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April 13, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: Snowbound Schedule

by Nate Silver

Nate tries to quantify the trade-off in scheduling cold weather games.

April 12, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Pitching Prospects and Left-Handed Pitchers

by Nate Silver

Nate talks about a Lost Generation of pitching prospects, and casts a critical eye on the way PECOTA values young hurlers.

March 29, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Projected Standings, AL and NL West

by Nate Silver

Nate concludes the PECOTA series, and offers his postseason picks.

March 27, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Projected Standings, AL and NL Central

by Nate Silver

Nate debates PECOTA on its White Sox negativity, and predicts champions in Cleveland and Chicago.

March 23, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Corner Outfield Prospects

by Nate Silver

Last time out, Nate zeroed in on center fielders. Today, he moves to the corners.

March 20, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Projected Standings, AL and NL East

by Nate Silver

In an homage to Kasparov versus Deep Blue, Nate puts his PECOTA system to the test as it tries to predict the results of the 2007 season.

March 15, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Center Field Prospects

by Nate Silver

It may seem that PECOTA has gone soft when it comes to the plethora of excellent center field prospects, but there's good reason to be excited.

March 1, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Shortstop Prospects

by Nate Silver

Nate reviews a deep and diverse batch of shortstop prospects, but you might be surprised about how PECOTA sorts them out.

February 23, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: Charting the Spectrum

by Nate Silver

Instead of talking about shortstop prospects, Nate conjures up a new way of looking at the defensive spectrum.

February 20, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Third Base Prospects

by Nate Silver

The best prospect in baseball leads a historically deep class.

February 13, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Second Base Prospects

by Nate Silver

Nate examines the curious discrepancy between conventional prospect rankings and PECOTA with regards to second basemen, and defends one of his projection system's favorite young players.

February 6, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on First Base Prospects

by Nate Silver

Nate recovers well enough from Chicago's Super Bowl loss to share PECOTA's take on first base prospects.

February 2, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Catching Prospects

by Nate Silver

With the methodology out of the way, Nate starts behind the plate.

February 1, 2007

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Prospects, Introduction

by Nate Silver

Nate introduces this year's PECOTA-based look at ranking prospects. Today, he lays out the methodology, which includes a few key changes to how he approached this project last year.

October 11, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Projection Reflection

by Nate Silver

Nate examines how PECOTA matched up with a few other projection systems in 2006.

September 27, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Playoff Hurlers

by Nate Silver

Nate sizes up the potential playoff rotations, and gives one unexpected squad the top spot.

September 20, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Secret Sauce

by Nate Silver

Nate takes a lesson from Baseball Between the Numbers and examines the 2006 postseason.

September 14, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: ELO Considers the Yankees

by Nate Silver

Nate joins BP's ELO rankings with a look at the Yankees and playoff home field advantage.

September 7, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: What to Do With Papelbon

by Nate Silver

Nate picks up where he left off last week, and wonders what the Red Sox should do with their new closer.

August 30, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: To Close Or Not To Close

by Nate Silver

Boston already has a Big Papi, and now they have a Big...Papel? Nate has some thoughts on whether Jonathan Papelbon's destination should be the rotation.