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or browse research articles in the Baseball Prospectus Library

June 28, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: We are Elo?

by Nate Silver

Nate delves into another sport's method to rate teams in season, across time, and into the present, and looks at its applicability to baseball.

June 21, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: The Other Molina

by Nate Silver

Nate digs a little deeper into the running game, wondering if we've been understating the value of Yadier Molina.

June 15, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Justin Verlander

by Nate Silver

Nate examines a young pitcher who statheads may be underappreciating.

June 7, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Tony LaRussa and the Terrible, Horrible, No-Good, Very Long Game

by Nate Silver

Nate examines a decade's worth of data to see if there's anything to a "hangover effect" after playing a VLG. What's a VLG? Read on...

May 31, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Tufte Takes on the A's

by Nate Silver

Nate presents a visual analysis of the A's, who aren't performing nearly as well as their winter supporters had thought.

May 25, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Is it Still Good to Be the King?

by Nate Silver

Nate wonders about the struggles of the Mariners' young star.

May 17, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Trouble in Wrigleyville

by Nate Silver

Nate observes whether or not the Cubs need to strip down to the foundations or the baseboards to build for a better future.

May 10, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: WBC, Again

by Nate Silver

Nate follows up Monday's column on the WBC pitchers after many readers were skeptical.

May 8, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: WBC Pitchers

by Nate Silver

Nate has noticed something fishy about pitchers who participated in the WBC.

April 26, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Underrating Mark Buehrle

by Nate Silver

Nate takes a look at a player who PECOTA may be undervaluing.

April 12, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Neighborly Baseball

by Nate Silver

Nate wonders about an overflow effect in two-team markets, and finds some surprising results.

March 29, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Breaks Hearts

by Nate Silver

PECOTA projects the standings for the upcoming season, and Nate chimes in on where he thinks it has erred.

March 22, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Rethinking Replacement Level

by Nate Silver

Nate wonders if there's still more to be learned when it comes to considering replacement level talent.

March 15, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Another Look at Plate Discipline

by Nate Silver

Nate takes a closer look at plate discipline, wondering how to best measure and describe it.

March 8, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Prospects, Wrap-up

by Nate Silver

Nate finishes up his PECOTA-driven look at prospects with a few rankings, and some final thoughts.

March 3, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Prospects, Part Four

by Nate Silver

Nate turns to PECOTA's analysis of young pitchers.

February 27, 2006

State of the Prospectus: Now Serving Beer...and Tacos!

by Nate Silver

A talented writer with a fresh perspective on player development joins the staff.

February 24, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: Any Such Thing?

by Nate Silver

A closer look at the validity of one of BP's best-known theories.

February 22, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes On Prospects, Part Three

by Nate Silver

PECOTA now turns its attention to the best infield prospects in the game.

February 15, 2006

Lies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes On Prospects, Part Two

by Nate Silver

Nate continues his PECOTA-based prospect evaluation by looking at young first basemen and outfielders.