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Prospectus Hit List for September 28



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for September 25 Hit List for October 2
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It may be the penultimate Hit List, but we're already out of Padres jokes.

RkTmWLW1 W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

99

59

104.4

108.5

106.0

.661

.666

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jason Kipnis would be the best defensive outfielder in Orioles history.
2

102

57

100.5

105.1

103.8

.647

.642

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

I wonder how many people have entered Jose Altuve in the #LittleDodgerFan promo.
3

89

69

98.6

104.5

103.2

.625

.630

3.7%

96.3%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Thankfully, it looks as though Dellin Betances’ case of Daniel Bard Syndrome is not terminal.
4

98

60

97.0

100.3

98.9

.624

.628

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

What the Astros just did to the Rangers is the most brutal thing Texas has seen in 2017.
5

95

63

94.0

95.6

93.1

.598

.593

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Nothing says “we’re ready for October” like losing a series to the Phillies!
6

92

67

94.2

93.8

93.0

.586

.582

0.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Man, if J.D. Martinez keeps hitting like this he’s going to price himself right out of the Marlins’ budget.
7

89

69

90.8

93.4

91.9

.578

.573

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

5.6%

“It’s sad how people focus on the nacho story,” Jon Lester says as a group of grown men poor champagne on his head for winning a lot of sports games. “It’s just really sad.”
8

82

76

85.5

87.3

86.9

.541

.536

0.0%

0.8%

0.8%

-6.4%

-12.8%

What a gutsy performance from Yadier Molina.
9

92

66

92.1

86.2

86.8

.565

.570

96.3%

3.7%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Listen, we all know high-leverage relievers are important, but spending $217 million on a bullpen piece seems a bit extreme.
10

76

82

76.1

83.0

84.8

.506

.511

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-1.8%

Props to the Rays on allowing Alex Cobb to skip his last start even though he’s an impending free agent. He should get a standing ovation when the Dodgers play Tampa next year.
11

86

73

85.8

82.2

80.6

.526

.521

0.0%

95.1%

95.1%

20.0%

33.3%

Jon Gray may not have the numbers of an ace, but he sure as hell has the hair of an ace. And really, doesn’t that matter more?
12

83

75

81.3

79.5

79.1

.511

.516

0.0%

100.0%

100.0%

0.1%

35.0%

Congrats to the Twins on becoming the first team in history to go to the playoffs just one year after giving Trevor Plouffe 344 PA.
13

83

75

82.0

79.0

78.7

.511

.506

0.0%

4.1%

4.1%

-13.6%

-26.1%

Sorry, but if you get shut out by Homer Bailey in 2017 you don’t deserve to go to the postseason. You have to make the layups.
14

77

82

77.6

77.3

78.3

.488

.493

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-1.3%

Why is James Paxton still pitching? The Mets think that’s improper usage of an oft-injured starter ...
15

78

80

78.9

75.4

77.5

.490

.495

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-20.4%

It’s September 2067. The Angels have played poorly down the stretch and have missed the playoffs. “We’re disappointed,” Mike Scioscia says fresh off of his seven-year extension. “But we’ll be back next year.”
16

73

85

70.4

75.3

75.9

.466

.471

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Death, taxes and the A’s playing just well enough down the stretch to cheat themselves out of a top-5 draft pick.
17

76

82

77.4

74.0

74.9

.478

.483

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-9.0%

Can we just keep Adrian Beltre in carbonite until next season?
18

74

84

73.5

73.3

73.2

.465

.460

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The sale is almost official. I can’t wait for the gift basket promos.
19

75

84

70.6

71.0

73.0

.455

.460

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Jose Bautista has done so much damage to the Red Sox over the years it’s a wonder he didn’t somehow manage to knock them out of the playoffs even after they’d clinched.
20

71

87

71.3

70.7

69.6

.447

.442

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

We might want to stop calling it the Shelby Miller/Dansby Swanson deal because Ender Inciarte was pretty clearly the best player involved.
21

75

84

71.3

69.3

71.8

.452

.457

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

Mitch McConnell thinks Kevin Gausman had an up-and-down year.
22

67

91

68.7

69.1

70.0

.435

.430

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Congrats to Scott Schebler on reaching the 30-homer milestone, all but ensuring he’ll spend the later part of his career as Oakland’s everyday right fielder.
23

78

80

71.2

68.8

70.7

.457

.462

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-2.4%

*Plays Landslide on repeat as he looks at this Royals core.*
24

73

85

72.2

68.8

69.2

.448

.443

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

“Polanco focusing on improved training, diet” reads the Pirates.com headline, which, I mean, same ...
25

64

95

68.8

67.3

67.1

.420

.415

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

“While injured, Buchholz mentored young Phils” reads the Phillies.com headline that is hopefully not about stealing laptops.
26

69

90

68.2

66.9

67.3

.427

.422

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Mets fans cheering for Jose Reyes in his (potential) final home game is exactly the type of “feel-good” story 2017 deserves.
27

65

93

68.5

65.8

67.6

.422

.427

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Frankly, what Nicky Delmonico just did to the Angels was a mercy.
28

62

96

64.2

65.4

65.9

.407

.412

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Congrats to the Tigers on signing Pedro Martinez’s son, Pedro Martinez Jr. Some scouts think he could be the next Anderson Espinoza.
29

70

89

58.2

61.2

63.9

.398

.394

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

I am still not entirely sure this team ever existed.
30

62

97

64.2

60.1

62.1

.391

.386

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Guess Matt Cain took that last Hit List joke a little hard ...