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January 29, 2015

The BP Wayback Machine: The Science of Forecasting

by Nate Silver

Eleven years ago, Nate Silver considered PECOTA.

January 31, 2014

The BP Wayback Machine: Which Players and Teams Look Best Over the Next Half-Decade?

by Nate Silver

Which players did PECOTA's five-year forecasts like 10 years ago?

September 17, 2013

The BP Wayback Machine: The Tiger Plan

by Nate Silver

Are pennant races the only thing that can keep fans coming to the park in September?

February 8, 2013

The BP Wayback Machine: 2003 PECOTA Preview: The American League

by Nate Silver

With PECOTA projections for 2013 due out Monday, we take a look back 10 years at the first-ever PECOTA team projections.

January 18, 2013

The BP Wayback Machine: Projecting the Top of the Crop

by Nate Silver

How did PECOTA do in projecting 2007's big-bonus draftees?

November 9, 2012

The BP Wayback Machine: Fresh Blood

by Nate Silver

Is the recent wave of hirings of rookie managers really something new? As Nate wrote eight years ago, it might just be cyclical.

August 24, 2012

The BP Wayback Machine: The Steroids Game

by Nate Silver

Figuring out who uses or used, when and why, and what we can take from the exercise.

August 17, 2012

The BP Wayback Machine: Setting the Stage for 2005: Steroids

by Nate Silver

Can statistics help us see the effects of steroid use?

July 20, 2012

The BP Wayback Machine: The Injury Nexus

by Nate Silver and Will Carroll

A look back at a classic study of pitcher injuries.

May 4, 2012

The BP Wayback Machine: Home-Field Advantages

by Nate Silver

The Rays are 12-1 at home this season. Where does their home-field advantage come from?

March 30, 2012

The BP Wayback Machine: Defending Jeffrey

by Nate Silver

Once upon a time, the Marlins were big sellers, not big buyers. Their reputation took years to recover from their last big sell-off, but are firesales sometimes justified?

February 10, 2012

The BP Wayback Machine: Neighborly Baseball

by Nate Silver

Nate wonders about an overflow effect in two-team markets and finds some surprising results.

December 15, 2011

The BP Wayback Machine: PECOTA Takes on Pitching Prospects and Left-Handed Pitchers

by Nate Silver

In the wake of the Matt Moore extension, revisit Nate's discussion of the perils of counting on pitching prospects and his remarks on the most promising southpaws.

August 25, 2011

The BP Wayback Machine: Blowing It

by Nate Silver

As we head for the season's home stretch, Nate reminds us that even comfortable leads late in the season aren't sure things.

May 26, 2011

The BP Wayback Machine: How Do You Rate Relief?

by Nate Silver

As Mariano Rivera leaves his 1,000th appearance behind, see how he stacks up according to Nate's standards.

April 5, 2011

The BP Wayback Machine: Snowbound Schedule

by Nate Silver

Revisiting Nate's attempt to quantify the trade-off in scheduling cold-weather games.

March 1, 2011

The BP Wayback Machine: Wild Card: A Fairy Tale

by Nate Silver

What does a voice from BP's past have to say about the prospect of a second wild card?

May 7, 2009

Premium Article Lies, Damned Lies: The Steroids Game

by Nate Silver

Figuring out who uses or used, when and why, and what we can take from the exercise.

March 26, 2009

Premium Article Lies, Damned Lies: Stress Tests

by Nate Silver

Finding out what happens when you project people to be slightly different from the way they are.

March 24, 2009

State of the Prospectus: Spring 2009

by Nate Silver and Kevin Goldstein

A change in who's holding the reins, and what it means for BP.com going forward.

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