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Prospectus Hit List for May 4



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for May 1 Hit List for May 8
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Houston, hello!

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLF Win Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

19

9

18.0

17.3

16.9

.603

.608

82.8%

10.0%

92.7%

0.8%

4.8%

Despite the benches clearing, cooler heads prevailed after Lance McCullers threw a pitch behind Mike Napoli thanks to the umpire’s swift ejection of Kevin Gausman.
2

15

12

15.1

16.0

15.9

.575

.570

77.3%

10.5%

87.9%

1.6%

-1.5%

“Cubs hoping for better defensive play” and “Maddon puts 3 catchers on field at once” are two headlines that appear pretty close to each other on Cubs.com.
3

15

12

14.3

15.8

15.6

.567

.572

75.6%

11.2%

86.8%

2.1%

1.3%

Austin Jackson hit the DL after hyperextending his left big toe, which your one friend who likes hockey will mention to you every day for the next four months.
4

18

9

17.5

17.8

17.6

.599

.594

73.4%

12.6%

86.0%

1.1%

2.5%

Ryan Zimmerman is hitting .419/.455/.871. It’s the most unexpected resurgence of righty power in Washington since ... ok, too soon, too soon.
5

15

14

17.2

17.0

17.2

.587

.582

72.2%

17.1%

89.2%

-2.5%

5.1%

Cody Bellinger entered Wednesday hitting .345/.406/.655 with two homers 32 plate appearances, but he won’t be considered a True Dodger until his first DL stint.
6

15

12

13.7

13.9

13.7

.533

.538

45.8%

20.8%

66.6%

1.7%

1.5%

Oh sure, make fun of O.Co Coliseum for its sewage problem but just look the other way whenever Kirk Minihane goes to Fenway Park.
7

17

9

17.3

18.7

18.2

.587

.592

28.5%

23.2%

51.7%

5.2%

13.1%

Remember Gary Sanchez? He was Aaron Judge before Aaron Judge, and he’s coming back to try and capture our attention once more before we all start doting on Clint Frazier in July.
8

12

15

12.2

10.8

10.9

.484

.479

17.9%

24.3%

42.2%

1.8%

1.4%

I guess the 2017 season is Jormungand.
9

14

15

14.7

16.0

16.8

.522

.527

15.8%

20.9%

36.7%

-3.4%

1.2%

Give Blake Snell credit for giving up a mammoth shot to Marcell Ozuna that hit a banner hanging in the rafters. Anything that does damage to Tropicana Field is a gift to humanity.
10

17

11

13.8

14.7

14.7

.512

.507

11.2%

27.0%

38.3%

3.9%

2.1%

If we’re grading on a curve, Antonio Senzatela being named the NL Rookie of the Month for April while pitching in Coors is more impressive than Cy Young’s all-time wins record.
11

17

12

17.7

16.8

16.4

.538

.533

10.8%

27.4%

38.1%

-5.2%

-1.1%

The Diamondbacks are celebrating Mother’s Day with a “clutch giveaway” in which they will trade their best hitters with RISP for future relievers.
12

14

13

12.8

12.1

12.2

.483

.488

10.0%

18.2%

28.2%

-0.6%

-4.7%

In leaving yesterday’s game with hamstring tightness, Ian Kinsler proved that he’s still really a Texas Ranger at heart.
13

14

11

14.1

14.0

13.4

.518

.523

9.9%

18.4%

28.3%

0.6%

9.6%

The Twins hit six homers against the Athletics on Tuesday night, or as the Royals would call it, a pretty good month’s worth of homers.
14

13

13

12.1

12.8

13.3

.490

.485

7.7%

14.6%

22.3%

0.1%

6.3%

A stray bullet grazed a fan in Busch Stadium on Tuesday after Rick Ankiel was seen warming up just outside the park.
15

16

10

12.9

11.2

11.7

.476

.481

7.7%

11.8%

19.5%

-3.6%

-6.2%

By getting ejected for hitting Xander Bogaerts with a curveball in last night’s game, Kevin Gausman literally caught a bad break for throwing a bad breaker.
16

12

15

11.7

12.3

13.2

.477

.472

7.2%

12.6%

19.8%

-2.9%

0.1%

Tough break for Jameson Taillon, who was automatically relegated to High-A after giving up an outside-the-park homer to Billy Hamilton yesterday.
17

12

16

13.6

13.1

13.3

.492

.497

7.0%

20.5%

27.5%

5.3%

-1.5%

Only one of these players is not currently getting lots of playing time for the Mariners: Ben Gamel, Guillermo Heredia, Taylor Motter, Mike Zunino. Just kidding; they all are.
18

11

18

10.4

11.4

12.0

.461

.456

5.6%

17.9%

23.5%

0.9%

-7.5%

The Giants ruined Vince Scully Night thanks in large part to Jeff Samardzija, who picked an odd time to have That One Start That Convinces You He’s Still Good Before 10 Bad Starts.
19

14

14

14.8

12.4

12.4

.479

.474

5.6%

11.3%

16.9%

2.0%

0.5%

It’s 2017 and a team with a Matt Garza-led rotation is tied for first in the NL Central, in case you were still trying to tell yourself that human life has any meaning.
20

11

17

13.4

11.3

11.1

.473

.478

5.4%

15.2%

20.6%

-4.1%

-15.4%

Strange territory for the Rangers, what with a top-of-the-rotation arm and key position players on the DL and all.
21

12

14

13.1

12.3

12.0

.478

.473

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

2.4%

-7.2%

Edinson Volquez struck out nine and walked eight in 4.1 innings on Tuesday night in a touching tribute to Ubaldo Jimenez, Clay Buchholz and Trevor Bauer.
22

15

14

13.4

13.5

12.8

.474

.479

4.1%

12.3%

16.3%

-0.4%

5.3%

Mike Trout won his fourth Player of the Month award for his impressive April despite the fact that the Angels aren’t even in the playoffs.
23

14

12

14.3

12.3

12.7

.484

.489

3.9%

8.7%

12.6%

-2.4%

0.6%

The White Sox are preparing to give away Hawk Harrelson-voiced alarm clocks despite the Geneva Convention’s clear standards when it comes to torture.
24

9

19

11.5

10.3

10.6

.432

.437

2.2%

3.4%

5.6%

-0.8%

-6.0%

Oh yeah well if Canada has such better health care why is 84% of the Blue Jays roster on the DL?
25

11

15

11.6

12.8

12.2

.462

.457

2.1%

5.0%

7.1%

-2.6%

1.1%

There have been 23 homers in the first nine games at SunTrust Park, so look for the Braves to try and move to a more neutral home at some point in 2021.
26

13

14

12.9

13.7

13.5

.472

.468

2.1%

4.9%

7.0%

0.4%

0.5%

The good news? Top prospect Amir Garrett currently leads all Reds starters in ERA. The bad news? His ERA is 4.50.
27

12

14

13.8

12.5

12.9

.465

.460

1.6%

3.6%

5.2%

-0.3%

-2.7%

It’s a cruel trick god played on Phillies fans, giving Aaron Nola David Wright’s back.
28

11

16

9.6

12.8

12.7

.446

.451

0.8%

4.2%

5.0%

-0.4%

-3.5%

Yonder Alonso has hit six homers through 25 games. He hit just 12 homers in 2015 and 2016 combined. He'll only hit four homers next year.
29

9

17

9.0

9.9

10.1

.409

.414

0.5%

1.3%

1.9%

0.2%

-0.2%

The Royals are last in baseball in runs, total bases and OPS, but they remain first in defensive fans.
30

12

17

10.9

11.4

11.4

.412

.407

0.2%

1.3%

1.6%

-0.7%

0.3%

Watching Jered Weaver is just sad at this point, like watching an old dog with hip dysplasia that your friend refuses to say goodbye to. Only the dog throws faster.