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Prospectus Hit List for May 15



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for May 11 Hit List for May 18
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

A shakeup at the top. And during Jeter Week, no less.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div% Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

24

15

20.2

21.8

22.3

.566

.561

12.7%

42.8%

55.5%

3.9%

7.6%

“Rox open trip with 1st-place clash with Twins” seems like it’d be a computer-generated headline you’d get by running a sim in MLB 2K12 and not the IRL situation.
2

21

18

22.4

22.3

21.7

.560

.556

6.1%

27.5%

33.7%

-5.4%

0.2%

Chris Iannetta suffered a bruised lip, slight nose fracture and some broken teeth when he was hit on the face on Saturday, but Mike Matheny was able to walk it off and jog to first base.
3

19

18

19.1

19.7

19.4

.522

.527

30.6%

23.9%

54.5%

-6.1%

-8.4%

David Price is slated to make a rehab start in Pawtucket later this week, meaning soon Red Sox fans will get to complain about his performance on the mound instead of his time off it.
4

19

20

20.8

16.6

16.4

.467

.472

5.1%

23.0%

28.2%

2.8%

7.1%

If the foul pole hadn’t stopped Joey Gallo’s walk-off homer on Saturday that ball might still be ascending.
5

22

13

22.5

24.2

24.7

.667

.671

39.9%

21.9%

61.8%

0.8%

-0.4%

It is absolutely astounding how many people have butchered the Jeter Week meme. And during Jeter Week, no less ...
6

17

21

19.0

19.2

19.3

.490

.495

4.2%

21.8%

26.0%

-0.6%

-9.1%

If you put a picture of a Mariner with an arm injury on the cover of Madden 18 I wonder which curse would win out.
7

21

15

20.0

20.0

20.4

.566

.561

23.7%

20.8%

44.5%

5.3%

15.5%

We’re getting dangerously close to a time when Cardinals fans have to admit that Carlos Martinez is better than Adam Wainwright now. Dangerously close.
8

16

20

16.3

14.6

14.1

.423

.418

13.1%

20.3%

33.4%

-2.0%

-9.3%

Maybe let’s just put Michael Conforto and Jacob DeGrom in bubble wrap and call it a year?
9

18

19

18.7

19.1

19.7

.510

.505

51.2%

18.0%

69.2%

-4.9%

-12.6%

“Homers aside, Arrieta’s start draws praise,” says the Cubs.com headline written by the same person who authored that statement about Trump and his Russian income.
10

19

21

21.4

23.4

23.9

.548

.553

13.3%

17.7%

31.0%

5.2%

-2.9%

Only about 10,000 fans showed up to Fenway to watch Tampa trounce the Red Sox on Mother’s Day, so for the Rays it probably felt like a home game.
11

21

17

21.3

18.1

18.5

.519

.514

17.0%

17.0%

34.0%

2.2%

16.7%

The Brewers have MLB’s worst winning percentage on Mother’s Day and its best winning percentage on Father’s Day, if you’re wondering about family dynamics in Wisconsin.
12

22

14

19.1

17.4

18.3

.533

.538

11.6%

16.4%

28.0%

-2.5%

-2.9%

Kevin Gausman couldn’t hold a five-run lead against the Royals. That should be punishable by death.
13

19

15

16.7

16.0

15.8

.496

.501

11.4%

16.3%

27.7%

-1.7%

8.9%

Byron Buxton is as fun to watch in center field as he is tough to watch at the plate. He’s like Jackie Bradley Jr. with a flashier pedigree.
14

22

16

24.8

24.8

24.3

.631

.626

79.8%

15.2%

95.0%

-0.9%

2.9%

Brandon McCarthy and Rich Hill are scheduled to come off the DL and start for the Dodgers today and tomorrow, so one way or another I’ll probably get to make an injury joke on Thursday.
15

18

18

17.0

15.5

15.6

.459

.464

9.6%

14.3%

23.9%

-4.0%

-3.6%

Justin Wilson confounded tens of thousands of Tigers fans on Sunday by “converting” a “save,” meaning the Tigers “won” a “close game.”
16

15

24

12.9

12.9

14.3

.353

.349

1.3%

11.9%

13.3%

3.0%

-1.3%

It will be exciting to see which random outfielder from, like, 2006 the Giants unearth if Hunter Pence has to go on the DL. Maybe they can sign David Dellucci or Jay Payton or something.
17

19

17

19.5

21.2

20.8

.559

.564

74.8%

10.6%

85.5%

4.1%

-3.6%

Edwin Encarnacion is really trying Indians fans’ patience by hitting just .206/.353/.341. It’s a shame he didn’t end up in a more forgiving market like Boston, San Francisco or New York.
18

17

21

17.8

16.2

16.9

.447

.452

4.6%

8.5%

13.1%

1.0%

7.2%

In sweeping the Mariners, the Blue Jays proved that, despite their injuries, they’ve still got enough talent to string their fans along deep into the summer.
19

26

12

23.5

23.3

23.4

.633

.638

89.0%

7.3%

96.3%

-0.3%

3.5%

It’s absolutely disgusting that George Springer showed no RE2PECT by hitting two homers on Jeter Night. And during Jeter Week, no less ...
20

24

13

23.3

23.4

22.8

.632

.627

84.1%

6.8%

90.9%

-1.2%

0.8%

Bryce Harper’s 2018 contract is likely to be the only successfully negotiated deal in Washington for some time. No *you* stick to sports.
21

19

18

19.6

20.8

19.8

.535

.530

3.9%

6.2%

10.1%

-2.0%

-3.3%

“Reds 2017 starting pitchers” is gonna be a hell of a quiz on Sporcle some day.
22

19

21

18.2

18.1

17.6

.456

.461

0.8%

5.7%

6.6%

0.4%

3.9%

If you’d been in a coma for the past three years and the last thing you read before your slumber was Baseball America 2014, “Alex Meyer outduels Justin Verlander” wouldn't seem so weird.
23

16

21

14.0

18.4

17.9

.448

.453

0.8%

5.7%

6.5%

0.0%

-0.2%

The Athletics got three quality starts but blew three late-game leads against the Rangers in what’s commonly referred to as “Nationaling.”
24

16

22

14.8

14.1

14.9

.394

.389

4.2%

5.6%

9.8%

2.2%

-9.2%

Let’s give credit where credit is due: the Pirates have been nearly as snakebitten as the Mets and Blue Jays this year, but no one talks about it. Sad!
25

17

18

18.3

16.4

16.4

.487

.492

2.7%

4.7%

7.4%

1.0%

-1.9%

The White Sox ended their six-game losing streak by winning on Hawk Harrelson Alarm Clock Day so if god did ever exist he/she’s definitely dead now.
26

14

22

16.3

17.1

16.8

.446

.441

1.6%

3.6%

5.2%

1.0%

-5.6%

Are the Marlins the stealthiest garbage team in baseball? They rank 22nd in ERA, 23rd in strikeouts and 19th in runs scored. Even Jeb Bush wouldn’t clap for them right now.
27

16

21

14.2

14.7

15.4

.408

.413

1.5%

2.2%

3.6%

0.0%

2.5%

The Royals scored 16 runs in three games to sweep the Orioles, which is remarkable considering they scored just twice in all of April.
28

13

21

13.9

15.0

14.5

.415

.410

0.8%

2.1%

2.9%

-1.2%

-0.7%

After the three-run homer he gave up yesterday, it’s pretty safe to assume that R.A. Dickey doesn’t want to marry Tyler Moore I’m sorry I'm sorry I’m trying to delete it
29

14

21

16.9

15.8

16.6

.452

.447

0.4%

1.7%

2.1%

0.1%

-2.1%

“Knapp’s mom puts Phillies catcher on path” reads the Phillies.com headline that would be true no matter which player you listed.
30

14

25

12.8

14.9

15.4

.367

.362

0.0%

0.4%

0.4%

-0.1%

0.4%

The Padres lost to the White Sox 5-4 on Saturday thanks in part to three consecutive wild pitches from Trevor Cahill, which allowed Jose Abreu to score from first. They are inventive in their commitment to sucking.