Anna lysyanskaya phd thesis
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RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
New York
Yankees
10359.573103.059.0100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%6.9%0.0%0.0%
2
Tampa Bay
Rays
9666.57596.066.00.0%100.0%100.0%51.8%3.9%0.0%39.5%
3
Boston
Red Sox
8478.52784.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4
Toronto
Blue Jays
6795.44567.095.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
Baltimore
Orioles
54108.40854.0108.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

American League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Minnesota
Twins
10161.606101.061.0100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%12.2%0.0%0.0%
2
Cleveland
Indians
9369.54293.069.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-43.8%
3
Chicago
White Sox
7289.43772.689.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4
Kansas City
Royals
59103.41259.0103.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
Detroit
Tigers
47114.39147.4114.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

American League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Houston
Astros
10755.643107.055.0100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%22.2%0.0%0.0%
2
Oakland
Athletics
9765.55197.065.00.0%100.0%100.0%47.3%2.4%0.0%4.3%
3
Texas
Rangers
7884.45178.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4
Los Angeles
Angels
7290.45272.090.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
Seattle
Mariners
6894.46668.094.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

National League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Atlanta
Braves
9765.52797.065.0100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%4.7%0.0%0.0%
2
Washington
Nationals
9369.56593.069.00.0%100.0%100.0%56.2%5.2%0.0%1.4%
3
New York
Mets
8676.52986.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-2.0%
4
Philadelphia
Phillies
8181.45581.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.2%
5
Miami
Marlins
57105.41657.0105.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

National League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
St. Louis
Cardinals
9171.54091.071.0100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%6.0%0.0%0.0%
2
Milwaukee
Brewers
8973.49989.073.00.0%100.0%100.0%43.4%1.3%0.0%2.4%
3
Chicago
Cubs
8478.52984.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-1.5%
4
Cincinnati
Reds
7587.52975.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
Pittsburgh
Pirates
6993.44469.093.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

National League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Los Angeles
Dodgers
10656.649106.056.0100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%35.3%0.0%0.0%
2
Arizona
Diamondbacks
8577.51785.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
3
San Francisco
Giants
7785.42477.085.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4
Colorado
Rockies
7191.43371.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
San Diego
Padres
7092.46670.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%