Baseball Prospectus 1996
Werner is gone now, having found stupidity works much better when making sitcoms then when running a baseball team. The architects of the dumps, Joe McIlvaine and Randy Smith, have moved on to New York and Detroit, respectively. And the Padres' new owner, John Moores, has shown a distinct willingness to at least try and improve the team. The moves this attitude has spawned have been inconsistent, but the trend is heartening for Padre faithful.
I believe the Pads are the clear-cut favorite in the NL West. They are the only team in the division which has a balance of offense and pitching, and they mix in a good defense just for variety. Their everyday lineup is the best in the division, with the on-base of Rickey Henderson, Tony Gwynn and Wally Joyner at the top, and a lack of any complete stiff, making up for an absence of power. The Rockies and Dodgers have a good power core, but will lack the runners on base which lead to 750-run seasons. The Giants have two of the best players of the '90s, but no one else who is better than even money to post a .340 OBP.
Joey Hamilton, the best pitcher in the division born in this hemisphere, anchors a shallow rotation. Andy Ashby now has 350 innings of good pitching under his belt, and makes it easier to believe he's for real with every start. Bob Tewksbury is a good innings sponge, and will stabilize the #3 rotation spot. Beyond that, the Padres have a number of options, some (Glenn Dishman) distinctly better than others (Fernando Valenzuela). Who manager Bruce Bochy selects to be the back end of the rotation will go a long way toward determining how well the Padres do.
Randy Smith's legacy is the bullpen. The Padres have a group of relievers who can bring it. Trevor Hoffman, who struggled with his location last year but has as good at fastball as anyone in the league, leads this group. Bryce Florie, Doug Bochtler and Dustin Hermanson all are hard-throwing right-handers who, collectively, could toss 220 innings of 3.00 ball. Ron Villone was part of the Andy Benes heist last summer, and struck out over 13 batters per nine IP last year. With Houston's trade of Dave Veres to Montreal, I expect the Padre bullpen to rival the Rockies' and Expos' as the best in the National League.
This team isn't the Indians. Only Hamilton is a sure thing in the rotation, and the offense is pretty old. The "inconsistent moves" referred to earlier? They signed Ken Caminiti and Steve Finley to six years' worth of expensive deals, with both players on the wrong side of 30 and unlikely to match their 1995 performances. But they have the fewest glaring weaknesses of anyone in the division and the best manager, not that that says much.
The problem for the Padres is that they may have to win this year. By 1997, their core players will all be in decline, and while they have some good young players on the way up, the contract status of the players currently in town will make it difficult to mix in the youth. I think they'll cash in this year.
BRAD AUSMUS 1969 C YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 PRW 236 64 11 1 2 15 10 4 .271 .315 .352 .241 57 25 1991 ABY 233 58 8 2 1 19 8 2 .249 .306 .313 .225 53 21 1992 COH 369 85 11 2 2 35 17 4 .230 .297 .287 .215 79 31 1993 CSP 231 48 6 2 1 21 7 4 .208 .274 .264 .189 44 14 1993 SDP 160 42 8 1 4 6 2 0 .262 .289 .400 .244 39 17 1994 SDP 326 84 10 1 6 30 6 1 .258 .320 .350 .241 79 35 1995 SDP 331 103 15 4 4 31 17 6 .311 .370 .417 .283 94 50I'm still not convinced, but I'm more willing to be. He's 27 this year, and a year even similar to 1995 would go a long way towards a division title for the Pads. His improved offense hasn't led to backbiting about his glove, making him a rare counterargument against NLoCD.
JEFF BARRY 1969 LF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 WPB 453 92 11 1 7 24 12 8 .203 .243 .278 .178 81 25 1993 SLU 425 94 11 2 6 38 11 7 .221 .285 .299 .206 88 33 1994 BIN 390 105 14 1 7 27 9 7 .269 .317 .364 .241 94 41 1995 BIN 291 73 11 4 9 24 3 1 .251 .308 .409 .251 73 34 1995 NOR 41 8 2 0 0 3 0 0 .195 .250 .244 .161 7 2
MICHAEL BASSE 1970 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1992 STO 407 90 9 1 3 39 18 7 .221 .289 .270 .203 83 30 1993 ELP 385 82 7 3 1 43 17 7 .213 .292 .255 .198 76 27 1994 ELP 136 39 5 1 0 25 7 2 .287 .398 .338 .274 37 19 1994 NWO 238 66 6 5 1 43 21 6 .277 .388 .357 .278 66 36 1995 NWO 382 87 8 2 0 55 18 9 .228 .325 .259 .214 82 32Exceptional walk rates, but not a whole lot else to sell. Two hot months away from a major league bench job, and I think if he gets a chance, he'll have a nice little career.
BILLY BEAN 1964 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 ABQ 249 60 16 3 1 17 6 5 .241 .289 .341 .221 55 22 1992 EDM 136 29 6 1 1 4 4 2 .213 .236 .294 .184 25 8 1993 LVG 156 45 4 1 5 25 2 1 .288 .387 .423 .286 45 25 1993 SDP 177 47 6 0 5 6 2 4 .266 .290 .384 .232 41 17 1994 SDP 135 30 3 1 0 7 0 1 .222 .261 .259 .173 23 7 1995 LVG 428 106 16 1 13 39 2 2 .248 .310 .381 .242 104 47
STONEY BRIGGS 1972 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1992 MYR 527 108 8 2 9 27 16 7 .205 .244 .279 .182 96 30 1993 WLO 427 94 8 2 6 18 11 4 .220 .252 .290 .190 81 27 1994 RCU 415 92 12 1 10 39 9 8 .222 .289 .328 .215 89 35 1995 MEM 389 90 9 4 7 34 14 5 .231 .293 .329 .223 87 36
JULIO BRUNO 1973 3B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 WLO 284 53 5 1 2 18 6 3 .187 .235 .232 .152 43 11 1992 HDS 410 87 12 2 3 15 1 1 .212 .240 .273 .171 70 20 1993 RCU 196 47 6 1 2 10 7 3 .240 .277 .311 .211 41 15 1993 WIC 247 62 10 1 2 10 3 3 .251 .280 .324 .212 52 19 1994 LVG 433 91 13 2 4 19 4 4 .210 .243 .277 .175 76 22 1995 MEM 197 49 3 2 2 6 2 1 .249 .271 .315 .206 41 14 1995 LVG 135 27 3 1 0 7 1 2 .200 .239 .237 .150 20 5Reched AAA at age 21 for no apparent reason. Can't be taken seriously as a prospect until he actually has some success somewhere, and unless he hits .340, he's not having success, since his secondary skills are lousy. Still can't say "no prospect," but he's in trouble.
ERIC BULLOCK 1960 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 MON 74 19 2 0 2 9 6 1 .257 .337 .365 .261 19 10 1992 IND 305 89 15 2 4 30 21 9 .292 .355 .393 .269 82 42 1993 NOR 444 110 20 5 3 47 43 13 .248 .320 .336 .245 109 51 1995 LVG 184 41 1 1 3 10 5 0 .223 .263 .288 .198 36 12
HOMER BUSH 1973 2B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1992 CSC 372 70 7 2 1 6 6 4 .188 .201 .226 .124 46 8 1993 WLO 474 128 11 1 4 9 19 8 .270 .284 .323 .220 104 40 1994 RCU 158 44 4 1 1 5 5 1 .278 .301 .335 .232 37 15 1994 WIC 245 66 7 2 3 7 15 4 .269 .290 .351 .236 58 25 1995 MEM 433 112 9 3 4 12 26 8 .259 .279 .321 .221 96 38I think there's been an Oscar Azocar sighting. Judging from the walk rates of most of the Padre minor leaguers, he must be gainfully employed as a their roving hitting instructor. Homer's a prize pupil.
KEN CAMINITI 1963 3B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 HOU 587 163 29 3 15 46 4 4 .278 .330 .414 .260 153 74 1992 HOU 521 171 31 2 18 48 11 4 .328 .385 .499 .307 160 92 1993 HOU 545 146 22 1 13 50 9 5 .268 .329 .383 .252 138 65 1994 HOU 406 119 26 2 16 44 5 3 .293 .362 .485 .292 118 67 1995 SDP 532 171 26 2 25 69 13 6 .321 .399 .519 .315 168 102 1996 PRJ 588 164 22 3 27 54 8 4 .279 .340 .464 .279 164 88Took it up a notch last year, despite getting off to a dreadful start in the field. The Jack Murphy effect gave helped Caminiti to 27 errors, although his other defensive numbers were good. He's a key to the Padre season. They don't need another year like 1995, but they need him to at least match his 1993-94. He's a similar player to Tim Wallach, and Wallach disappeared when his career reached this point.
RAUL CASANOVA 1973 C YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1993 WLO 231 50 6 0 4 14 0 0 .216 .261 .294 .191 44 14 1994 RCU 463 133 14 1 14 29 1 2 .287 .329 .413 .260 120 57 1995 MEM 309 80 9 1 10 20 3 1 .259 .304 .392 .245 76 34 1996 PRJ 592 156 19 2 16 38 1 1 .264 .308 .383 .244 144 64We've got six years of data. Five say he's not a real prospect, one says he's at least a minor one. That 1994 was good, but when a 21-year-old four-year pro has a big year in A ball, some skepticism is called for. Good defensive reputation. Traded to Detroit, where he'll have a clearer shot at a major league job.
ANDUJAR CEDENO 1970 SS YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 TUC 337 87 13 2 6 13 4 2 .258 .286 .362 .229 77 31 1991 HOU 255 68 12 2 10 10 4 3 .267 .294 .447 .256 65 31 1992 TUC 274 73 13 2 6 12 5 3 .266 .297 .394 .243 67 30 1992 HOU 223 44 14 2 3 15 2 0 .197 .248 .318 .196 44 15 1993 HOU 508 147 20 3 11 48 10 7 .289 .351 .406 .267 136 68 1994 HOU 342 94 18 1 9 29 1 1 .275 .332 .412 .261 89 43 1995 SDP 393 89 15 2 5 27 5 3 .226 .276 .313 .206 81 30 1996 PRJ 371 104 14 3 8 22 7 5 .280 .321 .399 .254 94 44His lack of development is maddening. At 21, he looked like he would peak at .300/.340/.510, with good defense. As recently as two years ago, he added walks to his game, improved defensively and was on track to be one of the best shortstops in the league. Now, he's trying to hold off Craig Shipley to keep his job. Still a player I'd want to keep, because if the talent takes over, he's an All-Star.
ARCHI CIANFROCCO 1967 1B/SS YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 HAR 459 133 14 5 10 23 7 2 .290 .324 .407 .259 119 56 1992 IND 59 18 3 0 3 4 1 0 .305 .349 .508 .297 18 10 1992 MON 233 59 5 2 7 12 3 0 .253 .290 .382 .238 55 24 1993 OTT 187 52 10 1 3 6 4 2 .278 .301 .390 .245 46 20 1993 SDP 279 69 9 2 10 17 2 0 .247 .291 .401 .242 68 30 1994 LVG 106 26 7 1 0 10 0 1 .245 .310 .330 .224 24 10 1994 SDP 145 32 6 0 4 4 2 0 .221 .242 .345 .206 30 11 1995 LVG 309 82 11 1 8 13 5 0 .265 .295 .385 .243 75 33 1995 SDP 119 33 6 0 5 11 0 2 .277 .338 .454 .269 32 17Well, if he was really a shortstop, he could be a player. Unfortunately, he's a cornerman who filled in for a few weeks. Not a bad bench player, but a terrible regular. Great name, and almost merits a roster spot for it alone.
PHIL CLARK 1968 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 TOL 362 86 10 2 4 12 6 4 .238 .262 .309 .200 72 25 1992 TOL 273 75 11 1 9 13 4 2 .275 .308 .421 .255 70 33 1992 DET 54 23 4 0 1 6 1 0 .426 .483 .556 .367 20 13 1993 SDP 240 76 13 1 8 9 2 0 .317 .341 .479 .286 69 36 1994 SDP 148 32 4 0 5 6 1 2 .216 .247 .345 .201 30 11 1995 SDP 98 23 2 0 2 8 0 2 .235 .292 .316 .207 20 8 1996 PRJ 202 53 8 0 7 11 0 1 .262 .300 .406 .246 50 22
CRAIG COLBERT 1965 C YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 PHX 140 30 3 1 2 8 0 1 .214 .257 .293 .186 26 8 1992 PHX 138 41 7 1 1 1 0 1 .297 .302 .384 .241 33 14 1992 SFG 128 33 4 2 2 10 1 0 .258 .312 .367 .241 31 14 1993 PHX 44 8 2 0 1 0 0 0 .182 .182 .295 .150 7 2 1993 SFG 37 6 2 0 1 3 0 0 .162 .225 .297 .171 6 2 1994 CHR 182 44 3 1 3 16 1 1 .242 .303 .319 .219 40 16 1995 LVG 234 48 4 1 1 18 1 0 .205 .262 .244 .170 40 11
JOHN COTTON 1971 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 CGA 422 80 4 3 9 63 23 9 .190 .295 .277 .208 88 35 1992 KIN 372 67 5 1 7 37 14 5 .180 .254 .255 .178 66 21 1993 KIN 465 102 8 1 8 46 20 13 .219 .290 .292 .207 96 37 1994 SPR 83 16 2 2 1 9 4 1 .193 .272 .301 .207 17 7 1994 RCU 172 29 0 1 3 16 5 2 .169 .239 .233 .157 27 7 1994 WIC 86 15 3 0 2 11 1 0 .174 .268 .279 .189 16 6 1995 MEM 411 99 12 5 10 32 12 4 .241 .296 .367 .236 97 43
DOUG DASCENZO 1964 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 CHC 242 65 6 0 3 24 14 6 .269 .335 .331 .244 59 27 1992 CHC 381 105 14 4 1 30 7 7 .276 .328 .341 .237 90 39 1993 OKL 155 34 6 2 0 14 7 4 .219 .284 .284 .203 31 12 1993 TEX 147 31 5 1 2 7 2 0 .211 .247 .299 .190 28 9 1994 NOR 250 68 9 1 3 19 5 6 .272 .323 .352 .237 59 26 1995 CHR 265 62 3 0 4 22 13 6 .234 .293 .291 .211 56 21
ROB DEER 1961 RF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 DET 448 84 15 2 25 87 2 3 .188 .320 .397 .246 110 55 1992 DET 395 103 19 2 34 50 4 2 .261 .344 .577 .304 120 75 1993 BOS 141 27 7 1 6 19 2 0 .191 .287 .383 .234 33 15 1993 DET 322 73 10 1 13 36 4 2 .227 .304 .385 .241 78 36 1995 LVG 214 54 9 2 11 26 2 2 .252 .333 .467 .273 58 32 1995 VAN 81 24 2 1 4 15 0 0 .296 .406 .494 .311 25 15 1996 PRJ 285 63 7 0 17 35 1 0 .221 .306 .425 .253 72 36With all due respect to the RDFC, and as much as I'd like to see him back at a 1992 level, it's over. He's 34, and had old player's skills when he was 26.
ROBERTO DELEON 1971 SS YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1992 SPO 120 17 3 1 0 4 2 1 .142 .169 .183 **** -4 0 1993 WLO 395 91 10 2 8 10 3 1 .230 .249 .327 .200 79 27 1994 RCU 432 89 11 1 5 13 2 2 .206 .229 .271 .164 71 19 1995 MEM 237 59 7 0 5 10 2 1 .249 .279 .342 .219 52 20
SEAN DRINKWATER 1971 3B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1992 SPO 256 53 5 1 2 13 3 2 .207 .245 .258 .168 43 12 1993 RCU 479 102 12 1 7 15 1 0 .213 .237 .286 .176 84 25 1994 RCU 96 18 2 0 1 7 1 0 .188 .243 .240 .159 15 4 1994 WIC 300 65 12 2 4 17 3 0 .217 .259 .310 .199 60 21 1995 MEM 290 64 7 1 5 22 3 2 .221 .276 .303 .202 59 21
STEVE FINLEY 1965 CF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 HOU 610 190 29 9 10 43 34 16 .311 .357 .438 .281 171 91 1992 HOU 625 205 35 13 8 63 46 9 .328 .390 .464 .306 192 112 1993 HOU 546 148 14 10 8 30 21 6 .271 .309 .377 .247 135 61 1994 HOU 373 108 15 4 10 29 16 8 .290 .341 .432 .271 101 52 1995 SDP 568 179 21 7 9 59 39 13 .315 .380 .424 .289 164 90 1996 PRJ 623 173 24 6 13 48 33 12 .278 .329 .398 .262 163 81He wouldn't be my first choice for a leadoff hitter, but the return of the walks last year helped considerably. Wasn't having a particularly good year until he moved into the #1 slot in August. Extremely bad signing by the Padres, who assigned a disproportionate amount of credit for their improvement last year to Finley and Caminiti. The Vlad looks dead on, and if it is, the Padres have a serious problem. Good defender.
BRAD GENNARO 1972 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1992 CSC 279 59 6 1 6 11 3 2 .211 .241 .305 .187 52 17 1993 RCU 472 106 13 3 8 11 2 4 .225 .242 .316 .190 90 29 1994 WIC 502 129 10 3 14 30 6 3 .257 .299 .373 .237 119 51 1995 MEM 399 98 12 1 4 17 9 5 .246 .276 .311 .208 83 30Gennaro. General. Generic. Bingo.
CHRIS GWYNN 1965 PH/OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 LAD 141 38 6 1 5 10 1 0 .270 .318 .433 .263 37 18 1992 KCR 84 25 4 2 1 3 0 0 .298 .322 .429 .263 22 11 1993 KCR 283 86 10 4 1 22 0 1 .304 .354 .378 .261 74 34 1994 LAD 71 20 2 0 2 8 0 2 .282 .354 .394 .256 18 9 1995 LAD 85 20 2 2 1 6 0 0 .235 .286 .341 .219 19 7Not a bad pinch-hitter, but one-dimensional. I can see him having a place on some teams, but he's a serious luxury.
TONY GWYNN 1960 RF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 SDP 542 184 29 10 5 34 8 7 .339 .378 .458 .293 159 84 1992 SDP 526 176 27 3 8 49 3 5 .335 .391 .443 .293 154 83 1993 SDP 490 177 36 3 6 36 15 1 .361 .405 .484 .317 155 89 1994 SDP 417 167 26 1 11 48 6 0 .400 .462 .547 .354 148 93 1995 SDP 542 211 25 2 8 34 19 6 .389 .425 .487 .324 176 101 1996 PRJ 630 226 28 4 9 49 18 7 .359 .405 .459 .308 194 108Has gotten better in his mid-thirties, a trait not entirely foreign to hitters of this type. He has no real power to lose, and makes his living by hitting line drives to left, so bat speed isn't a big issue. Can be expected to decline, but he's so high right now, has years to go. A serious threat to break the record for consecutive .300 seasons (17). Fun to watch.
RICKEY HENDERSON 1959 LF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 OAK 477 139 17 1 19 99 75 19 .291 .413 .451 .313 149 98 1992 OAK 400 121 18 4 16 95 52 10 .303 .436 .488 .331 133 91 1993 OAK 318 111 18 1 17 84 37 6 .349 .485 .572 .370 118 88 1993 TOR 161 35 4 1 3 34 24 2 .217 .354 .311 .265 43 23 1994 OAK 293 78 10 1 4 69 26 8 .266 .406 .348 .282 83 47 1995 OAK 405 128 24 2 8 68 43 13 .316 .414 .444 .309 125 77 1996 PRJ 431 119 19 1 12 108 26 6 .276 .421 .408 .303 130 80Rickey's at an interesting career point. He is no longer a devastating base stealer, but because of his other skills, is still a fantastic player. He is finally moving to a good hitter's park for him. If he stops stealing and focuses on the rest of his game, he can be the second-best left fielder in the league nehind Bonds. A .300/.420/.530 year is well within his grasp.
RAY HOLBERT 1971 SS YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 HDS 384 77 7 1 3 33 8 3 .201 .264 .247 .176 68 20 1992 WIC 313 84 7 2 2 38 19 5 .268 .348 .323 .250 78 37 1993 WIC 395 90 9 2 4 46 22 9 .228 .308 .291 .220 87 35 1994 LVG 405 96 12 2 5 41 23 8 .237 .307 .314 .228 92 39 1995 LVG 26 2 1 0 0 4 1 1 .077 .200 .115 **** -2 0 1995 SDP 74 15 1 1 2 7 4 0 .203 .272 .324 .220 16 7Anybody who has a hot three weeks in March can stake a claim to the Padre shortstop slot this year. Holbert is third in line, but isn't as good as Cedeno and can't play multiple positions like Shipley, so he will probably start the year in Las Vegas. No star potential, minimal chance at a career.
RICCARDO INGRAM 1967 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 LON 422 101 8 1 14 26 4 3 .239 .283 .363 .226 95 39 1992 TOL 413 100 11 4 7 27 8 5 .242 .289 .339 .221 91 37 1993 TOL 416 106 14 2 10 30 9 5 .255 .305 .370 .238 99 44 1994 TOL 313 83 11 2 7 20 10 5 .265 .309 .380 .245 77 35 1995 SLC 459 142 25 1 11 35 5 4 .309 .358 .440 .280 128 66Local sports radio genius was thrilled when the Padres picked him up, blissfully unaware of how meaningless a player he is due to his age, lack of defensive ability and a history of failure.
BRIAN JOHNSON 1968 C YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 FTL 407 89 10 1 4 24 2 3 .219 .262 .278 .184 75 23 1992 WIC 250 69 10 1 4 20 2 0 .276 .330 .372 .251 63 29 1993 LVG 393 108 17 2 8 31 0 0 .275 .328 .389 .253 100 46 1994 LVG 49 8 1 0 1 7 0 1 .163 .268 .245 .164 8 2 1994 SDP 93 24 2 1 3 5 0 0 .258 .296 .398 .243 23 10 1995 SDP 209 56 7 0 3 10 0 0 .268 .301 .344 .229 48 19 1996 PRJ 222 59 8 1 5 13 0 0 .266 .306 .378 .242 54 23Not the worst backup catcher in the league, despite a pretty bad defensive reputation.
WALLY JOYNER 1962 1B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 CAL 560 184 36 3 22 51 3 0 .329 .385 .521 .312 175 102 1992 KCR 574 162 34 3 10 53 12 5 .282 .343 .404 .265 152 75 1993 KCR 490 144 31 3 14 62 7 8 .294 .373 .455 .286 140 77 1994 KCR 352 106 14 2 6 42 4 2 .301 .376 .403 .278 98 50 1995 KCR 460 149 18 1 11 64 4 3 .324 .406 .439 .299 138 77 1996 PRJ 599 179 20 0 19 65 3 3 .299 .367 .427 .280 168 88Not that Bip Roberts is any great shakes, but to move a useful utility player for this mediocrity, then extend said mediocrity's contract by two years, is one of the dumber moves seen in a while. Joyner is as white-bread average as you can get, and if that changes, it won't be in the right direction. This signing also removes the final chance the team had to get Marc Newfield into the lineup, unless they want to convert him to shortstop or something.
TIM KILLEEN 1971 C YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1992 SOR 121 20 1 0 2 10 2 1 .165 .229 .223 .141 17 4 1993 MAD 251 45 6 0 7 28 0 0 .179 .262 .287 .186 47 15 1994 MOD 366 76 10 1 10 36 3 1 .208 .279 .322 .210 77 29 1995 MEM 233 52 7 0 8 23 2 0 .223 .293 .356 .229 53 23Crash Davis' "one hit a week" away from millions. Steady improvement is a good sign, and if I'm Brad Ausmus, I'm a little leery about asking for too much at contract time.
SCOTT LIVINGSTONE 1966 INF/PH YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 TOL 329 93 10 2 3 30 2 1 .283 .343 .353 .249 82 37 1991 DET 127 38 4 0 2 10 3 1 .299 .350 .378 .263 33 16 1992 DET 356 106 14 1 6 20 2 3 .298 .335 .393 .257 91 42 1993 DET 303 92 10 2 1 17 2 3 .304 .341 .360 .250 76 33 1994 SDP 179 49 9 1 2 7 3 2 .274 .301 .369 .237 42 18 1995 SDP 198 70 10 1 5 15 2 1 .354 .399 .490 .311 62 35 1996 PRJ 296 86 12 1 4 14 2 1 .291 .323 .378 .250 74 33About as close to the picture-perfect pinch-hitter as you can get. Left-handed, hits line drives, doubles power, can play a few positions when needed. A much better bench player than regular, and a definite asset for the Padres.
QUINN MACK 1966 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 IND 418 109 15 4 6 5 5 4 .261 .270 .359 .220 92 36 1992 IND 301 82 9 1 4 17 6 3 .272 .311 .349 .236 71 30 1993 CLG 312 79 13 1 4 13 7 4 .253 .283 .340 .221 69 27 1994 CLG 386 90 15 1 3 26 9 5 .233 .282 .301 .206 79 29 1995 MEM 64 14 2 0 1 7 1 1 .219 .296 .297 .207 13 5 1995 TAC 203 51 5 0 2 22 10 2 .251 .324 .305 .234 48 20
JOHN MASSARELLI 1966 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 OSC 202 60 5 0 3 11 10 5 .297 .333 .366 .253 51 24 1991 JAC 38 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 .184 .184 .237 .144 5 1 1991 TUC 124 28 4 1 0 11 7 2 .226 .289 .274 .208 26 10 1992 JAC 100 27 2 1 1 4 8 2 .270 .298 .340 .239 24 10 1992 TUC 141 30 1 0 1 11 11 2 .213 .270 .241 .194 27 9 1993 TUC 408 92 15 2 2 37 26 9 .225 .290 .287 .213 87 34 1994 EDM 399 84 12 5 2 29 33 6 .211 .264 .281 .206 82 31 1995 CAN 179 46 8 2 1 11 13 4 .257 .300 .341 .236 42 19 1995 CHR 254 55 4 1 2 24 13 7 .217 .284 .264 .197 50 18
SEAN MULLIGAN 1970 C YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 CSC 220 47 4 1 3 9 2 1 .214 .245 .282 .179 39 12 1992 WLO 284 59 5 1 4 11 0 0 .208 .237 .275 .170 48 13 1992 HDS 119 15 1 0 3 5 0 0 .126 .161 .210 .032 4 0 1993 RCU 263 57 5 1 4 20 1 1 .217 .272 .289 .194 51 17 1994 RCU 240 62 10 1 5 17 1 0 .258 .307 .371 .240 58 25 1994 WIC 207 65 7 0 2 9 2 2 .314 .343 .377 .257 53 24 1995 LVG 327 76 9 1 6 23 0 0 .232 .283 .321 .211 69 26Chance to be a major league backup catcher if he can find the bat he was using at Wichita.
MARC NEWFIELD 1973 LF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 SBR 438 106 11 1 8 34 6 3 .242 .297 .326 .221 97 38 1992 JAX 164 38 7 0 4 10 2 3 .232 .276 .348 .215 35 14 1993 JAX 337 96 9 1 14 26 1 1 .285 .336 .442 .271 91 46 1993 SEA 66 16 2 0 1 2 0 1 .242 .265 .318 .198 13 4 1994 CLG 405 119 21 1 13 34 0 2 .294 .349 .447 .276 112 58 1994 SEA 38 7 1 0 1 1 0 0 .184 .205 .289 .159 6 2 1995 LVG 67 20 3 1 2 2 2 0 .299 .319 .463 .277 19 9 1995 TAC 197 53 6 0 5 17 1 0 .269 .327 .376 .250 49 22 1995 SDP 55 18 4 1 1 2 0 0 .327 .351 .491 .292 16 9 1995 SEA 85 17 4 0 2 2 0 0 .200 .218 .318 .180 15 5 1996 PRJ 447 120 23 2 17 45 0 0 .268 .335 .443 .271 121 62At the risk of being hooted out of the room, he reminds me of Albert Belle, circa 1990. Given that Belle's 1994-95 are out of line with any career path, I can easily see Newfield settling in at a .280/.330/.510 level this year, and improving that over time. Is completely screwed playing-time-wise, with Henderson, Gwynn and Joyner, all with expensive multi-year deals, occupying the spots he can play. Started the spring scalding hot.
MELVIN NIEVES 1972 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 DUR 206 46 6 0 6 29 2 4 .223 .319 .340 .229 47 21 1992 DUR 109 30 6 1 4 13 3 1 .275 .352 .459 .283 31 17 1992 GRN 359 100 14 3 16 46 6 3 .279 .360 .468 .286 103 58 1993 LVG 151 37 4 0 5 14 2 1 .245 .309 .371 .240 36 16 1993 RIC 274 72 8 2 7 23 4 2 .263 .320 .383 .249 68 31 1993 SDP 47 9 0 0 2 3 0 0 .191 .240 .319 .189 9 3 1994 LVG 384 98 10 2 16 48 1 2 .255 .338 .417 .262 101 51 1995 SDP 236 52 8 1 13 18 2 3 .220 .276 .428 .239 56 26 1996 PRJ 403 103 15 1 14 31 3 2 .256 .309 .402 .249 100 47In much the same situtaion as Newfield, except with year under his belt. Nieves has real power, but his strike zone judgment has deteriorated since he left the Braves' organization, and it shows up in all his numbers. Still a good prospect, but will have to earn his chances now. Traded to Detroit, which increases his value considerably. Recommended.
ROBERTO PETAGINE 1971 1B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 BUR 444 95 10 1 9 47 3 3 .214 .289 .302 .206 91 34 1992 OSC 323 90 13 2 8 40 2 1 .279 .358 .406 .270 87 44 1992 JAC 72 22 3 0 3 5 1 0 .306 .351 .472 .288 21 11 1993 JAC 445 135 19 1 12 71 5 3 .303 .399 .431 .294 131 73 1994 TUC 237 65 9 0 7 29 3 1 .274 .353 .401 .268 63 32 1995 LVG 54 9 0 1 1 12 1 0 .167 .318 .259 .208 11 4 1995 SDP 126 32 7 0 3 25 0 0 .254 .377 .381 .270 34 18 1996 PRJ 429 126 27 1 19 66 0 0 .294 .388 .494 .305 131 78Why you would pay Wally Joyner millions to do what Petagine could do in his sleep is a mystery, but one which creates a real problem for Roberto. He cannot play the outfield, but he can be an above-average major league first baseman. His plate discipline is among the best in the game, and he hit's for average and power as well. Traded to the Mets; with Brogna out for a few weeks, Petagine needs to make his case forcefully if he's going to have a career.
JODY REED 1963 2B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 BOS 617 181 37 3 5 59 8 5 .293 .355 .387 .264 163 79 1992 BOS 549 140 23 2 4 60 8 7 .255 .328 .326 .233 128 55 1993 LAD 447 126 20 2 1 38 1 3 .282 .338 .342 .242 108 47 1994 MIL 390 103 8 1 2 51 6 5 .264 .349 .305 .236 92 40 1995 SDP 450 123 16 1 3 58 6 4 .273 .356 .333 .249 112 51 1996 SDP 522 151 24 1 2 60 7 4 .289 .363 .351 .258 135 64Another veteran the Padres are enamored of, handing him a two-year deal this winter. Out of Fenway, he has no doubles power, so he needs at least a .360 OBP to contribute. When he's there, like last year, he doesn't hurt you. But at 33, the line between part of the problem and part of the solution is very thin. Reed will cross it this year.
DAN ROHRMEIER 1966 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 TUL 413 101 13 1 4 42 2 1 .245 .314 .310 .222 92 36 1992 MEM 441 136 23 2 6 23 4 4 .308 .343 .410 .266 117 56 1992 OMA 29 7 0 0 1 3 0 1 .241 .312 .345 .221 6 3 1993 OMA 427 100 15 2 13 21 2 1 .234 .270 .370 .223 95 38 1994 CHT 67 20 6 0 0 4 0 0 .299 .338 .388 .258 17 8 1994 MEM 441 113 17 1 15 28 2 1 .256 .301 .401 .245 108 49 1995 CHT 430 134 17 1 14 34 0 1 .312 .362 .453 .285 122 64 1995 IND 34 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 .176 .176 .265 .128 4 1
RICO ROSSY 1964 SS YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 RIC 482 115 18 1 2 52 5 5 .239 .313 .293 .214 103 40 1992 OMA 175 53 8 1 3 31 4 4 .303 .408 .411 .289 51 28 1992 KCR 149 34 9 1 1 20 0 3 .228 .320 .322 .221 33 14 1993 OMA 129 36 5 1 4 19 4 2 .279 .372 .426 .281 36 20 1993 KCR 85 19 3 0 2 9 0 0 .224 .298 .329 .220 19 7 1994 OMA 411 93 13 1 9 56 10 8 .226 .319 .328 .229 94 41 1995 LVG 302 74 6 1 1 47 4 5 .245 .347 .281 .226 68 28
PAUL RUSSO 1970 3B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 KEN 434 103 6 1 15 41 2 1 .237 .303 .359 .233 101 43 1992 ORL 424 102 10 1 17 42 0 0 .241 .309 .389 .244 103 47 1993 POR 282 70 13 1 8 23 0 1 .248 .305 .387 .241 68 30 1994 NAA 304 66 7 1 9 27 1 0 .217 .281 .336 .215 65 26 1994 SLC 110 26 3 0 2 10 0 2 .236 .300 .318 .212 23 9 1995 MEM 124 37 5 1 5 19 1 0 .298 .392 .476 .303 38 22 1995 LVG 142 36 3 0 4 8 0 1 .254 .293 .359 .227 32 13
LARRY SEE 1960 DH/1B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1995 RCU 167 49 4 0 8 10 0 1 .293 .333 .461 .274 46 23 1995 LVG 109 28 6 1 1 5 0 0 .257 .289 .358 .228 25 10
MIKE SHARPERSON 1962 3B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 LAD 220 65 12 2 2 25 1 2 .295 .367 .395 .270 59 30 1992 LAD 328 110 17 1 6 50 2 2 .335 .423 .448 .309 101 58 1993 LAD 90 24 2 0 2 5 2 0 .267 .305 .356 .239 22 9 1994 IOW 89 24 3 1 4 9 3 2 .270 .337 .461 .274 24 13 1994 PAW 130 33 6 0 0 18 4 2 .254 .345 .300 .235 31 13 1995 RIC 306 97 11 1 3 32 6 2 .317 .382 .389 .279 85 43Still a perfectly fine major league utility infielder, and better than a dozen guys who have that job.
CRAIG SHIPLEY 1963 3B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 LVG 222 55 6 2 4 6 2 1 .248 .268 .347 .216 48 18 1991 SDP 92 27 3 0 1 2 0 1 .293 .309 .359 .234 22 9 1992 SDP 105 27 7 0 0 3 1 1 .257 .278 .324 .211 22 8 1993 SDP 230 54 7 0 4 10 13 3 .235 .267 .317 .215 49 19 1994 SDP 239 82 11 3 4 9 7 7 .343 .367 .464 .287 69 36 1995 HOU 235 67 8 1 2 7 7 1 .285 .306 .353 .240 56 24 1996 PRJ 325 90 12 3 2 5 8 4 .277 .288 .351 .229 74 30While he has very little value in rotisserie, Shipley is the kind of player a manager loves to have. He can play all three infield positions, and even some outfield if necessary. He has enough offensive skills to make him a useful pinch-hitter, and can even pinch-run for the slowest guys on the team. He also has something of a platoon split, making him useful as half of a starter. It'd be nice if he would walk more than once a month, but all that does is keep him from becoming a useful regular.
IRA SMITH 1968 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 VRO 181 54 4 2 2 13 8 2 .298 .345 .376 .263 48 23 1992 BAK 410 96 10 1 6 27 13 6 .234 .281 .307 .210 86 32 1993 RCU 335 90 13 3 5 34 17 8 .269 .336 .370 .254 85 41 1993 WIC 39 7 0 1 0 4 0 1 .179 .256 .231 .149 6 1 1994 WIC 360 104 11 3 6 44 6 7 .289 .366 .386 .265 96 48 1995 MEM 240 68 9 2 4 20 9 3 .283 .338 .387 .261 63 30 1995 LVG 200 55 14 3 2 11 5 3 .275 .313 .405 .252 50 24Scab. May or may not have been denied a trip to San Diego by the players, who were rumored to have vehemently opposed his callup. Frankly, the self-righteous whining of some of the scabs was a bit ridiculous. Did they think they could participate in an effort to take jobs away from striking real major leaguers, and be welcomed with open arms upon their return? The players' union, despite all the bad press, was a heck of a lot more tolerant of scabs last year than you could expect, say, the Teamsters, or the UAW to be. The scabs knew what they were getting into, and when the owners were head-slapped by Judge Sotomayor, should have known better than to complain about the outcome.
KEITH THOMAS 1969 OF YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1991 APP 234 53 4 1 6 5 11 4 .226 .243 .329 .205 48 18 1991 MAD 45 8 1 0 0 2 2 1 .178 .213 .200 .128 6 1 1992 SLM 371 87 13 3 9 12 20 6 .235 .258 .358 .223 83 34 1992 CAR 79 23 1 2 4 6 7 1 .291 .341 .506 .299 24 14 1993 SLM 93 20 4 0 2 5 5 1 .215 .255 .323 .210 20 8 1993 CAR 334 69 5 1 10 17 9 5 .207 .245 .317 .195 65 23 1994 WIC 309 68 8 2 6 26 33 7 .220 .281 .317 .228 70 31 1995 MEM 358 85 7 2 9 17 35 8 .237 .272 .344 .232 83 36
JASON THOMPSON 1971 1B YEAR TEAM AB H DB TP HR BB SB CS BA OBA SA EQA EQH EQR 1993 SPO 242 58 10 1 4 19 1 1 .240 .295 .339 .223 54 22 1994 RCU 248 76 10 1 8 27 1 1 .306 .375 .452 .289 72 39 1994 WIC 217 53 10 1 7 23 0 1 .244 .317 .396 .248 54 25 1995 MEM 481 124 11 1 16 53 6 2 .258 .331 .385 .254 122 58 1996 PRJ 453 125 13 1 17 49 4 2 .276 .347 .422 .270 122 63Not a terrible prospect, but he's a little old for his leagues, and is caught between Joyner and Derek Lee.
Organizational Pitching Report
OPR Points: 23 Rank in MLB: 17th (T) Rank in Division: 2nd (T)
Name Lvl Age IP Work H/G K/BB K/G ERA Adj Ttl Grade Kroon, Marc 6 3 5 0 6 4 8 2 0 33 B Walters, Brett 0 3 6 0 4 9 5 4 0 31 B- Murray, Heath 5 2 8 0 3 3 6 3 0 30 C+ Dennis, Shane 1 0 8 0 6 6 6 3 0 30 C+ Dixon, Bubba 3 0 6 0 5 6 6 3 +1 30 C+ Beckett, Robbie 6 3 3 0 7 1 9 0 0 29 C Harriger, Denny 8 0 9 0 1 2 0 1 +3 24 D Hernandez, Fern 7 1 4 0 0 2 9 0 +1 24 D Best Prospect in 1994: Glenn Dishman (A-) Best Rookie Starter in 1995: Glenn Dishman (A-)
PAUL ABBOTT 1968 RBP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 POR 40.7 40 21 3 30 39 4.65 2 3 8.85 6.64 8.63 1991 MIN 46.7 43 27 6 37 50 5.21 2 3 8.29 7.14 9.64 1992 POR 43.3 33 14 3 31 47 2.91 3 2 6.85 6.44 9.76 1992 MIN 10.7 13 5 1 5 16 4.22 0 1 10.97 4.22 13.50 1993 CAN 70.0 81 37 7 30 72 4.76 3 5 10.41 3.86 9.26 1993 CHR 17.7 29 17 5 8 11 8.66 0 2 14.77 4.08 5.60 1993 CLE 18.0 18 11 5 10 8 5.50 1 1 9.00 5.00 4.00 1994 OMA 54.0 59 30 6 47 47 5.00 2 4 9.83 7.83 7.83 1995 IOW 109.7 118 54 12 72 124 4.43 5 7 9.68 5.91 10.18Has actually developed into a halfway decent pitcher, and is only 28. Wouldn't be surprised to see him surface in a bullpen somewhere and have a good season or three in middle relief.
ANDY ASHBY 1968 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 SWB 153.0 150 72 18 53 108 4.24 8 9 8.82 3.12 6.35 1991 PHI 42.0 45 28 7 19 28 6.00 2 3 9.64 4.07 6.00 1992 SWB 31.7 27 16 6 15 17 4.55 2 2 7.67 4.26 4.83 1992 PHI 37.0 45 31 9 22 27 7.54 1 3 10.95 5.35 6.57 1993 CSP 39.3 40 19 3 12 30 4.35 2 2 9.15 2.75 6.86 1993 COL 52.7 77 38 5 32 33 6.49 2 4 13.16 5.47 5.64 1993 SDP 68.3 78 40 15 26 46 5.27 3 5 10.27 3.42 6.06 1994 SDP 163.7 141 63 17 45 124 3.46 10 8 7.75 2.47 6.82 1995 SDP 191.0 183 69 17 63 148 3.25 13 8 8.62 2.97 6.97OK, maybe it wasn't aliens. There was some erosion in Ashby's peripheral numbers last year, but it wasn't statistically significant. It could be he just took a while to get acclimated to the major leagues. If that's the case, and the last two years are his level, he's not going to have any problems putting the kids through Harvard.
ROBBIE BECKETT 1973 LBP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 CSC 90.3 138 136 20 143 59 13.55 1 9 13.75 14.25 5.88 1992 WLO 105.0 70 79 16 162 88 6.77 3 9 6.00 13.89 7.54 1993 RCU 72.7 64 47 10 94 64 5.82 3 5 7.93 11.64 7.93 1994 WIC 36.7 27 23 5 43 45 5.65 1 3 6.63 10.55 11.05 1994 LVG 21.3 19 21 5 37 26 8.86 0 2 8.02 15.61 10.97 1995 MEM 80.7 67 55 8 81 81 6.14 3 6 7.48 9.04 9.04Just six walks per nine innings away from making a lot of money in this game.
ANDRES BERUMEN 1971 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 APP 50.7 63 38 3 28 32 6.75 2 4 11.19 4.97 5.68 1991 BCY 33.3 47 28 2 21 19 7.56 1 3 12.69 5.67 5.13 1992 APP 51.3 66 36 9 27 33 6.31 2 4 11.57 4.73 5.79 1993 HDS 85.0 93 46 14 31 57 4.87 4 5 9.85 3.28 6.04 1993 WIC 23.7 40 18 3 14 13 6.85 1 2 15.21 5.32 4.94 1994 LVG 70.0 75 46 5 57 44 5.91 3 5 9.64 7.33 5.66 1995 SDP 43.7 38 25 4 36 41 5.15 2 3 7.83 7.42 8.45One of about eleventy thousand Padre relief prospects, and not near the top of my list. I like him better as a starter, since he seems a bit too hittable for a relief role. His build and mechanics make me think he could be a successful starter, but someone in the organization needs to lead the way. As a reliever, he'll struggle, probably at AAA.
WILLIE BLAIR 1966 RBP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 CSP 106.7 134 70 16 27 55 5.91 4 8 11.31 2.28 4.64 1991 CLE 35.3 54 23 5 10 14 5.86 1 3 13.75 2.55 3.57 1992 TUC 50.0 48 17 3 10 35 3.06 4 2 8.64 1.80 6.30 1992 HOU 78.7 78 46 9 27 54 5.26 3 6 8.92 3.09 6.18 1993 COL 144.0 162 64 18 45 85 4.00 8 8 10.12 2.81 5.31 1994 COL 77.0 85 40 9 39 67 4.68 4 5 9.94 4.56 7.83 1995 SDP 113.3 114 53 11 46 82 4.21 6 7 9.05 3.65 6.51Has been flirting with success, without actually having much, since he was a prospect in the Toronto organization. (For ten points: who was he traded for?) I'd like to say I know which way his career is headed, but he's difficult to predict. It doesn't help that he never stays in one role for longer than 18 minutes. (Answer: Bud Black.)
DOUG BOCHTLER 1971 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 WPB 144.0 206 97 22 61 87 6.06 5 11 12.88 3.81 5.44 1992 HAR 73.7 61 33 3 42 77 4.03 4 4 7.45 5.13 9.41 1993 CNV 43.3 43 23 4 28 33 4.78 2 3 8.93 5.82 6.85 1993 CSP 46.3 62 30 4 27 32 5.83 2 3 12.04 5.24 6.22 1993 LVG 37.0 47 20 3 11 26 4.86 2 2 11.43 2.68 6.32 1994 LVG 94.3 98 46 11 48 78 4.39 5 5 9.35 4.58 7.44 1995 LVG 34.0 30 16 5 27 32 4.24 2 2 7.94 7.15 8.47 1995 SDP 44.7 39 16 5 19 44 3.22 3 2 7.86 3.83 8.87One of the fun bunch. Bochtler came to the Pads, along with Ausmus and Ashby for Bruce Hurst and Greg W. Harris, in one of the worst trades of the expansion era. Funky motion, good movement and pitch selection, holds runners like a cross between Rick Aguilera and JoJo, the Dog-Faced Boy. Behind Hoffman and Florie, about even with Hermanson. Recommended.
GREG CADARET 1962 LRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 NYY 120.0 108 41 8 57 118 3.08 8 5 8.10 4.28 8.85 1992 NYY 101.7 111 52 10 73 87 4.60 5 6 9.83 6.46 7.70 1993 CIN 32.0 39 18 2 24 24 5.06 2 2 10.97 6.75 6.75 1993 KCR 15.3 15 4 0 6 2 2.35 1 1 8.80 3.52 1.17 1994 DET 20.0 17 7 0 15 15 3.15 1 1 7.65 6.75 6.75 1994 TOR 19.3 23 12 2 15 16 5.59 1 1 10.71 6.98 7.45 1995 LOU 11.0 16 5 0 1 7 4.09 0 1 13.09 .82 5.73 1995 LVG 49.7 54 34 10 23 52 6.16 2 4 9.79 4.17 9.42
GLENN DISHMAN 1971 LBP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1993 SPO 74.0 77 33 8 0 49 4.01 4 4 9.36 .00 5.96 1993 RCU 10.3 13 7 0 4 4 6.10 0 1 11.32 3.48 3.48 1994 WIC 159.3 157 66 11 44 128 3.73 10 8 8.87 2.49 7.23 1994 LVG 12.7 13 5 1 1 11 3.55 1 0 9.24 .71 7.82 1995 LVG 101.3 92 34 15 21 65 3.02 7 4 8.17 1.87 5.77 1995 SDP 96.7 105 52 11 35 42 4.84 4 7 9.78 3.26 3.91Good command of a fantastic changeup makes him a prospect. Unfortunately, the change of speeds from his fastball might not be enough, as that pitch has been known to gather dust on the way to the plate. Does the little things like hold runners quite well, and if he makes it through the adjustment period, will have a fine career. Recommended, but be patient.
AARON DORLARQUE 1970 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1992 EUG 37.0 37 17 2 10 25 4.14 2 2 9.00 2.43 6.08 1993 ROK 45.0 47 16 5 12 33 3.20 3 2 9.40 2.40 6.60 1994 MEM 68.0 104 47 8 32 44 6.22 2 6 13.76 4.24 5.82 1995 WIC 43.7 42 12 2 10 30 2.47 4 1 8.66 2.06 6.18 1995 OMA 38.3 40 18 6 17 23 4.23 2 2 9.39 3.99 5.40
SEAN FESH 1973 LRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1993 ASH 72.7 85 43 10 42 31 5.33 3 5 10.53 5.20 3.84 1994 OSC 45.7 54 27 5 26 26 5.32 2 3 10.64 5.12 5.12 1994 JAC 23.0 41 19 3 12 15 7.43 1 2 16.04 4.70 5.87 1995 TUC 13.0 10 2 0 3 7 1.38 1 0 6.92 2.08 4.85 1995 LVG 35.3 52 21 2 17 18 5.35 1 3 13.25 4.33 4.58Strikeout rates are low, and he's hittable. Sounds like someone who throws a dead Fesh changeup.
BRYCE FLORIE 1970 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 WLO 115.0 164 97 11 93 61 7.59 3 10 12.83 7.28 4.77 1992 HDS 123.3 115 98 20 124 83 7.15 3 11 8.39 9.05 6.06 1993 WIC 141.3 142 90 13 120 105 5.73 5 11 9.04 7.64 6.69 1994 LVG 66.7 63 32 3 47 60 4.32 3 4 8.51 6.35 8.10 1995 SDP 68.0 49 26 8 39 67 3.44 5 3 6.49 5.16 8.87Needs to work out some control issues, and holds runners in a way that makes you think Bochtler is Terry Mulholland, but his slider is a dominant pitch, and he should have a fine season playing Mel Rojas to Hoffman's John Wetteland.
GEORGE GLINATSIS 1969 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1992 SBR 114.7 119 72 26 63 87 5.65 4 9 9.34 4.94 6.83 1993 RIV 33.3 43 23 2 5 23 6.21 1 3 11.61 1.35 6.21 1993 JAX 32.0 44 29 7 17 21 8.16 1 3 12.38 4.78 5.91 1994 RIV 81.3 107 42 8 16 59 4.65 4 5 11.84 1.77 6.53 1994 JAX 50.7 49 19 5 19 38 3.38 4 2 8.70 3.38 6.75 1995 PCY 86.3 117 65 10 49 57 6.78 3 7 12.20 5.11 5.94 1995 TAC 28.7 40 22 5 13 13 6.91 1 2 12.56 4.08 4.08
JOEY HAMILTON 1971 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1992 CSC 32.3 43 29 7 2 23 8.07 1 3 11.97 .56 6.40 1992 HDS 44.0 59 26 1 16 34 5.32 2 3 12.07 3.27 6.95 1992 WIC 32.0 38 15 2 13 20 4.22 2 2 10.69 3.66 5.62 1993 RCU 10.3 11 4 0 1 5 3.48 1 0 9.58 .87 4.35 1993 WIC 82.3 113 60 6 45 39 6.56 2 7 12.35 4.92 4.26 1993 LVG 43.7 43 19 2 23 28 3.92 3 2 8.86 4.74 5.77 1994 LVG 55.7 60 19 1 22 29 3.07 4 2 9.70 3.56 4.69 1994 SDP 108.0 96 34 7 30 62 2.83 8 4 8.00 2.50 5.17 1995 SDP 203.0 192 78 17 57 121 3.46 13 10 8.51 2.53 5.36The strikeout rate is low, but he gets lots of groundballs, and adheres to the Ray Miller credo: work fast, change speeds, throw strikes. Intelligent pitcher; he does all the secondary things well, such as holding runners, fielding the position and, after a terrible rookie season, is an improving hitter. We'll still be discussing him in 2010.
DENNY HARRIGER 1970 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 CMB 10.3 8 1 0 1 8 .87 1 0 6.97 .87 6.97 1991 SLU 64.0 95 36 7 12 29 5.06 3 4 13.36 1.69 4.08 1992 SLU 79.0 113 42 6 20 51 4.78 4 5 12.87 2.28 5.81 1992 BIN 19.7 27 14 4 8 7 6.41 1 1 12.36 3.66 3.20 1993 BIN 159.0 195 72 13 41 74 4.08 9 9 11.04 2.32 4.19 1994 LVG 148.7 185 82 16 44 79 4.96 7 10 11.20 2.66 4.78 1995 LVG 167.3 186 82 17 63 98 4.41 9 10 10.00 3.39 5.27
HILLY HATHAWAY 1970 LSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 QUD 115.3 155 72 17 40 71 5.62 4 9 12.10 3.12 5.54 1992 PSP 22.0 28 9 2 0 13 3.68 1 1 11.45 .00 5.32 1992 MID 90.0 97 42 6 14 53 4.20 5 5 9.70 1.40 5.30 1993 VAN 66.3 60 36 9 29 39 4.88 3 4 8.14 3.93 5.29 1993 CAL 56.3 73 30 5 25 13 4.79 2 4 11.66 3.99 2.08 1994 LVG 89.3 100 54 15 48 61 5.44 4 6 10.07 4.84 6.15 1995 LVG 60.3 74 42 6 28 37 6.27 2 5 11.04 4.18 5.52
DUSTIN HERMANSON 1973 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1994 WIC 20.0 13 2 0 7 24 .90 2 0 5.85 3.15 10.80 1995 LVG 33.7 34 20 6 29 42 5.35 1 3 9.09 7.75 11.23 1995 SDP 31.0 36 23 8 22 19 6.68 1 2 10.45 6.39 5.52Brought up prematurely last May, but the effects shouldn't be lasting. While he has the arm and the pitches to be an exceptional reliever, he's extremely raw, and has to cross the bridge from thrower to pitcher. He can't do that when he changes teams every few weeks. If left alone for 75 innings at AAA, he'll be ready to step in in 1997. There is at least a 1/3 chance the Padres will ruin him this year.
FERNANDO HERNANDEZ 1971 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1992 CGA 61.0 63 31 8 40 47 4.57 3 4 9.30 5.90 6.93 1992 KIN 37.7 42 27 4 26 23 6.45 1 3 10.04 6.21 5.50 1993 KIN 46.7 43 22 3 23 37 4.24 2 3 8.29 4.44 7.14 1993 RCU 90.3 84 45 12 65 90 4.48 4 6 8.37 6.48 8.97 1993 CAN 76.7 16 0 3 4 7 .00 9 0 1.88 .47 .82 1994 WIC 121.0 118 69 19 83 73 5.13 5 8 8.78 6.17 5.43 1995 MEM 61.3 77 44 6 47 62 6.46 2 5 11.30 6.90 9.10 1995 LVG 35.0 41 27 4 32 40 6.94 1 3 10.54 8.23 10.29
TREVOR HOFFMAN 1968 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 CDR 30.7 31 14 2 15 35 4.11 1 2 9.10 4.40 10.27 1991 CHT 13.0 13 5 0 8 19 3.46 1 0 9.00 5.54 13.15 1992 CHT 27.7 27 9 1 13 26 2.93 2 1 8.78 4.23 8.46 1992 NAS 62.3 57 29 7 33 63 4.19 3 4 8.23 4.76 9.10 1993 FLA 35.0 25 12 6 20 28 3.09 3 1 6.43 5.14 7.20 1993 SDP 53.3 56 26 6 21 56 4.39 3 3 9.45 3.54 9.45 1994 SDP 55.7 38 14 4 21 70 2.26 5 1 6.14 3.40 11.32 1995 SDP 53.0 49 22 10 14 51 3.74 3 3 8.32 2.38 8.66Over 50-odd innings, any of the "closers" in baseball can have an off year. Hoffman's was in 1995, when he lost a few MPH on his fastball, and spent much of the year with his neck craned, staring into the left field seats. He'll bec back in 1996, good as new. May need more work than he gets in his current role.
BRAD KAUFMAN 1972 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1993 SPO 48.0 58 55 20 43 29 10.31 1 4 10.88 8.06 5.44 1994 SPR 130.7 155 78 18 74 85 5.37 5 10 10.68 5.10 5.85 1995 MEM 139.3 149 109 28 99 99 7.04 4 11 9.62 6.39 6.39
MARC KROON 1973 RBP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1993 CMB 107.0 149 76 15 82 78 6.39 3 9 12.53 6.90 6.56 1994 RCU 130.0 155 85 21 89 109 5.88 4 10 10.73 6.16 7.55 1995 MEM 108.0 99 51 15 68 103 4.25 6 6 8.25 5.67 8.58Another Randy Smith hard thrower, this one a Met system refugee. Currently a one trick pony, but it's a good trick. The Padres have the bullpen depth to bring him along slowly, and a year of junk relief good do wonders for Kroon's development.
RICHIE LEWIS 1966 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 HAR 68.0 82 41 7 41 70 5.43 3 5 10.85 5.43 9.26 1991 IND 25.3 40 18 1 20 21 6.39 1 2 14.21 7.11 7.46 1991 ROC 15.0 13 4 1 7 17 2.40 1 1 7.80 4.20 10.20 1992 ROC 151.3 152 68 21 67 140 4.04 8 9 9.04 3.98 8.33 1993 FLA 76.3 70 34 8 46 69 4.01 4 4 8.25 5.42 8.14 1994 FLA 53.7 61 37 7 38 46 6.20 2 4 10.23 6.37 7.71 1995 CHR 55.7 55 22 7 22 41 3.56 3 3 8.89 3.56 6.63 1995 FLA 36.0 29 15 8 15 31 3.75 2 2 7.25 3.75 7.75Traded to Detroit.
JOEY LONG 1971 LRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 SPO 46.7 82 53 8 42 21 10.22 1 4 15.81 8.10 4.05 1993 WLO 87.0 113 64 14 40 58 6.62 3 7 11.69 4.14 6.00 1994 RCU 46.0 77 35 5 23 37 6.85 1 4 15.07 4.50 7.24 1995 MEM 20.0 31 15 1 11 15 6.75 1 1 13.95 4.95 6.75 1995 LVG 29.3 37 19 1 17 13 5.83 1 2 11.35 5.22 3.99Has a long and successful career ahead of him. Needs to quit tooling around with baseball and get on with it.
ROB MATTSON 1967 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 MCN 69.7 89 49 5 15 32 6.33 2 6 11.50 1.94 4.13 1991 DUR 41.7 61 30 5 7 23 6.48 1 4 13.18 1.51 4.97 1992 BLT 15.3 20 11 3 8 10 6.46 1 1 11.74 4.70 5.87 1995 MEM 188.7 217 109 29 81 116 5.20 8 13 10.35 3.86 5.53
TIM MAUSER 1967 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 SWB 121.0 124 60 16 50 71 4.46 6 7 9.22 3.72 5.28 1991 PHI 10.3 21 11 4 3 7 9.58 0 1 18.29 2.61 6.10 1992 SWB 94.0 106 44 8 50 70 4.21 5 5 10.15 4.79 6.70 1993 SWB 20.0 12 3 1 6 23 1.35 2 0 5.40 2.70 10.35 1993 PHI 16.3 15 8 2 7 15 4.41 1 1 8.27 3.86 8.27 1993 SDP 37.0 36 17 6 18 34 4.14 2 2 8.76 4.38 8.27 1994 SDP 48.7 49 18 3 19 33 3.33 3 2 9.06 3.51 6.10 1995 LVG 47.7 62 33 8 21 32 6.23 1 4 11.71 3.97 6.04How does this happen? A guy's moving merrily along, has two good years out of the bullpen in the majors, and five innings into his third season gets sent down and never returns. Weird. Mauser's bad year can be chalked up to shock at finding himself back in the PCL, but he's fighting an uphill battle in San Diego. Will be back in another uniform.
HEATH MURRAY 1973 LSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1994 SPO 90.0 120 53 17 11 42 5.30 4 6 12.00 1.10 4.20 1995 RCU 83.3 89 41 9 43 57 4.43 4 5 9.61 4.64 6.16 1995 MEM 70.3 93 36 1 46 59 4.61 3 5 11.90 5.89 7.55Unadjusted, he allowed just six homers last year between A-ball and AA. He's still pretty young, but if he can maintain that kind of pitching in the PCL this year, he'll mark himself as a prospect.
SCOTT SANDERS 1969 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 WLO 23.7 27 8 0 5 12 3.04 2 1 10.27 1.90 4.56 1991 HDS 120.3 123 76 16 70 65 5.68 4 9 9.20 5.24 4.86 1992 WIC 80.3 98 43 9 45 75 4.82 4 5 10.98 5.04 8.40 1992 LVG 66.7 94 41 9 29 50 5.54 2 5 12.69 3.92 6.75 1993 LVG 142.7 150 76 24 64 138 4.79 7 9 9.46 4.04 8.71 1993 SDP 51.7 53 28 4 24 39 4.88 2 4 9.23 4.18 6.79 1994 SDP 110.7 100 52 10 49 111 4.23 6 6 8.13 3.98 9.03 1995 SDP 89.7 80 40 14 32 87 4.01 5 5 8.03 3.21 8.73How many consecutive years do I want to be wrong...? OK. Sanders has all the things you look for in a starting pitcher. He's well-built, strikes a lot of guys out, doesn't walk too many batters and has a variety of pitches. He keeps bumping into injury problems, though. If healthy, highly recommended.
PETE SMITH 1966 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 RIC 47.3 69 40 13 22 39 7.61 1 4 13.12 4.18 7.42 1991 ATL 48.0 54 35 8 23 32 6.56 1 4 10.12 4.31 6.00 1992 RIC 105.7 82 30 8 26 84 2.56 9 3 6.98 2.21 7.15 1992 ATL 79.0 70 21 4 30 49 2.39 7 2 7.97 3.42 5.58 1993 ATL 89.3 103 48 15 40 58 4.84 4 6 10.38 4.03 5.84 1994 NYM 130.3 146 73 25 44 64 5.04 5 9 10.08 3.04 4.42 1995 CHR 46.0 55 22 5 19 18 4.30 2 3 10.76 3.72 3.52 1995 CIN 24.0 32 18 8 7 14 6.75 1 2 12.00 2.62 5.25
KERRY TAYLOR 1971 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 KEN 114.7 153 98 14 98 55 7.69 3 10 12.01 7.69 4.32 1992 KEN 150.7 188 91 9 77 98 5.44 6 11 11.23 4.60 5.85 1993 SDP 67.0 71 46 6 51 47 6.18 2 5 9.54 6.85 6.31 1994 LVG 146.7 146 71 15 82 129 4.36 7 9 8.96 5.03 7.92 1995 LVG 34.3 44 18 2 22 21 4.72 2 2 11.53 5.77 5.50At least a full season of AAA away from being a factor at the major league level.
BOB TEWKSBURY 1961 RSP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 STL 189.3 229 88 18 41 82 4.18 10 11 10.89 1.95 3.90 1992 STL 232.0 239 70 18 26 103 2.72 18 8 9.27 1.01 4.00 1993 STL 211.0 258 88 18 25 102 3.75 12 11 11.00 1.07 4.35 1994 STL 155.0 179 75 19 23 80 4.35 8 9 10.39 1.34 4.65 1995 TEX 128.0 165 55 6 13 58 3.87 7 7 11.60 .91 4.08As much as I like him for the inning-eating capabilities, the average American League right-handed hitter hit roughly like Tony Gwynn against him last year. I don't care if you issue no walks, and never even have a three-ball count: you're not helping if you're being hit that hard. Will not have an ERA within one run of the league average this year; he'll either be great or awful.
FERNANDO VALENZUELA 1961 LBP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 MID 21.7 19 5 1 5 14 2.08 2 0 7.89 2.08 5.82 1991 EDM 34.3 45 28 12 17 34 7.34 1 3 11.80 4.46 8.91 1992 JAL 140.3 162 93 26 53 88 5.96 5 11 10.39 3.40 5.64 1993 BAL 175.7 194 95 18 75 90 4.87 8 12 9.94 3.84 4.61 1994 PHI 44.7 42 16 7 8 20 3.22 3 2 8.46 1.61 4.03 1995 SDP 89.7 102 46 14 35 56 4.62 4 6 10.24 3.51 5.62He's not terribly effective anymore, but I think, if he's used right, he can be an asset. Spotting him in big ballparks and against teams with free swingers, and using him out of the bullpen as a long man when he's not starting, I wouldn't be surprised if he put up 130 innings of 3.50 ball. It would take a lot of nerve to use him this way, and if course he'd have to want to try it, but when you don't have clear cut #4 and #5 starters, what would it hurt?
DARIO VERAS 1973 RRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1993 BAK 12.3 13 10 3 7 8 7.30 0 1 9.49 5.11 5.84 1993 VRO 49.3 67 27 6 16 27 4.93 2 3 12.22 2.92 4.93 1994 RCU 73.3 75 31 10 26 40 3.80 4 4 9.20 3.19 4.91 1995 MEM 77.3 89 39 11 30 58 4.54 4 5 10.36 3.49 6.75
RON VILLONE 1970 LRP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1993 RIV 74.3 76 45 8 63 62 5.45 3 5 9.20 7.63 7.51 1993 JAX 59.3 56 39 10 46 54 5.92 2 5 8.49 6.98 8.19 1994 JAX 72.7 60 39 11 78 80 4.83 3 5 7.43 9.66 9.91 1995 TAC 28.3 9 5 3 21 46 1.59 3 0 2.86 6.67 14.61 1995 SDP 25.0 24 11 4 12 37 3.96 2 1 8.64 4.32 13.32 1995 SEA 18.7 18 13 5 21 28 6.27 1 1 8.68 10.12 13.501996's Ricky Bottalico. 80 innings, 2.00 ERA, a ridiculous number of strikeouts, very few hits and little power. And he'll get better.
WESTON WEBER 1964 RBP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 HUN 49.0 68 26 3 18 21 4.78 2 3 12.49 3.31 3.86 1991 TAC 30.0 30 14 1 6 15 4.20 1 2 9.00 1.80 4.50 1992 TAC 87.0 103 46 9 53 52 4.76 4 6 10.66 5.48 5.38 1993 JAX 24.3 30 10 1 8 10 3.70 2 1 11.10 2.96 3.70 1994 CLG 149.0 191 84 23 54 99 5.07 7 10 11.54 3.26 5.98 1995 LVG 46.7 58 32 7 9 32 6.17 1 4 11.19 1.74 6.17 1995 TAC 95.7 113 50 13 44 55 4.70 5 6 10.63 4.14 5.17
TIM WORRELL 1968 RBP YEAR TEAM IP H ER HR BB SO ERA W L H/9 BB/9 K/9 1991 WLO 77.7 97 57 16 36 56 6.61 2 7 11.24 4.17 6.49 1991 HDS 56.3 74 33 6 31 48 5.27 2 4 11.82 4.95 7.67 1992 WIC 116.3 133 55 14 40 85 4.26 6 7 10.29 3.09 6.58 1992 LVG 60.0 60 28 7 17 32 4.20 3 4 9.00 2.55 4.80 1993 LVG 82.0 91 46 16 27 77 5.05 3 6 9.99 2.96 8.45 1993 SDP 99.3 103 55 13 46 55 4.98 4 7 9.33 4.17 4.98 1994 SDP 14.3 9 3 1 5 14 1.88 2 0 5.65 3.14 8.79 1995 RCU 21.0 26 17 4 6 12 7.29 0 2 11.14 2.57 5.14 1995 LVG 22.3 26 18 2 18 18 7.25 0 2 10.48 7.25 7.25 1995 SDP 13.0 16 7 2 6 13 4.85 0 1 11.08 4.15 9.00[shrug] Depends on his health. Probably has nothing to contribute for another year or so.