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or browse research articles in the Baseball Prospectus Library

November 20, 2013

The BP Wayback Machine: How to Make Up a Good Trade Rumor

by Matt Swartz

Seven simple rules to make your Hot Stove trade rumors more realistic.

June 7, 2013

The BP Wayback Machine: The Source of the AL's Superiority

by Matt Swartz

Will the new CBA's draft system kill the AL's edge?

April 27, 2011

Ahead in the Count: Expanded Playoffs, Expanded Salaries

by Matt Swartz

Team owners should think twice before approving an expanded playoff structure, since it might be only the players who'll profit.

March 31, 2011

Between The Numbers: Projected Standings and Actual Performance

by Matt Swartz

A quick reminder of how teams have fared in the past as compared with their projected records.

March 14, 2011

Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway

by Matt Swartz

In the Nationals' and Orioles' battle for the local fan base, the team that blinks first may stand to gain the most.

January 27, 2011

Ahead in the Count: Testing SIERA

by Matt Swartz

Did SIERA beat xFIP in 2010?

January 17, 2011

Ahead in the Count: Situational Pitching

by Matt Swartz

Are pitchers able to apply certain skills when a game calls for it?

December 31, 2010

Ahead in the Count: What Home Teams Do Better

by Matt Swartz

Home teams are winning their games at an increased rate over the last few years, but is it a trend that's likely to continue?

December 20, 2010

Ahead in the Count: A Pitch for Joe Blanton

by Matt Swartz

Is the Phillies' right-hander an undervalued commodity?

December 16, 2010

Ahead in the Count: Home Runs, Fly Balls, and Popups

by Matt Swartz

Using DIPS Theory to understand a pitcher's skills.

December 15, 2010

Ahead in the Count: Ground-ballers: Better than You Think

by Matt Swartz

Ground-ball pitchers have several skills that traditional statistics do not account for.

December 3, 2010

Ahead in the Count: Home Sweet Home Advantage

by Matt Swartz

Why are home teams winning more now than in previous eras?

December 1, 2010

Ahead in the Count: So How Good are MVPs Really?

by Matt Swartz

Examining past MVP and Cy Young winners and the differences between their winning seasons and non-winning seasons.

November 11, 2010

Ahead in the Count: Are the Adjusted Standings Underselling Your Team?

by Matt Swartz

Taking a look at what goes into some teams outplaying or underplaying their expected records.

November 1, 2010

World Series Prospectus: Game Five Pitching Matchup

by Matt Swartz

Tim Linceum tries to clinch the title for the Giants while Cliff Lee tries to keep the Rangers alive in a matchup of No. 1 starters.

October 31, 2010

World Series Prospectus: Game Four Pitching Matchup

by Matt Swartz

A look at the men on the mound for tonight's tilt.

October 30, 2010

World Series Prospectus: Game Three Pitching Matchup

by Matt Swartz

As the Series shifts to Texas, the Rangers will look to their Japanese import to stay afloat while the Giants look for a bounceback outing from a talented lefty.

October 28, 2010

World Series Prospectus: Game Two Pitching Matchup

by Matt Swartz

A look at the hurlers as the Giants try to take a 2-0 advantage in the series.

October 27, 2010

World Series Prospectus: Game One Pitching Matchup

by Matt Swartz

A pair of aces are set to duel as the Fall Classic is set to kick off in San Francisco.

October 23, 2010

Playoff Prospectus: NLCS Game Six Pitching Matchup

by Matt Swartz

A look at the men on the hill as the Giants try again to wrap up the pennant and Phillies attempt to stave off elimination.