Atlanta Braves

Baseball Prospectus 1996


America's Team finally earned their title, bringing the Championship Trophy back to the United States after a three- year run in the Great White North. Tom Glavine's terrific pitching performance in Game 6, arguably the greatest performance in a game of that magnitude in baseball history, brought the title to Atlanta and ended the whispers of doubt that had plagued this franchise for two years. The notion that the Braves, despite all their regular season success, were somehow missing the heart and courage needed to win the World Series, was a silly one. Think for a moment of how the Braves got as far as the World Series in 1991 and 1992:

  1. In 1991, the Braves were a game under .500 at the All-Star Break, which was itself a huge improvement from their woeful years of the late 80s. They rode a 55-28 second-half surge over the Dodgers, clinching the pennant on the season's next-to-last day.
  2. They then faced the Pittsburgh Pirates, a team whose 98 wins were 4 more than the Braves' total, in the playoffs. Down 3 games to 2 and heading to Pittsburgh with Drabek and Smiley scheduled to start for the Bucs, they rose to the challenge. Steve Avery, just 21 at the time, outpitched Drabek 1-0 in Game 6, and Smoltz threw another shutout in Game 7.
  3. In 1992, after winning the NL West comfortably and taking a 3-1 lead against the Pirates in the NLCS, the Braves faced elimination in the bottom of the ninth of Game 7, down 2-0. Stan Belinda is still kicking himself over that pitch to Cabrera.
When the Braves *did* lose in the World Series, it was hardly the result of some Mauchian choke. Against the Twins, the Braves were simply undone by the noise of the Metrodome, the presence of Kirby Puckett, and the decoy play of Gagne and Knoblauch. In 1992, the Braves fell behind in games, 3 to 2, and were behind in the ninth inning of Game 6 before rallying to tie. After giving up two runs in the 11th inning, they rallied again, putting the tying run on third before Otis Nixon's drag-bunt attempt fell tantalizingly short.

And in 1993, the Braves were buried behind the Giants at mid-season, but went 54-17 down the stretch, swept the Rockies in the season's final weekend, and sent San Francisco home along with their 102 wins. They fell to the Phillies in the NLCS that year, but forgotten is the line drive that Mickey Morandini smashed off of Greg Maddux's leg early in Game 6; Maddux was unable to pitch at his usual standards for the rest of the game, and for the first time, the National League was represented by 25 members of the Hell's Angels in the World Series.

Are the Braves simply to be labeled chokers because Lonnie Smith, whose running skills were so legendary that he earned the nickname "Skates", made a questionable running play in 1991? Or because Nixon wasn't a half-step faster on his way to first base in 1992? Or because Maddux couldn't get out of the way of Morandini's line drive in 1993?

One of the greatest appeals of baseball is its long, winding season, with so many turns and divvies along the way. In a game where the Mariners have more off-days than the Seahawks have games to play, the season becomes too long and too detailed to digest fully, and we look for shortcuts to package our memory of it. In October, when all but the greatest individual games of the regular season have been forgotten, all that remains is the final standings, and we assume, for the sake of simplicity, that the best teams in baseball were the ones who finished in first place.

We assume that the breaks have evened out in the long run, that timely gusts of wind, borderline umpiring calls, and pebbles in the infield dirt have affected all teams equally. In the regular season, these assumptions are quite valid, but in the crucible of the World Series, seven games is never enough to separate baseball's two best teams from each other. And when nearly 70% of the games are decided by a single run, as they have been in the Braves' last three trips to the Series, the intangible, uncontrollable factors of the game take on such significance that it would be cruel and unfair to condemn a team for falling an out late and a baserunner short of victory.

Anyway, the Braves put an end to their detractors' cries with an eloquence that only comes from an 11-3 postseason, capped off with a crisp, precise victory over the best regular-season team of the last 40 years.

And if the Indians fall short of a World Championship next year, the same cries may be heard in Cleveland.



RAFAEL	BELLIARD	1962		SS		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	ATL	354	89	6	2	1	22	3	1	.251	.295	.288	.207	73	26
1992	ATL	287	66	5	1	1	16	0	1	.230	.271	.265	.183	52	16
1993	ATL	79	18	5	0	0	4	0	0	.228	.265	.291	.192	15	5
1994	ATL	120	30	5	1	0	2	0	2	.250	.262	.308	.193	23	8
1995	ATL	179	40	1	0	0	6	2	2	.223	.249	.229	.155	28	7

1996	PRJ	131	27	2	0	0	5	1	2	.206	.235	.221	.140	18	4

If Bill Veeck were alive and owned the Braves, I wonder if he'd send Belliard up there one day with a plastic bat, a la Eddie Gaedel. I wonder if anyone would notice.

JEFF	BLAUSER	1966		SS			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	ATL	353	92	13	3	11	54	5	5	.261	.359	.408	.268	95	49
1992	ATL	349	100	20	3	17	49	5	5	.287	.374	.507	.298	104	62
1993	ATL	599	185	26	2	13	85	17	6	.309	.395	.424	.292	175	97
1994	ATL	379	100	17	3	6	38	1	3	.264	.331	.372	.247	94	43
1995	ATL	429	91	15	2	10	56	8	5	.212	.303	.326	.222	95	40

1996	PRJ	464	120	23	2	14	55	7	4	.259	.337	.407	.262	121	61

Has gone from a good-hit, no-field shortstop to a good-field, no-hit one in record time. He better find his hitting stroke again if he doesn't want to become a good-lord, no-job player soon.

FRANCISCO	CABRERA	1967		1B		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	RIC	119	30	4	1	6	7	0	1	.252	.294	.454	.254	30	15
1991	ATL	95	23	6	0	4	6	1	1	.242	.287	.432	.247	23	11
1992	RIC	302	79	7	1	7	14	0	0	.262	.294	.361	.231	70	29
1993	ATL	83	20	2	0	4	8	0	0	.241	.308	.410	.249	21	10
1995	RIC	105	24	3	0	1	5	0	1	.229	.264	.286	.186	20	6

1996	PRJ	282	69	9	1	8	13	0	0	.245	.278	.369	.226	64	26

Stan Belinda finished 1995 as the Red Sox' top set-up man. Cabrera finished the season with the Thunder Bay Whiskey Jacks. Fate's a funny thing, but it doesn't last forever.

JERMAINE	DYE	1974		OF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1994	MCN	518	138	17	1	11	24	12	6	.266	.299	.367	.236	123	52
1995	GRN	403	105	16	2	12	22	4	5	.261	.299	.400	.242	98	44
Was ranked by Baseball America as the #3 prospect in the Braves system. The guys at Baseball America must think that plate discipline involves knowing the difference between the shrimp fork and the salad fork. Still, at 22 he's shown power and the ability to hit for average. Impressed onlookers in the Arizona Fall League.

ED	GIOVANOLA	1969		2B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	DUR	307	65	3	0	5	41	10	6	.212	.305	.270	.205	63	24
1992	GRN	275	69	2	0	5	26	3	1	.251	.316	.313	.225	62	25
1993	GRN	384	92	12	3	4	69	5	4	.240	.355	.318	.242	93	43
1994	GRN	85	19	4	1	3	9	1	0	.224	.298	.400	.244	21	10
1994	RIC	345	92	9	1	5	26	6	3	.267	.318	.342	.236	81	35
1995	RIC	331	105	15	2	3	51	8	5	.317	.408	.402	.291	96	53

1996	PRJ	382	104	18	2	6	46	7	5	.272	.350	.377	.259	99	48

Has one major league hit, and more rings than Ernie Banks. Could replace Belliard on the Braves' bench next year, but I doubt he'll get enough playing time to reach some of Banks' other numbers.

ANTHONY	GRAFFAGNINO	1972		2B	

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1992	MCN	414	87	6	2	8	35	5	3	.210	.272	.292	.196	81	28
1993	DUR	462	106	14	2	9	35	17	7	.229	.284	.327	.218	101	40
1994	GRN	446	123	18	1	7	45	20	5	.276	.342	.368	.259	115	56
1995	RIC	182	35	3	0	4	13	2	2	.192	.246	.275	.174	32	9

1996	PRJ	422	97	17	1	11	37	16	7	.230	.292	.353	.230	97	42

A year ago, Graffagnino looked like one of the better second base prospects in the game, and a good bet to unseat Mark Lemke in Atlanta. Of course, a year ago O.J. was still in jail. Still young enough to come back strong if he regains his health.

KEVIN	GRIJAK	1971		1B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1992	MCN	162	38	6	0	4	10	2	0	.235	.279	.346	.221	36	14
1993	MCN	395	96	13	2	5	23	5	3	.243	.285	.324	.215	85	32
1994	DUR	68	24	5	0	5	9	1	1	.353	.429	.647	.351	24	16
1994	GRN	350	87	11	1	9	18	2	2	.249	.285	.363	.227	79	32
1995	GRN	73	29	2	0	2	6	0	1	.397	.443	.507	.330	24	14
1995	RIC	315	94	11	3	11	23	2	2	.298	.346	.457	.279	88	46

1996	PRJ	501	135	17	2	20	38	2	2	.269	.321	.431	.262	131	65

Was a monster at Greenville, and maintained some offensive value after his promotion to Richmond, but let's face it: this isn't the right organization to be a first base prospect in. If he were a Twin, he'd be a front-runner for the job.

MARQUIS	GRISSOM	1967		CF		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	MON	575	175	26	8	8	34	76	16	.304	.343	.419	.283	163	89
1992	MON	657	191	39	5	18	46	78	12	.291	.337	.447	.288	189	106
1993	MON	632	192	22	2	18	53	56	11	.304	.358	.430	.287	182	100
1994	MON	471	135	19	3	10	41	41	6	.287	.344	.403	.276	130	69
1995	ATL	548	142	18	3	10	46	30	9	.259	.316	.358	.246	135	62

1996	PRJ	606	175	29	4	16	47	44	7	.289	.340	.429	.280	170	91

Such a huge drop in performance from a guy who was formerly Mr. Consistency is a real cause for concern. The Braves may one day regret signing him to a long-term deal. Hit just .229 after All-Star Break.

The Braves still intend to use Grissom in the lead-off spot, but even if he returns to the .340-.350 OBP range he reached in his best years, the Braves should continue to score fewer runs than they're capable of, due to the lack of baserunners in front of their devastating power core.


DAMON	HOLLINS	1974		OF		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1994	DUR	487	114	14	1	12	32	9	5	.234	.281	.341	.219	107	42
1995	GRN	467	106	17	2	13	37	5	4	.227	.284	.355	.223	104	43
The Braves have a bunch of Grade B outfield prospects coming up, but none of them have any plate discipline. A year from now Andruw Jones should pass all of them. Hollins' best chane of making big bucks is to change his last name to Johnny and hope someone gets confused.

TYLER	HOUSTON	1971		1B		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	MCN	363	71	7	1	6	23	4	1	.196	.244	.270	.174	63	18
1992	DUR	407	77	9	1	4	13	3	3	.189	.214	.246	.142	58	13
1993	GRN	260	63	9	1	3	9	4	2	.242	.268	.319	.207	54	19
1993	RIC	36	5	2	1	0	1	0	0	.139	.162	.250	.102	4	1
1994	RIC	313	71	9	2	3	13	3	2	.227	.258	.297	.192	60	20
1995	RIC	354	90	8	2	10	16	4	4	.254	.286	.373	.230	81	34

1996	PRJ	361	92	11	1	11	23	3	3	.255	.299	.382	.239	86	38

A first-round pick in 1988. Even the Braves make mistakes. While his offense has improved substantially over the last two years, he's been moved from catcher to first base, where he has absolutely no value.

CHIPPER	JONES	1972		3B		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	MCN	490	137	13	4	11	44	17	7	.280	.339	.390	.260	128	62
1992	DUR	270	63	10	1	3	23	7	5	.233	.294	.311	.214	58	22
1992	GRN	269	91	13	6	9	10	11	1	.338	.362	.532	.311	84	48
1993	RIC	538	166	22	6	11	52	22	6	.309	.369	.433	.287	154	83
1995	ATL	521	139	20	3	20	71	8	4	.267	.355	.432	.275	143	76

1996	PRJ	633	187	34	5	29	61	13	5	.295	.357	.502	.296	187	107

These players today, they're too soft. Can't come back from an injury the way they used to. To look at his 1993 and 1995 seasons, you'd never think he missed a year to injury. His average dropped and he lost a little speed, but his power and walks were up significantly, a promising sign. The Braves should consider moving him back to shortstop if Blauser doesn't start hitting again. Jones compares favorably to Cal Ripken at this point in his career, and Ripken made the third base-to-shortstop transition quite well, I'd say.

DAVE	JUSTICE	1966		RF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	ATL	398	111	20	1	22	64	8	6	.279	.379	.500	.299	119	71
1992	ATL	494	139	19	4	26	83	2	4	.281	.385	.494	.300	148	88
1993	ATL	587	162	18	4	35	78	3	5	.276	.361	.499	.292	171	99
1994	ATL	351	112	14	2	17	69	3	4	.319	.431	.516	.324	114	73
1995	ATL	409	104	14	2	22	71	4	2	.254	.365	.460	.285	116	66

1996	PRJ	462	121	15	0	26	80	3	4	.262	.371	.463	.287	133	76

His homer off Jim Poole in Game Six made insurance providers in Georgia pretty happy. Had the worst year of his career, a year most OFs would kill for.

RYAN	KLESKO	1971		LF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	GRN	432	117	13	1	14	60	12	11	.271	.360	.403	.266	115	60
1992	RIC	422	103	15	2	14	36	3	4	.244	.303	.389	.240	101	46
1993	RIC	346	92	9	1	17	42	4	2	.266	.345	.445	.275	95	51
1994	ATL	244	70	11	3	16	26	1	0	.287	.356	.553	.305	75	45
1995	ATL	327	103	23	2	20	45	5	4	.315	.398	.581	.325	106	69

1996	PRJ	484	149	28	2	40	63	6	4	.308	.388	.622	.331	160	107

McGriff's long-term deal means Klesko has to start playing left better than Kevin Reimer did. If Cox lets him play every day - and he certainly deserves the chance - he could start hitting 35-40 homers regularly for the next ten years.

If he was an Indian, he'd be signed through the year 2000. With options for 2001 and 2002.


BRIAN	KOWITZ	1970		RF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	DUR	327	70	7	3	3	13	10	5	.214	.244	.281	.183	60	19
1991	GRN	114	24	2	0	3	8	1	3	.211	.262	.307	.191	22	7
1992	DUR	390	100	7	3	5	33	14	7	.256	.314	.328	.231	90	38
1992	GRN	57	14	4	0	0	5	1	2	.246	.306	.316	.214	12	5
1993	GRN	448	105	12	3	4	49	10	6	.234	.310	.301	.218	98	39
1993	RIC	45	11	1	2	0	5	1	0	.244	.320	.356	.244	11	5
1994	RIC	467	133	21	4	6	36	19	7	.285	.336	.385	.259	121	58
1995	RIC	361	99	12	3	2	38	11	6	.274	.343	.341	.247	89	41

1996	PRJ	422	119	18	3	5	30	9	5	.282	.330	.374	.252	106	49

The Braves may think everything is fine in centerfield with Grissom tied up for four years, but let's not forget that they were so desperate early in 1995 that they led this guy off for a few games. The scary thing is that Kowitz's OBP for the year was significantly higher than Grissom's.

MARK	LEMKE	1966		2B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	ATL	270	64	11	2	2	28	1	2	.237	.309	.315	.219	59	23
1992	ATL	433	108	6	4	8	53	0	3	.249	.331	.337	.236	102	44
1993	ATL	495	126	17	2	6	64	1	2	.255	.340	.333	.240	119	52
1994	ATL	349	105	7	1	3	38	0	3	.301	.370	.352	.258	90	42
1995	ATL	397	101	14	4	4	43	2	2	.254	.327	.340	.237	94	41

1996	PRJ	363	91	13	2	4	40	2	2	.251	.325	.331	.234	85	36

A sign of some hubris on the part of the Braves is the fact that they are completely satisfied with Lemke as their second baseman. Most teams would be looking for someone who could provide more offensive punch than the Lemmer can provide. The Braves have so much faith in their pitching that they can send Rafael Belliard out there to start against the Cleveland Indians, and expect to win. And do.

JAVIER	LOPEZ	1971		C			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	DUR	389	82	8	1	8	13	6	2	.211	.236	.298	.184	72	22
1992	GRN	447	138	18	1	15	22	6	2	.309	.341	.454	.279	125	64
1993	RIC	379	111	17	1	12	11	2	5	.293	.313	.438	.259	98	47
1994	ATL	276	70	8	1	11	17	0	2	.254	.297	.409	.244	67	30
1995	ATL	331	105	11	3	12	13	0	1	.317	.343	.477	.284	94	49

1996	PRJ	492	148	19	2	21	28	0	0	.301	.338	.476	.283	139	73

With such a predominantly left-handed lineup, the Braves see more than their share of southpaws. The right-handed Lopez figures to be one of the guys to take advantage of this, but for his career he's hit .254 vs LHP, but .304 vs RHP. The Braves need Lopez to hitter better against LHPs to make opposing managers pay when they bring in lefty relievers vs. McGriff, Justice, and Klesko.

MARTY	MALLOY	1973		2B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1993	MCN	383	90	11	1	2	24	11	4	.235	.280	.285	.202	77	27
1994	DUR	431	93	9	1	3	39	12	7	.216	.281	.262	.191	82	28
1995	GRN	461	114	14	2	7	33	9	7	.247	.298	.332	.222	102	41

PABLO	MARTINEZ	1969		SS		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	CSC	453	97	10	3	2	24	16	9	.214	.254	.263	.180	81	25
1992	HDS	422	73	5	2	1	29	9	5	.173	.226	.201	.127	54	10
1993	WIC	131	32	3	1	1	10	6	3	.244	.298	.305	.218	29	11
1993	LVG	243	43	1	0	2	14	5	1	.177	.222	.206	.129	31	6
1994	SLU	178	36	2	0	2	11	5	4	.202	.249	.247	.167	30	8
1994	BIN	49	8	2	1	0	4	0	1	.163	.226	.245	.141	7	2
1994	NOR	81	12	0	0	0	3	1	1	.148	.179	.148	****	-7	-1
1995	GRN	463	105	16	2	4	30	10	7	.227	.274	.296	.199	92	32
1995	RIC	49	11	2	1	0	1	1	1	.224	.240	.306	.186	9	3
Has played for eight different minor league teams in the past three years. There's a good reason for that.

FRED	MCGRIFF	1964		1B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	SDP	543	165	21	1	33	107	4	1	.304	.418	.529	.324	176	113
1992	SDP	538	163	28	3	41	100	8	5	.303	.412	.595	.333	179	122
1993	SDP	303	85	11	1	16	42	4	3	.281	.368	.482	.291	88	51
1993	ATL	256	81	15	1	18	34	1	0	.316	.397	.594	.331	85	55
1994	ATL	423	138	23	1	31	50	8	3	.326	.397	.605	.333	141	92
1995	ATL	525	148	21	1	25	63	3	6	.282	.359	.469	.283	149	82

1996	PRJ	522	143	25	1	28	70	2	3	.274	.360	.487	.290	151	86

A disappointing season for one of the most consistent players of our generation. He's 32, so this may represent the beginning of a decline phase for the Crime Dog. Of course, the Braves bet $20 million that it isn't, and I tend to agree. Will probably hit 450-500 HR; has 60% of a Hall of Fame career already, and should have no problem with the other 40%.

BOBBY	MOORE	1966		OF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	OMA	498	114	8	2	1	27	33	11	.229	.269	.259	.195	97	33
1992	RIC	318	75	8	2	1	18	13	5	.236	.277	.283	.202	64	23
1994	MEM	98	21	3	1	1	7	1	1	.214	.267	.296	.194	19	6
1994	RIC	216	74	5	2	3	15	9	5	.343	.385	.426	.289	62	33
1995	RIC	335	85	12	2	3	25	9	5	.254	.306	.328	.227	76	31
Atlanta traded Rico Rossy to Kansas City for Moore four years ago, which tells you that some GMs have entirely too much time on their hands.

MIKE	MORDECAI	1968		2B		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	DUR	403	88	11	1	3	25	16	9	.218	.264	.273	.189	76	25
1992	GRN	227	56	10	1	3	25	8	3	.247	.321	.339	.238	54	24
1992	RIC	118	27	1	0	1	5	0	3	.229	.260	.263	.169	20	6
1993	RIC	205	51	6	1	1	13	9	2	.249	.294	.302	.219	45	18
1994	RIC	383	102	15	1	11	30	13	6	.266	.320	.397	.254	97	47
1995	ATL	75	21	5	0	3	8	0	0	.280	.349	.467	.282	21	11

1996	PRJ	191	50	7	1	3	16	15	5	.262	.319	.356	.249	47	22

Someone who was in the right place at the right time, and made the most of his opportunity. The line between Mike Mordecai, career minor leaguer and Mike Mordecai, career major-league backup infielder is very, very thin. He looks like he crossed it this year.

JOSE	MUNOZ	1968		2B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	SAN	123	35	5	1	0	8	3	1	.285	.328	.341	.243	30	13
1991	ABQ	372	97	10	2	1	13	11	6	.261	.286	.306	.212	79	29
1992	ABQ	437	115	14	2	3	16	5	3	.263	.289	.325	.218	95	36
1993	ABQ	416	90	11	2	1	22	4	2	.216	.256	.260	.175	73	21
1994	PAW	516	119	10	1	4	43	11	9	.231	.290	.277	.199	103	36
1995	RIC	531	151	14	3	3	49	8	7	.284	.345	.339	.245	130	58
The Mark Lemke of Triple A. One is enough, thank you.

RAMON	NUNEZ	1973		1B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1993	MCN	383	89	9	2	5	24	3	3	.232	.278	.305	.203	78	28
1994	DUR	454	106	12	1	8	27	4	5	.233	.277	.317	.206	94	34
1995	DUR	55	20	2	0	4	7	0	0	.364	.435	.618	.353	19	13
1995	GRN	240	59	9	1	7	12	1	1	.246	.282	.379	.230	55	23
His performance in Durham is testimoy to the concept of small sample size.

KEVIN	O'CONNOR	1969				

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	MCN	325	67	7	1	1	31	13	5	.206	.275	.243	.185	60	19
1991	DUR	81	14	0	0	2	5	1	2	.173	.221	.247	.142	12	3
1992	DUR	447	104	8	1	4	36	19	10	.233	.290	.282	.206	92	34
1993	GRN	357	57	9	1	5	52	13	6	.160	.267	.232	.172	62	19
1994	GRN	475	116	11	1	3	29	16	7	.244	.288	.291	.208	99	36
1995	RIC	208	46	1	2	4	24	13	3	.221	.302	.303	.224	47	20

JOSE	OLMEDA	1968		OF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	MCN	316	75	9	3	3	23	15	4	.237	.289	.313	.220	70	28
1991	GRN	177	34	6	1	3	11	7	2	.192	.239	.288	.186	33	11
1992	DUR	92	20	3	1	1	10	4	2	.217	.294	.304	.215	20	8
1992	GRN	347	80	16	2	3	34	10	4	.231	.299	.314	.220	76	31
1993	GRN	447	109	20	2	6	23	11	5	.244	.281	.338	.220	98	39
1994	RIC	389	84	14	4	3	25	15	3	.216	.263	.296	.201	78	28
1995	GRN	108	25	2	1	3	6	1	0	.231	.272	.352	.220	24	9
1995	RIC	245	62	9	2	1	14	2	1	.253	.293	.318	.217	53	20
If this is the guy they named the Coliseum in Oakland for, he's worth taking a look at. Otherwise, forget him.

ALDO	PECORILLI	1971		1B		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1993	SAV	530	135	12	2	11	55	9	6	.255	.325	.347	.239	127	56
1994	STP	515	134	13	1	18	46	10	6	.260	.321	.394	.251	129	61
1995	GRN	263	91	11	2	5	19	3	5	.346	.390	.460	.295	78	42
1995	RIC	130	34	3	0	5	18	0	0	.262	.351	.400	.265	34	17

1996	PRJ	454	127	20	0	15	45	2	3	.280	.345	.423	.269	122	62

There must have been something funny in the water in Greenville, because both Grijak and Pecorilli played way over their heads their last year. He's not a bad hitter, but he needs to find his way around the Klesko-McGriff Detour on his way to Atlanta. He's right-handed, so he may be able to find a spot as a bench warmer..uh..player.

EDDIE	PEREZ	1968		C			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1988	BUR	188	34	3	0	3	7	0	0	.181	.210	.245	.137	26	5
1989	SUM	414	77	8	1	4	24	0	3	.186	.231	.239	.144	60	13
1990	SUM	127	19	2	1	2	9	0	0	.150	.206	.228	.121	15	3
1990	DUR	93	19	0	0	2	0	0	0	.204	.204	.269	.149	14	3
1991	DUR	280	64	5	1	6	9	0	1	.229	.253	.318	.196	55	18
1992	GRN	279	61	8	0	6	21	3	2	.219	.273	.312	.204	57	21
1993	GRN	83	25	2	0	5	1	1	0	.301	.310	.506	.282	23	12
1994	RIC	389	96	10	1	7	14	1	1	.247	.273	.332	.211	82	30
1995	RIC	328	87	10	1	5	11	1	2	.265	.289	.348	.223	73	29
Decent backup catchers can last forever, or almost as long as left-handed relievers. Unfortunately, this has no bearing on Perez' situation.

LUIS	POLONIA	1965		LF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	CAL	613	197	24	8	3	51	66	26	.321	.373	.401	.282	173	93
1992	CAL	577	170	16	5	2	43	55	19	.295	.344	.350	.258	149	72
1993	CAL	571	153	11	6	1	44	65	21	.268	.320	.313	.241	138	63
1994	NYY	348	112	13	5	1	33	26	14	.322	.381	.397	.279	97	51
1995	ATL	53	14	6	0	0	3	3	0	.264	.304	.377	.252	13	6
1995	NYY	236	63	6	2	2	22	13	5	.267	.329	.335	.243	57	26

1996	PRJ	266	72	15	3	0	20	22	14	.271	.322	.350	.241	64	30

As they did with Mike Devereaux, the Braves turned a mediocre starting player into a valuable bench player. Polonia has no power and doesn't walk much, but he can hit for a decent average and has speed, giving him a role as a left-handed pinch-hitter/pinch-runner. Of course, Klesko's presence in left field meant that he could also be used as a defensive replacement, a term rarely used around Polonia in the past.

DARREN	REED	1966		OF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1992	WPB	41	10	1	0	2	1	0	0	.244	.262	.415	.234	10	4
1992	MIN	33	6	3	0	0	2	0	0	.182	.229	.273	.163	5	1
1992	MON	81	15	3	0	5	7	0	0	.185	.250	.407	.223	18	8
1994	BUF	39	10	1	0	2	1	0	0	.256	.275	.436	.246	10	4
1995	RIC	138	37	5	0	4	11	0	0	.268	.322	.391	.251	35	16

HECTOR	ROA	1969		3B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	MCN	124	32	3	0	2	5	1	1	.258	.287	.331	.217	27	10
1991	MIA	287	55	4	3	2	10	9	5	.192	.219	.247	.153	44	11
1992	DUR	380	92	16	3	5	11	9	3	.242	.263	.339	.214	81	31
1993	GRN	444	94	16	2	5	19	5	4	.212	.244	.291	.182	81	25
1994	DUR	125	28	3	0	2	4	2	2	.224	.248	.296	.186	23	7
1994	GRN	146	35	3	1	4	3	2	2	.240	.255	.356	.212	31	12
1995	RIC	121	31	2	0	2	3	0	1	.256	.274	.322	.207	25	9

GARY	SCOTT	1969		3B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	IOW	233	46	8	1	3	15	1	4	.197	.246	.279	.172	40	12
1991	CHC	80	14	3	0	1	13	0	1	.175	.290	.250	.182	15	5
1992	IOW	354	90	15	1	9	32	3	1	.254	.316	.379	.245	87	40
1992	CHC	97	17	3	0	2	5	0	1	.175	.216	.268	.150	15	4
1993	IND	282	55	8	1	2	19	2	1	.195	.246	.252	.165	46	13
1993	POR	185	47	5	2	1	21	2	1	.254	.330	.319	.233	43	18
1994	PHX	412	100	14	1	6	29	4	5	.243	.293	.325	.216	89	34
1995	PHX	213	50	10	1	4	23	2	2	.235	.309	.347	.230	49	21
1995	RIC	88	13	1	0	0	9	0	1	.148	.227	.159	.066	6	0
It must be depressing to reach the peak of your career at the age of 21.

DWIGHT	SMITH	1964		OF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	CHC	168	40	7	2	3	12	2	3	.238	.289	.357	.223	38	15
1992	CHC	220	65	11	3	4	15	10	7	.295	.340	.427	.267	59	30
1993	CHC	309	93	15	4	10	25	9	6	.301	.353	.472	.285	88	48
1994	BAL	73	22	2	1	2	4	0	1	.301	.338	.438	.267	20	10
1994	CAL	121	32	4	1	4	5	2	3	.264	.294	.413	.242	29	13
1995	ATL	130	33	8	2	2	13	0	3	.254	.322	.392	.243	32	15
If he called Coors Field home, he could challenge VanderWal's new record for pinch-hits in a season. The kind of player managers love to see on their bench in the 8th inning, waiting to use them in a crucial at-bat against the other team's closer. It's a tough job, and doesn't earn nearly enough respect.

ROBERT	SMITH	1974		3B			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1993	MCN	389	77	8	3	3	13	6	4	.198	.224	.257	.157	61	15
1994	DUR	479	108	14	1	6	30	12	5	.225	.271	.296	.201	96	34
1995	GRN	445	107	16	2	11	33	10	4	.240	.293	.360	.231	103	44
Chipper's not exactly quaking in his boots. A decent prospect, but still a couple of years away. The Braves love his defense, which is good, because he may need to move to shortstop to break into this lineup.

PEDRO	SWANN	1971		OF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1993	DUR	183	51	4	1	3	14	5	6	.279	.330	.361	.241	44	20
1993	GRN	155	41	6	1	2	7	2	1	.265	.296	.355	.231	36	15
1994	GRN	434	112	14	1	9	41	12	5	.258	.322	.357	.243	106	48
1995	GRN	340	100	15	2	8	38	12	7	.294	.365	.421	.277	94	50
1995	RIC	38	8	0	0	0	1	0	2	.211	.231	.211	.111	4	1
Hmmm. A .280 hitter with some power, a little speed, walks a fair amount. Not the most unique set of talents. With Atlanta's crowded outfield situation, he's unlikely to get a shot.

JEROME	WALTON	1966		OF		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	CHC	272	63	13	1	5	19	7	3	.232	.282	.342	.221	60	24
1992	IOW	27	8	1	1	0	4	1	1	.296	.387	.407	.277	7	4
1992	CHC	56	8	0	2	0	9	1	2	.143	.262	.214	.148	8	2
1993	VAN	173	48	8	1	1	13	4	3	.277	.328	.353	.242	42	19
1994	CIN	68	21	3	0	1	4	1	3	.309	.347	.397	.253	17	8
1995	CIN	162	49	12	1	7	17	11	8	.302	.369	.519	.296	48	29

1996	PRJ	198	54	7	2	5	20	13	8	.273	.339	.404	.262	52	27

Re-united with Dwight Smith after all these years. After years of trying, and failing, to live up to the expectations after his rookie season, Walton rediscovered himself as a fourth outfielder. The Braves signed him to be just that, and he should continue to find success in that role.

MIKE	WARNER	1971		OF			

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1992	MCN	188	46	5	1	1	25	10	2	.245	.333	.298	.236	44	19
1993	DUR	268	70	9	2	3	39	19	7	.261	.355	.343	.257	69	34
1994	DUR	323	90	13	4	7	38	17	7	.279	.355	.409	.272	88	46
1994	GRN	56	17	4	0	1	8	2	0	.304	.391	.429	.296	17	9
1995	GRN	176	37	6	0	1	40	9	3	.210	.356	.261	.232	41	18
1995	RIC	99	20	2	1	2	9	1	2	.202	.269	.303	.193	19	7

1996	PRJ	364	102	18	3	4	41	15	9	.280	.353	.379	.262	95	47

A year ago, he looked like the next Brett Butler. Now he's just trying to hit better than Rhett Butler. He needs to get his career back on track, or he may be gone with the...you know.

JUAN	WILLIAMS	1973		1B		

YEAR	TEAM	AB	H	DB	TP	HR	BB	SB	CS	BA	OBA	SA	EQA	EQH	EQR
1991	MCN	359	66	8	1	1	23	5	5	.184	.233	.220	.139	50	11
1992	MCN	240	49	7	1	2	16	8	3	.204	.254	.267	.182	44	14
1993	DUR	406	75	8	1	6	28	8	6	.185	.237	.254	.162	66	18
1994	DUR	399	74	8	1	9	41	6	6	.185	.261	.278	.183	73	24
1995	GRN	192	57	8	2	11	15	4	2	.297	.348	.531	.298	57	33
1995	RIC	132	35	4	0	4	16	1	2	.265	.345	.386	.255	34	16

1996	PRJ	549	149	19	2	17	72	4	4	.271	.356	.406	.268	147	75

Whatever Pecorilli and Grijak were sipping at, he was drinking straight. I'm skeptical, but deserves to be watched carefully next year.



STEVE	AVERY	1970					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	ATL	209.0	213	94	27	69	150	4.05	11	12	9.17	2.97	6.46
1992	ATL	233.3	240	103	21	78	147	3.97	13	13	9.26	3.01	5.67
1993	ATL	219.7	240	87	17	51	136	3.56	13	11	9.83	2.09	5.57
1994	ATL	151.0	131	66	16	57	126	3.93	9	8	7.81	3.40	7.51
1995	ATL	172.0	173	85	23	54	140	4.45	8	11	9.05	2.83	7.33
Two years ago, he was coming into his own as the best left-handed starter in the game. Today he's a bit of an enigma, and some might argue his days as an effective starter are over. Of course, he doesn't turn 26 until after Opening Day, he was terrific in the postseason, and his peripheral numbers are still excellent. A Cy Young Award is probably not in his future, but 15 wins and a 3.30 ERA may be for 1996.

STEVE	BEDROSIAN	1958				

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	MIN	76.0	79	42	12	35	51	4.97	3	5	9.36	4.14	6.04
1993	ATL	49.0	38	12	5	16	36	2.20	4	1	6.98	2.94	6.61
1994	ATL	45.7	42	18	4	19	45	3.55	3	2	8.28	3.74	8.87
1995	ATL	28.0	42	20	5	12	22	6.43	1	2	13.50	3.86	7.07
Retired, for the second time. His first time around, he was just 33, still an effective pitcher, but was dealing with personal tragedy with the leukemia affecting his son Cody [is that right?]. He came back, gave the Braves' bullpen a boost with two excellent seasons in middle relief, then retired gracefully after it became apparent that he had lost it. If only all players retired with such class.

DIRK	BLAIR	1969					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1992	MCN	60.0	85	34	6	11	39	5.10	3	4	12.75	1.65	5.85
1993	DUR	73.3	98	42	11	22	48	5.15	3	5	12.03	2.70	5.89
1994	GRN	79.7	110	45	9	24	51	5.08	3	6	12.43	2.71	5.76
1995	GRN	57.7	79	31	8	11	32	4.84	2	4	12.33	1.72	4.99
There has never been a ballplayer named Dirk in the major leagues. That appears unlikely to change.

PEDRO	BORBON	1968					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	DUR	81.7	109	53	5	36	57	5.84	3	6	12.01	3.97	6.28
1991	GRN	27.3	26	14	3	11	18	4.61	1	2	8.56	3.62	5.93
1992	GRN	87.7	100	55	11	51	69	5.65	3	7	10.27	5.24	7.08
1993	RIC	72.7	73	37	8	46	83	4.58	3	5	9.04	5.70	10.28
1994	RIC	76.3	73	30	4	44	75	3.54	4	4	8.61	5.19	8.84
1995	ATL	31.7	31	11	2	17	33	3.13	2	2	8.81	4.83	9.38
Borbon was virtually unhittable to start the season, boosting him into the role of top lefty out of the pen. With five dominant starters, Wohlers, and McMichael on the staff, Borbon soon became the *only* lefty needed in the pen, spelling Mike Stanton's demise by mid-season.

JOE	BOROWSKI	1971					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	KNE	71.3	78	37	8	49	50	4.67	3	5	9.84	6.18	6.31
1992	FRD	71.3	86	48	6	61	62	6.06	2	6	10.85	7.70	7.82
1993	FRD	54.3	77	39	6	47	49	6.46	2	4	12.75	7.79	8.12
1993	BOW	16.3	14	5	0	12	14	2.76	1	1	7.71	6.61	7.71
1994	BOW	60.7	62	22	3	31	59	3.26	4	3	9.20	4.60	8.75
1995	BOW	20.0	18	10	4	7	27	4.50	1	1	8.10	3.15	12.15
1995	ROC	32.7	33	16	4	20	29	4.41	2	2	9.09	5.51	7.99
Acquired in the Kent Mercker trade. Borowski has played second fiddle to Armando Benitez among the Orioles' minor league relievers, but he's a fine pitcher in his own right. His control has improved tremendously the last two seasons, but the Braves aren't exactly in desperate need of pitching at the moment, so he'll probably head back to AAA for more seasoning.

BRAD	CLONTZ	1971					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1992	MCN	21.0	22	18	7	12	12	7.71	0	2	9.43	5.14	5.14
1993	DUR	67.7	86	42	8	33	55	5.59	3	5	11.44	4.39	7.32
1994	GRN	42.7	37	17	8	13	42	3.59	3	2	7.80	2.74	8.86
1994	RIC	24.3	22	7	1	9	19	2.59	2	1	8.14	3.33	7.03
1995	ATL	68.3	75	27	5	23	55	3.56	4	4	9.88	3.03	7.24
Clontz began the season as the closer; not surprisingly, he lost that job early on. Still, he finished with a promising season for a rookie. A sidearmer, he gave up a .344 average to LHBs, but held RHBs to a .228 average. His ability to get right- handers out should keep him in good standing in the Braves' pen.

MIKE	D'ANDREA	1970				

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1993	MCN	120.3	170	94	27	64	102	7.03	3	10	12.71	4.79	7.63
1994	DUR	144.0	208	98	24	54	100	6.12	5	11	13.00	3.38	6.25
1995	GRN	92.0	120	66	8	60	51	6.46	3	7	11.74	5.87	4.99
Well, at least he doesn't lose sleep thinking that, if he were in another organization, he could make it to the majors.

ROGER	ETHERIDGE	1972				

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1993	CWV	38.7	48	45	10	42	18	10.47	1	3	11.17	9.78	4.19
1994	CWV	51.0	79	42	10	34	28	7.41	1	5	13.94	6.00	4.94
1994	MCN	29.0	50	22	4	10	13	6.83	1	2	15.52	3.10	4.03
1994	DUR	60.0	54	18	2	17	27	2.70	5	2	8.10	2.55	4.05
1995	GRN	93.7	133	73	15	58	39	7.01	2	8	12.78	5.57	3.75
Melissa has a better chance of taking the field in Atlanta any time soon.

CHAD	FOX	1971					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1993	CWV	117.3	164	120	20	117	52	9.20	2	11	12.58	8.97	3.99
1994	WNS	144.3	139	85	24	109	101	5.30	6	10	8.67	6.80	6.30
1995	CHT	73.7	81	47	3	57	46	5.74	3	5	9.90	6.96	5.62

TOM	GLAVINE	1966					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	ATL	244.7	227	88	23	72	210	3.24	16	11	8.35	2.65	7.72
1992	ATL	224.7	219	88	10	77	146	3.53	14	11	8.77	3.08	5.85
1993	ATL	235.0	266	99	16	101	131	3.79	14	12	10.19	3.87	5.02
1994	ATL	164.3	179	70	10	73	145	3.83	9	9	9.80	4.00	7.94
1995	ATL	197.3	191	70	9	68	126	3.19	13	9	8.71	3.10	5.75
One of the most cerebral players in the game. He lacks a single dominant pitch, doesn't have great control, gives up a hit an inning, doesn't hold runners on particularly well, and has always had trouble getting out left-handed hitters, a very unusual trait for a southpaw. With all that, he's been one of baseball's best starters throughout the decade.

Glavine's the kind of player who could pitch into his 40's relying on nothing more than savvy and guile. Some might argue he already is.


TOM	HARRISON	1972					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1995	DUR	35.3	26	7	1	15	20	1.78	3	1	6.62	3.82	5.09
1995	GRN	83.0	97	52	14	30	48	5.64	3	6	10.52	3.25	5.20
1995	RIC	39.3	38	18	3	23	15	4.12	2	2	8.69	5.26	3.43
You have to be impressed with any player who pitches at three different levels (A, AA, AAA) in one season, especially one who made his professional debut in 1995. It's unlikely he'll get a chance to pitch much for the Braves next year, but he certainly deserves to be watched - especially if Jason Schmidt falters in the rotation early on.

MIKE	HOSTETLER	1970				

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1992	DUR	79.7	98	35	4	22	64	3.95	5	4	11.07	2.49	7.23
1992	GRN	74.7	105	55	18	29	50	6.63	2	6	12.66	3.50	6.03
1993	GRN	126.0	140	54	14	39	86	3.86	7	7	10.00	2.79	6.14
1993	RIC	45.3	52	27	6	20	32	5.36	2	3	10.32	3.97	6.35
1994	RIC	22.0	29	15	4	10	12	6.14	1	1	11.86	4.09	4.91
1995	GRN	152.3	203	104	34	50	78	6.14	5	12	11.99	2.95	4.61
Missed most of 1994 with arm trouble, and spent 1995 trying to regain his old form. Highly regarded within the organization, but he still has a long way to go before he becomes more prospect than project.

JERRY	KOLLER	1972					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1992	MCN	121.0	133	59	20	33	75	4.39	6	7	9.89	2.45	5.58
1993	DUR	141.7	204	113	33	61	71	7.18	4	12	12.96	3.88	4.51
1994	GRN	111.3	128	71	15	51	49	5.74	4	8	10.35	4.12	3.96
1995	GRN	138.0	183	89	23	41	70	5.80	5	10	11.93	2.67	4.57
Not many players draw the koller against Jerry.

GREG	MADDUX	1966					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	CHC	261.3	245	107	24	69	213	3.68	16	13	8.44	2.38	7.34
1992	CHC	266.7	227	76	11	77	226	2.57	21	9	7.66	2.60	7.63
1993	ATL	263.0	254	92	17	60	213	3.15	18	11	8.69	2.05	7.29
1994	ATL	201.0	155	41	4	33	161	1.84	18	4	6.94	1.48	7.21
1995	ATL	208.0	155	37	8	23	179	1.60	20	3	6.71	1.00	7.75
Maddux's 1994 or 1995 seasons are not, individually, unique; Gooden in 1985, Guidry in 1978, and Gibson in 1968 all had comparable seasons. But taken together, the past two seasons for Maddux represent a level of dominance that baseball hasn't seen in over half a century. Koufax's best two-year stretch, when adjusted for the hitters' hell of Dodger Stadium in the mid-60's, doesn't compare to Maddux. The last pitcher to come close was probably Lefty Grove in 1930-31, and Maddux probably overmatches him too.

Calling Maddux the best pitcher in the game today is insulting to him; calling him the best of our generation is hardly news. It's time we start lumping him with the all-time greats - Young, Mathewson, Johnson, Grove, Seaver - and by the end of his career, Maddux could be looking down on all of them.


DARRELL	MAY	1972					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1993	MCN	94.3	113	46	14	22	73	4.39	5	5	10.78	2.10	6.96
1993	DUR	46.7	56	24	6	20	33	4.63	2	3	10.80	3.86	6.36
1994	DUR	68.0	95	35	5	18	55	4.63	3	5	12.57	2.38	7.28
1994	GRN	58.7	73	30	7	21	36	4.60	3	4	11.20	3.22	5.52
1995	GRN	87.0	90	46	23	22	66	4.76	4	6	9.31	2.28	6.83
1995	RIC	47.3	60	22	2	19	39	4.18	2	3	11.41	3.61	7.42
One of the biggest sleepers in the organization. He's probably the Braves' best left-handed prospect - he's a lot more polished than Terrell Wade - and if he can claim the fifth starter spot this year, he could surprise a lot of people.

GREG	MCMICHAEL	1967				

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	DUR	70.0	109	45	6	29	59	5.79	3	5	14.01	3.73	7.59
1992	GRN	43.0	51	22	5	16	46	4.60	2	3	10.67	3.35	9.63
1992	RIC	86.0	95	51	7	37	78	5.34	4	6	9.94	3.87	8.16
1993	ATL	90.0	77	24	3	32	96	2.40	7	3	7.70	3.20	9.60
1994	ATL	58.3	68	27	1	20	49	4.17	3	3	10.49	3.09	7.56
1995	ATL	79.7	67	25	8	33	73	2.82	6	3	7.57	3.73	8.25
One of the most underrated relievers in the game. His best pitch is his changeup, and pitchers who rely on changing speeds rarely get the respect they deserve. As dominant as Mark Wohlers has become, the performance McMichael gives the Braves in a set-up role is almost as important.

ROD	NICHOLS	1965					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	CLE	135.7	139	47	6	27	85	3.12	9	6	9.22	1.79	5.64
1992	CSP	50.7	63	33	10	14	35	5.86	2	4	11.19	2.49	6.22
1992	CLE	103.7	117	50	14	29	66	4.34	6	6	10.16	2.52	5.73
1993	ABQ	118.7	127	59	19	52	69	4.47	6	7	9.63	3.94	5.23
1994	OMA	135.7	169	90	24	53	90	5.97	5	10	11.21	3.52	5.97
1995	RIC	54.0	61	20	5	8	53	3.33	4	2	10.17	1.33	8.83
Excellent control, but not much else. Has bounced around the major leagues, finding occasional success, but you wouldn't want to bet on him finding it again.

DALE	POLLEY	1966					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	RIC	61.3	76	27	2	28	36	3.96	4	3	11.15	4.11	5.28
1992	RIC	52.7	60	21	1	26	38	3.59	3	3	10.25	4.44	6.49
1993	GRN	56.0	48	31	13	23	54	4.98	2	4	7.71	3.70	8.68
1993	RIC	17.0	22	9	1	12	12	4.76	1	1	11.65	6.35	6.35
1995	RIC	59.7	58	17	2	23	56	2.56	5	2	8.75	3.47	8.45
Has been in the Braves' organization since 1987, used as a starter for a couple of years before being moved to the bullpen. He was on the verge of making it to the majors before injuries cost him all of 1994. Came back better than ever last year, and could help the Braves as the second left-hander in the pen. He's 30 years old, which might spell his doom, but it's not unheard of for a reliever to make his debut at that age. Tim Fortugno and Billy Taylor are recent examples.

MIKE	POTTS	1971					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	MCN	85.0	92	73	14	60	48	7.73	2	7	9.74	6.35	5.08
1992	DUR	117.3	120	90	11	87	90	6.90	3	10	9.20	6.67	6.90
1993	GRN	130.0	144	83	11	97	94	5.75	5	9	9.97	6.72	6.51
1994	RIC	81.3	82	41	4	46	60	4.54	4	5	9.07	5.09	6.64
1995	RIC	68.3	89	37	4	42	49	4.87	3	5	11.72	5.53	6.45
He's left-handed and has good stuff, so you never know. He's certainly way too wild at this point to be successful in the major leagues.

JASON	SCHMIDT	1973				

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1992	MCN	20.3	37	21	3	23	21	9.30	0	2	16.38	10.18	9.30
1993	DUR	103.3	157	85	20	60	77	7.40	2	9	13.67	5.23	6.71
1994	GRN	129.3	160	76	15	66	114	5.29	5	9	11.13	4.59	7.93
1995	RIC	109.0	109	44	3	55	89	3.63	7	5	9.00	4.54	7.35
1995	ATL	24.7	29	16	3	18	19	5.84	1	2	10.58	6.57	6.93
The job of fifth starter is his to lose. His numbers have consistently improved as he has ascended the minor league ladder, and he's only 23. His control is the only thing standing between him and a successful major league career.

JOHN	SMOLTZ	1967					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	ATL	228.0	233	107	22	81	162	4.22	12	13	9.20	3.20	6.39
1992	ATL	246.0	229	97	25	87	244	3.55	15	12	8.38	3.18	8.93
1993	ATL	240.3	233	112	28	110	226	4.19	13	14	8.73	4.12	8.46
1994	ATL	134.0	124	64	15	50	117	4.30	7	8	8.33	3.36	7.86
1995	ATL	191.3	174	70	15	74	192	3.29	13	8	8.18	3.48	9.03
Has long been considered a disappointment in Atlanta, in large part because his won-loss records have always been something like 14-12 despite good ERAs. In fairness to Smoltz, the Braves' offense has scored fewer runs for him than they have for either Avery or Glavine.

He seems to have cleared a hurdle last year; he posted one of the lowest ERAs of his career, and his 12-7 record silenced critics who claimed he was just a .500 pitcher. He doesn't turn 29 until May, and his best years may still be ahead of him.


TOM	THOBE	1970					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1993	MCN	61.0	98	36	1	17	36	5.31	3	4	14.46	2.51	5.31
1994	GRN	58.7	67	26	4	32	45	3.99	4	3	10.28	4.91	6.90
1995	RIC	83.7	73	30	3	30	53	3.23	5	4	7.85	3.23	5.70
He's left-handed, so he'll probably duke it out with Polley for a spot in the Braves' pen. Thobe probably has the upper hand, simply because he's four years younger.

TERRELL	WADE	1973					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1993	MCN	73.0	83	31	3	42	79	3.82	4	4	10.23	5.18	9.74
1993	DUR	29.3	33	17	5	22	33	5.22	1	2	10.12	6.75	10.12
1993	GRN	38.7	36	21	7	32	33	4.89	2	2	8.38	7.45	7.68
1994	GRN	97.7	102	58	12	69	91	5.34	4	7	9.40	6.36	8.39
1994	RIC	22.7	25	10	1	16	24	3.97	2	1	9.93	6.35	9.53
1995	RIC	133.3	152	79	14	72	116	5.33	5	10	10.26	4.86	7.83
Wade exploded onto the scene by dominating the low minors in 1993. He has spent the last two years working on his control, with less success than the Braves would like to see. He's still quite young, and if the Braves are patient with him, he could still pay large dividends. A move to the bullpen may be in his future.

MARK	WOHLERS	1970					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1991	GRN	30.0	11	4	2	14	35	1.20	3	0	3.30	4.20	10.50
1991	RIC	24.3	26	9	1	11	21	3.33	2	1	9.62	4.07	7.77
1991	ATL	19.7	20	9	1	14	14	4.12	1	1	9.15	6.41	6.41
1992	RIC	32.3	34	16	5	19	30	4.45	2	2	9.46	5.29	8.35
1992	ATL	35.3	31	12	1	15	19	3.06	3	1	7.90	3.82	4.84
1993	RIC	28.0	22	7	0	12	34	2.25	2	1	7.07	3.86	10.93
1993	ATL	47.7	41	26	4	24	49	4.91	2	3	7.74	4.53	9.25
1994	ATL	50.7	53	32	2	34	60	5.68	2	4	9.41	6.04	10.66
1995	ATL	63.7	54	15	2	25	89	2.12	5	2	7.63	3.53	12.58
In the Guinness Book of World Records, the fastest pitch ever recorded is purported to be one thrown by Nolan Ryan in the 1970s, timed at 100.9 mph. That's a joke; Wohlers can *average* 101 on the radar gun for an inning. He struck out over one- third of the batters he faced last year, a feat accomplished by only three other pitchers in the history of the game (min: 30 IP): Tom Henke in 1987, Rob Dibble 4 times from 1989 to 1992, and Randy Johnson last year.

BRAD	WOODALL	1969					

YEAR	TEAM	IP	H	ER	R	BB	SO	ERA	W	L	H/9	BB/9	K/9
1992	DUR	39.3	38	16	6	13	37	3.66	2	2	8.69	2.97	8.47
1992	GRN	37.3	35	23	3	20	39	5.54	1	3	8.44	4.82	9.40
1993	DUR	28.0	26	14	4	7	19	4.50	1	2	8.36	2.25	6.11
1993	GRN	50.0	47	26	2	27	31	4.68	3	3	8.46	4.86	5.58
1993	RIC	55.0	61	29	7	18	40	4.75	2	4	9.98	2.95	6.55
1994	RIC	177.3	177	64	16	51	126	3.25	12	8	8.98	2.59	6.39
1995	RIC	62.0	77	40	7	19	41	5.81	2	5	11.18	2.76	5.95
1995	ATL	10.0	14	9	1	8	5	8.10	0	1	12.60	7.20	4.50
Had a breakthrough season in 1994, but regressed massively last year, with injuries playing a major role. Being a pitching prospect in the Braves system is like Newt Gingrich fawning over the Presidency: the only way you're getting the job is if the people ahead of you drop dead. Woodall needs a change of scenery if he doesn't want to spend the next few years riding buses and hoarding his meal money away.


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