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Prospectus Hit List for July 1



Hit List for June 24 Hit List for July 8
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff% 1-Day7-Day
1

45

39

41.6

43.5

44.1

.518

.513

31.9%

19.5%

51.4%

5.5%

-6.2%

Mike Moustakas: The Mets will finally give him his multi-year deal. They’ll wish they hadn’t.
2

47

39

48.8

48.0

47.6

.557

.562

2.1%

33.5%

35.6%

5.2%

18.5%

Brett Anderson: “After first healthy season, Mets bet big on Anderson’s potential”
3

44

40

42.4

37.0

37.1

.478

.473

11.0%

25.1%

36.1%

5.1%

9.7%

Jake Arrieta: Gonna threaten to fight Tim Britton in 2026 after Tim gently points out that Arrieta’s ERA is 6.96.
4

40

41

40.8

40.9

41.4

.499

.494

20.4%

16.0%

36.4%

4.0%

-15.0%

Paul DeJong: Exactly the type of player who leaves St. Louis and never hits better than .240 again. Perfect for the Mets.
5

42

41

43.2

44.3

42.7

.519

.514

12.2%

28.0%

40.3%

3.7%

15.0%

Trevor Rosenthal: Damn, just a little too late, but he would’ve fit right in.
6

48

36

51.2

55.3

55.4

.625

.629

16.6%

69.7%

86.3%

2.9%

-0.6%

Daniel Robertson: Basically the Valonqar prophecy but for Jed Lowrie
7

38

43

44.9

43.6

44.5

.528

.523

4.2%

6.0%

10.2%

2.6%

-1.8%

Jose Iglesias: “Mets Turn to Iglesias to Tutor Rosario After Failed CF Experiment”
8

38

46

39.2

40.3

40.8

.467

.462

1.7%

6.4%

8.0%

1.6%

-14.3%

Jed Lowrie: Assuming he never actually plays a game for the Mets, that is.
9

45

38

41.5

40.8

39.0

.501

.506

5.6%

27.8%

33.4%

1.4%

-11.3%

Bradley Zimmer: A man to make Brandon Nimmo look like Cal Ripken.
10

54

28

50.8

48.9

47.1

.612

.617

81.3%

17.2%

98.5%

0.3%

1.4%

Brett Gardner: But not for at least another four years.
11

53

32

51.2

57.8

58.2

.648

.652

97.6%

2.1%

99.7%

0.2%

-0.0%

Wade Miley: Seems fairly bizarre that he hasn’t been a Met yet at any point, no?
12

36

47

32.3

30.0

31.3

.390

.385

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

Pretty much anyone on the roster except for Buster Posey, actually.
13

37

51

38.3

39.1

41.5

.443

.448

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

Mike Leake: Can any of you prove he isn’t really a Met right now?
14

57

29

56.0

63.0

63.2

.695

.691

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Justin Turner: Too soon? Too soon.
15

27

53

24.6

25.6

25.5

.321

.325

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jordy Mercer: Not until 2040 or so, when Mercer will absolutely still be playing, as he will be long after space and time have ceased to exist.
16

31

53

33.6

29.1

29.3

.366

.371

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Rowdy Tellez: The Mets will play him in right field.
17

29

55

35.4

33.4

33.5

.391

.396

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Ian Kennedy: On a team full of reasonable choices, Kennedy being a ginger served as the tiebreaker.
18

24

59

26.3

25.3

25.9

.306

.310

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Andrew Cashner: Frankly it’s astonishing this hasn’t happened yet.
19

39

42

33.6

31.9

31.4

.419

.424

0.1%

0.5%

0.5%

-0.0%

-0.3%

Aaron Bummer: He’s too good to be a Met right now, but a Met named Bummer is too on the nose to never happen.
20

32

50

32.2

31.4

30.6

.385

.380

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

Starlin Castro: Lots of options on this team, too, but seems appropriate for Castro’s once-promising career to end in a place called Flushing.
21

53

30

52.2

54.6

52.4

.639

.644

94.4%

3.5%

97.9%

-0.4%

0.3%

Miguel Sano: “Mets move unhappy Alonso to left field to accommodate Sano”
22

42

43

42.3

42.7

43.2

.500

.505

0.1%

3.9%

4.0%

-1.3%

-1.1%

Andrew Heaney: Will throw 130 innings over his three-year Mets career. Seven IL stints. Eventually DFAd before rebounding with the Giants.
23

50

35

46.9

47.0

46.0

.559

.554

75.1%

16.1%

91.1%

-1.7%

2.5%

Josh Tomlin: A worthy successor to Jason Vargas.
24

46

38

45.3

41.4

41.1

.517

.522

0.2%

7.4%

7.6%

-2.0%

3.0%

Delino DeShields: After starting the 2021 season as the Mets’ fifth outfielder, he’ll end it with 600 PA and a DRC+ of 70.
25

39

43

35.5

35.3

36.7

.447

.442

2.6%

3.3%

5.9%

-2.3%

1.3%

Chris Archer: Will be amazing to watch how badly he misses the plate when throwing the Warthen Slider.
26

42

41

39.8

39.7

39.1

.484

.479

0.0%

15.3%

15.4%

-2.4%

6.3%

Manny Margot: The thinking man’s Juan Lagares.
27

44

40

43.5

40.0

39.8

.498

.493

0.0%

21.2%

21.2%

-3.9%

2.8%

Ian Desmond: Honestly, I can’t think of a more fitting pairing.
28

43

43

47.1

47.3

47.5

.538

.533

0.0%

24.4%

24.5%

-5.4%

3.6%

Wilmer Flores: The Mets re-sign him in 2025 in what is supposed to be a feel-good reunion tour. They trade him midseason again. This time, they are tears of joy.
29

44

40

46.3

49.0

47.8

.557

.562

2.1%

34.4%

36.4%

-6.4%

-9.9%

Rick Porcello: Signed to a three-year, $72 million contract. Still throws 200 innings a year. Ends Mets career with a 5.16 ERA.
30

45

39

48.4

48.7

50.1

.572

.567

40.9%

18.4%

59.3%

-6.9%

-3.9%

Ian Happ: He’s definitely on the Daniel Murphy Career Path, plus we’ll get some Happ-less puns.