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January 29, 2015
by Nate Silver
Eleven years ago, Nate Silver considered PECOTA.
January 31, 2014
by Nate Silver
Which players did PECOTA's five-year forecasts like 10 years ago?
September 17, 2013
by Nate Silver
Are pennant races the only thing that can keep fans coming to the park in September?
February 8, 2013
by Nate Silver
With PECOTA projections for 2013 due out Monday, we take a look back 10 years at the first-ever PECOTA team projections.
January 18, 2013
by Nate Silver
How did PECOTA do in projecting 2007's big-bonus draftees?
November 9, 2012
by Nate Silver
Is the recent wave of hirings of rookie managers really something new? As Nate wrote eight years ago, it might just be cyclical.
August 24, 2012
by Nate Silver
Figuring out who uses or used, when and why, and what we can take from the exercise.
August 17, 2012
by Nate Silver
Can statistics help us see the effects of steroid use?
July 20, 2012
by Nate Silver and Will Carroll
A look back at a classic study of pitcher injuries.
May 4, 2012
by Nate Silver
The Rays are 12-1 at home this season. Where does their home-field advantage come from?
March 30, 2012
by Nate Silver
Once upon a time, the Marlins were big sellers, not big buyers. Their reputation took years to recover from their last big sell-off, but are firesales sometimes justified?
February 10, 2012
by Nate Silver
Nate wonders about an overflow effect in two-team markets and finds some surprising results.
December 15, 2011
by Nate Silver
In the wake of the Matt Moore extension, revisit Nate's discussion of the perils of counting on pitching prospects and his remarks on the most promising southpaws.
August 25, 2011
by Nate Silver
As we head for the season's home stretch, Nate reminds us that even comfortable leads late in the season aren't sure things.
May 26, 2011
by Nate Silver
As Mariano Rivera leaves his 1,000th appearance behind, see how he stacks up according to Nate's standards.
April 5, 2011
by Nate Silver
Revisiting Nate's attempt to quantify the trade-off in scheduling cold-weather games.
March 1, 2011
by Nate Silver
What does a voice from BP's past have to say about the prospect of a second wild card?
May 7, 2009
by Nate Silver
Figuring out who uses or used, when and why, and what we can take from the exercise.
March 26, 2009
by Nate Silver
Finding out what happens when you project people to be slightly different from the way they are.
March 24, 2009
by Nate Silver and Kevin Goldstein
A change in who's holding the reins, and what it means for BP.com going forward.
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