Archives

Overthinking It column archives.

indicates Baseball Prospectus Premium content, and indicates Baseball Prospectus Fantasy content.

You can also view archives

by Author... Derek Albin Mark Anderson R.J. Anderson Robert Arthur Robert Au Nick Bacarella Emma Baccellieri Bill Baer Javier Barragan Mark Barry Michael Bates Stephani Bee Jesse Behr Demetrius Bell Jonah Birenbaum Nathan Bishop George Bissell Tucker Blair J.P. Breen Shawn Brody Dan Brooks Craig Brown David Brown Maury Brown Marc Carig Russell A. Carleton Ben Carsley Alex Chamberlain John Choiniere Jason Cole Jason Collette Matt Collins Mary Craig Christopher Crawford Zach Crizer Keith Cromer Corey Dawkins Brandon Decker Rocco DeMaro Neil deMause Thomas Desmidt Ben Diamond Bradford Doolittle Patrick Dubuque Patrick Ebert Matt Ellis John Erhardt John Eshleman Jeff Euston Dan Evans Sarah Evans Nick J. Faleris BP Fantasy Staff Mike Fast James Fegan Sam Fels Tim Finnegan James Fisher Eugene Freedman Ken Funck Iain Fyffe Marco Gamez Eriq Gardner Brendan Gawlowski Mike Gianella Steve Givarz Aaron Gleeman Clark Goble Todd Gold Steven Goldman Craig Goldstein Kevin Goldstein Jordan Gorosh Stacey Gotsulias Morris Greenberg Jeremy Greenhouse Bryan Grosnick Kendall Guillemette Matt Gwin Parker Hageman Will Haines Joe Hamrahi Bob Hertzel Shawn Hoffman Randy Holt Scooter Hotz Joshua Howsam Gary Huckabay Derek Jacques J.J. Jansons Rany Jazayerli Max Jensen Grant Jones Michael Jong Jonathan Judge Christina Kahrl Sky Kalkman Wilson Karaman King Kaufman Jonah Keri Chris King Tim Kniker Andrew Koo Matthew Kory Joshua Kusnick David Lee Zachary Levine Ryan Lind Ben Lindbergh Jeff Long Rob Mains Dan Malkiel Gregory J. Matthews Rachael McDaniel Adam McInturff Rob McQuown Chris Mellen Ian Miller Sam Miller Kate Morrison Zach Mortimer Chris Mosch Zack Moser Sean O'Rourke Scott Orgera Dustin Palmateer Bill Parker Ryan Parker Jason Parks Jeffrey Paternostro Harry Pavlidis Dave Pease John Perrotto Mike Petriello Frankie Piliere Lewie Pollis Kate Preusser Matthew Provenzano Ethan Purser Jeff Quinton Jessica Quiroli Keith Rader Daniel Rathman David Rawnsley Stephen Reichert Chris Rodriguez Andrew Rothstein Meg Rowley Mauricio Rubio Bret Sayre BP Scoresheet Experts Steffan Segui Jarrett Seidler Eric Seidman Timo Seppa Ron Shah Sahadev Sharma Joe Sheehan Nate Silver Al Skorupa Bryan Smith Adam Sobsey Emma Span Scott Spencer Paul Sporer Tim Steggall Nicolas Stellini Trevor Strunk Matt Sussman Daron Sutton Matt Swartz David Temple Doug Thorburn Matthew Trueblood Ashley Varela Rob Vollman Mike Vorkunov Stuart Wallace Jim Walsh Rian Watt Greg Wellemeyer Holly Wendt Nick Wheatley-Schaller Collin Whitchurch E Wi Rob Willer Ezra Wise CJ Wittmann Brad Wochomurka Jason Wojciechowski Will Woods Noah Woodward Kathy Woolner Keith Woolner Colin Wyers Jared Wyllys Kazuto Yamazaki Colin Young or by Column... 2015 Prospects 2016 Prospects 2017 Prospects 5 O'Clock Power 6-4-3 Actual Relief Advance Scouting Series Ahead in the Count All-Star Futures Game All-Star Game All-Star Game Preview All-Star Home Run Derby An Agent's Take Answer Man Arbitration Showdown Arizona Fall League Recap Banished To The Pen Banjo Hitter Baseball ProGUESTus Baseball Prospectus Basics Baseball Prospectus Book News Baseball Prospectus News Baseball Therapy Behind the Curtain Best of BP 2015 Best of BP 2016 Bizball BP Announcements BP Beta Blog BP Daily Podcast BP En Espanol BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft BP Fantasy Podcast BP Job Postings BP on SiriusXM BP Unfiltered Breaking Balls Bullpen Report Campus Notes Caught Looking Changing Speeds Cheese in the Kitchen Circle Change Closer Report Cold Takes Collateral Damage Collateral Damage Collateral Damage Daily Contractual Matters Covert OPS Daily League Strategy Daily Roundup Daisy Cutter Deep Impact Deep League Report Deep, But Playable DFA Podcast Dissecting the Draft Divide and Conquer, AL Central Divide and Conquer, AL East Divide and Conquer, NL Central Divide and Conquer, NL East Divide and Conquer, NL West Doctoring The Numbers Don't Believe the Hype Draft Ten Pack Ducks on the Pond Dynasty Dynamics Dynasty League Positional Rankings Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued Early ADP Analysis Every Team's Moneyball Everyone's Perfect Everything You Could Have Learned This Week Expanded Horizons Expert FAAB Review Expert League Auction Recap Expert League Draft Recap Eyewitness Accounts Fantasy Auction Values Fantasy Bargains and Busts Fantasy Beat Fantasy Beat Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns Fantasy Draft Rankings Fantasy Focus Fantasy Fool's Gold Fantasy Freestyle Fantasy Hour Fantasy Infographic Fantasy Mailbag Fantasy Players to Avoid Fantasy Players to Target Fantasy Rounders Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner Fantasy Team Preview Fantasy Three-Year Projections Fantasy Tiered Rankings Feature Focus Field Generals Fifth Column Five to Watch Flags Fly Forever Podcast Flu-Like Symptoms Free Agent Watch Fringe Average Podcast From the Editor's Desk From The Mailbag Future Shock Future Shock Blog Game Reaction Get to Know Glass Cuts Diamond Going Yard Graphical Fantasy Rankings Grumblings from a Surly Sabermetrician Guarding The Lines Head Games Heartburn Hardball Hot Stove Scouting Report In A Pickle In-Season Fantasy Valuations Inside The Park Inside The Park Blog Interleague Report Internet Baseball Awards Let It Eat Lies, Damned Lies Life at the Margins Limited Range Podcast Liner Notes Long Relief Looking Back on Tomorrow Manufactured Runs Memorial Day Remembrance Mid-season Prescriptions Minor Issues Minor League Update MLBDepthCharts Monday Morning Ten Pack Moonshot My Model Portfolio New Arms Ninety Percent Mental Notes About Baseball Notes from the Field On A Jailbreak On the Beat One Move Outta Left Field Overthinking It Painting the Black Pebble Hunting Perfect Game Presents Pitcher Profile PITCHf/ox PITCHf/x Mailbag PITCHf/x Profile Pitching Backward Player Profile Players Prefer Presentation Playing Time Battles Playoff Odds Update Playoff Prospectus Position Battles Potential Impact Call-Ups Pre-Season Positional Rankings Preseason Value Picks Prospect Debate Prospect House Prospect Profile Prospect Push Prospects Will Break Your Heart Prospectus Feature Prospectus Game of the Week Prospectus Hit and Run Prospectus Perspective Prospectus Playoff Quickie Prospectus Preview Prospectus Profile Prospectus Q&A Prospectus Review Prospectus Roundtable Prospectus Today Punk Hits Purpose Pitches Raising Aces Rany On The Royals Raw Projection Reintroducing PECOTA Release Points Research Mailbag Resident Fantasy Genius Retro Transaction Analysis Retrospective Player Valuation Reworking WARP Roto Restart Rubbing Mud Rumor Roundup Scouting the Draft Seidnotes Short Relief Skewed Left Sobsequy Soft Toss Some Projection Left Spinning Yarn Spitballing Sporer Report State of the Position Stolen Signs Podcast Swing Change Tale of the Tape Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition Tater Trot Tracker TDGX Transactions Team Chemistry Team Health Reports Team Injury Projection The -Only League Landscape The Adjuster The Asian Equation The BP Broadside The BP First Take The BP Trading Post The BP Wayback Machine The Buyer's Guide The Call-Up The Column to Be Named Later The Daily Prospectus The Darkhorses The Fantasy Verdict The Great Debaters The Guidance Counselor The Jong Show The Keeper Reaper The Landscape The Lineup Card The Other 15 Percent The Over/Underachievers The Payoff Pitch The Platoon Advantage The Process The Prospectus Hit List The Quinton The Stash List The Stats Go Marching In The Things We Believe The View From Behind The Backstop The View from the Loge Level The Week in Quotes They Hold No Quarter This is Not Your Father's Baseball Road Trip TINO (There Is No Offseason) TINSTAAPP Tools of Ignorance Top 10 Week Top Tools Transaction Analysis TTO Scoresheet Podcast Two-Strike Approach Under The Knife Updating the Tiers UTK Special Value Picks Weekly Planner Weekly Wrap Welcome to Splitsville West Coast By Us Western Front Wezen-Ball Wezen-Ball Extra What Scouts Are Saying What You Need to Know Working the Count You Could Look It Up Youth Movement   

or browse research articles in the Baseball Prospectus Library

January 29, 2014

Overthinking It: Polling the Industry: Masahiro Tanaka in 2014

by Ben Lindbergh

How do industry insiders (and BP readers) view Tanaka relative to other right-handed starters?

January 24, 2014

Overthinking It: Internet Commenters Try to Trade for David Price

by Ben Lindbergh

What the partisan parts of the internet think Tampa Bay's ace is worth.

January 23, 2014

Overthinking It: Several Stray Thoughts About the Masahiro Tanaka Signing

by Ben Lindbergh

Tying up the Tanaka loose ends.

January 16, 2014

Overthinking It: How the Braves Can Keep a Good Thing Going

by Ben Lindbergh

We just want to say three words to the Braves: "service time" and "extensions."

January 14, 2014

Overthinking It: Will the 2014 Yankees Have the Oldest Offense Ever?

by Ben Lindbergh

And why a team of old position players can be a pretty big problem.

January 10, 2014

Overthinking It: The Trouble with Forecasting Chemistry

by Ben Lindbergh

Think your team has a great clubhouse culture? That's what they all say.

January 8, 2014

Overthinking It: What Scouts Said About 2014's Top Cooperstown Candidates

by Ben Lindbergh

The hits and misses scouts made on future Hall of Fame-caliber players.

January 6, 2014

Overthinking It: Testing the Predictive Powers of 2013 Teams

by Ben Lindbergh

Reviewing the many predictions teams and players made about themselves last season.

November 20, 2013

Overthinking It: Baseball's New Kind of Coach

by Ben Lindbergh

On the rise of the defensive coordinator.

November 12, 2013

Overthinking It: Picking an Appropriate Cardinals Shortstop

by Ben Lindbergh

Assessing John Mozeliak's options as St. Louis attempts to upgrade at short.

November 5, 2013

Overthinking It: Brad Ausmus and Cementing the New Model for Managers

by Ben Lindbergh

No prior major-league managerial jobs, no coaching experience, no problem.

October 7, 2013

Overthinking It: Dusty Baker and the Modern Manager's Survival Manual

by Ben Lindbergh

Want to stick as a 21st-century skipper? Don't be like Baker.

September 27, 2013

Overthinking It: Mariano Rivera's Final Four Outs

by Ben Lindbergh

Except for the waterworks, the last Bronx appearance of the best reliever ever was much like hundreds of excellent outings before it.

September 24, 2013

Overthinking It: The Season in Small-Sample Narratives

by Ben Lindbergh

A retrospective on the flashes in pans that briefly became big stories in 2013.

September 20, 2013

Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 9/20

by Ben Lindbergh

The best and worst receivers of the week(s) and year, with end-of-season minor-league stats.

September 19, 2013

Overthinking It: Billy Hamilton and Getting Excited Responsibly

by Ben Lindbergh

Billy Hamilton's first start showed us how good he can be, but is it reasonable to expect continued success this season?

September 16, 2013

Overthinking It: The Latest Attempts to Beat the Shift

by Ben Lindbergh

Adam Dunn, David Ortiz, and others are doing their best to make defenders abandon the ever-more-popular over-shift.

September 10, 2013

Overthinking It: Is Ubaldo Back?

by Ben Lindbergh

Are the struggles of erstwhile ace Ubaldo Jimenez over?

September 8, 2013

Overthinking It: The 2013 All-Fringe-Prospect Team

by Ben Lindbergh

Not all who break out are breakouts.

September 4, 2013

Overthinking It: Internet Commenters Complain About How Their Teams Can't Hit Rookie Pitchers

by Ben Lindbergh

Think your team has trouble against rookie starters whom they should have no trouble hitting? That's what they all say.