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or browse research articles in the Baseball Prospectus Library

February 28, 2013

The BP Wayback Machine: How Good is Aroldis Chapman?

by Clay Davenport

A look back at what the stats said was in store for Aroldis Chapman when he emigrated from Cuba.

May 27, 2011

Grumblings from a Surly Sabermetrician: Scott Cousins is a Dirty, Dirty Ballplayer...

by Clay Davenport

...Unfortunately, the way the game is played has forced him to be that way.

May 19, 2011

The BP Wayback Machine: Baseball in 1864

by Clay Davenport

Clay takes the field to get acquainted with the rules and regulations of your great-great-grandaddy's baseball.

January 3, 2011

Between The Numbers: Ground-ball Rates in the Minors and Majors

by Clay Davenport

A look at the variance in ground-ball rates between pitchers in the majors and minors.

October 5, 2010

BP Unfiltered: BP: LABR Champions

by Clay Davenport

BP's LABR team

June 8, 2010

BP Unfiltered: Strasburg's Minor League Performance

by Clay Davenport

A quick look at other great minor league pitching performances.

April 20, 2010

Between The Numbers: Short Season to Majors in Two Years

by Clay Davenport

Ike Davis went from short-season ball to the majors in two years, despite horrible numbers in his debut. A look at other players who made a similar transition.

March 21, 2010

Fantasy Focus: Depth Chart/PFM Update, Part 2

by Clay Davenport

A look at some of the spring roster battles are shaping up and how it affects playing time.

March 20, 2010

BP Unfiltered: 3/19 Pecota Update: Weighted Means In for Pitchers

by Clay Davenport

Latest Update to PECOTA.

October 26, 2009

World Series Prospectus: The Weather

by Clay Davenport

What's the forecast, and who will it help?

October 6, 2009

Playoff Prospectus: Post-Season Ballparks

by Clay Davenport

Which teams and which players will get the least and most benefit of the few venues in play for October baseball?

August 13, 2009

Defection Alert: How Good is Aroldis Chapman?

by Clay Davenport

Translating the performance of the latest Cuban to skip out on Castroland to answer whether he ranks with this winter's top free agents.

August 3, 2009

Movin' On Up: Deadline Day Winners and Losers

by Clay Davenport

Between shifts in team's playoff odds and projected final win totals, who gained (or lost) the most?

March 4, 2009

Champions of the World: The WBC Odds Report

by Clay Davenport

A look at the teams in the tourney, and a top-to-bottom appraisal of their chances for success.

February 26, 2009

Translation Mambo: Japanese Imports

by Clay Davenport

How long can revised expectations for two big-name Japanese free agents go?

February 19, 2009

PECOTA Projected Standings: Pegging the 2009 Season

by Clay Davenport

Skip crystal balls, just dive into what our first cut on projecting the season says as far as this year's likely standings.

January 20, 2009

Over There, Over There: Cuban and Japanese Imports

by Clay Davenport

Translating the performances of the latest crop of forbidden fruit from Castro-country and two high-profile imports from Japan's major leagues.

August 28, 2008

You Could Look It Up: A Guide to the New Veterans Committee Ballot, Part 2

by Steven Goldman and Clay Davenport

The cases for and against Bucky Walters, Joe "Flash" Gordon, Mickey Vernon, Vern "Junior" Stephens, and Allie "Superchief" Reynolds

August 26, 2008

You Could Look It Up: A Guide to the New Veterans Committee Ballot, Part 1

by Steven Goldman and Clay Davenport

The cases for and against Deacon White, Bill Dahlen, Sherry Magee, Carl Mays, and Wes Ferrell.

February 21, 2008

Winter League Top Performers: The Pitchers

by Clay Davenport

The top moundmen from the winter leagues, and what it might mean for some as far as their futures are concerned.