Quantcast

Prospectus Hit List for July 1



Hit List for June 24 Hit List for July 8
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

RkTmWL W1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

57

29

56.0

63.0

63.2

.695

.691

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Justin Turner: Too soon? Too soon.
2

53

30

52.2

54.6

52.4

.639

.644

94.4%

3.5%

97.9%

-0.4%

0.3%

Miguel Sano: “Mets move unhappy Alonso to left field to accommodate Sano”
3

48

36

51.2

55.3

55.4

.625

.629

16.6%

69.7%

86.3%

2.9%

-0.6%

Daniel Robertson: Basically the Valonqar prophecy but for Jed Lowrie
4

53

32

51.2

57.8

58.2

.648

.652

97.6%

2.1%

99.7%

0.2%

-0.0%

Wade Miley: Seems fairly bizarre that he hasn’t been a Met yet at any point, no?
5

54

28

50.8

48.9

47.1

.612

.617

81.3%

17.2%

98.5%

0.3%

1.4%

Brett Gardner: But not for at least another four years.
6

47

39

48.8

48.0

47.6

.557

.562

2.1%

33.5%

35.6%

5.2%

18.5%

Brett Anderson: “After first healthy season, Mets bet big on Anderson’s potential”
7

45

39

48.4

48.7

50.1

.572

.567

40.9%

18.4%

59.3%

-6.9%

-3.9%

Ian Happ: He’s definitely on the Daniel Murphy Career Path, plus we’ll get some Happ-less puns.
8

43

43

47.1

47.3

47.5

.538

.533

0.0%

24.4%

24.5%

-5.4%

3.6%

Wilmer Flores: The Mets re-sign him in 2025 in what is supposed to be a feel-good reunion tour. They trade him midseason again. This time, they are tears of joy.
9

50

35

46.9

47.0

46.0

.559

.554

75.1%

16.1%

91.1%

-1.7%

2.5%

Josh Tomlin: A worthy successor to Jason Vargas.
10

44

40

46.3

49.0

47.8

.557

.562

2.1%

34.4%

36.4%

-6.4%

-9.9%

Rick Porcello: Signed to a three-year, $72 million contract. Still throws 200 innings a year. Ends Mets career with a 5.16 ERA.
11

46

38

45.3

41.4

41.1

.517

.522

0.2%

7.4%

7.6%

-2.0%

3.0%

Delino DeShields: After starting the 2021 season as the Mets’ fifth outfielder, he’ll end it with 600 PA and a DRC+ of 70.
12

38

43

44.9

43.6

44.5

.528

.523

4.2%

6.0%

10.2%

2.6%

-1.8%

Jose Iglesias: “Mets Turn to Iglesias to Tutor Rosario After Failed CF Experiment”
13

44

40

43.5

40.0

39.8

.498

.493

0.0%

21.2%

21.2%

-3.9%

2.8%

Ian Desmond: Honestly, I can’t think of a more fitting pairing.
14

42

41

43.2

44.3

42.7

.519

.514

12.2%

28.0%

40.3%

3.7%

15.0%

Trevor Rosenthal: Damn, just a little too late, but he would’ve fit right in.
15

44

40

42.4

37.0

37.1

.478

.473

11.0%

25.1%

36.1%

5.1%

9.7%

Jake Arrieta: Gonna threaten to fight Tim Britton in 2026 after Tim gently points out that Arrieta’s ERA is 6.96.
16

42

43

42.3

42.7

43.2

.500

.505

0.1%

3.9%

4.0%

-1.3%

-1.1%

Andrew Heaney: Will throw 130 innings over his three-year Mets career. Seven IL stints. Eventually DFAd before rebounding with the Giants.
17

45

39

41.6

43.5

44.1

.518

.513

31.9%

19.5%

51.4%

5.5%

-6.2%

Mike Moustakas: The Mets will finally give him his multi-year deal. They’ll wish they hadn’t.
18

45

38

41.5

40.8

39.0

.501

.506

5.6%

27.8%

33.4%

1.4%

-11.3%

Bradley Zimmer: A man to make Brandon Nimmo look like Cal Ripken.
19

40

41

40.8

40.9

41.4

.499

.494

20.4%

16.0%

36.4%

4.0%

-15.0%

Paul DeJong: Exactly the type of player who leaves St. Louis and never hits better than .240 again. Perfect for the Mets.
20

42

41

39.8

39.7

39.1

.484

.479

0.0%

15.3%

15.4%

-2.4%

6.3%

Manny Margot: The thinking man’s Juan Lagares.
21

38

46

39.2

40.3

40.8

.467

.462

1.7%

6.4%

8.0%

1.6%

-14.3%

Jed Lowrie: Assuming he never actually plays a game for the Mets, that is.
22

37

51

38.3

39.1

41.5

.443

.448

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

Mike Leake: Can any of you prove he isn’t really a Met right now?
23

39

43

35.5

35.3

36.7

.447

.442

2.6%

3.3%

5.9%

-2.3%

1.3%

Chris Archer: Will be amazing to watch how badly he misses the plate when throwing the Warthen Slider.
24

29

55

35.4

33.4

33.5

.391

.396

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Ian Kennedy: On a team full of reasonable choices, Kennedy being a ginger served as the tiebreaker.
25

39

42

33.6

31.9

31.4

.419

.424

0.1%

0.5%

0.5%

-0.0%

-0.3%

Aaron Bummer: He’s too good to be a Met right now, but a Met named Bummer is too on the nose to never happen.
26

31

53

33.6

29.1

29.3

.366

.371

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Rowdy Tellez: The Mets will play him in right field.
27

36

47

32.3

30.0

31.3

.390

.385

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

Pretty much anyone on the roster except for Buster Posey, actually.
28

32

50

32.2

31.4

30.6

.385

.380

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

Starlin Castro: Lots of options on this team, too, but seems appropriate for Castro’s once-promising career to end in a place called Flushing.
29

24

59

26.3

25.3

25.9

.306

.310

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Andrew Cashner: Frankly it’s astonishing this hasn’t happened yet.
30

27

53

24.6

25.6

25.5

.321

.325

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jordy Mercer: Not until 2040 or so, when Mercer will absolutely still be playing, as he will be long after space and time have ceased to exist.