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Prospectus Hit List for May 8



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for May 4 Hit List for May 11
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Sorry for being biased against your favorite team.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

21

11

19.5

19.6

19.2

.596

.601

82.4%

10.4%

92.8%

0.5%

4.2%

“Rick Flair endorsed fans’ Josh Reddick ‘Woo’” is an Astros.com headline that is technically in English but means absolutely nothing.
2

20

9

19.5

20.8

20.6

.596

.600

36.3%

25.9%

62.2%

1.8%

17.5%

It took the Yankees six hours and five minutes to beat the Cubs in 18 innings yesterday. That’s almost half as long as a typical Red Sox-Yankees game from the early 2000s.
3

21

10

20.2

20.5

20.3

.603

.599

79.3%

10.7%

90.1%

-1.3%

3.8%

Congrats to Matt Albers on shocking Effectively Wild listeners and confusing Tigers fans by earning his first career save.
4

17

14

19.6

18.8

18.3

.599

.595

76.2%

15.9%

92.1%

0.3%

1.6%

Donald Trump thinks Cody Bellinger could exercise a little restraint when it comes to showing off his power. Hitting a grand slam against the Padres in a game Clayton Kershaw started is just mean.
5

17

13

16.0

17.7

17.3

.572

.577

80.4%

8.6%

89.0%

2.6%

-0.2%

“I didn’t even know that was allowed,” said Kelvin Herrera after Carlos Santana and Francisco Lindor took him deep back-to-back to win on Saturday.
6

16

15

16.5

17.3

17.8

.562

.557

69.6%

12.2%

81.8%

-2.2%

-4.6%

Six people died and 11 more were injured when Kyle Schwarber lept into the stands to make a catch yesterday. If only Steve Bartman had been there to break up the play ...
7

17

14

17.4

17.2

17.3

.550

.555

37.2%

25.6%

62.9%

4.6%

-1.8%

Chris Sale is off to such a dominating start as a Red Sox (1.92 ERA, 37.6 K%) that Boston fans are only complaining about Yoan Moncada’s Triple-A stats twice a week!
8

16

17

17.2

18.5

19.3

.529

.534

13.0%

20.9%

33.9%

-4.4%

0.0%

Tim Beckham is hitting approximately .500/.600/.700 since he was last mocked in this column, so if anyone out there wants me to reverse jinx their team’s draft bust, I’m accepting bribes ...
9

20

12

16.7

18.2

17.7

.529

.524

13.5%

34.3%

47.9%

3.9%

9.5%

It’s May 8 and the Colorado Rockies have 20 wins. Sure, about half of them have come against the Giants and Padres, but still!
10

15

17

16.9

16.8

16.7

.517

.522

10.4%

24.7%

35.1%

5.6%

7.4%

They call James Paxton “Big Maple” because his stuff his sweet but he’s frequently tapped out.
11

17

14

17.6

18.8

18.4

.518

.513

4.7%

8.7%

13.4%

2.3%

7.3%

Scott Feldman battled Johnny Cueto yesterday in a twist of fate that seems unnecessarily cruel to Reds fans. How times change.
12

18

15

18.7

17.2

16.9

.516

.511

7.9%

25.5%

33.5%

-1.9%

-7.1%

Zack Greinke is now undefeated in eight starts in Colorado, just in case you thought he couldn’t get any weirder.
13

20

10

16.2

14.5

15.4

.506

.511

12.3%

18.6%

30.9%

3.6%

5.7%

In immediately heading back to the DL with forearm soreness, Zach Britton proved that he’s ready to get left on the bench once again this October.
14

16

14

15.5

16.0

16.8

.515

.510

12.0%

17.0%

29.0%

3.8%

6.6%

Oh good, another year of goddamn “Who did this, Pham” jokes.
15

15

15

14.5

13.7

13.8

.487

.492

9.8%

17.7%

27.5%

-2.4%

2.2%

The year is 2035. Earth is a barren hellscape. Likes are florps. Francisco Rodriguez is still blowing saves. His team still refuses to bump him from the closer role.
16

15

14

13.7

13.4

13.0

.480

.485

6.3%

12.4%

18.7%

-4.9%

-5.2%

Condolences to the @ycpb twitter account, which was forced to shut down after the Twins starter Nick Tepesch against the Red Sox. It turns out you can very much predict ball.
17

15

15

16.0

14.2

14.4

.478

.483

3.0%

6.3%

9.4%

-2.6%

-5.8%

Yoan Moncada is off to such a dominating start as a White Sox minor leaguer (.337/.412/.519) that Chicago fans are only pining over Chris Sale twice a week!
18

14

16

13.9

11.6

11.5

.486

.481

16.0%

26.7%

42.7%

-4.4%

1.6%

Can you believe the prank someone played on Kevin Plawecki, putting Curt Schilling’s personality in his locker? Grow up, people.
19

16

16

16.8

14.4

14.9

.485

.480

6.8%

10.6%

17.4%

2.8%

2.8%

A Brewers fan wore a wooden hat to the game yesterday in a touching, albeit random tribute to John Olerud.
20

13

19

15.5

12.6

12.3

.473

.478

5.3%

15.8%

21.1%

-5.4%

-10.7%

Austin Bibbens-Dirkx is finally getting the call to The Show after 12 years of pitching in the minors and in indy leagues. He’ll be the first MLBer ever to use his XBOX Live gamer tag as his name.
21

14

17

13.5

14.2

15.4

.482

.477

6.9%

12.1%

19.0%

-2.7%

-3.6%

If you lie really still at night and make sure to be extra quiet, sometimes you can actually hear the Pirates’ contention window closing.
22

13

17

14.5

14.9

14.4

.477

.472

3.0%

7.8%

10.8%

3.1%

-4.5%

Giancarlo Stanton hit two homers that combined to go more than 900 feet yesterday. That’s almost as long as a single Aaron Judge homerun!
23

14

17

11.8

15.3

14.8

.460

.465

1.2%

5.5%

6.7%

0.7%

-0.2%

Apparently all the A’s needed to get back on track was to face Francisco Rodriguez. Classic Moneyball move.
24

13

17

15.2

14.2

14.9

.461

.456

0.9%

3.3%

4.2%

0.6%

-1.5%

Vince Velasquez sure is good at missing bats and sure isn’t good at anything else. He’s like Daniel Cabrera reincarnate.
25

11

20

13.0

11.5

12.1

.441

.446

1.2%

4.7%

6.0%

0.6%

-0.4%

Joe Biagini did well in his first-ever MLB start, holding the Rays scoreless for four innings. Now let’s see how he does against a major league lineup.
26

16

17

14.3

14.2

13.9

.434

.439

0.6%

2.0%

2.6%

0.1%

-12.6%

If Mike Trout has to miss significant time, how many years into the future do we have to look before “Trout’s Hamstring” replaces “Achilles’ Heel” as the predominant euphemism for a singular weakness?
27

11

18

11.8

12.8

12.0

.440

.435

0.7%

2.8%

3.5%

-1.6%

-5.5%

Dansby Swanson entered Sunday hitting .150/.225/.220 in 111 PA. At a certain point, just keeping him in the lineup should count as rookie hazing.
28

11

21

9.5

10.0

10.8

.431

.426

2.3%

12.2%

14.5%

-2.3%

-5.0%

The Giants have a worse record than the Padres and just got swept by the Reds. No punchline needed.
29

10

20

10.1

10.6

10.6

.399

.404

0.3%

0.8%

1.1%

-0.5%

-0.1%

Leading causes of death for groundhogs; birds of prey, coyotes, foxes and Eric Hosmer at-bats.
30

12

20

10.9

11.9

11.6

.372

.367

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-1.6%

If Austin Hedges and Mike Zunino tried to high-five each other they could probably power a wind farm.