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Final 1984 NL Support-Neutral W/L Report by Michael Wolverton The Support-Neutral statistics evaluate starting pitchers by measuring the probability that each outing will lead to the starter getting a win (SNW), the starter getting a loss (SNL), and the starter's team winning (SNVA), given league average support from the offense and the bullpen. More information can be found in a short summary of the stats, or in a long detailed article. Best & Worst o Luckiest & Unluckiest o Reliever help o Flakiest & Steadiest o Team Rankings o Team-by-Team Stats o Definitions (Numbers through end of 1984 regular season) Top 30 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher): Pitcher Team SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ----------------------------------------------------------------------- GoodenD NYM 15.9 8.3 .658 17 9 2.97 2.7 3.7 5.6 RhodenR PIT 16.0 9.4 .629 14 9 3.06 2.8 3.2 5.2 PenaA LAD 12.8 7.8 .621 12 6 3.03 2.3 2.4 4.0 AndujarJ STL 16.0 12.9 .554 20 14 3.58 1.1 1.5 3.7 McWilliamsL PIT 13.7 10.2 .572 12 11 3.42 1.7 1.4 3.5 TudorJ PIT 13.0 9.6 .576 12 11 3.44 1.6 1.6 3.4 EckersleyD CHI 10.5 6.3 .625 10 8 3.31 2.0 2.0 3.4 TroutS CHI 12.7 9.2 .578 13 6 3.71 1.5 1.7 3.4 HershiserO LAD 10.1 5.8 .634 9 6 2.68 2.3 2.1 3.3 SutcliffeR CHI 10.2 6.0 .630 16 1 3.17 2.1 1.9 3.3 SotoM CIN 14.1 11.7 .548 18 7 3.87 1.1 1.1 3.2 LeaC MON 12.8 10.1 .560 15 10 3.29 1.6 1.2 3.1 MahlerR ATL 12.2 9.4 .563 13 10 3.58 1.8 1.3 3.0 ValenzuelaF LAD 14.5 12.8 .530 12 17 3.76 0.7 0.6 2.9 SandersonS CHI 9.4 6.0 .610 8 5 3.45 1.6 1.5 2.8 ThurmondM SDP 11.3 8.7 .565 14 7 3.43 1.2 1.3 2.8 DennyJ PHI 9.5 6.3 .601 7 7 3.09 1.8 1.4 2.8 CampR ATL 8.5 5.4 .611 7 6 3.37 1.4 1.4 2.6 WhitsonE SDP 11.3 9.3 .549 14 8 3.43 1.3 1.0 2.6 TibbsJ CIN 7.0 3.5 .665 6 2 3.04 1.4 1.6 2.5 ShowE SDP 12.3 10.8 .533 15 9 3.83 0.5 0.7 2.5 CandelariaJ PIT 10.9 8.9 .551 12 10 3.41 1.4 0.9 2.5 HoneycuttR LAD 10.8 8.9 .549 10 9 3.57 0.9 0.9 2.4 RyanN HOU 11.6 10.3 .529 12 11 3.82 -0.1 0.5 2.3 PerezP ATL 12.0 11.0 .522 14 8 4.08 0.7 0.5 2.2 KoosmanJ PHI 12.4 11.7 .516 14 15 3.85 0.7 0.3 2.2 CarltonS PHI 12.7 12.1 .512 13 7 4.09 0.1 0.1 2.2 DraveckyD SDP 6.2 3.7 .626 5 5 3.25 0.8 1.1 2.0 KnepperB HOU 12.8 12.8 .500 15 10 3.62 0.5 0.0 1.9 DeLeonJ PIT 10.7 10.0 .517 6 13 4.02 0.1 0.4 1.9 Return to Top Bottom 10 NL Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher): Pitcher Team SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ScottM HOU 6.0 13.1 .315 5 11 5.74 -3.5 -3.4 -2.1 DavisM SFG 5.8 12.7 .312 2 13 6.19 -3.6 -3.3 -2.1 GrantM SFG 1.5 5.6 .213 1 4 7.25 -1.9 -2.0 -1.5 DayleyK A/S 0.5 3.6 .116 0 5 10.38 -1.5 -1.4 -1.3 PastoreF CIN 3.5 7.6 .317 2 8 7.42 -2.6 -1.9 -1.2 KrukowM SFG 9.0 14.9 .375 11 12 5.37 -3.2 -2.8 -1.2 LynchE NYM 2.7 6.2 .299 4 8 5.98 -1.5 -1.7 -1.1 StuperJ STL 2.2 5.5 .282 3 5 5.97 -1.4 -1.5 -1.1 RuhleV HOU 0.7 3.5 .176 1 4 9.38 -1.6 -1.3 -1.0 ForschB STL 2.3 5.1 .306 1 5 7.04 -1.7 -1.4 -0.9 Return to Top Luckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)): Pitcher Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff. ------------------------------------------------ SutcliffeR CHI 10.1 6.0 16 1 10.9 SotoM CIN 13.6 11.7 18 7 9.0 HortonR STL 4.7 6.7 8 4 6.0 NiekroJ HOU 12.6 14.4 16 12 5.8 CarltonS PHI 12.7 12.1 13 7 5.4 KrukowM SFG 8.6 14.9 11 12 5.4 KnepperB HOU 12.6 12.8 15 10 5.3 PerezP ATL 11.9 11.0 14 8 5.1 ThurmondM SDP 11.1 8.7 14 7 4.6 ShowE SDP 12.2 10.8 15 9 4.6 Return to Top Unluckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)): Pitcher Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff. ------------------------------------------------ RussellJ CIN 10.4 11.4 6 18 -10.9 DeLeonJ PIT 10.5 10.0 6 13 -7.4 ValenzuelaF LAD 14.4 12.8 12 17 -6.5 McMurtryC ATL 9.5 11.4 9 15 -4.1 RogersS MON 7.3 12.4 6 15 -3.9 RobinsonJ SFG 8.7 13.4 7 15 -3.3 DavisM SFG 5.1 12.7 2 13 -3.3 DennyJ PHI 9.3 6.3 7 7 -2.9 HumeT CIN 1.9 3.2 1 5 -2.7 TorrezM NYM 1.8 3.1 1 5 -2.7 Return to Top 10 ML Starters most hurt by their relievers (ranked by Runs Saved):
Act. Ex. Act. Fair Runs
Pitcher Team IR IR RA RA Saved
-------------------------------------------------------
RussellJ CIN 17 12.0 5.04 4.78 -5.0
PastoreF CIN 9 5.2 7.42 6.95 -3.8
TerrellW NYM 11 7.8 4.14 4.01 -3.2
DeLeonJ PIT 10 6.8 4.02 3.87 -3.2
HudsonC PHI 10 6.9 5.23 5.07 -3.1
PenaA LAD 7 4.1 3.03 2.89 -2.9
RaineyC CHI 9 6.9 5.72 5.50 -2.1
CampR ATL 5 3.0 3.37 3.22 -2.0
RawleyS PHI 7 5.0 4.11 3.96 -2.0
ReussJ LAD 5 3.1 4.27 4.07 -1.9
Return to Top 10 ML Starters most helped by their relievers (ranked by Runs Saved):
Act. Ex. Act. Fair Runs
Pitcher Team IR IR RA RA Saved
-------------------------------------------------------
PriceJ CIN 5 9.0 4.77 4.98 4.0
LearyT NYM 0 3.8 6.53 7.67 3.8
NiekroJ HOU 3 6.4 3.77 3.89 3.4
CandelariaJ PIT 2 5.4 3.41 3.58 3.4
McWilliamsL PIT 3 6.2 3.42 3.55 3.2
HershiserO LAD 1 4.1 2.68 2.87 3.1
McMurtryC ATL 7 10.0 4.75 4.91 3.0
ReuschelR CHI 3 5.9 5.66 5.97 2.9
SutcliffeR CHI 5 7.7 3.17 3.33 2.7
DennyJ PHI 0 2.6 3.09 3.24 2.6
Return to Top Flakiest 10 NL Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA): (20 starts minimum) Pitcher Team APW SNVA SNVA Var. ------------------------------------------ AndujarJ STL 1.1 1.5 0.085 SutcliffeR CHI 2.1 1.9 0.083 GoodenD NYM 2.7 3.7 0.081 RussellJ CIN -1.5 -0.5 0.080 HershiserO LAD 2.3 2.1 0.080 HawkinsA SDP -2.6 -1.9 0.075 RyanN HOU -0.1 0.5 0.071 TroutS CHI 1.5 1.7 0.068 DarlingR NYM -0.5 -0.4 0.067 PerezP ATL 0.7 0.5 0.066 Return to Top Steadiest 10 NL Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA): (20 starts minimum) Pitcher Team APW SNVA SNVA Var. ------------------------------------------ ScottM HOU -3.5 -3.4 0.032 LeaC MON 1.6 1.2 0.035 WhitsonE SDP 1.3 1.0 0.035 SandersonS CHI 1.6 1.5 0.035 DavisM SFG -3.6 -3.3 0.038 LaskeyB SFG -2.2 -2.3 0.041 CampR ATL 1.4 1.4 0.042 DennyJ PHI 1.8 1.4 0.044 TudorJ PIT 1.6 1.6 0.046 RuthvenD CHI -1.2 -1.1 0.046 Return to Top Team Totals (teams ranked by SNW-SNL): Team SNW SNL SNPct. E(W) W L RA AdjRA SNVA ----------------------------------------------------------------- PIT 67.0 52.0 .563 66.2 58 58 3.52 3.53 6.9 LAD 65.5 54.3 .547 63.6 61 58 3.58 3.66 5.3 CHI 59.6 52.7 .531 57.6 65 45 4.13 3.76 3.3 SDP 58.7 55.5 .514 57.5 66 51 3.97 4.02 1.5 ATL 58.2 57.4 .503 57.1 59 60 4.23 3.93 0.7 PHI 58.4 59.5 .495 57.5 61 55 4.25 4.21 -1.0 MON 58.0 59.2 .495 56.9 60 59 3.87 4.07 -0.9 NYM 56.5 59.9 .485 55.2 60 60 4.26 4.31 -1.6 CIN 55.1 61.5 .472 53.2 46 68 4.73 4.49 -3.2 STL 52.3 63.1 .453 49.0 58 61 4.56 4.70 -5.1 HOU 50.9 63.4 .445 48.7 56 56 4.34 4.64 -5.8 SFG 41.9 70.1 .374 39.3 36 63 5.39 5.50 -13.6 ----------------------------------------------------------------- NL 682.0 708.7 .490 661.7 686 694 4.21 4.21 -13.7 Return to Top Team Luck Totals (teams ranked by ((SNW - E(W)) + (E(L) - SNL)): Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff --------------------------------------- CHI 57.6 52.7 65 45 15.2 HOU 48.7 63.4 56 56 14.7 SDP 57.5 55.5 66 51 13.0 STL 49.0 63.1 58 61 11.1 PHI 57.5 59.5 61 55 8.0 NYM 55.2 59.9 60 60 4.7 SFG 39.3 70.1 36 63 3.8 MON 56.9 59.2 60 59 3.3 ATL 57.1 57.4 59 60 -0.7 LAD 63.6 54.3 61 58 -6.3 CIN 53.2 61.5 46 68 -13.6 PIT 66.2 52.0 58 58 -14.2 --------------------------------------- NL 661.7 708.7 686 694 39.0 Return to Top Team Bullpen Support Totals (teams ranked by Bullpen Support of starting pitchers): Team IR E(IR) RA/A E(RA)/A SNVA_n SNVA BSup ---------------------------------------------------------- MON 34 40.8 4.07 4.13 -0.44 -0.88 0.45 CHI 43 48.0 3.76 3.80 3.60 3.27 0.33 PIT 38 40.2 3.53 3.54 7.08 6.91 0.17 ATL 33 36.2 3.93 3.96 0.82 0.66 0.16 HOU 28 32.7 4.64 4.69 -5.75 -5.85 0.09 SDP 34 35.9 4.02 4.03 1.57 1.49 0.08 NYM 31 32.0 4.31 4.32 -1.64 -1.63 -0.00 LAD 38 35.3 3.66 3.63 4.62 5.28 -0.67 CIN 54 49.6 4.49 4.46 -3.94 -3.24 -0.70 PHI 37 32.8 4.21 4.18 -1.75 -1.03 -0.72 STL 51 46.8 4.70 4.66 -5.89 -5.07 -0.82 SFG 55 51.1 5.50 5.46 -14.40 -13.56 -0.84 ---------------------------------------------------------- NL 476 481.3 4.21 4.21 -16.12 -13.66 -2.47 Return to Top Team-by-team stats: ATLANTA BRAVES Park Effect: +13.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BarkerL 20 124.0 55 7.4 6.4 .535 7 8 3.99 0.5 0.5 1.5 BedrosianS 4 25.7 11 1.3 1.4 .485 3 1 3.86 0.1 0.0 0.2 BrizzolaraT 4 23.3 15 0.7 2.1 .264 1 1 5.79 -0.4 -0.6 -0.4 CampR 21 128.3 48 8.5 5.4 .611 7 6 3.37 1.4 1.4 2.6 DayleyK 4 18.7 18 0.4 2.3 .159 0 3 8.68 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7 FalconeP 16 88.7 53 4.5 6.4 .410 4 7 5.38 -1.0 -0.9 -0.2 MahlerR 29 206.0 82 12.2 9.4 .563 13 10 3.58 1.8 1.3 3.0 McMurtryC 30 168.7 89 9.8 11.4 .461 9 15 4.75 -0.7 -0.7 0.8 PayneM 1 2.7 4 0.0 0.7 .040 0 1 13.50 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 PerezP 30 211.7 96 12.0 11.0 .522 14 8 4.08 0.7 0.5 2.2 SmithZ 3 20.0 7 1.3 0.8 .639 1 0 3.15 0.3 0.2 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1017.7 478 58.2 57.4 .503 59 60 4.23 1.5 0.7 9.1 CHICAGO CUBS Park Effect: +17.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BordiR 7 38.0 17 2.5 2.1 .545 3 1 4.03 0.2 0.3 0.6 EckersleyD 24 160.3 59 10.5 6.3 .625 10 8 3.31 2.0 2.0 3.4 NolesD 1 7.0 3 0.4 0.3 .565 0 1 3.86 0.0 0.1 0.1 PattersonR 1 4.0 4 0.1 0.6 .125 0 1 9.00 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 RaineyC 16 85.0 54 4.0 6.6 .376 5 7 5.72 -1.2 -1.3 -0.5 ReuschelR 14 82.7 52 3.5 6.5 .350 4 5 5.66 -1.1 -1.4 -0.7 RuthvenD 22 125.7 74 6.5 8.7 .429 6 10 5.30 -1.2 -1.1 0.1 SandersonS 24 140.7 54 9.4 6.0 .610 8 5 3.45 1.6 1.5 2.8 SchulzeD 1 3.0 4 0.0 0.6 .054 0 0 12.00 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 SutcliffeR 20 150.3 53 10.2 6.0 .630 16 1 3.17 2.1 1.9 3.3 TroutS 31 189.0 78 12.7 9.2 .578 13 6 3.71 1.5 1.7 3.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 161 985.7 452 59.6 52.7 .531 65 45 4.13 3.5 3.3 11.9 CINCINNATI REDS Park Effect: +9.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BerenyiB 11 47.3 34 2.3 4.9 .316 2 7 6.46 -1.2 -1.2 -0.8 BrowningT 3 23.3 4 1.9 0.3 .843 1 0 1.54 0.7 0.7 0.9 HumeT 8 40.0 26 2.0 3.2 .390 1 5 5.85 -0.7 -0.6 -0.2 McGaffiganA 3 13.7 11 0.4 1.5 .211 0 2 7.24 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 OwchinkoB 4 20.0 13 0.7 1.8 .283 1 2 5.85 -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 PastoreF 16 74.0 61 3.5 7.6 .317 2 8 7.42 -2.6 -1.9 -1.2 PriceJ 30 171.7 91 8.6 12.3 .412 7 13 4.77 -1.0 -1.7 -0.3 PuleoC 4 20.3 14 0.9 1.6 .365 1 2 6.20 -0.4 -0.4 -0.2 RobinsonR 5 29.0 15 2.3 1.6 .584 1 2 4.66 -0.1 0.4 0.6 RussellJ 30 173.3 97 10.7 11.4 .483 6 18 5.04 -1.5 -0.5 1.3 SotoM 33 237.3 102 14.1 11.7 .548 18 7 3.87 1.1 1.1 3.2 TibbsJ 14 100.7 34 7.0 3.5 .665 6 2 3.04 1.4 1.6 2.5 ToliverF 1 7.0 1 0.6 0.1 .911 0 0 1.29 0.2 0.3 0.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 957.7 503 55.1 61.5 .472 46 68 4.73 -4.9 -3.2 5.5 HOUSTON ASTROS Park Effect: -14.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- KnepperB 34 231.0 93 12.8 12.8 .500 15 10 3.62 0.5 0.0 1.9 LaCossM 18 92.3 48 5.5 6.8 .451 6 5 4.68 -1.0 -0.5 0.3 MaddenM 7 23.7 16 1.3 2.7 .329 1 3 6.08 -0.7 -0.6 -0.4 NiekroJ 38 248.3 104 12.9 14.4 .473 16 12 3.77 0.1 -0.6 1.3 RuhleV 6 24.0 25 0.7 3.5 .176 1 4 9.38 -1.6 -1.3 -1.0 RyanN 30 183.7 78 11.6 10.3 .529 12 11 3.82 -0.1 0.5 2.3 ScottM 29 147.3 94 6.0 13.1 .315 5 11 5.74 -3.5 -3.4 -2.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 950.3 458 50.9 63.4 .445 56 56 4.34 -6.3 -5.8 2.3 LOS ANGELES DODGERS Park Effect: -4.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- HershiserO 20 147.7 44 10.1 5.8 .634 9 6 2.68 2.3 2.1 3.3 HoneycuttR 28 181.7 72 10.8 8.9 .549 10 9 3.57 0.9 0.9 2.4 HootonB 6 28.3 13 1.9 2.1 .479 0 2 4.13 -0.0 -0.1 0.2 HowellK 1 5.7 3 0.1 0.5 .228 0 1 4.76 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 PenaA 28 199.3 67 12.8 7.8 .621 12 6 3.03 2.3 2.4 4.0 ReussJ 15 86.3 41 5.0 5.3 .484 5 5 4.27 -0.3 -0.1 0.6 ValenzuelaF 34 261.0 109 14.5 12.8 .530 12 17 3.76 0.7 0.6 2.9 WelchB 29 174.3 81 10.2 10.6 .491 13 12 4.18 -0.4 -0.2 1.4 WhiteL 1 4.0 3 0.1 0.5 .158 0 0 6.75 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1088.3 433 65.5 54.3 .547 61 58 3.58 5.3 5.3 14.6 MONTREAL EXPOS Park Effect: -10.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BargarG 1 5.0 4 0.1 0.5 .188 0 1 7.20 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 GrapenthinR 1 3.0 4 0.1 0.5 .101 0 1 12.00 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 GullicksonB 32 226.7 100 11.5 12.8 .474 12 9 3.97 -0.3 -0.7 1.2 HeskethJ 5 33.7 9 2.3 1.4 .615 2 1 2.41 0.6 0.4 0.7 LeaC 30 224.3 82 12.8 10.1 .560 15 10 3.29 1.6 1.2 3.1 McGaffiganA 3 16.3 8 1.2 1.0 .550 1 1 4.41 -0.1 0.1 0.3 PalmerD 19 99.3 45 6.5 6.4 .504 6 3 4.08 -0.2 -0.1 1.0 RogersS 28 164.0 93 7.7 12.4 .382 6 15 5.10 -2.4 -2.2 -0.9 SchatzederD 14 95.3 33 5.5 4.3 .563 6 5 3.12 0.9 0.6 1.4 SmithB 28 179.0 72 10.3 9.7 .513 12 13 3.62 0.5 0.3 1.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 161 1046.7 450 58.0 59.2 .495 60 59 3.87 0.0 -0.9 8.2 NEW YORK METS Park Effect: -2.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BerenyiB 19 115.0 58 6.3 7.2 .466 9 6 4.54 -0.7 -0.4 0.6 DarlingR 33 205.7 97 11.7 12.2 .489 12 9 4.24 -0.5 -0.4 1.5 FernandesS 15 90.0 40 4.9 5.2 .484 6 6 4.00 0.0 -0.1 0.6 GoodenD 31 218.0 72 15.9 8.3 .658 17 9 2.97 2.7 3.7 5.6 LearyT 7 30.3 22 1.2 3.6 .253 0 3 6.53 -0.9 -1.1 -0.8 LynchE 13 64.7 43 2.7 6.2 .299 4 8 5.98 -1.5 -1.7 -1.1 SchiraldiC 3 12.3 13 0.3 1.8 .155 0 2 9.49 -0.8 -0.8 -0.6 TerrellW 33 215.0 99 11.5 12.2 .485 11 12 4.14 -0.3 -0.3 1.4 TorrezM 8 36.7 24 2.1 3.1 .398 1 5 5.89 -0.8 -0.5 -0.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 987.7 468 56.5 59.9 .485 60 60 4.26 -2.7 -1.6 7.0 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES Park Effect: +1.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BystromM 11 56.7 36 3.2 4.5 .417 4 4 5.72 -1.1 -0.6 -0.1 CarltonS 33 229.0 104 12.7 12.1 .512 13 7 4.09 0.1 0.1 2.2 DennyJ 22 154.3 53 9.5 6.3 .601 7 7 3.09 1.8 1.4 2.8 GrossK 14 85.0 48 4.4 5.9 .429 4 5 5.08 -1.0 -0.7 0.0 HudsonC 30 173.7 101 9.3 12.2 .433 9 11 5.23 -2.3 -1.6 0.2 KoosmanJ 34 222.3 95 12.4 11.7 .516 14 15 3.85 0.7 0.3 2.2 RawleyS 18 120.3 55 6.7 6.7 .500 10 6 4.11 0.0 0.0 1.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1041.3 492 58.4 59.5 .495 61 55 4.25 -1.7 -1.0 8.3 PITTSBURGH PIRATES Park Effect: -0.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- CandelariaJ 28 179.7 68 10.9 8.9 .551 12 10 3.41 1.4 0.9 2.5 DeLeonJ 28 188.0 84 10.7 10.0 .517 6 13 4.02 0.1 0.4 1.9 McWilliamsL 32 226.3 86 13.7 10.2 .572 12 11 3.42 1.7 1.4 3.5 RhodenR 33 238.3 81 16.0 9.4 .629 14 9 3.06 2.8 3.2 5.2 RobinsonD 1 7.0 4 0.2 0.5 .278 0 1 5.14 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 TudorJ 32 212.0 81 13.0 9.6 .576 12 11 3.44 1.6 1.6 3.4 TunnellL 6 31.7 19 1.6 2.5 .392 1 2 5.40 -0.5 -0.4 -0.1 WalkB 2 10.3 5 0.7 0.8 .495 1 1 4.35 -0.0 0.0 0.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1093.3 428 67.0 52.0 .563 58 58 3.52 7.0 6.9 16.4 ST. LOUIS CARDINALS Park Effect: -6.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- AllenN 1 1.7 5 0.0 0.7 .015 0 1 27.00 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 AndujarJ 36 261.3 104 16.0 12.9 .554 20 14 3.58 1.1 1.5 3.7 CitarellaR 2 11.3 8 0.4 0.8 .333 0 1 6.35 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 CoxD 27 150.3 79 8.0 10.4 .434 8 11 4.73 -1.4 -1.2 0.2 DayleyK 2 3.0 7 0.0 1.3 .023 0 2 21.00 -0.6 -0.6 -0.5 ForschB 11 47.3 37 2.3 5.1 .306 1 5 7.04 -1.7 -1.4 -0.9 HortonR 18 97.7 48 5.1 6.7 .431 8 4 4.42 -0.5 -0.7 0.1 KepshireK 16 106.0 47 6.1 6.1 .499 6 5 3.99 -0.0 0.0 0.9 LaPointD 33 193.0 94 11.2 12.1 .481 12 10 4.38 -1.0 -0.5 1.3 OwnbeyR 4 19.0 13 1.1 1.6 .414 0 3 6.16 -0.5 -0.2 -0.0 StuperJ 12 57.3 38 2.2 5.5 .282 3 5 5.97 -1.4 -1.5 -1.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 948.0 480 52.3 63.1 .453 58 61 4.56 -6.8 -5.1 3.2 SAN DIEGO PADRES Park Effect: -2.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- BookerG 1 5.0 4 0.2 0.5 .241 0 1 7.20 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 ChifferF 1 4.0 5 0.0 0.7 .058 0 0 11.25 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 DraveckyD 14 83.0 30 6.2 3.7 .626 5 5 3.25 0.8 1.1 2.0 HarrisG 1 5.0 1 0.4 0.1 .806 1 0 1.80 0.1 0.1 0.2 HawkinsA 22 116.7 77 6.1 10.3 .373 6 8 5.94 -2.6 -1.9 -0.9 LollarT 31 195.7 89 10.9 11.5 .486 11 13 4.09 -0.1 -0.4 1.4 ShowE 32 206.7 88 12.3 10.8 .533 15 9 3.83 0.5 0.7 2.5 ThurmondM 29 175.7 67 11.3 8.7 .565 14 7 3.43 1.2 1.3 2.8 WhitsonE 31 189.0 72 11.3 9.3 .549 14 8 3.43 1.3 1.0 2.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 980.7 433 58.7 55.5 .514 66 51 3.97 0.7 1.5 10.1 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS Park Effect: -4.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- CalvertM 5 25.7 18 1.4 2.5 .363 2 3 6.31 -0.7 -0.5 -0.2 DavisM 27 139.7 96 5.8 12.7 .312 2 13 6.19 -3.6 -3.3 -2.1 GarreltsS 3 9.0 13 0.2 1.7 .125 0 0 13.00 -1.0 -0.7 -0.6 GrantM 10 49.7 40 1.5 5.6 .213 1 4 7.25 -1.9 -2.0 -1.5 HammakerA 6 33.0 10 2.2 1.2 .641 2 0 2.73 0.5 0.4 0.7 KrukowM 33 196.0 117 9.0 14.9 .375 11 12 5.37 -3.2 -2.8 -1.2 LaceyB 1 2.0 5 0.0 0.7 .013 0 1 22.50 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3 LaskeyB 34 206.7 112 9.7 14.3 .405 8 14 4.88 -2.2 -2.3 -0.5 LerchR 4 18.0 10 0.7 1.5 .312 1 1 5.00 -0.2 -0.4 -0.2 MintonG 1 4.0 2 0.2 0.3 .386 0 0 4.50 -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 RileyG 4 25.7 10 1.3 1.3 .509 1 0 3.51 0.1 0.0 0.2 RobinsonJ 33 169.7 96 9.3 13.4 .411 7 15 5.09 -2.2 -2.0 -0.3 WilliamsF 1 5.0 0 0.6 0.0 1.000 1 0 0.00 0.2 0.2 0.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 884.0 529 41.9 70.1 .374 36 63 5.39 -14.5 -13.6 -5.7 Multi-team pitcher totals: ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher Teams GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- BerenyiB C/N 30 162.3 92 8.5 12.1 .414 11 13 5.10 -1.9 -1.7 -0.2 DayleyK A/S 6 21.7 25 0.5 3.6 .116 0 5 10.38 -1.5 -1.4 -1.3 McGaffiganA M/C 6 30.0 19 1.6 2.5 .397 1 3 5.70 -0.6 -0.4 -0.1 NATIONAL LEAGUE Totals: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ GS IP R SNW E(W) SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1942 11981.3 5604 682.0 661.7 708.7 .490 686 694 4.21 -18.5 -13.7 Return to Top Definition of terms: SNW = Support-Neutral Wins -- the pitcher's expected number of wins, assuming he had league-average support. SNL = Support-Neutral Losses -- same as SNW except for losses. SNVA = Support-Neutral Value Added -- the expected number of games the pitcher would be worth to an average team in the standings, over what a league-average pitcher would be worth. The above three stats are calculated for each start, using innings pitched and runs allowed plus the league's single-inning scoring distribution, combined with simple probability theory. They are park-adjusted. SNWAR -- "Support-Neutral Wins Above Replacement-level": the number of SNWs a pitcher has above what a .425 pitcher would get in the same number of (Support-Neutral) decisions. SNPct -- SNW / (SNW+SNL) W, L -- The pitcher's actual wins and losses RA -- runs allowed per 9 innings APW = Adjusted Pitcher Wins -- Thorn and Palmer's method for calculating a starter's value in wins. Included for comparison with SNVA. APW values here calculated using runs instead of earned runs. E(W) = Expected Wins -- for each game, 0 if the pitcher pitched fewer than 5 innings, and SNW otherwise. (This is *true* expected wins) E(L) = Expected Losses -- same as SNL Return to Top Comments and questions welcome. The raw play-by-play data used to generate this report was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet. Interested parties may contact Retrosheet at 20 Sunset Rd., Newark, DE 19711. |