.28 5.15 -2.5
TudorJ STL 7 4.6 3.12 2.97 -2.4
GarreltsS SFG 12 9.7 4.50 4.39 -2.3
Return to Top 10 ML Starters most helped by their relievers (ranked by Runs Saved):
Act. Ex. Act. Fair Runs
Pitcher Team IR IR RA RA Saved
-------------------------------------------------------
CharltonN CIN 1 4.9 2.95 3.29 3.9
CombsP PHI 6 9.9 4.40 4.59 3.9
RuffinB PHI 6 9.8 5.71 5.97 3.8
BieleckiM CHI 7 10.5 5.72 5.93 3.5
ValenzuelaF LAD 1 4.1 4.94 5.08 3.1
JacksonD CIN 1 4.0 4.21 4.45 3.0
SmoltzJ ATL 3 5.7 4.24 4.35 2.7
GullicksonB HOU 5 7.6 4.66 4.78 2.6
ReuschelR SFG 0 2.1 4.33 4.57 2.1
HeatonN PIT 2 4.1 4.10 4.24 2.1
Return to Top Flakiest 10 NL Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA): (20 starts minimum) Pitcher Team APW SNVA SNVA Var. ------------------------------------------ GardnerM MON 0.8 1.3 0.081 MorganM LAD -0.4 0.0 0.081 ScottM HOU -0.8 -0.4 0.079 ViolaF NYM 3.4 4.3 0.074 BelcherT LAD -0.7 -0.4 0.073 MartinezR LAD 1.9 2.3 0.073 TewksburyB STL 0.4 0.4 0.072 MadduxG CHI 0.4 0.3 0.072 GarreltsS SFG -0.9 -0.4 0.071 SmithB STL -1.5 -1.0 0.070 Return to Top Steadiest 10 NL Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA): (20 starts minimum) Pitcher Team APW SNVA SNVA Var. ------------------------------------------ HeatonN PIT -0.1 -0.5 0.035 SmileyJ PIT -1.6 -1.5 0.038 JacksonD CIN 0.2 0.1 0.044 GrossK MON -2.0 -1.9 0.045 MartinezD MON 2.3 1.7 0.045 BurkettJ SFG -0.1 0.0 0.045 TudorJ STL 1.8 2.1 0.047 BenesA SDP 0.6 1.0 0.048 RijoJ CIN 3.2 3.2 0.049 BoydO MON 2.3 2.1 0.049 Return to Top Team Totals (teams ranked by SNW-SNL): Team SNW SNL SNPct. E(W) W L RA AdjRA SNVA ----------------------------------------------------------------- CIN 61.6 51.3 .546 59.9 64 49 3.93 3.77 5.0 NYM 64.1 54.3 .541 63.1 73 56 3.93 3.98 4.5 MON 60.4 51.9 .538 58.8 49 51 3.71 3.86 3.7 SDP 58.7 55.3 .515 57.2 53 62 4.13 4.10 1.6 STL 57.5 56.1 .506 55.8 53 69 4.35 4.31 0.6 HOU 57.7 57.3 .502 56.9 48 62 4.24 4.33 -0.0 PIT 56.1 56.1 .500 54.4 67 49 4.02 4.23 -0.0 LAD 58.4 61.3 .488 56.9 65 57 4.42 4.56 -1.5 PHI 53.1 58.8 .475 50.5 51 60 4.55 4.52 -2.5 SFG 53.2 60.4 .468 51.3 62 53 4.50 4.69 -3.6 ATL 54.0 62.1 .465 51.8 48 69 4.97 4.68 -3.9 CHI 52.4 61.2 .461 50.6 51 65 5.00 4.60 -3.8 ----------------------------------------------------------------- NL 687.3 686.2 .500 667.3 684 702 4.30 4.30 -0.0 Return to Top Team Luck Totals (teams ranked by ((SNW - E(W)) + (E(L) - SNL)): Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff --------------------------------------- PIT 54.4 56.1 67 49 19.7 SFG 51.3 60.4 62 53 18.1 LAD 56.9 61.3 65 57 12.4 NYM 63.1 54.3 73 56 8.2 CIN 59.9 51.3 64 49 6.4 PHI 50.5 58.8 51 60 -0.7 CHI 50.6 61.2 51 65 -3.4 MON 58.8 51.9 49 51 -9.0 ATL 51.8 62.1 48 69 -10.7 SDP 57.2 55.3 53 62 -10.9 HOU 56.9 57.3 48 62 -13.6 STL 55.8 56.1 53 69 -15.7 --------------------------------------- NL 667.3 686.2 684 702 1.0 Return to Top Team Bullpen Support Totals (teams ranked by Bullpen Support of starting pitchers): Team IR E(IR) RA/A E(RA)/A SNVA_n SNVA BSup ---------------------------------------------------------- CIN 27 35.6 3.77 3.85 5.71 5.04 0.68 MON 18 20.2 3.86 3.88 3.82 3.66 0.16 HOU 25 29.7 4.33 4.37 0.09 -0.03 0.12 CHI 52 51.1 4.60 4.60 -4.03 -3.82 -0.21 LAD 36 35.7 4.56 4.55 -1.73 -1.50 -0.23 PHI 44 42.8 4.52 4.50 -2.78 -2.50 -0.28 SDP 42 41.4 4.10 4.09 1.20 1.56 -0.36 SFG 46 41.3 4.69 4.64 -4.07 -3.62 -0.45 PIT 39 37.2 4.23 4.21 -0.72 -0.00 -0.71 ATL 55 43.5 4.68 4.58 -4.68 -3.87 -0.81 STL 42 32.2 4.31 4.22 -0.20 0.61 -0.81 NYM 28 23.0 3.98 3.93 3.45 4.47 -1.02 ---------------------------------------------------------- NL 454 433.5 4.30 4.29 -3.94 -0.01 -3.93 Return to Top Team-by-team stats: ATLANTA BRAVES Park Effect: +11.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- AveryS 20 97.0 76 4.8 9.0 .346 3 10 7.05 -2.8 -2.0 -1.1 CastilloT 3 14.3 4 1.1 0.5 .699 2 0 2.51 0.3 0.3 0.4 ClaryM 14 75.0 55 3.4 6.0 .365 1 9 6.60 -1.8 -1.2 -0.6 GlavineT 33 214.3 111 11.5 12.4 .481 10 12 4.66 -0.4 -0.4 1.3 GrantM 1 4.0 4 0.1 0.5 .105 0 0 9.00 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 GreeneT 2 7.3 6 0.3 0.8 .282 1 0 7.36 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 LeibrandtC 24 162.3 72 9.5 8.2 .538 9 11 3.99 0.9 0.6 2.0 LilliquistD 11 60.7 44 2.8 4.8 .368 2 8 6.53 -1.4 -0.9 -0.4 MarakP 7 39.0 16 3.1 2.1 .600 1 2 3.69 0.3 0.5 0.9 SmithP 13 77.0 45 4.3 5.0 .461 5 6 5.26 -0.7 -0.4 0.3 SmoltzJ 34 231.3 109 13.1 12.8 .506 14 11 4.24 0.6 0.1 2.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 982.3 542 54.0 62.1 .465 48 69 4.97 -5.3 -3.9 4.7 CHICAGO CUBS Park Effect: +15.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- AssenmacherP 1 1.0 4 0.0 0.7 .015 0 0 36.00 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 BieleckiM 29 151.0 96 7.9 12.1 .395 7 11 5.72 -1.9 -2.1 -0.6 BlankenshipK 2 9.7 8 0.4 0.9 .313 0 2 7.45 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 BoskieS 15 97.7 42 6.1 4.5 .578 5 6 3.87 0.7 0.9 1.6 CoffmanK 2 8.3 10 0.2 1.2 .130 0 2 10.80 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 DicksonL 3 13.7 12 0.4 1.3 .243 0 3 7.90 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 HarkeyM 27 173.7 71 11.9 7.9 .602 12 6 3.68 1.7 1.9 3.5 KramerR 2 6.3 6 0.3 0.9 .257 0 1 8.53 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 LancasterL 6 32.0 14 2.5 1.5 .632 3 1 3.94 0.2 0.5 0.8 MadduxG 35 237.0 116 13.7 13.1 .511 15 15 4.41 0.4 0.3 2.3 NunezJ 10 46.7 42 1.5 4.9 .241 3 5 8.10 -1.8 -1.5 -1.2 PicoJ 8 49.3 22 2.8 2.6 .515 4 3 4.01 0.3 0.1 0.5 SutcliffeR 5 21.3 14 1.2 1.8 .388 0 2 5.91 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1 WilliamsM 2 6.3 8 0.1 1.2 .062 0 1 11.37 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 WilsonS 15 79.3 53 3.3 6.6 .337 2 7 6.01 -1.3 -1.4 -0.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 933.3 518 52.4 61.2 .461 51 65 5.00 -4.4 -3.8 4.1 CINCINNATI REDS Park Effect: +7.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ArmstrongJ 27 163.3 72 10.4 8.4 .554 12 9 3.97 0.8 0.9 2.4 BrowningT 35 227.7 98 14.0 11.4 .552 15 9 3.87 1.3 1.4 3.2 CharltonN 16 103.7 34 7.1 4.2 .626 6 5 2.95 1.7 1.4 2.3 HammondC 3 11.3 9 0.4 1.3 .224 0 2 7.15 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 JacksonD 21 115.3 54 6.8 6.8 .500 6 6 4.21 0.2 0.1 1.0 MahlerR 16 89.7 45 5.1 5.6 .479 6 5 4.52 -0.1 -0.2 0.6 RijoJ 29 197.0 65 13.7 7.0 .661 14 8 2.97 3.2 3.2 4.9 RobinsonR 5 26.7 16 1.7 1.8 .481 2 1 5.40 -0.3 -0.1 0.2 ScudderS 10 49.0 36 2.4 4.8 .335 3 4 6.61 -1.2 -1.2 -0.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 983.7 429 61.6 51.3 .546 64 49 3.93 5.2 5.0 13.6 HOUSTON ASTROS Park Effect: -4.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ClancyJ 10 46.3 33 2.1 4.6 .313 2 7 6.41 -1.2 -1.2 -0.7 ClarkT 1 4.0 7 0.0 0.9 .011 0 0 15.75 -0.5 -0.4 -0.4 DarwinD 17 117.7 29 9.1 3.3 .736 9 3 2.22 2.6 2.7 3.9 DeshaiesJ 34 209.3 93 12.8 11.0 .538 7 12 4.00 0.3 0.7 2.7 GullicksonB 32 193.3 100 9.7 13.0 .426 10 14 4.66 -1.2 -1.5 0.0 HennisR 1 6.0 0 0.7 0.0 1.000 0 0 0.00 0.3 0.3 0.4 HernandezX 1 5.0 3 0.2 0.3 .402 0 1 5.40 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 PortugalM 32 196.7 90 11.6 10.7 .519 11 10 4.12 0.0 0.4 2.1 SchatzederD 2 6.0 9 0.0 1.3 .035 0 2 13.50 -0.7 -0.5 -0.5 ScottM 32 205.7 102 11.4 12.2 .483 9 13 4.46 -0.8 -0.4 1.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 990.0 466 57.7 57.3 .502 48 62 4.24 -1.1 -0.0 8.8 LOS ANGELES DODGERS Park Effect: -6.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BelcherT 24 153.0 76 8.5 9.3 .478 9 9 4.47 -0.7 -0.4 1.0 CookD 3 13.3 11 0.5 1.6 .256 1 1 7.43 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 CrewsT 2 9.3 3 0.6 0.4 .592 1 1 2.89 0.1 0.1 0.2 HartleyM 6 35.7 10 2.8 1.2 .702 3 2 2.52 0.7 0.8 1.1 HershiserO 4 25.3 12 1.2 1.4 .453 1 1 4.26 -0.0 -0.1 0.1 MadduxM 2 3.3 7 0.1 1.2 .081 0 1 18.90 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 MartinezR 33 234.3 89 15.4 10.5 .594 20 6 3.42 1.9 2.3 4.4 MorganM 33 211.0 100 12.6 12.3 .504 11 15 4.27 -0.4 0.0 2.0 NeidlingerJ 12 74.0 30 5.0 3.5 .590 5 3 3.65 0.4 0.7 1.4 ValenzuelaF 33 204.0 112 10.4 13.9 .427 13 13 4.94 -2.0 -1.8 0.0 WellsT 5 20.7 23 0.7 3.2 .172 1 2 10.02 -1.4 -1.2 -1.0 WettelandJ 5 18.7 19 0.6 2.7 .181 0 3 9.16 -1.1 -1.0 -0.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1002.7 492 58.4 61.3 .488 65 57 4.42 -3.7 -1.5 7.6 MONTREAL EXPOS Park Effect: -8.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- AndersonS 3 15.0 5 1.0 0.6 .602 0 1 3.00 0.2 0.2 0.3 BarnesB 4 28.0 10 1.7 1.2 .589 1 1 3.21 0.3 0.2 0.5 BoydO 31 190.7 64 12.8 8.1 .614 10 6 3.02 2.3 2.1 3.9 FarmerH 4 20.0 17 0.5 2.4 .182 0 2 7.65 -0.8 -0.9 -0.7 GardnerM 26 151.3 61 10.7 7.9 .576 7 8 3.63 0.8 1.3 2.8 GrossK 26 146.7 85 7.1 11.0 .393 8 12 5.22 -2.0 -1.9 -0.6 MartinezD 32 226.0 80 13.5 9.8 .579 10 11 3.19 2.3 1.7 3.6 NabholzC 11 70.0 23 4.4 2.8 .611 6 2 2.96 0.9 0.8 1.3 SampenB 4 14.0 10 0.7 1.5 .309 1 1 6.43 -0.4 -0.4 -0.2 SmithZ 21 138.3 57 8.0 6.6 .548 6 7 3.71 0.6 0.6 1.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1000.0 412 60.4 51.9 .538 49 51 3.71 4.1 3.7 12.7 NEW YORK METS Park Effect: -2.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ConeD 30 210.7 84 13.0 9.6 .575 14 10 3.59 1.4 1.7 3.4 DarlingR 18 96.7 58 4.9 7.3 .402 6 7 5.40 -1.4 -1.3 -0.3 FernandezS 30 179.3 79 11.3 9.3 .549 9 14 3.96 0.5 0.9 2.6 GoodenD 34 232.7 106 13.1 12.5 .513 19 7 4.10 0.2 0.3 2.2 OjedaB 12 68.7 38 3.2 5.1 .390 4 5 4.98 -0.6 -0.9 -0.3 ValeraJ 3 13.0 11 0.4 1.5 .224 1 1 7.62 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 ViolaF 35 249.7 83 18.1 9.0 .666 20 12 2.99 3.4 4.3 6.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1050.7 459 64.1 54.3 .541 73 56 3.93 3.0 4.5 13.8 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES Park Effect: +1.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- CarmanD 1 4.0 6 0.0 0.8 .034 0 1 13.50 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 CombsP 31 182.0 89 10.4 11.3 .481 10 10 4.40 -0.3 -0.5 1.2 CookD 13 82.7 36 4.9 4.5 .523 5 2 3.92 0.3 0.3 0.9 DeJesusJ 22 130.0 63 8.3 7.1 .539 7 8 4.36 -0.1 0.7 1.8 FreemanM 3 13.0 10 0.6 1.3 .292 0 1 6.92 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 GreeneT 7 37.0 18 2.0 2.1 .488 2 3 4.38 -0.0 0.0 0.3 GrimsleyJ 11 57.3 21 3.8 2.8 .582 3 2 3.30 0.6 0.5 1.0 HowellK 18 106.7 60 5.0 7.6 .397 8 7 5.06 -1.0 -1.2 -0.3 MulhollandT 26 171.3 74 10.5 8.4 .555 9 10 3.89 0.7 0.9 2.5 ParrettJ 5 26.3 16 1.1 1.8 .381 1 3 5.47 -0.4 -0.3 -0.1 RuffinB 25 132.3 84 6.4 11.1 .366 6 13 5.71 -2.2 -2.2 -1.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 942.7 477 53.1 58.8 .475 51 60 4.55 -3.1 -2.5 5.5 PITTSBURGH PIRATES Park Effect: -10.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- DrabekD 33 231.3 78 15.0 9.6 .611 22 6 3.03 2.7 2.6 4.6 HeatonN 24 136.0 62 7.3 8.3 .469 12 8 4.10 -0.1 -0.5 0.7 KipperB 1 1.3 7 0.0 0.8 .005 0 1 47.25 -0.7 -0.4 -0.3 KramerR 2 9.0 4 0.4 0.6 .411 0 1 4.00 0.0 -0.1 -0.0 PattersonB 5 26.3 12 1.7 1.6 .515 2 2 4.10 -0.0 0.1 0.3 ReedR 8 44.0 27 1.9 3.7 .342 2 3 5.52 -0.8 -0.8 -0.5 ReussJ 1 5.3 3 0.1 0.4 .246 0 0 5.06 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 SmileyJ 25 148.3 81 7.1 10.2 .412 9 10 4.91 -1.6 -1.5 -0.2 SmithZ 10 75.0 18 5.3 2.3 .698 6 2 2.16 1.6 1.5 2.1 TerrellW 16 82.7 59 3.3 7.8 .295 2 7 6.42 -2.3 -2.2 -1.5 TomlinR 12 77.7 24 5.3 2.8 .653 4 4 2.78 1.1 1.3 1.8 WalkB 24 127.3 59 7.7 8.0 .492 7 5 4.17 -0.2 -0.2 1.1 YorkM 1 7.0 0 0.8 0.0 1.000 1 0 0.00 0.3 0.4 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 971.3 434 56.1 56.1 .500 67 49 4.02 -0.1 -0.0 8.4 ST. LOUIS CARDINALS Park Effect: +1.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- DeLeonJ 32 182.7 96 10.1 11.9 .459 7 19 4.73 -1.0 -0.9 0.8 HillK 14 75.0 42 4.4 5.1 .462 5 6 5.04 -0.7 -0.4 0.4 MagraneJ 31 203.3 86 12.3 10.1 .548 10 17 3.81 1.1 1.1 2.8 MathewsG 10 48.7 33 2.8 4.0 .409 0 4 6.10 -1.0 -0.5 -0.1 OlivaresO 6 39.3 15 2.5 1.5 .618 1 1 3.43 0.4 0.4 0.8 SmithB 25 141.0 81 7.8 10.0 .439 9 8 5.17 -1.5 -1.0 0.2 TerryS 2 7.0 8 0.1 1.3 .093 0 1 10.29 -0.5 -0.6 -0.5 TewksburyB 20 131.0 58 7.7 6.9 .527 10 9 3.98 0.4 0.4 1.5 TudorJ 22 138.3 48 9.9 5.3 .651 11 4 3.12 1.8 2.1 3.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 966.3 467 57.5 56.1 .506 53 69 4.35 -0.9 0.6 9.2 SAN DIEGO PADRES Park Effect: +1.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BenesA 31 190.3 84 11.7 9.4 .555 10 11 3.97 0.6 1.0 2.7 DunneM 6 21.0 18 1.2 2.8 .298 0 3 7.71 -0.8 -0.7 -0.5 HammakerA 1 6.0 3 0.2 0.4 .385 0 1 4.50 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 HurstB 33 223.7 85 14.0 10.3 .577 11 9 3.42 2.2 1.9 3.7 LilliquistD 7 41.3 16 2.8 2.1 .563 3 2 3.48 0.4 0.2 0.7 RasmussenD 32 187.7 110 9.5 13.1 .420 11 15 5.28 -2.2 -1.7 -0.1 SchiraldiC 8 43.3 27 1.6 3.6 .306 1 5 5.61 -0.7 -0.9 -0.6 ShowE 12 58.0 43 2.0 5.7 .263 3 7 6.67 -1.6 -1.7 -1.3 WhitsonE 32 228.7 73 15.7 8.0 .662 14 9 2.87 3.6 3.6 5.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1000.0 459 58.7 55.3 .515 53 62 4.13 1.6 1.6 10.2 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS Park Effect: -8.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BurkettJ 32 201.0 92 11.3 11.1 .503 14 7 4.12 -0.1 0.0 1.7 DownsK 9 55.0 25 2.9 3.1 .482 3 2 4.09 -0.0 -0.1 0.3 GarreltsS 31 182.0 91 10.8 11.7 .479 12 11 4.50 -0.9 -0.4 1.2 GundersonE 4 17.3 12 0.9 1.7 .345 1 2 6.23 -0.4 -0.4 -0.2 HammakerA 6 34.7 17 1.7 2.3 .431 3 2 4.41 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 KnepperB 7 36.7 19 1.8 2.6 .417 3 2 4.66 -0.3 -0.3 -0.0 LaCossM 12 75.7 37 4.5 4.1 .520 6 4 4.40 -0.3 0.1 0.8 McClellanP 1 4.0 5 0.1 0.6 .107 0 1 11.25 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 NovoaR 2 9.3 8 0.4 1.1 .252 0 1 7.71 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 OliverasF 2 9.7 5 0.4 0.7 .365 0 1 4.66 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 ReuschelR 13 81.0 39 3.7 5.2 .415 3 6 4.33 -0.3 -0.7 -0.1 RobinsonD 25 156.7 81 8.7 9.6 .474 10 7 4.65 -1.1 -0.7 0.9 SwanR 1 2.3 3 0.1 0.5 .088 0 1 11.57 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 WilsonT 17 96.7 47 6.1 6.1 .498 7 6 4.38 -0.4 0.1 0.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 962.0 481 53.2 60.4 .468 62 53 4.50 -5.0 -3.6 4.9 Multi-team pitcher totals: ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher Teams GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- CookD P/L 16 96.0 47 5.4 6.0 .474 6 3 4.41 -0.2 -0.1 0.6 GreeneT A/P 9 44.3 24 2.3 2.9 .443 3 3 4.87 -0.3 -0.2 0.1 HammakerA S/S 7 40.7 20 1.9 2.6 .425 3 3 4.43 -0.2 -0.3 0.0 KramerR P/C 4 15.3 10 0.8 1.6 .328 0 2 5.87 -0.3 -0.4 -0.2 LilliquistD A/S 18 102.0 60 5.6 7.0 .444 5 10 5.29 -1.0 -0.7 0.2 SmithZ M/P 31 213.3 75 13.3 8.9 .599 12 9 3.16 2.2 2.1 3.9 NATIONAL LEAGUE Totals: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ GS IP R SNW E(W) SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1944 11785.0 5636 687.3 667.3 686.2 .500 684 702 4.30 -9.7 -0.0 Return to Top Definition of terms: SNW = Support-Neutral Wins -- the pitcher's expected number of wins, assuming he had league-average support. SNL = Support-Neutral Losses -- same as SNW except for losses. SNVA = Support-Neutral Value Added -- the expected number of games the pitcher would be worth to an average team in the standings, over what a league-average pitcher would be worth. The above three stats are calculated for each start, using innings pitched and runs allowed plus the league's single-inning scoring distribution, combined with simple probability theory. They are park-adjusted. SNWAR -- "Support-Neutral Wins Above Replacement-level": the number of SNWs a pitcher has above what a .425 pitcher would get in the same number of (Support-Neutral) decisions. SNPct -- SNW / (SNW+SNL) W, L -- The pitcher's actual wins and losses RA -- runs allowed per 9 innings APW = Adjusted Pitcher Wins -- Thorn and Palmer's method for calculating a starter's value in wins. Included for comparison with SNVA. APW values here calculated using runs instead of earned runs. E(W) = Expected Wins -- for each game, 0 if the pitcher pitched fewer than 5 innings, and SNW otherwise. (This is *true* expected wins) E(L) = Expected Losses -- same as SNL Return to Top Comments and questions welcome. The raw play-by-play data used to generate this report was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at 20 Sunset Rd., Newark, DE 19711. |