 indicates Baseball Prospectus Premium content, and  indicates Baseball Prospectus Fantasy content.
You can also view archives
or browse research articles in the Baseball Prospectus Library
February 11, 2004
by Will Carroll
As the Expos continue to be baseball's answer to homelessness, Omar Minaya and Frank Robinson make do with a team that, all things considered, could be a lot worse. Not many teams survive the loss of a superstar; just ask the Pirates. The Expos seek to avoid the Pirates' cursed decade post-Bonds, but will they be healthy enough to make it? If the Expos leave the Big O in the near future, few will miss it. Never a great baseball stadium, anecdotally, it is one that players feel strongly about. "That's the worst stadium in baseball," said one current NL outfielder. "It's like being a kid and playing on the street. There's no give, big [expletive] seams, and the dirt is like a rock." The installation of a new FieldTurf surface this season--the same field used by the Devil Rays--could help significantly.
February 9, 2004
by Will Carroll
The AL Central is close enough--or rather, mediocre enough--that a small factor could make a big difference. It could be a breakout performance, a smart mid-season acquisition, or a key injury. The Twins have dealt with quite a few injuries, seeing their Redbook numbers creep up each year. Some may be the result of playing more "important" games, since the numbers suggest that poor teams have fewer injuries due to end-of-season replacements and 'coasting.' While any team can have a bad year injury-wise, this three-year trend is disturbing since there have been no significant changes in the park or even in the personnel. The Twins, you'll notice, have a distinctly "green" tint here in the THR. Does this mean their injury woes have turned? Perhaps. At the very least, two of the riskier players--Eric Milton and A.J. Pierzynski--were moved, and even the riskiest of Twins aren't terribly risky.
February 4, 2004
by Will Carroll
Today BP debuts the second season of Will Carroll's Team Health Reports. Over the next few weeks, Will will cover all 30 teams, rating each team's lineup, starting rotation and closer on a three-color scale: red light for significant injury risk, yellow light for light to moderate injury risk, green light for minimal injury risk. First installment: the Philadelphia Phillies.
March 28, 2003
by Will Carroll
Each and every THR came with its own set of pitfalls. Players were analyzed based on several factors, such as injury history, comparable players, style of play, biomechanics, and inside information from my sources. With no good statistics and no usable injury database, early readers screamed and yelled for "proof!" My response: There is no proof to injuries--sports medicine is like baseball before Bill James, and injury analysis is as much art as it is science.
What the THRs did do was spark some discussion, get people thinking about the effects of injury on their favorite teams and players, and bring sports medicine into the conversation more when performance analysis comes up for discussion. Sometimes, the evidence took care of itself, as in the case of Phil Nevin. That one call probably got more notice than any other, but it shows that there's a method to the madness--add up injury history, a positional change, a player with an odd career pattern, and the advice of the UTK Medical Advisory Board and it's not voodoo or Satanism, as one Pizza Feeder accused me of, Cotton Mather-style. I've said that if I do my job well, everyone will be able to make the same types of judgments with varying degrees of success. With statistics, some of us stick with OPS since there's no long division; in injury analysis, if you only want the results, I'll be here.
March 10, 2003
by Will Carroll
The good news is that Tony Womack is healthy!
The better news is that this team is really just two men and that their effectiveness almost completely determines the course of the Diamondbacks season. As much as pitch counts, inning workloads, and almost every other measure of pitcher abuse wants to push Randy Johnson and Curt Schilling to the shelf, they continue to dominate. Given a modicum of support, these two will put up incredible numbers, and there's no reason to believe that either will collapse. The yellow lights are up there to remind you that at some point, all good things come to an end. One or both might have a spectacular flameout and, like the Red Sox in 2001, a team built around pitching can collapse quickly. Schilling had a slight loss in both velocity and effectiveness at the end of 2002. Surprisingly, he admitted he was tired, but blamed it on a weight increase rather than workload. Schilling looked great in Nashville this winter when he met up with UTK. If anything, the fade late last year might force Bob Brenly to back off a bit. Backing off however might not be possible if the D-Backs hope to return to the playoffs.
March 6, 2003
by Will Carroll
There are signs that teams "get it." I don't think it's any secret that the Blue Jays are one of the teams that get it. Sprung from the brain of the Athletics like Athena, the front office put together by J.P. Ricciardi can compete with the braintrust of any team. Despite revenue problems, hamstrung by contracts written in a bygone era, and having to play in the same division as the Red Sox and Yankees, the Blue Jays definitely "get it" and are headed for success.
March 4, 2003
by Will Carroll
The problem with writing about a healthy team is not having enough to say, yet still missing the inevitable injuries the team will have. Over the course of a long season, players break down, have accidents, run into walls, dive headfirst into bases, swing too hard, iron their shirts, trim the hedges, and an infinite number of other products of randomness and chaos. Add to that the infallible fallibility of your humble writer, and hopefully I keep the signal-to-noise ratio tolerable.
March 3, 2003
by Will Carroll
There are a couple things that jump out from the Astros roster. First, despite being an older team, the Astros lineup is a reasonably healthy one. Only one player has a light, and that's a freak incident that we don't yet have a handle on. Second, the pitching staff looks worse than it is, but could do well. Finally, despite making one of the bigger signings of the off-season and trading away a highly touted prospect, the team isn't appreciably better.
February 28, 2003
by Will Carroll
I'll miss Bobby Valentine, if only because Tony LaRussa isn't as easy to pick on. LaRussa has a respect for the game and for his players, and while I often disagree with his tactics, I can respect his accomplishments and ability.
February 27, 2003
by Will Carroll
This will probably be the first article--and perhaps the only one all year--where the location of the Expos means next to nothing. As far as team health goes, there's very little in the way of park effect. I'll assume that the MLBPA will watch closely to make sure that there are adequate facilities in San Juan, and honestly, it's not like San Juan is some third world country like most articles make it sound.
February 26, 2003
by Will Carroll
Of the million things Cubs fans can blame when they look back on why 2003 wasn't the year they finally won the World Series, health won't be one of them.
February 24, 2003
by Will Carroll
Team Health Report: Pittsburgh Pirates February 2003
February 23, 2003
by Will Carroll
Team Health Report: Kansas City Royals February 2003
February 20, 2003
by Will Carroll
Team Health Report: Detroit Tigers February 2003
February 19, 2003
by Dr. William Carroll, University of Mobile
2003 Yankees February team health report.
February 18, 2003
by Will Carroll
Team Health Report: Los Angeles Dodgers February 2003
February 17, 2003
by Will Carroll
Team Health Report: Baltimore Orioles February 2003
February 14, 2003
by Will Carroll
Team Health Report: Philadelphia Phillies February 2003
February 13, 2003
by Will Carroll
Team Health Report: Milwaukee Brewers February 2003
February 12, 2003
by Will Carroll
Team Health Report: Florida Marlins February 2003
<< More
|
