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Justin Dunn

Born: 09/22/1995 (Age: 23)
Bats: Right Throws: Right
Height: 6' 2" Weight: 185
Mechanics
High leg kick that rotates around to a medium stride towards home plate. Generates power with hip turn & rotation around the pivot foot. Clean whippy arm action from a 3-quarters delivery.
Evaluator Kevin Carter
Report Date 05/07/2019
Affiliate Arkansas Travelers (AA, Mariners)
Dates Seen 5/2/2019
OFP 60
MLB ETA 2020
Video No
Pitch Type Future Grade Sitting Velocity Peak Velocity Report
Fastball 55 90-92 94 90-92/T94 with plus arm-side action, especially on the left side of the plate. Fringy command of the pitch.
Changeup 60 85 86 Flashed plus with quality arm speed, tumble, and swing and miss fade. Command was inconsistent and Dunn left it up over the plate multiple times, but mistakes weren't punished because of pitch quality.
Slider 55 83 84 Consistently above average with sharp late slurvy break. Broke it off the plate at will and put it on the back foot to lefties.
Curveball 55 79 79 Flashed above average with above average 11-5 break, depth, and spin. Threw quite a few and was obviously focused on development, but had trouble keeping pitch down in pitcher's counts. Maintains break in zone and can throw for strikes early in counts.
Overall

Dunn is a bit shorter and much stockier than his listed height and weight (6'2", 185 pounds), with a strong lower half and broad shoulders. He is a plus athlete with quick twitchy movements and plus body control. He throws 4 potentially above average or better offerings that should carry him to regular position at the back of an MLB rotation.

Dunn has advanced pitchability with the ability to use any of his offerings in any count. Dunn's changeup and slider can look similar out of the hand at similar speeds, only for the ball to break in the opposite direction the hitter expected.

Dunn doesn't project for much command improvement due to an athletic and rotational delivery, but improved consistency of the curveball and changeup could push him up into a middle of the rotation spot. Dunn is close to MLB ready as-is and it shouldn't be long before he's ready to take a back of the rotation spot.

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