Prospectus Hit List for July 1
Hit List for June 24
Hit List for July 8
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.
Rk | Tm | W | L | W1 | W2 | W3 | HLF | AHLF | Win Div% | Win WC% | Playoff% | 1-Day | 7-Day |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 57 | 29 | 56.0 | 63.0 | 63.2 | .695 | .691 | 99.9% | 0.1% | 100.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | |
Justin Turner: Too soon? Too soon. | |||||||||||||
2 | 53 | 32 | 51.2 | 57.8 | 58.2 | .648 | .652 | 97.6% | 2.1% | 99.7% | 0.2% | -0.0% | |
Wade Miley: Seems fairly bizarre that he hasn’t been a Met yet at any point, no? | |||||||||||||
3 | 53 | 30 | 52.2 | 54.6 | 52.4 | .639 | .644 | 94.4% | 3.5% | 97.9% | -0.4% | 0.3% | |
Miguel Sano: “Mets move unhappy Alonso to left field to accommodate Sano” | |||||||||||||
4 | 48 | 36 | 51.2 | 55.3 | 55.4 | .625 | .629 | 16.6% | 69.7% | 86.3% | 2.9% | -0.6% | |
Daniel Robertson: Basically the Valonqar prophecy but for Jed Lowrie | |||||||||||||
5 | 54 | 28 | 50.8 | 48.9 | 47.1 | .612 | .617 | 81.3% | 17.2% | 98.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
Brett Gardner: But not for at least another four years. | |||||||||||||
6 | 45 | 39 | 48.4 | 48.7 | 50.1 | .572 | .567 | 40.9% | 18.4% | 59.3% | -6.9% | -3.9% | |
Ian Happ: He’s definitely on the Daniel Murphy Career Path, plus we’ll get some Happ-less puns. | |||||||||||||
7 | 44 | 40 | 46.3 | 49.0 | 47.8 | .557 | .562 | 2.1% | 34.4% | 36.4% | -6.4% | -9.9% | |
Rick Porcello: Signed to a three-year, $72 million contract. Still throws 200 innings a year. Ends Mets career with a 5.16 ERA. | |||||||||||||
8 | 47 | 39 | 48.8 | 48.0 | 47.6 | .557 | .562 | 2.1% | 33.5% | 35.6% | 5.2% | 18.5% | |
Brett Anderson: “After first healthy season, Mets bet big on Anderson’s potential” | |||||||||||||
9 | 50 | 35 | 46.9 | 47.0 | 46.0 | .559 | .554 | 75.1% | 16.1% | 91.1% | -1.7% | 2.5% | |
Josh Tomlin: A worthy successor to Jason Vargas. | |||||||||||||
10 | 43 | 43 | 47.1 | 47.3 | 47.5 | .538 | .533 | 0.0% | 24.4% | 24.5% | -5.4% | 3.6% | |
Wilmer Flores: The Mets re-sign him in 2025 in what is supposed to be a feel-good reunion tour. They trade him midseason again. This time, they are tears of joy. | |||||||||||||
11 | 38 | 43 | 44.9 | 43.6 | 44.5 | .528 | .523 | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 2.6% | -1.8% | |
Jose Iglesias: “Mets Turn to Iglesias to Tutor Rosario After Failed CF Experiment” | |||||||||||||
12 | 46 | 38 | 45.3 | 41.4 | 41.1 | .517 | .522 | 0.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | -2.0% | 3.0% | |
Delino DeShields: After starting the 2021 season as the Mets’ fifth outfielder, he’ll end it with 600 PA and a DRC+ of 70. | |||||||||||||
13 | 42 | 41 | 43.2 | 44.3 | 42.7 | .519 | .514 | 12.2% | 28.0% | 40.3% | 3.7% | 15.0% | |
Trevor Rosenthal: Damn, just a little too late, but he would’ve fit right in. | |||||||||||||
14 | 45 | 39 | 41.6 | 43.5 | 44.1 | .518 | .513 | 31.9% | 19.5% | 51.4% | 5.5% | -6.2% | |
Mike Moustakas: The Mets will finally give him his multi-year deal. They’ll wish they hadn’t. | |||||||||||||
15 | 45 | 38 | 41.5 | 40.8 | 39.0 | .501 | .506 | 5.6% | 27.8% | 33.4% | 1.4% | -11.3% | |
Bradley Zimmer: A man to make Brandon Nimmo look like Cal Ripken. | |||||||||||||
16 | 42 | 43 | 42.3 | 42.7 | 43.2 | .500 | .505 | 0.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | -1.3% | -1.1% | |
Andrew Heaney: Will throw 130 innings over his three-year Mets career. Seven IL stints. Eventually DFAd before rebounding with the Giants. | |||||||||||||
17 | 40 | 41 | 40.8 | 40.9 | 41.4 | .499 | .494 | 20.4% | 16.0% | 36.4% | 4.0% | -15.0% | |
Paul DeJong: Exactly the type of player who leaves St. Louis and never hits better than .240 again. Perfect for the Mets. | |||||||||||||
18 | 44 | 40 | 43.5 | 40.0 | 39.8 | .498 | .493 | 0.0% | 21.2% | 21.2% | -3.9% | 2.8% | |
Ian Desmond: Honestly, I can’t think of a more fitting pairing. | |||||||||||||
19 | 42 | 41 | 39.8 | 39.7 | 39.1 | .484 | .479 | 0.0% | 15.3% | 15.4% | -2.4% | 6.3% | |
Manny Margot: The thinking man’s Juan Lagares. | |||||||||||||
20 | 44 | 40 | 42.4 | 37.0 | 37.1 | .478 | .473 | 11.0% | 25.1% | 36.1% | 5.1% | 9.7% | |
Jake Arrieta: Gonna threaten to fight Tim Britton in 2026 after Tim gently points out that Arrieta’s ERA is 6.96. | |||||||||||||
21 | 38 | 46 | 39.2 | 40.3 | 40.8 | .467 | .462 | 1.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% | -14.3% | |
Jed Lowrie: Assuming he never actually plays a game for the Mets, that is. | |||||||||||||
22 | 37 | 51 | 38.3 | 39.1 | 41.5 | .443 | .448 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Mike Leake: Can any of you prove he isn’t really a Met right now? | |||||||||||||
23 | 39 | 43 | 35.5 | 35.3 | 36.7 | .447 | .442 | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | -2.3% | 1.3% | |
Chris Archer: Will be amazing to watch how badly he misses the plate when throwing the Warthen Slider. | |||||||||||||
24 | 39 | 42 | 33.6 | 31.9 | 31.4 | .419 | .424 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | -0.0% | -0.3% | |
Aaron Bummer: He’s too good to be a Met right now, but a Met named Bummer is too on the nose to never happen. | |||||||||||||
25 | 29 | 55 | 35.4 | 33.4 | 33.5 | .391 | .396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Ian Kennedy: On a team full of reasonable choices, Kennedy being a ginger served as the tiebreaker. | |||||||||||||
26 | 36 | 47 | 32.3 | 30.0 | 31.3 | .390 | .385 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.1% | |
Pretty much anyone on the roster except for Buster Posey, actually. | |||||||||||||
27 | 32 | 50 | 32.2 | 31.4 | 30.6 | .385 | .380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | 0.0% | |
Starlin Castro: Lots of options on this team, too, but seems appropriate for Castro’s once-promising career to end in a place called Flushing. | |||||||||||||
28 | 31 | 53 | 33.6 | 29.1 | 29.3 | .366 | .371 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Rowdy Tellez: The Mets will play him in right field. | |||||||||||||
29 | 27 | 53 | 24.6 | 25.6 | 25.5 | .321 | .325 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Jordy Mercer: Not until 2040 or so, when Mercer will absolutely still be playing, as he will be long after space and time have ceased to exist. | |||||||||||||
30 | 24 | 59 | 26.3 | 25.3 | 25.9 | .306 | .310 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Andrew Cashner: Frankly it’s astonishing this hasn’t happened yet. |