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or browse research articles in the Baseball Prospectus Library

March 30, 2011

The BP Wayback Machine: Baseball's Hilbert Problems

by Keith Woolner

How many of the last millenium's burning baseball questions remain unanswered over a decade down the road?

February 23, 2011

The BP Wayback Machine: Randomness in Team Standings Predictions

by Keith Woolner

The calendar has advanced, but baseball's probabilistic nature ensures that calling team win totals hasn't gotten much easier.

May 4, 2007

Aim For The Head: Aim For the Front Office

by Keith Woolner

A good front office just got better.

February 28, 2007

Hope and Faith: How the Boston Red Sox Can Win the World Series

by Keith Woolner

Keith translates his optimism about the chances of this year's BoSox into VORP, and concludes that the wait for the team's next championship could be a short one indeed.

October 9, 2006

Completely Random Statistical Trivia: 2006 in Review

by Keith Woolner

Keith checks in with all kinds of fun facts from the completed season.

June 21, 2006

Aim For The Head: Customized Stat Reports

by Keith Woolner

Keith explains our new stat features, and how you can put them to good use

April 10, 2006

Aim For The Head: Lengthening Pitch Counts

by Keith Woolner

Keith sees what he can learn from a database of pitch data, wondering if plate appearances today require more pitches than they did in "the good old days."

March 24, 2006

Aim For The Head: New Relief Categories

by Keith Woolner

Keith revisits relief pitcher stat categories armed with some new information from our play-by-play database.

March 23, 2006

2006--Setting the Stage: Personal Catchers

by Keith Woolner

With Tim Wakefield's personal catcher Doug Mirabelli traded to San Diego, Keith wonders how successful the personal catcher strategy really is.

March 8, 2006

Aim For The Head: Quick-n-Dirty Base-Out Expected Runs Matrix

by Keith Woolner

Ever need a simple expected runs matrix on the fly? Keith has one for you.

March 7, 2006

Why Edgar Allan Poe Couldn't Play Fantasy Baseball: A Poem

by Keith Woolner

Keith outdoes himself. Again.

March 2, 2006

Aim For The Head: Mailbag: Outcomes and Outrages

by Keith Woolner

Keith catches up with reader mail from his two most recent columns.

February 2, 2006

Aim For The Head: Five More Reasons to Hate the Hold

by Keith Woolner

Keith returns for some venting about an often meaningless reliever statistic.

January 24, 2006

Aim For The Head: Three True Outcomes, 2005

by Keith Woolner

We salute those players who most resembled Rob Deer in 2005.

March 24, 2005

2005--Setting the Stage: Randomness in Team Standings Predictions

by Keith Woolner

Keith Woolner continues our Setting the Stage series by looking at the randomness involved with predicting standings within a division.

March 4, 2005

Aim For The Head: Three True Outcomes, 2004

by Keith Woolner

Which player best evoked the spirit of Rob Deer to win the 2004 Three True Outcomes title? Keith Woolner takes a look.

December 2, 2004

Casey's Random Batting Trial: A Poem

by Keith Woolner

There's no blurb that can do this justice. Just click.

October 8, 2004

Aim For The Head: Rookies, RBI and Revamped Reliever Reports

by Keith Woolner

Continuing to add to Baseball Prospectus' stable of stat reports, Keith Woolner unveils new entries for rookies and RBI opportunities. Plus all-new, fully-updated reliever reports, with some new twists.

September 13, 2004

Aim For The Head: Support-Neutral Pitching Reports, Revamped

by Keith Woolner

After successful surgery, the Support-Neutral pitching statistics return, bigger and better than ever. Keith Woolner takes a look at the changes.

August 31, 2004

Can Barry Hit .400?: Breaking Down the Odds

by Keith Woolner

After Derek Zumsteg and Joe Sheehan shared their thoughts on Ichiro Suzuki's run at .400, Keith Woolner looks into Barry Bonds' chances of turning the trick.